Empirical evidence on real convergence across brazilian states

This paper examines the real convergence hypothesis across Brazilian states. In order to test for the existence of income convergence the or- der of integration of real Gross State Product (GSP) per capita series is examined as well as their di¤erences with respect to the São Paulo state which is used as a benchmark state. Both parametric and semiparametric methods are used and the results show that convergence is achieved in the cases of Alagoas, Amazonas, Bahia, Goiás, Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais, Pernambuco, Piauí, Rio Grande do Sul, Rio de Janeiro and Santa Cata- rina and convergence is weakly achieved in the cases of Ceará, Maranhao, Pará, Paraná and Sergipe .The states of Espírito Santo, Paraíba and Rio Grande do Norte show no convergence. O artigo examina a hipótese de convergência real entre os estados brasileiros. Para testar a existência ou não da convergência da renda a ordem da integração da série do produto real bruto do estado per capita é examinada assim como suas diferenças com respeito ao estado de São Paulo que é usado como base. Foram utilizados métodos paramétricos e semiparametric e os resultados mostram que ocorre convergência nos estados: Alagoas, Amazonas, Baía, Goiás, Mato Grosso, Minas Gerais, Pernambuco, Piauí, Rio Grande do Sul, Rio de Janeiro e Santa Catarina e ocorre convergência fraca nos estados: Ceará, de Maranhão, Pará, Paraná e Sergipe. Nos estado

Preliminary Overview of the Economies of Latin America and the Caribbean 2006

Includes bibliography

The competitive real exchange-rate regime, inflation and monetary policy

Includes bibliography

Estimação de variáveis físico-químicas de solo por espectroscopia no visível e no infravermelho próximo através de sistemas inteligentes

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Nicaragua: evolución económica durante 2005 y perspectivas para 2006

Incluye Bibliografía

Aplicação de ferramentas do pensamento enxuto na redução de perdas na indústria sucroenergética: um estudo de caso

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Política cambial brasileira e seus efeitos nas exportações paraenses: 1990 - 2003

O principal objetivo da dissertação é analisar os efeitos que a política cambial brasileira promoveu nas exportações F.O.B. de bauxita, alumínio primário, minério de ferro e caulim. Para tal, é desenvolvido um modelo econométrico, Modelo de ajustamento parcial de Nerlove, procurando avaliar os padrões de reação das exportações no curto e longo prazos. Os dados utilizados são trimestrais e cobrem o período de 1990 a 2003. As regressões foram estimadas através do método dos Mínimos Quadrados Ordinários (MQO). As variáveis elegidas como explicativas foram a taxa de câmbio real efetiva brasileira, a renda mundial, a capacidade produtiva da indústria brasileira, o produto interno bruto da indústria brasileira e uma variável dummy (que capta a influência da lei Kandir). Os resultados das regressões mostram que: as exportações são relativamente sensíveis ao crescimento da economia brasileira e mundial; e, a taxa de câmbio real efetiva brasileira (proxy da política cambial) produziu efeitos importantes na evolução das exportações do setor mínero-metalúrgico paraense.

Economia dos produtos florestais não-madeireiros no estado do Amapá: sustentabilidade e desenvolvimento endógeno

