Statistical modelling of extreme rainfall in Madeira Island

Extreme rainfall events have triggered a significant number of flash floods in Madeira Island along its past and recent history. Madeira is a volcanic island where the spatial rainfall distribution is strongly affected by its rugged topography. In this thesis, annual maximum of daily rainfall data from 25 rain gauge stations located in Madeira Island were modelled by the generalised extreme value distribution. Also, the hypothesis of a Gumbel distribution was tested by two methods and the existence of a linear trend in both distributions parameters was analysed. Estimates for the 50– and 100–year return levels were also obtained. Still in an univariate context, the assumption that a distribution function belongs to the domain of attraction of an extreme value distribution for monthly maximum rainfall data was tested for the rainy season. The available data was then analysed in order to find the most suitable domain of attraction for the sampled distribution. In a different approach, a search for thresholds was also performed for daily rainfall values through a graphical analysis. In a multivariate context, a study was made on the dependence between extreme rainfall values from the considered stations based on Kendall’s τ measure. This study suggests the influence of factors such as altitude, slope orientation, distance between stations and their proximity of the sea on the spatial distribution of extreme rainfall. Groups of three pairwise associated stations were also obtained and an adjustment was made to a family of extreme value copulas involving the Marshall–Olkin family, whose parameters can be written as a function of Kendall’s τ association measures of the obtained pairs.

Color measurement using a smartphone applied to Madeira wines

Computer vision is a field that uses techniques to acquire, process, analyze and understand images from the real world in order to produce numeric or symbolic information in the form of decisions [1]. This project aims to use computer vision to prepare an app to analyze a Madeira Wine and characterize it (identify its variety) by its color. Dry or sweet wines, young or old wines have a specific color. It uses techniques to compare histograms in order to analyze the images taken from a test sample inside a special container designed for this purpose. The color analysis from a wine sample using an image captured by a smartphone can be difficult. Many factors affect the captured image such as, light conditions, the background of the sample container due to the many positions the photo can be taken (different to capture facing a white wall or facing the floor for example). Using new technologies such as 3D printing it was possible to create a prototype that aims to control the effect of those external factors on the captured image. The results for this experiment are good indicators for future works. Although it’s necessary to do more tests, the first tests had a success rate of 80% to 90% of correct results. This report documents the development of this project and all the techniques and steps required to execute the tests.

Olfactory perception threshold assessment of volatile acidity in Madeira wines

Madeira wine is a fortified wine with impact in the Madeira Island’s economy. Similarly to other wines, its acidity should be well controlled in order to ensure Madeira wine quality, mostly the volatile acidity. Due to Madeira wine complex flavour, it is crucial to get a better knowledge about the volatile acidity impact in its features, namely determine the perception limit of acetic acid and ethyl acetate, as both are the main contributors for volatile acidity. Firstly, the olfactory perception threshold of volatile acidity was assessed by a trained and an untrained panel, using 5 and 10 years-old Sercial and Malvasia wines. Moreover, the current work also presents the evolution of organic acids, acetic acid and ethyl acetate during 540 days of ageing of Madeira wines (Malvasia, Bual, Verdelho and Sercial), comparing the same wines aged by both traditional ageing processes: canteiro and estufagem. Other wine samples, aged in wood casks (canteiro) for at least 5 years, were also evaluated. HS-SPME followed by GC-MS analysis was used to determine ethyl acetate concentration and IEC-HPLC-DAD was used for the organic acids determination, including acetic acid. The results indicated that acetic acid and ethyl acetate olfactory perception threshold depends essentially on wine’s age. Concerning acetic acid, the untrained panel was in average 5.45 g/L (5 years-old) and 6.22 g/L (10 years-old). Training the expert panel to recognize acetic acid odour, the values decreased for 1.44 g/L (5 years-old) and 1.87 g/L (10 years-old), but still remained higher than the established volatile acidity legal limits. Ethyl acetate threshold was similar for both panels (in average 327.97 mg/L). Both compounds tend to increase exponentially with age, being more evident in sweet wines. Organic acids in young Madeira wines depend mostly on the nature of grape varieties, but this difference is minimized with wine ageing.

