988 resultados para Geographic Regression Discontinuity


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INTRODUÇÃO: A leishmaniose visceral (LV) é uma doença negligenciada de grande importância no cenário brasileiro, particularmente devido à sua gravidade, sua expansão geográfica e a associação com condições de pobreza. Nesta perspectiva, as condições nutricionais emergem como elementos a serem considerados na compreensão de sua situação epidemiológica, sejam como potenciais fatores de risco para o estabelecimento da doença após infecção ou como fatores associados ao prognóstico. OBJETIVO: Avaliar a associação entre estado nutricional e infecção por Leishmania infantum em moradores de áreas endêmicas para LV no município de Teresina, Piauí. MÉTODOS: Trata-se de um estudo seccional realizado em bairros de alta endemicidade para a doença, envolvendo 198 indivíduos com idade entre 2 e 65 anos. Peso e estatura foram aferidos no domicílio por profissionais treinados. Para a avaliação de adultos foi utilizado o índice de massa corporal (IMC). Para crianças e adolescentes foram avaliados os índices antropométricos (peso / idade, estatura / idade, peso / estatura e IMC / idade). A infecção por L. infantum foi avaliada a partir da intradermorreação de Montenegro (IDRM). Para a análise foi utilizada regressão logística multivariada, estimando-se razões de chances (OR) como medidas de associação e seus respectivos intervalos de confiança (95%). RESULTADOS: A prevalência de infecção assintomática foi de 32,6%. A prevalência de excesso de peso foi de 52% entre adultos (IMC ? 25 kg/m) e de 23,9% entre crianças e jovens (escore-z de IMC / idade > 1). Indivíduos com sobrepeso, tanto adultos como aqueles de até 19 anos, apresentaram chance de infecção cerca de 70% maior quando comparados aos eutróficos (p>0,05 para ambos). CONCLUSÃO: Ainda que não estatisticamente significante, a associação entre infecção assintomática por L. infantum e sobrepeso sugere que estes indivíduos possam estar sob maior risco de infecção por apresentarem déficits de micronutrientes relevantes para a resposta imune específica. Para investigar esta hipótese, são necessários estudos longitudinais que investiguem o papel do consumo alimentar e do perfil de micronutrientes desta população no risco de infecção por L. infantum.

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This study investigates the temporal stability of length- and age-at-maturity estimates for female Pacific cod (Gadus macrocephalus) in the Gulf of Alaska and eastern Bering Sea. Females reached 50% maturity (A50) at 4.4 years in the Gulf of Alaska and at 4.9 years in the eastern Bering Sea. Total body length at 50% maturity (LT50) was significantly smaller (503 mm) in the Gulf of Alaska than in the eastern Bering Sea (580 mm). The estimated length- and age-at-maturity did not differ significantly between winter and spring in either the Gulf of Alaska (1999) or Bering Sea (2003) areas. The results of this study raised the spawning biomass estimate of female Alaskan Pacific cod from 298×103 t for 2005 to 499×103 t for 2006. The increased spawning biomass estimate resulted in an increased over-fishing limit for Pacific cod.

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The U.S. East Coast pelagic longline fishery has a history of interactions with marine mammals, where animals are hooked and entangled in longline gear. Pilot whales (Globicephala spp.) and Risso’s dolphin (Grampus griseus) are the primary species that interact with longline gear. Logistic regression was used to assess the environmental and gear characteristics that influence interaction rates. Pilot whale inter-actions were correlated with warm water temperatures, proximity to the shelf break, mainline lengths greater than 20 nautical miles, and damage to swordfish catch. Similarly, Risso’s dolphin interactions were correlated with geographic location, proximity the shelf break, the length of the mainline, and bait type. The incidental bycatch of marine mammals is likely associated with depredation of the commercial catch and is increased by the overlap between marine mammal and target species habitats. Altering gear characteristics and fishery practices may mitigate incidental bycatch and reduce economic losses due to depredation.

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A Low-Level Geographic Information System (LL-GIS) was developed to provide a simple low-cost mapping program which can be executed in any personal computer, by individuals with different levels of knowledge in computing. MAPPER is an add-on module of FishBase - a global database with key information on the biology of fish - where it creates on-screen maps with information on biodiversity and the occurrence of species. In another application, MAPPER is used to display and analyzed geographical information on the Philippines.

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Economic analysis of the trawl fishery of Brunei Darussalam was conducted using cost and returns analysis and based on an economic survey of trawlers and B:RUN, a low-level geographic information system. Profitability indicators were generated for the trawl fleet under various economic and operational scenarios. The results show that financial profits are earned by trawlers which operate off Muara, particularly those with high vessel capacity, and that these profits could be further enhanced. On the other hand, a similar fleet operating off Tutong would generate profits due mainly to high fish biomass. Trawling operations offshore are deemed financially unfeasible. Incorporating realistic opportunity costs and externalities for existing trawl operations off Muara results in economic losses.

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B:RUN is a low-level GIS software designed to help formulate options for the management of the coastal zone of Brunei Darussalam. This contribution presents the oil spill simulation module of B:RUN. This simple module, based largely on wind and sea surface current vector parameters, may be helpful in formulating relevant oil spill contingency plans. It can be easily adapted to other areas, as can the B:RUN software itself.

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This contribution is the first part of a four-part series documenting the development of B:RUN, a software program which reads data for common spreadsheets and presents them as low-resolution maps of slates and processes. The program emerged from a need which arose during a project in Brunei Darussalam for a 'low level' approach for researchers to communicate findings as efficiently and expeditiously as possible. Part I provides a overview of the concept and design elements of B:RUN. Part II will highlight results of the economics components of the program evaluating different fishing regimes, sailing distances from ports and fleet operating costs. Environmental aspects will be presented in Part III in the form of overlay maps. Part IV will summarize the implications of B:RUN results to coastal and fishery resources management in Brunei Darussalam and show how this approach can be adapted to other coastlines and used as a teaching and training tool. The following three parts will be published in future editions of Naga, the ICLARM Quarterly. The program is available through ICLARM.