The influence of social connectedness and self-esteem on participant retention in a bi-ethnic longitudinal study

In prospective studies it is essential that the study sample accurately represents the target population for meaningful inferences to be drawn. Understanding why some individuals do not participate, or fail to continue to participate, in longitudinal studies can provide an empirical basis for the development of effective recruitment and retention strategies to improve response rates. This study examined the influence of social connectedness and self-esteem on long-term retention of participants, using secondary data from the “San Antonio Longitudinal Study of Aging” (SALSA), a population-based study of Mexican Americans (MAs) and European Americans (EAs) aged over 65 years residing in San Antonio, Texas. We tested the effect of social connectedness, self-esteem and socioeconomic status on participant retention in both ethnic groups. In MAs only, we analyzed whether acculturation and assimilation moderated these associations and/or had a direct effect on participant retention. ^ Low income, low frequency of social contacts and length of recruitment interval were significant predictors of non-completer status. Participants with low levels of social contacts were almost twice as likely as those with high levels of social contacts to be non-completers, even after adjustment for age, sex, ethnic group, education, household income, and recruitment interval (OR = 1.95, 95% CI: 1.26–3.01, p = 0.003). Recruitment interval consistently and strongly predicted non-completer status in all the models tested. Depending on the model, for each year beyond baseline there was a 25–33% greater likelihood of non-completion. The only significant interaction, or moderating, effect observed was between social contacts and cultural values among MAs. Specifically, MAs with both low social contacts and low acculturation on cultural values (i.e., placed high value on preserving Mexican cultural origins) were three and half times more likely to be non-completers compared with MAs in other subgroups comprised of the combination of these variables, even after adjustment for covariates. ^ Long term studies with older and minority participants are challenging for participant retention. Strategies can be designed to enhance retention by paying special attention to participants with low social contacts and, in MAs, participants with both low social contacts and low acculturation on cultural values. Minimizing the time interval between baseline and follow-up recruitment, and maintaining frequent contact with participants during this interval should also be is integral to the study design.^

Correlation of tuberculosis and human immunodeficiency virus in Harris County, Texas from 2009 through 2010 using Geographic Information Systems

A population based ecological study was conducted to identify areas with a high number of TB and HIV new diagnoses in Harris County, Texas from 2009 through 2010 by applying Geographic Information Systems to determine whether distinguished spatial patterns exist at the census tract level through the use of exploratory mapping. As of 2010, Texas has the fourth highest occurrence of new diagnoses of HIV/AIDS and TB.[31] The Texas Department of State Health Services (DSHS) has identified HIV infected persons as a high risk population for TB in Harris County.[29] In order to explore this relationship further, GIS was utilized to identify spatial trends. ^ The specific aims were to map TB and HIV new diagnoses rates and spatially identify hotspots and high value clusters at the census tract level. The potential association between HIV and TB was analyzed using spatial autocorrelation and linear regression analysis. The spatial statistics used were ArcGIS 9.3 Hotspot Analysis and Cluster and Outlier Analysis. Spatial autocorrelation was determined through Global Moran's I and linear regression analysis. ^ Hotspots and clusters of TB and HIV are located within the same spatial areas of Harris County. The areas with high value clusters and hotspots for each infection are located within the central downtown area of the city of Houston. There is an additional hotspot area of TB located directly north of I-10 and a hotspot area of HIV northeast of Interstate 610. ^ The Moran's I Index of 0.17 (Z score = 3.6 standard deviations, p-value = 0.01) suggests that TB is statistically clustered with a less than 1% chance that this pattern is due to random chance. However, there were a high number of features with no neighbors which may invalidate the statistical properties of the test. Linear regression analysis indicated that HIV new diagnoses rates (β=−0.006, SE=0.147, p=0.970) and census tracts (β=0.000, SE=0.000, p=0.866) were not significant predictors of TB new diagnoses rates. ^ Mapping products indicate that census tracts with overlapping hotspots and high value clusters of TB and HIV should be a targeted focus for prevention efforts, most particularly within central Harris County. While the statistical association was not confirmed, evidence suggests that there is a relationship between HIV and TB within this two year period.^

