Social Investment Policies in Times of Permanent Austerity

The objective of this paper is to identify the political conditions that are most likely to be conducive to the development of social investment policies. It starts from the view put forward by theorists of welfare retrenchment that in the current context of permanent austerity, policy is likely to be dominated by retrenchment and implemented in a way that allows governments to minimise the risk of electoral punishment (blame avoidance). It is argued that this view is inconsistent with developments observed in several European countries, were some welfare state expansion has taken place mostly in the fields of childcare and active labour market policy. An alternative model is put forward, that emphasises the notion of "affordable credit claiming". It is argued that even under strong budgetary pressures, governments maintain a preference for policies that allow them to claim credit for their actions. Since the traditional redistributive policies tend to be off the menu for cost reasons, governments have tended to favour investments in childcare and active labour market policy as credit claiming tools. Policies developed in this way while they have a social investment flavour, tend to be rather limited in the extent to which they genuinely improve prospects of disadvantaged people by investing in their human capital. A more ambitious strategy of social investment sees unlikely to develop on the basis of affordable credit claiming. The paper starts by presenting the theoretical argument, which is then illustrated with examples taken from European countries both in the pre-crisis and in the post-crisis years.

Payments for watershed services in Lombok, Indonesia : uncovering actors' strategies in a "success" story

This factsheet gives a short presentation of a case study conducted in Lombok Island (Indonesia). In 6 pages, it focuses on the complexity of PES scheme embedment in public policies. This factsheet describes and explicitly distinguishes three PES initiatives, and explain the reasons for such an evolution in the design of policy instruments aimed at protecting groundwater resources. The results presented have previously been published in an Working Paper: de Buren G., 2013. La régulation des interdépendances entre la forêt et l'eau potable en Indonésie; études de cas sur le site de Lombok. (1/2013) 369 p., idheap.

A LIBRARY IN THE MAKING: Pioneer History of the Territorial and State Library of Iowa,October 1912

The discovery of early manuscript reports of Territorial and State Librarians, buried in the mass of old official papers transferred from the several departments of State to the new Department of Archives in the Historical Building, has suggested the propriety of completing as far as possible, the historical record of Iowa's State Library, "from the earliest period to the present time." After a thorough research through the papers on file in the Archives Department, the published Journals and departmental reports in the State Library and documents and private papers loaned me by Mr. Newton R. Parvin, librarian of the Iowa Masonic Library, Cedar Rapids. I am now able to present the following historical sketch, Supplemented by the hitherto unpublished papers referred to this filling a gap in the history of a State institution which from very small beginnings has grown to large proportions and has made for itself a firm place in the respect and esteem of every citizen of Iowa.

The Half-Life of Election Pledges : What makes MPs change their positions?

"Thou shalt not bear false witness," as we all know. Yet changing one's mind in case of respectable reasons seems to be allowed. Which is good news for politicians, but reduces the effectiveness of prospective voting, i.e. the focus on "the commitments of candidates to take actions that citizens desire to be taken" (Powell 2000: 9). This may be bad news for voters. By comparing pre-election commitments of Swiss members of parliament (MPs) with actual voting behaviour in the lower house of parliament, the following article explores the question how much confidence voters can have in prospective voting and what factors explain (non-)fulfilment of election pledges.

Acetylcholinesterase inhibitor treatment for myasthenia gravis.

BACKGROUND: In myasthenia gravis, antibody-mediated blockade of acetylcholine receptors at the neuromuscular junction abolishes the naturally occurring 'safety factor' of synaptic transmission. Acetylcholinesterase inhibitors provide temporary symptomatic treatment of muscle weakness, but there is controversy about their long-term efficacy, dosage and side effects. OBJECTIVES: To evaluate the efficacy of acetylcholinesterase inhibitors in all forms of myasthenia gravis. SEARCH STRATEGY: We searched The Cochrane Neuromuscular Disease Group Specialized Register (5 October 2009), The Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials CENTRAL) (The Cochrane Library Issue 3, 2009), MEDLINE (January 1966 to September 2009), EMBASE (January 1980 to September 2009) for randomised controlled trials and quasi-randomised controlled trials regarding usage of acetylcholinesterase inhibitors in myasthenia gravis. Two authors scanned the articles for any study eligible for inclusion. We also contacted the authors and known experts in the field to identify additional published or unpublished data. SELECTION CRITERIA: Types of studies: all randomised or quasi-randomised trials.Types of participants: all myasthenia gravis patients diagnosed by an internationally accepted definition.Types of interventions: treatment with any form of acetylcholinesterase inhibitor.Types of outcome measuresPrimary outcome measureImprovement in the presenting symptoms within 1 to 14 days of the start of treatment.Secondary outcome measures(1) Improvement in the presenting symptoms more than 14 days after the start of treatment.(2) Change in impairment measured by a recognised and preferably validated scale, such as the quantitative myasthenia gravis score within 1 to 14 days and more than 14 days after the start of treatment.(3) Myasthenia Gravis Association of America post-intervention status more than 14 days after start of treatment.(4) Adverse events: muscarinic side effects. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: One author (MMM) extracted the data, which were checked by a second author. We contacted study authors for extra information and collected data on adverse effects from the trials. MAIN RESULTS: We did not find any large randomised or quasi-randomised trials of acetylcholinesterase inhibitors in generalised myasthenia gravis. One cross-over randomised trial using intranasal neostigmine in a total of 10 subjects was only available as an abstract. AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Except for one small and inconclusive trial of intranasal neostigmine, no randomised controlled trial has been conducted on the use of acetylcholinesterase inhibitors in myasthenia gravis. Response to acetylcholinesterase inhibitors in observational studies is so clear that a randomised controlled trial depriving participants in the placebo arm of treatment would be difficult to justify.