O extrativismo vegetal, baseado na exploração sustentável dos produtos florestais não madeireiros é uma das alternativas mais consistentes ecologicamente, no que tange a Conservação da biodiversidade e cobertura natural da Floresta Amazônica. Mas, há problemas sistêmicos que não têm deixado este segmento desenvolver-se de forma satisfatória. O vazamento da economia regional dos produtos extrativistas da Amazônia é uma variável que contribui para o baixo nível de desenvolvimento social e econômico da região. É imperativo que sejam realizadas análises econômicas sobre as possibilidades desse novo modelo A solução provisória para esta área foi estabelecida em 1841, com a definição do espaço entre os rios Oiapoque e Araguari como “Área do Contestado”. Ficou definido então, que a gestão da referida área seria feita de forma compartilhada entre os dois Países. A questão da disputa entre Brasil e França pelas terras do Amapá, só se resolveu definitivamente com a intermediação do presidente suíço Walter Hauser, que em 1o de dezembro de 1900, através do protocolo conhecido como “Laudo Suíço”, concedeu a referida área ao Brasil. de desenvolvimento, apoiado nas bases de um capitalismo contemporâneo, que tem procurado aprimorar os mecanismos econômicos de inclusão social de variáveis ambientais como elementos endógenos do sistema produtivo na Amazônia. O Amapá é o estado brasileiro mais preservado (97% de sua cobertura florestal original) e possui 72% do território como áreas protegidas. Este trabalho pretende identificar o nível de contribuição que os produtos não-madeireiros, extraídos nas florestas por populações tradicionais têm na economia do Amapá. Como método central de análise, foi utilizado o modelo de matriz insumo-produto desenvolvido por Wassily Leontief. Este procedimento analítico tem relevante destaque como instrumento prático de análise e planejamento econômico. Além das análises de programação do crescimento econômico setorial, é adequado para estimar, mediante os efeitos multiplicadores, os impactos do crescimento econômico na produção trabalho e renda setorial de toda a economia. O objeto central do trabalho são as análises estruturais dos arranjos produtivos locais dos produtos florestais não-madeireiros do estado do Amapá, em níveis regional e local. O método desenvolvido pelo Francisco de Assis Costa (Contas Sociais Ascendentes Alfa - CS_) foi usado na construção das matrízes, tendo como base os procedimentos analíticos ascendentes de agregação progressiva dos dados locais O setor extrativista dos produtos florestais não -madeireiros do estado do Amapá, com um PIB de R$ 204 milhões no ano de 2009 tem uma participação pequena, com somente 3,07% das riquezas produzidas no estado. Todavia, quando é observado que 86,77% do valor total do PIB (6,65 bilhões de reais) é decorrente de atividades do Setor Terciário e que todo o Setor Produtivo (Primário e Secundário), tem participação de apenas 13,24%, conclui-se que o valor da produção dos produtos florestais não-madeireiros é bem significativo no estado do Amapá.

Efeito da radiação de microondas sobre Lactobacillus fermentum; linhagens: CCT4143; CCT4144; CCT4145; CCT4146 e FT038B

Pós-graduação em Ciências Biológicas (Microbiologia Aplicada) - IBRC

Do established prognostic factors explain the different mortality rates in ICU septic patients around the world?

Background. The aim of this paper was to clarify if previously established prognostic factors explain the different mortality, rates observed in ICU septic patients around the world. Methods. This is a sub-study from the PROGRESS study, which was an international, prospective, observational registry of ICU patients with severe sepsis. For this study we included 10930 patients from 24 countries that enrolled more than 100 patients in the PROGRESS. The effect of potential prognostic factors on in-hospital mortality was examined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The complete set of data was available for 7022 patients, who were considered in the multivariate analysis. Countries were classified according to country, income, development status, and in-hospital mortality terciles. The relationship between countries' characteristics and hospital mortality mortality was evaluated using linear regression. Results. Mean in-hospital mortality was 49.2%. Severe sepsis in-hospital mortality varied widely in different countries, ranging from 30.6% in New Zealand to 80.4% in Algeria. Classification as developed or developing country was not associated with in-hospital mortality (P=0.16), nor were levels of gross national product per capita (P=0.15). Patients in the group of countries with higher in-hospital mortality, had a crude OR for in-hospital death of 2.8 (95% CI 2.5-3.1) in comparison to those in the lower risk group. After adjustments were made for all other independent variables, the OR changed to 2.9 (95% CI 2.5-3.3). Conclusion. Severe sepsis mortality varies widely, in different countries. All known markers of disease severity and prognosis do not fully, explain the international differences in mortality,. Country, income does not explain this disparity, either. Further studies should be developed to verify if other organizational or structural factors account for disparities in patient care and outcomes. (Minerva Anestesiol 2012;78:1215-25)

