Exploring the feasibility of applying data mining for library reference service improvement : a case study of Turku Main Library

Data mining, as a heatedly discussed term, has been studied in various fields. Its possibilities in refining the decision-making process, realizing potential patterns and creating valuable knowledge have won attention of scholars and practitioners. However, there are less studies intending to combine data mining and libraries where data generation occurs all the time. Therefore, this thesis plans to fill such a gap. Meanwhile, potential opportunities created by data mining are explored to enhance one of the most important elements of libraries: reference service. In order to thoroughly demonstrate the feasibility and applicability of data mining, literature is reviewed to establish a critical understanding of data mining in libraries and attain the current status of library reference service. The result of the literature review indicates that free online data resources other than data generated on social media are rarely considered to be applied in current library data mining mandates. Therefore, the result of the literature review motivates the presented study to utilize online free resources. Furthermore, the natural match between data mining and libraries is established. The natural match is explained by emphasizing the data richness reality and considering data mining as one kind of knowledge, an easy choice for libraries, and a wise method to overcome reference service challenges. The natural match, especially the aspect that data mining could be helpful for library reference service, lays the main theoretical foundation for the empirical work in this study. Turku Main Library was selected as the case to answer the research question: whether data mining is feasible and applicable for reference service improvement. In this case, the daily visit from 2009 to 2015 in Turku Main Library is considered as the resource for data mining. In addition, corresponding weather conditions are collected from Weather Underground, which is totally free online. Before officially being analyzed, the collected dataset is cleansed and preprocessed in order to ensure the quality of data mining. Multiple regression analysis is employed to mine the final dataset. Hourly visits are the independent variable and weather conditions, Discomfort Index and seven days in a week are dependent variables. In the end, four models in different seasons are established to predict visiting situations in each season. Patterns are realized in different seasons and implications are created based on the discovered patterns. In addition, library-climate points are generated by a clustering method, which simplifies the process for librarians using weather data to forecast library visiting situation. Then the data mining result is interpreted from the perspective of improving reference service. After this data mining work, the result of the case study is presented to librarians so as to collect professional opinions regarding the possibility of employing data mining to improve reference services. In the end, positive opinions are collected, which implies that it is feasible to utilizing data mining as a tool to enhance library reference service.

Data Mining in Promoting Flight Safety

The incredible rapid development to huge volumes of air travel, mainly because of jet airliners that appeared to the sky in the 1950s, created the need for systematic research for aviation safety and collecting data about air traffic. The structured data can be analysed easily using queries from databases and running theseresults through graphic tools. However, in analysing narratives that often give more accurate information about the case, mining tools are needed. The analysis of textual data with computers has not been possible until data mining tools have been developed. Their use, at least among aviation, is still at a moderate level. The research aims at discovering lethal trends in the flight safety reports. The narratives of 1,200 flight safety reports from years 1994 – 1996 in Finnish were processed with three text mining tools. One of them was totally language independent, the other had a specific configuration for Finnish and the third originally created for English, but encouraging results had been achieved with Spanish and that is why a Finnish test was undertaken, too. The global rate of accidents is stabilising and the situation can now be regarded as satisfactory, but because of the growth in air traffic, the absolute number of fatal accidents per year might increase, if the flight safety will not be improved. The collection of data and reporting systems have reached their top level. The focal point in increasing the flight safety is analysis. The air traffic has generally been forecasted to grow 5 – 6 per cent annually over the next two decades. During this period, the global air travel will probably double also with relatively conservative expectations of economic growth. This development makes the airline management confront growing pressure due to increasing competition, signify cant rise in fuel prices and the need to reduce the incident rate due to expected growth in air traffic volumes. All this emphasises the urgent need for new tools and methods. All systems provided encouraging results, as well as proved challenges still to be won. Flight safety can be improved through the development and utilisation of sophisticated analysis tools and methods, like data mining, using its results supporting the decision process of the executives.

Sistematização de informações sobre mudas de espécies florestais no bioma Amazônia utilizando a técnica Data Mining.

Este trabalho objetivou realizar a sistematização e análise das informações disponíveis na literatura sobre técnicas de produção de mudas de seis espécies florestais nativas e exóticas no Bioma Amazônia.

Calibration of the maximum carboxylation velocity (Vcmax) using data mining techniques and ecophysiological data from the Brazilian Semiarid region, for use in Dynamic Global Vegetation Models.

