31 resultados para Actuaries


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Vol. numbering dropped, <1990->

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Papers in French or English, those in English being accompanied by Frech translations.

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Papers in French, with abstract or full translation in German and English.

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Added t.-p. in German and English; papers and discussions in English, French or German, the original paper being accompanied by abstract in the other two languages.

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Project staff: Roger Uhe, Tammy Haight.--P. [2] of cover.

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Title Varies: 1890/91-1898, Bulletin de l'Institut des Actuaries Francais

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Report published in the Proceedings of the National Conference on "Education in the Information Society", Plovdiv, May, 2013

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A kockázat statisztikai értelemben közvetlenül nem mérhető, azaz látens fogalom éppen úgy, mint a gazdasági fejlettség, a szervezettség vagy az intelligencia. Mi bennünk a közös? A kockázat is komplex fogalom, több mérhető tényezőt foglal magában, és bár sok tényezőjét mérjük, fel sem tételezzük, hogy pontos eredményt kapunk. Ebben a megközelítésben az elemző kezdettől fogva tudja, hogy hiányos az ismerete. Ezt Bélyácz [2011[ nyomán úgy is megfogalmazhatjuk: „A statisztikusok tudják, hogy valamit éppen nem tudnak.” / === / From statistical point of view risk, like economic development is a latent concept. Typically there is no one number which can explicitly estimate or project risk. Variance is used as a proxy in finance to measure risk. Other professions are using other concepts for risk. Underwriting is the most important step in insurance business to analyse exposure. Actuaries evaluate average claim size and the probability of claim to calculate risk. Bayesian credibility can be used to calculate insurance premium combining frequencies and empirical knowledge, as a prior. Different types of risks can be classified into a risk matrix to separate insurable risk. Only this category can be analysed by multivariate statistical methods, which are based on statistical data. Sample size and frequency of events are relevant not only in insurance, but in pension and investment decisions as well.