Conditional predictive density evaluation in the presence of instabilities

We propose new methods for evaluating predictive densities. The methods includeKolmogorov-Smirnov and Cram?r-von Mises-type tests for the correct specification ofpredictive densities robust to dynamic mis-specification. The novelty is that the testscan detect mis-specification in the predictive densities even if it appears only overa fraction of the sample, due to the presence of instabilities. Our results indicatethat our tests are well sized and have good power in detecting mis-specification inpredictive densities, even when it is time-varying. An application to density forecastsof the Survey of Professional Forecasters demonstrates the usefulness of the proposedmethodologies.

The presence of conifer resin decreases the use of the immune system in wood ants

1. Wood ants (Formica paralugubris) incorporate large amounts of solidified conifer resin into their nest, which reduces the density of many bacteria and fungi and protects the ants against some detrimental micro-organisms. By inducing an environment unfavourable to pathogens, the presence of resin may allow workers to reduce the use of their immune system. 2. The present study tested the hypothesis that the presence of resin decreases the immune activity of wood ants. Specifically, three components of the humoral immune defences of workers kept in resin-rich and resin-free experimental nests (antibacterial, lytic, and prophenoloxidase activities) were compared. 3. The presence of resin was associated with reduced bacterial and fungal densities in nest material and with a small decrease in worker antibacterial and lytic activities. The prophenoloxidase activity was very low in all workers and was not affected by the presence of resin. 4. These results suggest that collective medication with resin reduces pathogen pressure, which in turn decreases the use of the inducible part of the immune system. More generally, the use of plant secondary compounds might be an efficient and economical way to fight pathogens.

Insight in the factors associated with the presence of protective antiviral T-cell response.

T cells play a primordial role in antiviral immunity. Virus-specific T-cell responses can be characterized by a number of independent variables. These include the magnitude of the response; the functional quality of the response, i.e. the types of cytokines secreted after stimulation and the proliferative or lytic potential; the tissue distribution of the T cells; the breadth of the response; and the avidity of the response. All of these together constitute the T-cell response to antigen (Ag) and comprise potential variables that may correlate with antiviral protective immunity. Substantial advances have recently been obtained in the characterization of virus-specific T-cell responses. These studies have shown that the quality (in term of functional profile) rather than the quantity of Ag-specific T cells was associated with protection. Recently, the term polyfunctional has been used to define T-cell responses that, in addition to typical effector functions such as secretion of IFN-g, TNF-a and MIP-1b and cytotoxic activity, comprise distinct T-cell populations, also able to secrete IL-2 and retaining Ag-specific proliferation capacity. The term \only effector" defines T-cell responses/ populations able to secrete cytokines such as IFN-g, TNF-a and MIP-1b and endowed with cytotoxic activity but lacking IL-2 and proliferation capacity. Several models of virus infections (HIV-1, cytomegalovirus [CMV], Epstein Barr virus [EBV], influenza [Flu] and Herpes Simplex virus) exclusively differentiated on the basis of Ag exposure and persistence, were investigated: 1) antigen clearance, 2) protracted Ag exposure and persistence and low Ag levels, 3) Ag persistence and high Ag levels, and 4) acute Ag exposure/re-exposure. These analyses have demonstrated that polyfunctional and not \only effector" T-cell responses were associated with protective antiviral immunity. However, the factors and mechanisms governing the generation of functionally distinct T-cell populations remain to be elucidated. Recently, several studies have shown a major influence of HLA genotype in the evolution of HIV and the progression of HIV-associated disease. In particular, certain HLA-B alleles were most closely associated with non-progressive disease and low viral load or disease and had a dominant involvement on the clinical course of HIV-associated diseases. In this study, we have investigated the relationship between HLA restriction and the functional profile of Tcell responses in order to determine whether HLA-B influenced the generation of polyfunctional CD8 T-cell responses. To be able to address this issue, we studied CD8 T-cell responses against HIV-1, CMV, EBV and Flu in 128 subjects. These analyses enabled us to demonstrate that HLA-Arestricted epitopes were mostly associated with \only effector" T-cell responses while, in contrast, polyfunctional CD8 T-cell responses were predominantly driven by virus epitopes restricted by HLA-B alleles. We then characterized eventual differences in the responsiveness of CD8 T-cell populations restricted by different HLA-A and HLA-B alleles. For this purpose, we investigated the T-cell receptor (TCR) avidity for the cognate epitope of polyfunctional and \only effector" CD8 T-cell populations. Our results indicated that overall virus-specific CD8 T-cell populations recognizing virus epitopes restricted by HLA-B alleles were equipped with lower avidity TCR for the cognate epitopes when compared to those recognizing epitopes restricted by HLA-A alleles. In conclusion, these results provide the rationale for the observed protective role of HLA-B genotypes in HIV-1- infection and new insights into the relationship between TCR avidity and functional profile of virus-specific CD8 Tcells.

