Immigration and the survival of the welfare state

This paper analyzes the political sustainability of the welfare state in a model where immigration policy is also endogenous. In the model, the skills of the native population are affected by immigration and skill accumulation. Moreover, immigrants affect future policies, once they gain the right to vote. The main finding is that the long-run survival of redistributive policies is linked to an immigration policy specifying both skill and quantity restrictions. In particular, in steady state the unskilled majority admits a limited inflow of unskilled immigrants in order to offset growth in the fraction of skilled voters and maintain a high degree of income redistribution.Interestingly, equilibrium immigration policy shifts from unrestricted skilled immigration,when the country is skill-scarce, to restricted unskilled immigration, as the fraction of native skilled workers increases. The analysis also suggests a new set of variables that may help explain international differences in immigration restrictions.

Impact of small variations in temperature and humidity on the reproductive activity and survival of Aedes aegypti (Diptera, Culicidae)

In short space of time increase in temperature and rainfall can affect vector populations and, consequently, the diseases for them transmitted. The present study analyzed the effect of small temperature and humidity variations on the fecundity, fertility and survival of Aedes aegypti. These parameters were analyzed using individual females at temperatures ranging from 23 to 27 °C (mean 25 °C); 28 to 32 °C (mean 30 °C) and 33 to 37 °C (mean 35 ºC) associated to 60±8% and 80±6% relative humidity. Females responded to an increase in temperature by reducing egg production, oviposition time and changing oviposition patterns. At 25 ºC and 80% relative humidity, females survived two-fold more and produced 40% more eggs when compared to those kept at 35 ºC and 80% relative humidity. However, in 45% of females kept at 35 ºC and 60% relative humidity oviposition was inhibited and only 15% females laid more than 100 eggs, suggesting that the intensity of the temperature effect was influenced by humidity. Gradual reductions in egg fertility at 60% relative humidity were observed with the increase in temperature, although such effect was not found in the 80% relative humidity at 25 º C and 30 º C. These results suggest that the reduction in population densities recorded in tropical areas during seasons when temperatures reach over 35 ºC is likely to be strongly influenced by temperature and humidity, with a negative effect on several aspects of mosquito biology.

