961 resultados para Risk identification
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There is growing interest in providing women with internatal care, a package of healthcare and ancillary services that can improve their health during the period after the termination of one pregnancy but before the conception of the next pregnancy. Women who have had a pregnancy affected by a neural tube defect can especially benefit from internatal care because they are at increased risk for recurrence and improvements to their health during the inter-pregnancy period can prevent future negative birth outcomes. The dissertation provides three papers that inform the content of internatal care for women at risk for recurrence by examining descriptive epidemiology to develop an accurate risk profile of the population, assessing whether women at risk for recurrence would benefit from a psychosocial intervention, and determining how to improve health promotion efforts targeting folic acid use.^ Paper one identifies information relevant for developing risk profiles and conducting risk assessments. A number of investigations have found that the risk for neural tube defects differs between non-Hispanic Whites and Hispanics. To understand the risk difference, the descriptive epidemiology of spina bifida and anencephaly was examined for Hispanics and non-Hispanic Whites based on data from the Texas Birth Defects Registry for the years 1999 through 2004. Crude and adjusted birth prevalence ratios and corresponding 95% confidence intervals were calculated between descriptive epidemiologic characteristics and anencephaly and spina bifida for non-Hispanic Whites and for Hispanics. In both race/ethnic groups, anencephaly expressed an inverse relationship with maternal age and a positive linear relationship with parity. Both relationships were stronger in non-Hispanic Whites. Female infants had a higher risk for anencephaly in non-Hispanic Whites. Lower maternal education was associated with increased risk for spina bifida in Hispanics.^ Paper two assesses the need for a psychosocial intervention. For mothers who have children with spina bifida, the transition to motherhood can be stressful. This qualitative study explored the process of becoming a mother to a child with spina bifida focusing particularly on stress and coping in the immediate postnatal environment. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with six mothers who have children with spina bifida. Mothers were asked about their initial emotional and problem-based coping efforts, the quality and kind of support provided by health providers, and the characteristics of their meaning-based coping efforts; questions matched Transactional Model of Stress and Coping (TMSC) constructs. Analysis of the responses revealed a number of modifiable stress and coping transactions, the most salient being: health providers are in a position to address beliefs about self-causality and prevent mothers from experiencing the repercussions that stem from maintaining these beliefs. ^ Paper three identifies considerations when creating health promotion materials targeting folic acid use. A brochure was designed using concepts from the Precaution Adoption Process Model (PAPM). Three focus groups comprising 26 mothers of children with spina bifida evaluated the brochure. One focus group was conducted in Spanish-only, the other two focus groups were conducted in English and Spanish combined. Qualitative analysis of coded transcripts revealed that a brochure is a helpful adjunct. Questions about folic acid support the inclusion of an insert with basic information. There may be a need to develop different educational material for Hispanics so the importance of folic acid is provided in a situational context. Some participants blamed themselves for their pregnancy outcome which may affect their receptivity to messages in the brochure. The women's desire for photographs that affect their perception of threat and their identification with the second role model indicate they belong to PAPM Stage 2 and 3. Participants preferred colorful envelopes, high quality paper, intimidating photographs, simple words, conversational style sentences, and positive messages.^ These papers develop the content of risk assessment, psychosocial intervention, and health promotion components of internatal care as they apply to women at risk for recurrence. The findings provided evidence for considering parity and maternal age when assessing nutritional risk. The two dissimilarities between the two race/ethnic groups, infant sex and maternal education lent support to creating separate risk profiles. Interviews with mothers of children with spina bifida revealed the existence of unmet needs-suggesting that a psychosocial intervention provided as part of internatal care can strengthen and support women's well-being. Segmenting the audience according to race/ethnicity and PAPM stage can improve the relevance of print materials promoting folic acid use.^
