Probabilistic age classification with Bayesian networks: a study on the ossification status of the medial clavicular epiphysis

In the past few decades, the rise of criminal, civil and asylum cases involving young people lacking valid identification documents has generated an increase in the demand of age estimation. The chronological age or the probability that an individual is older or younger than a given age threshold are generally estimated by means of some statistical methods based on observations performed on specific physical attributes. Among these statistical methods, those developed in the Bayesian framework allow users to provide coherent and transparent assignments which fulfill forensic and medico-legal purposes. The application of the Bayesian approach is facilitated by using probabilistic graphical tools, such as Bayesian networks. The aim of this work is to test the performances of the Bayesian network for age estimation recently presented in scientific literature in classifying individuals as older or younger than 18 years of age. For these exploratory analyses, a sample related to the ossification status of the medial clavicular epiphysis available in scientific literature was used. Results obtained in the classification are promising: in the criminal context, the Bayesian network achieved, on the average, a rate of correct classifications of approximatively 97%, whilst in the civil context, the rate is, on the average, close to the 88%. These results encourage the continuation of the development and the testing of the method in order to support its practical application in casework.

E-hankinta ja sen käyttö ja hyödyntäminen teollisuusyrityksessä

Tässä tutkimuksessa olen selvittänyt sähköisten työkalujen hyödyntämisen mandollisuuksista teollisuusyrityksessä epäsuorissa hankinnoissa. Tutkimuksessa olen paneuduttu e-hankinnan terminologiaan ja menetelmiin, joita markkinoilla on käytössä. E-hankinta on keskeisin tutkimusalue. Toimittajien etsintään ja niiden hallinnointiin keskittyvät työkalut olen rajannut pois tutkimuksestani. Tutkimuksessa olen selvittänyt e-hankinnan keskeisiä haasteita ja onnistumisen elementtejä, jotta e-hankinnan käyttöönotto olisi mandollisimman helposti tehtävissä. Lukuisten esimerkkien avulla pyrin kartoittamaan e-hankinnan levinneisyyttä ja lisäksi tuon esille niitä potentiaalisia säästökohteita ja kustannusten leikkauksia, joita on mandollista toteuttaa ottamalla käyttöön sähköisen hankintamallin. Tutkimuksen loppuosassa keskityn tutkimaan Perloksen hankintavolyymeja ja löytämään sieltä ne hankintakategoriat, joille tämä sähköinen hankintamalli olisi mandollista ottaa käyttöön. Tässä tutkimuksessa tulen esittämään sähköisen hankintamallin käyttöönottoa ja samalla merkittävän kehityshankkeen toteuttamista lähitulevaisuudessa. Lopullisen päätöksen sähköisen hankintamallin käyttöönotosta ja projektin toteuttamisesta tekee yrityksen johto. Yrityksen johdolle sitten lopulta jää punnittavaksi, kuinka strategisena ja ajankohtaan nähden sopivana tämän tyyppisen kehitysprojektin toteuttaminen nähdään.

Tukkivannesahojen teräpyörien bombeerauslaitteen kehittäminen

Diplomityössä kehitettiin kannettava työstölaite, jolla voidaan bombeerata tukkivannesahojen suuret teräpyörät omilla laakereillaan paikoillaan sahalinjoissa. Teräpyörät kuluvat käytössä, jolloin ne joudutaan työstämään uudelleen muotoonsa useita kertoja vuodessa. Nykyisin pyörien kehäpinnat hiotaan haluttuun muotoon lähes sadan vuoden ikäiseen keksintöön perustuvalla menetelmällä. Menetelmän suurimpina ongelmina ovat saavutettavan bombeerausmuodon heikko tarkkuus, työstötapahtuman hitaus ja puutteellinen työturvallisuus. Kehitetyn bombeerauslaitteen ja -menetelmän avulla parannetaan kaikkia kolmea merkittävää puutetta. Työssä kartoitettiin kattavasti erilaisia mahdollisia työstömenetelmiä, joita voitaisiin käyttää teräpyörien bombeeraukseen. Parhaaksi vaihtoehdoksi osoittautui sorvaus, jonka avulla teräpyörien kehäpinnat saadaan työstettyä tarkasti, nopeasti ja varmasti käyttämällä tavallisia sorvin työkaluja ja uutta ehdotettua kannettavaa sorvia.