Presence of the alien chinese pond mussel Anodonta woodiana (Lea, 1834) (Bivalvia, Unionidae) in the Iberian Peninsula

Nota sobre les conseqüències de la invasió del mol·lusc d'aigua dolça, Anodonta woodiana, a la Península Ibèrica

Lentiviral vector-mediated gene transfer in adult mouse photoreceptors is impaired by the presence of a physical barrier

RESUME L'utilisation de la thérapie génique dans l'approche d'un traitement des maladies oculaires dégénératives, plus particulièrement de la rétinite pigmentaire, semble être très prometteuse (Acland et al. 2001). Parmi les vecteurs développés, les vecteurs lentiviraux (dérivé du virus humain HIV-1), permettent la transduction des photorécepteurs après injection sous-rétinienne chez la souris durant les premiers jours de vie. Cependant l'efficacité du transfert de gène est nettement plus limitée dans ce type cellulaire après injection chez l'adulte (Kostic et al. 2003). L'objet de notre étude est de déterminer si la présence d'une barrière physique produite au cours du développement, située entre les photorécepteurs et l'épithélium pigmentaire ainsi qu'entre les photorécepteurs eux-mêmes, est responsable de: la diminution de l'entrée en masse du virus dans les photorécepteurs, minimisant ainsi son efficacité chez la souris adulte. De précédentes recherches, chez le lapin, ont décrit la capacité d'enzymes spécifiques comme la Chondroïtinase ABC et la Neuraminidase X de modifier la structure de la matrice entourant les photorécepteurs (Inter Photoreceptor Matrix, IPM) par digestion de certains de ses constituants suite à leur injection dans l'espace sous-rétinien (Yao et al. 1990). Considérant l'IPM comme une barrière physique, capable de réduire l'efficacité de transduction des photorécepteurs chez la souris adulte, nous avons associé différentes enzymes simultanément à l'injection sous-rétinienne de vecteurs lentiviraux afin d'améliorer la transduction virale en fragilisant I'IPM, la rendant ainsi plus perméable à la diffusion du virus. L'injection sous-rétinienne de Neuraminidase X et de Chondroïtinase ABC chez la souris induit des modifications structurales de l'IPM qui se manifestent respectivement par la révélation ou la disparition de sites de liaison de la peanut agglutinin sur les photorécepteurs. L'injection simultanée de Neuraminidase X avec le vecteur viral contenant le transgène thérapeutique augmente significativement le nombre de photorécepteurs transduits (environ cinq fois). Nous avons en fait démontré que le traitement enzymatique augmente principalement la diffusion du lentivirus dans l'espace situé entre l'épithélium pigmentaire et les photorécepteurs. Le traitement à la Chondroïtinase ABC n'entraîne quant à elle qu'une légère amélioration non significative de la transduction. Cette étude montre qu'une meilleure connaissance de l'IPM ainsi que des substances capables de la modifier (enzymes, drogues etc.) pourrait aider à élaborer de nouvelles stratégies afin d'améliorer la distribution de vecteurs viraux dans la rétine adulte.

Kinetic equations for difussion in the presence of entropic barriers

We use the mesoscopic nonequilibrium thermodynamics theory to derive the general kinetic equation of a system in the presence of potential barriers. The result is applied to a description of the evolution of systems whose dynamics is influenced by entropic barriers. We analyze in detail the case of diffusion in a domain of irregular geometry in which the presence of the boundaries induces an entropy barrier when approaching the exact dynamics by a coarsening of the description. The corresponding kinetic equation, named the Fick-Jacobs equation, is obtained, and its validity is generalized through the formulation of a scaling law for the diffusion coefficient which depends on the shape of the boundaries. The method we propose can be useful to analyze the dynamics of systems at the nanoscale where the presence of entropy barriers is a common feature.

Psoriasis triggered by toll-like receptor 7 agonist imiquimod in the presence of dermal plasmacytoid dendritic cell precursors.

