Timing History: The Introduction of Graphical Analysis in 19th Century British Economics

The introduction of time-series graphs into British economics in the 19th century depended on the « timing » of history. This involved reconceptualizing history into events which were both comparable and measurable and standardized by time unit. Yet classical economists in Britain in the early 19th century viewed history as a set of heterogenous and complex events and statistical tables as giving unrelated facts. Both these attitudes had to be broken down before time-series graphs could be brought into use for revealing regularities in economic events by the century's end.

Neural synchrony indexes impaired motor slowing after errors and novelty following white matter damage.

In humans, action errors and perceptual novelty elicit activity in a shared frontostriatal brain network, allowing them to adapt their ongoing behavior to such unexpected action outcomes. Healthy and pathologic aging reduces the integrity of white matter pathways that connect individual hubs of such networks and can impair the associated cognitive functions. Here, we investigated whether structural disconnection within this network because of small-vessel disease impairs the neural processes that subserve motor slowing after errors and novelty (post-error slowing, PES; post-novel slowing, PNS). Participants with intact frontostriatal circuitry showed increased right-lateralized beta-band (12-24 Hz) synchrony between frontocentral and frontolateral electrode sites in the electroencephalogram after errors and novelty, indexing increased neural communication. Importantly, this synchrony correlated with PES and PNS across participants. Furthermore, such synchrony was reduced in participants with frontostriatal white matter damage, in line with reduced PES and PNS. The results demonstrate that behavioral change after errors and novelty result from coordinated neural activity across a frontostriatal brain network and that such cognitive control is impaired by reduced white matter integrity.

People favour imperfect catching by assuming a stable world

The visual angle that is projected by an object (e.g. a ball) on the retina depends on the object's size and distance. Without further information, however, the visual angle is ambiguous with respect to size and distance, because equal visual angles can be obtained from a big ball at a longer distance and a smaller one at a correspondingly shorter distance. Failure to recover the true 3D structure of the object (e.g. a ball's physical size) causing the ambiguous retinal image can lead to a timing error when catching the ball. Two opposing views are currently prevailing on how people resolve this ambiguity when estimating time to contact. One explanation challenges any inference about what causes the retinal image (i.e. the necessity to recover this 3D structure), and instead favors a direct analysis of optic flow. In contrast, the second view suggests that action timing could be rather based on obtaining an estimate of the 3D structure of the scene. With the latter, systematic errors will be predicted if our inference of the 3D structure fails to reveal the underlying cause of the retinal image. Here we show that hand closure in catching virtual balls is triggered by visual angle, using an assumption of a constant ball size. As a consequence of this assumption, hand closure starts when the ball is at similar distance across trials. From that distance on, the remaining arrival time, therefore, depends on ball's speed. In order to time the catch successfully, closing time was coupled with ball's speed during the motor phase. This strategy led to an increased precision in catching but at the cost of committing systematic errors.

Timing of visual stimuli in V1 and V5/MT: fMRI and TMS

Time perception is used in our day-to-day activities. While we understand quite well how our brain processes vision, touch or taste, brain mechanisms subserving time perception remain largely understudied. In this study, we extended an experiment of previous master thesis run by Tatiana Kenel-Pierre. We focused on time perception in the range of milliseconds. Previous studies have demonstrated the involvement of visual areas V1 and V5/MT in the encoding of temporal information of visual stimuli. Based on these previous findings the aim of the present study was to understand if temporal information was encoded in V1 and extrastriate area V5/MT in different spatial frames i.e., head- centered versus eye-centered. To this purpose we asked eleven healthy volunteers to perform a temporal discrimination task of visual stimuli. Stimuli were presented at 4 different spatial positions (i.e., different combinations of retinotopic and spatiotopic position). While participants were engaged in this task we interfered with the activity of the right dorsal V1 and the right V5/MT with transcranial magnetic stimulation (TMS). Our preliminary results showed that TMS over both V1 and V5/MT impaired temporal discrimination of visual stimuli presented at specific spatial coordinates. But whereas TMS over V1 impaired temporal discrimination of stimuli presented in the lower left quadrant, TMS over V5/MT affected temporal discrimination of stimuli presented at the top left quadrant. Although it is always difficult to draw conclusions from preliminary results, we could tentatively say that our data seem to suggest that both V1 and V5/MT encode visual temporal information in specific spatial frames.