Variedades de uva en Chile y Argentina (1550-1850). Genealogía del torrontés

Cuyo y Chile central constituyen, desde el siglo XVIII hasta hoy, el principal polo vitivinícola de América Latina y uno de los con mayor desarrollo del mundo. Su producción de vinos y aguardientes ha tenido fuertes implicancias sociales, económicas, políticas y culturales en la región. En la base de este proceso se encuentra el cultivo de la vid, trabajo agrícola intensivo y especializado, en el cual los vidueños tienen una relevancia central. Este artículo examina las variedades cultivadas en la región a partir de documentos originales inéditos, sobre todo de fondos notariales y judiciales de archivos de Santiago, Mendoza y San Juan. Sobre esta base se conformó un corpus documental de 3,5 millones de plantas, con vistas a identificar el proceso de ingreso, adaptación y propagación de las variedades de vid, desde la llegada de los españoles hasta el ingreso de las cepas francesas a mediados del siglo XIX. Particular atención se presta al inicio de la coexistencia entre la uva País y la uva de Italia (moscatel de Alejandría), situación que generó las condiciones para el surgimiento del torrontés, única variedad criolla de alto valor enológico y actual cepa emblemática de los vinos blancos argentinos

Variedades de uva en Chile y Argentina (1550-1850). Genealogía del torrontés

Cuyo y Chile central constituyen, desde el siglo XVIII hasta hoy, el principal polo vitivinícola de América Latina y uno de los con mayor desarrollo del mundo. Su producción de vinos y aguardientes ha tenido fuertes implicancias sociales, económicas, políticas y culturales en la región. En la base de este proceso se encuentra el cultivo de la vid, trabajo agrícola intensivo y especializado, en el cual los vidueños tienen una relevancia central. Este artículo examina las variedades cultivadas en la región a partir de documentos originales inéditos, sobre todo de fondos notariales y judiciales de archivos de Santiago, Mendoza y San Juan. Sobre esta base se conformó un corpus documental de 3,5 millones de plantas, con vistas a identificar el proceso de ingreso, adaptación y propagación de las variedades de vid, desde la llegada de los españoles hasta el ingreso de las cepas francesas a mediados del siglo XIX. Particular atención se presta al inicio de la coexistencia entre la uva País y la uva de Italia (moscatel de Alejandría), situación que generó las condiciones para el surgimiento del torrontés, única variedad criolla de alto valor enológico y actual cepa emblemática de los vinos blancos argentinos

Variedades de uva en Chile y Argentina (1550-1850). Genealogía del torrontés

Cuyo y Chile central constituyen, desde el siglo XVIII hasta hoy, el principal polo vitivinícola de América Latina y uno de los con mayor desarrollo del mundo. Su producción de vinos y aguardientes ha tenido fuertes implicancias sociales, económicas, políticas y culturales en la región. En la base de este proceso se encuentra el cultivo de la vid, trabajo agrícola intensivo y especializado, en el cual los vidueños tienen una relevancia central. Este artículo examina las variedades cultivadas en la región a partir de documentos originales inéditos, sobre todo de fondos notariales y judiciales de archivos de Santiago, Mendoza y San Juan. Sobre esta base se conformó un corpus documental de 3,5 millones de plantas, con vistas a identificar el proceso de ingreso, adaptación y propagación de las variedades de vid, desde la llegada de los españoles hasta el ingreso de las cepas francesas a mediados del siglo XIX. Particular atención se presta al inicio de la coexistencia entre la uva País y la uva de Italia (moscatel de Alejandría), situación que generó las condiciones para el surgimiento del torrontés, única variedad criolla de alto valor enológico y actual cepa emblemática de los vinos blancos argentinos

A 2000 year long seasonal record of floods in Lake Ledro

Knowledge of past natural flood variability and controlling climate factors is of high value since it can be useful to refine projections of the future flood behavior under climate warming. In this context, we present a seasonally resolved 2000 year long flood frequency and intensity reconstruction from the southern Alpine slope (North Italy) using annually laminated (varved) lake sediments. Floods occurred predominantly during summer and autumn, whereas winter and spring events were rare. The all-season flood frequency and, particularly, the occurrence of summer events increased during solar minima, suggesting solar-induced circulation changes resembling negative conditions of the North Atlantic Oscillation as controlling atmospheric mechanism. Furthermore, the most extreme autumn events occurred during a period of warm Mediterranean sea surface temperature. Interpreting these results in regard to present climate change, our data set proposes for a warming scenario, a decrease in summer floods, but an increase in the intensity of autumn floods at the South-Alpine slope.

