ArcelorMittal: Metals & Mining: Equity Investment Report

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

ArcelorMittal: Metals & Mining – Europe: Equity Investment Report

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Finance from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Environmental remediation project of Cunha Baixa mining area cost benefit analysis

A Work Project, presented as part of the requirements for the Award of a Masters Degree in Economics from the NOVA – School of Business and Economics

Criação de clusters de clientes de um banco através do self-organizing maps hierárquico: comparação entre HSOM e SOM

Trabalho de Projeto apresentado como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação

Chagas' disease: an algorithm for donor screening and positive donor counseling

Classical serological screening assays for Chagas' disease are time consuming and subjective. The objective of the present work is to evaluate the enzyme immuno-assay (ELISA) methodology and to propose an algorithm for blood banks to be applied to Chagas' disease. Seven thousand, nine hundred and ninety nine blood donor samples were screened by both reverse passive hemagglutination (RPHA) and indirect immunofluorescence assay (IFA). Samples reactive on RPHA and/or IFA were submitted to supplementary RPHA, IFA and complement fixation (CFA) tests. This strategy allowed us to create a panel of 60 samples to evaluate the ELISA methodology from 3 different manufacturers. The sensitivity of the screening by IFA and the 3 different ELISA's was 100%. The specificity was better on ELISA methodology. For Chagas disease, ELISA seems to be the best test for blood donor screening, because it showed high sensitivity and specificity, it is not subjective and can be automated. Therefore, it was possible to propose an algorithm to screen samples and confirm donor results at the blood bank.

Automatic information retrieval through text-mining

The dissertation presented for obtaining the Master’s Degree in Electrical Engineering and Computer Science, at Universidade Nova de Lisboa, Faculdade de Ciências e Tecnologia

Complex networks and data mining: toward a new perspective for the understanding of complex systems

Complex systems, i.e. systems composed of a large set of elements interacting in a non-linear way, are constantly found all around us. In the last decades, different approaches have been proposed toward their understanding, one of the most interesting being the Complex Network perspective. This legacy of the 18th century mathematical concepts proposed by Leonhard Euler is still current, and more and more relevant in real-world problems. In recent years, it has been demonstrated that network-based representations can yield relevant knowledge about complex systems. In spite of that, several problems have been detected, mainly related to the degree of subjectivity involved in the creation and evaluation of such network structures. In this Thesis, we propose addressing these problems by means of different data mining techniques, thus obtaining a novel hybrid approximation intermingling complex networks and data mining. Results indicate that such techniques can be effectively used to i) enable the creation of novel network representations, ii) reduce the dimensionality of analyzed systems by pre-selecting the most important elements, iii) describe complex networks, and iv) assist in the analysis of different network topologies. The soundness of such approach is validated through different validation cases drawn from actual biomedical problems, e.g. the diagnosis of cancer from tissue analysis, or the study of the dynamics of the brain under different neurological disorders.

Diffusional kurtosis imaging using a fast heuristic constrained linear least squares algorithm: a plugin for OsiriX

Diffusion Kurtosis Imaging (DKI) is a fairly new magnetic resonance imag-ing (MRI) technique that tackles the non-gaussian motion of water in biological tissues by taking into account the restrictions imposed by tissue microstructure, which are not considered in Diffusion Tensor Imaging (DTI), where the water diffusion is considered purely gaussian. As a result DKI provides more accurate information on biological structures and is able to detect important abnormalities which are not visible in standard DTI analysis. This work regards the development of a tool for DKI computation to be implemented as an OsiriX plugin. Thus, as OsiriX runs under Mac OS X, the pro-gram is written in Objective-C and also makes use of Apple’s Cocoa framework. The whole program is developed in the Xcode integrated development environ-ment (IDE). The plugin implements a fast heuristic constrained linear least squares al-gorithm (CLLS-H) for estimating the diffusion and kurtosis tensors, and offers the user the possibility to choose which maps are to be generated for not only standard DTI quantities such as Mean Diffusion (MD), Radial Diffusion (RD), Axial Diffusion (AD) and Fractional Anisotropy (FA), but also DKI metrics, Mean Kurtosis (MK), Radial Kurtosis (RK) and Axial Kurtosis (AK).The plugin was subjected to both a qualitative and a semi-quantitative analysis which yielded convincing results. A more accurate validation pro-cess is still being developed, after which, and with some few minor adjust-ments the plugin shall become a valid option for DKI computation

