Logistic regression with Markov chains as covariates

The tobacco-specific nitrosamine 4-(methylnitrosamino)-1-(3-pyridyl)-1-butanone (NNK) is an obvious carcinogen for lung cancer. Since CBMN (Cytokinesis-blocked micronucleus) has been found to be extremely sensitive to NNK-induced genetic damage, it is a potential important factor to predict the lung cancer risk. However, the association between lung cancer and NNK-induced genetic damage measured by CBMN assay has not been rigorously examined. ^ This research develops a methodology to model the chromosomal changes under NNK-induced genetic damage in a logistic regression framework in order to predict the occurrence of lung cancer. Since these chromosomal changes were usually not observed very long due to laboratory cost and time, a resampling technique was applied to generate the Markov chain of the normal and the damaged cell for each individual. A joint likelihood between the resampled Markov chains and the logistic regression model including transition probabilities of this chain as covariates was established. The Maximum likelihood estimation was applied to carry on the statistical test for comparison. The ability of this approach to increase discriminating power to predict lung cancer was compared to a baseline "non-genetic" model. ^ Our method offered an option to understand the association between the dynamic cell information and lung cancer. Our study indicated the extent of DNA damage/non-damage using the CBMN assay provides critical information that impacts public health studies of lung cancer risk. This novel statistical method could simultaneously estimate the process of DNA damage/non-damage and its relationship with lung cancer for each individual.^

Knowledge, Attitudes, and Utilization of BRCA Testing Among Obstetricians and Gynecologists

Hereditary breast and ovarian cancer (HBOC) is an inherited cancer syndrome that is associated with mutations in the BRCA1 and BRCA2 genes. Carriers of BRCA mutations, both men and women, are at an increased risk for developing certain cancers. Carriers are most notably at an increased risk to develop breast and ovarian cancers; however an increased risk for prostate cancer, melanoma, and pancreatic cancers has also been associated with these mutations. In 2009 the American Congress of Obstetricians and Gynecologists (ACOG) released a practice bulletin stating that evaluating a patient’s risk for HBOC should be a routine part of obstetric and gynecologic practice. A survey was created and completed by 83 obstetricians and gynecologists in the greater Houston, TX area. The survey consisted of four sections designed to capture demographic information, attitudes towards HBOC and BRCA testing, utilization of BRCA testing, and the overall knowledge of respondents with regards to HBOC and BRCA testing. This study found that the majority of participants indicated that they felt that obstetricians and gynecologists should have the primary responsibility of identifying patients who may be at increased risk of carrying a BRCA mutation. Moreover, this study found that the majority of participants indicated that they felt comfortable or very comfortable in identifying patients at an increased risk of carrying a BRCA mutation. However, only about a quarter of participants indicated that they order BRCA genetic testing one to two times per month or more. Lastly, this study demonstrates that the overall knowledge of HBOC and BRCA testing among this population of obstetricians and gynecologists is poor. The results of this study stress the need for more education regarding HBOC, genetic testing, and strategies for identifying patients that may be at risk for having a mutation in a BRCA gene. Furthermore, it reiterates the importance of raising awareness to current practice guidelines and recommendations that can assist obstetricians and gynecologist to better identify and manage patients that may be at an increased risk of having HBOC.

Quality assessment in radiation oncology

Oncologic specialty societies and multidisciplinary collaborative groups have dedicated considerable effort to developing evidence-based quality indicators (QIs) to facilitate quality improvement, accreditation, benchmarking, reimbursement, maintenance of certification, and regulatory reporting. In particular, radiation oncology as a field has a long history of organized quality assessment efforts, and continues to work toward developing consensus quality standards in the face of continually evolving technologies and standards of care. The present report provides a comprehensive review of the current state of quality assessment in radiation oncology, with an emphasis on recent quality improvement efforts. Specifically, this report aims to highlight implications of the healthcare quality movement for radiation oncology and review existing efforts to define and measure quality in the field, with particular focus on dimensions of quality that are specific to radiation oncology within the "big picture" of oncologic quality improvement efforts.^

A systematic review and analysis of the association between endometriosis and ovarian cancer

