Hierarchical Prediction Machines and Big Data Analytics

An emerging consensus in cognitive science views the biological brain as a hierarchically-organized predictive processing system. This is a system in which higher-order regions are continuously attempting to predict the activity of lower-order regions at a variety of (increasingly abstract) spatial and temporal scales. The brain is thus revealed as a hierarchical prediction machine that is constantly engaged in the effort to predict the flow of information originating from the sensory surfaces. Such a view seems to afford a great deal of explanatory leverage when it comes to a broad swathe of seemingly disparate psychological phenomena (e.g., learning, memory, perception, action, emotion, planning, reason, imagination, and conscious experience). In the most positive case, the predictive processing story seems to provide our first glimpse at what a unified (computationally-tractable and neurobiological plausible) account of human psychology might look like. This obviously marks out one reason why such models should be the focus of current empirical and theoretical attention. Another reason, however, is rooted in the potential of such models to advance the current state-of-the-art in machine intelligence and machine learning. Interestingly, the vision of the brain as a hierarchical prediction machine is one that establishes contact with work that goes under the heading of 'deep learning'. Deep learning systems thus often attempt to make use of predictive processing schemes and (increasingly abstract) generative models as a means of supporting the analysis of large data sets. But are such computational systems sufficient (by themselves) to provide a route to general human-level analytic capabilities? I will argue that they are not and that closer attention to a broader range of forces and factors (many of which are not confined to the neural realm) may be required to understand what it is that gives human cognition its distinctive (and largely unique) flavour. The vision that emerges is one of 'homomimetic deep learning systems', systems that situate a hierarchically-organized predictive processing core within a larger nexus of developmental, behavioural, symbolic, technological and social influences. Relative to that vision, I suggest that we should see the Web as a form of 'cognitive ecology', one that is as much involved with the transformation of machine intelligence as it is with the progressive reshaping of our own cognitive capabilities.

Análisis de software de analítica web para medir uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos de bibliotecas universitarias

Las bibliotecas universitarias recopilan, de manera rutinaria estadísticas sobre el uso de sus colecciones impresas y de la actividad in situ. Paralelamente y de manera sostenida, han ido incorporando recursos y servicios electrónicos, lo que ha motivado la elaboración de normas internacionales que definen indicadores que permiten medir su uso, no obstante contar con un software estándar es aún un asunto pendiente. Por otro lado, para medir la actividad de un sitio web existen varios programas gratuitos y de código abierto. Este trabajo tiene como objetivo determinar si los softwares de analítica web gratuitos para sitios web AWStats, Google Analytics y Piwik, pueden utilizarse para evaluar el uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos, conforme a los indicadores propuestos por las normas ANSI/NISO Z39.7-2013, ISO 2789:2003, ISO 20983:2003, BS ISO 11620:2008, EMIS, Counter e ICOLC. Para tales efectos, fueron utilizados para realizar el análisis de esta investigación sitio web y el catálogo en línea de la Biblioteca Florentino Ameghino, Biblioteca Central de la Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo de la Universidad Nacional de la Plata, Argentina. Los resultados reflejan las características de los indicadores, el software y el caso de estudio. Estas características son abordadas en las conclusiones con el fin de darle contexto y perspectiva a la respuesta de la pregunta de si es viable medir el uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos de una biblioteca universitaria por medio de programas estadísticos para sitios web

Análisis de software de analítica web para medir uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos de bibliotecas universitarias

