821 resultados para kappa shape indices
Resumo:
The reformation of power sector is still in the process of development. The present day situation in Russian electricity power market ischaracterized as transitional period: competitive electricity market is forming, new companies are being created and the power of government regulation is decreasing. The main aim of the reformation is to attract much-needed private investments to the power sector. The electricity consumption increases very rapidly and power sector has to cope with high demand. The goal of this master's thesis is to analyze the nowadays situation in Russian power sector, such as generation structure, condition of electricity networks, electricity price formation for end-users, shape of fuel sector and investments risks and attraction.The final result of this work is creation of scenario of Russian power sector future shape and analysis of the present day situation.
Resumo:
INTRODUCTION: Preoperative scores are widely used predictors of complications after major surgery. These scores, however, are not widely used in transurethral procedures. The aim of this study was to assess the value of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), the age-adjusted CCI, the American Society of Anesthesiologist score (ASA) and the Nutritional Risk Score (NRS) in predicting early morbidity after transurethral urological procedures. METHODS: Consecutive patients undergoing transurethral resection of the bladder or the prostate were prospectively enrolled. The scores were calculated preoperatively; 30-day complications were prospectively recorded according to the Dindo-Clavien classification. Univariate logistic regression was performed to investigate the value of each score and of other factors (i.e., age, sex, body mass index, anemia, smoking habit, type of operation and anaesthesia) as predictors of complications. A multivariate model was then calculated using these predictors. RESULTS: Overall, 197 patients were included. The mean age was 72 (standard deviation ± 10). In total, 26.9% patients had at least 1 complication. Using univariate analysis, we found that each score significantly predicted complications. In multivariate analysis, only the ASA (odds ration [OR] 2.11; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.01-4.43) and the NRS (OR 2.42; 95% CI 1.56-3.74) remained independent predictors. The best model incorporated ASA, NRS and gender, and predicted morbidity with an area under the curve of 76%. Our study's main limitations are population heterogeneity and limited sample size. CONCLUSION: The ASA and the NRS are important and independent determinants of early morbidity after transurethral procedures. The use of these indices may assist clinicians in the decision-making process to balance the possible benefits of transurethral procedures with the potential risks.
Resumo:
In this study, the population structure of the white grunt (Haemulon plumieri) from the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula was determined through an otolith shape analysis based on the samples collected in three locations: Celestún (N 20°49",W 90°25"), Dzilam (N 21°23", W 88°54") and Cancún (N 21°21",W 86°52"). The otolith outline was based on the elliptic Fourier descriptors, which indicated that the H. plumieri population in the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula is composed of three geographically delimited units (Celestún, Dzilam, and Cancún). Significant differences were observed in mean otolith shapes among all samples (PERMANOVA; F2, 99 = 11.20, P = 0.0002), and the subsequent pairwise comparisons showed that all samples were significantly differently from each other. Samples do not belong to a unique white grunt population, and results suggest that they might represent a structured population along the northern coast of the Yucatan Peninsula
Resumo:
Antisocial and criminal behaviors are multifactorial traits whose interpretation relies on multiple disciplines. Since these interpretations may have social, moral and legal implications, a constant review of the evidence is necessary before any scientific claim is considered as truth. A recent study proposed that men with wider faces relative to facial height (fWHR) are more likely to develop unethical behaviour mediated by a psychological sense of power. This research was based on reports suggesting that sexual dimorphism and selection would be responsible for a correlation between fWHR and aggression. Here we show that 4,960 individuals from 94 modern human populations belonging to a vast array of genetic and cultural contexts do not display significant amounts of fWHR sexual dimorphism. Further analyses using populations with associated ethnographical records as well as samples of male prisoners of the Mexico City Federal Penitentiary condemned by crimes of variable level of inter-personal aggression (homicide, robbery, and minor faults) did not show significant evidence, suggesting that populations/individuals with higher levels of bellicosity, aggressive behaviour, or power-mediated behaviour display greater fWHR. Finally, a regression analysis of fWHR on individual"s fitness showed no significant correlation between this facial trait and reproductive success. Overall, our results suggest that facial attributes are poor predictors of aggressive behaviour, or at least, that sexual selection was weak enough to leave a signal on patterns of between- and within-sex and population facial variation.
