Seagrass time-series analysis products, in Moreton Bay, Australia, with links to GeoTIFFs

The spatial and temporal dynamics of seagrasses have been well studied at the leaf to patch scales, however, the link to large spatial extent landscape and population dynamics is still unresolved in seagrass ecology. Traditional remote sensing approaches have lacked the temporal resolution and consistency to appropriately address this issue. This study uses two high temporal resolution time-series of thematic seagrass cover maps to examine the spatial and temporal dynamics of seagrass at both an inter- and intra-annual time scales, one of the first globally to do so at this scale. Previous work by the authors developed an object-based approach to map seagrass cover level distribution from a long term archive of Landsat TM and ETM+ images on the Eastern Banks (~200 km**2), Moreton Bay, Australia. In this work a range of trend and time-series analysis methods are demonstrated for a time-series of 23 annual maps from 1988 to 2010 and a time-series of 16 monthly maps during 2008-2010. Significant new insight was presented regarding the inter- and intra-annual dynamics of seagrass persistence over time, seagrass cover level variability, seagrass cover level trajectory, and change in area of seagrass and cover levels over time. Overall we found that there was no significant decline in total seagrass area on the Eastern Banks, but there was a significant decline in seagrass cover level condition. A case study of two smaller communities within the Eastern Banks that experienced a decline in both overall seagrass area and condition are examined in detail, highlighting possible differences in environmental and process drivers. We demonstrate how trend and time-series analysis enabled seagrass distribution to be appropriately assessed in context of its spatial and temporal history and provides the ability to not only quantify change, but also describe the type of change. We also demonstrate the potential use of time-series analysis products to investigate seagrass growth and decline as well as the processes that drive it. This study demonstrates clear benefits over traditional seagrass mapping and monitoring approaches, and provides a proof of concept for the use of trend and time-series analysis of remotely sensed seagrass products to benefit current endeavours in seagrass ecology.

Model of interactive visualization of diffusion processes from different strains, and source routes and spatial diffusion of capuchin monkeys over the past 6 million years

Source routes and Spatial Diffusion of capuchin monkeys over the past 6 million years, rebuilt in the SPREAD 1.0.6 from the MCC tree. The map shows the 10 different regions to which distinctive samples were associated. The different transmission routes have been calculated from the average rate over time. Only rates with Bayes factor> 3 were considered as significantly different from zero. Significant diffusion pathways are highlighted with color varying from dark brown to red, being the dark brown less significant rates and deep red the most significant rates.

Chapter 8 Location Choice of Japanese Multinationals: Country Characteristics or Region Characteristics?

In the present global era in which firms choose the location of their plants beyond national borders, location characteristics are important for attracting multinational enterprises (MNEs). The better access to countries with large market is clearly attractive for MNEs. For example, special treatments on tariffs such as the Generalized System of Preferences (GSP) are beneficial for MNEs whose home country does not have such treatments. Not only such country characteristics but also region characteristics (i.e. province-level or city-level ones) matter, particularly in the case that location characteristics differ widely between a nation's regions. The existence of industrial concentration, that is, agglomeration, is a typical regional characteristic. It is with consideration of these country-level and region-level characteristics that MNEs decide their location abroad. A large number of academic studies have investigated in what kinds of countries MNEs locate, i.e. location choice analysis. Employing the usual new economic geography model (i.e. constant elasticity of substitution (CES) utility function, Dixit-Stiglitz monopolistic competition, and ice-berg trade costs), the literature derives the profit function, of which coefficients are estimated using maximum likelihood procedures. Recent studies are as follows: Head, Rise, and Swenson (1999) for Japanese MNEs in the US; Belderbos and Carree (2002) for Japanese MNEs in China; Head and Mayer (2004) for Japanese MNEs in Europe; Disdier and Mayer (2004) for French MNEs in Europe; Castellani and Zanfei (2004) for large MNEs worldwide; Mayer, Mejean, and Nefussi (2007) for French MNEs worldwide; Crozet, Mayer, and Mucchielli (2004) for MNEs in France; and Basile, Castellani, and Zanfei (2008) for MNEs in Europe. At the present time, three main topics can be found in this literature. The first introduces various location elements as independent variables. The above-mentioned new economic geography model usually yields the profit function, which is a function of market size, productive factor prices, price of intermediate goods, and trade costs. As a proxy for the price of intermediate goods, the measure of agglomeration is often used, particularly the number of manufacturing firms. Some studies employ more disaggregated numbers of manufacturing firms, such as the number of manufacturing firms with the same nationality as the firms choosing the location (e.g., Head et al., 1999; Crozet et al., 2004) or the number of firms belonging to the same firm group (e.g., Belderbos and Carree, 2002). As part of trade costs, some investment climate measures have been examined: free trade zones in the US (Head et al., 1999), special economic zones and opening coastal cities in China (Belderbos and Carree, 2002), and Objective 1 structural funds and cohesion funds in Europe (Basile et al., 2008). Second, the validity of proxy variables for location elements is further examined. Head and Mayer (2004) examine the validity of market potential on location choice. They propose the use of two measures: the Harris market potential index (Harris, 1954) and the Krugman-type index used in Redding and Venables (2004). The Harris-type index is simply the sum of distance-weighted real GDP. They employ the Krugman-type market potential index, which is directly derived from the new economic geography model, as it takes into account the extent of competition (i.e. price index) and is constructed using estimators of importing country dummy variables in the well-known gravity equation, as in Redding and Venables (2004). They find that "theory does not pay", in the sense that the Harris market potential outperforms Krugman's market potential in both the magnitude of its coefficient and the fit of the model to be estimated. The third topic explores the substitution of location by examining inclusive values in the nested-logit model. For example, using firm-level data on French investments both in France and abroad over the 1992-2002 period, Mayer et al. (2007) investigate the determinants of location choice and assess empirically whether the domestic economy has been losing attractiveness over the recent period or not. The estimated coefficient for inclusive value is strongly significant and near unity, indicating that the national economy is not different from the rest of the world in terms of substitution patterns. Similarly, Disdier and Mayer (2004) investigate whether French MNEs consider Western and Eastern Europe as two distinct groups of potential host countries by examining the coefficient for the inclusive value in nested-logit estimation. They confirm the relevance of an East-West structure in the country location decision and furthermore show that this relevance decreases over time. The purpose of this paper is to investigate the location choice of Japanese MNEs in Thailand, Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam, and is closely related to the third topic mentioned above. By examining region-level location choice with the nested-logit model, I investigate the relative importance of not only country characteristics but also region characteristics. Such investigation is invaluable particularly in the case of location choice in those five countries: industrialization remains immature in those countries which have not yet succeeded in attracting enough MNEs, and as a result, it is expected that there are not yet crucial regional variations for MNEs within such a nation, meaning the country characteristics are still relatively important to attract MNEs. To illustrate, in the case of Cambodia and Laos, one of the crucial elements for Japanese MNEs would be that LDC preferential tariff schemes are available for exports from Cambodia and Laos. On the other hand, in the case of Thailand and Vietnam, which have accepted a relatively large number of MNEs and thus raised the extent of regional inequality, regional characteristics such as the existence of agglomeration would become important elements in location choice. Our sample countries seem, therefore, to offer rich variations for analyzing the relative importance between country characteristics and region characteristics. Our empirical strategy has a further advantage. As in the third topic in the location choice literature, the use of the nested-logit model enables us to examine substitution patterns between country-based and region-based location decisions by MNEs in the concerned countries. For example, it is possible to investigate empirically whether Japanese multinational firms consider Thailand/Vietnam and the other three countries as two distinct groups of potential host countries, by examining the inclusive value parameters in nested-logit estimation. In particular, our sample countries all experienced dramatic changes in, for example, economic growth or trade costs reduction during the sample period. Thus, we will find the dramatic dynamics of such substitution patterns. Our rigorous analysis of the relative importance between country characteristics and region characteristics is invaluable from the viewpoint of policy implications. First, while the former characteristics should be improved mainly by central government in each country, there is sometimes room for the improvement of the latter characteristics by even local governments or smaller institutions such as private agencies. Consequently, it becomes important for these smaller institutions to know just how crucial the improvement of region characteristics is for attracting foreign companies. Second, as economies grow, country characteristics become similar among countries. For example, the LCD preferential tariff schemes are available only when a country is less developed. Therefore, it is important particularly for the least developed countries to know what kinds of regional characteristics become important following economic growth; in other words, after their country characteristics become similar to those of the more developed countries. I also incorporate one important characteristic of MNEs, namely, productivity. The well-known Helpman-Melitz-Yeaple model indicates that only firms with higher productivity can afford overseas entry (Helpman et al., 2004). Beyond this argument, there may be some differences in MNEs' productivity among our sample countries and regions. Such differences are important from the viewpoint of "spillover effects" from MNEs, which are one of the most important results for host countries in accepting their entry. The spillover effects are that the presence of inward foreign direct investment (FDI) aises domestic firms' productivity through various channels such as imitation. Such positive effects might be larger in areas with more productive MNEs. Therefore, it becomes important for host countries to know how much productive firms are likely to invest in them. The rest of this paper is organized as follows. Section 2 takes a brief look at the worldwide distribution of Japanese overseas affiliates. Section 3 provides an empirical model to examine their location choice, and lastly, we discuss future works to estimate our model.