Las bibliotecas universitarias recopilan, de manera rutinaria estadísticas sobre el uso de sus colecciones impresas y de la actividad in situ. Paralelamente y de manera sostenida, han ido incorporando recursos y servicios electrónicos, lo que ha motivado la elaboración de normas internacionales que definen indicadores que permiten medir su uso, no obstante contar con un software estándar es aún un asunto pendiente. Por otro lado, para medir la actividad de un sitio web existen varios programas gratuitos y de código abierto. Este trabajo tiene como objetivo determinar si los softwares de analítica web gratuitos para sitios web AWStats, Google Analytics y Piwik, pueden utilizarse para evaluar el uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos, conforme a los indicadores propuestos por las normas ANSI/NISO Z39.7-2013, ISO 2789:2003, ISO 20983:2003, BS ISO 11620:2008, EMIS, Counter e ICOLC. Para tales efectos, fueron utilizados para realizar el análisis de esta investigación sitio web y el catálogo en línea de la Biblioteca Florentino Ameghino, Biblioteca Central de la Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo de la Universidad Nacional de la Plata, Argentina. Los resultados reflejan las características de los indicadores, el software y el caso de estudio. Estas características son abordadas en las conclusiones con el fin de darle contexto y perspectiva a la respuesta de la pregunta de si es viable medir el uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos de una biblioteca universitaria por medio de programas estadísticos para sitios web

Eyetracking: analisi della user interface di una pagina web

Negli ultimi vent'anni con lo sviluppo di Internet, il modo di comunicare tra le persone �è totalmente cambiato. Grazie a Internet si sono ridotte le distanze e soprattutto tramite i siti web le aziende hanno una propria vetrina sul mondo sempre accessibile. Tutto ci�ò ha portato a nuovi comportamenti da parte dei consumatori che divengono sempre pi�u esigenti nella vastità di informazioni presenti sul Web. Perciò è necessario che le web companies riescano a produrre website efficienti e usabili per favorire l'interazione con l'utente. Inoltre il web ha avuto una rapida espansione per quanto concerne le metodologie di sviluppo e analisi del comportamento del consumatore. Si cercano sempre nuovi spunti per poter acquisire quello che �è il percorso di un utente affinché porti a termine una determinata azione nel proprio dominio. Per questo motivo, oltre agli strumenti gi�à consolidati come il riempimento di questionari o il tracking per mezzo di piattaforme come Google Analytics, si �è pensato di andare oltre e cercare di analizzare ancora pi�u a fondo il "consumAttore". Grazie ad un eye-tracker �è possibile riconoscere quelli che sono i modelli cognitivi che riguardano il percorso di ricerca, valutazione e acquisto di un prodotto o una call to action, e come i contenuti di una web application influenzano l'attenzione e la user experience. Pertanto l'obiettivo che si pone questo studio �è quello di poter misurare l'engagement della navigazione utente di una web application e, nel caso fosse necessario, ottimizzare i contenuti al suo interno. Per il rilevamento delle informazioni necessarie durante l'esperimento, mi sono servito di uno strumento a supporto delle decisioni, ovvero un eye-tracker e della successiva somministrazione di questionari.

Classificazione e selezione di tecniche di visualizzazione per Big Data Analytics

La tesi presenta uno studio della libreria grafica per web D3, sviluppata in javascript, e ne presenta una catalogazione dei grafici implementati e reperibili sul web. Lo scopo è quello di valutare la libreria e studiarne i pregi e difetti per capire se sia opportuno utilizzarla nell'ambito di un progetto Europeo. Per fare questo vengono studiati i metodi di classificazione dei grafici presenti in letteratura e viene esposto e descritto lo stato dell'arte del data visualization. Viene poi descritto il metodo di classificazione proposto dal team di progettazione e catalogata la galleria di grafici presente sul sito della libreria D3. Infine viene presentato e studiato in maniera formale un algoritmo per selezionare un grafico in base alle esigenze dell'utente.

Análisis de software de analítica web para medir uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos de bibliotecas universitarias