Resumo:
The role of competition for light among plants has long been recognized at local scales, but its potential importance for plant species' distribution at larger spatial scales has largely been ignored. Tree cover acts as a modulator of local abiotic conditions, notably by reducing light availability below the canopy and thus the performance of species that are not adapted to low-light conditions. However, this local effect may propagate to coarser spatial grains. Using 6,935 vegetation plots located across the European Alps, we fit Generalized Linear Models (GLM) for the distribution of 960 herbs and shrubs species to assess the effect of tree cover at both plot and landscape grain sizes (~ 10-m and 1-km, respectively). We ran four models with different combinations of variables (climate, soil and tree cover) for each species at both spatial grains. We used partial regressions to evaluate the independent effects of plot- and landscape-scale tree cover on plant communities. Finally, the effects on species' elevational range limits were assessed by simulating a removal experiment comparing the species' distribution under high and low tree cover. Accounting for tree cover improved model performance, with shade-tolerant species increasing their probability of presence at high tree cover whereas shade-intolerant species showed the opposite pattern. The tree cover effect occurred consistently at both plot and landscape spatial grains, albeit strongest at the former. Importantly, tree cover at the two grain sizes had partially independent effects on plot-scale plant communities, suggesting that the effects may be transmitted to coarser grains through meta-community dynamics. At high tree cover, shade-intolerant species exhibited elevational range contractions, especially at their upper limit, whereas shade-tolerant species showed elevational range expansions at both limits. Our findings suggest that the range shifts for herb and shrub species may be modulated by tree cover dynamics.
Resumo:
PURPOSE: Proper delineation of ocular anatomy in 3-dimensional (3D) imaging is a big challenge, particularly when developing treatment plans for ocular diseases. Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is presently used in clinical practice for diagnosis confirmation and treatment planning for treatment of retinoblastoma in infants, where it serves as a source of information, complementary to the fundus or ultrasonographic imaging. Here we present a framework to fully automatically segment the eye anatomy for MRI based on 3D active shape models (ASM), and we validate the results and present a proof of concept to automatically segment pathological eyes. METHODS AND MATERIALS: Manual and automatic segmentation were performed in 24 images of healthy children's eyes (3.29 ± 2.15 years of age). Imaging was performed using a 3-T MRI scanner. The ASM consists of the lens, the vitreous humor, the sclera, and the cornea. The model was fitted by first automatically detecting the position of the eye center, the lens, and the optic nerve, and then aligning the model and fitting it to the patient. We validated our segmentation method by using a leave-one-out cross-validation. The segmentation results were evaluated by measuring the overlap, using the Dice similarity coefficient (DSC) and the mean distance error. RESULTS: We obtained a DSC of 94.90 ± 2.12% for the sclera and the cornea, 94.72 ± 1.89% for the vitreous humor, and 85.16 ± 4.91% for the lens. The mean distance error was 0.26 ± 0.09 mm. The entire process took 14 seconds on average per eye. CONCLUSION: We provide a reliable and accurate tool that enables clinicians to automatically segment the sclera, the cornea, the vitreous humor, and the lens, using MRI. We additionally present a proof of concept for fully automatically segmenting eye pathology. This tool reduces the time needed for eye shape delineation and thus can help clinicians when planning eye treatment and confirming the extent of the tumor.