Els codis QR: una eina per millorar l'hàbit lector dels alumnes

Les pràctiques educatives que es basen en una metodologia on s’integren les noves Tecnologies de la Informació i la Comunicació (TIC) són cada cop més influents en l’àmbit educatiu, ja que, ens acosten a la realitat de l’època en què vivim, la societat de la informació i l’alfabetització digital. Així, en aquest estudi s’investiga la motivació i l’adquisició de l’hàbit lector a través dels codis QR en un grup d’infants d’edats compreses entre cinc i sis anys d’Educació Infantil. A partir dels instruments de recollida de dades, com ara, l’entrevista, l’observació, els qüestionaris i la pròpia intervenció educativa, podem saber que la motivació de llegir contes i d’utilitzar les noves tecnologies augmenta en l’actitud dels infants. Pel que fa a l’aprenentatge i adquisició de l’hàbit lector, arribem a la conclusió que és un procés llarg i, segons l’entorn que té l’infant, hi influeix de manera positiva o negativa.

Control de la temperatura i el llum mitjançant dispositius sense fils

El concepte Internet de les Coses va néixer fa molt poc, cap a l’any 2010, i es refereix a la connexió d’objectes a Internet, de manera que puguin interactuar en xarxa entre ells o amb les persones per transmetre o rebre informació, i realitzar, així, les accions programades en funció de les dades disponibles. Des de llavors la gran majoria d’institucions, tant públiques com privades, s’han interessat en aquest concepte, ja que pot suposar un augment molt important de la qualitat de vida de les persones, un estalvi de recursos i beneficis econòmics. D’aquí neix aquest Treball Final de Grau, ja que des de la Fundació Eduard Soler de Ripoll tenen el desig d’introduir-se en aquest camp. L’objectiu principal d’aquest Treball Final de Grau és crear una xarxa sense fils que pugui controlar la temperatura i la il·luminació de l’edifici C de la Fundació Eduard Soler i que, a més, es pugui connectar a Internet. Una de les conclusions a què he arribat gràcies a aquest treball és que la utilització d’eines de baix cost (Arduino, Xbee, MySQL, PHP...) permet introduir-se en l’apassionant món de l’Internet de les Coses i, a més, aconseguir molt bons resultats.

Analyzing Carbon Trade Permits in Optimization Framework

The threats caused by global warming motivate different stake holders to deal with and control them. This Master's thesis focuses on analyzing carbon trade permits in optimization framework. The studied model determines optimal emission and uncertainty levels which minimize the total cost. Research questions are formulated and answered by using different optimization tools. The model is developed and calibrated by using available consistent data in the area of carbon emission technology and control. Data and some basic modeling assumptions were extracted from reports and existing literatures. The data collected from the countries in the Kyoto treaty are used to estimate the cost functions. Theory and methods of constrained optimization are briefly presented. A two-level optimization problem (individual and between the parties) is analyzed by using several optimization methods. The combined cost optimization between the parties leads into multivariate model and calls for advanced techniques. Lagrangian, Sequential Quadratic Programming and Differential Evolution (DE) algorithm are referred to. The role of inherent measurement uncertainty in the monitoring of emissions is discussed. We briefly investigate an approach where emission uncertainty would be described in stochastic framework. MATLAB software has been used to provide visualizations including the relationship between decision variables and objective function values. Interpretations in the context of carbon trading were briefly presented. Suggestions for future work are given in stochastic modeling, emission trading and coupled analysis of energy prices and carbon permits.

Elucidação estrutural de substâncias orgânicas com auxílio de computador: evoluções recentes

The development of new tools for chemoinformatics, allied to the use of different algorithms and computer programmes for structure elucidation of organic compounds, is growing fast worldwide. Massive efforts in research and development are currently being pursued both by academia and the so-called chemistry software development companies. The demystification of this environment provoked by the availability of software packages and a vast array of publications exert a positive impact on chemistry. In this work, an overview concerning the more classical approaches as well as new strategies on computer-based tools for structure elucidation of organic compounds is presented. Historical background is also taken into account since these techniques began to develop around four decades ago. Attention will be paid to companies which develop, distribute or commercialize software as well as web-based and open access tools which are currently available to chemists.