Las bibliotecas universitarias recopilan, de manera rutinaria estadísticas sobre el uso de sus colecciones impresas y de la actividad in situ. Paralelamente y de manera sostenida, han ido incorporando recursos y servicios electrónicos, lo que ha motivado la elaboración de normas internacionales que definen indicadores que permiten medir su uso, no obstante contar con un software estándar es aún un asunto pendiente. Por otro lado, para medir la actividad de un sitio web existen varios programas gratuitos y de código abierto. Este trabajo tiene como objetivo determinar si los softwares de analítica web gratuitos para sitios web AWStats, Google Analytics y Piwik, pueden utilizarse para evaluar el uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos, conforme a los indicadores propuestos por las normas ANSI/NISO Z39.7-2013, ISO 2789:2003, ISO 20983:2003, BS ISO 11620:2008, EMIS, Counter e ICOLC. Para tales efectos, fueron utilizados para realizar el análisis de esta investigación sitio web y el catálogo en línea de la Biblioteca Florentino Ameghino, Biblioteca Central de la Facultad de Ciencias Naturales y Museo de la Universidad Nacional de la Plata, Argentina. Los resultados reflejan las características de los indicadores, el software y el caso de estudio. Estas características son abordadas en las conclusiones con el fin de darle contexto y perspectiva a la respuesta de la pregunta de si es viable medir el uso de recursos y servicios electrónicos de una biblioteca universitaria por medio de programas estadísticos para sitios web

Predictive Analytics and Decision Support for Heart Failure patients

Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2016-08

A Visual Analytics Approach to Comparing Cohorts of Event Sequences

Sequences of timestamped events are currently being generated across nearly every domain of data analytics, from e-commerce web logging to electronic health records used by doctors and medical researchers. Every day, this data type is reviewed by humans who apply statistical tests, hoping to learn everything they can about how these processes work, why they break, and how they can be improved upon. To further uncover how these processes work the way they do, researchers often compare two groups, or cohorts, of event sequences to find the differences and similarities between outcomes and processes. With temporal event sequence data, this task is complex because of the variety of ways single events and sequences of events can differ between the two cohorts of records: the structure of the event sequences (e.g., event order, co-occurring events, or frequencies of events), the attributes about the events and records (e.g., gender of a patient), or metrics about the timestamps themselves (e.g., duration of an event). Running statistical tests to cover all these cases and determining which results are significant becomes cumbersome. Current visual analytics tools for comparing groups of event sequences emphasize a purely statistical or purely visual approach for comparison. Visual analytics tools leverage humans' ability to easily see patterns and anomalies that they were not expecting, but is limited by uncertainty in findings. Statistical tools emphasize finding significant differences in the data, but often requires researchers have a concrete question and doesn't facilitate more general exploration of the data. Combining visual analytics tools with statistical methods leverages the benefits of both approaches for quicker and easier insight discovery. Integrating statistics into a visualization tool presents many challenges on the frontend (e.g., displaying the results of many different metrics concisely) and in the backend (e.g., scalability challenges with running various metrics on multi-dimensional data at once). I begin by exploring the problem of comparing cohorts of event sequences and understanding the questions that analysts commonly ask in this task. From there, I demonstrate that combining automated statistics with an interactive user interface amplifies the benefits of both types of tools, thereby enabling analysts to conduct quicker and easier data exploration, hypothesis generation, and insight discovery. The direct contributions of this dissertation are: (1) a taxonomy of metrics for comparing cohorts of temporal event sequences, (2) a statistical framework for exploratory data analysis with a method I refer to as high-volume hypothesis testing (HVHT), (3) a family of visualizations and guidelines for interaction techniques that are useful for understanding and parsing the results, and (4) a user study, five long-term case studies, and five short-term case studies which demonstrate the utility and impact of these methods in various domains: four in the medical domain, one in web log analysis, two in education, and one each in social networks, sports analytics, and security. My dissertation contributes an understanding of how cohorts of temporal event sequences are commonly compared and the difficulties associated with applying and parsing the results of these metrics. It also contributes a set of visualizations, algorithms, and design guidelines for balancing automated statistics with user-driven analysis to guide users to significant, distinguishing features between cohorts. This work opens avenues for future research in comparing two or more groups of temporal event sequences, opening traditional machine learning and data mining techniques to user interaction, and extending the principles found in this dissertation to data types beyond temporal event sequences.

