Inverse dynamics based predictive control for unified power flow controllers without DC bus

This paper presents a new predictive digital control method applied to Matrix Converters (MC) operating as Unified Power Flow Controllers (UPFC). This control method, based on the inverse dynamics model equations of the MC operating as UPFC, just needs to compute the optimal control vector once in each control cycle, in contrast to direct dynamics predictive methods that needs 27 vector calculations. The theoretical principles of the inverse dynamics power flow predictive control of the MC based UPFC with input filter are established. The proposed inverse dynamics predictive power control method is tested using Matlab/Simulink Power Systems toolbox and the obtained results show that the designed power controllers guarantees decoupled active and reactive power control, zero error tracking, fast response times and an overall good dynamic and steady-state response.

Risk factors for recurrent wheezing in infants: a case-control study

ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE To evaluate the association between recurrent wheezing and atopy, the Asthma Predictive Index, exposure to risk factors, and total serum IgE levels as potential factors to predict recurrent wheezing. METHODS A case-control study with infants aged 6-24 months treated at a specialized outpatient clinic from November 2011 to March 2013. Evaluations included sensitivity to inhalant and food antigens, positive Asthma Predictive Index, and other risk factors for recurrent wheezing (smoking during pregnancy, presence of indoor smoke, viral infections, and total serum IgE levels). RESULTS We evaluated 113 children: 65 infants with recurrent wheezing (63.0% male) with a mean age of 14.8 (SD = 5.2) months and 48 healthy infants (44.0% male) with a mean age of 15.2 (SD = 5.1) months. In the multiple analysis model, antigen sensitivity (OR = 12.45; 95%CI 1.28–19.11), positive Asthma Predictive Index (OR = 5.57; 95%CI 2.23–7.96), and exposure to environmental smoke (OR = 2.63; 95%CI 1.09–6.30) remained as risk factors for wheezing. Eosinophilia ≥ 4.0% e total IgE ≥ 100 UI/mL were more prevalent in the wheezing group, but failed to remain in the model. Smoking during pregnancy was identified in a small number of mothers, and secondhand smoke at home was higher in the control group. CONCLUSIONS Presence of atopy, positive Asthma Predictive Index and exposure to environmental smoke are associated to recurrent wheezing. Identifying these factors enables the adoption of preventive measures, especially for children susceptible to persistent wheezing and future asthma onset.

Approximating fractional derivatives through the generalized mean

This paper addresses the calculation of fractional order expressions through rational fractions. The article starts by analyzing the techniques adopted in the continuous to discrete time conversion. The problem is re-evaluated in an optimization perspective by tacking advantage of the degree of freedom provided by the generalized mean formula. The results demonstrate the superior performance of the new algorithm.

Behavioural development in a matching-to-sample task and token use by an infant chimpanzee reared by his mother

Animal Cognition, V.6, pp. 259–267

Electric vehicles as a mean to reduce, energy, emissions and electricity costs

Electric vehicles (EVs) and plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), which obtain their fuel from the grid by charging a battery, are set to be introduced into the mass market and expected to contribute to oil consumption reduction. This research is concerned with studying the potential impacts on the electric utilities of large-scale adoption of plug-in electric vehicles from the perspective of electricity demand, fossil fuels use, CO2 emissions and energy costs. Simulations were applied to the Portuguese case study in order to analyze what would be the optimal recharge profile and EV penetration in an energy-oriented, an emissions-oriented and a cost-oriented objective. The objectives considered were: The leveling of load profiles, minimization of daily emissions and minimization of daily wholesale costs. Almost all solutions point to an off-peak recharge and a 50% reduction in daily wholesale costs can be verified from a peak recharge scenario to an off-peak recharge for a 2 million EVs in 2020. A 15% improvement in the daily total wholesale costs can be verified in the costs minimization objective when compared with the off-peak scenario result.