BACKGROUND: It has been proposed that the innate immune system plays a central role in driving the autoimmune T-cell cascade leading to psoriasis; however, there is no direct evidence for this. OBSERVATIONS: We observed aggravation and spreading of a psoriatic plaque when treated topically with the toll-like receptor (TLR) 7 agonist imiquimod. The exacerbation of psoriasis was accompanied by a massive induction of lesional type I interferon activity, detected by MxA expression after imiquimod therapy. Since imiquimod induces large amounts of type I interferon production from TLR7-expressing plasmacytoid dendritic cell precursors (PDCs), the natural interferon-producing cells of the peripheral blood, we asked whether PDCs are present in psoriatic skin. We identified high numbers of PDCs in psoriatic skin lesions (up to 16% of the total dermal infiltrate) based on their coexpression of BDCA2 and CD123. By contrast, PDCs were present at very low levels in atopic dermatitis and not detected in normal human skin. CONCLUSIONS: This study shows that psoriasis can be driven by the innate immune system through TLR ligation. Furthermore, our finding that large numbers of PDCs infiltrate psoriatic skin suggests a role of lesional PDCs as type I interferon-producing targets for the TLR7 agonist imiquimod.

Correlations between Vocal Input and Visual Response Apparently Enhance Presence in a Virtual Environment

This work investigates novel alternative means of interaction in a virtual environment (VE).We analyze whether humans can remap established body functions to learn to interact with digital information in an environment that is cross-sensory by nature and uses vocal utterances in order to influence (abstract) virtual objects. We thus establish a correlation among learning, control of the interface, and the perceived sense of presence in the VE. The application enables intuitive interaction by mapping actions (the prosodic aspects of the human voice) to a certain response (i.e., visualization). A series of single-user and multiuser studies shows that users can gain control of the intuitive interface and learn to adapt to new and previously unseen tasks in VEs. Despite the abstract nature of the presented environment, presence scores were generally very high.

The JNK inhibitor XG-102 protects from ischemic damage with delayed intravenous administration also in the presence of recombinant tissue plasminogen activator.

BACKGROUND: XG-102 (formerly D-JNKI1), a TAT-coupled dextrogyre peptide which selectively inhibits the c-Jun N-terminal kinase, is a powerful neuroprotectant in mouse models of middle cerebral artery occlusion (MCAo) with delayed intracerebroventricular injection. We aimed to determine whether this neuroprotection could also be achieved by intravenous injection of XG-102, which is a more feasible approach for future use in stroke patients. We also tested the compatibility of the compound with recombinant tissue plasminogen activator (rtPA), commonly used for intravenous thrombolysis and known to enhance excitotoxicity. METHODS: Male ICR-CD1 mice were subjected to a 30-min-suture MCAo. XG-102 was injected intravenously in a single dose, 6 h after ischemia. Hippocampal slice cultures were subjected to oxygen (5%) and glucose (1 mM) deprivation for 30 min. rtPA was added after ischemia and before XG-102 administration, both in vitro and in vivo. RESULTS: The lowest intravenous dose achieving neuroprotection was 0.0003 mg/kg, which reduced the infarct volume after 48 h from 62 +/- 19 mm(3) (n = 18) for the vehicle-treated group to 18 +/- 9 mm(3) (n = 5, p < 0.01). The behavioral outcome was also significantly improved at two doses. Addition of rtPA after ischemia enhanced the ischemic damage both in vitro and in vivo, but XG-102 was still able to induce a significant neuroprotection. CONCLUSIONS: A single intravenous administration of XG-102 several hours after ischemia induces a powerful neuroprotection. XG-102 protects from ischemic damage in the presence of rtPA. The feasibility of systemic administration of this promising compound and its compatibility with rtPA are important steps for its development as a drug candidate in ischemic stroke.

Increased Presence of FOXP3+ Regulatory T Cells in Inflamed Muscle of Patients with Active Juvenile Dermatomyositis Compared to Peripheral Blood.