Ovarian cancer is the most lethal of the gynecologic malignancies. The development of endometriosis has been shown to increase one's risk of ovarian cancer. Numerous studies have investigated this association, yet none have synthesized the available data. In a pooled analysis of cohort and case-control studies, the association between endometriosis and ovarian cancer was strengthened. Women who developed endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer were more likely to develop an early stage clear cell or endometrioid ovarian cancer histotypes and were more likely to have a better overall prognosis. The prognostic differences between endometriosis-associated ovarian cancer and ovarian cancer without an associated endometriosis may indicate genetic and environmental differences between groups.^

A systematic review of personalized therapy in patients with advanced cancer

Background: An increased understanding of the pathogenesis of cancer at the molecular level has led to the development of personalized cancer therapy based on the mutation status of the tumor. Tailoring treatments to genetic signatures has improved treatment outcomes in patients with advanced cancer. We conducted a meta-analysis to provide a quantitative summary of the response to treatment on a phase I clinical trial matched to molecular aberration in patients with advanced solid tumors. ^ Methods: Original studies that reported the results of phase I clinical trials in patients with advanced cancer treated with matched anti-cancer therapies between January 2006 and November 2011 were identified through an extensive search of Medline, Embase, Web of Science and Cochrane Library databases. Odds Ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) was estimated for each study to assess the strength of an association between objective response rate (ORR) and mutation status. Random effects model was used to estimate the pooled OR and their 95% CI was derived. Funnel plot was used to assess publication bias. ^ Results: Thirteen studies published between January 2006 and November 2011that reported on responses to matched phase I clinical trials in patients with advanced cancer were included in the meta-analysis. Nine studies reported on the responses seen in 538 of the 835 patients with driver mutations responsive to therapy and seven studies on the responses observed in 234 of the 306 patients with mutation predictive for negative response. Random effects model was used to estimate pooled OR, which was 7.767(95% CI = 4.199 − 14.366; p-value=0.000) in patients with activating mutations that were responsive to therapy and 0.287 (95% CI = 0.119 − 0.694; p-value=0.009) in patients with mutation predictive of negative response. ^ Conclusion: It is evident from the meta-analysis that somatic mutations present in tumor tissue of patients are predictive of responses to therapy in patients with advanced cancer in phase I setting. Plethora of research and growing evidence base indicate that selection of patients based on mutation analysis of the tumor and personalizing therapy is a step forward in the war against cancer.^

Association of TNF-alpha genetic variants with HPV-associated oral cancer risk---a case-control study

The incidence of OSCC in younger population and in those who never smoked or drank has increased since the last decade. This increase may be attributable to increase of infection with HPV. The pro-inflammatory cytokine TNF-&agr; has the role in the pathogenesis of chronic inflammatory diseases and was found to control HPV infection in cervical cancer studies. Our study aimed to investigate the association between the four polymorphisms located in TNF-&agr; promoter region, -308(rs1800629), -857(rs1799724), -863(rs1800630) and -1031(rs1799964), and the risk of HPV-related OSCC. In this hospital-based case-control study, 325 cases and 335 controls were included. We found that HPV 16 seropositivity was associated with an increased risk of oral cancer (OR = 3.1, 95% CI, 2.1–4.6). Each of the polymorphism showed to increase the risk of HPV-related OSCC. And after combining the risk genotypes and using the low-risk group (0–1 combined risk genotypes) and HPV16 seronegativity as the reference group, only the high-risk groups (3–4 combined risk genotypes) and HPV16 seronegativity were associated with a low OR of 1.8 (95% CI, 1.1–2.8), while the low-risk and high-risk groups and HPV16 seropositivity were significantly associated with a higher OR of 2.7 (95% CI, 1.3–5.8) and 8.5 (95% CI, 3.7–19.4), respectively. In addition, the joint effects were greater among the young subjects (aged<50), males, never smokers or never drinkers, and patients with oropharyngeal cancer. Overall, the four TNF-&agr; polymorphisms, individually or collectively, would result in a significantly increased risk for HPV16-associated oral cancer in a non-Hispanic white population. More large sized studies are needed for future investigation.^