A Cost-Benefit analysis model for technical debt management considering uncertainty and time

In the last few years, technical debt has been used as a useful means for making the intrinsic cost of the internal software quality weaknesses visible. This visibility is made possible by quantifying this cost. Specifically, technical debt is expressed in terms of two main concepts: principal and interest. The principal is the cost of eliminating or reducing the impact of a, so called, technical debt item in a software system; whereas the interest is the recurring cost, over a time period, of not eliminating a technical debt item. Previous works about technical debt are mainly focused on estimating principal and interest, and on performing a cost-benefit analysis. This cost-benefit analysis allows one to determine if to remove technical debt is profitable and to prioritize which items incurring in technical debt should be fixed first. Nevertheless, for these previous works technical debt is flat along the time. However the introduction of new factors to estimate technical debt may produce non flat models that allow us to produce more accurate predictions. These factors should be used to estimate principal and interest, and to perform cost-benefit analysis related to technical debt. In this paper, we take a step forward introducing the uncertainty about the interest, and the time frame factors so that it becomes possible to depict a number of possible future scenarios. Estimations obtained without considering the possible evolution of the interest over time may be less accurate as they consider simplistic scenarios without changes.

Real time monitoring of click chemistry self-healing in polymer composites

A photo-healable rubber composite based on effective and fast thiol-alkyne click chemistry as a selfhealing agent prestored in glass capillaries is reported. The click reaction and its effect on the mechanical properties of the composite are monitored in real time by dynamic mechanical analysis, showing that the successful bleeding of healing agents to the crack areas and the effective photoinitiated click reaction result in a 30% storage modulus increase after only 5 min of UV light exposure. X-ray tomography confirms capillary-driven bleeding of reactants to the damaged areas. The effect of storing the click chemistry reactants in separate capillaries is also studied, and results show the importance of stoichiometry in achieving a significant level of repair of the composite. No reactant degradation or premature chemical reaction is observed over time in samples stored in the absence of UV radiation; they are able to undergo the self-healing reaction even one month after preparation.

Run-Time Dynamically-Adaptable FPGA-Based Architecture for High-Performance Autonomous Distributed Systems

