Zonal prices analysis supported by a data mining based methodology

A methodology based on data mining techniques to support the analysis of zonal prices in real transmission networks is proposed in this paper. The mentioned methodology uses clustering algorithms to group the buses in typical classes that include a set of buses with similar LMP values. Two different clustering algorithms have been used to determine the LMP clusters: the two-step and K-means algorithms. In order to evaluate the quality of the partition as well as the best performance algorithm adequacy measurements indices are used. The paper includes a case study using a Locational Marginal Prices (LMP) data base from the California ISO (CAISO) in order to identify zonal prices.

Demand response in future power systems management – a conceptual framework and simulation tool

Mestrado em Engenharia Electrotécnica – Sistemas Eléctricos de Energia

Distribution system operation supported by contextual energy resource management based on intelligent SCADA

Future distribution systems will have to deal with an intensive penetration of distributed energy resources ensuring reliable and secure operation according to the smart grid paradigm. SCADA (Supervisory Control and Data Acquisition) is an essential infrastructure for this evolution. This paper proposes a new conceptual design of an intelligent SCADA with a decentralized, flexible, and intelligent approach, adaptive to the context (context awareness). This SCADA model is used to support the energy resource management undertaken by a distribution network operator (DNO). Resource management considers all the involved costs, power flows, and electricity prices, allowing the use of network reconfiguration and load curtailment. Locational Marginal Prices (LMP) are evaluated and used in specific situations to apply Demand Response (DR) programs on a global or a local basis. The paper includes a case study using a 114 bus distribution network and load demand based on real data.

Gestão de Recursos Energéticos nas SmartGrids

A sustentabilidade do sistema energético é crucial para o desenvolvimento económico e social das sociedades presentes e futuras. Para garantir o bom funcionamento dos sistemas de energia actua-se, tipicamente, sobre a produção e sobre as redes de transporte e de distribuição. No entanto, a integração crescente de produção distribuída, principalmente nas redes de distribuição de média e de baixa tensão, a liberalização dos mercados energéticos, o desenvolvimento de mecanismos de armazenamento de energia, o desenvolvimento de sistemas automatizados de controlo de cargas e os avanços tecnológicos das infra-estruturas de comunicação impõem o desenvolvimento de novos métodos de gestão e controlo dos sistemas de energia. O contributo deste trabalho é o desenvolvimento de uma metodologia de gestão de recursos energéticos num contexto de SmartGrids, considerando uma entidade designada por VPP que gere um conjunto de instalações (unidades produtoras, consumidores e unidades de armazenamento) e, em alguns casos, tem ao seu cuidado a gestão de uma parte da rede eléctrica. Os métodos desenvolvidos contemplam a penetração intensiva de produção distribuída, o aparecimento de programas de Demand Response e o desenvolvimento de novos sistemas de armazenamento. São ainda propostos níveis de controlo e de tomada de decisão hierarquizados e geridos por entidades que actuem num ambiente de cooperação mas também de concorrência entre si. A metodologia proposta foi desenvolvida recorrendo a técnicas determinísticas, nomeadamente, à programação não linear inteira mista, tendo sido consideradas três funções objectivo distintas (custos mínimos, emissões mínimas e cortes de carga mínimos), originando, posteriormente, uma função objectivo global, o que permitiu determinar os óptimos de Pareto. São ainda determinados os valores dos custos marginais locais em cada barramento e consideradas as incertezas dos dados de entrada, nomeadamente, produção e consumo. Assim, o VPP tem ao seu dispor um conjunto de soluções que lhe permitirão tomar decisões mais fundamentadas e de acordo com o seu perfil de actuação. São apresentados dois casos de estudo. O primeiro utiliza uma rede de distribuição de 32 barramentos publicada por Baran & Wu. O segundo caso de estudo utiliza uma rede de distribuição de 114 barramentos adaptada da rede de 123 barramentos do IEEE.

Demand elasticity and market power in the spanish electricity market

In this paper we check whether generator's bid behavior at the Spanish whosale electricity market is consistent with the hypothesis of profit maximization on their residual demands. Using OMEL data, we find the arc-elacticity of the residual demand around the system marginal price. The results suggest thet the larger firms are not actually profit-msximization. We argue how the regulatory environment may drive these results. Finally, we repeat the analysis for the first session of the intra-day market where presumably firms may not have the same incentives as in the day-ahead market.