EDP - A new estimation algorithm

The aim of this work project is to analyze the current algorithm used by EDP to estimate their clients’ electrical energy consumptions, create a new algorithm and compare the advantages and disadvantages of both. This new algorithm is different from the current one as it incorporates some effects from temperature variations. The results of the comparison show that this new algorithm with temperature variables performed better than the same algorithm without temperature variables, although there is still potential for further improvements of the current algorithm, if the prediction model is estimated using a sample of daily data, which is the case of the current EDP algorithm.

Generalized Dasymetric Mapping Algorithm for Accessing Land-Use Change

Contém resumo

Genetic algorithm for shipping route estimation with long-range tracking data : automatic reconstruction of shipping routes based on the historical ship positions for maritime safety applications

Ship tracking systems allow Maritime Organizations that are concerned with the Safety at Sea to obtain information on the current location and route of merchant vessels. Thanks to Space technology in recent years the geographical coverage of the ship tracking platforms has increased significantly, from radar based near-shore traffic monitoring towards a worldwide picture of the maritime traffic situation. The long-range tracking systems currently in operations allow the storage of ship position data over many years: a valuable source of knowledge about the shipping routes between different ocean regions. The outcome of this Master project is a software prototype for the estimation of the most operated shipping route between any two geographical locations. The analysis is based on the historical ship positions acquired with long-range tracking systems. The proposed approach makes use of a Genetic Algorithm applied on a training set of relevant ship positions extracted from the long-term storage tracking database of the European Maritime Safety Agency (EMSA). The analysis of some representative shipping routes is presented and the quality of the results and their operational applications are assessed by a Maritime Safety expert.

Text mining e twitter : o poder das redes sociais num mercado competitivo

Actualmente, com a massificação da utilização das redes sociais, as empresas passam a sua mensagem nos seus canais de comunicação, mas os consumidores dão a sua opinião sobre ela. Argumentam, opinam, criticam (Nardi, Schiano, Gumbrecht, & Swartz, 2004). Positiva ou negativamente. Neste contexto o Text Mining surge como uma abordagem interessante para a resposta à necessidade de obter conhecimento a partir dos dados existentes. Neste trabalho utilizámos um algoritmo de Clustering hierárquico com o objectivo de descobrir temas distintos num conjunto de tweets obtidos ao longo de um determinado período de tempo para as empresas Burger King e McDonald’s. Com o intuito de compreender o sentimento associado a estes temas foi feita uma análise de sentimentos a cada tema encontrado, utilizando um algoritmo Bag-of-Words. Concluiu-se que o algoritmo de Clustering foi capaz de encontrar temas através do tweets obtidos, essencialmente ligados a produtos e serviços comercializados pelas empresas. O algoritmo de Sentiment Analysis atribuiu um sentimento a esses temas, permitindo compreender de entre os produtos/serviços identificados quais os que obtiveram uma polaridade positiva ou negativa, e deste modo sinalizar potencias situações problemáticas na estratégia das empresas, e situações positivas passíveis de identificação de decisões operacionais bem-sucedidas.