Esta tesis doctoral se enmarca dentro del campo de los sistemas embebidos reconfigurables, redes de sensores inalámbricas para aplicaciones de altas prestaciones, y computación distribuida. El documento se centra en el estudio de alternativas de procesamiento para sistemas embebidos autónomos distribuidos de altas prestaciones (por sus siglas en inglés, High-Performance Autonomous Distributed Systems (HPADS)), así como su evolución hacia el procesamiento de alta resolución. El estudio se ha llevado a cabo tanto a nivel de plataforma como a nivel de las arquitecturas de procesamiento dentro de la plataforma con el objetivo de optimizar aspectos tan relevantes como la eficiencia energética, la capacidad de cómputo y la tolerancia a fallos del sistema. Los HPADS son sistemas realimentados, normalmente formados por elementos distribuidos conectados o no en red, con cierta capacidad de adaptación, y con inteligencia suficiente para llevar a cabo labores de prognosis y/o autoevaluación. Esta clase de sistemas suele formar parte de sistemas más complejos llamados sistemas ciber-físicos (por sus siglas en inglés, Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs)). Los CPSs cubren un espectro enorme de aplicaciones, yendo desde aplicaciones médicas, fabricación, o aplicaciones aeroespaciales, entre otras muchas. Para el diseño de este tipo de sistemas, aspectos tales como la confiabilidad, la definición de modelos de computación, o el uso de metodologías y/o herramientas que faciliten el incremento de la escalabilidad y de la gestión de la complejidad, son fundamentales. La primera parte de esta tesis doctoral se centra en el estudio de aquellas plataformas existentes en el estado del arte que por sus características pueden ser aplicables en el campo de los CPSs, así como en la propuesta de un nuevo diseño de plataforma de altas prestaciones que se ajuste mejor a los nuevos y más exigentes requisitos de las nuevas aplicaciones. Esta primera parte incluye descripción, implementación y validación de la plataforma propuesta, así como conclusiones sobre su usabilidad y sus limitaciones. Los principales objetivos para el diseño de la plataforma propuesta se enumeran a continuación: • Estudiar la viabilidad del uso de una FPGA basada en RAM como principal procesador de la plataforma en cuanto a consumo energético y capacidad de cómputo. • Propuesta de técnicas de gestión del consumo de energía en cada etapa del perfil de trabajo de la plataforma. •Propuestas para la inclusión de reconfiguración dinámica y parcial de la FPGA (por sus siglas en inglés, Dynamic Partial Reconfiguration (DPR)) de forma que sea posible cambiar ciertas partes del sistema en tiempo de ejecución y sin necesidad de interrumpir al resto de las partes. Evaluar su aplicabilidad en el caso de HPADS. Las nuevas aplicaciones y nuevos escenarios a los que se enfrentan los CPSs, imponen nuevos requisitos en cuanto al ancho de banda necesario para el procesamiento de los datos, así como en la adquisición y comunicación de los mismos, además de un claro incremento en la complejidad de los algoritmos empleados. Para poder cumplir con estos nuevos requisitos, las plataformas están migrando desde sistemas tradicionales uni-procesador de 8 bits, a sistemas híbridos hardware-software que incluyen varios procesadores, o varios procesadores y lógica programable. Entre estas nuevas arquitecturas, las FPGAs y los sistemas en chip (por sus siglas en inglés, System on Chip (SoC)) que incluyen procesadores embebidos y lógica programable, proporcionan soluciones con muy buenos resultados en cuanto a consumo energético, precio, capacidad de cómputo y flexibilidad. Estos buenos resultados son aún mejores cuando las aplicaciones tienen altos requisitos de cómputo y cuando las condiciones de trabajo son muy susceptibles de cambiar en tiempo real. La plataforma propuesta en esta tesis doctoral se ha denominado HiReCookie. La arquitectura incluye una FPGA basada en RAM como único procesador, así como un diseño compatible con la plataforma para redes de sensores inalámbricas desarrollada en el Centro de Electrónica Industrial de la Universidad Politécnica de Madrid (CEI-UPM) conocida como Cookies. Esta FPGA, modelo Spartan-6 LX150, era, en el momento de inicio de este trabajo, la mejor opción en cuanto a consumo y cantidad de recursos integrados, cuando además, permite el uso de reconfiguración dinámica y parcial. Es importante resaltar que aunque los valores de consumo son los mínimos para esta familia de componentes, la potencia instantánea consumida sigue siendo muy alta para aquellos sistemas que han de trabajar distribuidos, de forma autónoma, y en la mayoría de los casos alimentados por baterías. Por esta razón, es necesario incluir en el diseño estrategias de ahorro energético para incrementar la usabilidad y el tiempo de vida de la plataforma. La primera estrategia implementada consiste en dividir la plataforma en distintas islas de alimentación de forma que sólo aquellos elementos que sean estrictamente necesarios permanecerán alimentados, cuando el resto puede estar completamente apagado. De esta forma es posible combinar distintos modos de operación y así optimizar enormemente el consumo de energía. El hecho de apagar la FPGA para ahora energía durante los periodos de inactividad, supone la pérdida de la configuración, puesto que la memoria de configuración es una memoria volátil. Para reducir el impacto en el consumo y en el tiempo que supone la reconfiguración total de la plataforma una vez encendida, en este trabajo, se incluye una técnica para la compresión del archivo de configuración de la FPGA, de forma que se consiga una reducción del tiempo de configuración y por ende de la energía consumida. Aunque varios de los requisitos de diseño pueden satisfacerse con el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie, es necesario seguir optimizando diversos parámetros tales como el consumo energético, la tolerancia a fallos y la capacidad de procesamiento. Esto sólo es posible explotando todas las posibilidades ofrecidas por la arquitectura de procesamiento en la FPGA. Por lo tanto, la segunda parte de esta tesis doctoral está centrada en el diseño de una arquitectura reconfigurable denominada ARTICo3 (Arquitectura Reconfigurable para el Tratamiento Inteligente de Cómputo, Confiabilidad y Consumo de energía) para la mejora de estos parámetros por medio de un uso dinámico de recursos. ARTICo3 es una arquitectura de procesamiento para FPGAs basadas en RAM, con comunicación tipo bus, preparada para dar soporte para la gestión dinámica de los recursos internos de la FPGA en tiempo de ejecución gracias a la inclusión de reconfiguración dinámica y parcial. Gracias a esta capacidad de reconfiguración parcial, es posible adaptar los niveles de capacidad de procesamiento, energía consumida o tolerancia a fallos para responder a las demandas de la aplicación, entorno, o métricas internas del dispositivo mediante la adaptación del número de recursos asignados para cada tarea. Durante esta segunda parte de la tesis se detallan el diseño de la arquitectura, su implementación en la plataforma HiReCookie, así como en otra familia de FPGAs, y su validación por medio de diferentes pruebas y demostraciones. Los principales objetivos que se plantean la arquitectura son los siguientes: • Proponer una metodología basada en un enfoque multi-hilo, como las propuestas por CUDA (por sus siglas en inglés, Compute Unified Device Architecture) u Open CL, en la cual distintos kernels, o unidades de ejecución, se ejecuten en un numero variable de aceleradores hardware sin necesidad de cambios en el código de aplicación. • Proponer un diseño y proporcionar una arquitectura en la que las condiciones de trabajo cambien de forma dinámica dependiendo bien de parámetros externos o bien de parámetros que indiquen el estado de la plataforma. Estos cambios en el punto de trabajo de la arquitectura serán posibles gracias a la reconfiguración dinámica y parcial de aceleradores hardware en tiempo real. • Explotar las posibilidades de procesamiento concurrente, incluso en una arquitectura basada en bus, por medio de la optimización de las transacciones en ráfaga de datos hacia los aceleradores. •Aprovechar las ventajas ofrecidas por la aceleración lograda por módulos puramente hardware para conseguir una mejor eficiencia energética. • Ser capaces de cambiar los niveles de redundancia de hardware de forma dinámica según las necesidades del sistema en tiempo real y sin cambios para el código de aplicación. • Proponer una capa de abstracción entre el código de aplicación y el uso dinámico de los recursos de la FPGA. El diseño en FPGAs permite la utilización de módulos hardware específicamente creados para una aplicación concreta. De esta forma es posible obtener rendimientos mucho mayores que en el caso de las arquitecturas de propósito general. Además, algunas FPGAs permiten la reconfiguración dinámica y parcial de ciertas partes de su lógica en tiempo de ejecución, lo cual dota al diseño de una gran flexibilidad. Los fabricantes de FPGAs ofrecen arquitecturas predefinidas con la posibilidad de añadir bloques prediseñados y poder formar sistemas en chip de una forma más o menos directa. Sin embargo, la forma en la que estos módulos hardware están organizados dentro de la arquitectura interna ya sea estática o dinámicamente, o la forma en la que la información se intercambia entre ellos, influye enormemente en la capacidad