Fate of clinical research studies after ethical approval--follow-up of study protocols until publication.

BACKGROUND: Many clinical studies are ultimately not fully published in peer-reviewed journals. Underreporting of clinical research is wasteful and can result in biased estimates of treatment effect or harm, leading to recommendations that are inappropriate or even dangerous. METHODS: We assembled a cohort of clinical studies approved 2000-2002 by the Research Ethics Committee of the University of Freiburg, Germany. Published full articles were searched in electronic databases and investigators contacted. Data on study characteristics were extracted from protocols and corresponding publications. We characterized the cohort, quantified its publication outcome and compared protocols and publications for selected aspects. RESULTS: Of 917 approved studies, 807 were started and 110 were not, either locally or as a whole. Of the started studies, 576 (71%) were completed according to protocol, 128 (16%) discontinued and 42 (5%) are still ongoing; for 61 (8%) there was no information about their course. We identified 782 full publications corresponding to 419 of the 807 initiated studies; the publication proportion was 52% (95% CI: 0.48-0.55). Study design was not significantly associated with subsequent publication. Multicentre status, international collaboration, large sample size and commercial or non-commercial funding were positively associated with subsequent publication. Commercial funding was mentioned in 203 (48%) protocols and in 205 (49%) of the publications. In most published studies (339; 81%) this information corresponded between protocol and publication. Most studies were published in English (367; 88%); some in German (25; 6%) or both languages (27; 6%). The local investigators were listed as (co-)authors in the publications corresponding to 259 (62%) studies. CONCLUSION: Half of the clinical research conducted at a large German university medical centre remains unpublished; future research is built on an incomplete database. Research resources are likely wasted as neither health care professionals nor patients nor policy makers can use the results when making decisions.

Evaluer la peur de tomber chez les personnes âgées à domicile: Un modèle qualitatif