Diatom abundance in middle-to-late Pleistocene sediments of IODP Site 303-U1304

We examined diatom assemblages in a series of remarkable laminated diatomaceous ooze (LDO) horizons in the marine sediments from Integrated Ocean Drilling Program (IODP) Site U1304 to reconstruct the middle-to-late Pleistocene paleoceanographic evolution of the northern North Atlantic Ocean. Four confirmed diatom biohorizons combined with calcareous nannofossil and paleomagnetic stratigraphies established the chronological framework for the material. The planktonic, araphid, needle-like species Thalassiothrix longissima was the greatest contributor to the LDO facies. From the results of a principal component analysis using the percent abundances of 65 significant (p = 5%) diatom taxa, except for Tx. longissima, which was extremely dominant in almost all horizons observed, we identified two principal component (PC) axes. Taxa probably associated with the stratigraphic distribution of the major zonal marker Neodenticula seminae (ranging from 1.26 to 0.84 Ma in this ocean) loaded on PC1 with a high value. PC2 was related to the ocean surface temperature. The stratigraphic variability of the PC2 score indicated that switching between warm- and cold-water assemblages occurred concurrently with LDO deposition (or extreme Tx. longissima dominance) episodes in several horizons (particularly after 0.84 Ma), suggesting that the Subarctic Convergence (SAC) oceanic front passed over Site U1304 during Pleistocene glacial/interglacial cycles. Our floral evidence supports the model of nearly monospecific LDO formation caused by the enhanced physical accumulation of particular diatoms such as Tx. longissima. On the other hand, Nd. seminae, which probably contributes to spring phytoplankton blooms in the modern ocean, was present only between 1.26 and 0.84 Ma in this area. Thus, we infer that the main contributor of export flux in the regional annual primary production cycle would have shifted drastically from one of a spring phytoplankton bloom leader (Nd. seminae) to minor but mass dump assemblages (Tx. longissima etc.) in the mid-Pleistocene.

Pollen and macroremains from profiles from site Osterholz and Elm

The biostratigraphic classification of the Pleistocene in north-western and central Europe is still insufficiently known, in spite of numerous geological and vegetation-history investigations. The question is not even clear, for example, how often a warm-period vegetation with thermophilous trees such as Quercus, Ulmus, Tilia, Carpinus etc could develop here. In past years, on the basis of several geological and vegetation-history findings, suspicion has often been expressed that some of the classical stages of the Pleistocene could include more warm periods than heretofore assumed, and as a result of recent investigations the period between the Waal and Holstein interglacials seems to include at least two warm periods, of which the Cromer is one. This paper contributes to this problem. The interglacial sediments coming from the Elm-Mountains near Brunswick and from the Osterholz near Elze - both within the limits of the German Mittelgebirge - were investigated by pollen analysis. In both cases a Pinus-Betula zone and a QM zone were found. The vegetation development of the Pinus-Betula zone is characterized in both sequences by the early appearance of Picea. Because of strong local influence at the Osterholz a detailed correlation is difficult. However, vegetation development at the time of the QM zone at both sites was similar; it is especially characterized by the facts that Ulmus clearly migrated to the site earlier than Quercus and was very abundant throughout this time. Furthermore, both diagrams show very low amounts of Corylus. The interglacial of the Osterholz shows in addition to the above; a Carpinus-QM-Picea-zone in which Eucommia reaches a relative high value and in the upper of which Azolla filiculoides was also found. The similarity of vegetation development justifies acceptance of the same age for the occurrences. A comparison of the vegetation development at the Elm and the Osterholz with those of the Eem, Holstein, Waal, and Tegelen warm periods as well as with all the Cromer sites so far investigated shows that only a correlation with the Cromer Complex is possible. This correlation is supported by the geologic relations in the Osterholz (the deposit is overlain by Elster till). Therefore the till-like material with Scandinavian rock fragments underlying the deposit at Elm is of particular interest. The 'Rhume' interglacial beds at Bilshausen, only 60 km south of Osterholz, is also assigned to the Cromer complex, but the two deposits cannot be of the same age because the vegetation development differs. Therefore the Cromer complex must include at least two warm periods. Further conclusions about the relative stratigraphic position of these two occurrences and correlations of other Cromer sites are at this time not possible, however.

