946 resultados para Time domain simulation tools


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Wireless Mesh Networks (WMN) have proven to be a key technology for increased network coverage of Internet infrastructures. The development process for new protocols and architectures in the area of WMN is typically split into evaluation by network simulation and testing of a prototype in a test-bed. Testing a prototype in a real test-bed is time-consuming and expensive. Irrepressible external interferences can occur which makes debugging difficult. Moreover, the test-bed usually supports only a limited number of test topologies. Finally, mobility tests are impractical. Therefore, we propose VirtualMesh as a new testing architecture which can be used before going to a real test-bed. It provides instruments to test the real communication software including the network stack inside a controlled environment. VirtualMesh is implemented by capturing real traffic through a virtual interface at the mesh nodes. The traffic is then redirected to the network simulator OMNeT++. In our experiments, VirtualMesh has proven to be scalable and introduces moderate delays. Therefore, it is suitable for predeployment testing of communication software for WMNs.

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In process industries, make-and-pack production is used to produce food and beverages, chemicals, and metal products, among others. This type of production process allows the fabrication of a wide range of products in relatively small amounts using the same equipment. In this article, we consider a real-world production process (cf. Honkomp et al. 2000. The curse of reality – why process scheduling optimization problems are diffcult in practice. Computers & Chemical Engineering, 24, 323–328.) comprising sequence-dependent changeover times, multipurpose storage units with limited capacities, quarantine times, batch splitting, partial equipment connectivity, and transfer times. The planning problem consists of computing a production schedule such that a given demand of packed products is fulfilled, all technological constraints are satisfied, and the production makespan is minimised. None of the models in the literature covers all of the technological constraints that occur in such make-and-pack production processes. To close this gap, we develop an efficient mixed-integer linear programming model that is based on a continuous time domain and general-precedence variables. We propose novel types of symmetry-breaking constraints and a preprocessing procedure to improve the model performance. In an experimental analysis, we show that small- and moderate-sized instances can be solved to optimality within short CPU times.

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Frequency-transformed EEG resting data has been widely used to describe normal and abnormal brain functional states as function of the spectral power in different frequency bands. This has yielded a series of clinically relevant findings. However, by transforming the EEG into the frequency domain, the initially excellent time resolution of time-domain EEG is lost. The topographic time-frequency decomposition is a novel computerized EEG analysis method that combines previously available techniques from time-domain spatial EEG analysis and time-frequency decomposition of single-channel time series. It yields a new, physiologically and statistically plausible topographic time-frequency representation of human multichannel EEG. The original EEG is accounted by the coefficients of a large set of user defined EEG like time-series, which are optimized for maximal spatial smoothness and minimal norm. These coefficients are then reduced to a small number of model scalp field configurations, which vary in intensity as a function of time and frequency. The result is thus a small number of EEG field configurations, each with a corresponding time-frequency (Wigner) plot. The method has several advantages: It does not assume that the data is composed of orthogonal elements, it does not assume stationarity, it produces topographical maps and it allows to include user-defined, specific EEG elements, such as spike and wave patterns. After a formal introduction of the method, several examples are given, which include artificial data and multichannel EEG during different physiological and pathological conditions.

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The majority of sensor network research deals with land-based networks, which are essentially two-dimensional, and thus the majority of simulation and animation tools also only handle such networks. Underwater sensor networks on the other hand, are essentially 3D networks because the depth at which a sensor node is located needs to be considered as well. Due to that additional dimension, specialized tools need to be used when conducting simulations for experimentation. The School of Engineering’s Underwater Sensor Network (UWSN) lab is conducting research on underwater sensor networks and requires simulation tools for 3D networks. The lab has extended NS-2, a widely used network simulator, so that it can simulate three-dimensional networks. However, NAM, a widely used network animator, currently only supports two-dimensional networks and no extensions have been implemented to give it three-dimensional capabilities. In this project, we develop a network visualization tool that functions similarly to NAM but is able to render network environments in full 3-D. It is able to take as input a NS-2 trace file (the same file taken as input by NAM), create the environment, position the sensor nodes, and animate the events of the simulation. Further, the visualization tool is easy to use, especially friendly to NAM users, as it is designed to follow the interfaces and functions similar to NAM. So far, the development has fulfilled the basic functionality. Future work includes fully functional capabilities for visualization and much improved user interfaces.