de cómputo y eficiencia energética del sistema. De la misma forma, la capacidad de cargar módulos hardware bajo demanda, permite añadir bloques redundantes que permitan aumentar el nivel de tolerancia a fallos de los sistemas. Sin embargo, la complejidad ligada al diseño de bloques hardware dedicados no debe ser subestimada. Es necesario tener en cuenta que el diseño de un bloque hardware no es sólo su propio diseño, sino también el diseño de sus interfaces, y en algunos casos de los drivers software para su manejo. Además, al añadir más bloques, el espacio de diseño se hace más complejo, y su programación más difícil. Aunque la mayoría de los fabricantes ofrecen interfaces predefinidas, IPs (por sus siglas en inglés, Intelectual Property) comerciales y plantillas para ayudar al diseño de los sistemas, para ser capaces de explotar las posibilidades reales del sistema, es necesario construir arquitecturas sobre las ya establecidas para facilitar el uso del paralelismo, la redundancia, y proporcionar un entorno que soporte la gestión dinámica de los recursos. Para proporcionar este tipo de soporte, ARTICo3 trabaja con un espacio de soluciones formado por tres ejes fundamentales: computación, consumo energético y confiabilidad. De esta forma, cada punto de trabajo se obtiene como una solución de compromiso entre estos tres parámetros. Mediante el uso de la reconfiguración dinámica y parcial y una mejora en la transmisión de los datos entre la memoria principal y los aceleradores, es posible dedicar un número variable de recursos en el tiempo para cada tarea, lo que hace que los recursos internos de la FPGA sean virtualmente ilimitados. Este variación en el tiempo del número de recursos por tarea se puede usar bien para incrementar el nivel de paralelismo, y por ende de aceleración, o bien para aumentar la redundancia, y por lo tanto el nivel de tolerancia a fallos. Al mismo tiempo, usar un numero óptimo de recursos para una tarea mejora el consumo energético ya que bien es posible disminuir la potencia instantánea consumida, o bien el tiempo de procesamiento. Con el objetivo de mantener los niveles de complejidad dentro de unos límites lógicos, es importante que los cambios realizados en el hardware sean totalmente transparentes para el código de aplicación. A este respecto, se incluyen distintos niveles de transparencia: • Transparencia a la escalabilidad: los recursos usados por una misma tarea pueden ser modificados sin que el código de aplicación sufra ningún cambio. • Transparencia al rendimiento: el sistema aumentara su rendimiento cuando la carga de trabajo aumente, sin cambios en el código de aplicación. • Transparencia a la replicación: es posible usar múltiples instancias de un mismo módulo bien para añadir redundancia o bien para incrementar la capacidad de procesamiento. Todo ello sin que el código de aplicación cambie. • Transparencia a la posición: la posición física de los módulos hardware es arbitraria para su direccionamiento desde el código de aplicación. • Transparencia a los fallos: si existe un fallo en un módulo hardware, gracias a la redundancia, el código de aplicación tomará directamente el resultado correcto. • Transparencia a la concurrencia: el hecho de que una tarea sea realizada por más o menos bloques es transparente para el código que la invoca. Por lo tanto, esta tesis doctoral contribuye en dos líneas diferentes. En primer lugar, con el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie y en segundo lugar con el diseño de la arquitectura ARTICo3. Las principales contribuciones de esta tesis se resumen a continuación. • Arquitectura de la HiReCookie incluyendo: o Compatibilidad con la plataforma Cookies para incrementar las capacidades de esta. o División de la arquitectura en distintas islas de alimentación. o Implementación de los diversos modos de bajo consumo y políticas de despertado del nodo. o Creación de un archivo de configuración de la FPGA comprimido para reducir el tiempo y el consumo de la configuración inicial. • Diseño de la arquitectura reconfigurable para FPGAs basadas en RAM ARTICo3: o Modelo de computación y modos de ejecución inspirados en el modelo de CUDA pero basados en hardware reconfigurable con un número variable de bloques de hilos por cada unidad de ejecución. o Estructura para optimizar las transacciones de datos en ráfaga proporcionando datos en cascada o en paralelo a los distinto módulos incluyendo un proceso de votado por mayoría y operaciones de reducción. o Capa de abstracción entre el procesador principal que incluye el código de aplicación y los recursos asignados para las diferentes tareas. o Arquitectura de los módulos hardware reconfigurables para mantener la escalabilidad añadiendo una la interfaz para las nuevas funcionalidades con un simple acceso a una memoria RAM interna. o Caracterización online de las tareas para proporcionar información a un módulo de gestión de recursos para mejorar la operación en términos de energía y procesamiento cuando además se opera entre distintos nieles de tolerancia a fallos. El documento está dividido en dos partes principales formando un total de cinco capítulos. En primer lugar, después de motivar la necesidad de nuevas plataformas para cubrir las nuevas aplicaciones, se detalla el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie, sus partes, las posibilidades para bajar el consumo energético y se muestran casos de uso de la plataforma así como pruebas de validación del diseño. La segunda parte del documento describe la arquitectura reconfigurable, su implementación en varias FPGAs, y pruebas de validación en términos de capacidad de procesamiento y consumo energético, incluyendo cómo estos aspectos se ven afectados por el nivel de tolerancia a fallos elegido. Los capítulos a lo largo del documento son los siguientes: El capítulo 1 analiza los principales objetivos, motivación y aspectos teóricos necesarios para seguir el resto del documento. El capítulo 2 está centrado en el diseño de la plataforma HiReCookie y sus posibilidades para disminuir el consumo de energía. El capítulo 3 describe la arquitectura reconfigurable ARTICo3. El capítulo 4 se centra en las pruebas de validación de la arquitectura usando la plataforma HiReCookie para la mayoría de los tests. Un ejemplo de aplicación es mostrado para analizar el funcionamiento de la arquitectura. El capítulo 5 concluye esta tesis doctoral comentando las conclusiones obtenidas, las contribuciones originales del trabajo y resultados y líneas futuras. ABSTRACT This PhD Thesis is framed within the field of dynamically reconfigurable embedded systems, advanced sensor networks and distributed computing. The document is centred on the study of processing solutions for high-performance autonomous distributed systems (HPADS) as well as their evolution towards High performance Computing (HPC) systems. The approach of the study is focused on both platform and processor levels to optimise critical aspects such as computing performance, energy efficiency and fault tolerance. HPADS are considered feedback systems, normally networked and/or distributed, with real-time adaptive and predictive functionality. These systems, as part of more complex systems known as Cyber-Physical Systems (CPSs), can be applied in a wide range of fields such as military, health care, manufacturing, aerospace, etc. For the design of HPADS, high levels of dependability, the definition of suitable models of computation, and the use of methodologies and tools to support scalability and complexity management, are required. The first part of the document studies the different possibilities at platform design level in the state of the art, together with description, development and validation tests of the platform proposed in this work to cope with the previously mentioned requirements. The main objectives targeted by this platform design are the following: • Study the feasibility of using SRAM-based FPGAs as the main processor of the platform in terms of energy consumption and performance for high demanding applications. • Analyse and propose energy management techniques to reduce energy consumption in every stage of the working profile of the platform. • Provide a solution with dynamic partial and wireless remote HW reconfiguration (DPR) to be able to change certain parts of the FPGA design at run time and on demand without interrupting the rest of the system. • Demonstrate the applicability of the platform in different test-bench applications. In order to select the best approach for the platform design in terms of processing alternatives, a study of the evolution of the state-of-the-art platforms is required to analyse how different architectures cope with new more demanding applications and scenarios: security, mixed-critical systems for aerospace, multimedia applications, or military environments, among others. In all these scenarios, important changes in the required processing bandwidth or the complexity of the algorithms used are provoking the migration of the platforms from single microprocessor architectures to multiprocessing and heterogeneous solutions with more instant power consumption but higher energy efficiency. Within these solutions, FPGAs and Systems on Chip including FPGA fabric and dedicated hard processors, offer a good trade of among flexibility, processing performance, energy consumption and price, when they are used in demanding applications where working conditions are very likely