Geochemistry of phosphate and glauconites of ODP Leg 128 samples

Glauconites and phosphates have been detected in almost all investigated samples at Sites 798 (uppermost Miocene or lower Pliocene to Pleistocene) and 799 (early middle Miocene to Pleistocene). Autochthonous occurrences appear in very minor quantities (generally below 0.2%) throughout the drilled sequences, whereas allochthonous accumulations are limited to the lower Pliocene or uppermost Miocene sequence at Site 798 (glauconites) and to the upper and middle Miocene sequence at Site 799 (upper and middle Miocene: glauconites; middle Miocene: phosphates). X-ray fluorescence, microprobe, and bulk chemical analyses indicate high variabilities in cations and anions and generally low oxide totals. This is probably related to the substitution of phosphate and fluoride aniors by hydroxide and carbonate anions in phosphates and to the depletion of iron, aluminum, and potassium cations and the enrichment in hydroxide and crystal water in glauconites. Gradients in pore-water contents of dissolved phosphate and fluoride at Sites 798 and 799 suggest a depth of phosphate precipitation between 30 and 50 mbsf, with fluoride as the limiting element for phosphate precipitation at Site 798. Phosphate and fluoride appear to be balanced at Site 799. Crude extrapolations indicate that the Japan-Sea sediments may have taken up approximately 7.2*10**10 g P total/yr during the Neogene and Pleistocene. This amount corresponds to approximately 0.3% of the estimated present-day global transfer of phosphorus into the sediments and suggests that the Japan Sea constitutes an average sink for this element. The two main carriers of phosphorus into the present Japan Sea are the Tshushima and the Liman currents, importing approximately 6.6*10**10 g P and 5.7*10**10 g P per year, respectively. Bulk chemical analyses suggest that at least 36% of P total in the sediments is organically bound phosphorus. This rather high value, which corresponds to the measured Japan-Sea deep-water P organic/P total ratios, probably reflects rapid transport of organic phosphorus into the depth of the Japan Sea.

Surface temperature measurements near Ny-Ålesund, Svalbard, Norway in 2008 with links to data files

The ground surface temperature is one of the key parameters that determine the thermal regime of permafrost soils in arctic regions. Due to remoteness of most permafrost areas, monitoring of the land surface temperature (LST) through remote sensing is desirable. However, suitable satellite platforms such as MODIS provide spatial resolutions, that cannot resolve the considerable small-scale heterogeneity of the surface conditions characteristic for many permafrost areas. This study investigates the spatial variability of summer surface temperatures of high-arctic tundra on Svalbard, Norway. A thermal imaging system mounted on a mast facilitates continuous monitoring of approximately 100 x 100 m of tundra with a wide variability of different surface covers and soil moisture conditions over the entire summer season from the snow melt until fall. The net radiation is found to be a control parameter for the differences in surface temperature between wet and dry areas. Under clear-sky conditions in July, the differences in surface temperature between wet and dry areas reach up to 10K. The spatial differences reduce strongly in weekly averages of the surface temperature, which are relevant for the soil temperature evolution of deeper layers. Nevertheless, a considerable variability remains, with maximum differences between wet and dry areas of 3 to 4K. Furthermore, the pattern of snow patches and snow-free areas during snow melt in July causes even greater differences of more than 10K in the weekly averages. Towards the end of the summer season, the differences in surface temperature gradually diminish. Due to the pronounced spatial variability in July, the accumulated degree-day totals of the snow-free period can differ by more than 60% throughout the study area. The terrestrial observations from the thermal imaging system are compared to measurements of the land surface temperature from the MODIS sensor. During periods with frequent clear-sky conditions and thus a high density of satellite data, weekly averages calculated from the thermal imaging system and from MODIS LST agree within less than 2K. Larger deviations occur when prolonged cloudy periods prevent satellite measurements. Futhermore, the employed MODIS L2 LST data set contains a number of strongly biased measurements, which suggest an admixing of cloud top temperatures. We conclude that a reliable gap filling procedure to moderate the impact of prolonged cloudy periods would be of high value for a future LST-based permafrost monitoring scheme. The occurrence of sustained subpixel variability of the summer surface temperature is a complicating factor, whose impact needs to be assessed further in conjunction with other spatially variable parameters such as the snow cover and soil properties.

Where does Philippine education go? : the "K to 12" program and reform of Philippine basic education

In 2012 the Philippines launched its "K to 12" Program, a comprehensive reform of its basic education. Through this reform, the Philippines is catching up with global standards in secondary education and is attaching a high value to kindergarten. The structure, curricula, and philosophy of the education system are undergoing reform and improvement. The key points of the new policy are "preparation" for higher education, "eligibility" for entering domestic and overseas higher educational institutions, and immediate "employability" on graduating, all leading toward a "holistically developed Filipino". This policy appears admirable and timely, but it faces some pedagogical and socioeconomic problems. The author wants to point out in particular that the policy needs to address gender problems and should be combined with demand-side approaches in order to promote poverty alleviation and human development in the Philippines.