Genetic variants associated with metastatic prostate cancer

Introduction. Distant metastasis remains the leading cause of death among prostate cancer patients. Several genetic susceptibility loci associated with Prostate cancer have been identified by the Genome Wide Association Studies (GWAS). To date, few studies have explored the ability of these SNPs to identify metastatic prostate cancer. Based on the identification of genetic variants as predictors of aggressive disease, a case comparison study of prostate cancer patients was designed to explore the association of 96 GWAS single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) with metastatic disease. ^ Method. 1242 histologically confirmed prostate cancer patients, with and without metastatic disease, were enrolled into the study. Data were collected from personal interviews, hospital database and abstraction of medical records. Ninety six SNPs identified from GWAS studies based on their associations with prostate cancer risk were genotyped in the study population. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to explore the relationships of the variants with metastatic prostate cancer in Whites and African American men. ^ Results. Four SNPs showed independent associations with metastatic prostate cancer (rs721048 in EHBP1 (2p15), rs3025039 in VEGF (6p12), rs11228565 in Intergenic(11q13.2) and rs2735839 in KLK3(19q13.33)) in the White population. For SNP rs2735839 in KLK3, genotype GA was 1.71 times as likely to be associated with metastatic prostate cancer diagnosis as genotype AA after adjusting for other significant SNPs and covariates (95% CI, 1.12-2.60; p=0.012). In men of African descent, three SNPs: rs1512268 in NKX3-1(8p21.2), rs12155172 in intergenic (7p15.3) & rs10486567 in JAZF1 (7p15.2) were positively associated with metastatic disease in the multivariate analysis. The strongest SNP was rs1512268 heterozygous genotype AG in NKX3-1(8p21.2) which was associated with 3.97-fold increased risk of metastatic prostate cancer diagnosis (95% CI, 1.69-9.34; p =0.002). ^ Conclusion. Genetic variants associated with metastatic prostate cancer were different in Whites and African American men. Given the high mortality rate recorded in men diagnosed with metastatic prostate tumor, further studies are needed to validate associations and establish their clinical application.^

GENETIC ANALYSIS OF THE HIPPO PATHWAY IN MOUSE LIVER

Cancer therapy and tumor treatment remain unsolved puzzles. Genetic screening for tumor suppressor genes in Drosophila revealed the Hippo-signaling pathway as a kinase cascade consisting of five core components. Disrupting the pathway by deleting the main component genes breaks the balance of cell proliferation and apoptosis and results in epithelial tissue tumorigenesis. The pathway is therefore believed to be a tumor suppressor pathway. However, a corresponding role in mammals is yet to be determined. Our lab began to investigate the tumor suppression function of the potent mammalian Hippo pathway by putting floxed alleles into the mouse genome flanking the functional-domain-expressing exons in each component (Mst1, Mst2, Sav1, Lats1 and Lats2). These mice were then crossed with different cre-mouse lines to generate conditional knockout mice. Results indicate a ubiquitous tumor suppression function of these components, predominantly in the liver. A further liver specific analysis of the deletion mutation of these components, as well as the Yap/Taz double deletion mutation, reveals essential roles of the Hippo pathway in regulating hepatic quiescence and embryonic liver development. One of the key cellular mechanisms for the Hippo pathway’s involvement in these liver biological events is likely its cell cycle regulation function. Our work will help to develop potential therapeutic approaches for liver cancer.

Performance of HbA1c for classifying diabetes and diagnostic threshold for diabetes among the Mexican American border community