Analysis of translational errors in frame-based and frameless cranial radiosurgery using an anthropomorphic phantom

Abstract Objective: To evaluate three-dimensional translational setup errors and residual errors in image-guided radiosurgery, comparing frameless and frame-based techniques, using an anthropomorphic phantom. Materials and Methods: We initially used specific phantoms for the calibration and quality control of the image-guided system. For the hidden target test, we used an Alderson Radiation Therapy (ART)-210 anthropomorphic head phantom, into which we inserted four 5mm metal balls to simulate target treatment volumes. Computed tomography images were the taken with the head phantom properly positioned for frameless and frame-based radiosurgery. Results: For the frameless technique, the mean error magnitude was 0.22 ± 0.04 mm for setup errors and 0.14 ± 0.02 mm for residual errors, the combined uncertainty being 0.28 mm and 0.16 mm, respectively. For the frame-based technique, the mean error magnitude was 0.73 ± 0.14 mm for setup errors and 0.31 ± 0.04 mm for residual errors, the combined uncertainty being 1.15 mm and 0.63 mm, respectively. Conclusion: The mean values, standard deviations, and combined uncertainties showed no evidence of a significant differences between the two techniques when the head phantom ART-210 was used.

Perception du timing pubertaire et comportements à risque chez des adolescents suisses

Il faut distinguer timing pubertaire objectif (TPO ; comparaison du timing pubertaire réel d'un sujet avec celui d'un groupe de référence) et timing pubertaire subjectif (TPS ; perception subjective par le sujet de son timing pubertaire par rapport à celui de ses pairs). Chez l'adolescente, la ménarche est couramment utilisée comme marqueur du TPO. La littérature s'intéressant aux variations physiologiques (normales) du timing pubertaire montre qu'un TPO précoce est corrélé chez les adolescentes avec de nombreux problèmes de santé (p.ex. dépression, abus de substances, comportements à risques, niveau d'études inférieur). Un TPO tardif chez l'adolescente serait quant à lui associé à une meilleure réussite scolaire. Les diverses hypothèses expliquant ces corrélations sont brièvement décrites dans notre travail. Certaines hypothèses impliquent des facteurs objectifs tels les changements du corps à la puberté, alors que d'autres privilégient des facteurs plus subjectifs, dans le registre de la perception de soi. A ce jour, la littérature ne s'est que très peu intéressée au TPS en soi. Une adolescente percevant son timing pubertaire comme précoce est-elle à risque même si sa puberté survient objectivement au même âge que la majorité de ses pairs ? L'objectif de ce travail est de rechercher d'éventuelles corrélations entre TPS et adoption de comportements à risque chez des adolescentes rapportant un TPO dans la moyenne. Nos données proviennent de l'enquête SMASH 2002, une étude par questionnaire auto-administré conduite parmi un échantillon de 7548 adolescentes et adolescents suisses âgés de 16-20 ans. Des 3658 adolescentes de l'échantillon initial, nous ne sélectionnons que les 1003 d'entre elles qui ont répondu à la question sur le TPS et qui ont rapporté un âge à la ménarche de 13 ans, soit la moyenne et la médiane de l'âge à la ménarche rapporté par les 3658 adolescentes de l'échantillon initial. Ces 1003 adolescentes sélectionnées sont considérées comme ayant un TPO dans la moyenne. Ces 1003 adolescentes sont séparées en 3 groupes en fonction de leur TPS (précoce/correspondant à la moyenne/tardif). A l'aide d'analyses bivariées et logistiques, nous comparons ces 3 groupes en termes d'adoption de comportements à risque dans le champ de la sexualité (précocité des rapports sexuels) et dans celui de la consommation de substances (tabac, cannabis, drogues dures). Nos résultats montrent principalement qu'une perception de précocité pubertaire est associée avec une précocité des premiers rapports sexuels et de l'usage de drogues dures. A l'inverse, les adolescentes percevant leur puberté comme tardive rapportent moins fréquemment des rapports sexuels avant 16 ans que les adolescentes percevant leur puberté comme dans la moyenne. Les implications cliniques sont les suivantes : face à une adolescente percevant sa puberté comme étant ou ayant été précoce, le praticien devrait investiguer l'existence de comportements à risque même si la puberté survient ou est survenue à un âge similaire à ce qui est retrouvé chez la majorité des pairs. En effet, notre étude suggère que même si cette adolescente se trompe en percevant sa puberté comme précoce, la probabilité de comportements à risque est augmentée dans le champ de la sexualité et de la consommation de substances. Nos résultats suggèrent aussi que l'association retrouvée dans la littérature entre précocité objective de la puberté et comportements à risque chez les adolescentes n'est pas uniquement médiée par les changements corporels pubertaires mais qu'un facteur psychologique tel que la perception subjective est également impliqué.