InAs/AlGaAs quantum dot intermediate band solar cells with enlarged sub-bandgaps

In the last decade several prototypes of intermediate band solar cells (IBSCs) have been manufactured. So far, most of these prototypes have been based on InAs/GaAs quantum dots (QDs) in order to implement the IB material. The key operation principles of the IB theory are two photon sub-bandgap (SBG) photocurrent, and output voltage preservation, and both have been experimentally demonstrated at low temperature. At room temperature (RT), however, thermal escape/relaxation between the conduction band (CB) and the IB prevents voltage preservation. To improve this situation, we have produced and characterized the first reported InAs/AlGaAs QD-based IBSCs. For an Al content of 25% in the host material, we have measured an activation energy of 361 meV for the thermal carrier escape. This energy is about 250 meV higher than the energies found in the literature for InAs/GaAs QD, and almost 140 meV higher than the activation energy obtained in our previous InAs/GaAs QD-IBSC prototypes including a specifically designed QD capping layer. This high value is responsible for the suppression of the SBG quantum efficiency under monochromatic illumination at around 220 K. We suggest that, if the energy split between the CB and the IB is large enough, activation energies as high as to suppress thermal carrier escape at room temperature (RT) can be achieved. In this respect, the InAs/AlGaAs system offers new possibilities to overcome some of the problems encountered in InAs/GaAs and opens the path for QD-IBSC devices capable of achieving high efficiency at RT.

Interconexión monolítica de dispositivos fotovoltaicos basados en a-Si mediante ablación directa con fuentes láser ultravioleta