Objective. In 2009, the International Expert Committee recommended the use of HbA1c test for diagnosis of diabetes. Although it has been recommended for the diagnosis of diabetes, its precise test performance among Mexican Americans is uncertain. A strong “gold standard” would rely on repeated blood glucose measurement on different days, which is the recommended method for diagnosing diabetes in clinical practice. Our objective was to assess test performance of HbA1c in detecting diabetes and pre-diabetes against repeated fasting blood glucose measurement for the Mexican American population living in United States-Mexico border. Moreover, we wanted to find out a specific and precise threshold value of HbA1c for Diabetes Mellitus (DM) and pre-diabetes for this high-risk population which might assist in better diagnosis and better management of patient diabetes. ^ Research design and methods. We used CCHC dataset for our study. In 2004, the Cameron County Hispanic Cohort (CCHC), now numbering 2,574, was established drawn from randomly selected households on the basis of 2000 Census tract data. The CCHC study randomly selected a subset of people (aged 18-64 years) in CCHC cohort households to determine the influence of SES on diabetes and obesity. Among the participants in Cohort-2000, 67.15% are female; all are Hispanic. ^ Individuals were defined as having diabetes mellitus (Fasting plasma glucose [FPG] ≥ 126 mg/dL or pre-diabetes (100 ≤ FPG < 126 mg/dL). HbA1c test performance was evaluated using receiver operator characteristic (ROC) curves. Moreover, change-point models were used to determine HbA1c thresholds compatible with FPG thresholds for diabetes and pre-diabetes. ^ Results. When assessing Fasting Plasma Glucose (FPG) is used to detect diabetes, the sensitivity and specificity of HbA1c≥ 6.5% was 75% and 87% respectively (area under the curve 0.895). Additionally, when assessing FPG to detect pre-diabetes, the sensitivity and specificity of HbA1c≥ 6.0% (ADA recommended threshold) was 18% and 90% respectively. The sensitivity and specificity of HbA1c≥ 5.7% (International Expert Committee recommended threshold) for detecting pre-diabetes was 31% and 78% respectively. ROC analyses suggest HbA1c as a sound predictor of diabetes mellitus (area under the curve 0.895) but a poorer predictor for pre-diabetes (area under the curve 0.632). ^ Conclusions. Our data support the current recommendations for use of HbA1c in the diagnosis of diabetes for the Mexican American population as it has shown reasonable sensitivity, specificity and accuracy against repeated FPG measures. However, use of HbA1c may be premature for detecting pre-diabetes in this specific population because of the poor sensitivity with FPG. It might be the case that HbA1c is differentiating the cases more effectively who are at risk of developing diabetes. Following these pre-diabetic individuals for a longer-term for the detection of incident diabetes may lead to more confirmatory result.^

Association of p21/p27 polymorphisms with risk of HPV16-associated oral squamous cell carcinoma

The increasing incidence of oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) among young adults has been associated with sexually transmitted infection of human papillomavirus (HPV), particularly HPV16. Given the roles of p21 (WAF1/Cip1/CDKN1A) and p27 (Kip1/CDKNIB) in cell-cycle regulation and of HPV16 E6 and E7 oncoproteins in p53 degradation and pRb inactivation, the effect of HPV16 L1 seropositivity and three putatively functional single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) of p21 (p21 C70T and p21 C98A) and p27 (p27 T109G), individually and in combination, on the risk of OSCC was evaluated in a hospital-based case-control study of 327 cases and 401 cancer-free controls who were frequency-matched on age, gender and smoking status. Individuals with HPV16 L1 seropositivity had an overall 3-fold increased risk of having OSCC than those with HPV16 seronegativity. The increased risk of HPV16-associated OSCC was particularly found among younger people (aged ≤ 50 years), males, never smokers, never drinkers and oropharynx cancer patients. None of three p21 and p27 polymorphisms alone was significantly associated with risk of OSCC. Individuals with variant genotypes for both p21 polymorphisms were more likely to have OSCC than individuals with wild-type genotypes or variant genotypes for either one of the p21 polymorphisms (adjusted OR, 1.4; 95% CI, 0.9-2.1). There was a borderline significant or significant interaction between the p21 C70T, combined p21 and combined p21/p27 genotypes and HPV16 L1 seropositivity on risk of OSCC. The three studied p21 and p27 polymorphisms, individually or in combination, did not appear to have an effect on HPV16-related clinical outcomes (overall and disease-free survival and tumor recurrence). Despite the fact that the exact biological mechanism remains to be explored, these findings suggest possible involvement of p21variants, particularly the p21 C70T variant genotypes (CT/TT), in the etiology of HPV16-associated OPSCC. Further large and functional studies are required to validate the findings.^

Impact of donor-recipient gender and race mismatching on patient survival in patients with end-stage liver diseases undergoing liver transplantation