Expression of apoptosis and survival genes in human memory T cell populations

RESUME Introduction: Les cellules T mémoires humaines sont classées en trois sous-populations sur la base de l'expression d'un marqueur de surface cellulaire, CD45RA, et du récepteur aux chimiokines, CCR7. Ces sous-populations, nommées cellules mémoires centrales (TcM), mémoires effectrices (TEM) et mémoires effectrices terminales (ITEM), ont des rôles fonctionnels distincts, ainsi que des capacités de prolifération et de régénération différentes. Cependant, la génération de ces différences reste encore mal comprise et on ignore les mécanismes moléculaires impliqués. Matériaux et Méthodes: Des cellules mononucléaires humaines du sang périphérique ont été séparées par cytométrie de flux selon leur expression de CD4, CD8, CD45RA et CCR7 en sous-populations de cellules CD4+ ou CD8+ naïves, TcM, TEM ou ITEM. Dans chacune de ces sous-populations, 14 gènes impliqués dans l'apoptose, la survie ou la capacité proliférative des cellules T ont été quantifiés par RT-PCR en temps réel, relativement à l'expression d'un gène de référence endogène. L'ARN provenant de 450 cellules T a été utilisé par gène et par sous-population. Les gènes analysés (cibles) comprenaient des gènes de survie (BAFF, APRIL, BAFF-R, BCMA, TACI, IL-15Rα, IL-7Rα), des gènes anti-apoptotiques (Bcl-2, BclxL, FLIP), des gènes pro-apoptotiques (Bad, Bax, Fast) et le gène anti-prolifératif, Tob. A l'aide de la méthode comparative delta-delta-CT, le taux d'expression des gènes cibles de chaque sous-population des cellules T mémoires CD4+ et CD8+, à été comparée à leur taux d'expression dans les cellules T naïves CD4+ et CD8+. Résultats: Dans les cellules CD8+, les gènes pro-apoptotiques Bax et Fast étaient surexprimés dans toutes les sous-populations mémoires, tandis que l'expression des facteurs anti-apoptotiques et de survie comme Bcl-2, APRIL et BAFF-R, étaient diminués. Ces deux tendances étaient particulièrement accentuées dans les sous-groupes des cellules mémoires TEM et TTEM. A noter que malgré le fait que leur expression était également diminuée dans les autres cellules mémoires, le facteur de survie IL-7Ra, était sélectivement surexprimé dans la sous-population de cellules TcM et l'expression d'IL-15Ra était sélectivement augmentée dans les TEM. Dans les cellules CD4+, le taux d'expression des gènes analysés était plus variable entre les sujets étudiés que dans les cellules CD8+, ne permettant pas de définir un profil d'expression spécifique. L'expression du gène de survie BAFF par contre, a été significativement augmentée dans toutes les sous-populations mémoire CD4+. Il en va de même pour l'expression d' APRIL et de BAFF-R, bien que dans moindre degré. A remarquer que l'expression du facteur anti-apoptotique Fast a été observée uniquement dans la souspopulation des TTEM. Discussion et Conclusions: Cette étude montre une nette différence entre les cellules CD8+ et CD4+, en ce qui concerne les profils d'expression des gènes impliqués dans la survie et l'apoptose des cellules T mémoires. Ceci pourrait impliquer une régulation cellulaire homéostatique distincte dans ces deux compartiments de cellules T mémoires. Dans les cellules CD8+ l'expression d'un nombre de gènes impliqués dans la survie et la protection de l'apoptose semblerait être diminuée dans les populations TEM et TTEM en comparaison à celle des sous-populations naïves et TEM, tandis que l'expression des gènes pro-apoptotiques semblerait être augmentée. Comme ceci paraît être plus accentué dans les TTEM, cela pourrait indiquer une plus grande disposition à l'apopotose dans les populations CCR7- (effectrices) et une perte de survie parallèlement à l'acquisition de capacités effectrices. Ceci parlerait en faveur d'un modèle de différentiation linéaire dans les cellules CD8+. De plus, l'augmentation sélective de l'expression d'IL-7Ra observée dans le sous-groupe de cellules mémoires TEM, et d'IL-15Ra dans celui des TEM, pourrait indiquer un moyen de sélection pour des réponses immunitaires mémoires à long terme par une réponse distincte à ces cytokines. Dans les cellules CD4+ par contre, aucun profil d'expression n'a pu être déterminé; les résultats suggèrent même une résistance relative à l'apoptose de la part des cellules mémoires. Ceci pourrait favoriser l'existence d'un modèle de différentiation plus flexible avec des possibilités d'interaction multiples. Ainsi, la surexpression sélective de BAFF, APRIL et BAFF-R dans les sous-populations individuelles des cellules mémoires pourrait être un indice de l'interaction de ces sous-groupes avec des cellules B. ABSTRACT Introduction: Based on their surface expression of the CD45 isoform and of the CCR7 chemokine receptor, memory T cells have been divided into the following three subsets: central memory (TAM), effector memory (TEM) and terminal effector memory (ITEM). Distinct functional roles and different proliferative and regenerative capacities have been attributed to each one of these subpopulations. The molecular mechanisms underlying these differences; however, remain poorly understood. Materials and Methods: According to their expression of CD4, CD8, CD45RA and CCR7, human peripheral blood mononuclear cells were sorted by flow-cytometry into CD4+ or CD8+ naïve, TAM, TEM and ITEM subsets. Using real-time PCR, the expression of 14 genes known to be involved in apoptotis, survival or proliferation of T cells was quantified separately in each individual subset, relative to an endogenous reference gene. The RNA equivalent of 450 T cells was used for each gene and subset. The target gene panel included the survival genes BAFF, APRIL, BAFF-R, BCMA, TACI, IL-15Rα and IL-7Rα, the anti-apoptotic genes Bcl2, Bcl-xL and FLIP, the pro-apoptotic genes Bad, Bax and Fast, as well as the antiproliferative gene Tob. Using the comparative CT-method, the expression of the target genes in the three memory T cell subsets of both CD4+ and CD8+ T cell populations was compared to their expression in the naïve T cells. Results: In CD8+ cells, the pro-apoptotic factors Bax and Fast were found to be upregulated in all memory T cell subsets, whereas the survival and anti-apoptotic factors Bcl-2, APRIL and BAFF-R were downregulated. These tendencies were most accentuated in TEM and TTEM subsets. Even though the survival factor IL-7Rα was also downregulated in these subsets, interestingly, it was selectively upregulated in the CD8+ TAM subset. Similarly, IL-15Rαexpression was shown to be selectively upregulated in the CD8+ TEM subset. In CD4+ cells, the expression levels of the analyzed genes showed a greater inter-individual variability than in CD8+ cells, thus suggesting the absence of any particular expression pattern for CD4+ memory T cells. However, the survival factor BAFF was found to be significantly upregulated in all CD4+ memory T cell subsets, as was also the expression of APRIL and BAFF-R, although to a lesser extent. Furthermore, it was noted that the pro-apoptotic gene Fast was only expressed in the TTEM CD4+ subset. Discussion and Conclusions: Genes involved in apoptosis and survival in human memory T cells have been shown to be expressed differently in CD8+ cells as compared to CD4+ cells, suggesting a distinct regulation of cell homeostasis in these two memory T cell compartments. The present study suggests that, in CD8+ T cells, the expression of various survival and antiapoptotic genes is downregulated in TEM and TTEM subsets, while the expression of proapoptotic genes is upregulated in comparison to the naïve and the TAM populations. These characteristics, potentially translating to a greater susceptibility to apoptosis in the CCR7- (effector) memory populations, are accentuated in the TTEM population, suggesting a loss of survival in parallel to the acquisition of effector capacities. This speaks in favour of a linear differentiation model in CD8+ T memory cells. Moreover, the observed selectively increased expression of IL-7Rα in CD8+ TAM cells - as that of IL-15Rα in CD8+ TEM cells -suggest that differential responsiveness to cytokines could confer a selection bias for distinct long-term memory cell responses. Relative to the results for CD8+ T cells, those for CD4+ T cells seem to indicate a certain resistance of the memory subsets to apoptosis, suggesting the possibility of a more flexible differentiation model with multiple checkpoints and potential interaction of CD4+ memory cells with other cells. Thus, the selective upregulation of BAFF, APRIL and BAFF-R in individual memory subsets could imply an interaction of these subsets with B cells.