Un repositorio RDF para la Integración de Flujos de Datos de Analítica Web y Comercio Electrónico

La Analítica Web supone hoy en día una tarea ineludible para las empresas de comercio electrónico, ya que les permite analizar el comportamiento de sus clientes. El proyecto Europeo SME-Ecompass tiene como objetivo desarrollar herramientas avanzadas de analítica web accesibles para las PYMES. Con esta motivación, proponemos un servicio de integración de datos basado en ontologías para recopilar, integrar y almacenar información de traza web procedente de distintas fuentes.Estas se consolidan en un repositorio RDF diseñado para proporcionar semántica común a los datos de análisis y dar servicio homogéneo a algoritmos de Minería de Datos. El servicio propuesto se ha validado mediante traza digital real (Google Analitics y Piwik) de 15 tiendas virtuales de diferentes sectores y países europeos (UK, España, Grecia y Alemania) durante varios meses de actividad.

Iis--integrated Interactome System: A Web-based Platform For The Annotation, Analysis And Visualization Of Protein-metabolite-gene-drug Interactions By Integrating A Variety Of Data Sources And Tools.

High-throughput screening of physical, genetic and chemical-genetic interactions brings important perspectives in the Systems Biology field, as the analysis of these interactions provides new insights into protein/gene function, cellular metabolic variations and the validation of therapeutic targets and drug design. However, such analysis depends on a pipeline connecting different tools that can automatically integrate data from diverse sources and result in a more comprehensive dataset that can be properly interpreted. We describe here the Integrated Interactome System (IIS), an integrative platform with a web-based interface for the annotation, analysis and visualization of the interaction profiles of proteins/genes, metabolites and drugs of interest. IIS works in four connected modules: (i) Submission module, which receives raw data derived from Sanger sequencing (e.g. two-hybrid system); (ii) Search module, which enables the user to search for the processed reads to be assembled into contigs/singlets, or for lists of proteins/genes, metabolites and drugs of interest, and add them to the project; (iii) Annotation module, which assigns annotations from several databases for the contigs/singlets or lists of proteins/genes, generating tables with automatic annotation that can be manually curated; and (iv) Interactome module, which maps the contigs/singlets or the uploaded lists to entries in our integrated database, building networks that gather novel identified interactions, protein and metabolite expression/concentration levels, subcellular localization and computed topological metrics, GO biological processes and KEGG pathways enrichment. This module generates a XGMML file that can be imported into Cytoscape or be visualized directly on the web. We have developed IIS by the integration of diverse databases following the need of appropriate tools for a systematic analysis of physical, genetic and chemical-genetic interactions. IIS was validated with yeast two-hybrid, proteomics and metabolomics datasets, but it is also extendable to other datasets. IIS is freely available online at: http://www.lge.ibi.unicamp.br/lnbio/IIS/.

Acessibilidade dos sítios web dos governos estaduais brasileiros: uma análise quantitativa entre 1996 e 2007

A utilização da web para a disponibilização de informações e serviços de órgãos governamentais para os cidadãos tem se tornado cada vez mais expressiva. Assim, a garantia de que esses conteúdos e serviços possam ser acessíveis a qualquer cidadão é imprescindível, independentemente de necessidades especiais ou de quaisquer outras barreiras. No Brasil, o Decreto-Lei nº5.296/2004 determinou que todos os órgãos governamentais deveriam adaptar seus sítios na web de acordo com critérios de acessibilidade até dezembro de 2005. Com o objetivo de verificar a evolução da acessibilidade ao longo dos anos e como foi o impacto dessa legislação, este artigo analisa a acessibilidade dos sítios dos governos estaduais brasileiros por meio de amostras coletadas entre 1996 e 2007. Foram efetuadas análises por meio de métricas, obtidas por avaliações com ferramentas automáticas. Os resultados indicam que a legislação teve pouco impacto para a melhoria real da acessibilidade dos sítios no período indicado, com uma melhora somente em 2007. Verifica-se que se faz necessário adotar políticas públicas mais efetivas para que as pessoas com necessidades especiais tenham os seus direitos para acesso a informações e aos serviços públicos na web assegurados mais amplamente.