Background. End-stage liver disease (ESLD) is an irreversible condition that leads to the imminent complete failure of the liver. Orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) has been well accepted as the best curative option for patients with ESLD. Despite the progress in liver transplantation, the major limitation nowadays is the discrepancy between donor supply and organ demand. In an effort to alleviate this situation, mismatched donor and recipient gender or race livers are being used. However, the simultaneous impact of donor and recipient gender and race mismatching on patient survival after OLT remains unclear and relatively challenging to surgeons. ^ Objective. To examine the impact of donor and recipient gender and race mismatching on patient survival after OLT using the United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database. ^ Methods. A total of 40,644 recipients who underwent OLT between 2002 and 2011 were included. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and the log-rank tests were used to compare the survival rates among different donor-recipient gender and race combinations. Univariate Cox regression analysis was used to assess the association of donor-recipient gender and race mismatching with patient survival after OLT. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to model the simultaneous impact of donor-recipient gender and race mismatching on patient survival after OLT adjusting for a list of other risk factors. Multivariable Cox regression analysis stratifying on recipient hepatitis C virus (HCV) status was also conducted to identify the variables that were differentially associated with patient survival in HCV + and HCV − recipients. ^ Results. In the univariate analysis, compared to male donors to male recipients, female donors to male recipients had a higher risk of patient mortality (HR, 1.122; 95% CI, 1.065–1.183), while in the multivariable analysis, male donors to female recipients experienced an increased mortality rates (adjusted HR, 1.114; 95% CI, 1.048–1.184). Compared to white donors to white recipients, Hispanic donors to black recipients had a higher risk of patient mortality (HR, 1.527; 95% CI, 1.293–1.804) in the univariate analysis, and similar result (adjusted HR, 1.553; 95% CI, 1.314–1.836) was noted in multivariable analysis. After the stratification on recipient HCV status in the multivariable analysis, HCV + mismatched recipients appeared to be at greater risk of mortality than HCV − mismatched recipients. Female donors to female HCV − recipients (adjusted HR, 0.843; 95% CI, 0.769–0.923), and Hispanic HCV + recipients receiving livers from black donors (adjusted HR, 0.758; 95% CI, 0.598–0.960) had a protective effect on patient survival after OLT. ^ Conclusion. Donor-recipient gender and race mismatching adversely affect patient survival after OLT, both independently and after the adjustment for other risk factors. Female recipient HCV status is an important effect modifier in the association between donor-recipient gender combination and patient survival.^

Regression with autocorrelated data: A study of time trend of global infant mortality rate

The infant mortality rate (IMR) is considered to be one of the most important indices of a country's well-being. Countries around the world and other health organizations like the World Health Organization are dedicating their resources, knowledge and energy to reduce the infant mortality rates. The well-known Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG 4), whose aim is to archive a two thirds reduction of the under-five mortality rate between 1990 and 2015, is an example of the commitment. ^ In this study our goal is to model the trends of IMR between the 1950s to 2010s for selected countries. We would like to know how the IMR is changing overtime and how it differs across countries. ^ IMR data collected over time forms a time series. The repeated observations of IMR time series are not statistically independent. So in modeling the trend of IMR, it is necessary to account for these correlations. We proposed to use the generalized least squares method in general linear models setting to deal with the variance-covariance structure in our model. In order to estimate the variance-covariance matrix, we referred to the time-series models, especially the autoregressive and moving average models. Furthermore, we will compared results from general linear model with correlation structure to that from ordinary least squares method without taking into account the correlation structure to check how significantly the estimates change.^

Metabolic syndrome in Mexican American females---prevalence and impact of age, socioeconomic status, and family history of type II diabetes

This thesis presents an analysis of data from Molecular Epidemiology of Type II Diabetes Mellitus in Mexican Americans. The study included 294 families. Among the participating families were 500 Mexican American females aged 19 to 86 who provided information on characteristics such as height, weight, and a variety of biochemical indicators. The research questions for this thesis are: (1) How strong is the association between indicators of the metabolic syndrome in study participants and their family histories of type II diabetes; and (2) How is an individual's family history of type II diabetes, age and socioeconomic status associated with the metabolic syndrome? In this thesis education status of the participants is used as an indicator of socioeconomic status. Answers to these questions are provided through the analysis of women's responses to written questionnaires and biochemical data. ^