Effect of gossypol on survival and reproduction of the zoophytophagous stinkbug Podisus nigrispinus (Dallas)

Effect of gossypol on survival and reproduction of the zoophytophagous stinkbug Podisus nigrispinus (Dallas). Gossypol is a sesquiterpene aldehyde found in cotton plants conferring resistance against herbivory. Although the effect of this sesquiterpenoid on insect pests of cotton is known, the interaction of this compound with zoophytophagous predators such as Podisus nigrispinus (Dallas) (Hemiptera, Pentatomidae) has not been studied so far. Thus, the objective of this study was to evaluate the effect of the purified gossypol on nymphs and adults of P. nigrispinus. Nymphs and adults of this predator were fed on Tenebrio molitor pupae and supplemented with solutions of gossypol at concentrations of 0.00, 0.05, 0.10, and 0.20% (w/v) during the nymphal and adult stages or, only during the adult stage of P. nigrispinus. The nymphal stage of the predator was, on average, two days longer when suplemmented with gossypol. Emerged adults had lower fecundity and egg hatching, especially at the highest gossypol concentration (0.20%) ingested during the nymphal and adult stages. However, this predator was not affected when it ingested the compound only during the adult stage. P. nigrispinus can have delayed nymphal development and lower reproductive performance when ingesting the gossypol during the nymphal and adult stages, but only at higher concentrations of gossypol than that produced by cotton plants.