The electric vehicles as a mean to reduce Co2 emissions and energy costs in isolated regions: the São Miguel (Azores) case study

Most of small islands around the world today, are dependent on imported fossil fuels for the majority of their energy needs especially for transport activities and electricity production. The use of locally renewable energy resources and the implementation of energy efficiency measures could make a significant contribution to their economic development by reducing fossil fuel imports. An electrification of vehicles has been suggested as a way to both reduce pollutant emissions and increase security of supply of the transportation sector by reducing the dependence on oil products imports and facilitate the accommodation of renewable electricity generation, such as wind and, in the case of volcanic islands like Sao Miguel (Azores) of the geothermal energy whose penetration has been limited by the valley electricity consumption level. In this research, three scenarios of EV penetration were studied and it was verified that, for a 15% LD fleet replacement by EVs with 90% of all energy needs occurring during the night, the accommodation of 10 MW of new geothermal capacity becomes viable. Under this scenario, reductions of 8% in electricity costs, 14% in energy, 23% in fossil fuels use and CO2 emissions for the transportation and electricity production sectors could be expected.

Evaluating the combination of relaxation and argumentation in ontology matching negotiation

No decorrer dos últimos anos, os agentes (inteligentes) de software foram empregues como um método para colmatar as dificuldades associadas com a gestão, partilha e reutilização de um crescente volume de informação, enquanto as ontologias foram utilizadas para modelar essa mesma informação num formato semanticamente explícito e rico. À medida que a popularidade da Web Semântica aumenta e cada vez informação é partilhada sob a forma de ontologias, o problema de integração desta informação amplifica-se. Em semelhante contexto, não é expectável que dois agentes que pretendam cooperar utilizem a mesma ontologia para descrever a sua conceptualização do mundo. Inclusive pode revelar-se necessário que agentes interajam sem terem conhecimento prévio das ontologias utilizadas pelos restantes, sendo necessário que as conciliem em tempo de execução num processo comummente designado por Mapeamento de Ontologias [1]. O processo de mapeamento de ontologias é normalmente oferecido como um serviço aos agentes de negócio, podendo ser requisitado sempre que seja necessário produzir um alinhamento. No entanto, tendo em conta que cada agente tem as suas próprias necessidades e objetivos, assim como a própria natureza subjetiva das ontologias que utilizam, é possível que tenham diferentes interesses relativamente ao processo de alinhamento e que, inclusive, recorram aos serviços de mapeamento que considerem mais convenientes [1]. Diferentes matchers podem produzir resultados distintos e até mesmo contraditórios, criando-se assim conflitos entre os agentes. É necessário que se proceda então a uma tentativa de resolução dos conflitos existentes através de um processo de negociação, de tal forma que os agentes possam chegar a um consenso relativamente às correspondências que devem ser utilizadas na tradução de mensagens a trocar. A resolução de conflitos é considerada uma métrica de grande importância no que diz respeito ao processo de negociação [2]: considera-se que existe uma maior confiança associada a um alinhamento quanto menor o número de conflitos por resolver no processo de negociação que o gerou. Desta forma, um alinhamento com um número elevado de conflitos por resolver apresenta uma confiança menor que o mesmo alinhamento associado a um número elevado de conflitos resolvidos. O processo de negociação para que dois ou mais agentes gerem e concordem com um alinhamento é denominado de Negociação de Mapeamentos de Ontologias. À data existem duas abordagens propostas na literatura: (i) baseadas em Argumentação (e.g. [3] [4]) e (ii) baseadas em Relaxamento [5] [6]. Cada uma das propostas expostas apresenta um número de vantagens e limitações. Foram propostas várias formas de combinação das duas técnicas [2], com o objetivo de beneficiar das vantagens oferecidas e colmatar as suas limitações. No entanto, à data, não são conhecidas experiências documentadas que possam provar tal afirmação e, como tal, não é possível atestar que tais combinações tragam, de facto, o benefício que pretendem. O trabalho aqui apresentado pretende providenciar tais experiências e verificar se a afirmação de melhorias em relação aos resultados das técnicas individuais se mantém. Com o objetivo de permitir a combinação e de colmatar as falhas identificadas, foi proposta uma nova abordagem baseada em Relaxamento, que é posteriormente combinada com as abordagens baseadas em Argumentação. Os seus resultados, juntamente com os da combinação, são aqui apresentados e discutidos, sendo possível identificar diferenças nos resultados gerados por combinações diferentes e possíveis contextos de utilização.