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Alcohol consumption has a long-standing tradition in the United States Air Force (USAF). From squadron bars to officers and enlisted clubs, alcohol has been used in social settings to increase morale and also as a way to help decrease the stress of military operations. Surveys have demonstrated that the USAF has more than double the percentage of heavy drinkers than the US population. More than one-third of the Air Force reports binge drinking in the last month while only six percent of the nation reports the same consumption pattern.^ However, alcohol has a significant harmful health effect if consumed in excess. As part of an overall prevention and treatment program aimed at curbing the harmful effects of alcohol consumption, the USAF uses the Alcohol Use Disorder Identification Test (AUDIT) to screen for high-risk alcohol consumption patterns before alcohol disorder and disability occur. All Air Force active-duty members are required to complete a yearly Preventive Health Assessment questionnaire. Various health topics are included in this questionnaire including nutrition, exercise, tobacco use, family history, mental health and alcohol use. While this questionnaire has been available in a web-based format for several years, mandatory use was not implemented until 2009.^ Although the AUDIT was selected due to its effectiveness in assessing high-risk alcohol consumption in other populations, its effectiveness in the Air Force population had not been studied previously. In order to assess the sensitivity, specificity, and positive predictive value of this screening tool, the Air Force Web-based Preventive Health Assessment alcohol screening results were compared to whether any alcohol-related diagnosis was made from January 1, 2009 to March 31, 2010.^ While the AUDIT has previously been shown to have a high sensitivity and specificity, the Air Force screening values were 27.9% and 93.0% respectively. Positive predictive value was only 4.9%. With the screening statistics found, less than one-third of those having an alcohol disorder will be found with this screening tool and only 1 out of 20 Airmen who require further evaluation actually have an alcohol-related diagnosis.^
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Background: Heart failure (CHF) is the most frequent and prognostically severe symptom of aortic stenosis (AS), and the most common indication for surgery. The mainstay of treatment for AS is aortic valve replacement (AVR), and the main indication for an AVR is development of symptomatic disease. ACC/AHA guidelines define severe AS as an aortic valve area (AVA) ≤1cm², but there is little data correlating echocardiogram AVA with the onset of symptomatic CHF. We evaluated the risk of developing CHF with progressively decreasing echocardiographic AVA. We also compared echocardiographic AVA with Jet velocity (V2) and indexed AVA (AVAI) to assess the best predictor of development of symptomatic CHF.^ Methods and Results: This retrospective cohort study evaluated 518 patients with asymptomatic moderate or severe AS from a single community based cardiology practice. A total of 925 echocardiograms were performed over an 11-year period. Each echocardiogram was correlated with concurrent clinical assessments while the investigator was blinded to the echocardiogram severity of AS. The Cox Proportional hazards model was used to analyze the relationship between AVA and the development of CHF. The median age of patients at entry was 76.1 years, with 54% males. A total of 116 patients (21.8%) developed new onset CHF during follow-up. Compared to patients with AVA >1.0cm², patients with lower AVA had an exponentially increasing risk of developing CHF for each 0.2cm² decrement in AVA, becoming statistically significant only at an AVA less than 0.8 cm². Also, compared to V2 and AVAI, AVA added more information to assessing risk for development of CHF (p=0.041). ^ Conclusion: In patients with normal or mildly impaired LVEF, the risk of CHF rises exponentially with decreasing valve area and becomes statistically significant after AVA falls below 0.8cm². AVA is a better predictor of CHF when compared to V2 or AVAI.^
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Atherosclerosis is widely accepted as a complex genetic phenotype and is the usual cause of cardiovascular disease, the world’s leading killer. Genetic factors have been proven to be important risk contributors for atherosclerosis and much work has been done to identify promising candidates that might play a role in the development of atherosclerosis. It is well known that many independent replications are needed to unequivocally establish a valid genotype-phenotype association across different populations before the findings are extended to clinical settings and to the expensive follow-up studies designed to identify causal genetic variants. Aiming to replicate the association with atherosclerosis