Lämmitysvoimalaitoksella tuotetun kaukolämpöenergian korvaaminen erillishankinnalla

Diplomityön tavoitteena on määrittää rajahinta Mertaniemen lämmitysvoimalaitoksella tuotetun kaukolämpöenergian korvaamiselle erillishankinnalla Lappeenrannan Energian kannalta tarkasteltuna. Tarkoituksena on muodostaa taulukkolaskentapohjat erilaisille lämmönkorvaustapauksille sekä päivittää kyseisen lämmitysvoimalaitoksen sähköteho/kaukolämpöteho -karakteristikat. Työssä selvitetään myös lämmön erillishankinnan vaikutusta laitoksen ajotapaan. Laadittujen laskentapohjien ja karakteristikoiden avulla arvioitiin erillishankinnan kannattavuutta suunnitellun UPM-Kymmene Oyj:n Kaukaan voimalaitoksen, paikkakunnan teollisuuslaitoksien, Mertaniemen voimalaitoksen kaasukattiloiden sekä Lappeenrannan Energian lämpökeskuksien lämmöntuotannon tapauksissa. Lisäksi työssä tehtiin kustannuslaskelma kiinteälle lämpökeskukselle sekä laadittiin optimointilaskelma lämmöntuotannon polttoaineiden käytölle. Tuloksiksi saatiin, että yhteistuotanto on erillishankintaa paljon edullisempaa kaikissa tapauksissa. Kaukaan voimalaitoshankkeesta Lappeenrannan Energia jättäytyi täten toistaiseksi pois. Paikkakunnan teollisuuslaitoksilta ostetaan lämpöä edelleen, koska se on todettu edulliseksi yhteistuotannon seisokkien aikaan. Lappeenrantaan suunnitellaan uutta kiinteää lämpökeskusta, mutta sen käyttö korvaamaan yhteistuotantoa ei kannata nykyisillä polttoaineen hinnoilla.

Paperitehtaan sähkötasehallinta ja sähkön kysyntäjousto energiakustannusten hallinnassa

Paperiteollisuus on energiaintensiivistä teollisuutta, jossa on tehty pitkään työtä tuotantoprosessien energiatehokkuuden parantamiseksi. Paperitehtaan energiakustannuksiin voidaan kuitenkin vaikuttaa myös sähkötaseen hallinnalla ja sähkön kysyntäjouston avulla. Tehtaan seuraavan vuorokauden sähkön kulutus pyritään ennustamaan mahdollisimman tarkasti, mutta esimerkiksi paperitehtaan häiriötilanteissa sähkötase poikkeaa ennustetusta. Tällöin sähkötasetta voidaan korjata ensisijaisesti sähkön jälkimarkkinoiden eli Elbas- kaupankäynnin avulla. Ellei tasetta saada korjattua sähkön jälkimarkkinoilla tase-ero korjataan tasesähköllä, jonka hinta muodostuu säätösähkömarkkinoilla. Tasesähkön hinta saattaa poiketa Elspot- markkinahinnasta voimakkaasti, jolloin tase-erosta joko hyödytään tai hävitään kustannusmielessä. Tämän työn tarkoituksena on selvittää sähkötasehallinnan parantamisen ja sähkön kysyntäjouston vaikutukset paperitehtaan energiakustannuksiin. Työssä tutkittiin tehtaan sähkö-tasehallinnan nykytilannetta ja selvitettiin tase-erojen kustannusvaikuttavuutta. Lisäksi työssä luotiin ajomalleja sähkön kysyntäjouston toteuttamiselle massatehtaan eri tuotantoprosesseille, sekä määritettiin rajahintoja seuraavan vuorokauden energiaennusteeseen. Onnistunut energiaennuste perustuu paperitehtaan käynnin tarkkoihin ja ajankohtaisiin lähtötietoihin. Sähkötaseen poikkeamiin voidaan puolestaan varautua paremmin, kun informaatio tehtaan prosessien alasajosta tulee voimalaitoksen tietoon mahdollisimman aikaisin. Sähkötaseen poikkeamien hallinta voidaan tehdä, joko Elbas- kaupan tai tasesähkön avulla. Ajankohdasta ja tasepoikkeaman volyymista riippuen täytyy tehdä valinta, kumpi vaihtoehdoista on kustannusmielessä kannattavampi. Paperitehtaan eri prosesseille luoduilla ajomalleilla saatiin esiin huomattava säästöpotentiaali. Ajomallien noudattaminen vaatii suunnitelmallista tuotannon hallintaa ja sähkön Elspot- hinnan käyttäytymisen säännöllistä seurantaa. Seuraavan vuorokauden rajahintatietojen määrittämisen pohjalta voidaan arvioida, millä Elspot- hinnalla sähkön myynti muuttuu paperin tuotantoa kannattavammaksi.

Placement and sizing evaluation of distributed generation in electric power systems

This paper presents a methodology for the placement and sizing evaluation of distributed generation (DG) in electric power systems. The candidate locations for DG placement are identified on the bases of Locational Marginal Prices (LMP's) obtained from an optimal power flow solution. The problem is formulated for two different objectives: social welfare maximization and profit maximization. For each DG unit an optimal placement is identified for each of the objectives.

