986 resultados para Climatic changes -- Research


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Climate warming may lead to changes in the trophic structure and diversity of shallow lakes as a combined effect of increased temperature and salinity and likely increased strength of trophic interactions. We investigated the potential effects of temperature, salinity and fish on the plant-associated macroinvertebrate community by introducing artificial plants in eight comparable shallow brackish lakes located in two climatic regions of contrasting temperature: cold-temperate and Mediterranean. In both regions, lakes covered a salinity gradient from freshwater to oligohaline waters. We undertook day and night-time sampling of macroinvertebrates associated with the artificial plants and fish and free-swimming macroinvertebrate predators within artificial plants and in pelagic areas. Our results showed marked differences in the trophic structure between cold and warm shallow lakes. Plant-associated macroinvertebrates and free-swimming macroinvertebrate predators were more abundant and the communities richer in species in the cold compared to the warm climate, most probably as a result of differences in fish predation pressure. Submerged plants in warm brackish lakes did not seem to counteract the effect of fish predation on macroinvertebrates to the same extent as in temperate freshwater lakes, since small fish were abundant and tended to aggregate within the macrophytes. The richness and abundance of most plant-associated macroinvertebrate taxa decreased with salinity. Despite the lower densities of plant-associated macroinvertebrates in the Mediterranean lakes, periphyton biomass was lower than in cold temperate systems, a fact that was mainly attributed to grazing and disturbance by fish. Our results suggest that, if the current process of warming entails higher chances of shallow lakes becoming warmer and more saline, climatic change may result in a decrease in macroinvertebrate species richness and abundance in shallow lakes

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Estudiar el cambio global de origen antropogénico en los ecosistemas mundiales, y sus efectos sobre los mismos, es y será uno de los principales retos de la ecología del siglo XXI. Los ecosistemas forestales españoles ya se encuentran actualmente limitados por el estrés hídrico. Esta limitación se verá agravada por los efectos del cambio climático debido tanto a una reducción del agua disponible como a un incremento de la demanda evaporativa. Una gestión forestal adecuada puede incrementar la resiliencia de los ecosistemas forestales mediterráneos al cambio climático. Los modelos de procesos ecofisiológicos como GOTILWA+ son herramientas muy potentes a la hora de proyectar los efectos del cambio climático sobre los ecosistemas forestales, asimismo como evaluar la gestión forestal. GOTILWA+ incluye un potente motor de optimización de la gestión forestal basado en el "Particle Swarm Algorithm" (PSO) -, que permite proyectar la gestión óptima en función de las variables ambientales tanto climáticas como estructurales y de los objetivos de gestión. Una gestión adaptativa al cambio climático será imprescindible para combatir los impactos negativos de este sobre los bosques españoles. En este artículo se presentan tres ejemplos de aplicación del modelo GOTILWA+: en el primero se estudia la respuesta de los hayedos (Fagus sylvatica L.) españoles a distintos escenarios de cambio climático. En el segundo se evalúan distintos itinerarios de gestión de pino carrasco (Pinus halepensis Mill.) en función de distintos objetivos de gestión. En el tercero, se aplica el PSO en un rodal de pino silvestre (Pinus sylvestris L.) para obtener la gestión óptima del rodal. Se concluye que, si bien el cambio climático supondrá severas constricciones sobre los ecosistemas forestales españoles, una gestión adaptativa permitirá en parte mitigar dichos impactos [...].

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Avui fa una setmana es va cloure la cimera del clima, sense progressos significatius. Quan es discuteix sobre canvi climàtic es posa molt èmfasi en les emissions de gasos d'efecte hivernacle, i es parla de desenvolupament, industrialització i sostenibilitat, però no es té en compte la causa primera de tot això, la nostra idiosincràsia biològica [...].

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Fa anys, durant la meva adolescència, vaig ser un devorador voraç de llibres de ciència-ficció, i no només de ciència-ficció. En un d'aquests llibres, titulat La legió de l'espai (1934), Jack Williamson descriu la invasió de la Terra per uns éssers monstruosos procedents d'un arcaic planeta, als quals anomena els meduses per llur semblança amb els seus homònims terrestres: "John Star [el protagonista] va captar la semblança superficial, la configuració en forma de volta, l'orla de tentacles que els havia fet merèixer el nom de meduses. Vistos de lluny no resultaven imponents. No semblaven intel·ligents [...].