Role of obesity, weight gain, physical activity, and polymorphisms in the mTOR pathway and the risk of renal cell carcinoma

The interplay between obesity, physical activity, weight gain and genetic variants in mTOR pathway have not been studied in renal cell carcinoma (RCC). We examined the associations between obesity, weight gain, physical activity and RCC risk. We also analyzed whether genetic variants in the mTOR pathway could modify the association. Incident renal cell carcinoma cases and healthy controls were recruited from the University of Texas MD Anderson Cancer Center in Houston, Texas. Cases and controls were frequency-matched by age (±5 years), ethnicity, sex, and county of residence. Epidemiologic data were collected via in-person interview. A total of 577 cases and 593 healthy controls (all white) were included. One hundred ninety-two (192) SNPs from 22 genes were available and their genotyping data were extracted from previous genome-wide association studies. Logistic regression and regression spline were performed to obtain odds ratios. Obesity at age 20, 40, and 3 years prior to diagnosis/recruitment, and moderate and large weight gain from age 20 to 40 were each significantly associated with increased RCC risk. Low physical activity was associated with a 4.08-fold (95% CI: 2.92-5.70) increased risk. Five single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were significantly associated with RCC risk and their cumulative effect increased the risk by up to 72% (95% CI: 1.20-2.46). Strata specific effects for weight change and genotyping cumulative groups were observed. However, no interaction was suggested by our study. In conclusion, energy balance related risk factors and genetic variants in the mTOR pathway may jointly influence susceptibility to RCC. ^

Exploration of genetic susceptibility to pancreatic cancer: A GWAS approach

Pancreatic cancer is the 4th most common cause for cancer death in the United States, accompanied by less than 5% five-year survival rate based on current treatments, particularly because it is usually detected at a late stage. Identifying a high-risk population to launch an effective preventive strategy and intervention to control this highly lethal disease is desperately needed. The genetic etiology of pancreatic cancer has not been well profiled. We hypothesized that unidentified genetic variants by previous genome-wide association study (GWAS) for pancreatic cancer, due to stringent statistical threshold or missing interaction analysis, may be unveiled using alternative approaches. To achieve this aim, we explored genetic susceptibility to pancreatic cancer in terms of marginal associations of pathway and genes, as well as their interactions with risk factors. We conducted pathway- and gene-based analysis using GWAS data from 3141 pancreatic cancer patients and 3367 controls with European ancestry. Using the gene set ridge regression in association studies (GRASS) method, we analyzed 197 pathways from the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) database. Using the logistic kernel machine (LKM) test, we analyzed 17906 genes defined by University of California Santa Cruz (UCSC) database. Using the likelihood ratio test (LRT) in a logistic regression model, we analyzed 177 pathways and 17906 genes for interactions with risk factors in 2028 pancreatic cancer patients and 2109 controls with European ancestry. After adjusting for multiple comparisons, six pathways were marginally associated with risk of pancreatic cancer ( P < 0.00025): Fc epsilon RI signaling, maturity onset diabetes of the young, neuroactive ligand-receptor interaction, long-term depression (Ps < 0.0002), and the olfactory transduction and vascular smooth muscle contraction pathways (P = 0.0002; Nine genes were marginally associated with pancreatic cancer risk (P < 2.62 × 10−5), including five reported genes (ABO, HNF1A, CLPTM1L, SHH and MYC), as well as four novel genes (OR13C4, OR 13C3, KCNA6 and HNF4 G); three pathways significantly interacted with risk factors on modifying the risk of pancreatic cancer (P < 2.82 × 10−4): chemokine signaling pathway with obesity ( P < 1.43 × 10−4), calcium signaling pathway (P < 2.27 × 10−4) and MAPK signaling pathway with diabetes (P < 2.77 × 10−4). However, none of the 17906 genes tested for interactions survived the multiple comparisons corrections. In summary, our current GWAS study unveiled unidentified genetic susceptibility to pancreatic cancer using alternative methods. These novel findings provide new perspectives on genetic susceptibility to and molecular mechanisms of pancreatic cancer, once confirmed, will shed promising light on the prevention and treatment of this disease. ^