The Australian mortality decline: all-cause mortality 1788-1990

This review describes the Australian decline in all-cause mortality, 1788-1990, and compares this with declines in Europe and North America. The period until the 1870s shows characteristic 'crisis mortality', attributable to epidemics of infectious disease. A decline in overall mortality is evident from 1880. A precipitous fall occurs in infant mortality from 1900, similar to that in European countries. Infant mortality continues downward during this century (except during the 1930s), with periods of accelerated decline during the 1940s (antibiotics) and early 1970s. Maternal mortality remains high until a precipitous fall in 1937 coinciding with the arrival of sulphonamide. Excess mortality due to the 1919 influenza epidemic is evident. Artefactual falls in mortality occur in 1930, and for men during the war of 1939-1945. Stagnation in overall mortality decline during the 1930s and 1945-1970 is evident for adult males, and during 1960-1970 for adult females. A decline in mortality is registered in both sexes from 1970, particularly in middle and older age groups, with narrowing of the sex differential. The mortality decline in Australia is broadly similar to those of the United Kingdom and several European countries, although an Australian advantage during last century and the first part of this century may have been due to less industrialisation, lower population density and better nutrition. Australia shows no war-related interruptions in the mortality decline. Australian mortality patterns from 1970 are also similar to those observed in North America and European countries (including the United Kingdom, but excluding Eastern Europe).

Small-World Effect in Epidemics Using Cellular Automata

The spread of an infectious disease in a population involves interactions leading to an epidemic outbreak through a network of contacts. Extending on Watts and Strogatz (1998) who showed that short-distance connections create a small-world effect, a model combining short-and long-distance probabilistic and regularly updated contacts helps considering spatial heterogeneity. The method is based on cellular automata. The presence of long-distance connections accelerates the small-world effect, as if the world shrank in proportion of their total number.

Currículo-fabulação : a curiosa metamorfose de Francis Tracart

Tem por proposta subversar a escrita linear acadêmica ao (re)fazê-la, vislumbrando as potências e transgressões da literatura menor em seus agenciamentos coletivos, políticos, em seus gaguejos e balbucios, em suas possibilidades de subversão. Fabular a escrita acadêmica e o currículo como ato político e coletivo, como reinvenção da própria língua. Trata da metamorfose de Francis Tracart em sua busca por traçar conceitos,conversações, percepções e afecções. A metodologia se dá por intermédio da pesquisa com os cotidianos e com a cartografia, buscando atentar-se a vozes, entrelinhas, efeitos, tensões, teórico-práticas e saberesfazeres dos sujeitos praticantes dos cotidianos da escola em que se realiza a pesquisa em pé de igualdade com os autores dos livros que permearam o processo de realização do trabalho de pesquisa. Os sujeitos cotidianos, tais como bibliotecária, professoras e alunos de 5º e 6º Ano, orientador, professores e alunos de Pós- Graduação, que participaram do processo de pesquisa, bem como os autores dos livros lidos, se fazem presentes nas vozes, nas falas, nos afectos e nas conversações com leituras, literaturas, currículos, cotidianos, redes de afecções, elementos éticos, estéticos e políticos, espaçostempos, com linhas de fuga, linhas molares e linhas moleculares, com os presentes politemporais,devires, conceitos, metamorfoses, com possíveis e improváveis leituras, fugas e reinvenções do leitor.

Pope Francis and the challenges of inter-civilization diplomacy

Abstract This article addresses the role of Pope Francis in the interfaith and inter-civilization dialogue of the Holy See. Specifically, it analyses the main aspects of diplomatic relations between the Holy See and Russia, China, Islamic countries and Israel, and provides perspectives on the inter-civilization diplomacy of the Holy See during the current pontificate.