Resumo:
Gene flow (defined as allele exchange between populations) and gene flux (defined as allele exchange during meiosis in heterokaryotypic females) are important factors decreasing genetic differentiation between populations and inversions. Many chromosomal inversions are under strong selection and their role in recombination reduction enhances the maintenance of their genetic distinctness. Here we analyze levels and patterns of nucleotide diversity, selection and demographic history, using 37 individuals of Drosophila subobscura from Mount Parnes (Greece) and Barcelona (Spain). Our sampling focused on two frequent O-chromosome arrangements that differ by two overlapping inversions (OST and O3+4), which are differentially adapted to the environment as observed by their opposing latitudinal clines in inversion frequencies. The six analyzed genes (Pif1A, Abi, Sqd, Yrt, Atpa and Fmr1) were selected for their location across the O-chromosome and their implication in thermal adaptation. Despite the extensive gene flux detected outside the inverted region, significant genetic differentiation between both arrangements was found inside it. However, high levels of gene flow were detected for all six genes when comparing the same arrangement among populations. These results suggest that the adaptive value of inversions is maintained, regardless of the lack of genetic differentiation within arrangements from different populations, and thus favors the Local Adaptation hypothesis over the Coadapted Genome hypothesis as the basis of the selection acting on inversions in these populations.
Resumo:
Background & Aims: Patients with cirrhosis develop abnormal hematologic indices (HI) from multiple factors, including hypersplenism. We aimed to analyze the sequence of events and determine whether abnormal HI has prog-nostic significance. Methods: We analyzed a database of 213 subjects with compensated cirrhosis without esopha-geal varices. Subjects were followed for approximately 9 years until the development of varices or variceal bleeding or completion of the study; 84 subjects developed varices. Abnormal HI was defined as anemia at baseline (hemoglo-bin,<13.5 g/dL for men and 11.5 g/dL for women), leuko-penia (white blood cell counts,<4000/mm 3 ), or thrombo-cytopenia (platelet counts, < 150,000/mm 3 ). The primary end points were death or transplant surgery. Results: Most subjects had thrombocytopenia at baseline. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that leukopenia occurred by 30 months (95% confidence interval, 18.5-53.6), and anemia occurred by 39.6 months (95% confidence interval, 24.1-49.9). Baseline thrombocytopenia (P .0191) and leukope-nia (P.0383) were predictors of death or transplant, after adjusting for baseline hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG), and Child-Pugh scores. After a median of 5 years,a significant difference in death or transplant, mortality,and clinical decompensation was observed in patients who had leukopenia combined with thrombocytopenia at base- line compared with patients with normal HI (P < .0001). HVPG correlated with hemoglobin and white blood cell count (hemoglobin, r 0.35, P < .0001; white blood cell count, r 0.31, P < .0001). Conclusions: Thrombocy-topenia is the most common and first abnormal HI to occurin patients with cirrhosis, followed by leukopenia and anemia. A combination of leukopenia and thrombocytopenia at baselin predicted increased morbidity and mortality.
Resumo:
This study examines the relationship between floral structure and bud quality with the productivity and fruit shape of Gala, Fuji and Daiane apple cultivars under the mild winter conditions in Southern Brazil. Six different types of floral structures were characterized in field growing plants, according to their nature and bud size: spurs, short and long twigs with weak and vigorous buds. Variables related to the phenology and the productivity for these different structures were evaluated. Gala and Fuji cvs. showed earlier phenological development in the twigs, and cv. Daiane in the spurs. For the three cvs. the highest percentage of buds in each phenological phase was observed in the long twigs. The long twigs also showed the highest sprout and fruit set index, floral number per cluster, and leaf area in the three cvs., while the bud abortion was higher in the spurs than in the twigs. No difference was observed among the structures in cvs. Gala and Fuji regarding to the fruit shape. In the cv. Daiane, however, a tendency to higher length diameter ratio of the fruits produced by the long twigs was observed.
Resumo:
Vertebral fracture assessments (VFAs) using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry increase vertebral fracture detection in clinical practice and are highly reproducible. Measures of reproducibility are dependent on the frequency and distribution of the event. The aim of this study was to compare 2 reproducibility measures, reliability and agreement, in VFA readings in both a population-based and a clinical cohort. We measured agreement and reliability by uniform kappa and Cohen's kappa for vertebral reading and fracture identification: 360 VFAs from a population-based cohort and 85 from a clinical cohort. In the population-based cohort, 12% of vertebrae were unreadable. Vertebral fracture prevalence ranged from 3% to 4%. Inter-reader and intrareader reliability with Cohen's kappa was fair to good (0.35-0.71 and 0.36-0.74, respectively), with good inter-reader and intrareader agreement by uniform kappa (0.74-0.98 and 0.76-0.99, respectively). In the clinical cohort, 15% of vertebrae were unreadable, and vertebral fracture prevalence ranged from 7.6% to 8.1%. Inter-reader reliability was moderate to good (0.43-0.71), and the agreement was good (0.68-0.91). In clinical situations, the levels of reproducibility measured by the 2 kappa statistics are concordant, so that either could be used to measure agreement and reliability. However, if events are rare, as in a population-based cohort, we recommend evaluating reproducibility using the uniform kappa, as Cohen's kappa may be less accurate.