Predictive value of serologic tests in the diagnosis and follow-up of patients with paracoccidioidomycosis

A serologic study was undertaken in a group of 43 patients with active paracoccidioidomycosis who were treated in the same form (ketoconazole), for identical periods of time (6 months), and folio wed-up for various periods posttherapy. The tests employed were agar gel immunodiffusion (AGID) and complement fixation (FC). Also studied were 50 sera from patients with proven histoplasmosis and pulmonary aspergilloma, 30 patients with culturaly proven tuberculosis as well as 92 specimens from healthy individuals, residents in the endemic area for paracoccidioidomycosis. A single lot of yeast filtrate antigen was used throughout the study. The value of each test was measured according to GALEN and GAMBINO6. Both tests were highly sensitive, 89 and 93% respectively. Regarding their specificity, the AGID was totally specific while the CF exhibited 96.6% and 97% specificity in front of tuberculosis patients and healthy individuals respectively and 82% in comparison with patients with other mycoses. The concept of predictive value, that is, the certainty one has in accepting a positive test as diagnostic of paracoccidioidomycosis, favored the AGID procedure (100%) over the CF test. The latter could sort out with 93% certainty a patient with paracoccidioidomycosis among a group of healthy individuals and with 97.5% in the case of TB patients; when the group in question was composed by individuals with other deep mycoses, such certainty was lower (81%). The above results indicate that both the AGID and the CF tests furnish results of high confidence; one should not relay, however, in the CF alone as a means to establish the specific diagnosis of paracoccidioidomycosis.

Passive haemagglutination test for human neurocysticercosis immunodiagnosis: I. Standardization and evaluation of the passive haemagglutination test for the detection of anti-Cysticercus cellulosae antibodies

A passive haemagglutination test (PHA) for human neurocysticercosis was standardized and evaluated for the detection of specific antibodies to Cysticercus cellulosae in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF). For the assay, formaldehyde-treated group O Rh-human red cells coated with the cysticerci crude total saline extract (TS) antigen were employed. A total of 115 CSF samples from patients with neurocysticercosis was analysed, of these 94 presented reactivity, corresponding to 81.7% sensitivity, in which confidence limit of 95% probability (CL95%) ranged from 74.5% to 88.9%. Eighty-nine CSF samples derived from individuals of control group presented as nonreactive in 94.4% (CL95% from 89.6% to 99.2%). The positive and negative predictive values were 1.4% and 99.9%, respectively, considering the mean rate of that this assay provide a rapid, highly reproducible, and moderately sensitive mean of detecting specific antibodies in CSF samples.

On performance of distributed model predictive control in power system frequency regulation

This paper describes the implementation of a distributed model predictive approach for automatic generation control. Performance results are discussed by comparing classical techniques (based on integral control) with model predictive control solutions (centralized and distributed) for different operational scenarios with two interconnected networks. These scenarios include variable load levels (ranging from a small to a large unbalance generated power to power consumption ratio) and simultaneously variable distance between the interconnected networks systems. For the two networks the paper also examines the impact of load variation in an island context (a network isolated from each other).

TERT Promoter Mutations Are a Major Indicator of Poor Outcome in Differentiated Thyroid Carcinomas