Resumen En la última década la tecnología láser se ha convertido en una herramienta imprescindible en la fabricación de dispositivos fotovoltaicos, muy especial¬mente en aquellos basados en tecnología de lámina delgada. Independiente¬mente de crisis coyunturales en el sector, la evolución en los próximos años de estas tecnologías seguirá aprovechándose de la flexibilidad y calidad de proceso de la herramienta láser para la consecución de los dos objetivos básicos que harán de la fotovoltaica una opción energética económicamente viable: la reducción de costes de fabricación y el aumento de eficiencia de los dispositivos. Dentro de las tecnologías fotovoltaicas de lámina delgada, la tecnología de dispositivos basados en silicio amorfo ha tenido un gran desarrollo en sistemas estándar en configuración de superestrato, pero su limitada efi¬ciencia hace que su supervivencia futura pase por el desarrollo de formatos en configuración de substrato sobre materiales flexibles de bajo coste. En esta aproximación, las soluciones industriales basadas en láser actualmente disponibles para la interconexión monolítica de dispositivos no son aplica¬bles, y desde hace años se viene investigando en la búsqueda de soluciones apropiadas para el desarrollo de dichos procesos de interconexión de forma que sean transferibles a la industria. En este contexto, esta Tesis propone una aproximación completamente orig¬inal, demostrando la posibilidad de ejecutar una interconexión completa de estos dispositivos irradiando por el lado de la lámina (es decir de forma com¬patible con la opción de configuración de substrato y, valga la redundancia, con el substrato del dispositivo opaco), y con fuentes láser emitiendo en UV. Este resultado, obtenido por primera vez a nivel internacional con este trabajo, aporta un conocimiento revelador del verdadero potencial de estas fuentes en el desarrollo industrial futuro de estas tecnologías. Si bien muy posiblemente la solución industrial final requiera de una solución mixta con el empleo de fuentes en UV y, posiblemente, en otras longitudes de onda, esta Tesis y su planteamiento novedoso aportan un conocimiento de gran valor a la comunidad internacional por la originalidad del planteamiento seguido, los resultados parciales encontrados en su desarrollo (un número importante de los cuales han aparecido en revistas del JCR que recogen en la actualidad un número muy significativo de citas) y porque saca además a la luz, con las consideraciones físicas pertinentes, las limitaciones intrínsecas que el desarrollo de procesos de ablación directa selectiva con láseres UV en parte de los materiales utilizados presenta en el rango temporal de in¬teracción de ns y ps. En este trabajo se han desarrollado y optimizado los tres pasos estándar de interconexión (los habitualmente denominados Pl, P2 y P3 en la industria fotovoltaica) demostrando las ventajas y limitaciones del uso de fuentes en UV tanto con ancho temporal de ns como de ps. En particular destaca, por el éxito en los resultados obtenidos, el estudio de procesos de ablación selectiva de óxidos conductores transparentes (en este trabajo utilizados tanto como contacto frontal así como posterior en los módulos) que ha generado resultados, de excelente acogida científica a nivel internacional, cuya aplicación trasciende el ámbito de las tecnologías de silicio amorfo en lámina delgada. Además en este trabajo de Tesis, en el desarrollo del objetivo citado, se han puesto a punto técnicas de análisis de los procesos láser, basadas en métodos avanzados de caracterización de materiales (como el uso combi¬nado de la espectroscopia dispersiva de rayos X y la microscopía confocal de barrido) que se presentan como auténticos avances en el desarrollo de técnicas específicas de caracterización para el estudio de los procesos con láser de ablación selectiva de materiales en lámina delgada, procesos que no solo tienen impacto en el ámbito de la fotovoltaica, sino también en la microelectrónica, la biotecnología, la microfabricación, etc. Como resultado adicional, parte de los resultados de este trabajo, han sido aplicados exi¬tosamente por el grupo de investigaci´on en la que la autora desarrolla su labor para conseguir desarrollar procesos de enorme inter´es en otras tec-nolog´ıas fotovoltaicas, como las tecnolog´ıas est´andar de silicio amorfo sobre vidrio en configuraci´on de superestrato o el procesado de capas delgadas en tecnolog´ıas convencionales de silicio cristalino. Por u´ltimo decir que este trabajo ha sido posible por una colaboraci´on muy estrecha entre el Centro L´aser de la UPM, en el que la autora de¬sarrolla su labor, y el Grupo de Silicio Depositado del Centro de Inves¬tigaciones Energ´eticas, Medioambientales y Tecnol´ogicas, CIEMAT, que, junto al Grupo de Energ´ıa Fotovoltaica de la Universidad de Barcelona, han preparado la mayor parte de las muestras utilizadas en este estudio. Dichas colaboraciones se han desarrollado en el marco de varios proyectos de investigaci´on aplicada con subvenci´on pu´blica, tales como el proyecto singular estrat´egico PSE-MICROSIL08 (PSE-120000-2006-6), el proyecto INNDISOL (IPT-420000-2010-6), ambos financiados porel Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional FEDER (UE) ”Una manera de hacer Europa y el MICINN, y los proyectos de Plan Nacional AMIC (ENE2010-21384-C04-´ 02) y CLASICO (ENE2007-6772-C04-04), cuya financiaci´on ha permitido en gran parte llevar a t´ermino este trabajo Abstract In the last decade, the laser technology has turned into an indispensable tool in the production of photovoltaic devices, especially of those based on thin film technology. Regardless the current crisis in the sector, the evolution of these technologies in the upcoming years will keep taking advantage of the flexibility and process quality of the laser tool for the accomplishment of the two basic goals that will convert the photovoltaic energy into economically viable: the manufacture cost reduction and the increase in the efficiency of the devices. Amongst the thin film laser technologies, the technology of devices based on amorphous silicon has had a great development in standard systems of superstrate configuration, but its limited efficiency makes its survival de¬pendant on the development of formats in substrate configuration with low cost flexible materials. In this approach, the laser industrial solutions cur¬rently available for the monolithic interconnection are not applicable, and in the last few years the investigations have been focused on the search of appropriate solutions for the development of such interconnection processes in a way that the same are transferable to the industry. In this context, this Thesis proposes a totally original approach, proving the possibility of executing a full interconnection of these devices by means of irradiation from the film side, i.e., compatible with the substrate con¬figuration, and with UV laser sources. This result, obtained for the first time at international level in this work, provides a revealing knowledge of the true potential of these sources in the future industrial development of these technologies. Even though very probably the final industrial solution will require a combination of the use of UV sources along with other wave¬lengths, this Thesis and its novel approach contribute with a high value to the international community because of the originality of the approach, the partial results found throughout its development (out of which, a large number has appeared in JCR journals that currently accumulate a signifi¬cant number of citations) and brings to light, with the pertinent scientific considerations, the intrinsic limitations that the selective direct ablation processes with UV laser present in the temporal range of interaction of ns and ps for part of the materials used in this study. More particularly, the three standard steps of interconnection (usually de¬nominated P1, P2 and P3 in the photovoltaic industry) have been developed and optimized, showing the advantages as well as the limitations of the use of UV sources in both the ns and ps pulse-width ranges. It is highly remark¬able, because of the success in the obtained results, the study of selective ablation processes in transparent conductive oxide (in this work used as a front and back contact), that has generated results, of excellent interna¬tional scientific reception, whose applications go beyond the scope of thin film photovoltaic technologies based on amorphous silicon. Moreover, in this Thesis, with the development of the mentioned goal, differ¬ent techniques of analysis of laser processes have been fine-tuned, basing the same in advanced methods for material characterization (like the combined use of EDX Analysis and Confocal Laser Scanning Microscopy) that can be presented as true breakthroughs in the development of specific techniques for characterization in the study of laser processes of selective ablation of materials in thin film technologies, processes that not only have impact in the photovoltaic field, but also in those of microelectronics, biotechnology, micro-fabrication, etc. As an additional outcome, part of the results of this work has been suc¬cessfully applied, by the investigation group to which the author belongs, to the development of processes of enormous interest within other photo¬voltaic technologies, such as the standard technologies on amorphous silicon over glass in superstrate configuration or the processing of thin layers in conventional technologies using crystalline silicon. Lastly, it is important to mention that this work has been possible thanks to the close cooperation between the Centro L´aser of the UPM, in which the author develops her work, and the Grupo de Silicio Depositado of Centro de Investigaciones Energ´eticas, Medioambientales y Tecnol´ogicas, CIEMAT, which, along with the Grupo de Energ´ıa Fotovoltaica of Univer¬sidad de Barcelona, has prepared the largest part of the samples utilized in this study. Such collaborations have been carried out in the context of several projects of applied investigation with public funding, like Proyecto Singular Estrat´egico PSE-MICROSIL08 (PSE-120000-2006-6), Proyecto IN-NDISOL (IPT-420000-2010-6), both funded by the European Regional De¬velopment Fund (ERDF), ”Una manera de hacer Europa” and MICINN, and the projects of Plan Nacional AMIC (ENE2010-21384-C04-02) and ´ CLASICO (ENE2007-6772-C04-04), whose funds have enabled the devel-opment of large part of this work.

