929 resultados para Predição
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A Biologia Computacional tem desenvolvido algoritmos aplicados a problemas relevantes da Biologia. Um desses problemas é a Protein Structure Prediction (PSP). Vários métodos têm sido desenvolvidos na literatura para lidar com esse problema. Porém a reprodução de resultados e a comparação dos mesmos não têm sido uma tarefa fácil. Nesse sentido, o Critical Assessment of protein Structure Prediction (CASP), busca entre seus objetivos, realizar tais comparações. Além disso, os sistemas desenvolvidos para esse problema em geral não possuem interface amigável, não favorecendo o uso por não especialistas da computação. Buscando reduzir essas dificuldades, este trabalho propões o Koala, um sistema baseado em uma plataforma web, que integra vários métodos de predição e análises de estruturas de proteínas, possibilitando a execução de experimentos complexos com o uso de fluxos de trabalhos. Os métodos de predição disponíveis podem ser integrados para a realização de análises dos resultados, usando as métricas RMSD, GDT-TS ou TM-Score. Além disso, o método Sort by front dominance (baseado no critério de optimalidade de Pareto), proposto nesse trabalho, consegue avaliar predições sem uma estrutura de referência. Os resultados obtidos, usando proteínas alvo de artigos recentes e do CASP11, indicam que o Koala tem capacidade de realizar um conjunto relativamente grande de experimentos estruturados, beneficiando a determinação de melhores estruturas de proteínas, bem como o desenvolvimento de novas abordagens para predição e análise por meio de fluxos de trabalho.
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Mode of access: Internet.
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Educational Data Mining is an application domain in artificial intelligence area that has been extensively explored nowadays. Technological advances and in particular, the increasing use of virtual learning environments have allowed the generation of considerable amounts of data to be investigated. Among the activities to be treated in this context exists the prediction of school performance of the students, which can be accomplished through the use of machine learning techniques. Such techniques may be used for student’s classification in predefined labels. One of the strategies to apply these techniques consists in their combination to design multi-classifier systems, which efficiency can be proven by results achieved in other studies conducted in several areas, such as medicine, commerce and biometrics. The data used in the experiments were obtained from the interactions between students in one of the most used virtual learning environments called Moodle. In this context, this paper presents the results of several experiments that include the use of specific multi-classifier systems systems, called ensembles, aiming to reach better results in school performance prediction that is, searching for highest accuracy percentage in the student’s classification. Therefore, this paper presents a significant exploration of educational data and it shows analyzes of relevant results about these experiments.
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With the growing demand of data traffic in the networks of third generation (3G), the mobile operators have attempted to focus resources on infrastructure in places where it identifies a greater need. The channeling investments aim to maintain the quality of service especially in dense urban areas. WCDMA - HSPA parameters Rx Power, RSCP (Received Signal Code Power), Ec/Io (Energy per chip/Interference) and transmission rate (throughput) at the physical layer are analyzed. In this work the prediction of time series on HSPA network is performed. The collection of values of the parameters was performed on a fully operational network through a drive test in Natal - RN, a capital city of Brazil northeastern. The models used for prediction of time series were the Simple Exponential Smoothing, Holt, Holt Winters Additive and Holt Winters Multiplicative. The objective of the predictions of the series is to check which model will generate the best predictions of network parameters WCDMA - HSPA.