The effect of environment on development and survival of pupae of the necrophagous fly Ophyra albuquerquei Lopes (Diptera, Muscidae)

The effect of environment on development and survival of pupae of the necrophagous fly Ophyra albuquerquei Lopes (Diptera, Muscidae). Species of Ophyra Robineau-Desvoidy, 1830 are found in decomposing bodies, usually in fresh, bloated and decay stages. Ophyra albuquerquei Lopes, for example, can be found in animal carcasses. The influence of environmental factors has not been evaluated in puparia of O. albuquerquei. Thus, the focus of this work was motivated by the need for models to predict the development of a necrophagous insect as a function of abiotic factors. Colonies of O. albuquerquei were maintained in the laboratory to obtain pupae. On the tenth day of each month 200 pupae, divided equally into 10 glass jars, were exposed to the environment and checked daily for adult emergence of each sample. We concluded that the high survival rate observed suggested that the diets used for rearing the larvae and maintaining the adults were appropriate. Also, the data adjusted to robust generalized linear models and there were no interruptions of O. albuquerquei pupae development within the limits of temperatures studied in southern Rio Grande do Sul, given the high survival presented.

Twenty-eight days and long term survival after severe sepsis and septic shock in adults

Résumé : Nous avons effectué une étude de cohorte examinant la survie de tous les patients qui ont présenté une sepsis sévère ou un choc septique aux soins intensifs de médecine et de chirurgie du CIIUV durant une période de 3 ans. Introduction: La sepsis sévère et le choc septique constituent la deuxième cause de mortalité dans les unités de soins intensifs non coronaires. La survie à long terme est mal connue. Nous avons comparé la survie à 28 jours de notre collectif avec les données de la littérature, examiné la survie à long terme des patients ayant survécus plus de 28 jours et identifié des paramètres prédictifs de la survie. Matériel et méthode : Nous avons classifié les patients ayant présenté un épisode septique rétrospectivement en sepsis sévère ou choc septique selon les critères de Bone (1). Les données cliniques et paracliniques ont été relevées au moment de l'épisode. Des courbes de survie uni- et multivariées ont été établies à 28 jours et à long terme chez ceux qui ont survécus plus de 28 jours, d'après les données de questionnaires envoyés aux médecins traitants. Résultats : Durant Ìa période de l'étude, 339 patients ont présenté un choc septique (169) ou une sepsis sévère (170). La mortalité à 28 jours a été de 33% (choc septique: 55%, sepsis sévère: 11.2%, p<10"5). Les données significativement associées à la mortalité à 28 jours dans l'analyse de régression multivariée selon Cox ont été le type d'épisode septique (choc septique vs. sepsis sévère, p=0.001), le «Acute Physiology Score» du score APACHE II (p=0.02) et le nombre de dysfonctions d'organes (plus de trois dysfunctions, p=0.04). 227 patients ont survécu plus de 28 jours et des données de suivi ont été obtenues chez 225. Le suivi moyen après 28 jours a été de 25.1 mois (5700 mois-patients). La mortalité globale de ces patients, extrapolée des courbes de Kaplan-Meyer, a été de l'ordre de 7% à 1 an et de 15% à 2 ans. Les données significativement associées à leur survie à long terme ont été les "chronic health points" du score APACHE II (p=0.02), l'âge (p=0.05) et le fait d'avoir subi une opération chirurgicale avant l'épisode septique (p=0.02). Conclusion : La mortalité à 28 jours de notre cohorte de patients s'est révélée comparable aux chiffres publiés. La survie à long terme des patients ayant survécu plus de 28 jours a été satisfaisante. Elle s'est révélée indépendante de la sévérité de l'épisode septique, mais dépendait plutôt des conditions de santé sous-jacentes.