Projeto de um protótipo de um veículo elétrico

Os veículos movidos com combustíveis fósseis são, hoje em dia, os veículos mais utilizados em transportes. Estes meios de transporte caracterizam-se pelo seu baixo rendimento e por serem poluentes, pelo que, nos últimos anos, tem havido um esforço em criar ou melhorar meios de transporte, através do aumento do seu rendimento e eliminando a emissão de poluentes. A utilização de máquinas elétricas como meio de locomoção é uma das soluções alternativas, uma vez que, estas apresentam um rendimento elevado e não emitem diretamente gases tóxicos, apesar das baterias serem uma das principais dificuldades, no que diz respeito à relação peso/densidade de energia. Por outro lado, as baterias, devido à sua capacidade de armazenamento de energia, podem ser utilizadas para armazenar energia da rede elétrica, contribuindo para uma melhor gestão, e também para armazenar num veículo elétrico a energia gerada em modo de travagem e que posteriormente pode ser utilizada para fazer mover o motor elétrico. Neste trabalho fez-se um projeto de um veículo elétrico (VE) e estudou-se o impacto da utilização em massa de veículos elétricos na gestão da rede de energia elétrica. A verificação experimental fez-se com um conversor DC/DC bidirecional com uma configuração em ponte H e com um conversor DC/DC redutor unidirecional. Utilizaram-se compensadores clássicos para, em malha fechada, regular o binário, a velocidade e a corrente, através de compensadores Proporcional Integrativo (PI) e Proporcional Integrativo Derivativo (PID). No desenvolvimento deste projeto, fez-se uma análise teórica, realizaram-se simulações na ferramenta MATLAB/Simulink onde foram criados modelos do veículo elétrico para verificar o seu comportamento, e seguidamente analisaram-se experimentalmente estes resultados. O controlo deste veículo foi feito com a utilização de microcontroladores de baixo custo, recorrendo a uma arquitetura de processamento distribuído/partilhado, constituindo esse estudo uma nova contribuição. Os resultados demonstraram que o rendimento dos veículos elétricos em média encontram-se nos 85-90 %, superior aos atuais 40% dos veículos a combustão interna, eliminando também a emissão de poluentes.

Estudo de soluções de monitorização automática de ribeiras para prevenção do risco de aluviões

As aluviões, também denominadas por fluxos de detritos ou enxurradas, são movimentos de vertente rápidos, que ocorrem por ação da água e são consideradas um dos fenómenos mais perigosos em regiões montanhosas, causando prejuízos por onde passam. Como forma de prevenção, mas também como forma de estudo das condições inerentes à formação destes fenómenos e do respetivo comportamento ao longo do seu percurso, deve ser atribuído um papel importante à monitorização automática dos cursos de água. Na Ilha da Madeira, a aluvião mais recente aconteceu a 20 de fevereiro de 2010, afetando os concelhos da vertente Sul, particularmente os do Funchal e Ribeira Brava. Este evento surgiu devido a uma situação meteorológica adversa, com precipitações de elevada intensidade, resultando no transporte de um elevado volume de material sólido que levou ao transbordamento das ribeiras, obstruindo completamente a baixa funchalense e outros locais. Portanto, esta dissertação surge como introdução à temática do estudo e monitorização dos fluxos de detritos na Ilha da Madeira, onde, inicialmente, foi realizada uma primeira abordagem ao fenómeno, referindo as suas causas e características, tendo sido, também, mencionadas algumas das aluviões que assolaram a ilha. Posteriormente, foram descritos alguns dos equipamentos incluídos num sistema de monitorização, com as respetivas vantagens e desvantagens, bem como a descrição de alguns sistemas existentes. Como objetivo deste trabalho, foi idealizada uma solução de monitorização automática para a bacia hidrográfica da Ribeira de Machico, tendo sido analisadas as propriedades morfológicas da bacia, seguindo-se uma descrição dos sensores utilizados e a sua localização. Por fim, como caso de estudo, foi apresentado o sistema de monitorização a ser implementado pelo LREC (Laboratório Regional de Engenharia Civil), onde foram definidos os aparelhos utilizados, bem como a respetiva localização.

