Regime-Switching Cointegration

We develop methods for Bayesian inference in vector error correction models which are subject to a variety of switches in regime (e.g. Markov switches in regime or structural breaks). An important aspect of our approach is that we allow both the cointegrating vectors and the number of cointegrating relationships to change when the regime changes. We show how Bayesian model averaging or model selection methods can be used to deal with the high-dimensional model space that results. Our methods are used in an empirical study of the Fisher effect.

Which subgroup of patients with rheumatoid arthritis benefits from switching to rituximab versus alternative anti-tumour necrosis factor (TNF) agents after previous failure of an anti-TNF agent?

BACKGROUND: Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) with an inadequate response to TNF antagonists (aTNFs) may switch to an alternative aTNF or start treatment from a different class of drugs, such as rituximab (RTX). It remains unclear in which clinical settings these therapeutic strategies offer most benefit. OBJECTIVE: To analyse the effectiveness of RTX versus alternative aTNFs on RA disease activity in different subgroups of patients. METHODS: A prospective cohort study of patients with RA who discontinued at least one aTNF and subsequently received either RTX or an alternative aTNF, nested within the Swiss RA registry (SCQM-RA) was carried out. The primary outcome, longitudinal improvement in 28-joint count Disease Activity Score (DAS28), was analysed using multivariate regression models for longitudinal data and adjusted for potential confounders. RESULTS: Of the 318 patients with RA included; 155 received RTX and 163 received an alternative aTNF. The relative benefit of RTX varied with the type of prior aTNF failure: when the motive for switching was ineffectiveness to previous aTNFs, the longitudinal improvement in DAS28 was significantly better with RTX than with an alternative aTNF (p = 0.03; at 6 months, -1.34 (95% CI -1.54 to -1.15) vs -0.93 (95% CI -1.28 to -0.59), respectively). When the motive for switching was other causes, the longitudinal improvement in DAS28 was similar for RTX and alternative aTNFs (p = 0.40). These results were not significantly modified by the number of previous aTNF failures, the type of aTNF switches, or the presence of co-treatment with a disease-modifying antirheumatic drug. CONCLUSION: This observational study suggests that in patients with RA who have stopped a previous aTNF treatment because of ineffectiveness changing to RTX is more effective than switching to an alternative aTNF.

Regime-Switching Cointegration

We develop methods for Bayesian inference in vector error correction models which are subject to a variety of switches in regime (e.g. Markov switches in regime or structural breaks). An important aspect of our approach is that we allow both the cointegrating vectors and the number of cointegrating relationships to change when the regime changes. We show how Bayesian model averaging or model selection methods can be used to deal with the high-dimensional model space that results. Our methods are used in an empirical study of the Fisher e ffect.

Model Switching and Model Averaging in Time- Varying Parameter Regression Models

This paper investigates the usefulness of switching Gaussian state space models as a tool for implementing dynamic model selecting (DMS) or averaging (DMA) in time-varying parameter regression models. DMS methods allow for model switching, where a different model can be chosen at each point in time. Thus, they allow for the explanatory variables in the time-varying parameter regression model to change over time. DMA will carry out model averaging in a time-varying manner. We compare our exact approach to DMA/DMS to a popular existing procedure which relies on the use of forgetting factor approximations. In an application, we use DMS to select different predictors in an in ation forecasting application. We also compare different ways of implementing DMA/DMS and investigate whether they lead to similar results.

Deadlock avoidance with virtual channels

High Performance Computing is a rapidly evolving area of computer science which attends to solve complicated computational problems with the combination of computational nodes connected through high speed networks. This work concentrates on the networks problems that appear in such networks and specially focuses on the Deadlock problem that can decrease the efficiency of the communication or even destroy the balance and paralyze the network. Goal of this work is the Deadlock avoidance with the use of virtual channels, in the switches of the network where the problem appears. The deadlock avoidance assures that will not be loss of data inside network, having as result the increased latency of the served packets, due to the extra calculation that the switches have to make to apply the policy.

Switching between apparently redundant iron-uptake mechanisms benefits bacteria in changeable environments.

Bacteria often possess multiple siderophore-based iron uptake systems for scavenging this vital resource from their environment. However, some siderophores seem redundant, because they have limited iron-binding efficiency and are seldom expressed under iron limitation. Here, we investigate the conundrum of why selection does not eliminate this apparent redundancy. We focus on Pseudomonas aeruginosa, a bacterium that can produce two siderophores-the highly efficient but metabolically expensive pyoverdine, and the inefficient but metabolically cheap pyochelin. We found that the bacteria possess molecular mechanisms to phenotypically switch from mainly producing pyoverdine under severe iron limitation to mainly producing pyochelin when iron is only moderately limited. We further show that strains exclusively producing pyochelin grew significantly better than strains exclusively producing pyoverdine under moderate iron limitation, whereas the inverse was seen under severe iron limitation. This suggests that pyochelin is not redundant, but that switching between siderophore strategies might be beneficial to trade off efficiencies versus costs of siderophores. Indeed, simulations parameterized from our data confirmed that strains retaining the capacity to switch between siderophores significantly outcompeted strains defective for one or the other siderophore under fluctuating iron availabilities. Finally, we discuss how siderophore switching can be viewed as a form of collective decision-making, whereby a coordinated shift in behaviour at the group level emerges as a result of positive and negative feedback loops operating among individuals at the local scale.