to vary over time and high complex algorithms are required. The platform architecture proposed in this PhD Thesis is called HiReCookie. It includes an SRAM-based FPGA as the main and only processing unit. The FPGA selected, the Xilinx Spartan-6 LX150, was at the beginning of this work the best choice in terms of amount of resources and power. Although, the power levels are the lowest of these kind of devices, they can be still very high for distributed systems that normally work powered by batteries. For that reason, it is necessary to include different energy saving possibilities to increase the usability of the platform. In order to reduce energy consumption, the platform architecture is divided into different power islands so that only those parts of the systems that are strictly needed are powered on, while the rest of the islands can be completely switched off. This allows a combination of different low power modes to decrease energy. In addition, one of the most important handicaps of SRAM-based FPGAs is that they are not alive at power up. Therefore, recovering the system from a switch-off state requires to reload the FPGA configuration from a non-volatile memory device. For that reason, this PhD Thesis also proposes a methodology to compress the FPGA configuration file in order to reduce time and energy during the initial configuration process. Although some of the requirements for the design of HPADS are already covered by the design of the HiReCookie platform, it is necessary to continue improving energy efficiency, computing performance and fault tolerance. This is only possible by exploiting all the opportunities provided by the processing architectures configured inside the FPGA. Therefore, the second part of the thesis details the design of the so called ARTICo3 FPGA architecture to enhance the already intrinsic capabilities of the FPGA. ARTICo3 is a DPR-capable bus-based virtual architecture for multiple HW acceleration in SRAM-based FPGAs. The architecture provides support for dynamic resource management in real time. In this way, by using DPR, it will be possible to change the levels of computing performance, energy consumption and fault tolerance on demand by increasing or decreasing the amount of resources used by the different tasks. Apart from the detailed design of the architecture and its implementation in different FPGA devices, different validation tests and comparisons are also shown. The main objectives targeted by this FPGA architecture are listed as follows: • Provide a method based on a multithread approach such as those offered by CUDA (Compute Unified Device Architecture) or OpenCL kernel executions, where kernels are executed in a variable number of HW accelerators without requiring application code changes. • Provide an architecture to dynamically adapt working points according to either self-measured or external parameters in terms of energy consumption, fault tolerance and computing performance. Taking advantage of DPR capabilities, the architecture must provide support for a dynamic use of resources in real time. • Exploit concurrent processing capabilities in a standard bus-based system by optimizing data transactions to and from HW accelerators. • Measure the advantage of HW acceleration as a technique to boost performance to improve processing times and save energy by reducing active times for distributed embedded systems. • Dynamically change the levels of HW redundancy to adapt fault tolerance in real time. • Provide HW abstraction from SW application design. FPGAs give the possibility of designing specific HW blocks for every required task to optimise performance while some of them include the possibility of including DPR. Apart from the possibilities provided by manufacturers, the way these HW modules are organised, addressed and multiplexed in area and time can improve computing performance and energy consumption. At the same time, fault tolerance and security techniques can also be dynamically included using DPR. However, the inherent complexity of designing new HW modules for every application is not negligible. It does not only consist of the HW description, but also the design of drivers and interfaces with the rest of the system, while the design space is widened and more complex to define and program. Even though the tools provided by the majority of manufacturers already include predefined bus interfaces, commercial IPs, and templates to ease application prototyping, it is necessary to improve these capabilities. By adding new architectures on top of them, it is possible to take advantage of parallelization and HW redundancy while providing a framework to ease the use of dynamic resource management. ARTICo3 works within a solution space where working points change at run time in a 3D space defined by three different axes: Computation, Consumption, and Fault Tolerance. Therefore, every working point is found as a trade-off solution among these three axes. By means of DPR, different accelerators can be multiplexed so that the amount of available resources for any application is virtually unlimited. Taking advantage of DPR capabilities and a novel way of transmitting data to the reconfigurable HW accelerators, it is possible to dedicate a dynamically-changing number of resources for a given task in order to either boost computing speed or adding HW redundancy and a voting process to increase fault-tolerance levels. At the same time, using an optimised amount of resources for a given task reduces energy consumption by reducing instant power or computing time. In order to keep level complexity under certain limits, it is important that HW changes are transparent for the application code. Therefore, different levels of transparency are targeted by the system: • Scalability transparency: a task must be able to expand its resources without changing the system structure or application algorithms. • Performance transparency: the system must reconfigure itself as load changes. • Replication transparency: multiple instances of the same task are loaded to increase reliability and performance. • Location transparency: resources are accessed with no knowledge of their location by the application code. • Failure transparency: task must be completed despite a failure in some components. • Concurrency transparency: different tasks will work in a concurrent way transparent to the application code. Therefore, as it can be seen, the Thesis is contributing in two different ways. First with the design of the HiReCookie platform and, second with the design of the ARTICo3 architecture. The main contributions of this PhD Thesis are then listed below: • Architecture of the HiReCookie platform including: o Compatibility of the processing layer for high performance applications with the Cookies Wireless Sensor Network platform for fast prototyping and implementation. o A division of the architecture in power islands. o All the different low-power modes. o The creation of the partial-initial bitstream together with the wake-up policies of the node. • The design of the reconfigurable architecture for SRAM FPGAs: ARTICo3: o A model of computation and execution modes inspired in CUDA but based on reconfigurable HW with a dynamic number of thread blocks per kernel. o A structure to optimise burst data transactions providing coalesced or parallel data to HW accelerators, parallel voting process and reduction operation. o The abstraction provided to the host processor with respect to the operation of the kernels in terms of the number of replicas, modes of operation, location in the reconfigurable area and addressing. o The architecture of the modules representing the thread blocks to make the system scalable by adding functional units only adding an access to a BRAM port. o The online characterization of the kernels to provide information to a scheduler or resource manager in terms of energy consumption and processing time when changing among different fault-tolerance levels, as well as if a kernel is expected to work in the memory-bounded or computing-bounded areas. The document of the Thesis is divided into two main parts with a total of five chapters. First, after motivating the need for new platforms to cover new more demanding applications, the design of the HiReCookie platform, its parts and several partial tests are detailed. The design of the platform alone does not cover all the needs of these applications. Therefore, the second part describes the architecture inside the FPGA, called ARTICo3, proposed in this PhD Thesis. The architecture and its implementation are tested in terms of energy consumption and computing performance showing different possibilities to improve fault tolerance and how this impact in energy and time of processing. Chapter 1 shows the main goals of this PhD Thesis and the technology background required to follow the rest of the document. Chapter 2 shows all the details about the design of the FPGA-based platform HiReCookie. Chapter 3 describes the ARTICo3 architecture. Chapter 4 is focused on the validation tests of the ARTICo3 architecture. An application for proof of concept is explained where typical kernels related to image processing and encryption algorithms are used. Further experimental analyses are performed using these kernels. Chapter 5 concludes the document analysing conclusions, comments about the contributions of the work, and some possible future lines for the work.