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The environmental impact of systems managing large (kg) tritium amount represents a public scrutiny issue for the next coming fusion facilities as ITER and DEMO. Furthermore, potentially new dose limits imposed by international regulations (ICRP) shall impact next coming devices designs and the overall costs of fusion technology deployment. Refined environmental tritium dose impact assessment schemes are then overwhelming. Detailed assessments can be procured from the knowledge of the real boundary conditions of the primary tritium discharge phase into atmosphere (low levels) and into soils. Lagrangian dispersion models using real-time meteorological and topographic data provide a strong refinement. Advance simulation tools are being developed in this sense. The tool integrates a numerical model output records from European Centre for Medium range Weather Forecast (ECMWF) with a lagrangian atmospheric dispersion model (FLEXPART). The composite model ECMWF/FLEXTRA results can be coupled with tritium dose secondary phase pathway assessment tools. Nominal tritium discharge operational reference and selected incidental ITER-like plant systems tritium form source terms have been assumed. The realtime daily data and mesh-refined records together with lagrangian dispersion model approach provide accurate results for doses to population by inhalation or ingestion in the secondary phase

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En este Proyecto se pretende establecer la forma de realizar un análisis correcto y ajustado de las redes SMATV (Satellite Master Antenna Television), incluidas dentro de las ICT (Infraestructura Común de Telecomunicaciones), mediante el método de análisis TDA (Time Domain Analysis). Para ello, en primer lugar se procederá a hacer un estudio teórico sobre las ICT’s y sobre las bases en las que se sustenta el método de análisis TDA que sirva como puente introductorio al tema principal de este proyecto. Este tema es el de, mediante el programa de simulación AWR, caracterizar la señal más adecuada para realizar medidas de calidad en las redes SMATV mediante la técnica del TDA y ser capaz de realizar un estudio conciso de estas. Esto se pretende conseguir mediante la definición más correcta de los parámetros de la señal de entrada que se introduciría en la red en futuras medidas de prueba. Una vez conseguida una señal "tipo", se caracterizarán diferentes dispositivos o elementos que forman las redes SMATV para comprobar que la medida realizada con el método del TDA es igual de válida que realizada con el método de análisis vectorial de redes (VNA). ABSTRACT This project aims to establish how to perform a proper analysis and set of SMATV networks (Satellite Master Antenna Television), included within the ICT (Common Telecommunications Infrastructure) by the method of analysis TDA (Time Domain Analysis). To do this, first it will proceed to make a theoretical study on the ICT's and the basis on which the method of analysis TDA is based, introduction that serve as a bridge to the main issue of this project. This issue is about characterizing the most appropriate signal quality measurements in SMATV networks using the technique of AD through the AWR simulation program, and be able to make a concise study of these. This is intended to achieve through the proper definition of the parameters of the input signal, that would be introduced into the network in future test measures. Once achieved a signal "type", will be characterized different devices or elements forming SMATV networks to check that the measure on the TDA method is as valid as on the method of vector network analysis (VNA) .

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This paper presents a time-domain stochastic system identification method based on maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) with the expectation maximization (EM) algorithm. The effectiveness of this structural identification method is evaluated through numerical simulation in the context of the ASCE benchmark problem on structural health monitoring. The benchmark structure is a four-story, two-bay by two-bay steel-frame scale model structure built in the Earthquake Engineering Research Laboratory at the University of British Columbia, Canada. This paper focuses on Phase I of the analytical benchmark studies. A MATLAB-based finite element analysis code obtained from the IASC-ASCE SHM Task Group web site is used to calculate the dynamic response of the prototype structure. A number of 100 simulations have been made using this MATLAB-based finite element analysis code in order to evaluate the proposed identification method. There are several techniques to realize system identification. In this work, stochastic subspace identification (SSI)method has been used for comparison. SSI identification method is a well known method and computes accurate estimates of the modal parameters. The principles of the SSI identification method has been introduced in the paper and next the proposed MLE with EM algorithm has been explained in detail. The advantages of the proposed structural identification method can be summarized as follows: (i) the method is based on maximum likelihood, that implies minimum variance estimates; (ii) EM is a computational simpler estimation procedure than other optimization algorithms; (iii) estimate more parameters than SSI, and these estimates are accurate. On the contrary, the main disadvantages of the method are: (i) EM algorithm is an iterative procedure and it consumes time until convergence is reached; and (ii) this method needs starting values for the parameters. Modal parameters (eigenfrequencies, damping ratios and mode shapes) of the benchmark structure have been estimated using both the SSI method and the proposed MLE + EM method. The numerical results show that the proposed method identifies eigenfrequencies, damping ratios and mode shapes reasonably well even in the presence of 10% measurement noises. These modal parameters are more accurate than the SSI estimated modal parameters.