Cet article (2006) décrit la démarche qui a fondé le développement de l'instrument d'évaluation de la peur de tomber à travers des "portraits" chez des personnes âgées vivant à domicile "chuteuses ou non chuteuses" (non publiés). Une analyse qualitative originale a été développée dans ce contexte la QUAPA (QUAlitative Pattern Analysis): une analyse des patterns permettant de décrire les différents degrés d'intensité auxquels la peur de tomber est décrites par les personnes âgées elles-mêmes. Cet instrument se base sur une validité "écologique". Il s'ancre dans le vécu des personnes âgées tel qu'il est rapporté et décrit par elles. L'évaluation de la peur de tomber réalisée à l'aide de ces portraits doit être confrontée à celle effectuée à l'aide d'autres instruments validés et largement utilisés dans le domaine de l'évaluation de la peur de tomber: FES, FES-I. Autres références publiées: Piot-Ziegler C (2002). La peur de tomber: comment l'évaluer ? Actualités Psychologiques, 12, 51-68. In C. Piot-Ziegler, (Vol. Ed.), Actualités Psychologiques: Vol. 12. Les chutes chez les personnes âgées: une approche interdisciplinaire (pp. 1-120). Piot-Ziegler C, Cuttelod T et Santiago M (2007). Définir la "peur de tomber" chez les personnes âgées à domicile. Etude qualitative. Bulletin de psychologie, 60(6), nov-déc, 515-525. Références non publiées: Piot-Ziegler C, Cuttelod T (2004). Evaluation de la peur de tomber: portraits issus du vécu des patients (questionnaire-portraits pour évaluer la peur de tomber chez des personnes âgées « chuteuses et non chuteuses ». Piot-Ziegler C, Cuttelod T (2004). Evaluation de la peur de tomber: portraits issus du vécu des patients (Guide de l'utilisateur).L'objectif de cet article (rédigé en 2006) est de dégager un modèle permettant d'évaluer l'intensité de la peur de tomber chez des personnes âgées vivant à domicile sur la base de données qualitatives récoltées dans une première étude (étude publiée: Piot-Ziegler et al. 2007).Dans cette étude qualitative, 58 entretiens semi-structurés ont été réalisés chez des personnes âgées vivant à domicile. Les thèmes abordés par les personnes âgées montrent que la peur de tomber se définit transversalement à travers les conséquences fonctionnelles, sociales et psychologiques consécutives à leur(s) chute(s).Afin d'explorer la possible existence de patterns, permettant de rendre compte de l'intensité de la peur de tomber, une méthode originale d'analyse qualitative (non informatisée) a été développée: la QUAPA (QUAlitative Patterns Analysis).Les résultats de cette analyse montrent l'existence d'une cohérence interne transversale (patterns) dans les trois dimensions définissant la peur de tomber (fonctionnelles, sociales et psychologiques) en fonction de l'intensité de la peur de tomber. Quatre patterns différents ont été mis en évidence. Ils débouchent sur une modélisation rendant compte des différents degrés d'intensité à laquelle la peur de tomber s'exprime chez les personnes âgées.Ce modèle en "patterns" permet d'évaluer la peur de tomber ressentie par une personne âgée en fonction des conséquences fonctionnelles, sociales et psychologiques à long terme consécutives à une ou plusieurs chutes. Ce modèle devra être mis à l'épreuve sur un grand échantillon de personnes âgées vivant à domicile ou dans d'autres espaces de vie (institutions), mais il constitue une alternative originale aux questionnaires utilisés actuellement qui se basent principalement sur le concept d'efficacité personnelle. Surtout il se base sur le vécu tel qu'il est rapporté par les personnes âgées elles-mêmes.Pour obtenir le questionnaire d'évaluation par "portraits" de la peur de tomber (e.mail: Chantal.Piot-Ziegler@unil.ch). Les documents suivants seront mis à disposition.Piot-Ziegler et C, Cuttelod T (2004). Evaluation de la peur de tomber: portraits issus du vécu des patients (questionnaire-portraits pour évaluer la peur de tomber chez des personnes âgées « chuteuses et non chuteuses » (Questionnaire).Piot-Ziegler et C, Cuttelod T (2004). Evaluation de la peur de tomber: portraits issus du vécu des patients (Guide de l'utilisateur).Mots-clés : chute ; peur de tomber ; personne âgée ; domicile ; recherche; approche compréhensive ; évaluation ; méthode qualitative ; pattern, QUAPA.

Effects of anomalous propagation conditions on weather radar observations

In this chapter our objective is to provide an overview of the effects of anomalous propagation conditions on weather radar observations, based mostly on studies performed by the authors during the last decade, summarizing results from recent publications, presentations, or unpublished material. We believe this chapter may be useful as an introductory text for graduate students, or researchers and practitioners dealing with this topic. Throughout the text a spherical symmetric atmosphere is assumed and the focus is on the occurrence of ground and sea clutter and subsequent problems for weather radar applications. Other related topics such as long-path, over-the-horizon propagation and detection of radar targets (either clutter or weather systems) at long ranges is not considered here; however readers should be aware of the potential problems these phenomena may have as range aliasing may cause these echoes appear nearer than they are ¿ for more details see the discussion about second trip echoes by Zrnic, this volume.

Incidence of anatomical variations and disease of the maxillary sinuses as identified by cone beam computed tomography: a systematic review.

PURPOSE: To analyze available evidence on the incidence of anatomical variations or disease of the maxillary sinuses as identified by cone beam computed tomography (CBCT) in dentistry. MATERIALS AND METHODS: A focused question was developed to search the electronic databases MEDLINE, EMBASE, the Cochrane Oral Health Group Trials Register, and CENTRAL and identify all relevant papers published between 1980 and January 19, 2013. Unpublished literature at ClinicalTrials.gov, in the National Research Register, and in the Pro-Quest Dissertation Abstracts and Thesis database was also included. Studies were included irrespective of language. These results were supplemented by hand and gray literature searches. RESULTS: Twenty-two studies were identified. Twenty were retrospective cohort studies, one was a prospective cohort study, and one was a case control study. The main indication for CBCT was dental implant treatment planning, and the majority of studies used a small field of view for imaging. The most common anatomical variations included increased thickness of the sinus membrane, the presence of sinus septa, and pneumatization. Reported sinus disease frequency varied widely, ranging from 14.3% to 82%. There was a wide range in the reported prevalence of mucosal thickening related to apical pathology, the degree of lumenal opacification, features of sinusitis, and the presence of retention cysts and polyps. More pathologic findings in the maxillary sinus were reported in men than in women, and the medial wall and sinus floor were most frequently affected. CONCLUSION: CBCT is used primarily to evaluate bony anatomy and to screen for overt pathology of the maxillary sinuses prior to dental implant treatment. Differences in the classification of mucosal findings are problematic in the consistent and valid assessment of health and disease of the maxillary sinus.