A oferta de serviços de informação por situação de vida em sítios Web de bibliotecas virtuais: em busca da qualidade no atendimento

With the advent and development of technology, mainly in the Internet, more and more electronic services are being offered to customers in all areas of business, especially in the offering of information services, as in virtual libraries. This article proposes a new opportunity to provide services to virtual libraries customers, presenting a methodology for the implementation of electronic services oriented by these customers' life situations. Through analytical observations of some national virtual libraries sites, it could be identified that the offer of services considering life situations and relationship interest situations can promote the service to their customers, providing greater satisfaction and, consequently, improving quality in the offer of information services. The visits to those sites and the critical analysis of the data collected during these visits, supported by bibliographic researches results, have enabled the description of this methodology, concluding that the provision of services on an isolated way or in accordance with the user's profile on sites of virtual libraries is not always enough to ensure the attendance to the needs and expectations of its customers, which suggests the offering of these services considering life situations and relationship interest situations as a complement that adds value to the business of virtual library. This becomes relevant when indicates new opportunities to provide virtual libraries services with quality, serving as a guide to the information providers managers, enabling the offering of new means to access information services by such customers, looking for pro - activity and services integration, in order to solve definitely real problems.

The International LAM Registry: A Component of an Innovative Web-Based Clinician, Researcher, and Patient-Driven Rare Disease Research Platform

Background: A relative friability to capture a sufficiently large patient population in any one geographic location has traditionally limited research into rare diseases. Methods and Results: Clinicians interested in the rare disease lymphangioleiomyomatosis (LAM) have worked with the LAM Treatment Alliance, the MIT Media Lab, and Clozure Associates to cooperate in the design of a state-of-the-art data coordination platform that can be used for clinical trials and other research focused on the global LAM patient population. This platform is a component of a set of web-based resources, including a patient self-report data portal, aimed at accelerating research in rare diseases in a rigorous fashion. Conclusions: Collaboration between clinicians, researchers, advocacy groups, and patients can create essential community resource infrastructure to accelerate rare disease research. The International LAM Registry is an example of such an effort.

Exceptional times for the dynamical discrete web

The dynamical discrete web (DyDW), introduced in the recent work of Howitt and Warren, is a system of coalescing simple symmetric one-dimensional random walks which evolve in an extra continuous dynamical time parameter tau. The evolution is by independent updating of the underlying Bernoulli variables indexed by discrete space-time that define the discrete web at any fixed tau. In this paper, we study the existence of exceptional (random) values of tau where the paths of the web do not behave like usual random walks and the Hausdorff dimension of the set of such exceptional tau. Our results are motivated by those about exceptional times for dynamical percolation in high dimension by Haggstrom, Peres and Steif, and in dimension two by Schramm and Steif. The exceptional behavior of the walks in the DyDW is rather different from the situation for the dynamical random walks of Benjamini, Haggstrom, Peres and Steif. For example, we prove that the walk from the origin S(0)(tau) violates the law of the iterated logarithm (LIL) on a set of tau of Hausdorff dimension one. We also discuss how these and other results should extend to the dynamical Brownian web, the natural scaling limit of the DyDW. (C) 2009 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Use of Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) in Portuguese for categorizing web-based healthcare content

Introduction: Internet users are increasingly using the worldwide web to search for information relating to their health. This situation makes it necessary to create specialized tools capable of supporting users in their searches. Objective: To apply and compare strategies that were developed to investigate the use of the Portuguese version of Medical Subject Headings (MeSH) for constructing an automated classifier for Brazilian Portuguese-language web-based content within or outside of the field of healthcare, focusing on the lay public. Methods: 3658 Brazilian web pages were used to train the classifier and 606 Brazilian web pages were used to validate it. The strategies proposed were constructed using content-based vector methods for text classification, such that Naive Bayes was used for the task of classifying vector patterns with characteristics obtained through the proposed strategies. Results: A strategy named InDeCS was developed specifically to adapt MeSH for the problem that was put forward. This approach achieved better accuracy for this pattern classification task (0.94 sensitivity, specificity and area under the ROC curve). Conclusions: Because of the significant results achieved by InDeCS, this tool has been successfully applied to the Brazilian healthcare search portal known as Busca Saude. Furthermore, it could be shown that MeSH presents important results when used for the task of classifying web-based content focusing on the lay public. It was also possible to show from this study that MeSH was able to map out mutable non-deterministic characteristics of the web. (c) 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.