Disseny i implementació d'una web administrable i d'una aplicació per dispositius mòbils

En la societat en què vivim cada vegada agafen més importància les pàgines web, ja que és una eina d’informació molt útil i ràpida de consultar. Per això, no s’entén que una activitat empresarial sigui del tipus que sigui, no tingui representació a la xarxa. No és necessari que l’activitat en qüestió hagi de vendre productes a través d’Internet, sinó que simplement aquesta representació pot ajudar a donar a conèixer l’empresa i a ampliar la cartera de clients. De la mateixa manera, els dispositius mòbils també s’estan convertint en una eina important en la societat d’avui en dia i una bona aplicació pot aportar-te un avantatge en moltes de les feines diàries de les persones. D’aquestes idees sorgeix el projecte de fer la web i l’aplicació pel centre de fisioteràpia Fisioripoll. La web serviria per tenir un lloc a la xarxa on donar-se a conèixer i poder captar nous clients, i l’aplicació funcionaria com a eina pel propi centre, seria una espècie d’agenda electrònica per saber les hores que tens reservades els pròxims dies. Per aconseguir un bon funcionament de la web, s’ha demanat que la pàgina sigui administrable en els seus continguts. És a dir, que els propis gestors del centre puguin canviar els texts, les imatges dels diferents apartats i gestionar les reserves dels clients. En canvi, l’aplicació serà només una eina de consulta i no s’hauria de gestionar res. Per tal de dur a terme aquesta web s’ha tingut en compte utilitzar eines de programació de distribució lliure com és el llenguatge PHP, la base de dades MySQL, jQuery, el framework Phonegap per tal de poder construir una web i una aplicació amb cost de programari nul.

Propriedades eletrônicas, estruturais e constantes elásticas do ZnO

The electronic, structural properties and elastic constants of the wurtzite phase of zinc oxide, ZnO, was investigated using computer simulation at Density Functional Theory level, with B3LYP hybrid functional and Hartree-Fock methodology. The electronic properties as well the band energy was investigated through the analysis of the band structures and density of states (DOS), and the mechanical properties was studied through the calculus of the elastic constants C11, C33, C44, C12 e C13. The results are in good agreement with experimental data found in the literature and in accordance with results obtained by another theoretical methodology.

Numerics of Spacecraft Dynamics

Whenever a spacecraft is launched it is essential that the algorithms in the on-board software systems and at ground control are efficient and reliable over extended periods of time. Geometric numerical integrators, and in particular variational integrators, have both these characteristics. In "Numerics of Spacecraft Dynamics" new numerical integrators are presented and analysed in depth. These algorithms have been designed specifically for the dynamics of spacecraft and artificial satellites in Earth orbits. Full analytical solutions to a class of integrable deformations of the two-body problem in classical mechanics are derived, and a systematic method to compute variational integrators to arbitrary order with a computer algebra system is introduced.

Problems and potentialities of e-Learning for regular undergraduate courses in emergency medicine

BACKGROUND: E-learning techniques are spreading at great speed in medicine, raising concerns about the impact of adopting them. Websites especially designed to host courses are becoming more common. There is a lack of evidence that these systems could enhance student knowledge acquisition. GOAL: To evaluate the impact of using dedicated-website tools over cognition of medical students exposed to a first-aid course. METHODS: Prospective study of 184 medical students exposed to a twenty-hour first-aid course. We generated a dedicated-website with several sections (lectures, additional reading material, video and multiple choice exercises). We constructed variables expressing the student's access to each section. The evaluation was composed of fifty multiple-choice tests, based on clinical problems. We used multiple linear regression to adjust for potential confounders. RESULTS: There was no association of website intensity of exposure and the outcome - beta-coeficient 0.27 (95%CI - 0.454 - 1.004). These findings were not altered after adjustment for potential confounders - 0.165 (95%CI -0.628 - 0.960). CONCLUSION: A dedicated website with passive and active capabilities for aiding in person learning had not shown association with a better outcome.