The semiarid region of northeastern Brazil, the Caatinga, is extremely important due to its biodiversity and endemism. Measurements of plant physiology are crucial to the calibration of Dynamic Global Vegetation Models (DGVMs) that are currently used to simulate the responses of vegetation in face of global changes. In a field work realized in an area of preserved Caatinga forest located in Petrolina, Pernambuco, measurements of carbon assimilation (in response to light and CO2) were performed on 11 individuals of Poincianella microphylla, a native species that is abundant in this region. These data were used to calibrate the maximum carboxylation velocity (Vcmax) used in the INLAND model. The calibration techniques used were Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), and data mining techniques as the Classification And Regression Tree (CART) and K-MEANS. The results were compared to the UNCALIBRATED model. It was found that simulated Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) reached 72% of observed GPP when using the calibrated Vcmax values, whereas the UNCALIBRATED approach accounted for 42% of observed GPP. Thus, this work shows the benefits of calibrating DGVMs using field ecophysiological measurements, especially in areas where field data is scarce or non-existent, such as in the Caatinga

Apprentissage des réseaux de neurones profonds et applications en traitement automatique de la langue naturelle

En apprentissage automatique, domaine qui consiste à utiliser des données pour apprendre une solution aux problèmes que nous voulons confier à la machine, le modèle des Réseaux de Neurones Artificiels (ANN) est un outil précieux. Il a été inventé voilà maintenant près de soixante ans, et pourtant, il est encore de nos jours le sujet d'une recherche active. Récemment, avec l'apprentissage profond, il a en effet permis d'améliorer l'état de l'art dans de nombreux champs d'applications comme la vision par ordinateur, le traitement de la parole et le traitement des langues naturelles. La quantité toujours grandissante de données disponibles et les améliorations du matériel informatique ont permis de faciliter l'apprentissage de modèles à haute capacité comme les ANNs profonds. Cependant, des difficultés inhérentes à l'entraînement de tels modèles, comme les minima locaux, ont encore un impact important. L'apprentissage profond vise donc à trouver des solutions, en régularisant ou en facilitant l'optimisation. Le pré-entraînnement non-supervisé, ou la technique du ``Dropout'', en sont des exemples. Les deux premiers travaux présentés dans cette thèse suivent cette ligne de recherche. Le premier étudie les problèmes de gradients diminuants/explosants dans les architectures profondes. Il montre que des choix simples, comme la fonction d'activation ou l'initialisation des poids du réseaux, ont une grande influence. Nous proposons l'initialisation normalisée pour faciliter l'apprentissage. Le second se focalise sur le choix de la fonction d'activation et présente le rectifieur, ou unité rectificatrice linéaire. Cette étude a été la première à mettre l'accent sur les fonctions d'activations linéaires par morceaux pour les réseaux de neurones profonds en apprentissage supervisé. Aujourd'hui, ce type de fonction d'activation est une composante essentielle des réseaux de neurones profonds. Les deux derniers travaux présentés se concentrent sur les applications des ANNs en traitement des langues naturelles. Le premier aborde le sujet de l'adaptation de domaine pour l'analyse de sentiment, en utilisant des Auto-Encodeurs Débruitants. Celui-ci est encore l'état de l'art de nos jours. Le second traite de l'apprentissage de données multi-relationnelles avec un modèle à base d'énergie, pouvant être utilisé pour la tâche de désambiguation de sens.

Scenarios Generation for Multi-Agent simulation of Electricity Markets based on Intelligent Data Analysis

This document presents a tool able to automatically gather data provided by real energy markets and to generate scenarios, capture and improve market players’ profiles and strategies by using knowledge discovery processes in databases supported by artificial intelligence techniques, data mining algorithms and machine learning methods. It provides the means for generating scenarios with different dimensions and characteristics, ensuring the representation of real and adapted markets, and their participating entities. The scenarios generator module enhances the MASCEM (Multi-Agent Simulator of Competitive Electricity Markets) simulator, endowing a more effective tool for decision support. The achievements from the implementation of the proposed module enables researchers and electricity markets’ participating entities to analyze data, create real scenarios and make experiments with them. On the other hand, applying knowledge discovery techniques to real data also allows the improvement of MASCEM agents’ profiles and strategies resulting in a better representation of real market players’ behavior. This work aims to improve the comprehension of electricity markets and the interactions among the involved entities through adequate multi-agent simulation.

Multi-dimensional classification using Bayesian networks for stationary and evolving streaming data