Caracterização, simulação (à escala) e modelação do escoamento em canais artificiais: aplicação a caso de estudo

Os escoamentos no interior de zonas urbanas, apresentam grande heterogeneidade, pelo que a sua caracterização, requer uma formulação que incorpore explicitamente essa variabilidade espacial. A caracterização, simulação (à escala) e modelação do escoamento em canais artificiais e a aplicação a um caso de estudo, no Laboratório de Hidráulica da UMa, representa o cerne desta dissertação. Os objetivos principais desta dissertação são: a caracterização e desenvolvimento de ferramentas de simulação do comportamento do escoamento em canais artificiais, no caso de uma variação súbita dos caudais afluentes, mecanismos de prevenção de cheia; o desenvolvimento de um modelo de simulação hidrodinâmico, considerando os escoamentos variáveis em superfície livre no caso de situações de cheia, na simulação entre as condições variáveis das afluências, das condições hidromorfológicas do canal e da instalação e operação dos sistemas e regulação dos escoamentos; e ainda a análise da viabilidade da simulação (modelo) na gestão e prevenção de cheias em canais artificiais. Numa primeira instância, procede-se à recolha de toda a informação bibliográfica disponível. Com recurso aos modelos digitais do terreno e ao programa ArcGis, é efetuada toda uma exaustiva caracterização da bacia hidrográfica, relativa ao caso de estudo (canal artificial), a partir da qual foi possível obter os dados inerentes às características geométricas, características de relevo e características de drenagem. Segue-se a análise da precipitação com recurso a folhas de cálculo e dados fornecidos pelas instituições pertinentes, de forma a obter valores de precipitação média diária e anual para aplicação de fórmulas, tanto para calcular valores de tempo de concentração, bem como caudais. O próximo passo é selecionar os troços relevantes do canal em estudo e com recurso ao equipamento disponível no Laboratório de Hidráulica da UMa, à folha de cálculo programada e ao programa HEC-RAS procede-se à simulação/modelação/análise desses troços, comparando o resultado/comportamento simulado, com o expectável e entre os vários métodos. Por fim, são expostas as conclusões, bem como algumas considerações finais e uma listagem de objetivos a manter ou alcançar nos próximos anos, onde se incluem, ações prioritárias e recomendações visando, não só melhorar o processo de caracterização do escoamento em canais artificiais, bem como simplificar a prevenção e gestão de cheias.

Relationship between antioxidant capacity and total phenolic content of red, rosé and white wines

Phenolic compounds are one of the most important quality parameters of wines, since they contribute to wine organoleptic characteristics such as colour, astringency, and bitterness. Furthermore, several studies have pointed out that many show biological properties of interest, related to their antioxidant capacity. This antioxidant activity has been thoroughly studied and a wide variety of methods have been developed to evaluate it. In this study, the antioxidant activity of commercial Terras Madeirenses Portuguese wines (Madeira Island) was measured by three different analytical methods: [1,1-diphenyl-2-picrylhydrazyl (DPPH) radical scavenging assay, 2,2′-azino-bis-(3-ethylbenzothiazoline-6-sulfonic acid (ABTSradical dot+)) radical cation decolourisation, and ferric reducing/antioxidant power (FRAP) for the evaluation of reducing power (PR) and correlate them with the total phenolic content determined with the Folin–Ciocalteu’s reagent using gallic acid as a standard. The total polyphenol concentration was found to vary from 252 to 1936 mg/l gallic acid equivalents (GAE). The antiradical activity varied from 0.042 to 0.715 mM Trolox equivalents and the antioxidant capacity varied from 344 to 1105 mg/l gallic acid equivalents (GAE). For the reduction power we obtained 3.45–3.86 mM quercetin equivalents.

Comparative study of the whisky aroma profile based on headspace solid phase microextraction using different fibre coatings

A dynamic headspace solid-phase microextraction (HS-SPME) and gas chromatography coupled to ion trap mass spectrometry (GC–ITMS) method was developed and applied for the qualitative determination of the volatile compounds present in commercial whisky samples which alcoholic content was previously adjusted to 13% (v/v). Headspace SPME experimental conditions, such as fibre coating, extraction temperature and extraction time, were optimized in order to improve the extraction process. Five different SPME fibres were used in this study, namely, poly(dimethylsiloxane)(PDMS),poly(acrylate)(PA),Carboxen-poly(dimethylsiloxane)(CAR/PDMS),Carbowax-divinylbenzene(CW/DVB)and Carboxen-poly(dimethylsiloxane)-divinylbenzene (CAR/PDMS/DVB). The best results were obtained using a 75 m CAR/PDMS fibre during headspace extraction at 40◦C with stirring at 750rpm for 60min, after saturating the samples with salt. The optimised methodology was then appliedtoinvestigatethevolatilecompositionprofileofthreeScotchwhiskysamples—BlackLabel,BallantinesandHighlandClan.Approximately seventy volatile compounds were identified in the these samples, pertaining at several chemical groups, mainly fatty acids ethyl esters, higher alcohols, fatty acids, carbonyl compounds, monoterpenols, C13 norisoprenoids and some volatile phenols. The ethyl esters form an essential group of aroma components in whisky, to which they confer a pleasant aroma, with “fruity” odours. Qualitatively, the isoamyl acetate, with “banana” aroma,wasthemostinteresting.Quantitatively,significantcomponentsareethylestersofcaprilic,capricandlauricacids.Thehighestconcentration of fatty acids, were observed for caprilic and capric acids. From the higher alcohols the fusel oils (3-methylbutan-1-ol and 2.phenyletanol) are the most important ones.