Context: Telomerase promoter mutations (TERT) were recently described in follicular cell-derived thyroid carcinomas (FCDTC) and seem to be more prevalent in aggressive cancers. Objectives: We aimed to evaluate the frequency of TERT promoter mutations in thyroid lesions and to investigate the prognostic significance of such mutations in a large cohort of patients with differentiated thyroid carcinomas (DTCs). Design: This was a retrospective observational study. Setting and Patients: We studied 647 tumors and tumor-like lesions. A total of 469 patients with FCDTC treated and followed in five university hospitals were included. Mean follow-up (±SD) was 7.8 ± 5.8 years. Main Outcome Measures: Predictive value of TERT promoter mutations for distant metastasization, disease persistence at the end of follow-up, and disease-specific mortality. Results: TERT promoter mutations were found in 7.5% of papillary carcinomas (PTCs), 17.1% of follicular carcinomas, 29.0% of poorly differentiated carcinomas, and 33.3% of anaplastic thyroid carcinomas. Patients with TERT-mutated tumors were older (P < .001) and had larger tumors (P = .002). In DTCs, TERT promoter mutations were significantly associated with distant metastases (P < .001) and higher stage (P < .001). Patients with DTC harboring TERT promoter mutations were submitted to more radioiodine treatments (P = .009) with higher cumulative dose (P = .004) and to more treatment modalities (P = .001). At the end of follow-up, patients with TERT-mutated DTCs were more prone to have persistent disease (P = .001). TERT promoter mutations were significantly associated with disease-specific mortality [in the whole FCDTC (P < .001)] in DTCs (P < .001), PTCs (P = .001), and follicular carcinomas (P < .001). After adjusting for age at diagnosis and gender, the hazard ratio was 10.35 (95% confidence interval 2.01–53.24; P = .005) in DTC and 23.81 (95% confidence interval 1.36–415.76; P = .03) in PTCs. Conclusions: TERT promoter mutations are an indicator of clinically aggressive tumors, being correlated with worse outcome and disease-specific mortality in DTC. TERT promoter mutations have an independent prognostic value in DTC and, notably, in PTC.

Previsão de diagramas de carga via Holt-Winters com três sazonalidades

Dissertação para a obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Electrotécnica Ramo de Energia

Confronting predictive texture zeros in lepton mass matrices with current data

Several popular Ansatze of lepton mass matrices that contain texture zeros are confronted with current neutrino observational data. We perform a systematic chi(2) analysis in a wide class of schemes, considering arbitrary Hermitian charged-lepton mass matrices and symmetric mass matrices for Majorana neutrinos or Hermitian mass matrices for Dirac neutrinos. Our study reveals that several patterns are still consistent with all the observations at the 68.27% confidence level, while some others are disfavored or excluded by the experimental data. The well-known Frampton-Glashow-Marfatia two-zero textures, hybrid textures, and parallel structures (among others) are considered.

The role of functional polymorphisms in immune response genes as biomarkers of BCG Immunotherapy outcome in bladder cancer: Establishment of a predictive profile in a Southern Europe population

OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the predictive value of genetic polymorphisms in the context of BCG immunotherapy outcome and create a predictive profile that may allow discriminating the risk of recurrence. MATERIAL AND METHODS: In a dataset of 204 patients treated with BCG, we evaluate 42 genetic polymorphisms in 38 genes involved in the BCG mechanism of action, using Sequenom MassARRAY technology. Stepwise multivariate Cox Regression was used for data mining. RESULTS: In agreement with previous studies we observed that gender, age, tumor multiplicity and treatment scheme were associated with BCG failure. Using stepwise multivariate Cox Regression analysis we propose the first predictive profile of BCG immunotherapy outcome and a risk score based on polymorphisms in immune system molecules (SNPs in TNFA-1031T/C (rs1799964), IL2RA rs2104286 T/C, IL17A-197G/A (rs2275913), IL17RA-809A/G (rs4819554), IL18R1 rs3771171 T/C, ICAM1 K469E (rs5498), FASL-844T/C (rs763110) and TRAILR1-397T/G (rs79037040) in association with clinicopathological variables. This risk score allows the categorization of patients into risk groups: patients within the Low Risk group have a 90% chance of successful treatment, whereas patients in the High Risk group present 75% chance of recurrence after BCG treatment. CONCLUSION: We have established the first predictive score of BCG immunotherapy outcome combining clinicopathological characteristics and a panel of genetic polymorphisms. Further studies using an independent cohort are warranted. Moreover, the inclusion of other biomarkers may help to improve the proposed model.