Resumo:
Reaching a consensus in terms of interchangeability and utility (i.e., disease detection/monitoring) of a medical device is the eventual aim of repeatability and agreement studies. The aim of the tolerance and relative utility indices described in this report is to provide a methodology to compare change in clinical measurement noise between different populations (repeatability) or measurement methods (agreement), so as to highlight problematic areas. No longitudinal data are required to calculate these indices. Both indices establish a metric of least to most effected across all parameters to facilitate comparison. If validated, these indices may prove useful tools when combining reports and forming the consensus required in the validation process for software updates and new medical devices.
Resumo:
Plus de 300 millions de personnes dans le monde souffrent de l'asthme. L'asthme est une maladie inflammatoire chronique des voies respiratoires caractérisée par des symptômes variables et récurrents, une obstruction bronchique réversible et des bronchospasmes. Les symptômes communs incluent une respiration sifflante, de la toux, une oppression thoracique et de la dyspnée. Normalement, la maladie commence à se manifester pendant l'enfance. Pourtant, facteurs génétiques héréditaires et événements environnementaux survenant au cours de la petite enfance sont responsables de sa manifestation, indiquant que le développement de la maladie est lié à des événements qui se produisent bien avant son déclenchement. L'infection respiratoire virale aiguë constitue un de ces facteurs environnementaux jouant un rôle prépondérant. Un des virus les plus communs est le virus respiratoire syncytial (VRS), qui infecte presque tous les enfants avant l'âge de 2 ans. Ce virus, s'il infecte des tout-petits, peut en effet provoquer une bronchiolite aiguë, un phénomène qui a été épidémiologiquement lié à l'apparition d'asthme plus tard dans la vie. Dans le premier chapitre de cette thèse, nous avons étudié, chez la souris, comment une infection avec le VRS influe sur l'asthme allergique. Nous avons constaté que seule l'infection des souris à l'état de nouveau-né prédispose à un asthme allergique plus sévère chez l'adulte. En effet, si des souris adultes étaient infectées, elles étaient protégées contre l'apparition des symptômes asthmatiques. Cela nous a mené à investiguer les mécanismes immunitaires spécifiques durant cette courte période du début de la vie. Deux événements se produisent en parallèle au cours de la petite enfance: (1) Le système immunitaire, qui est encore immature immédiatement après la naissance, commence à se développer pour être en mesure de jouer son rôle protecteur contre les agents infectieux. (2) Le corps, y compris les poumons, est colonisé par des bactéries commensales, qui vivent en symbiose avec leur hôte humain. Chez l'adulte, ces bactéries sont connues pour influencer notre système immunitaire, l'éduquant à générer des réponses immunitaires adéquates et efficaces. Dans la deuxième partie de cette thèse, nous avons voulu déterminer si ces bactéries symbiotiques étaient impliquées dans l'éducation du système immunitaire du nouveau-né et quelles conséquences cela pourrait avoir sur les réponses immunitaires engendrées par ce dernier. Pour étudier l'effet de ces bactéries symbiotiques, nous avons utilisé des souris stériles, en d'autres termes des souris qui n'hébergent pas ces bactéries symbiotiques. En comparant ces souris stériles à des souris qui abritent une flore microbienne normale, nous avons constaté que les bactéries symbiotiques sont vitales pour la bonne éducation du système immunitaire du nouveau-né. Nous avons démontré que le contact direct des cellules immunitaires avec la flore microbienne dans les poumons modifie le phénotype de ces cellules immunitaires, ce qui change probablement leur réaction au cours de réponses immunitaires. Nous avons donc vérifié si l'éducation immunitaire induite par cette microflore est importante pour prévenir les maladies pulmonaires telles que l'asthme allergique, affections qui sont causées par une réaction excessive du système immunitaire envers des agents inoffensifs. En effet, nous avons observé que le processus de maturation du système immunitaire néonatal, lequel a été déclenché et façonné par la flore microbienne, est important pour éviter une réaction asthmatique