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The horizontal visibility algorithm was recently introduced as a mapping between time series and networks. The challenge lies in characterizing the structure of time series (and the processes that generated those series) using the powerful tools of graph theory. Recent works have shown that the visibility graphs inherit several degrees of correlations from their associated series, and therefore such graph theoretical characterization is in principle possible. However, both the mathematical grounding of this promising theory and its applications are in its infancy. Following this line, here we address the question of detecting hidden periodicity in series polluted with a certain amount of noise. We first put forward some generic properties of horizontal visibility graphs which allow us to define a (graph theoretical) noise reduction filter. Accordingly, we evaluate its performance for the task of calculating the period of noisy periodic signals, and compare our results with standard time domain (autocorrelation) methods. Finally, potentials, limitations and applications are discussed.

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In previous works we demonstrated the benefits of using micro–nano patterning materials to be used as bio-photonic sensing cells (BICELLs), referred as micro–nano photonic structures having immobilized bioreceptors on its surface with the capability of recognizing the molecular binding by optical transduction. Gestrinone/anti-gestrinone and BSA/anti-BSA pairs were proven under different optical configurations to experimentally validate the biosensing capability of these bio-sensitive photonic architectures. Moreover, Three-Dimensional Finite Difference Time Domain (FDTD) models were employed for simulating the optical response of these structures. For this article, we have developed an effective analytical simulation methodology capable of simulating complex biophotonic sensing architectures. This simulation method has been tested and compared with previous experimental results and FDTD models. Moreover, this effective simulation methodology can be used for efficiently design and optimize any structure as BICELL. In particular for this article, six different BICELL's types have been optimized. To carry out this optimization we have considered three figures of merit: optical sensitivity, Q-factor and signal amplitude. The final objective of this paper is not only validating a suitable and efficient optical simulation methodology but also demonstrating the capability of this method for analyzing the performance of a given number of BICELLs for label-free biosensing.

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A unified low complexity sign-bit correlation based symbol timing synchronization scheme for Multiband Orthogonal Frequency Division Multiplexing (MB-OFDM) Ultra Wideband (UWB) receiver system is proposed. By using the time domain sequence of the packet/frame synchronization preamble, the proposed scheme is in charge of detecting the upcoming MB-OFDM symbol and it estimates the exact boundary of the start of Fast Fourier Transform (FFT) window. The proposed algorithm is implemented by using an efficient Hardware-Software co-simulation methodology. The effectiveness of the proposed synchronization scheme and the optimization criteria is confirmed by hardware implementation results.

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The analysis of the interdependence between time series has become an important field of research in the last years, mainly as a result of advances in the characterization of dynamical systems from the signals they produce, the introduction of concepts such as generalized and phase synchronization and the application of information theory to time series analysis. In neurophysiology, different analytical tools stemming from these concepts have added to the ‘traditional’ set of linear methods, which includes the cross-correlation and the coherency function in the time and frequency domain, respectively, or more elaborated tools such as Granger Causality. This increase in the number of approaches to tackle the existence of functional (FC) or effective connectivity (EC) between two (or among many) neural networks, along with the mathematical complexity of the corresponding time series analysis tools, makes it desirable to arrange them into a unified-easy-to-use software package. The goal is to allow neuroscientists, neurophysiologists and researchers from related fields to easily access and make use of these analysis methods from a single integrated toolbox. Here we present HERMES (http://hermes.ctb.upm.es), a toolbox for the Matlab® environment (The Mathworks, Inc), which is designed to study functional and effective brain connectivity from neurophysiological data such as multivariate EEG and/or MEG records. It includes also visualization tools and statistical methods to address the problem of multiple comparisons. We believe that this toolbox will be very helpful to all the researchers working in the emerging field of brain connectivity analysis.