A questão visual na oftalmologia pediátrica da região de Lisboa

RESUMO: Na parte inicial incluem-se algumas notas sucintas com base no panorama científico,histórico e cultural da visão considerada segundo três abordagens - o olho (o olho humano na especificidade da sua posição filogenética, elemento anátomo-funcional básico do sistema visual ao qual o cérebro pertence), os olhos (unidades gémeas essenciais do rosto na sua actividade consensual e conjugada da binocularidade), o olhar (carregado de expressão psicológica e o seu efeito sobre o observador, sinal para o comportamento e criador de sentimentos, sedimentado em obras de arte e em formas de superstição dos povos). Segue-se a apresentação de um estudo descritivo transversal, como contribuição para o conhecimento do estado de saúde visual da população infantil da região de Lisboa e determinar factores que o influenciam. Entre Outubro de 2005 e Agosto de 2006 examinaram-se 649 crianças com idade inferior a 10 anos da Consulta de Oftalmologia Pediátrica dos Serviços de Assistência Médico-Social do Sindicato dos Bancários do Sul e Ilhas (SAMS). Colheram-se dados respeitantes a mais de 250 variáveis primárias que cobriram a maior parte dos itens do exame oftalmológico habitual. Na análise dos dados teve-se especialmente em conta a idade, com um papel decisivo nas principais fases de desenvolvimento do sistema visual. No caso das crianças de 6 a 7 anos de idade põem-se lado a lado resultados dos SAMS e das Escolas. A profusão de dados numéricos ditou a necessidade da determinação frequente da significância estatística dos resultados de subgrupos. Alguns resultados do estudo, na sua maioria do grupo SAMS: Crianças de 6-7 anos, 71,1% (SAMS) e 91,5% (Escolas) não tinham sido examinadas com menos de 4 anos. Frequência global de alterações miópicas 9,4%, de alterações hipermetrópicas 25,3%, umas e outras com variações acentuadas com a idade. Estrabismo convergente 3,9%. Ambliopia 2,6% (13/491 crianças >=4 anos de idade), mais frequente no sexo feminino, naquelas que tiveram a sua 1ª observação depois dos 4 anos e em que os pais não aderiam à terapêutica prescrita. Objectivos específicos ocuparam-se da acuidade visual e da refracção ocular. O estudo comparativo da refractometria automática sem e com cicloplegia permitiu evidenciar que o teste da acuidade visual é insuficiente, por si só, para fazer o diagnóstico correcto. A análise dos antecedentes familiares oftalmológicos demonstrou a importância do seu conhecimento e pôs em evidência, entre outras, as seguintes relações: 10 pag1.qxp 27-11-2001 18:28 Page 10 Índice Geral 11 Crianças com antecedentes de alterações miópicas têm maior frequência de diagnóstico de alterações miópicas e de refracção negativa, uma taxa mais elevada de correspondência quantitativa diagnóstico/refracção nas alterações miópicas. Estas crianças também têm, em geral, características inversas no que diz respeito a alterações hipermetrópicas. Crianças com antecedentes de alterações hipermetrópicas têm maior frequência de diagnóstico de alterações hipermetrópicas. Crianças com antecedentes de estrabismo têm maior frequência de diagnóstico de estrabismo convergente manifesto e de esodesvios no seu todo. Crianças com antecedentes familiares de astigmatismo têm maior frequência de diagnóstico de astigmatismo. Traçam-se alguns perfis oftalmológicos infantis que permitem apreciar de forma sinóptica um conjunto de parâmetros da saúde da visão. Os dados colhidos sobre a aderência dos pais à terapêutica prescrita e sobre a atitude em relação ao uso de óculos assim como os dados sobre o comportamento da criança na sala de aula e dificuldades de aprendizagem foram em geral escassos para permitirem tirar conclusões, embora mostrem indícios a investigar futuramente. Paralelamente ortoptistas e enfermeiras efectuaram um rastreio escolar da acuidade visual <0,8 e de alterações da motilidade ocular extrínseca que abrangeu 520 alunos do 1º ano do 1º ciclo do ensino básico (2005/2006) das escolas públicas da cidade de Lisboa. 