Screening of volatile composition from portuguese multifloral honeys using headspace solid-phase microextraction-gas chromatography–quadrupole mass spectrometry

The volatile composition from four types of multifloral Portuguese (produced in Madeira Island) honeys was investigated by a suitable analytical procedure based on dynamic headspace solid-phase microextraction (HS-SPME) followed by thermal desorption gas chromatography–quadrupole mass spectrometry detection (GC–qMS). The performance of five commercially available SPME fibres: 100 μm polydimethylsiloxane, PDMS; 85 μm polyacrylate, PA; 50/30 μm divinylbenzene/carboxen on polydimethylsiloxane, DVB/CAR/PDMS (StableFlex); 75 μm carboxen/polydimethylsiloxane, CAR/PDMS, and 65 μm carbowax/divinylbenzene, CW/DVB; were evaluated and compared. The highest amounts of extract, in terms of the maximum signal obtained for the total volatile composition, were obtained with a DVB/CAR/PDMS coating fibre at 60 °C during an extraction time of 40 min with a constant stirring at 750 rpm, after saturating the sample with NaCl (30%). Using this methodology more than one hundred volatile compounds, belonging to different biosynthetic pathways were identified, including monoterpenols, C13-norisoprenoids, sesquiterpenes, higher alcohols, ethyl esters and fatty acids. The main components of the HS-SPME samples of honey were in average ethanol, hotrienol, benzeneacetaldehyde, furfural, trans-linalool oxide and 1,3-dihydroxy-2-propanone.

Comparison of two extraction methods for evaluation of volatile constituents patterns in commercial whiskeys: Elucidation of the main odour-active compounds

An analytical procedure based on manual dynamic headspace solid-phase microextraction (HS-SPME) method and the conventional extraction method by liquid–liquid extraction (LLE), were compared for their effectiveness in the extraction and quantification of volatile compounds from commercial whiskey samples. Seven extraction solvents covering a wide range of polarities and two SPME fibres coatings, has been evaluated. The highest amounts extracted, were achieved using dichloromethane (CH2Cl2) by LLE method (LLECH2Cl2)(LLECH2Cl2) and using a CAR/PDMS fibre (SPMECAR/PDMS) in HS-SPME. Each method was used to determine the responses of 25 analytes from whiskeys and calibration standards, in order to provide sensitivity comparisons between the two methods. Calibration curves were established in a synthetic whiskey and linear correlation coefficient (r ) were greater than 0.9929 for LLECH2Cl2LLECH2Cl2 and 0.9935 for SPMECAR/PDMS, for all target compounds. Recoveries greater than 80% were achieved. For most compounds, precision (expressed by relative standard deviation, R.S.D.) are very good, with R.S.D. values lower than 14.78% for HS-SPME method and than 19.42% for LLE method. The detection limits ranged from 0.13 to 19.03 μg L−1 for SPME procedure and from 0.50 to 12.48 μg L−1 for LLE. A tentative study to estimate the contribution of a specific compound to the aroma of a whiskey, on the basis of their odour activity values (OAV) was made. Ethyl octanoate followed by isoamyl acetate and isobutyl alcohol, were found the most potent odour-active compounds.

