Forecasting UK real estate cycle phases with leading indicators: a probit approach

This paper examines the significance of widely used leading indicators of the UK economy for predicting the cyclical pattern of commercial real estate performance. The analysis uses monthly capital value data for UK industrials, offices and retail from the Investment Property Databank (IPD). Prospective economic indicators are drawn from three sources namely, the series used by the US Conference Board to construct their UK leading indicator and the series deployed by two private organisations, Lombard Street Research and NTC Research, to predict UK economic activity. We first identify turning points in the capital value series adopting techniques employed in the classical business cycle literature. We then estimate probit models using the leading economic indicators as independent variables and forecast the probability of different phases of capital values, that is, periods of declining and rising capital values. The forecast performance of the models is tested and found to be satisfactory. The predictability of lasting directional changes in property performance represents a useful tool for real estate investment decision-making.

Especificação de um bloco funcional implementando rede neural para redes industriais foundations fieldbus

This work proposes the specification of a new function block according to Foundation Fieldbus standards. The new block implements an artificial neural network, which may be useful in process control applications. The specification includes the definition of a main algorithm, that implements a neural network, as well as the description of some accessory functions, which provide safety characteristics to the block operation. Besides, it also describes the block attributes emphasizing its parameters, which constitute the block interfaces. Some experimental results, obtained from an artificial neural network implementation using actual standard functional blocks on a laboratorial FF network, are also shown, in order to demonstrate the possibility and also the convenience of integrating a neural network to Fieldbus devices

Electrochemical study of TEOS, TEOS/MPTS, MPTS/MMA and TEOS/MPTS/MMA films on tin coated steel in 3.5% NaCl solution

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Dimensión vertical de la región anterior de la mandíbula

We made some measurements from the region of the symphysis menti in 308 dried mandibles; 247 belong to the collection of the cranial museum of the discipline of Anatomy of the UNIFESP- Escola Paulista de Medicina- EPM and 61 belong to the didactic laboratory of the discipline of Anatomy from the Faculdade de Odontologia de Araraquara- UNESP, Brasil. On the dentate mandibles, the highest value founded was of 43,46 mm and the lowest of 22,67 mm. On the edentate mandibles, the highest value founded was of 37,24 mm and the lowest of 6,22mm. We hope that with the following discoveries we could contribute to a better knowledge of the symphysis menti region, not only to the professionals in Surgery and Implantology areas, but the industrials of related areas, to the confection of instruments used in these practices. © 2007 Sociedad Chilena de Anatom•br>.

Gestão ambiental em cadeias de suprimentos: Perspectivas atuais e futuras de pesquisa

This article aims to identify the main definitions, practices and related avenues for future research on green supply chain management (GSCM). From a systematic literature review and analysis in major journals related to the topic and indexed in Scopus, was possible: a) identify key research goals of the articles analyzed, b) the research methodology adopted, c) the predominant industrials sectors studied, and d) the practices of GSCM considered relevant by researchers. Results are presented in each of these analytical perspectives. These results may be useful both for those interested in environmental management and in supply chain management, in view of the growing interest in GSCM.

O uso de bambu e metal clay no design de jóias de arte

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Capital flows to Latin America: third quarter 2002

Includes bibliography

Otimização das condições de cultivo do fungo Aspergillus nidulans para produção de melanina usando resíduos agroindustriais

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Fatores produtivos e industriais que interferem na qualidade da carne bovina

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Caracterização do surimi de tilápia do Nilo: morfologia e propiedades físicas, químicas e sensoriais

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Determinação da qualidade da radiografia digital aplicada às soldas de gasodutos e oleodutos terrestres e marítimos

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Firms, do you know your currency risk exposure? Survey results

This paper surveys the currency risk management practices of Swiss industrial corporations. We find tha industrials do not quantify their currency risk exposure and investigate possible reasons. One possibility is that firms do not think they need to know because they use on-balance-sheet instruments to protect themselves before and after currency rates reach troublesome levels. This is puzzling because a rough estimate of at least cash flow exposure is not a prohibitive task and could be helpful. It is also puzzling that firms use currency derivatives to hedge/insure individual short-term transactions, without apparently trying to estimate aggregate transaction exposure.

"El azúcar se forma en el campo" : El papel de las agencias estatales en la modernización de la agricultura cañera tucumana (1880-1910)

Nos proponemos analizar el rol desempeñado por las agencias estatales en el proceso de modernización de la agricultura cañera en Tucumán. Centraremos nuestra atención en la labor desarrollada por el Departamento Nacional de Agricultura (posteriormente convertido en Ministerio) y en el accionar de las oficinas públicas provinciales en la creación de instituciones educativas y experimentales como base para el desarrollo agroindustrial. Como complemento, estudiaremos la interacción entre el Estado y el sector privado (tanto cañeros, industriales, como personal científico involucrado en la actividad) frente a las reformas propuestas para incorporar la agricultura 'científica' en el espacio rural tucumano.

"El azúcar se forma en el campo" : El papel de las agencias estatales en la modernización de la agricultura cañera tucumana (1880-1910)

Nos proponemos analizar el rol desempeñado por las agencias estatales en el proceso de modernización de la agricultura cañera en Tucumán. Centraremos nuestra atención en la labor desarrollada por el Departamento Nacional de Agricultura (posteriormente convertido en Ministerio) y en el accionar de las oficinas públicas provinciales en la creación de instituciones educativas y experimentales como base para el desarrollo agroindustrial. Como complemento, estudiaremos la interacción entre el Estado y el sector privado (tanto cañeros, industriales, como personal científico involucrado en la actividad) frente a las reformas propuestas para incorporar la agricultura 'científica' en el espacio rural tucumano.

"El azúcar se forma en el campo" : El papel de las agencias estatales en la modernización de la agricultura cañera tucumana (1880-1910)

Nos proponemos analizar el rol desempeñado por las agencias estatales en el proceso de modernización de la agricultura cañera en Tucumán. Centraremos nuestra atención en la labor desarrollada por el Departamento Nacional de Agricultura (posteriormente convertido en Ministerio) y en el accionar de las oficinas públicas provinciales en la creación de instituciones educativas y experimentales como base para el desarrollo agroindustrial. Como complemento, estudiaremos la interacción entre el Estado y el sector privado (tanto cañeros, industriales, como personal científico involucrado en la actividad) frente a las reformas propuestas para incorporar la agricultura 'científica' en el espacio rural tucumano.