Contributions to uncertainty reduction in the estimation of PV plants performance

Esta tesis doctoral presenta un procedimiento integral de control de calidad en centrales fotovoltaicas, que comprende desde la fase inicial de estimación de las expectativas de producción hasta la vigilancia del funcionamiento de la instalación una vez en operación, y que permite reducir la incertidumbre asociada su comportamiento y aumentar su fiabilidad a largo plazo, optimizando su funcionamiento. La coyuntura de la tecnología fotovoltaica ha evolucionado enormemente en los últimos años, haciendo que las centrales fotovoltaicas sean capaces de producir energía a unos precios totalmente competitivos en relación con otras fuentes de energía. Esto hace que aumente la exigencia sobre el funcionamiento y la fiabilidad de estas instalaciones. Para cumplir con dicha exigencia, es necesaria la adecuación de los procedimientos de control de calidad aplicados, así como el desarrollo de nuevos métodos que deriven en un conocimiento más completo del estado de las centrales, y que permitan mantener la vigilancia sobre las mismas a lo largo del tiempo. Además, los ajustados márgenes de explotación actuales requieren que durante la fase de diseño se disponga de métodos de estimación de la producción que comporten la menor incertidumbre posible. La propuesta de control de calidad presentada en este trabajo parte de protocolos anteriores orientados a la fase de puesta en marcha de una instalación fotovoltaica, y las complementa con métodos aplicables a la fase de operación, prestando especial atención a los principales problemas que aparecen en las centrales a lo largo de su vida útil (puntos calientes, impacto de la suciedad, envejecimiento…). Además, incorpora un protocolo de vigilancia y análisis del funcionamiento de las instalaciones a partir de sus datos de monitorización, que incluye desde la comprobación de la validez de los propios datos registrados hasta la detección y el diagnóstico de fallos, y que permite un conocimiento automatizado y detallado de las plantas. Dicho procedimiento está orientado a facilitar las tareas de operación y mantenimiento, de manera que se garantice una alta disponibilidad de funcionamiento de la instalación. De vuelta a la fase inicial de cálculo de las expectativas de producción, se utilizan los datos registrados en las centrales para llevar a cabo una mejora de los métodos de estimación de la radiación, que es la componente que más incertidumbre añade al proceso de modelado. El desarrollo y la aplicación de este procedimiento de control de calidad se han llevado a cabo en 39 grandes centrales fotovoltaicas, que totalizan una potencia de 250 MW, distribuidas por varios países de Europa y América Latina. ABSTRACT This thesis presents a comprehensive quality control procedure to be applied in photovoltaic plants, which covers from the initial phase of energy production estimation to the monitoring of the installation performance, once it is in operation. This protocol allows reducing the uncertainty associated to the photovoltaic plants behaviour and increases their long term reliability, therefore optimizing their performance. The situation of photovoltaic technology has drastically evolved in recent years, making photovoltaic plants capable of producing energy at fully competitive prices, in relation to other energy sources. This fact increases the requirements on the performance and reliability of these facilities. To meet this demand, it is necessary to adapt the quality control procedures and to develop new methods able to provide a more complete knowledge of the state of health of the plants, and able to maintain surveillance on them over time. In addition, the current meagre margins in which these installations operate require procedures capable of estimating energy production with the lower possible uncertainty during the design phase. The quality control procedure presented in this work starts from previous protocols oriented to the commissioning phase of a photovoltaic system, and complete them with procedures for the operation phase, paying particular attention to the major problems that arise in photovoltaic plants during their lifetime (hot spots, dust impact, ageing...). It also incorporates a protocol to control and analyse the installation performance directly from its monitoring data, which comprises from checking the validity of the recorded data itself to the detection and diagnosis of failures, and which allows an automated and detailed knowledge of the PV plant performance that can be oriented to facilitate the operation and maintenance of the installation, so as to ensure a high operation availability of the system. Back to the initial stage of calculating production expectations, the data recorded in the photovoltaic plants is used to improved methods for estimating the incident irradiation, which is the component that adds more uncertainty to the modelling process. The development and implementation of the presented quality control procedure has been carried out in 39 large photovoltaic plants, with a total power of 250 MW, located in different European and Latin-American countries.