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The understanding of the occurrence and flow of groundwater in the subsurface is of fundamental importance in the exploitation of water, just like knowledge of all associated hydrogeological context. These factors are primarily controlled by geometry of a certain pore system, given the nature of sedimentary aquifers. Thus, the microstructural characterization, as the interconnectivity of the system, it is essential to know the macro properties porosity and permeability of reservoir rock, in which can be done on a statistical characterization by twodimensional analysis. The latter is being held on a computing platform, using image thin sections of reservoir rock, allowing the prediction of the properties effective porosity and hydraulic conductivity. For Barreiras Aquifer to obtain such parameters derived primarily from the interpretation of tests of aquifers, a practice that usually involves a fairly complex logistics in terms of equipment and personnel required in addition to high cost of operation. Thus, the analysis and digital image processing is presented as an alternative tool for the characterization of hydraulic parameters, showing up as a practical and inexpensive method. This methodology is based on a flowchart work involving sampling, preparation of thin sections and their respective images, segmentation and geometric characterization, three-dimensional reconstruction and flow simulation. In this research, computational image analysis of thin sections of rocks has shown that aquifer storage coefficients ranging from 0,035 to 0,12 with an average of 0,076, while its hydrogeological substrate (associated with the top of the carbonate sequence outcropping not region) presents effective porosities of the order of 2%. For the transport regime, it is evidenced that the methodology presents results below of those found in the bibliographic data relating to hydraulic conductivity, mean values of 1,04 x10-6 m/s, with fluctuations between 2,94 x10-6 m/s and 3,61x10-8 m/s, probably due to the larger scale study and the heterogeneity of the medium studied.
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Diesel fuel is one of leading petroleum products marketed in Brazil, and has its quality monitored by specialized laboratories linked to the National Agency of Petroleum, Natural Gas and Biofuels - ANP. The main trial evaluating physicochemical properties of diesel are listed in the resolutions ANP Nº 65 of December 9th, 2011 and Nº 45 of December 20th, 2012 that determine the specification limits for each parameter and methodologies of analysis that should be adopted. However the methods used although quite consolidated, require dedicated equipment with high cost of acquisition and maintenance, as well as technical expertise for completion of these trials. Studies for development of more rapid alternative methods and lower cost have been the focus of many researchers. In this same perspective, this work conducted an assessment of the applicability of existing specialized literature on mathematical equations and artificial neural networks (ANN) for the determination of parameters of specification diesel fuel. 162 samples of diesel with a maximum sulfur content of 50, 500 and 1800 ppm, which were analyzed in a specialized laboratory using ASTM methods recommended by the ANP, with a total of 810 trials were used for this study. Experimental results atmospheric distillation (ASTM D86), and density (ASTM D4052) of diesel samples were used as basic input variables to the equations evaluated. The RNAs were applied to predict the flash point, cetane number and sulfur content (S50, S500, S1800), in which were tested network architectures feed-forward backpropagation and generalized regression varying the parameters of the matrix input in order to determine the set of variables and the best type of network for the prediction of variables of interest. The results obtained by the equations and RNAs were compared with experimental results using the nonparametric Wilcoxon test and Student's t test, at a significance level of 5%, as well as the coefficient of determination and percentage error, an error which was obtained 27, 61% for the flash point using a specific equation. The cetane number was obtained by three equations, and both showed good correlation coefficients, especially equation based on aniline point, with the lowest error of 0,816%. ANNs for predicting the flash point and the index cetane showed quite superior results to those observed with the mathematical equations, respectively, with errors of 2,55% and 0,23%. Among the samples with different sulfur contents, the RNAs were better able to predict the S1800 with error of 1,557%. Generally, networks of the type feedforward proved superior to generalized regression.
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A predição de links em redes sociais tem sido objeto de estudo em um crescente número de artigos científicos e comerciais devido à grande oferta de bases de dados com representações das relações entre pessoas e também devido à facilidade de acesso a recursos computacionais para análise dessas redes. Prever conexões em redes sociais acadêmicas contribui para o crescimento científico, facilitando a colaboração entre pesquisadores com potencial de contribuição mútua. Este trabalho busca identificar as características das redes levam a uma maior eficiência na predição de links feita por algoritmos baseados na topologia. As características serão isoladas conjuntos de dados e alguns experimentos serão repetidos com diferentes algoritmos para buscar identificar tendências. As análises feitas neste trabalho poderão ajudar a compreender melhor a dinâmica das redes sociais acadêmicas e também contribuir na escolha dos melhores algoritmos de predição de link para cada tipo de rede social.
