993 resultados para predicción electoral


Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

[ES] El proceso de consolidación del régimen liberal a lo largo del siglo XIX plantea la necesidad de establecer un sistema de representación política. Conseguir el equilibrio del poder político, será el fin último que perseguirán los diversos modelos que se ofrecen para llevar a efecto esta representación a través del sufragio y los sistemas electorales. Modelos que varían en función de los intereses e ideologías que en esos momentos esté en juego.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

[ES] El objetivo fue analizar como la satisfacción, la motivación y las creencias de éxito en las actividades deportivas de tiempo libre, pueden predecir las orientaciones de meta en Educación Física.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

[EN]Se propone un modelo de radiación solar adaptativo como una nueva herramienta para la generación de mapas de radiación solar. Este introduce mejoras a los modelos existentes como la adaptación de la malla a la orografía y al albedo. Esta estrategia adaptativa nos permite generar un código eficiente que reduce el coste computacional para una precisión dada. La radiación global es obtenida como suma de sus tres componentes, la directa, la difusa y la reflejada, sobre una región de estudio bajo condiciones de cielo limpio. En este sentido, las superficies inclinadas tendrán un tratamiento diferente de las horizontales y se tendrá en cuenta el efecto de las zonas en sombra…

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

[EN]Los autores han desarrollado un modelo de viento de masa consistente especialmente diseñado para su aplicación en la escala local y en zonas de orografía compleja. Se ha dotado a este modelo de carácter predictivo usando como entrada resultados de HARMONIE. El HARMONIE es un modelo meteorológico predictivo de escala regional usado en la AEMET. Por otra parte, en los últimos años los métodos ensemble se han consolidado en la predicción meteorológica a escala regional…

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Doctorado: Acuicultura sostenible y Ecosistemas Marinos. Grupo de Investigación en Acuicultura. Precede al tít.: Lo que se come__ ¿se cría?

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Zarycki studied the political map of Central Europe today on the basis of results of recent parliamentary and/or presidential elections in the Czech Republic, Hungary, L8ithuania, Poland, Slovakia and Ukraine. He identified first the structure of regional political cleavages, then the spatial patterns emerging in different countries. He also considered the significance and eventual regional differentiation of various possible influences on these patterns, including urbanisation, historical heritage, ethnic factors, population movements, economic differentiation, the effects of the transformation, demographic factors, education and religion. Virtually all the countries showed a cleavage between more traditional, anti (or non-) communist regions and secular areas with higher post-communist support. Except in Ukraine and the Czech Republic, the post-communist party is dominated by the direct heirs of the former communist parties transformed into moderate left parties. The second major class of cleavages was typical of the Visegrad countries, i.e. the conflict between liberal, mostly metropolitan, regions and a different periphery, usually with a strong populist or anti-liberal appeal. This usually depends on the existence of a sizeable well-educated class, usually pro-market and pro-Western, and on the resolution of the conflict between post and anti-Communists. The third type of cleavage is based on ethnic factors and is clearest in Lithuania and Slovakia, where there are large ethnic minorities. Of factors influencing political behaviour, the two major ones identified were the historical heritage and urbanisation.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

Female gender and low income are two markers for groups that have been historically disadvantaged within most societies. The study explores two research questions related to their political representation: (1) ‘Are parties biased towards the ideological preferences of male and rich citizens?’; and (2) ‘Does the proportionality of the electoral system moderate the degree of under-representation of women and poor citizens in the party system?’ A multilevel analysis of survey data from 24 parliamentary democracies indicates that there is some bias against those with low income and, at a much smaller rate, women. This has systemic consequences for the quality of representation, as the preferences of the complementary groups differ. The proportionality of the electoral system influences the degree of under-representation: specifically, larger district magnitudes help in closing the considerable gap between rich and poor.

Relevância:

20.00% 20.00%

Publicador:

Resumo:

The chapter introduces a new database on political-institutional patterns of democracy used in the contributions to the book. It provides an update and extension of Lijphart’s (1999, 2012) measurement of consensus and majoritarian democracy for the countries of the second wave of the CSES during the period 1997–2006, using 11 partly improved indicators. The chapter explores patterns of democracy by the means of factor analysis, construct additive indices, and present the resulting country scores of consensus and majoritarian democracy graphically. Two variants are presented, one featuring Lijphart’s (1999) classic ‘executives–parties’ and ‘federal–unitary’ dimensions, and another incorporating direct democracy into the framework, yielding an additional ‘cabinets–direct democracy’ dimension