Time course of error detection and correction in humans: neurophysiological evidence.

Using event-related brain potentials, the time course of error detection and correction was studied in healthy human subjects. A feedforward model of error correction was used to predict the timing properties of the error and corrective movements. Analysis of the multichannel recordings focused on (1) the error-related negativity (ERN) seen immediately after errors in response- and stimulus-locked averages and (2) on the lateralized readiness potential (LRP) reflecting motor preparation. Comparison of the onset and time course of the ERN and LRP components showed that the signs of corrective activity preceded the ERN. Thus, error correction was implemented before or at least in parallel with the appearance of the ERN component. Also, the amplitude of the ERN component was increased for errors, followed by fast corrective movements. The results are compatible with recent views considering the ERN component as the output of an evaluative system engaged in monitoring motor conflict.

Least squares regression with errors in both variables: case studies

Analytical curves are normally obtained from discrete data by least squares regression. The least squares regression of data involving significant error in both x and y values should not be implemented by ordinary least squares (OLS). In this work, the use of orthogonal distance regression (ODR) is discussed as an alternative approach in order to take into account the error in the x variable. Four examples are presented to illustrate deviation between the results from both regression methods. The examples studied show that, in some situations, ODR coefficients must substitute for those of OLS, and, in other situations, the difference is not significant.

The Role of Tactical Marketing Decisions on New Product Performance: The Moderating Effect of Entry Timing

This study focuses on observing how Finnish companies execute their new product launch processes. The main objective was to find out how entry timing moderates the relationship between launch tactics (namely product innovativeness, price and emotional advertising) and new product performance (namely sales volume and customer profitability). The empirical analysis was based on data collected in Lappeenranta University of Technology. The sample consisted of Finnish companies representing different industries and innovation activities. Altogether 272 usable responses were received representing a response rate of 37.67%. The measures were first assessed by using exploratory factor analysis (EFA) in PASW Statistics 18 and then further verified with confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) in LISREL 8.80. To test the hypotheses of the moderating effects of entry timing, hierarchical regression analysis was used in PASW Statistics 18. The results of the study revealed that the effect of product innovativeness on new product sales volume is dependent on entry timing. This implies that companies should carefully consider what would be the best time for entering the market when launching highly innovative new products. The results also depict a positive relationship between emotional advertising and new product sales volume. In addition, partial support was found for a positive relationship between pricing and new product customer profitability.