Changes in volatile composition of Madeira wines during their oxidative ageing

The influence of the age in the volatile composition of Madeira wines made with Boal, Malvazia, Sercial and Verdelho varieties and aged in oak barrel during 1, 11 and 25 years old was been studied. For this purpose, the evolution of volatile compounds: higher alcohols, ethyl esters, fatty acids, furan compounds, enolic compounds, γ-lactones, dioxanes and dioxolanes, of the four most utilised varieties were determined using liquid–liquid extraction with dichloromeihane. Octan-3-ol was used as internal standard. The wines made with these varieties showed great differences in sugar content and small variations on pH and alcoholic degree. The results show that during ageing, the concentration of fatty acids ethyl esters, acetates and fatty acids decrease significantly contrarily to the great increase of ethyl esters of diprotic acids. There is a strong correlation between sotolon, 2-furfural, 5-methyl-2-furfural, 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural and 5-ethoxymethyl-2-furfural with wine ageing. These findings indicate that these compounds can be used as ageing wine markers. Among the molecules studied, sotolon [3-hydroxy-4,5-dimethyl-2(5H)-furanone] was one of the few molecules present in concentrations above the perception threshold in Madeira wines. 5-Eihoxymethyl-2-furfural formed from 5-hydroxymethyl-2-furfural and 2-furfural, derived from sugars, are also involved in the aroma of sweet fortified white wines aged in oxidative conditions. The sensory properties change significantly after long periods of conservation.

Analytical characterization of the aroma of Tinta Negra Mole red wine: Identification of the main odorants compounds

A method for the simultaneous determination of major and minor volatiles composition in different types (dry, medium dry, sweet and medium sweet) of a young Tinta Negra Mole (TNM) monovarietal red wine from 2003 harvest has been validated. Wine samples preparation includes a dichloromethane liquid–liquid extraction followed by concentration under a nitrogen atmosphere. The extracted fraction was analysed by gas chromatography–mass spectrometry and give quantitative information for more than 86 analytes whose concentration range from few μg l−1 to 259.1 mg l−1. The method enables high recovery of volatile compounds in wine good linearity with (r2) values higher than 0.980 and good sensitivity. The limits of detection range from 0.003 to 0.534 mg l−1 and limits of quantification from 0.009 to 1.170 mg l−1. The method allows satisfactory determination of more than 80 compounds in the TNM red wines. These wines are characterized by a high content of higher alcohols, ethyl esters, fatty acids and lactones. The levels of sulphur compounds in Tinta Negra Mole medium sweet wines are very low, but they have the highest concentration of carbonyl compounds. Quantitative analysis of the main odorants followed by the determination of aroma index allow us elucidate the aroma of these varieties. On the basis of their odour description and odour threshold, the most powerful odorants of Tinta Negra Mole wines were tentatively established.

Multivariate analysis for the classification and differentiation of Madeira wines according to main grape varieties

In order to differentiate and characterize Madeira wines according to main grape varieties, the volatile composition (higher alcohols, fatty acids, ethyl esters and carbonyl compounds) was determined for 36 monovarietal Madeira wine samples elaborated from Boal, Malvazia, Sercial and Verdelho white grape varieties. The study was carried out by headspace solid-phase microextraction technique (HS-SPME), in dynamic mode, coupled with gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC–MS). Corrected peak area data for 42 analytes from the above mentioned chemical groups was used for statistical purposes. Principal component analysis (PCA) was applied in order to determine the main sources of variability present in the data sets and to establish the relation between samples (objects) and volatile compounds (variables). The data obtained by GC–MS shows that the most important contributions to the differentiation of Boal wines are benzyl alcohol and (E)-hex-3-en-1-ol. Ethyl octadecanoate, (Z)-hex-3-en-1-ol and benzoic acid are the major contributions in Malvazia wines and 2-methylpropan-1-ol is associated to Sercial wines. Verdelho wines are most correlated with 5-(ethoxymethyl)-furfural, nonanone and cis-9-ethyldecenoate. A 96.4% of prediction ability was obtained by the application of stepwise linear discriminant analysis (SLDA) using the 19 variables that maximise the variance of the initial data set.

Classification of Boal, Malvazia, Sercial and Verdelho wines based on terpenoid patterns

Thirty-six Madeira wine samples from Boal, Malvazia, Sercial and Verdelho white grape varieties were analyzed in order to estimate the free fraction of monoterpenols and C13 norisoprenoids (terpenoid compounds) using dynamic headspace solid phase micro-extraction (HS-SPME) technique coupled with gas chromatography–mass spectrometry (GC–MS). The average values from three vintages (1998–2000) show that these wines have characteristic profiles of terpenoid compounds. Malvazia wines exhibits the highest values of total free monoterpenols, contrary to Verdelho wines which had the lowest levels of terpenoids but produced the highest concentration of farnesol. The use of multivariate analysis techniques allows establishing relations between the compounds and the varieties under investigation. Principal component analysis (PCA) and linear discriminant analysis (LDA) were applied to the obtained matrix data. A good separation and classification power between the four groups as a function of their varietal origin was observed.