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En este proyecto se analizan las características y el ciclo de diseño asociado al entorno de CAD IspLEVER, de Lattice Semiconductor, con la finalidad de evaluar su adecuación a la docencia relacionada con la ingeniería de sistemas digitales cableados. En base a este estudio se realiza una guía del manejo de las diferentes herramientas que se integran en el entorno. Además, se realiza la caracterización de una serie de familias de dispositivos del fabricante Lattice Semiconductor que pudiera servir de apoyo a la hora de elegir un dispositivo de este fabricante para la realización de un determinado diseño. Para dar comienzo a la realización del estudio del entorno y de las herramientas que integra IspLEVER, se procedió a la familiarización con el marco de trabajo. Esta familiarización se realizó, en un principio, a través de la lectura de la documentación ofrecida por el fabricante en su página web, http://www.latticesemi.com. Tras esta lectura, que sirvió para tener una primera visión de las características de la herramienta, se procedió a la descarga del paquete de instalación; el fabricante ofrece una versión de evaluación que expira a los 12 meses. Una vez descargado, se instaló y para terminar con los preparativos, se pasó el procedimiento de obtención de la licencia. Con ello se consiguió tener el software preparado para su utilización. A continuación se emplearon horas de trabajo para, sin documentación alguna, tratar de crear diseños; con este trabajo se pretendía detectar lo intuitivo que resulta el entorno cuando se tienen conocimientos de herramientas de CAD electrónico. Tras esta primera toma de contacto con el entorno real, se procedió al estudio de las diferentes opciones que ofrece para la realización de diseños, ya sean lógicos o físicos. Además del estudio de todas las posibilidades que ofrece el entorno, el trabajo se focalizó en la detección y comparación de las distintas opciones que ofrece para realizar una misma tarea, como ocurre con la asignación de pines o con la revisión de los resultados de una simulación, entre otras. Entrelazado con el estudio de las opciones que ofrece el entorno, se realizó el estudio de las distintas herramientas de trabajo integradas en el mismo. Una vez estudiado el entorno y las herramientas, se procedió a la realización del tutorial. Se capturaron todas las imágenes que se consideraron apropiadas para que al alumno le resultase cómodo y fácil seguir todas las indicaciones que el tutorial ofrece, para la realización de un ciclo de diseño lógico completo. Tras la realización del tutorial, se procedió a revisar la amplia documentación que el fabricante ofrece de cada una de las distintas familias de dispositivos que fabrica. El fin de esta revisión no fue otro que realizar una caracterización de las distintas familias, que pudiera servir de apoyo a la hora de elegir un dispositivo de este fabricante para la realización de un determinado diseño. Este estudio de las familias de dispositivos del fabricante, también se realizó para detectar qué familia de dispositivos era la más idónea para incluir uno de sus miembros en una hipotética placa de prototipado, para la realización de prácticas de laboratorio. ABSTRACT. This project consists in the analysis of the characteristics and the design cycle associated with the IspLEVER environment of CAD, by Lattice Semiconductor. The objective of that analysis is to evaluate their suitability for teaching engineering related to wired digital systems. Based on this analysis a guide was made for managing the different tools that are integrated into the environment. In addition, the characterization of several families by the manufacturer Lattice Semiconductor was made, with the objective that it could be used to support the choice of a Lattice’s device to perform a certain design. To start the IspLEVER environment and tools study, I began with a familiarization with the environment. This familiarization consisted in a study of the manufacturer documentation offered in their web page, http://www.latticesemi.com. After that, I had a general view about the characteristics of the environment and environment tools. Then I continued downloading the installation package. The manufacturer offers an evaluation version that expires in the period of one year. After that download, the environment was installed. Finally, the licensing procedure was followed to finish with the preparations. Then, the software was prepared for its utilization. Following, several work hours were wasted without documentation, trying to create designs. This work has been to identify how intuitive the environment is when you have knowledge of electronic CAD tools. After this first point of contact with the real environment, I proceeded to study different offered options, by the manufacturer, for the realization of either logical or physical designs. In addition to studying all the possibilities offered by the environment, the work is focused on the detection and comparison of the various options offered to perform the same task, as with the pin assignment or reviewing the results of a simulation… At the same time, the environment tools were studied. At this point, I began creating the tutorial. I captured all the figures that I consider important to make it easy to the students. The tutorial contains a complete logical design cycle. When the tutorial was finished, I started to review the manufacturer documentation about each devices family. The purpose of this review was to characterize the different families to support the device selection in future designs. Another purpose of that characterization was focused on the detection of the best family to include one of its members in a prototyping board for conducting laboratory practices.