TAK1 is required for survival of mouse fibroblasts treated with TRAIL, and does so by NF-kappaB dependent induction of cFLIPL.

Tumor necrosis factor (TNF)-related apoptosis-inducing ligand (TRAIL) is known as a "death ligand"-a member of the TNF superfamily that binds to receptors bearing death domains. As well as causing apoptosis of certain types of tumor cells, TRAIL can activate both NF-kappaB and JNK signalling pathways. To determine the role of TGF-beta-Activated Kinase-1 (TAK1) in TRAIL signalling, we analyzed the effects of adding TRAIL to mouse embryonic fibroblasts (MEFs) derived from TAK1 conditional knockout mice. TAK1-/- MEFs were significantly more sensitive to killing by TRAIL than wild-type MEFs, and failed to activate NF-kappaB or JNK. Overexpression of IKK2-EE, a constitutive activator of NF-kappaB, protected TAK1-/- MEFs against TRAIL killing, suggesting that TAK1 activation of NF-kappaB is critical for the viability of cells treated with TRAIL. Consistent with this model, TRAIL failed to induce the survival genes cIAP2 and cFlipL in the absence of TAK1, whereas activation of NF-kappaB by IKK2-EE restored the levels of both proteins. Moreover, ectopic expression of cFlipL, but not cIAP2, in TAK1-/- MEFs strongly inhibited TRAIL-induced cell death. These results indicate that cells that survive TRAIL treatment may do so by activation of a TAK1-NF-kappaB pathway that drives expression of cFlipL, and suggest that TAK1 may be a good target for overcoming TRAIL resistance.

Propofol anesthesia impairs the maturation and survival of adult-born hippocampal neurons.

BACKGROUND: Adult neurogenesis occurs in the hippocampus of most mammals, including humans, and plays an important role in hippocampal-dependent learning. This process is highly regulated by neuronal activity and might therefore be vulnerable to anesthesia. In this article, the authors investigated this possibility by evaluating the impact of propofol anesthesia on mouse hippocampal neurons generated during adulthood, at two functionally distinct maturational stages of their development. METHODS: Adult-born hippocampal neurons were identified using the cell proliferation marker bromodeoxyuridine or a retroviral vector expressing the green fluorescent protein in dividing cells and their progenies. Eleven or 17 days after the labeling procedure, animals (n = 3-5 animals per group) underwent a 6-h-long propofol anesthesia. Twenty-one days after labeling, the authors analyzed the survival, differentiation, and morphologic maturation of adult-born neurons using confocal microscopy. RESULTS: Propofol impaired the survival and maturation of adult-born neurons in an age-dependent manner. Anesthesia induced a significant decrease in the survival of neurons that were 17 days old at the time of anesthesia, but not of neurons that were 11 days old. Similarly, propofol anesthesia significantly reduced the dendritic maturation of neurons generated 17 days before anesthesia, without interfering with the maturation of neurons generated 11 days before anesthesia. CONCLUSIONS: These results reveal that propofol impairs the survival and maturation of adult-born hippocampal neurons in a developmental stage-dependent manner in mice.

Atrioventricular septal defects among infants in Europe: a population-based study of prevalence, associated anomalies, and survival.