La governance della società di capitale a base familiare: "Protocolo Familiar" e Patti di Famiglia

Family businesses have acquired a very specific gravity in the economy of occidental countries, generating most of the employment and the richness for the last ages. In Spain Family Businesses represent the 65% about the total of enterprises with 1,5 million companies. They give employment to 8 million people, the 80% of the private employment and develop the 65% of the Spanish GNP (Gross National Product). Otherwise, the family business needs a complete law regulation that gives satisfaction to their own necessities and challenges. These companies have to deal with national or international economic scene to assure their permanency and competitiveness. In fact, the statistics about family companies have a medium life of 35 years. European family businesses success their successor process between a 10 and 25%. It’s said: first generation makes, second generation stays, third generation distributes. In that sense, the Recommendation of the European Commission of December 7º 1994 about the succession of the small and medium companies has reformed European internal orders according to make easier successor process and to introduce practices of family companies’ good government. So, the Italian law, under the 14th Law, February 2006, has reformed its Covil Code, appearing a new concept, called “Patto di famiglia”, wich abolish the prohibition as laid dwon in the 458 article about successors’ agreements, admitting the possibility that testator guarantees the continuity of the company or of the family society, giving it, totally or in part, to one or various of its descendents. On other hand, Spain has promulgated the 17th Royal Decree (9th February 2007), that governs the publicity of family agreements (Protocolos familiars). These “protocolo familiar” (Family Agreement) are known as accord of wills, consented and accepted unanimously of all the family members and the company, taking into account recommendations and practices of family company’s good government.

Determinants of child undernutrition in India. A micro-case study to operationalize the Capability Approach

The present research aims at shedding light on the demanding puzzle characterizing the issue of child undernutrition in India. Indeed, the so called ‘Indian development paradox’ identifies the phenomenon according to which higher level of income per capita is recorded alongside a lethargic reduction in the proportion of underweight children aged below three years. Thus, in the time period occurring from 2000 to 2005, real Gross Domestic Production per capita has annually grown at 5.4%, whereas the proportion of children who are underweight has declined from 47% to 46%, a mere one point percent. Such trend opens up the space for discussing the traditionally assumed linkage between income-poverty and undernutrition as well as food intervention as the main focus of policies designed to fight child hunger. Also, it unlocks doors for evaluating the role of an alternative economic approach aiming at explaining undernutrition, such as the Capability Approach. The Capability Approach argues for widening the informational basis to account not only for resources, but also for variables related to liberties, opportunities and autonomy in pursuing what individuals value.The econometric analysis highlights the relevance of including behavioral factors when explaining child undernutrition. In particular, the ability of the mother to move freely in the community without the need of asking permission to her husband or mother-in-law is statistically significant when included in the model, which accounts also for confounding traditional variables, such as economic wealth and food security. Also, focusing on agency, results indicates the necessity of measuring autonomy in different domains and the need of improving the measurement scale for agency data, especially with regards the domain of household duties. Finally, future research is required to investigate policy venues for increasing agency in women and in the communities they live in as viable strategy for reducing the plague of child undernutrition in India.

Patterns of regional differentiation in post-Soviet Russia

This doctoral thesis aims at contributing to the literature on transition economies focusing on the Russian Federations and in particular on regional income convergence and fertility patterns. The first two chapter deal with the issue of income convergence across regions. Chapter 1 provides an historical-institutional analysis of the period between the late years of the Soviet Union and the last decade of economic growth and a presentation of the sample with a description of gross regional product composition, agrarian or industrial vocation, labor. Chapter 2 contributes to the literature on exploratory spatial data analysis with a application to a panel of 77 regions in the period 1994-2008. It provides an analysis of spatial patterns and it extends the theoretical framework of growth regressions controlling for spatial correlation and heterogeneity. Chapter 3 analyses the national demographic patterns since 1960 and provides a review of the policies on maternity leave and family benefits. Data sources are the Statistical Yearbooks of USSR, the Statistical Yearbooks of the Russian Soviet Federative Socialist Republic and the Demographic Yearbooks of Russia. Chapter 4 analyses the demographic patterns in light of the theoretical framework of the Becker model, the Second Demographic Transition and an economic-crisis argument. With national data from 1960, the theoretically issue of the pro or countercyclical relation between income and fertility is graphically analyzed and discussed, together with female employment and education. With regional data after 1994 different panel data models are tested. Individual level data from the Russian Longitudinal Monitoring Survey are employed using the logit model. Chapter 5 employs data from the Generations and Gender Survey by UNECE to focus on postponement and second births intentions. Postponement is studied through cohort analysis of mean maternal age at first birth, while the methodology used for second birth intentions is the ordered logit model.