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El reflectómetro óptico en el dominio del tiempo, conocido por sus siglas en inglés como OTDR, es un dispositivo muy utilizado en sistemas de comunicaciones por fibra óptica para conocer de una manera rápida y sencilla como varía la potencia óptica a lo largo de la fibra óptica, siendo otro de sus usos frecuentes la localización de fallos y roturas en un enlace. Este proyecto fin de carrera, consiste en la realización mediante Matlab de una interfaz gráfica que permite simular un OTDR para distintos tipos de fibras, conectores y empalmes visualizándose por pantalla la variación de la potencia óptica en función de la distancia, pudiendo ampliar cualquier tramo del enlace que se desee visualizar con mayor detalle. Los objetivos del proyecto podemos establecerlos en dos partes. Primero, realizar una interfaz que nos permita diseñar un enlace de fibra óptica de forma sencilla, permitiendo además medir desde la atenuación de la fibra a la de un empalme. En segundo lugar, emplear la interfaz desarrollada para comprobar conceptos teóricos, haciendo hincapié en los principales errores de un enlace de fibra óptica real. Para una mejor visualización y concepción de lo implementado, es necesario revisar los principios básicos de funcionamiento de la fibra óptica y las principales características de un enlace, así como, los distintos dispositivos que lo componen, para después explicar el funcionamiento del OTDR y sus usos; por ello, en los capítulos segundo y tercero, se explican estas nociones básicas, necesarias para un mejor entendimiento del proyecto. Para poder utilizar la interfaz gráfica de usuario, el capítulo cuarto muestra la descripción de las funciones con parámetros, así como el manual de usuario de la interfaz gráfica. En el capítulo quinto se hace una recopilación y estudios de resultados para distintas simulaciones comprobando desde casos sencillos a casos extremos en los que se debe prestar una especial atención a los elementos que componen el enlace, siendo finalmente, en el sexto capítulo donde se presentan distintas conclusiones así como posibles trabajos futuros, a partir de lo realizado. ABSTRACT. The optical time domain reflectometer, known as OTDR, is a widely used device in systems for fiber optic communications used to know quick and simply how the optical power its varying along the fiber, with particular emphasis to another of its frequent uses in troubleshooting on a link. This final project consists in carrying through a graphical interface in Matlab to simulate an OTDR for different types of fibers, connectors and splices, visualizing the variation of optical power as a function of the distance. It is possible to zoom in specific sections to view them with greater detail. The project objectives can be set in two parts: - Make an interface that allows us to design a fiber optic link easily and measuring from the fiber attenuation to a splice one. - Use the interface developed to test theoretical concepts, emphasizing the most important mistakes of a real optical fiber link. For better visualization and understanding of what it’s been implemented, it is necessary to review the basic operating principles of fiber optics and the main characteristics of a fiber link, and also the different types of devices that comprise it, and then explaining also how the OTDR works and its uses, therefore, in second and third chapters, explains these basics needed for a better understanding of the project. To use the GUI, the fourth chapter shows the description of the functions with parameters and the user manual of the GUI. The fifth chapter is a compilation and study of some simulation results for simple cases to check from simply to extreme cases putting special attention to the elements that make up the link. To sum up, in the sixth chapter will appear different conclusions and possible future works for improving the graphical interface or making a new one.