OBJECTIVE: To describe the epidemiology of chromosomal and non-chromosomal cases of atrioventricular septal defects in Europe. METHODS: Data were obtained from EUROCAT, a European network of population-based registries collecting data on congenital anomalies. Data from 13 registries for the period 2000-2008 were included. RESULTS: There was a total of 993 cases of atrioventricular septal defects, with a total prevalence of 5.3 per 10,000 births (95% confidence interval 4.1 to 6.5). Of the total cases, 250 were isolated cardiac lesions, 583 were chromosomal cases, 79 had multiple anomalies, 58 had heterotaxia sequence, and 23 had a monogenic syndrome. The total prevalence of chromosomal cases was 3.1 per 10,000 (95% confidence interval 1.9 to 4.3), with a large variation between registers. Of the 993 cases, 639 cases were live births, 45 were stillbirths, and 309 were terminations of pregnancy owing to foetal anomaly. Among the groups, additional associated cardiac anomalies were most frequent in heterotaxia cases (38%) and least frequent in chromosomal cases (8%). Coarctation of the aorta was the most common associated cardiac defect. The 1-week survival rate for live births was 94%. CONCLUSION: Of all cases, three-quarters were associated with other anomalies, both chromosomal and non-chromosomal. For infants with atrioventricular septal defects and no chromosomal anomalies, cardiac defects were often more complex compared with infants with atrioventricular septal defects and a chromosomal anomaly. Clinical outcomes for atrioventricular septal defects varied between regions. The proportion of termination of pregnancy for foetal anomaly was higher for cases with multiple anomalies, chromosomal anomalies, and heterotaxia sequence.

BAFF AND APRIL: a tutorial on B cell survival.

BAFF, a member of the TNF family, is a fundamental survival factor for transitional and mature B cells. BAFF overexpression leads to an expanded B cell compartment and autoimmunity in mice, and elevated amounts of BAFF can be found in the serum of autoimmune patients. APRIL is a related factor that shares receptors with BAFF yet appears to play a different biological role. The BAFF system provides not only potential insight into the development of autoreactive B cells but a relatively simple paradigm to begin considering the balancing act between survival, growth, and death that affects all cells.

Prediction of 18-month survival in patients with primary myelodysplastic syndrome. A regression model and scoring system based on the combination of chromosome findings and the Bournemouth score.

The predictive potential of six selected factors was assessed in 72 patients with primary myelodysplastic syndrome using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analysis of survival at 18 months. Factors were age (above median of 69 years), dysplastic features in the three myeloid bone marrow cell lineages, presence of chromosome defects, all metaphases abnormal, double or complex chromosome defects (C23), and a Bournemouth score of 2, 3, or 4 (B234). In the multivariate approach, B234 and C23 proved to be significantly associated with a reduction in the survival probability. The similarity of the regression coefficients associated with these two factors means that they have about the same weight. Consequently, the model was simplified by counting the number of factors (0, 1, or 2) present in each patient, thus generating a scoring system called the Lausanne-Bournemouth score (LB score). The LB score combines the well-recognized and easy-to-use Bournemouth score (B score) with the chromosome defect complexity, C23 constituting an additional indicator of patient outcome. The predicted risk of death within 18 months calculated from the model is as follows: 7.1% (confidence interval: 1.7-24.8) for patients with an LB score of 0, 60.1% (44.7-73.8) for an LB score of 1, and 96.8% (84.5-99.4) for an LB score of 2. The scoring system presented here has several interesting features. The LB score may improve the predictive value of the B score, as it is able to recognize two prognostic groups in the intermediate risk category of patients with B scores of 2 or 3. It has also the ability to identify two distinct prognostic subclasses among RAEB and possibly CMML patients. In addition to its above-described usefulness in the prognostic evaluation, the LB score may bring new insights into the understanding of evolution patterns in MDS. We used the combination of the B score and chromosome complexity to define four classes which may be considered four possible states of myelodysplasia and which describe two distinct evolutional pathways.

Control of mitochondrial pH by uncoupling protein 4 in astrocytes promotes neuronal survival.