Political process and government growth: a theoretical and empirical investigation

A striking feature of virtually al western industrialized countries sice the middle of the past century has been the persistent growth of their government sector. From the beginning of the century to the late 1970's, the government expenditures' share of gross national product has increased from 7% to 36% in the U.S., 11% to 40% in the U.K., and 3% to 25% in Japan. In Germany, it went from 7% to 42% (1872-1978), while in France it soared from 11% to 59% (1872-1979). The evolution of the number of government employees followed a similar pattern. In the U.S., for instance, the average annual rate of growth of the government labor force over the period 1899-1974 has been 3.17%, compared to a 1.62% average annual growth rate of the working population. Less quantifiable aspects like the number and scope of regulations also refelct a growing public sector.

The global carbon budget 1959–2011

Accurate assessments of anthropogenic carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and their redistribution among the atmosphere, ocean, and terrestrial biosphere is important to better understand the global carbon cycle, support the climate policy process, and project future climate change. Present-day analysis requires the combination of a range of data, algorithms, statistics and model estimates and their interpretation by a broad scientific community. Here we describe datasets and a methodology developed by the global carbon cycle science community to quantify all major components of the global carbon budget, including their uncertainties. We discuss changes compared to previous estimates, consistency within and among components, and methodology and data limitations. CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion and cement production (EFF) are based on energy statistics, while emissions from Land-Use Change (ELUC), including deforestation, are based on combined evidence from land cover change data, fire activity in regions undergoing deforestation, and models. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration is measured directly and its rate of growth (GATM) is computed from the concentration. The mean ocean CO2 sink (SOCEAN) is based on observations from the 1990s, while the annual anomalies and trends are estimated with ocean models. Finally, the global residual terrestrial CO2 sink (SLAND) is estimated by the difference of the other terms. For the last decade available (2002–2011), EFF was 8.3 ± 0.4 PgC yr−1, ELUC 1.0 ± 0.5 PgC yr−1, GATM 4.3 ± 0.1 PgC yr−1, SOCEAN 2.5 ± 0.5 PgC yr−1, and SLAND 2.6 ± 0.8 PgC yr−1. For year 2011 alone, EFF was 9.5 ± 0.5 PgC yr−1, 3.0 percent above 2010, reflecting a continued trend in these emissions; ELUC was 0.9 ± 0.5 PgC yr−1, approximately constant throughout the decade; GATM was 3.6 ± 0.2 PgC yr−1, SOCEAN was 2.7 ± 0.5 PgC yr−1, and SLAND was 4.1 ± 0.9 PgC yr−1. GATM was low in 2011 compared to the 2002–2011 average because of a high uptake by the land probably in response to natural climate variability associated to La Niña conditions in the Pacific Ocean. The global atmospheric CO2 concentration reached 391.31 ± 0.13 ppm at the end of year 2011. We estimate that EFF will have increased by 2.6% (1.9–3.5%) in 2012 based on projections of gross world product and recent changes in the carbon intensity of the economy. All uncertainties are reported as ±1 sigma (68% confidence assuming Gaussian error distributions that the real value lies within the given interval), reflecting the current capacity to characterise the annual estimates of each component of the global carbon budget. This paper is intended to provide a baseline to keep track of annual carbon budgets in the future.