exagérée chez la souris adulte. Ce phénomène est dû aux lymphocytes T régulateurs. Ces cellules, dont la présence est induite dans les poumons, ont des capacités immunosuppressives et atténuent donc les réponses immunitaires pour prévenir une inflammation excessive. En conclusion, nous avons montré dans cette thèse que la colonisation par des bactéries symbiotiques tôt dans la vie est un événement décisif pour la maturation du système immunitaire et pour prévenir le développement de l'asthme. Dans l'avenir, il serait intéressant de découvrir quelles bactéries sont présentes dans les poumons du nouveau-né et lesquelles sont directement impliquées dans ce processus de maturation immunitaire. Une prochaine étape serait alors de favoriser la présence de ces bactéries au début de la vie au moyen d'un traitement avec des agents pré- ou probiotiques, ce qui pourrait éventuellement contribuer à une prévention précoce du développement de l'asthme. -- L'asthme est une maladie chronique inflammatoire des voies respiratoires affectant près de 300 millions d'individus dans le monde. Bien que les traits caractéristiques du phénotype asthmatique s'établissent généralement pendant l'enfance, la prédisposition au développement de la maladie est intimement liée à des événements survenant durant la petite enfance, comme le sont par exemple les infections virales respiratoires aiguës. Les mécanismes par lesquels ces événements provoquent un dysfonctionnement immunitaire et, par conséquent, conduisent au développement de l'asthme n'ont pas encore été entièrement décelés. La dysbiose du microbiote des voies respiratoires a été récemment associes au phénotype asthmatique, touisTcis, la cuûoboiatioî! d un lien cause à effet entre la dysbiose microbienne et l'apparition des symptômes asthmatiques reste à être démontrée. Dans cette thèse, nous avons étudié le rôle que joue la colonisation microbienne des voies respiratoires au cours de la petite enfance dans la maturation du système immunitaire ainsi que dans la protection contre l'inflammation pulmonaire de type allergique. Nous avons de surcroît développé un modèle expérimental pour comprendre comment les infections virales respiratoires interfèrent avec ce processus. Dans la première partie de cette thèse, nous avons évalué l'effet d'infections causées par le virus respiratoire syncytial (VRS) sur le développement de l'asthme. En accord avec des études épidémiologiques, nous avons constaté qu'une infection au VRS lors de la période néonatale exacerbait les réponses pulmonaires allergiques ultérieures. Par contraste, une infection à l'âge adulte avait un effet protecteur. Nous avons ainsi démontré que l'influence d'une infection à VRS sur l'issue et la sévérité de l'asthme respiratoire était strictement dépendante de l'âge. Ces résultats nous ont conduit à émettre l'hypothèse que des différences dans le phénotype homéostatique des cellules immunitaires pourraient être responsables de ces disparités liées à l'âge. Par conséquent, dans la deuxième partie de cette thèse, nous avons suivi et caractérisé le processus de maturation des cellules immunitaires dans les poumons du nouveau-né en condition d'homéostasie. Nous avons découvert que leur phénotype change de façon dynamique pendant le développement néonatal et que la colonisation par des microbes était déterminante pour la maturation des cellules immunitaires dans les poumons. Dans la dernière partie de cette thèse, nous avons démontré comment le microbiote pulmonaire éduque le développement immunitaire durant la période néonatale l'orientant de manière à induire une tolérance face aux aéroallergènes. Nous avons découvert que la colonisation microbienne des voies respiratoires provoque une expression transitoire de PD-L1 sur les cellules dendritiques (CD) pulmonaires du type CD11b+ dans les deux premières semaines de la vie. Cet événement engendre par la suite la génération de lymphocytes T régulateurs (TREG) dans les poumons, lesquels sont responsables de la protection contre une réponse inflammatoire allergique exagérée chez la souris adulte. Par conséquent, nous proposons un rôle pivot de la maturation immunitaire induite par le microbiote pulmonaire dans l'établissement de la tolérance aux aéroallergènes. En conclusion, les résultats présentés dans cette thèse fournissent de nouveaux indices révélant comment des événements se produisant lors de la