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Untill recently, congenital heart disease was considered as a childhood's disease. With improvement in pediatric survival, adults with a congenital heart disease (ACHD) represent an emerging group of patients who need specialized medical care. In 2010, the ESC published newguidelines on global and specific management of adults with congenital heart disease. ACHD centers organize appropriate medical care for these patients, promote specialist training and national scientific research in collaboration with other national ACHD centers.
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Cell electrophoresis was used for determionation of the electrophoretic mobility (EPM) of epimastigo and trypamastigote forms of several isolates of Trypanosoma cruzi and some stocks of other members of the Schizotrypanum subgenus, such as T. dionisii, T. vespertilionis and T. myoti. The EPM of T. bruceli, T. rangeli, and T. conorhini was also determined. The results obtained show that the EPM values con be useful to distinguish the parasites.
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We analyze and quantify co-movements in real effective exchange rates while considering the regional location of countries. More specifically, using the dynamic hierarchical factor model (Moench et al. (2011)), we decompose exchange rate movements into several latent components; worldwide and two regional factors as well as country-specific elements. Then, we provide evidence that the worldwide common factor is closely related to monetary policies in large advanced countries while regional common factors tend to be captured by those in the rest of the countries in a region. However, a substantial proportion of the variation in the real exchange rates is reported to be country-specific; even in Europe country-specific movements exceed worldwide and regional common factors.
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Using survey expectations data and Markov-switching models, this paper evaluates the characteristics and evolution of investors' forecast errors about the yen/dollar exchange rate. Since our model is derived from the uncovered interest rate parity (UIRP) condition and our data cover a period of low interest rates, this study is also related to the forward premium puzzle and the currency carry trade strategy. We obtain the following results. First, with the same forecast horizon, exchange rate forecasts are homogeneous among different industry types, but within the same industry, exchange rate forecasts differ if the forecast time horizon is different. In particular, investors tend to undervalue the future exchange rate for long term forecast horizons; however, in the short run they tend to overvalue the future exchange rate. Second, while forecast errors are found to be partly driven by interest rate spreads, evidence against the UIRP is provided regardless of the forecasting time horizon; the forward premium puzzle becomes more significant in shorter term forecasting errors. Consistent with this finding, our coefficients on interest rate spreads provide indirect evidence of the yen carry trade over only a short term forecast horizon. Furthermore, the carry trade seems to be active when there is a clear indication that the interest rate will be low in the future.
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The framework presents how trading in the foreign commodity futures market and the forward exchange market can affect the optimal spot positions of domestic commodity producers and traders. It generalizes the models of Kawai and Zilcha (1986) and Kofman and Viaene (1991) to allow both intermediate and final commodities to be traded in the international and futures markets, and the exporters/importers to face production shock, domestic factor costs and a random price. Applying mean-variance expected utility, we find that a rise in the expected exchange rate can raise both supply and demand for commodities and reduce domestic prices if the exchange rate elasticity of supply is greater than that of demand. Whether higher volatilities of exchange rate and foreign futures price can reduce the optimal spot position of domestic traders depends on the correlation between the exchange rate and the foreign futures price. Even though the forward exchange market is unbiased, and there is no correlation between commodity prices and exchange rates, the exchange rate can still affect domestic trading and prices through offshore hedging and international trade if the traders are interested in their profit in domestic currency. It illustrates how the world prices and foreign futures prices of commodities and their volatility can be transmitted to the domestic market as well as the dynamic relationship between intermediate and final goods prices. The equilibrium prices depends on trader behaviour i.e. who trades or does not trade in the foreign commodity futures and domestic forward currency markets. The empirical result applying a two-stage-least-squares approach to Thai rice and rubber prices supports the theoretical result.
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An expanding literature articulates the view that Taylor rules are helpful in predicting exchange rates. In a changing world however, Taylor rule parameters may be subject to structural instabilities, for example during the Global Financial Crisis. This paper forecasts exchange rates using such Taylor rules with Time Varying Parameters (TVP) estimated by Bayesian methods. In core out-of-sample results, we improve upon a random walk benchmark for at least half, and for as many as eight out of ten, of the currencies considered. This contrasts with a constant parameter Taylor rule model that yields a more limited improvement upon the benchmark. In further results, Purchasing Power Parity and Uncovered Interest Rate Parity TVP models beat a random walk benchmark, implying our methods have some generality in exchange rate prediction.
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This paper employs an unobserved component model that incorporates a set of economic fundamentals to obtain the Euro-Dollar permanent equilibrium exchange rates (PEER) for the period 1975Q1 to 2008Q4. The results show that for most of the sample period, the Euro-Dollar exchange rate closely followed the values implied by the PEER. The only significant deviations from the PEER occurred in the years immediately before and after the introduction of the single European currency. The forecasting exercise shows that incorporating economic fundamentals provides a better long-run exchange rate forecasting performance than a random walk process.
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Pulmonary hypertension is a frequent complication of left heart disease arising from a wide range of cardiac disorders and is associated with poor prognosis. Its pathophysiology is complex with both passive mechanisms of elevated filling pressures in left cavities and occasionally reactive mechanisms of arterial vasoconstriction and remodelling to interplay. This stage, called <out-of-proportions> pulmonary hypertension, further worsens the heart failure patients' prognosis but is still a matter of debate concerning the criteria to apply for its diagnosis and concerning the best way to manage it. This article gives an overview of the importance and pathophysiology of pulmonary hypertension associated with left heart disease, and discusses the challenges associated with its diagnosis and treatment.