in the Pathobiological Determinants of Atherosclerosis in Youth (PDAY) study, we assessed the relationship of 32 atherosclerosis candidate SNPs to atherosclerosis in the PDAY cohort, consisting of AA and EA young people aged 15-34 years who died of non-medical causes. Two association studies, a whole sample study and a 1:1 matched case control study were performed by use of multiple linear regression and logistic regression analyses, respectively. For the whole sample association study, 32 SNPs among 2,650 individuals (1,369 AA and 1,281 EA) were tested for the association with six early atherosclerosis phenotypes: abdominal aorta fatty streaks, abdominal aorta raised lesions, right coronary artery fatty streaks, right coronary artery raised lesions, thoracic aorta fatty streaks, and thoracic aorta raised lesions. For the matched case-control association study, 337 case-control paired samples were included; cases were chosen with the highest total raised lesion scores from the studied population, while controls were randomly selected from individuals that had no raised lesions and matched to cases by age, gender and race. Sixteen SNPs in 13 genes were found to be significantly associated with atherosclerosis in at least one of the PDAY association studies. Among these 16 findings: eight SNPs (rs9579646, rs6053733, rs3849150, rs10499903, rs2148079, rs5073691, rs10116277, and rs17228212) successfully replicated previous results, six SNPs (rs17222814, rs10811661, rs7028570, rs7291467, rs16996148 and rs10401969) were reported as new findings exclusive to our study, the last two of the 16 SNPs, rs501120 and rs6922269, showed either intriguing or conflicting result. SNP rs17222814 in ALOX5AP and SNP rs3849150 in LRRC18 were consistently associated with atherosclerosis in both prior and the two PDAY association studies. SNP rs3849150 was also identified to be highly correlated with a non-synonymous coding SNP, rs17772611, which may damage the protein (polyphen score = 0.996), suggesting that SNP rs17772611 may be the causal functional variant.^ In conclusion, our study added more support for the association of these candidate genes with atherosclerosis. SNPs rs3849150 and rs17772611 of LRRC18, as well as SNP rs17222814 of ALOX5AP, were the most significant findings from our study, and may be ranked among the best for further study.^
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Background: Lynch Syndrome (LS) is a familial cancer syndrome with a high prevalence of colorectal and endometrial carcinomas among affected family members. Clinical criteria, developed from information obtained from familial colorectal cancer registries, have been generated to identify individuals at elevated risk for having LS. In 2007, the Society of Gynecologic Oncology (SGO) codified criteria to assist in identifying women presenting with gynecologic cancers at elevated risk for having LS. These criteria have not been validated in a population-based setting. Materials and Methods: We retrospectively identified 412, unselected endometrial cancer cases. Clinical and pathologic information were obtained from the electronic medical record, and all tumors were tested for expression of the DNA mismatch repair proteins through immunohistochemistry. Tumors exhibiting loss of MSH2, MSH6 and PMS2 were designated as probable Lynch Syndrome (PLS). For tumors exhibiting immunohistochemical loss of MLH1, we used the PCR-based MLH1 methylation assay to delineate PLS tumors from sporadic tumors. Samples lacking methylation of the MLH1 promoter were also designated as PLS. The sensitivity and specificity for SGO criteria for detecting PLS tumors was calculated. We compared clinical and pathologic features of sporadic tumors and PLS tumors. A simplified cost-effectiveness analysis was also performed comparing the direct costs of utilizing SGO criteria vs. universal tumor testing. Results: In our cohort, 43/408 (10.5%) of endometrial carcinomas were designated as PLS. The sensitivity and specificity of SGO criteria to identify PLS cases were 32.7 and 77%, respectively. Multivariate analysis of clinical and pathologic parameters failed to identify statistically significant differences between sporadic and PLS tumors with the exception of tumors arising from the lower uterine segment. These tumors were more likely to occur in PLS tumors. Cost-effectiveness analysis showed clinical criteria and universal testing strategies cost $6,235.27/PLS case identified and $5,970.38/PLS case identified, respectively. Conclusions: SGO 5-10% criteria successfully identify PLS cases among women who are young or have significant family history of LS related tumors. However, a larger proportion of PLS cases occurring at older ages with less significant family history are not detected by this screening strategy. Compared to SGO clinical criteria, universal tumor testing is a cost effective strategy to identify women presenting with endometrial cancer who are at elevated risk for having LS.