Estimación de la peligrosidad sísmica mediante protocolos de juicios de expertos

Este trabajo estudia la aportación que los métodos de agregación de juicios de expertos pueden realizar en el cálculo de la peligrosidad sísmica de emplazamientos. Se han realizado cálculos en dos emplazamientos de la Península Ibérica: Mugardos (La Coruña) y Cofrentes (Valencia) que están sometidos a regímenes tectónicos distintos y que, además, alojan instalaciones industriales de gran responsabilidad. Las zonas de estudio, de 320 Km de radio, son independientes. Se ha aplicado un planteamiento probabilista a la estimación de la tasa anual de superación de valores de la aceleración horizontal de pico y se ha utilizado el Método de Montecarlo para incorporar a los resultados la incertidumbre presente en los datos relativos a la definición de cada fuente sismogenética y de su sismicidad. Los cálculos se han operado mediante un programa de ordenador, desarrollado para este trabajo, que utiliza la metodología propuesta por el Senior Seismic Hazard Analysis Commitee (1997) para la NRC. La primera conclusión de los resultados ha sido que la Atenuación es la fuente principal de incertidumbre en las estimaciones de peligrosidad en ambos casos. Dada la dificultad de completar los datos históricos disponibles de esta variable se ha estudiado el comportamiento de cuatro métodos matemáticos de agregación de juicios de expertos a la hora de estimar una ley de atenuación en un emplazamiento. Los datos de partida se han obtenido del Catálogo de Isosistas del IGN. Los sismos utilizados como variables raíz se han elegido con el criterio de cubrir uniformemente la serie histórica disponible y los valores de magnitud observados. Se ha asignado un panel de expertos particular a cada uno de los dos emplazamientos y se han aplicado a sus juicios los métodos de Cooke, equipesos, Apostolakis_Mosleh y Morris. Sus propuestas se han comparado con los datos reales para juzgar su eficacia y su facilidad de operación. A partir de los resultados se ha concluido que el método de Cooke ha mostrado el comportamiento más eficiente y robusto para ambos emplazamientos. Este método, además, ha permitido identificar, razonadamente, a aquellos expertos que no deberían haberse introducido en un panel. The present work analyses the possible contribution of the mathematical methods of aggregation in the assessment of Seismic Hazzard. Two sites, in the Iberian Peninsula, have been considered: Mugardos ( La Coruña) and Cofrentes (Valencia).Both of them are subjected to different tectonic regimes an both accommodate high value industrial plants. Their areas of concern, with radius of 320 Km, are not overlapping. A probabilistic approach has been applied in the assessment the annual probability of exceedence of the horizontal peak acceleration. The Montecarlo Method has allowed to transfer the uncertainty in the models and parameters to the final results. A computer program has been developed for this purpose. The methodology proposed by the Senior Seismic Analysis Committee (1997) for the NRC has been considered. Attenuation in Ground motion has been proved to be the main source of uncertainty in seismic hazard for both sites. Taking into account the difficulties to complete existing historical data in this subject the performance of four mathematical methods of aggregation has been studied. Original data have been obtained from the catalogs of the Spanish National Institute of Geography. The seismic events considered were chosen to cover evenly the historical records and the observed values of magnitude. A panel of experts have been applied to each site and four aggregation methods have been developed : equal weights, Cooke, Apostolakis-Mosleh and Morris The four proposals have been compaired with the actual data to judge their performance and ease of application. The results have shown that the Method of Cooke have proved the most efficient and robust for both sites. This method, besides, allow the reasoned identification of those experts who should be rejected from the panel