Design Aspects of Megawatt-Range Direct-Driven Permanent MagnetWind Generators

Direct-driven permanent magnet synchronous generator is one of the most promising topologies for megawatt-range wind power applications. The rotational speed of the direct-driven generator is very low compared with the traditional electrical machines. The low rotational speed requires high torque to produce megawatt-range power. The special features of the direct-driven generators caused by the low speed and high torque are discussed in this doctoral thesis. Low speed and high torque set high demands on the torque quality. The cogging torque and the load torque ripple must be as low as possible to prevent mechanical failures. In this doctoral thesis, various methods to improve the torque quality are compared with each other. The rotor surface shaping, magnet skew, magnet shaping, and the asymmetrical placement of magnets and stator slots are studied not only by means of torque quality, but also the effects on the electromagnetic performance and manufacturability of the machine are discussed. The heat transfer of the direct-driven generator must be designed to handle the copper losses of the stator winding carrying high current density and to keep the temperature of the magnets low enough. The cooling system of the direct-driven generator applying the doubly radial air cooling with numerous radial cooling ducts was modeled with a lumped-parameter-based thermal network. The performance of the cooling system was discussed during the steady and transient states. The effect of the number and width of radial cooling ducts was explored. The large number of radial cooling ducts drastically increases the impact of the stack end area effects, because the stator stack consists of numerous substacks. The effects of the radial cooling ducts on the effective axial length of the machine were studied by analyzing the crosssection of the machine in the axial direction. The method to compensate the magnet end area leakage was considered. The effect of the cooling ducts and the stack end area effects on the no-load voltages and inductances of the machine were explored by using numerical analysis tools based on the three-dimensional finite element method. The electrical efficiency of the permanent magnet machine with different control methods was estimated analytically over the whole speed and torque range. The electrical efficiencies achieved with the most common control methods were compared with each other. The stator voltage increase caused by the armature reaction was analyzed. The effect of inductance saturation as a function of load current was implemented to the analytical efficiency calculation.

Sähköinen huutokauppa ja dynaaminen hankintajärjestelmä

Opinnäytetyöni tavoitteena on esitellä olennaiset kohdat julkisten hankintojen sähköisessä menettelyssä. Arvioinnin kohteena on lokakuussa 2011 voimaan astunut laki sähköisestä huutokaupasta ja dynaamisesta hankintajärjestelmästä. Opinnäytetyöni on kirjoituspöytätutkimus, joka perustuu julkisia hankintoja koskevaan lainsäädäntöaineistoon sekä julkisia hankintoja tutkivien sidosryhmien tuottamaan kirjallisuuteen. Näkökulmana on sähköisen menettelyn sääntelyn tarkoituksenmukaisuus hankintayksiköiden sekä toimittajien näkökulmista. Sääntely julkisten hankintojen sähköisestä menettelystä tarkoittaa julkisilla varoilla hankittavien palvelujen sekä tavaroiden hankintaa sähköisessä verkkoympäristössä. Hankintayksikkö, kuten valtion tai kunnan viranomainen, voi tämän lain myötä suorittaa hankintaprosessin sähköisesti käyttöliittymän kautta haluamastaan tuotteesta tai palvelusta.

Novel Regression Methods For Spectral Data

Singular Value Decomposition (SVD), Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) are some of the mathematical pre- liminaries that are discussed prior to explaining PLS and PCR models. Both PLS and PCR are applied to real spectral data and their di erences and similarities are discussed in this thesis. The challenge lies in establishing the optimum number of components to be included in either of the models but this has been overcome by using various diagnostic tools suggested in this thesis. Correspondence analysis (CA) and PLS were applied to ecological data. The idea of CA was to correlate the macrophytes species and lakes. The di erences between PLS model for ecological data and PLS for spectral data are noted and explained in this thesis. i

PDM system functions and utilizations analysis to improve efficiency of sheet metal product design and manufacturing

This study will concentrate on Product Data Management (PDM) systems, and sheet metal design features and classification. In this thesis, PDM is seen as an individual system which handles all product-related data and information. The meaning of relevant data is to take the manufacturing process further with fewer errors. The features of sheet metals are giving more information and value to the designed models. The possibility of implementing PDM and sheet metal features recognition are the core of this study. Their integration should make the design process faster and manufacturing-friendly products easier to design. The triangulation method is the basis for this research. The sections of this triangle are: scientific literature review, interview using the Delphi method and the author’s experience and observations. The main key findings of this study are: (1) the area of focus in triangle (the triangle of three different point of views: business, information exchange and technical) depends on the person’s background and their role in the company, (2) the classification in the PDM system (and also in the CAD system) should be done using the materials, tools and machines that are in use in the company and (3) the design process has to be more effective because of the increase of industrial production, sheet metal blank production and the designer’s time spent on actual design and (4) because Design For Manufacture (DFM) integration can be done with CAD-programs, DFM integration with the PDM system should also be possible.