Saúde em Portugal : estudo das urgências hospitalares através do Data Mining

Qualquer assunto relacionado com a saúde é sempre um tema sensível, pela importância que tem junto da população, já que interage diretamente com o bem-estar das pessoas e, essencialmente, com a sensação de segurança que as estas pretendem ter na prestação dos cuidados básicos de saúde. Dados estatísticos mostram que a população está cada vez mais envelhecida, reforçando a importância da existência de bons centros hospitalares e de um bom Sistema Nacional de Saúde (SNS) (Plano Nacional de Saúde, 2010). Em Portugal, caso os pacientes necessitem de cuidados mais urgentes, podem recorrer ao Serviço de Urgências disponibilizado para toda a população através do SNS. No entanto, a gestão e planeamento deste serviço é complexa, dado este serviço ser frequentemente utilizado por pacientes que não necessitam de cuidados urgentes, levando a que os hospitais deixem de conseguir dar a resposta esperada, implicando a prestação por vezes um serviço de menor qualidade. Neste sentido, analisaram-se dados de um hospital do norte do país com o intuito de perceber o ponto de situação das urgências, de forma a encontrar padrões relevantes através da análise de clusters e de regras de associação. Começando pela análise de clusters, utilizaram-se apenas as variáveis que foram consideradas importantes para o problema, resultando da análise final 3 clusters. O primeiro cluster é constituído por elementos do sexo masculino de todas as idades, o segundo cluster por elementos do sexo masculino mais jovens e por elementos do sexo feminino até aos 60 anos e o terceiro cluster apenas por elementos do sexo feminino a partir dos 40 anos. No final verificaram-se muitas semelhanças entre os clusters 1 e 3, pois ambos continham os pacientes mais idosos, havendo um padrão comum no seu comportamento. No ano 2012 não houve registo de nenhuma epidemia, não havendo por isso nenhuma doença que se destacasse comparativamente às restantes. Concluiu-se também que na maior parte dos casos houve a necessidade de uma intervenção urgente (pulseira de cor Amarela), no entanto a maioria dos pacientes observados conseguiu regressar às suas habitações após as consultas nas Urgências Hospitalares, sem intervenções médicas adicionais. Relativamente às regras de associação, houve a necessidade de transformar e eliminar algumas variáveis que enviesassem o estudo. Após o processo da criação das regras de associação, percebeu-se que as regras eram muito similares entre si, apresentando uma maior confiança nas variáveis que apareceram em maior número (“Pacientes com pulseira de cor Amarela”, “distrito do Porto” ou “Alta Médica para a Residência”).

Parallelization of kinetic Monte Carlo algorithm to simulate AL3Sc precipitation

The present paper reports the precipitation process of Al3Sc structures in an aluminum scandium alloy, which has been simulated with a synchronous parallel kinetic Monte Carlo (spkMC) algorithm. The spkMC implementation is based on the vacancy diffusion mechanism. To filter the raw data generated by the spkMC simulations, the density-based clustering with noise (DBSCAN) method has been employed. spkMC and DBSCAN algorithms were implemented in the C language and using MPI library. The simulations were conducted in the SeARCH cluster located at the University of Minho. The Al3Sc precipitation was successfully simulated at the atomistic scale with the spkMC. DBSCAN proved to be a valuable aid to identify the precipitates by performing a cluster analysis of the simulation results. The achieved simulations results are in good agreement with those reported in the literature under sequential kinetic Monte Carlo simulations (kMC). The parallel implementation of kMC has provided a 4x speedup over the sequential version.

Using data mining for prediction of hospital length of stay: an application of the CRISP-DM Methodology

Hospitals are nowadays collecting vast amounts of data related with patient records. All this data hold valuable knowledge that can be used to improve hospital decision making. Data mining techniques aim precisely at the extraction of useful knowledge from raw data. This work describes an implementation of a medical data mining project approach based on the CRISP-DM methodology. Recent real-world data, from 2000 to 2013, were collected from a Portuguese hospital and related with inpatient hospitalization. The goal was to predict generic hospital Length Of Stay based on indicators that are commonly available at the hospitalization process (e.g., gender, age, episode type, medical specialty). At the data preparation stage, the data were cleaned and variables were selected and transformed, leading to 14 inputs. Next, at the modeling stage, a regression approach was adopted, where six learning methods were compared: Average Prediction, Multiple Regression, Decision Tree, Artificial Neural Network ensemble, Support Vector Machine and Random Forest. The best learning model was obtained by the Random Forest method, which presents a high quality coefficient of determination value (0.81). This model was then opened by using a sensitivity analysis procedure that revealed three influential input attributes: the hospital episode type, the physical service where the patient is hospitalized and the associated medical specialty. Such extracted knowledge confirmed that the obtained predictive model is credible and with potential value for supporting decisions of hospital managers.