Desarrollo y validación de tecnologías de intensificación lumínica para fotobiorreactores (FBR) para el aprovechamiento de la radiación en el cultivo de microalgas

En la actualidad la humanidad se enfrenta a una serie de problemas de gran transcendencia que van a determinar en alto grado los niveles de calidad de vida en los próximos años. El calentamiento global, el incremento demográfico incontrolado, la contaminación ambiental y la escasez de recursos así como una mala distribución de los mismos, son sólo algunos ejemplos. En este contexto, las microalgas, microrganismos fotosintéticos de alta eficiencia y versatilidad, presentan una serie de características que las convierten a priori en la base de una tecnología con un enorme potencial para formar parte de la solución a estos graves problemas planteados. Uno de los principales factores que impiden una mayor implantación de la tecnología de microalgas es de tipo económico. La baja productividad por unidad de área de los sistemas de cultivo actuales y la alta inversión necesaria en equipos y mantenimiento, hace que solo se justifique el cultivo de productos de muy alto valor añadido. Las soluciones pasan por aumentar el rendimiento global de los cultivos y por disminuir los costes de equipos e instalaciones. La presente tesis investiga sobre la posibilidad de conseguir un mejor aprovechamiento de la luz solar incidente sobre un cultivo de microalgas mediante el uso de una serie de dispositivos ópticos que vienen a denominarse intensificadores lumínicos. De entre los factores que determinan la productividad de un campo de cultivo de microalgas, posiblemente el más determinante sea la cantidad de radiación que las microalgas pueden aprovechar. Los intensificadores aumentan la disponibilidad de luz en el interior de los tubos de cultivo, de forma que la fotosíntesis se vea favorecida y, de este modo, se incremente la tasa de crecimiento de las microalgas. En el desarrollo de la tesis se proponen tres tipologías diferentes de intensificador diseñadas en base a criterios óptico-geométricos. Para cada una de estas tipologías se evalúa el incremento de radiación que se lograría sobre un tubo de cultivo. Paralelamente se desarrolla un modelo que permite la evaluación de la productividad del cultivo. Esto permite añadir el factor biológico al puramente óptico-físico y valorar las distintas propuestas de intensificadores en función de las características propias del microalga utilizada en el cultivo. El modelo es verificado y contrastado frente a datos de producción obtenidos en la bibliografía. Finalmente, la exposición concluye con una presentación general de las futuras líneas de investigación. ABSTRACT Today, humanity is facing a series of problems of global significance that will determine the standard of living in the years ahead. Global warming, uncontrolled population growth, pollution, lack of resources and poor distribution of them are just an example of the challenges we are facing. In this context, microalgae, high efficient photosynthetic microorganisms, have a number of characteristics that turn them into a very promising technology that can contribute or be part of a sustainable solution. One of the main factors preventing the adoption of microalgae technology is economical. The low productivity per unit area of current farming systems and the high investment needed in equipment and maintenance, only justifies the cultivation of algae for high value applications. One solution could be increasing the overall yield of the crops and reduce the equipment and facilities costs. Among the factors that determine the productivity of a microalgae culture, possibly the most influential one is the amount of radiation that microalgae receive. This Thesis develops the possibility of making better use of the sunlight radiation incident on a crop field using a series of devices similar to solar collectors. The solar collectors proposed are intended to increase the availability of light inside the culture tubes and within it, the tax of photosynthesis and the overall growth rate of the microalgae. In this research, three different configurations of collectors are designed, based on optical and geometrical criteria. For each one of these collectors, the increase on radiation that would be expected is evaluated. Furthermore, a model for light distribution inside the culture is developed in terms to estimate the biomass productivity. This allows adding the biological factor to purely optical-physical considerations and to assess the different solar collectors proposed, in terms specific for the microalgae. The model is tested against production data obtained in different scientific literature. Finally, the exposition concludes with some guidelines for future research.