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This study aims to evaluate the leaf concentration of nitrogen and phosphorus correlated to the production of photoassimilates in beans plants (Phaseolus vulgaris L.) under high [CO2] and drought stress. The experiment was conducted in Viçosa (Brazil), during the period from April to July 2009, by using open-top chambers equipped with CO2 injection system. The drought stress was applied, through the irrigation suspension, during the period from flowering to maturation. The experimental design was randomized blocks in split-plot scheme with four replication, where the plots with plants grown in [CO2] of 700 mg L-1 and [CO2] environment of 380 mg L-1 and the subplots with plants with and without drought stress. The results were submitted to ANOVA and Tukey test (p < 0.05). In the plants under high [CO2] with and without drought stress, the photosynthetic rate increased by 59%, while the dry matter presented an increment of 20% in the plants under high [CO2] without drought stress. Reductions in [N] and [P] occurred in plants grown under high [CO2], resulting in greater efficiency in nitrogen use for photosynthesis. The high [CO2] increase only the total dry matter and not the total mass of grains. The drought stress reduces the dry matter and mass of grain, even at high [CO2].

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Yandex is the dominant search engine in Russia, followed by the world leader Google. This study focuses on the performance differences between the two in search advertising in the context of tourism, by running two identical campaigns and measuring the KPI’s, such as CPA (cost-per-action), on both campaigns. Search engine advertising is a new and fast changing form of advertising, which should be studied frequently in order to keep up with the changes. Research was done as an experimental study in cooperation with a Finnish tourism company and the data is gathered from the clickstream and not from questionnaires, which is recommended method by the literature. The results of the study suggests that Yandex.Direct performed better in the selected niche and that the individual campaign planning for Yandex.Direct and Google AdWords is an important part of the optimization of search advertising in Russia.

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This investigation comprises three parts: (1) the source, mechanism of transport, and distribution of pollen, spores and other palynomorphs in Georgian Bay bottom sediments and a comparison of these data with the contemporary vegetation, (2) the relative significance of fluvial transportation of pollen and spores, and (3) the late- and postglacial history of vegetational and climatic changes in the Georgicin Bay region. Modem pollen and spore assemblages in Georgian Bay do reflect the surrovinding vegetation when preservation and pollen production by the different species are considered and accounted for. Relative pollen percentage and concentration isopoll patterns indicate that rivers contribute large quantities of pollen and spores to Georgian Bay. This is further substantiated by large amounts of pollen and spores which were caught in traps in the Moon, Muskoka, and Nottawasaga Rivers which flow into Georgian Bay. The majority of pollen and spores caught in these traps were washed into the rivers by surface water runoff and so reflect the vegetation of the watershed in a regional sense. In a 12.9 metre long sediment core from northeastern Georgian Bay the relative percentage and absolute pollen concentrations allow correlation of Georgian Bay Lake phases with climatic and forest history. Four distinct pollen zones are distinguished: zone GB IV which is the oldest, reflects the succession from open spruce woodland to boreal forest; zone GB III represents a period of pine-mixed hardwoods forests from about 10,000 to 7,500 years ago. A pine-maplehemlock association dominated in zone GB II, although during the culmination of postglacial warming about 4,000 to 5,000 years ago the Georgian Bay forests had a more deciduous character. Zone GB I clearly shows European man's disturbance of the forest by logging activities.

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A distinctive period of global change occurred during the PUocene between the warm Miocene and subsequent Quaternary cooling. Samples from Ocean Drilling Project Site 11 79 (-5586 mbsl, 41°4'N, 159°57'E), Site 881 (-5765 mbsl, 47°6.133'N, 161°29.490'E) and Site 882 (-3255 mbsl, 50°22'N, 167°36'E) were studied to determine the magnitude and composition ofterrigenous flux to the western mid-latitude North Pacific and its relation to climate change in East Asia since the mid-Pliocene. Dust-sized particles (including pollen), sourced from the arid regions and loess plateaus in East Asia are entrained by prevailing westerly winds and transported to the midlatitude northwest North Pacific Ocean. This is recorded by peaks in the total concentration of pollen and spores, as well as the mean grain size of allochthonous and autochthonous silicate material in abyssal marine sediments. Aridification of the Asian interior due to the phased uplift of the Himalayan-Tibetan Plateau created the modem East Asian Monsoon system dominated by a strengthening of the winter monsoon. The winter monsoon is further enhanced during glacials due to the expansion of desert and steppe environments at the expense ofwoodlands and forests recorded by the composition of palynological assemblages. The late Pliocene-Pleistocene glacials at ODP Sites 1 179, 881, and 882 are characterized by increases in grain size, magnetic susceptibility, pollen and spore concentrations around 3.5-3.3, 2.6-2.4, 1.7-1.6, and 0.9-0.7 Ma (ages based on magnetostratigraphic and biostratigraphic datums). The peaks during these times are relatively rich in pollen taxa derived primarily from steppe and boreal vegetation zones, recording cool, dry climates. The overall size increase of sediment and abundance of terrestrial palynomorphs record enhanced wind strength. The increase in magnitude of pollen and spore concentrations as well as grain size record global cooling and Northern Hemisphere glaciation. The peaks in grain size as well as pollen and spore abundance in marine sediments correlate with the mean grain size of loess in East Asia, consistent with the deflation of unarmoured surfaces during glacials. The transport of limiting nutrients to marine environments enhanced sea surface productivity and increased the rate of sediment accumulation.