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Background: Inflammatory breast cancer (IBC) is rare and accounts for 2.5% of all invasive breast cancers. The 5-year survival rates are significantly lower than for other types of breast cancer, highlighting the significance of cancer prevention in IBC. The comprehensive multi-disciplinary team Morgan Welch Inflammatory Breast Cancer Research Program and Clinic at University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center treats the largest number of Inflammatory Breast patients in a single center. Because of this unique center, large patient resources, and good medical and epidemiological records, we were able to conduct the largest single center case-control and case-case study on IBC. Methods: We identified 246 patients diagnosed with IBC and 397 cancer free patients seen at the Dan L Duncan Cancer Prevention Clinic. Breast cancer reproductive risk factors and lifestyle risk factors were compared between tumor subtypes of IBC patients (Estrogen Receptor positive (ER+) and/or Progesterone Receptor positive (PR+), Human Epidermal Growth Factor 2 positive (HER2+)), and (ER -/PR-/HER2-)) and cancer free controls. Results: Breastfeeding was the only significant risk factor (p<0.01) between tumor subtypes in IBC patients. In the case-control study that included all IBC patients and cancer free patients the descriptive statistics indicate significant difference in BMI, history of smoking, number of children, age of first pregnancy, any breastfeeding and total time breastfeeding (p<0.05). No differences were found in the frequency of other breast cancer risk factors. Conclusion: The associations determined between cancer free controls and IBC patients have identified previously unknown risk factors for IBC. The risk factors identified by the case control study suggest BMI, history of smoking, and the protective effect of breastfeeding as potential modifiable risk factors that can be used to decrease the incidence of IBC. Impact: These results highlight the importance of evaluating epidemiologic risk factors of IBC, which could lead to the identification of distinct etiologic pathways that could be targeted for prevention.^
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Maritime accidents involving ships carrying passengers may pose a high risk with respect to human casualties. For effective risk mitigation, an insight into the process of risk escalation is needed. This requires a proactive approach when it comes to risk modelling for maritime transportation systems. Most of the existing models are based on historical data on maritime accidents, and thus they can be considered reactive instead of proactive. This paper introduces a systematic, transferable and proactive framework estimating the risk for maritime transportation systems, meeting the requirements stemming from the adopted formal definition of risk. The framework focuses on ship-ship collisions in the open sea, with a RoRo/Passenger ship (RoPax) being considered as the struck ship. First, it covers an identification of the events that follow a collision between two ships in the open sea, and, second, it evaluates the probabilities of these events, concluding by determining the severity of a collision. The risk framework is developed with the use of Bayesian Belief Networks and utilizes a set of analytical methods for the estimation of the risk model parameters. The model can be run with the use of GeNIe software package. Finally, a case study is presented, in which the risk framework developed here is applied to a maritime transportation system operating in the Gulf of Finland (GoF). The results obtained are compared to the historical data and available models, in which a RoPax was involved in a collision, and good agreement with the available records is found.
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The road to the automation of the agricultural processes passes through the safe operation of the autonomous vehicles. This requirement is a fact in ground mobile units, but it still has not well defined for the aerial robots (UAVs) mainly because the normative and legislation are quite diffuse or even inexistent. Therefore, to define a common and global policy is the challenge to tackle. This characterization has to be addressed from the field experience. Accordingly, this paper presents the work done in this direction, based on the analysis of the most common sources of hazards when using UAV's for agricultural tasks. The work, based on the ISO 31000 normative, has been carried out by applying a three-step structure that integrates the identification, assessment and reduction procedures. The present paper exposes how this method has been applied to analyze previous accidents and malfunctions during UAV operations in order to obtain real failure causes. It has allowed highlighting common risks and hazardous sources and proposing specific guards and safety measures for the agricultural context.