Method of numerical correction of errors occasioned by delay of records during the monitoring of environmental variables of interest for animal production

Thermal and air conditions inside animal facilities change during the day due to the influence of the external environment. For statistical and geostatistical analyses to be representative, a large number of points spatially distributed in the facility area must be monitored. This work suggests that the time variation of environmental variables of interest for animal production, monitored within animal facility, can be modeled accurately from discrete-time records. The aim of this study was to develop a numerical method to correct the temporal variations of these environmental variables, transforming the data so that such observations are independent of the time spent during the measurement. The proposed method approached values recorded with time delays to those expected at the exact moment of interest, if the data were measured simultaneously at the moment at all points distributed spatially. The correction model for numerical environmental variables was validated for environmental air temperature parameter, and the values corrected by the method did not differ by Tukey's test at 5% significance of real values recorded by data loggers.

Mutual Fund Performance and the Market Timing Ability - Finnish Evidence

The purpose of this thesis is to examine the performance of Finnish equity funds and their market timing ability. Fund performance is evaluated by using annual returns and various risk-adjusted measures, including Sharpe ratio, DDSR, SKASR, Treynor ratio and Jensen’s alpha, whereas portfolio manager’s timing ability is examined with Treynor-Mazuy model and Henriksson-Merton model. The data is collected from the Finnish fund market during the sample period from January 1997 to February 2010. Results show that Finnish equity funds have been able to outperform the market return on a risk-adjusted basis, but these results are influenced heavily by the exceptionally good performance during the IT-bubble. Market timing models show that fund managers have been, to some degree, able to time the market but not a single fund have been able to possess security selection ability and market timing ability simultaneously.

The effect of timing temporary cements to treat induced pulp necrosis in the teeth of dogs

During endodontic therapy (pulpectomy, root canal debridement and root canal filling) microbiological management is a major concern. Bacteria present in dentine tubules, apical foramina and apical delta are causally related to failure of the procedure. Studies have shown that during single session endodontic treatment bacteria remain within dental structures. The aim of the present study was to evaluate endodontic treatment performed as two sessions, using temporary endodontic dressing materials for different periods in four groups of experimental dogs. A total of 80 roots of second and third upper premolar teeth and second, third and fourth lower premolar teeth were divided into four groups. The pulp chamber was opened with burrs and the pulp exposed for 60 days to induce pulpal inflammation and necrosis. Groups II, III and IV were treated with calcium hydroxide plus camphorated paramono-chlorophenol (PMCC) for 7, 15 and 30 days, respectively. In all groups, the root canals were filled with zinc oxide-eugenol and gutta-percha cones. Clinical and radiographical measurements were performed every 2 weeks. After 60 days a small block section containing the teeth, surrounding periapical tissues and the periodontium was removed for histological and microbiological study. Histological analysis revealed intense inflammatory response in all groups. Microbiological analysis showed microbial reduction inversely proportional to the period of time that the intracanal temporary medicament was left in place.

Corn and soybean yields as affected by cover crops and herbicide timing under no-tillage system

To achieve better results in the no-tillage system (NTS), it is important to properly manage the cover crop prior to planting by using herbicides, usually glyphosate. The effect of glyphosate on plant coverage is slow, and plants take a few days to die completely. Thus, when applying the herbicide on the same day of planting soybean or corn, cover crops are still alive and standing, causing initial shading on seedlings of the crop and delaying its establishment. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the effect of distinct cover crops and their timing of desiccation prior to planting soybean or corn, on crop yield and yield components. Two experiments were installed, one for soybean and another for corn. Each experiment consisted in combining three cover crops (Brachiaria brizantha, common bean or millet) chemically desiccated at two timings before planting the crop (15 or 0 days before planting) under no-tillage system (NTS). Experiments were installed in a completely randomized block design with five replications. Brachiaria brizantha produced the highest amount of biomass; common bean and millet as cover crops allowed higher soybean grain yields; herbicide application under common bean, millet and Brachiaria brizantha 15 days before planting soybean allowed higher crop grain yields; desiccation timing of common bean did not affect corn grain yield; Brachiaria brizantha should be desiccated 15 days before planting corn to allow maximum grain yield; when millet was used as a cover crop, glyphosate application at planting of corn allowed the highest grain yield.