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Um sistema de predição de alarmes com a finalidade de auxiliar a implantação de uma política de manutenção preditiva industrial e de constituir-se em uma ferramenta gerencial de apoio à tomada de decisão é proposto neste trabalho. O sistema adquire leituras de diversos sensores instalados na planta, extrai suas características e avalia a saúde do equipamento. O diagnóstico e prognóstico implica a classificação das condições de operação da planta. Técnicas de árvores de regressão e classificação não-supervisionada são utilizadas neste artigo. Uma amostra das medições de 73 variáveis feitas por sensores instalados em uma usina hidrelétrica foi utilizada para testar e validar a proposta. As medições foram amostradas em um período de 15 meses.
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The assessment of building thermal performance is often carried out using HVAC energy consumption data, when available, or thermal comfort variables measurements, for free-running buildings. Both types of data can be determined by monitoring or computer simulation. The assessment based on thermal comfort variables is the most complex because it depends on the determination of the thermal comfort zone. For these reasons, this master thesis explores methods of building thermal performance assessment using variables of thermal comfort simulated by DesignBuilder software. The main objective is to contribute to the development of methods to support architectural decisions during the design process, and energy and sustainable rating systems. The research method consists on selecting thermal comfort methods, modeling them in electronic sheets with output charts developed to optimize the analyses, which are used to assess the simulation results of low cost house configurations. The house models consist in a base case, which are already built, and changes in thermal transmittance, absorptance, and shading. The simulation results are assessed using each thermal comfort method, to identify the sensitivity of them. The final results show the limitations of the methods, the importance of a method that considers thermal radiance and wind speed, and the contribution of the chart proposed
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La agricultura ha estado ligada al desarrollo de las comunidades humanas. A trav?s de diferentes tecnolog?as, se ha logrado mediante pruebas, el desarrollo de programas productivos que han tratado de resolver los problemas de abastecimiento de alimentos, in ?xito, al pretender producir sin contemplar las repercusiones que se obtienen al tener programas sin control ambiental, ni mucho menos inocuidad en el producto. Por ello las diferentes corrientes de agricultura alternativa, que han surgido en la d?cada de los a?os 0, han sido una respuesta con un modelo de producci?n denominado ?Revoluci?n arde". Dada la historia, se promueve para este proyecto la utilizaci?n de las Buenas Pr?cticas agr?colas (BPA's) que incrementa la producci?n del predio mediante la optimizaci?n de so de recursos y asocio de cultivos, que en este caso es la siembra de hortalizas entre callejones de los c?tricos, para obtener cosechas alternadas, adem?s del ascenso de las mismas de los dos cultivos asociados, mediante tecnolog?as ecol?gicas de precisi?n. Para el predio LA LUNA localizado en la Vereda Potrerito del municipio de Jamando Valle, de propiedad de la COOPERATIVA TRASCENDER, se levant? el plano topogr?fico (planimetr?a-altimetria), y a parta- de ?ste de desarrollaron con tecnolog?as SIG, los tapas de variabilidad espacial de las caracter?sticas del suelo, adem?s se dise?? el programa de BPA's por sitio espec?fico para el predio la LUNA que comprende los cultivos de frijol y c?tricos, el cual se dise?? de la manera m?s ecol?gica a nuestro alcance, realizando un manejo de suelos, agua, fertilizaci?n, plagas y enfermedades integrados. Se dise?? el programa de manera que sea auto-sostenible, contemplando la producci?n s insumos agr?colas mediante la Biof?brica, con producci?n de compostaje a partir de elementos provenientes de la misma finca, as? generando un manejo adecuado de los asiduos s?lidos.