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Seismic hazard study in “La Hispaniola” island in connection with the land tenure situation in the region, in order to define priority areas with a high risk, where some land management recommendations are proposed. The seismic hazard assessment has been carried out following the probabilistic method with a seismogenic zonation and including the major faults of the region as independent units. In order to identify the priority areas, it has taken into account, besides the seismic hazard study, the map of changes of static Coulomb failure stress and the landslide hazard map.
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Society is frequently exposed to and threatened by dangerous phenomena in many parts of the world. Different types of such phenomena require specific actions for proper risk management, from the stages of hazard identification to those of mitigation (including monitoring and early-warning) and/or reduction. The understanding of both predisposing factors and triggering mechanisms of a given danger and the prediction of its evolution from the source to the overall affected zone are relevant issues that must be addressed to properly evaluate a given hazard.
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The idiopathic inflammatory bowel diseases, Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC), are chronic, frequently disabling diseases of the intestines. Segregation analyses, twin concordance, and ethnic differences in familial risks have established that CD and UC are complex, non-Mendelian, related genetic disorders. We performed a genome-wide screen using 377 autosomal markers, on 297 CD, UC, or mixed relative pairs from 174 families, 37% Ashkenazim. We observed evidence for linkage at 3q for all families (multipoint logarithm of the odds score (MLod) = 2.29, P = 5.7 × 10−4), with greatest significance for non-Ashkenazim Caucasians (MLod = 3.39, P = 3.92 × 10−5), and at chromosome 1p (MLod = 2.65, P = 2.4 × 10−4) for all families. In a limited subset of mixed families (containing one member with CD and another with UC), evidence for linkage was observed on chromosome 4q (MLod = 2.76, P = 1.9 × 10−4), especially among Ashkenazim. There was confirmatory evidence for a CD locus, overlapping IBD1, in the pericentromeric region of chromosome 16 (MLod = 1.69, P = 2.6 × 10−3), particularly among Ashkenazim (MLod = 1.51, P = 7.8 × 10−3); however, positive MLod scores were observed over a very broad region of chromosome 16. Furthermore, evidence for epistasis between IBD1 and chromosome 1p was observed. Thirteen additional loci demonstrated nominal (MLod > 1.0, P < 0.016) evidence for linkage. This screen provides strong evidence that there are several major susceptibility loci contributing to the genetic risk for CD and UC.
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T cell recognition of autoantigens is critical to progressive immune-mediated destruction of islet cells, which leads to autoimmune diabetes. We identified a naturally presented autoantigen from the human islet antigen glutamic acid decarboxylase, 65-kDa isoform (GAD65), by using a combination of chromatography and mass spectrometry of peptides bound by the type I diabetes (insulin-dependent diabetes mellitus, IDDM)-associated HLA-DR4 molecule. Peptides encompassing this epitope-stimulated GAD65-specific T cells from diabetic patients and a DR4-positive individual at high risk for developing IDDM. T cell responses were antagonized by altered peptide ligands containing single amino acid modifications. This direct identification and manipulation of GAD65 epitope recognition provides an approach toward dissection of the complex CD4+ T cell response in IDDM.
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Early atherosclerotic lesions develop in a topographical pattern that strongly suggests involvement of hemodynamic forces in their pathogenesis. We hypothesized that certain endothelial genes, which exhibit differential responsiveness to distinct fluid mechanical stimuli, may participate in the atherogenic process by modulating, on a local level within the arterial wall, the effects of systemic risk factors. A differential display strategy using cultured human endothelial cells has identified two genes, manganese superoxide dismutase and cyclooxygenase-2, that exhibit selective and sustained up-regulation by steady laminar shear stress (LSS). Turbulent shear stress, a nonlaminar fluid mechanical stimulus, does not induce these genes. The endothelial form of nitric oxide synthase also demonstrates a similar LSS-selective pattern of induction. Thus, three genes with potential atheroprotective (antioxidant, antithrombotic, and antiadhesive) activities manifest a differential response to distinct fluid mechanical stimuli, providing a possible mechanistic link between endothelial gene expression and early events in atherogenesis. The activities of these and other LSS-responsive genes may have important implications for the pathogenesis and prevention of atherosclerosis.