Pessebre virtual: disseny i exportació

Aquest projecte és una part d’un projecte més ampli consistent en estudiar un format gràfic que permeti exportar una escena modelada en Blender i importar aquesta mateixa escena en un entorn interactiu basat en Visual C++ amb OpenGL. D’aquesta forma, disposem de la capacitat de modelat de Blender i de la interacció i visualització de la llibreria OpenGL. Aquest format ha de representar geometria i textures imprescindiblement, i si és possible, d’altres factors importants com il·luminació, visualització i moviment. La part del projecte explicada en aquesta memòria consisteix en estudiar el format gràfic més adient per representar els diferents factors de realisme de l’escena (geometria, textura, etc.) havent triat el format OBJ per la seva capacitat de representació i fàcil edició. Per a provar el format, s’ha dissenyat un diorama de pessebre utilitzant les capacitats de modelatge de Blender. Pel que respecta les figures, aspecte important per a considerar l’escena com a pessebre, s’ha utilitzat un escàner 3D que ha obtingut representacions de malla 3D, a partir de figures reals de pessebre, que posteriorment han estat texturades. S’ha generat un vídeo del diorama de pessebre que permet veure’n tots els detalls navegant amb el punt de vista per l’escena. Aquest vídeo s’ha exposat en la mostra de pessebres de la Associació Pessebrista de Sabadell el Nadal del 2008.

Gains from switching and evolutionary stability in multi-player matrix games.

In this paper we unify, simplify, and extend previous work on the evolutionary dynamics of symmetric N-player matrix games with two pure strategies. In such games, gains from switching strategies depend, in general, on how many other individuals in the group play a given strategy. As a consequence, the gain function determining the gradient of selection can be a polynomial of degree N-1. In order to deal with the intricacy of the resulting evolutionary dynamics, we make use of the theory of polynomials in Bernstein form. This theory implies a tight link between the sign pattern of the gains from switching on the one hand and the number and stability of the rest points of the replicator dynamics on the other hand. While this relationship is a general one, it is most informative if gains from switching have at most two sign changes, as is the case for most multi-player matrix games considered in the literature. We demonstrate that previous results for public goods games are easily recovered and extended using this observation. Further examples illustrate how focusing on the sign pattern of the gains from switching obviates the need for a more involved analysis.

Sexualidad femenina y redes sociales : comunicación virtual como mecanismo de socialización

Este trabajo tiene el propósito de estudiar la socialización de la sexualidad femenina a través del análisis de las representaciones sociales de un grupo de mujeres que pertenecen a una comunidad virtual. Estas representaciones y disposiciones son rescatadas de los relatos y comentarios escritos provenientes de la comunicación virtual y del posicionamiento relacional entre mujeres. Dado que la base es comunicacional y por tanto relacional, la conceptualización operativa y la orientación metodológica se llevan a cabo por medio del análisis de redes sociales.

Internet com a laboratori virtual dins de l'ensenyament d'Enginyeria de Materials

L’objectiu principal d’aquest projecte és seleccionar i exposar una sèrie de recursos disponibles a Internet, que permetin complementar o facilitar l’aprenentatge dels continguts de la titulació d’Enginyeria de Materials. Al llarg del treball es presenten un total de 124 animacions de diferents temàtiques. La majoria d’elles provenen de pàgines web d’universitats i centres involucrats en l’estudi de materials. També s’exposa una animació d’elaboració pròpia, així com el fonament teòric en què es basa. Cal destacar que l’ús d’applets en l’ensenyament d’Enginyeria de Materials no implica una despesa econòmica extra, i que està d’acord amb les directrius de generar els mínims residus i de fomentar la reducció en origen, establertes en el Pla d’Acció Local per a la Sostenibilitat de la UAB. Gràcies també a la facilitat d’ús, els applets tenen un futur prometedor en l’ensenyament de moltes matèries.

PGC1alpha expression is controlled in skeletal muscles by PPARbeta, whose ablation results in fiber-type switching, obesity, and type 2 diabetes.

Mice in which peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor beta (PPARbeta) is selectively ablated in skeletal muscle myocytes were generated to elucidate the role played by PPARbeta signaling in these myocytes. These somatic mutant mice exhibited a muscle fiber-type switching toward lower oxidative capacity that preceded the development of obesity and diabetes, thus demonstrating that PPARbeta is instrumental in myocytes to the maintenance of oxidative fibers and that fiber-type switching is likely to be the cause and not the consequence of these metabolic disorders. We also show that PPARbeta stimulates in myocytes the expression of PGC1alpha, a coactivator of various transcription factors, known to play an important role in slow muscle fiber formation. Moreover, as the PGC1alpha promoter contains a PPAR response element, the effect of PPARbeta on the formation and/or maintenance of slow muscle fibers can be ascribed, at least in part, to a stimulation of PGC1alpha expression at the transcriptional level.

Geoposicionamiento de elementos en un mapa virtual

Las siguientes páginas recogen aquellos conceptos claves en las diferentes fases de desarrollo de una aplicación web de geoposicionamiento virtual de elementos mediante servicios de mapas gratuitos para una empresa de transportes. MRW Maps, así bautizada, surge de la necesidad de generar un espacio interno común donde se pueda consultar información relacional de franquicias sin la obligación de tener grandes conocimientos de informática ni de las ciencias geográficas. Se trata por tanto, de estudiar las posibilidades que ofrece desarrollar una herramienta de estas características sobre un mapa de Google Maps.

Aprenentatge interactiu a través de l'experimentació: un laboratori virtual de psicologia bàsica

El Laboratori Virtual de Psicologia Bàsica (LVPB) és una eina que pretén aprofitar les noves tecnologies per donar un nou enfocament al procés d’aprenentatge dels processos psicològics bàsics. Amb el LVPB s’acompanya a l’estudiant en un recorregut a través d’experiments que s’han convertit en clàssics de la Psicologia Cognitiva amb l’objectiu d’assolir coneixements relacionats amb els processos cognitius a partir de la pròpia experiència. La plataforma conté experiments provinents de l’estudi de l’atenció, l’emoció, el llenguatge, la memòria, la motivació, el pensament i la percepció.