Brain activity is energetically costly and requires a steady and highly regulated flow of energy equivalents between neural cells. It is believed that a substantial share of cerebral glucose, the major source of energy of the brain, will preferentially be metabolized in astrocytes via aerobic glycolysis. The aim of this study was to evaluate whether uncoupling proteins (UCPs), located in the inner membrane of mitochondria, play a role in setting up the metabolic response pattern of astrocytes. UCPs are believed to mediate the transmembrane transfer of protons, resulting in the uncoupling of oxidative phosphorylation from ATP production. UCPs are therefore potentially important regulators of energy fluxes. The main UCP isoforms expressed in the brain are UCP2, UCP4, and UCP5. We examined in particular the role of UCP4 in neuron-astrocyte metabolic coupling and measured a range of functional metabolic parameters including mitochondrial electrical potential and pH, reactive oxygen species production, NAD/NADH ratio, ATP/ADP ratio, CO2 and lactate production, and oxygen consumption rate. In brief, we found that UCP4 regulates the intramitochondrial pH of astrocytes, which acidifies as a consequence of glutamate uptake, with the main consequence of reducing efficiency of mitochondrial ATP production. The diminished ATP production is effectively compensated by enhancement of glycolysis. This nonoxidative production of energy is not associated with deleterious H2O2 production. We show that astrocytes expressing more UCP4 produced more lactate, which is used as an energy source by neurons, and had the ability to enhance neuronal survival.

Risk factors for survival after lung metastasectomy in colorectal cancer patients: a systematic review and meta-analysis.

BACKGROUND: Resection of lung metastases (LM) from colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasingly performed with a curative intent. It is currently not possible to identify those CRC patients who may benefit the most from this surgical strategy. The aim of this study was to perform a systematic review of risk factors for survival after lung metastasectomy for CRC. METHODS: We performed a meta-analysis of series published between 2000 and 2011, which focused on surgical management of LM from CRC and included more than 40 patients each. Pooled hazard ratios (HR) were calculated by using random effects model for parameters considered as potential prognostic factors. RESULTS: Twenty-five studies including a total of 2925 patients were considered in this analysis. Four parameters were associated with poor survival: (1) a short disease-free interval between primary tumor resection and development of LM (HR 1.59, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.27-1.98); (2) multiple LM (HR 2.04, 95 % CI 1.72-2.41); (3) positive hilar and/or mediastinal lymph nodes (HR 1.65, 95 % CI 1.35-2.02); and (4) elevated prethoracotomy carcinoembryonic antigen (HR 1.91, 95 % CI 1.57-2.32). By comparison, a history of resected liver metastases (HR 1.22, 95 % CI 0.91-1.64) did not achieve statistical significance. CONCLUSIONS: Clinical variables associated with prolonged survival after surgery for LM in CRC patients include prolonged disease-free interval between primary tumor and metastatic spread, normal prethoracotomy carcinoembryonic antigen, absence of thoracic node involvement, and a single pulmonary lesion.

The Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score and copeptin for predicting survival in ventilator-associated pneumonia.

INTRODUCTION: Ventilator-associated pneumonia remains the most common nosocomial infection in the critically ill and contributes to significant morbidity. Eventual decisions regarding withdrawal or maximal therapy are demanding and rely on physicians' experience. Additional objective tools for risk assessment may improve medical judgement. Copeptin, reflecting vasopressin release, as well as the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) score, reflecting the individual degree of organ dysfunction, might qualify for survival prediction in ventilator-associated pneumonia. We investigated the predictive value of the SOFA score and copeptin in ventilator-associated pneumonia. METHODS: One hundred one patients with ventilator-associated pneumonia were prospectively assessed. Death within 28 days after ventilator-associated pneumonia onset was the primary end point. RESULTS: The SOFA score and the copeptin levels at ventilator-associated pneumonia onset were significantly elevated in nonsurvivors (P = .002 and P = .017, respectively). Both markers had different time courses in survivors and nonsurvivors (P < .001 and P = .006). Mean SOFA (average SOFA of 10 days after VAP onset) was superior in predicting 28-day survival as compared with SOFA and copeptin at ventilator-associated pneumonia onset (area under the curve, 0.90 vs 0.73 and 0.67, respectively). CONCLUSIONS: The predictive value of serial-measured SOFA significantly exceeds those of single SOFA and copeptin measurements. Serial SOFA scores accurately predict outcome in ventilator-associated pneumonia.