CLIMA ORGANIZACIONAL E BURNOUT: UM ESTUDO COM SERVIDORES PÚBLICOS FEDERAIS

As condições inadequadas vivenciadas nas organizações afligem não só os trabalhadores da iniciativa privada, pois são igualmente encontradas no segmento estatal, contrariando a expectativa de que o aparato governamental eliminaria as condições insalubres e criaria outras melhores nas quais prevalecesse à promoção de saúde. Diante desse panorama questionou-se porque, uma vez que, pelo menos do ponto de vista da sociedade leiga, esses servidores estão submetidos a condições privilegiadas de trabalho. O presente estudo objetivou identificar e descrever possíveis relações entre o clima organizacional e o burnout em servidores públicos de uma instituição federal de ensino. Objetivou-se ainda descrever o clima organizacional predominante. A pesquisa realizada teve cunho quantitativo, tipo estudo de caso e exploratória. A coleta de dados deu-se por meio das escalas ECO (escala de clima organizacional), ECB (escala de caracterização do burnout) e um questionário sociodemográfico, todos os instrumentos autoaplicáveis eletronicamente disponíveis à instituição. Participaram do estudo 201 servidores públicos federais, com idade média de 37 anos, majoritariamente de nível superior e casados. Os resultados revelaram que cerca de um quarto dos participantes raramente experimentaram burnout, no entanto outra quarta parte deles frequentemente experimentaram altos níveis de burnout, resultado bastante expressivo. Os servidores perceberam clima organizacional mediano, destacando-se a boa coesão entre os colegas de trabalho e a percepção de baixa recompensa. Merece destaque a grande dispersão entre as percepções de clima, o que permite inferir haver subclimas não identificados nesta investigação, possivelmente ocasionados por uma força de clima fraca e pela participação dos servidores de unidades de ensino geograficamente distintas, geridas por gestores locais com relativa autonomia. Os resultados dos cálculos de correlação revelaram que, quanto menos os participantes percebem apoio da chefia e da organização, coesão entre colegas, e mais controle/pressão, mais exaustos se sentem, mais desumanizam as pessoas com quem tratam e mais se decepcionam no trabalho e vice-versa. Conforto físico menor está associado a maior desumanização e a mais decepção no trabalho e vice-versa; e que controle/pressão, relaciona-se positiva e fracamente com desumanização e vice-versa. Desta forma, a hipótese de que existe associação entre burnout e clima organizacional foi confirmada. Os resultados também revelaram que os servidores com burnout, perceberam pior clima organizacional que os seus pares sem burnout, confirmando a segunda hipótese. Esses servidores também se mostraram neutros quanto à percepção de apoio da chefia e conforto físico; não percebem controle pressão, nem recompensa; todavia percebem coesão entre os colegas. Esses resultados sugerem que os participantes têm se apoiado nessas relações para suportar a indiferença e ausência de estímulos experimentados no trabalho. Os resultados obtidos nesse estudo permitiram concluir que o clima organizacional é fraco, provavelmente influenciado por uma cultura organizacional fraca, explicando a heterogeneidade da percepção do clima organizacional pelos servidores. Além disso, embora haja burnout entre poucos participantes, há que se atentar que cerca de um quarto deles, encontra-se acometido desta síndrome e isto poderá contagiar os demais.

Coalescent estimates of HIV-1 generation time in vivo

The generation time of HIV Type 1 (HIV-1) in vivo has previously been estimated using a mathematical model of viral dynamics and was found to be on the order of one to two days per generation. Here, we describe a new method based on coalescence theory that allows the estimate of generation times to be derived by using nucleotide sequence data and a reconstructed genealogy of sequences obtained over time. The method is applied to sequences obtained from a long-term nonprogressing individual at five sampling occasions. The estimate of viral generation time using the coalescent method is 1.2 days per generation and is close to that obtained by mathematical modeling (1.8 days per generation), thus strengthening confidence in estimates of a short viral generation time. Apart from the estimation of relevant parameters relating to viral dynamics, coalescent modeling also allows us to simulate the evolutionary behavior of samples of sequences obtained over time.

Inhibition of telomerase by 2′-O-(2-methoxyethyl) RNA oligomers: effect of length, phosphorothioate substitution and time inside cells

2′-O-(2-methoxyethyl) (2′-MOE) RNA possesses favorable pharmocokinetic properties that make it a promising option for the design of oligonucleotide drugs. Telomerase is a ribonucleoprotein that is up-regulated in many types of cancer, but its potential as a target for chemotherapy awaits the development of potent and selective inhibitors. Here we report inhibition of human telomerase by 2′-MOE RNA oligomers that are complementary to the RNA template region. Fully complementary oligomers inhibited telomerase in a cell extract with IC50 values of 5–10 nM at 37°C. IC50 values for mismatch-containing oligomers varied with length and phosphorothioate substitution. After introduction into DU 145 prostate cancer cells inhibition of telomerase activity persisted for up to 7 days, equivalent to six population doublings. Inside cells discrimination between complementary and mismatch-containing oligomers increased over time. Our results reveal two oligomers as especially promising candidates for initiation of in vivo preclinical trials and emphasize that conclusions regarding oligonucleotide efficacy and specificity in cell extracts do not necessarily offer accurate predictions of activity inside cells.

Efficacia della formazione alla salute e sicurezza sul lavoro: fattori di successo e criticità

