Ventilatory responses of healthy subjects to intravenous combinations of morphine and oxycodone under imposed hypercapnic and hypoxaemic conditions

Aims Previous isobolographic analysis revealed that coadministration of morphine and oxycodone produces synergistic antinociception in laboratory rodents. As both opioids can produce ventilatory depression, this study was designed to determine whether their ventilatory effects were synergistic when coadministered to healthy human subjects. Methods A placebo-controlled, randomized, crossover study was performed in 12 male volunteers. Ventilatory responses to hypoxaemia and hypercapnia were determined from 1-h intravenous infusions of saline ('placebo'), 15 mg morphine sulphate (M), 15 mg oxycodone hydrochloride (O), and their combination in the dose ratios of 1 : 2, 1 : 1, 2 : 1. Drug and metabolite concentrations in serial peripheral venous blood samples were measured by high-performance liquid chromatography-MS/MS. Results 'Placebo' treatment was without significant ventilatory effects. There were no systematic differences between active drug treatments on either the slopes or intercepts of the hypoxaemic and hypercapnia ventilation responses. During drug treatment, the mean minute ventilation at PETCO2 = 55 mmHg (V-E55) decreased to 74% of the subjects' before treatment values (95% confidence interval 62, 87), 68% (57, 80), 69% (59, 79), 68% (63, 73), and 61% (52, 69) for M15, M10/O5, M7.5/O7.5, M5/O10 and O15, respectively. Recovery was more prolonged with increasing oxycodone doses, corresponding to its greater potency and lower clearance compared with morphine. Conclusions Although adverse ventilatory effects of these drugs were found as expected, no unexpected or disproportionate effects of any of the morphine and oxycodone treatments were found that might impede their use in combination for pain management.

Using extreme value theory to measure value-at-risk for daily electricity spot prices

The recent deregulation in electricity markets worldwide has heightened the importance of risk management in energy markets. Assessing Value-at-Risk (VaR) in electricity markets is arguably more difficult than in traditional financial markets because the distinctive features of the former result in a highly unusual distribution of returns-electricity returns are highly volatile, display seasonalities in both their mean and volatility, exhibit leverage effects and clustering in volatility, and feature extreme levels of skewness and kurtosis. With electricity applications in mind, this paper proposes a model that accommodates autoregression and weekly seasonals in both the conditional mean and conditional volatility of returns, as well as leverage effects via an EGARCH specification. In addition, extreme value theory (EVT) is adopted to explicitly model the tails of the return distribution. Compared to a number of other parametric models and simple historical simulation based approaches, the proposed EVT-based model performs well in forecasting out-of-sample VaR. In addition, statistical tests show that the proposed model provides appropriate interval coverage in both unconditional and, more importantly, conditional contexts. Overall, the results are encouraging in suggesting that the proposed EVT-based model is a useful technique in forecasting VaR in electricity markets. (c) 2005 International Institute of Forecasters. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Controlled release of heparin from poly(epsilon-caprolactone) electrospun fibers

Sustained delivery of heparin to the localized adventitial surface of grafted blood vessels has been shown to prevent the vascular smooth muscle cell (VSMC) proliferation that can lead to graft occlusion and failure. In this study heparin was incorporated into electrospun poly(epsilon-caprolactone) (PCL) fiber mats for assessment as a controlled delivery device. Fibers with smooth surfaces and no bead defects could be spun from polymer solutions with 8% w/v PCL in 7:3 dichloromethane: methanol. A significant decrease in fiber diameter was observed with increasing heparin concentration. Assessment of drug loading, and imaging of fluorescently labeled heparin showed homogenous distribution of heparin throughout the fiber mats. A total of approximately half of the encapsulated heparin was released by diffusional control from the heparin/PCL fibers after 14 days. The fibers did not induce an inflammatory response in macrophage cells in vitro and the released heparin was effective in preventing the proliferation of VSMCs in culture. These results suggest that electrospun PCL fibers are a promising candidate for delivery of heparin to the site of vascular injury. (C) 2005 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

The wealth effect of housing on aggregate consumption

This study Measures the effect of changes in net housing and financial wealth oil household consumption using Australian data over the period Q2:1988-Q1:2003. It is found a permanent one dollar rise in housing wealth leads to a six cent increase in consumption, three times the effect of financial wealth. The result speaks strongly against the notion of assets fungibility.. and Suggests that a sharp movement in house prices is potentially more disruptive than a corresponding movement ill financial asset prices.

The utility of aminoterminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide for the detection of preclinical systolic and diastolic dysfunction in the community

Background: There is scant data regarding methods to identify subjects in the community with preclinical left ventricular (LV) systolic and diastolic dysfunction. Methods: A population-based sample of 1229 older adults underwent examination with transthoracic echocardiography and measurement of circulating aminoterminal pro-Btype natriuretic peptide (N-BNP) levels. Heart failure status was ascertained according to past history and clinical examination. The ability of N-BNP to detect preclinical LV ejection fraction (EF)