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Problématique: L’hypertension artérielle essentielle, facteur de risque majeur dans le développement des maladies cardiovasculaires, est un trait multigénique complexe dont les connaissances sur le déterminisme génétique nécessitent d’être approfondies. De nombreux loci à trait quantitatif (QTLs); soit des gènes responsables de faire varier la pression artérielle (PA), ont été identifiés chez l’humain et le modèle animal. Cependant, le mystère plane encore sur la façon dont ces gènes fonctionnent ensemble pour réguler la PA. Hypothèse et objectif: Plutôt qu’une addition de QTLs ayant chacun une action infinitésimale sur la PA, une interaction épistatique entre les gènes serait responsable du phénotype hypertendu. Ainsi, l’étude de cette épistasie entre les gènes impliqués, directement ou indirectement, dans l’homéostasie de la PA nous permettrait d’explorer de nouvelles voies de régulation moléculaire en cause dans cette maladie. Méthodes: Via la réalisation de souches congéniques de rats, où un segment chromosomique provenant d’une souche receveuse hypertendue (Dahl Salt Sensitive, SS/Jr) est remplacé par son homologue provenant d’une souche donneuse normotendue (Lewis, LEW), des QTLs peuvent être mis en évidence. Dans ce contexte, la combinaison de QTLs via la création de doubles ou multiples congéniques constitue la première démonstration fonctionnelle des interactions intergéniques. Résultats: Vingt-sept combinaisons au total nous ont menés à l’appréciation d’une modularisation des QTLs. Ces derniers ont été catégorisés selon deux principaux modules épistatiques (EMs) où les QTLs appartenant à un même EM sont épistatiques entre eux et participent à une même voie régulatrice. Les EMs/cascades agissent alors en parallèle pour réguler la PA. Grâce à l’existence de QTLs ayant des effets opposés sur la PA, nous avons pu établir l’ordre hiérarchique entre trois paires de QTLs. Cependant, lorsque cette suite régulatrice ne peut être déterminée, d’autres approches sont nécessaires. Nos travaux nous ont mené à l’identification d’un QTL situé sur le chromosome 16 du rat (C16QTL), appartenant au EM1 et qui révélerait une nouvelle voie de l’homéostasie de la PA. Le gène retinoblastoma-associated protein 140 (Rap140)/family with sequence similarity 208 member A (Fam208a), présentant une mutation non synonyme entre SS/Jr et LEW est le gène candidat le plus plausible pour représenter C16QTL. Celui-ci code pour un facteur de transcription et semblerait influencer l’expression de Solute carrier family 7 (cationic amino acid transporter, y+ system) member 12 (Slc7a12), spécifiquement et significativement sous exprimé dans les reins de la souche congénique portant C16QTL par rapport à la souche SS/Jr. Rap140/Fam208a agirait comme un inhibiteur de la transcription de Slc7a12 menant à une diminution de la pression chez Lewis. Conclusions: L’architecture complexe de la régulation de la PA se dévoile mettant en scène de nouveaux acteurs, pour la plupart inconnus pour leur implication dans la PA. L’étude de la nouvelle voie de signalisation Rap140/Fam208a - Slc7a12 nous permettra d’approfondir nos connaissances quant à l’homéostasie de la pression artérielle et de l’hypertension chez SS/Jr. À long terme, de nouveaux traitements anti-hypertenseurs, ciblant plus d’une voie de régulation à la fois, pourraient voir le jour.
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Mode of access: Internet.