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The Noise Pollution causes degradation in the quality of the environment and presents itself as one of the most common environmental problems in the big cities. An Urban environment present scenario and their complex acoustic study need to consider the contribution of various noise sources. Accordingly to computational models through mapping and prediction of acoustic scene become important, because they enable the realization of calculations, analyzes and reports, allowing the interpretation of satisfactory results. The study neighborhood is the neighborhood of Lagoa Nova, a central area of the city of Natal, which will undergo major changes in urban space due to urban mobility projects planned for the area around the stadium and the consequent changes of urban form and traffic. Thus, this study aims to evaluate the noise impact caused by road and morphological changes around the stadium Arena das Dunas in the neighborhood of Lagoa Nova, through on-site measurements and mapping using the computational model SoundPLAN year 2012 and the scenario evolution acoustic for the year 2017. For this analysis was the construction of the first acoustic mapping based on current diagnostic acoustic neighborhood, physical mapping, classified vehicle count and measurement of sound pressure level, and to build the prediction of noise were observed for the area study the modifications provided for traffic, urban form and mobility work. In this study, it is concluded that the sound pressure levels of the year in 2012 and 2017 extrapolate current legislation. For the prediction of noise were numerous changes in the acoustic scene, in which the works of urban mobility provided will improve traffic flow, thus reduce the sound pressure level where interventions are expected
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El trabajo se desarrolló con el objetivo de identificar alternativas tecnológicas disponibles en el país en ganadería de cría y conocer más profundamente las causas de la existencia de una brecha entre la oferta tecnológica y su adopción. La zona de ejecución fue Sierras del Este (Uruguay), que comprende un área de aproximadamente 1.828.000 hectáreas, con predominancia de sistemas ganaderos de cría. Las principales actividades consistieron en consensuar, con un grupo calificado de técnicos vinculados a la cría vacuna, un listado de la oferta tecnológica disponible para esos sistemas, y caracterizarla en base a atributos; y definir a través de una encuesta y análisis de grupos foco las variables socio-económicas y actitudinales de los productores de la región y su relación con el comportamiento hacia lo tecnológico. Entre los resultados obtenidos están: 1) la oferta tecnológica disponible en el país para la cría vacuna, caracterizada y priorizada; 2) las causas que han limitado una mayor incorporación tecnológica en sistemas criadores; 3) una detallada caracterización de los productores de Sierras del Este y su predisposición hacia la adopción tecnológica (estrechamente relacionada a cinco variables: escala, disponibilidad de instalaciones, asistencia a reuniones técnicas, la percepción de que el negocio consiste en producir más y el tener asistencia técnica) y 4) la identificación de los principales canales y redes de información de estos productores. Estos estudios constituyen una base sólida para elaborar un plan de transferencia de tecnología basado en una comprensión afinada del proceso de toma de decisiones tecnológicas a nivel predial.
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En la presente entrega, el autor aborda un tema relacionado a la efectivizacíón de la restitución judicial del derecho de posesión, a través del interdicto de recobrar, con la particularidad, que es interpuesto, en razón a que el predio lanzado es correspondiente a otra persona.
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2009
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The assessment of building thermal performance is often carried out using HVAC energy consumption data, when available, or thermal comfort variables measurements, for free-running buildings. Both types of data can be determined by monitoring or computer simulation. The assessment based on thermal comfort variables is the most complex because it depends on the determination of the thermal comfort zone. For these reasons, this master thesis explores methods of building thermal performance assessment using variables of thermal comfort simulated by DesignBuilder software. The main objective is to contribute to the development of methods to support architectural decisions during the design process, and energy and sustainable rating systems. The research method consists on selecting thermal comfort methods, modeling them in electronic sheets with output charts developed to optimize the analyses, which are used to assess the simulation results of low cost house configurations. The house models consist in a base case, which are already built, and changes in thermal transmittance, absorptance, and shading. The simulation results are assessed using each thermal comfort method, to identify the sensitivity of them. The final results show the limitations of the methods, the importance of a method that considers thermal radiance and wind speed, and the contribution of the chart proposed