petite enfance peuvent façonner les réponses du système immunitaire dirigées contre les allergènes et soulignent le rôle central joué par le microbiote pulmonaire dans l'édification d'une réponse immunitaire équilibrée. En résumé, notre travail met en évidence le microbiote pulmonaire comme étant une cible potentielle pour la prévention de certaines maladies respiratoires. -- Asthma is a chronic inflammatory disorder of the respiratory tract and affects approximately 300 million individuals world-wide. Although the asthmatic phenotype commonly establishes during childhood, predisposition towards disease development has been linked to events in early infancy, such as severe respiratory viral infections. However, the mechanisms by which these events cause immune dysfunction and, therefore, lead to the development of asthma have yet to be fully deciphered. Dysbiosis of the airway microbiota has recently been associated with the asthmatic phenotype; however, conclusive evidence for a causal link between microbial dysbiosis in the ail ways and asthma development is still missing. In this thesis we investigated the role of early-life microbial airway colonization in immune maturation and the protection against allergic airway inflammation and established an experimental model to address how respiratory viral infections interfere in this process. In the first part of this thesis we evaluated the effect of Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections on the development of asthma. In concurrence with epidemiological studies, we found that neonatal infection exacerbated subsequent allergic airway inflammation. In contrast, adult infection was protective in the same context. Thus, we could demonstrate that the influence of RSV infection on subsequent allergic airway responses was strictly age-dependent. These findings led us to the hypothesis that differences in the homeostatic phenotype of immune cells could be responsible for the age-related disparities seen within the context of RSV. Therefore, in a second part of this thesis, we followed the process of homeostatic immune cell maturation in the neonatal lung. Immune cell phenotypes changed dynamically during neonatal development. We discovered that the colonization with microbes was central to the maturation of immune cells in the lung. In the last part of this thesis, we demonstrated how microbiota-driven immune development during the neonatal period induces tolerance against aeroallergens. We discovered that microbial colonization led to a transient programmed death-ligand (PD-L) 1 expression on CD11b+ pulmonary dendritic cells (DCs) during the first two weeks of life. This in turn induced regulatory T (TREG) cells in the lung, which were responsible for the protection against exaggerated allergic airway inflammation in adult mice. Thus, we propose a key role for microbiota-driven immune maturation in the establishment of tolerance towards aeroallergens. In conclusion, the results presented in this thesis provide new insights into how early-life events shape pulmonary immune responses towards allergens and suggest the airway microbiota as a key player in establishing a balanced immune response. Overall, our work highlights the airway microbiota as potential target for disease prevention.
Resumo:
Markets, in the real world, are not efficient zero-sum games where hypotheses of the CAPM are fulfilled. Then, it is easy to conclude the market portfolio is not located on Markowitz"s efficient frontier, and passive investments (and indexing) are not optimal but biased. In this paper, we define and analyze biases suffered by passive investors: the sample, construction, efficiency and active biases and tracking error are presented. We propose Minimum Risk Indices (MRI) as an alternative to deal with to market index biases, and to provide investors with portfolios closer to the efficient frontier, that is, more optimal investment possibilities. MRI (using a Parametric Value-at-Risk Minimization approach) are calculated for three stock markets achieving interesting results. Our indices are less risky and more profitable than current Market Indices in the Argentinean and Spanish markets, facing that way the Efficient Market Hypothesis. Two innovations must be outlined: an error dimension has been included in the backtesting and the Sharpe"s Ratio has been used to select the"best" MRI