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This paper examines the factors associated with Canadian firms voluntarily disclosing climate change information through the Carbon Disclosure Project. Five hypotheses are presented to explain the factors influencing management's decision to disclose this information. These hypotheses include a response to shareholder activism, domestic institutional investor shareholder activism, signalling, litigation risk, and low cost publicity. Both binary logistic regressions as well as a cross-sectional analysis of the equity market's response to the environmental disclosures being made were used to test these hypotheses. Support was found for shareholder activism, low cost publicity, and litigation risk. However, the equity market's response was not found to be statistically significant.

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La sequera de la qual tothom parla i que només uns pocs tot just pateixen esdevé un magnífic exemple de problema que requereix la formulació d’una política ambiental urgent davant d’una situació d’extrema complexitat

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La proposta general d’ aquest projecte és la presentació de les bases generals d’ un pla d’ acció per la mitigació i l’ adaptació al canvi climàtic a la ciutat de Girona, destinat a l’ administració local que permeti una millora de la situació actual en relació als possibles efectes i conseqüències del canvi climàtic.L’ estudi es basa en: l’ anàlisi dels efectes i conseqüències del canvi climàtic, un estudi de la situació actual de la ciutat de Girona i sobre les diferents percepcions i adaptacions de la població de Girona al canvi climàtic. Tot plegat destinat a l’ obtenció de les eines que ens permetin proposar possibles accions realitzar per part de l’ administració local

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Climántica surge en el curso 2006-2007 como un proyecto educativo susceptible de contextualizarse en diferentes realidades educativas y con potencial de estructurar todas las problemáticas ambientales bajo la óptica del cambio climático, como respuesta educativa a este reto del siglo XXI. Se partió del principio de que afrontar un reto con este acento global, exigía explorar también dimensiones educativas globales, lo que suponía de alguna forma buscar nuevas dimensiones diferentes a la Pedagogía contextual tan exitosamente afianzada en el siglo pasado mediante el desarrollo de los principios educativos de la Escuela Nueva

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A new field of study, “decadal prediction,” is emerging in climate science. Decadal prediction lies between seasonal/interannual forecasting and longer-term climate change projections, and focuses on time-evolving regional climate conditions over the next 10–30 yr. Numerous assessments of climate information user needs have identified this time scale as being important to infrastructure planners, water resource managers, and many others. It is central to the information portfolio required to adapt effectively to and through climatic changes. At least three factors influence time-evolving regional climate at the decadal time scale: 1) climate change commitment (further warming as the coupled climate system comes into adjustment with increases of greenhouse gases that have already occurred), 2) external forcing, particularly from future increases of greenhouse gases and recovery of the ozone hole, and 3) internally generated variability. Some decadal prediction skill has been demonstrated to arise from the first two of these factors, and there is evidence that initialized coupled climate models can capture mechanisms of internally generated decadal climate variations, thus increasing predictive skill globally and particularly regionally. Several methods have been proposed for initializing global coupled climate models for decadal predictions, all of which involve global time-evolving three-dimensional ocean data, including temperature and salinity. An experimental framework to address decadal predictability/prediction is described in this paper and has been incorporated into the coordinated Coupled Model Intercomparison Model, phase 5 (CMIP5) experiments, some of which will be assessed for the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report (AR5). These experiments will likely guide work in this emerging field over the next 5 yr.

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The possibility of future rapid climatic changes is a pressing concern amongst climate scientists. For example, an abrupt collapse of the ocean's Thermohaline Circulation (THC) would rapidly cool the northern hemisphere and reduce the net global primary productivity of vegetation, according to computer models. It is unclear how to incorporate such low-probability, high-impact events into the development of economics policies. This paper reviews the salient aspects of rapid climate change relevant to economists and policy makers. The main scientific certainties and uncertainties are clearly delineated, with the aim of guiding economics goals and ensuring that they retain fidelity to their scientific underpinnings.