Juvenile dermatomyositis (JDM) is an immune-mediated inflammatory disease affecting the microvasculature of skin and muscle. CD4+CD25+FOXP3+ regulatory T cells (Tregs) are key regulators of immune homeostasis. A role for Tregs in JDM pathogenesis has not yet been established. Here, we explored Treg presence and function in peripheral blood and muscle of JDM patients. We analyzed number, phenotype and function of Tregs in blood from JDM patients by flow cytometry and in vitro suppression assays, in comparison to healthy controls and disease controls (Duchenne's Muscular Dystrophy). Presence of Tregs in muscle was analyzed by immunohistochemistry. Overall, Treg percentages in peripheral blood of JDM patients were similar compared to both control groups. Muscle biopsies of new onset JDM patients showed increased infiltration of numbers of T cells compared to Duchenne's muscular dystrophy. Both in JDM and Duchenne's muscular dystrophy the proportion of FOXP3+ T cells in muscles were increased compared to JDM peripheral blood. Interestingly, JDM is not a self-remitting disease, suggesting that the high proportion of Tregs in inflamed muscle do not suppress inflammation. In line with this, peripheral blood Tregs of active JDM patients were less capable of suppressing effector T cell activation in vitro, compared to Tregs of JDM in clinical remission. These data show a functional impairment of Tregs in a proportion of patients with active disease, and suggest a regulatory role for Tregs in JDM inflammation.

How we experience immersive virtual environments: the concept of presence and its measurement

This paper reviews the concept of presence in immersive virtual environments, the sense of being there signalled by people acting and responding realistically to virtual situations and events. We argue that presence is a unique phenomenon that must be distinguished from the degree of engagement, involvement in the portrayed environment. We argue that there are three necessary conditions for presence: the (a) consistent low latency sensorimotor loop between sensory data and proprioception; (b) statistical plausibility: images must be statistically plausible in relation to the probability distribution of images over natural scenes. A constraint on this plausibility is the level of immersion;(c) behaviour-response correlations: Presence may be enhanced and maintained over time by appropriate correlations between the state and behaviour of participants and responses within the environment, correlations that show appropriate responses to the activity of the participants. We conclude with a discussion of methods for assessing whether presence occurs, and in particular recommend the approach of comparison with ground truth and give some examples of this.

Lorsque le patient obèse ne perd pas de poids ou continue a en prendre... [When the obese patient can't lose any weight or keeps putting some on].

The traditional obesity treatments have proven to be ineffective in the long-term. The presence of eating disorders frequently explains this phenomena. Eating educational and behavioral aspects must be addressed in a practical way so that patients could gradually become aware of their behavior towards food as well as internal sensations associated with hunger, satiety, craving and pleasure. Finally, the link between emotions and compulsive eating behaviors during and between meals is an essential aspect that the general practitioner can help the patient to understand. A specialized psychological treatment can then be considered when the patient shows sufficient motivation and consciousness.

Towards Machine Consciousness: Grounding Abstract Models as pi-Processes

We present a two-level model of concurrent communicating systems (CCS) to serve as a basis formachine consciousness. A language implementing threads within logic programming is ¯rstintroduced. This high-level framework allows for the de¯nition of abstract processes that can beexecuted on a virtual machine. We then look for a possible grounding of these processes into thebrain. Towards this end, we map abstract de¯nitions (including logical expressions representingcompiled knowledge) into a variant of the pi-calculus. We illustrate this approach through aseries of examples extending from a purely reactive behavior to patterns of consciousness.

Behavioral changes in brain-injured critical care adults with different levels of consciousness during nociceptive stimulation: an observational study.

PURPOSE: The primary objective of this study was to describe the frequency of behaviors observed during rest, a non-nociceptive procedure, and a nociceptive procedure in brain-injured intensive care unit (ICU) patients with different levels of consciousness (LOC). Second, it examined the inter-rater reliability and discriminant and concurrent validity of the behavioral checklist used. METHODS: The non-nociceptive procedure involved calling the patient and shaking his/her shoulder. The nociceptive procedure involved turning the patient. The frequency of behaviors was recorded using a behavioral checklist. RESULTS: Patients with absence of movement, or stereotyped flexion or extension responses to a nociceptive stimulus displayed more behaviors during turning (median 5.5, range 0-14) than patients with localized responses (median 4, range 0-10) or able to self-report their pain (median 4, range 0-10). Face flushing, clenched teeth, clenched fist, and tremor were more frequent in patients with absence of movement, or stereotyped responses to a nociceptive stimulus. The reliability of the checklist was supported by a high intra-class correlation coefficient (0.77-0.92), and the internal consistency was acceptable in all three groups (KR 20, 0.71-0.85). Discriminant validity was supported as significantly more behaviors were observed during nociceptive stimulation than at rest. Concurrent validity was confirmed as checklist scores were correlated to the patients' self-reports of pain (r s = 0.53; 95 % CI 0.21-0.75). CONCLUSION: Brain-injured patients reacted significantly more during a nociceptive stimulus and the number of observed behaviors was higher in patients with a stereotyped response.