The Fall of the East German Birth Rate After Unification: Crisis or Means of Adaptation? CES Germany & Europe Working Papers, No. 05.6, 26 June 1995

Since the fall of the Wall, Eastern Germans have drastically changed their demographic behavior. Marriages and births have dropped to an unprecedented low level. Our paper tracks birth rates of the East German population, past, present, and future. We propose a simulation model of future cohort fertility. The hypotheses we develop build on the historical record of reproductive behavior in the German Democratic Republic (GDR) since 1960 and on an analysis of the pattern of change between 1990 and 1994. The particular emphasis lies in the assumption that East German couples will rapidly westernize their family size by trying to reach completed fertility levels of the corresponding West German cohort. This implies that the resulting adaptation process includes the postunification crisis as a logical first step.

Continuous Off-the-Job Training in East Germany After Unification: Preliminary Results of an Evaluation of the Effects for Individual Workers, CES Germany & Europe Working Papers, No. 05.9, 19 July, 1995

Retraining the labor force to match the demands of a modem economy is seen as an important task during the transition process from a centrally-planned to a market economy. This need was particularly pressing in East Germany, because the transition process has proceeded much faster than in the rest of Eastern Europe. Therefore, substantial resources have been devoted to this purpose. This paper analyzes the impact of continuous off-the-job training in East Germany from the point of view of individuals who were part of the labor force before German unification in 1990. It tries to answer questions about the average gains from participating in a specific type of training. Typical outcomes considered to measure those gains are income, employment status, job security, and expected future changes in job position. The methodology used for the evaluation is the potential outcome approach to causality. This approach has received considerable attention in the statistical literature over the last fifteen years and it has recently been rediscovered by the econometric literature as well. It is adapted to allow for important permanent and transitory shocks, such as unemployment, which influence the decision to participate in the training as well as future labor market outcomes. The empirical part is based on the first four waves of the Socio-Economic Panel (GSOEP)-East (1990-1993). This panel data set has the advantage that the fourth wave contains a special survey on continuous training and that it allows keeping track of individual behavior on a monthly, respectively yearly, basis. The econometric analysis focuses on off-the-job training courses that began after unification and were completed not later than in early 1993. Although it is obviously too early to evaluate the long-term implications, the results suggest that there are no positive effects in the short run.

LOGITCPRPLOT: Stata module to graph component-plus-residual plot for logistic regression

logitcprplot can be used after logistic regression for graphing a component-plus-residual plot (a.k.a. partial residual plot) for a given predictor, including a lowess, local polynomial, restricted cubic spline, fractional polynomial, penalized spline, regression spline, running line, or adaptive variable span running line smooth

CPRPLOT2: Stata module to graph component-plus-residual plots for transformed regressors

cprplot2 is a variation of official Stata's cprplot and is used for graphing component-plus-residual plots (a.k.a. partial residual plots). Additional features (compared to cprplot): (1) cprplot2 can handle variables that enter the model repeatedly via different transformations (for example, polynomials). (2) cprplot2 can display component-plus-residual plots using the original units for transformed variables in the model. (3) A wrapper is provided to quickly display several component-plus-residual plots in a single image.

Picture analysis by graph transformation,

"Supported in part by the Department of Computer Science and the Atomic Energy Commission under contract US AEC AT(11-1)2118."

Graph transformations for composite formation,

"C00-1018-1195."

On algorithms for finding all circuits of a graph

Bibliography: p. [37]-[39]

Analysis of algorithms for finding all spanning trees of a graph.

"Supported in part by the following grants: US NSF GJ 217, US NSF GJ 812, and project BUILD."

Studies in graph algorithms : generation and labeling problems /

Thesis--Illinois.

A graph-structure transformation model for picture parsing,

"COO-2118-0031."

Pánta ta kat' exoch?n kaloumena Biblia Theias d?lad? Graph?s palaias te, kai neas = Sacrae scripturae veteris nouaéque omnia.

CCBE S. XVI,

Form of annual report with instructions for railways / prepared by the commission on the unification of railway accounts and statistics.

Blank forms in Chinese and English.