101 destas crianças foram observadas no consultório da autora, umas referidas a partir do rastreio, outras como controlo deste. Quanto à acuidade visual o valor preditivo do teste negativo foi de 91% mas o do teste positivo de apenas 67% (33% de falsos positivos, consequentemente uma alta taxa de sobrerreferenciação). A qualidade do rastreio efectuado por ortoptistas foi inferior à do efectuado por enfermeiras. O rastreio não teve qualidade aceitável. Foi feito um inquérito a médicos e enfermeiros de centros de saúde sobre conhecimentos, atitudes e práticas em relação com os cuidados de oftalmologia pediátrica. Discutem-se os resultados, tiram-se conclusões e fazem-se recomendações susceptíveis de contribuir para uma melhor saúde visual das crianças. ABSTRACT: Firstly some brief remarks are made based on the scientific, historical and cultural panorama of the human vision with regard to three approaches: the eye (the human eye in its specific filogenetic place, fundamental anatomofunctional element of the visual system in interaction with the brain), the eyes (essential twin units of the face with their consensual and conjugated binocular activity), the gaze (psychologicaly overloaded, a means to express oneself and to influence the observer, a guide to other persons' behaviour, consolidated in works of art and in people's traditional superstitious believes and ways of thinking). A report is made on a cross-sectional descriptive study whose goal is to contribute to the knowledge of the level of visual health of children in the Lisbon Region and to identify factors which determine it. Between October 2005 and August 2006 649 children under 10 years were observed at the pediatric ophthalmologic consultation in the SAMS (Serviços de Assistência Médico-Social do Sindicato dos Bancários do Sul e Ilhas). Data were collected concerning more than 250 primary variables covering most itens of the usual ophthalmological examination. Special attention was paid to children's age since it plays a crucial role in main stages of visual system development. In the case of children age 6 to 7 SAMS and school results are often put side by side. On account of the great number of numerical data it was often necessary to look at the degree of statistical significancy of differencies between subgroups. Some of the study's results (mostly SAMS): Children age 6 to 7 - 71,1% (SAMS) and 91,5% (Schools) had not an ophthalmologic examination before 4 years old. Total frequency of myopic disorders 9,4%, of hypermetropic disorders 25,3%, both showing great differences between age groups; convergent strabismus 3,9%; amblyopia 2,6% (13/491 children over 3 years old), more frequent among little girls, in those with 1st examination after 4 years old and in those whose parents didn´t complied to the therapy ordered for the child. Specific objectives dealt with visual acuity and ocular refraction. The comparison of automatic refractometry without and with cycloplegy showed that visual acuity testing is often not enough for a correct diagnosis. Eye disorders in the family history proved to be a very important information. Analysis of corresponding data disclosed a lot of relationships among others: 12 pag1.qxp 27-11-2001 18:28 Page 12 Índice Geral 13 Children with a family history of myopic disorders have more frequently a diagnosis of myopic disorders and a negative refraction, a higher rate of quantitative diagnosis/refraction matching concerning myopic disorders. Those children have in general inverse characteristics regarding hypermetropic disorders. Children with a family history of hypermetropic disorders have more frequently a diagnosis of hypermetropic disorders. Children with a family history of strabismus have more frequently a diagnosis of manifest convergent strabismus and all forms of esodeviations. Children with a family history of astigmatism have more frequently a diagnosis of astigmatism. Ophthalmologic profiles are drawn allowing to take into account in a synoptic way a set of visual health parameters. Data on parents' compliance with therapy ordered for the child, and attitudes regarding child's glass wearing, as well as data on child's behaviour in the classroom and learning difficulties were as a rule too few to allow conclusions but still need more studies in the future. Orthoptists and nurses performed in the same study period a screening of visual acuity <0,8 and of ocular motility disorders addressed to children of 1srt degree of public schools (term 2005/2006) in the town of Lisbon. 520 of such children were screened. 101 of them were examined by the author in her medical office; some were refered, the others taken as a control. Regarding visual acuity the predictive value of a negative test was 91% but the predictive value of a positive test was only 67% (33% of false positive results, consequently a too high rate of overreferal). Performed by orthoptists screening quality was inferior in comparison with screening done by nurses. On the whole this screening had not the required quality. A survey on physicians' and nurses' knowledge, attitudes and practices related to pediatric ophthalmologic care was carried out in health centers. Results are discussed, conclusions drawn. Some suggestions are made aiming at a better children's visual health.