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Ultrasonic sound velocity measurements with hand-held equipment remain due to their simplicity among the most used methods for non-destructive grading of sawn woods, yet a dedicated normalization effort with respect to strength classes for Spanish species is still required. As part of an ongoing project with the aim of definition of standard testing methods, the effect of the dimensions of commonly tested Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris L.) timbers and equipment testing frequency on ultrasonic velocity were investigated. A dedicated full-wave finite-difference time-domain software allowed simulation of pulse propagation through timbers of representative length and section combinations. Sound velocity measurements vL were performed along the grain with the indirect method at 22 kHz and 45 kHz for grids of measurement points at specific distances. For sample sections larger than the cross-sectional wavelength ?RT, the simulated sound velocity vL converges to vL = (CL/?)0.5. For smaller square sections the sound velocity drops down to vL = (EL/?)0.5, where CL, EL and ? are the stiffness, E-modul and density, respectively. The experiments confirm a linear regression between time of flight and measurement distance even at less than two wavelength menor que2?L distance, the fitted sound speed values increased by 15% between the two tested frequencies.

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La diabetes mellitus es el conjunto de alteraciones provocadas por un defecto en la cantidad de insulina secretada o por un aprovechamiento deficiente de la misma. Es causa directa de complicaciones a corto, medio y largo plazo que disminuyen la calidad y las expectativas de vida de las personas con diabetes. La diabetes mellitus es en la actualidad uno de los problemas más importantes de salud. Ha triplicado su prevalencia en los últimos 20 anos y para el año 2025 se espera que existan casi 300 millones de personas con diabetes. Este aumento de la prevalencia junto con la morbi-mortalidad asociada a sus complicaciones micro y macro-vasculares convierten la diabetes en una carga para los sistemas sanitarios, sus recursos económicos y sus profesionales, haciendo de la enfermedad un problema individual y de salud pública de enormes proporciones. De momento no existe cura a esta enfermedad, de modo que el objetivo terapéutico del tratamiento de la diabetes se centra en la normalización de la glucemia intentando minimizar los eventos de hiper e hipoglucemia y evitando la aparición o al menos retrasando la evolución de las complicaciones vasculares, que constituyen la principal causa de morbi-mortalidad de las personas con diabetes. Un adecuado control diabetológico implica un tratamiento individualizado que considere multitud de factores para cada paciente (edad, actividad física, hábitos alimentarios, presencia de complicaciones asociadas o no a la diabetes, factores culturales, etc.). Sin embargo, a corto plazo, las dos variables más influyentes que el paciente ha de manejar para intervenir sobre su nivel glucémico son la insulina administrada y la dieta. Ambas presentan un retardo entre el momento de su aplicación y el comienzo de su acción, asociado a la absorción de los mismos. Por este motivo la capacidad de predecir la evolución del perfil glucémico en un futuro cercano, ayudara al paciente a tomar las decisiones adecuadas para mantener un buen control de su enfermedad y evitar situaciones de riesgo. Este es el objetivo de la predicción en diabetes: adelantar la evolución del perfil glucémico en un futuro cercano para ayudar al paciente a adaptar su estilo de vida y sus acciones correctoras, con el propósito de que sus niveles de glucemia se aproximen a los de una persona sana, evitando así los síntomas y complicaciones de un mal control. La aparición reciente de los sistemas de monitorización continua de glucosa ha proporcionado nuevas alternativas. La disponibilidad de un registro exhaustivo de las variaciones del perfil glucémico, con un periodo de muestreo de entre uno y cinco minutos, ha favorecido el planteamiento de nuevos modelos que tratan de predecir la glucemia utilizando tan solo las medidas anteriores de glucemia o al menos reduciendo significativamente la información de entrada a los algoritmos. El hecho de requerir menor intervención por parte del paciente, abre nuevas posibilidades de aplicación de los predictores de glucemia, haciéndose viable su uso en tiempo real, como sistemas de ayuda a la decisión, como detectores de situaciones de riesgo o integrados en algoritmos automáticos de control. En esta tesis doctoral se proponen diferentes algoritmos de predicción de glucemia para pacientes con diabetes, basados en la información registrada por un sistema de monitorización continua de glucosa así como incorporando la información de la insulina administrada y la ingesta de carbohidratos. Los algoritmos propuestos han sido evaluados