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We analyse the role of time-variation in coefficients and other sources of uncertainty in exchange rate forecasting regressions. Our techniques incorporate the notion that the relevant set of predictors and their corresponding weights, change over time. We find that predictive models which allow for sudden rather than smooth, changes in coefficients significantly beat the random walk benchmark in out-of-sample forecasting exercise. Using innovative variance decomposition scheme, we identify uncertainty in coefficients' estimation and uncertainty about the precise degree of coefficients' variability, as the main factors hindering models' forecasting performance. The uncertainty regarding the choice of the predictor is small.
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This paper proposes a simple model for understanding transaction costs for their composition, size and policy implications. We distinguish between investments in institutions that facilitate exchange and the cost of conducting exchange itself. Institutional quality and market size are determined by the decisions of risk averse agents and conditions are discussed under which the efficient allocation may be decentralized. We highlight a number of differences with models where transaction costs are exogenous, including the implications for taxation and measurement issues.
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[Table des matières] Généralités sur la violence domestique: Définition de la violence domestique, Prise en charge: possibilités et limites, Dépistage de la violence domestique, Signes et symptômes évoquant un contexte de violence domestique &. La situation spécifique des femmes migrantes. - Documentation: Marche à suivre: check-list, Consentement, Constat médical en cas de violence domestique, Examen physique, Attestation. - Annexes: Bases légales, Gynécologie des enfants et adolescentes, Caisse maladie et éléments financiers, Coordonnées des centres spécialisés, Centres cantonaux d'aide aux victimes d'infraction (Centres LAVI), Littérature et liens. - Suppléments: Marche à suivre: check-list, Spécimens de constat médical [Editorial (extrait)] Le groupe de travail «Abus sexuels au cabinet médical» - constitué voici quelques années par la Société Suisse de Gynécologie et d'Obstétrique - s'est vu chargé par le président de la société d'élaborer un guide pratique pour aborder la violence domestique. En Suisse, des études d'envergure montrent qu'une femme sur quatre au cours de sa vie et une femme sur dix durant les !" derniers mois sont confrontées à la violence. Ces études révèlent un lien étroit entre de nombreux problèmes de santé et le fait de subir de la violence conjugale. La moitié des femmes touchées présentent des problèmes de santé physiques et deux tiers des problèmes de santé psychiques ou des troubles d'ordre psychosomatiques. Et ce sont ces problèmes qui amèneront les femmes à consulter leur médecin. Le groupe de travail poursuit l'objectif d'améliorer la prise en charge des femmes concernées par la violence. En effet, aussi longtemps que la cause réelle des symptômes et des plaintes, à savoir le fait de vivre dans un contexte de violence, n'est pas dépistée, aucune mesure thérapeutique ne pourra avoir d'impact durable sur la santé de la patiente. Les femmes concernées par la violence domestique s'adressent de préférence à leur médecin. De ce fait, les gynécologues, au sein de leur cabinet et dans les cliniques, vont entrer en contact avec ces femmes. Il est donc important que chacun dispose des connaissances nécessaires à leur prise en charge.
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Les maladies chroniques représentent un fardeau important pour la société, en termes de morbidité, dépendance, qualité de vie, mortalité et coûts de la santé. La prise en charge des maladies chroniques constitue ainsi une priorité des systèmes de santé. Tandis que des programmes de prévention et prise en charge des maladies chroniques («prevention and chronic disease management») ont été mis sur pieds depuis plus d'une décennie d'abord en Amérique du Nord puis en Europe, leur développement en Suisse est récent. Ces programmes sont explicitement structurés et organisés, centrés sur les patients et comportent constamment un élément d'éducation thérapeutique. De plus, ils impliquent un travail en équipe ainsi que des prises en charge stratifiées en fonction de la sévérité de la maladie et des besoins des patients, et basées sur les preuves de leur efficacité. Il est important que les médecins et autres professionnels de la santé, ainsi que tous les autres acteurs du système sanitaire reconnaissent la nécessité de mettre en place des modalités adéquates et efficaces de prise en charge des patients présentant des maladies chroniques, participent à leur développement et les soutiennent.
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In this paper we analyze the persistence of aggregate real exchange rates (RERs) for a group of EU-15 countries by using sectoral data. The tight relation between aggregate and sectoral persistence recently investigated by Mayoral (2008) allows us to decompose aggregate RER persistence into the persistence of its different subcomponents. We show that the distribution of sectoral persistence is highly heterogeneous and very skewed to the right, and that a limited number of sectors are responsible for the high levels of persistence observed at the aggregate level. We use quantile regression to investigate whether the traditional theories proposed to account for the slow reversion to parity (lack of arbitrage due to nontradibilities or imperfect competition and price stickiness) are able to explain the behavior of the upper quantiles of sectoral persistence. We conclude that pricing to market in the intermediate goods sector together with price stickiness have more explanatory power than variables related to the tradability of the goods or their inputs.
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Tobacco smoking is a major public health issue and a better understanding of tobacco addiction represents an important challenge. Many factors are involved in tobacco addiction, including genetic factors. Taking them into account in smoking cessation programs would allow to better adapt these programs to individual characteristics and improve their rate of success. Given enzymatic induction by tobacco smoke, smoking cessation can nevertheless have important consequences on the metabolism of some drugs, that have to be taken into consideration. Here we present different clinical and genetic aspects of smoking and of smoking cessation. A dose adjustment of drugs influenced by tobacco smoke is proposed when quitting smoking.
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