Minimizing residential distribution system operating costs through intelligently scheduled plug-in hybrid electric vehicle charging

Rising fuel prices and environmental concerns are threatening the stability of current electrical grid systems. These factors are pushing the automobile industry towards more effcient, hybrid vehicles. Current trends show petroleum is being edged out in favor of electricity as the main vehicular motive force. The proposed methods create an optimized charging control schedule for all participating Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicles in a distribution grid. The optimization will minimize daily operating costs, reduce system losses, and improve power quality. This requires participation from Vehicle-to-Grid capable vehicles, load forecasting, and Locational Marginal Pricing market predictions. Vehicles equipped with bidirectional chargers further improve the optimization results by lowering peak demand and improving power quality.

The Marginal Productivity Theory Of The Price Of Capital: An Historical Perspective On The Origins Of The Codswallop

Although it might have been expected that, by this point in time, the unacceptability of the marginal productivity theory of the return on capital would be universally agreed, that is evidently not the case. Popular textbooks still propound the dogma to the innocent. This note is presented in the hope that a succinct indication of the origins of the theory it will contribute to a more general appreciation of the unrealistic and illogical nature of this doctrine.

Still More On Why We Should Bury The Marginal Productivity Theory Of The Price Of Capital: A Supplementary Note

The purpose of this note is to supplement the author’s earlier remarks on the unsatisfactory nature of the neoclassical account of how the return on capital is determined. (See Strathclyde Discussion Paper 12-03: “The Marginal Productivity Theory of the Price of Capital: An Historical Perspective on the Origins of the Codswallop”). The point is made via a simple illustration that certain matters which are problematical in neoclassical terms are perfectly straightforward when viewed from a classical perspective. Basically, the marginalist model of the nature of an economic system is not fit for purpose in that it fails to comprehend the essential features of a surplus-producing economic system as distinct from one merely of exchange.

ON THE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THE MARGINAL PRODUCT OF CAPITAL ACROSS COUNTRIES

We extended the standard neoclassical model of investment for the case of an open economy. Our model shows that risk premium not only creates a wedge between the marginal product of capital across countries but also reduces an economy`s savings rate. A riskier market thus presents a lower income per capita, ceteris paribus. Our empirical analysis, from 1950 to 2003, lends support to the conclusion that both risk and the correction for output price to investment ratio help to explain the differentials.

Residential property loans and performance during property price booms: evidence from European banks

Understanding the performance of banks is of the utmost relevance, because of the impact of this sector on economic growth and financial stability. Of all the different assets that make up a bank portfolio, the residential mortgage loans constitute one of its main. Using the dynamic panel data method, we analyse the influence of residential mortgage loans on bank profitability and risk, using a sample of 555 banks in the European Union (EU-15), over the period from 1995 to 2008. We find that banks with larger weights of residential mortgage loans show lower credit risk in good times. This result explains why banks rush to lend on property during booms due to the positive effects it has on credit risk. The results show further that credit risk and profitability are lower during the upturn in the residential property price cycle. The results also reveal the existence of a non-linear relationship (U-shaped marginal effect), as a function of bank’s risk, between profitability and the residential mortgage loans exposure. For those banks that have high credit risk, a large exposure of residential mortgage loans is associated with higher risk-adjusted profitability, through lower risk. For banks with a moderate/low credit risk, the effects of higher residential mortgage loan exposure on its risk-adjusted profitability are also positive or marginally positive.

Residential property loans and performance during property price booms: evidence from European

Understanding the performance of banks is of the u tmost importance due to the impact the sector may have on economic growth and financial stability. Residential mortgage loans constitute a large proportion of the portfolio of many banks and are one of the key assets in the determination of performance. Using a dynamic panel model , we analyse the impact of res idential mortgage loans on bank profitability and risk , based on a sample of 555 banks in the European Union ( EU - 15 ) , over the period from 1995 to 2008. We find that banks with larger weight s in residential mortgage loans display lower credit risk in good market conditions . This result may explain why banks rush to lend on property during b ooms due to the positive effect it has on credit risk . The results also show that credit risk and profitability are lower during the upturn in the residential property cy cle. Furthermore, t he results reveal the existence of a non - linear relationship ( U - shaped marginal effect), as a function of bank’s risk, between profitability and residential mortgage exposure . For those banks that have high er credit risk, a large exposur e to residential loans is associated with increased risk - adjusted profitability, through a reduction in risk. For banks with a moderate to low credit risk, the impact of higher exposure are also positive on risk - adjusted profitability.

Price competition under cost uncertainty: A laboratory analysis

We study the relation between the number of firms and price-cost margins under price competition with uncertainty about competitors' costs. We present results of an experiment in which two, three and four identical firms repeatedly interact in this environment. In line with the theoretical prediction, market prices decrease with the number of firms, but on average stay above marginal costs. Pricing is less aggressive in duopolies than in triopolies and tetrapolies. However, independently from the number of firms, pricing is more aggressive than in the theoretical equilibrium. Both the absolute and the relative surpluses increase with the number of firms. Total surplus is close to the equilibrium level, since enhanced consumer surplus through lower prices is counteracted by occasional displacements of the most efficient firm in production.