en simulación y utilizando datos de pacientes registrados en diferentes estudios clínicos. Para ello se ha desarrollado una amplia metodología, que trata de caracterizar las prestaciones de los modelos de predicción desde todos los puntos de vista: precisión, retardo, ruido y capacidad de detección de situaciones de riesgo. Se han desarrollado las herramientas de simulación necesarias y se han analizado y preparado las bases de datos de pacientes. También se ha probado uno de los algoritmos propuestos para comprobar la validez de la predicción en tiempo real en un escenario clínico. Se han desarrollado las herramientas que han permitido llevar a cabo el protocolo experimental definido, en el que el paciente consulta la predicción bajo demanda y tiene el control sobre las variables metabólicas. Este experimento ha permitido valorar el impacto sobre el control glucémico del uso de la predicción de glucosa. ABSTRACT Diabetes mellitus is the set of alterations caused by a defect in the amount of secreted insulin or a suboptimal use of insulin. It causes complications in the short, medium and long term that affect the quality of life and reduce the life expectancy of people with diabetes. Diabetes mellitus is currently one of the most important health problems. Prevalence has tripled in the past 20 years and estimations point out that it will affect almost 300 million people by 2025. Due to this increased prevalence, as well as to morbidity and mortality associated with micro- and macrovascular complications, diabetes has become a burden on health systems, their financial resources and their professionals, thus making the disease a major individual and a public health problem. There is currently no cure for this disease, so that the therapeutic goal of diabetes treatment focuses on normalizing blood glucose events. The aim is to minimize hyper- and hypoglycemia and to avoid, or at least to delay, the appearance and development of vascular complications, which are the main cause of morbidity and mortality among people with diabetes. A suitable, individualized and controlled treatment for diabetes involves many factors that need to be considered for each patient: age, physical activity, eating habits, presence of complications related or unrelated to diabetes, cultural factors, etc. However, in the short term, the two most influential variables that the patient has available in order to manage his/her glycemic levels are administered insulin doses and diet. Both suffer from a delay between their time of application and the onset of the action associated with their absorption. Therefore, the ability to predict the evolution of the glycemic profile in the near future could help the patient to make appropriate decisions on how to maintain good control of his/her disease and to avoid risky situations. Hence, the main goal of glucose prediction in diabetes consists of advancing the evolution of glycemic profiles in the near future. This would assist the patient in adapting his/her lifestyle and in taking corrective actions in a way that blood glucose levels approach those of a healthy person, consequently avoiding the symptoms and complications of a poor glucose control. The recent emergence of continuous glucose monitoring systems has provided new alternatives in this field. The availability of continuous records of changes in glycemic profiles (with a sampling period of one or five minutes) has enabled the design of new models which seek to predict blood glucose by using automatically read glucose measurements only (or at least, reducing significantly the data input manually to the algorithms). By requiring less intervention by the patient, new possibilities are open for the application of glucose predictors, making its use feasible in real-time applications, such as: decision support systems, hypo- and hyperglycemia detectors, integration into automated control algorithms, etc. In this thesis, different glucose prediction algorithms are proposed for patients with diabetes. These are based on information recorded by a continuous glucose monitoring system and incorporate information of the administered insulin and carbohydrate intakes. The proposed algorithms have been evaluated in-silico and using patients’ data recorded in different clinical trials. A complete methodology has been developed to characterize the performance of predictive models from all points of view: accuracy, delay, noise and ability to detect hypo- and hyperglycemia. In addition, simulation tools and patient databases have been deployed. One of the proposed algorithms has additionally been evaluated in terms of real-time prediction performance in a clinical scenario in which the patient checked his/her glucose predictions on demand and he/she had control on his/her metabolic variables. This has allowed assessing the impact of using glucose prediction on glycemic control. The tools to carry out the defined experimental protocols were also developed in this thesis.