Background: sulla base delle evidenze emerse dalle rassegne sistematiche in materia (Johnstone, 1994; Cohen et al.,1998; Robson et al., 2012; Burke et al., 2006; Ricci et al., 2015) si è ipotizzato che la formazione alla salute e sicurezza sul lavoro sia maggiormente efficace quando non è presentata come obbligatoria e venga articolata su più livelli di apprendimento, attraverso metodologie adeguate per ogni livello, con docenti che abbiano caratteristiche corrispondenti allo specifico obiettivo di apprendimento e la cui durata sia parametrata all’obiettivo stesso. Obiettivo di questa ricerca è valutare se esista e quanto sia intensa la relazione causale tra la formazione alla sicurezza sul lavoro e i suoi effetti sul miglioramento delle conoscenze, degli atteggiamenti, dei comportamenti, degli esiti per la salute, del clima di sicurezza aziendale, del controllo comportamentale percepito dai lavoratori, delle condizioni operative e procedure interne, oltre l’eventuale effetto di moderazione determinato da caratteristiche socio-demografiche dei partecipanti e dal gradimento della formazione. Metodo: la variabile indipendente è costituita dell’intervento formativo erogato, articolato in tre condizioni: formazione obbligatoria, formazione non obbligatoria, gruppo di controllo: sono stati posti a confronto due interventi di pari durata (16 settimane, per 10h complessive), realizzati con identiche modalità (step1 audio-visivo; step2 affiancamento su lavoro da parte del preposto; step3 discussione di auto-casi), ma differenziati rispetto all’essere presentati uno come formazione obbligatoria, l’altro come non obbligatoria. I due gruppi sono anche stati confrontati con un gruppo di controllo per il quale la formazione è prevista successivamente. I partecipanti sono stati assegnati in modo casuale al gruppo con obbligo formativo, senza obbligo formativo, di controllo. Sono stati presi come indicatori (variabili dipendenti) per valutare l’effetto della formazione: I livello – conoscenze: riconoscimento o produzione di un maggior numero di risposte corrette. II livello – atteggiamenti e credenze: maggiore propensione a mettere in atto comportamenti auto ed etero protettivi. III livello – comportamenti: comportamenti osservati più adeguati per la tutela della salute propria e altrui. IV livello – salute: maggior grado di benessere bio-psico-sociale auto-riferito. Le misure di esito consistono nella variazione tra la rilevazione iniziale e ogni rilevazione successiva, sulla base delle diverse misure registrate per ognuno dei quattro livelli dell’intervento formativo. Lo stesso confronto del tempo è stato realizzato per le misure del clima di sicurezza aziendale, del controllo comportamentale percepito dai lavoratori, delle condizioni operative e procedure interne, oltre l’eventuale effetto di moderazione determinato da caratteristiche socio-demografiche dei partecipanti e dal gradimento della formazione, quest’ultimo misurato solo immediatamente al termine dell’intervento. Risultati: le condizioni di intervento non differiscono in termini di efficacia, la formazione determina infatti gli stessi risultati per i partecipanti del gruppo obbligo formativo e di quello non obbligo, con una significativa differenza post-intervento rispetto al gruppo di controllo. La formazione ha un effetto forte nel miglioramento delle conoscenze che solo parzialmente decade nel tempo, ma comunque mantenendo un livello maggiore rispetto ai valori iniziali. In relazione al miglioramento di atteggiamenti e comportamenti sicuri nel lavoro al Videoterminale, l’effetto della formazione è modesto: per gli atteggiamenti si registra solo un miglioramento verso l’applicazione delle procedure come utili realmente e non come mero adempimento, ma tale effetto decade entro quattro mesi riportando i partecipanti su valori iniziali; i comportamenti invece migliorano nel tempo, ma con deboli differenze tra partecipanti alla formazione e gruppo di controllo, tuttavia tale miglioramento non decade in seguito. Non si registrano invece effetti della formazione nella direzione attesa in termini di esiti per la salute, per il miglioramento del clima di sicurezza e come maggior controllo comportamentale percepito, non risultano nemmeno dati evidenti di moderazione degli effetti dovuti a caratteristiche socio-demografiche dei partecipanti. Inoltre emerge che il gradimento per la formazione è correlato con migliori atteggiamenti (strumento audio-visivo), il miglioramento del clima di sicurezza e un maggior controllo comportamentale percepito (studio di auto-casi), ovvero gli step che hanno visto l’intervento di formatori qualificati. Infine, la formazione ha determinato migliori condizioni operative e l’adeguamento delle procedure interne. Conclusioni: la presente ricerca ci consente di affermare che la formazione erogata è stata efficace, oltre che molto gradita dai partecipanti, in particolare quando il formatore è qualificato per questa attività (step1 e 3). L’apprendimento prodotto è tanto più stabile nel tempo quanto più i contenuti sono in stretta relazione con l’esperienza lavorativa quotidiana dei partecipanti, mentre negli altri casi il decremento degli effetti è alquanto rapido, di conseguenza ribadiamo la necessità di erogare la formazione con continuità nel tempo. E’ risultato comunque modesto l’effetto della formazione per migliorare gli atteggiamenti e i comportamenti nel lavoro al VDT, ma, al di là di alcuni limiti metodologici, sono obiettivi ambiziosi che richiedono più tempo di quanto abbiamo potuto disporre in questa occasione e il cui conseguimento risente molto delle prassi reali adottate nel contesto lavorativo dopo il termine della formazione. Le evidenze finora prodotte non hanno poi chiarito in modo definitivo se attraverso la formazione si possano determinare effetti significativi nel miglioramento di esiti per la salute, anche eventualmente attraverso interventi di supporto individuale. Inoltre l’assenza di differenze significative negli effetti tra i partecipanti assegnati alla condizione di obbligo e quelli di non obbligo, eccezion fatta in direzione opposta alle attese per la misura del danno da lavoro, suggeriscono che nell’erogare la formazione, occorre sottolineare in misura molto rilevante l’importanza dell’intervento che viene realizzato, anche qualora esistesse una prescrizione normativa cogente. Infine, la ricerca ci ha fornito anche indicazioni metodologiche e misure valide che invitano ad estendere questa formazione, e la sua valutazione di efficacia, a diversi comparti economici e svariate mansioni. Nel fare questo è possibile fare riferimento, e testare nuovamente, un modello che indica la corretta percezione del rischio (conoscenza) come fattore necessario, ma non sufficiente per ottenere, con la mediazione di atteggiamenti favorevoli allo specifico comportamento, azioni sicure, attraverso le quali si rinforza l’atteggiamento e migliorano le conoscenze. La formazione, per raggiungere i propri obiettivi, deve tuttavia agire anche sui meccanismi di conformismo sociale favorevoli alla safety, questi originano da conoscenze e azioni sicure e reciprocamente le rinforzano.

Quality of pharmaceutical advertising and gender bias in medical journals (1998-2008): a review of the scientific literature

Objective: To review the scientific literature on pharmaceutical advertising aimed at health professionals in order to determine whether gender bias has decreased and the quality of information in pharmaceutical advertising has improved over time. Methods: We performed a content analysis of original articles dealing with medical drug promotion (1998-2008), according to quality criteria such as (a) the number, validity and accessibility of bibliographic references provided in pharmaceutical advertising and (b) the extent to which gender representations were consistent with the prevalence of the diseases. Databases: PUBMED, Medline, Scopus, Sociological Abstract, Eric and LILACS. Results: We reviewed 31 articles that analyzed advertising in medical journals from 1975-2005 and were published between 1998 and 2008. We found that the number of references used to support pharmaceutical advertising claims increased from 1975 but that 50% of these references were not valid. There was a tendency to depict men in paid productive roles, while women appeared inside the home or in non-occupational social contexts. Advertisements for psychotropic and cardiovascular drugs overrepresented women and men respectively. Conclusions: The use of bibliographic references increased between 1998 and 2008. However, representation of traditional male-female roles was similar in 1975 and 2005. Pharmaceutical advertisements may contribute to reinforcing the perception that certain diseases are associated with the most frequently portrayed sex.

Use of an Inverse Method for Time Series to Estimate the Dynamics of and Management Strategies for the Box Jellyfish Carybdea marsupialis

Frequently, population ecology of marine organisms uses a descriptive approach in which their sizes and densities are plotted over time. This approach has limited usefulness for design strategies in management or modelling different scenarios. Population projection matrix models are among the most widely used tools in ecology. Unfortunately, for the majority of pelagic marine organisms, it is difficult to mark individuals and follow them over time to determine their vital rates and built a population projection matrix model. Nevertheless, it is possible to get time-series data to calculate size structure and densities of each size, in order to determine the matrix parameters. This approach is known as a “demographic inverse problem” and it is based on quadratic programming methods, but it has rarely been used on aquatic organisms. We used unpublished field data of a population of cubomedusae Carybdea marsupialis to construct a population projection matrix model and compare two different management strategies to lower population to values before year 2008 when there was no significant interaction with bathers. Those strategies were by direct removal of medusae and by reducing prey. Our results showed that removal of jellyfish from all size classes was more effective than removing only juveniles or adults. When reducing prey, the highest efficiency to lower the C. marsupialis population occurred when prey depletion affected prey of all medusae sizes. Our model fit well with the field data and may serve to design an efficient management strategy or build hypothetical scenarios such as removal of individuals or reducing prey. TThis This sdfsdshis method is applicable to other marine or terrestrial species, for which density and population structure over time are available.

Quantifying ice-shelf basal melt and ice-stream dynamics using high-resolution DEM and GPS time series

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2016-06

Time Trends in First Episode Genital HSV infections in an Urban STD Clinic

Thesis (Master's)--University of Washington, 2016-06