982 resultados para ge-dependent branching processes


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In this paper, we indicate how integer-valued autoregressive time series Ginar(d) of ordre d, d ≥ 1, are simple functionals of multitype branching processes with immigration. This allows the derivation of a simple criteria for the existence of a stationary distribution of the time series, thus proving and extending some results by Al-Osh and Alzaid [1], Du and Li [9] and Gauthier and Latour [11]. One can then transfer results on estimation in subcritical multitype branching processes to stationary Ginar(d) and get consistency and asymptotic normality for the corresponding estimators. The technique covers autoregressive moving average time series as well.

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Multitype branching processes (MTBP) model branching structures, where the nodes of the resulting tree are particles of different types. Usually such a process is not observable in the sense of the whole tree, but only as the “generation” at a given moment in time, which consists of the number of particles of every type. This requires an EM-type algorithm to obtain a maximum likelihood (ML) estimate of the parameters of the branching process. Using a version of the inside-outside algorithm for stochastic context-free grammars (SCFG), such an estimate could be obtained for the offspring distribution of the process.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80.

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These lecture notes are devoted to present several uses of Large Deviation asymptotics in Branching Processes.

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A computer code system for simulation and estimation of branching processes is proposed. Using the system, samples for some models with or without migration are generated. Over these samples we compare some properties of various estimators.

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The classical Bienaymé-Galton-Watson (BGW) branching process can be interpreted as mathematical model of population dynamics when the members of an isolated population reproduce themselves independently of each other according to a stochastic law.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 60J85, 62P10, 92D25.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 62M05.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80, 62P05.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classification: 60J80.

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2000 Mathematics Subject Classi cation: 60J80.