Hoy en día, con la evolución continua y rápida de las tecnologías de la información y los dispositivos de computación, se recogen y almacenan continuamente grandes volúmenes de datos en distintos dominios y a través de diversas aplicaciones del mundo real. La extracción de conocimiento útil de una cantidad tan enorme de datos no se puede realizar habitualmente de forma manual, y requiere el uso de técnicas adecuadas de aprendizaje automático y de minería de datos. La clasificación es una de las técnicas más importantes que ha sido aplicada con éxito a varias áreas. En general, la clasificación se compone de dos pasos principales: en primer lugar, aprender un modelo de clasificación o clasificador a partir de un conjunto de datos de entrenamiento, y en segundo lugar, clasificar las nuevas instancias de datos utilizando el clasificador aprendido. La clasificación es supervisada cuando todas las etiquetas están presentes en los datos de entrenamiento (es decir, datos completamente etiquetados), semi-supervisada cuando sólo algunas etiquetas son conocidas (es decir, datos parcialmente etiquetados), y no supervisada cuando todas las etiquetas están ausentes en los datos de entrenamiento (es decir, datos no etiquetados). Además, aparte de esta taxonomía, el problema de clasificación se puede categorizar en unidimensional o multidimensional en función del número de variables clase, una o más, respectivamente; o también puede ser categorizado en estacionario o cambiante con el tiempo en función de las características de los datos y de la tasa de cambio subyacente. A lo largo de esta tesis, tratamos el problema de clasificación desde tres perspectivas diferentes, a saber, clasificación supervisada multidimensional estacionaria, clasificación semisupervisada unidimensional cambiante con el tiempo, y clasificación supervisada multidimensional cambiante con el tiempo. Para llevar a cabo esta tarea, hemos usado básicamente los clasificadores Bayesianos como modelos. La primera contribución, dirigiéndose al problema de clasificación supervisada multidimensional estacionaria, se compone de dos nuevos métodos de aprendizaje de clasificadores Bayesianos multidimensionales a partir de datos estacionarios. Los métodos se proponen desde dos puntos de vista diferentes. El primer método, denominado CB-MBC, se basa en una estrategia de envoltura de selección de variables que es voraz y hacia delante, mientras que el segundo, denominado MB-MBC, es una estrategia de filtrado de variables con una aproximación basada en restricciones y en el manto de Markov. Ambos métodos han sido aplicados a dos problemas reales importantes, a saber, la predicción de los inhibidores de la transcriptasa inversa y de la proteasa para el problema de infección por el virus de la inmunodeficiencia humana tipo 1 (HIV-1), y la predicción del European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) a partir de los cuestionarios de la enfermedad de Parkinson con 39 ítems (PDQ-39). El estudio experimental incluye comparaciones de CB-MBC y MB-MBC con los métodos del estado del arte de la clasificación multidimensional, así como con métodos comúnmente utilizados para resolver el problema de predicción de la enfermedad de Parkinson, a saber, la regresión logística multinomial, mínimos cuadrados ordinarios, y mínimas desviaciones absolutas censuradas. En ambas aplicaciones, los resultados han sido prometedores con respecto a la precisión de la clasificación, así como en relación al análisis de las estructuras gráficas que identifican interacciones conocidas y novedosas entre las variables. La segunda contribución, referida al problema de clasificación semi-supervisada unidimensional cambiante con el tiempo, consiste en un método nuevo (CPL-DS) para clasificar flujos de datos parcialmente etiquetados. Los flujos de datos difieren de los conjuntos de datos estacionarios en su proceso de generación muy rápido y en su aspecto de cambio de concepto. Es decir, los conceptos aprendidos y/o la distribución subyacente están probablemente cambiando y evolucionando en el tiempo, lo que hace que el modelo de clasificación actual sea obsoleto y deba ser actualizado. CPL-DS utiliza la divergencia de Kullback-Leibler y el método de bootstrapping para cuantificar y detectar tres tipos posibles de cambio: en las predictoras, en la a posteriori de la clase o en ambas. Después, si se detecta cualquier cambio, un nuevo modelo de clasificación se aprende usando el algoritmo EM; si no, el modelo de clasificación actual se mantiene sin modificaciones. CPL-DS es general, ya que puede ser aplicado a varios modelos de clasificación. Usando dos modelos diferentes, el clasificador naive Bayes y la regresión logística, CPL-DS se ha probado con flujos de datos sintéticos y también se ha aplicado al problema real de la detección de código malware, en el cual los nuevos ficheros recibidos deben ser continuamente clasificados en malware o goodware. Los resultados experimentales muestran que nuestro método es efectivo para la detección de diferentes tipos de cambio a partir de los flujos de datos parcialmente etiquetados y también tiene una buena precisión de la clasificación. Finalmente, la tercera contribución, sobre el problema de clasificación supervisada multidimensional cambiante con el tiempo, consiste en dos métodos adaptativos, a saber, Locally Adpative-MB-MBC (LA-MB-MBC) y Globally Adpative-MB-MBC (GA-MB-MBC). Ambos métodos monitorizan el cambio de concepto a lo largo del tiempo utilizando la log-verosimilitud media como métrica y el test de Page-Hinkley. Luego, si se detecta un cambio de concepto, LA-MB-MBC adapta el actual clasificador Bayesiano multidimensional localmente alrededor de cada nodo cambiado, mientras que GA-MB-MBC aprende un nuevo clasificador Bayesiano multidimensional. El estudio experimental realizado usando flujos de datos sintéticos multidimensionales indica los méritos de los métodos adaptativos propuestos. ABSTRACT Nowadays, with the ongoing and rapid evolution of information technology and computing devices, large volumes of data are continuously collected and stored in different domains and through various real-world applications. Extracting useful knowledge from such a huge amount of data usually cannot be performed manually, and requires the use of adequate machine learning and data mining techniques. Classification is one of the most important techniques that has been successfully applied to several areas. Roughly speaking, classification consists of two main steps: first, learn a classification model or classifier from an available training data, and secondly, classify the new incoming unseen data instances using the learned classifier. Classification is supervised when the whole class values are present in the training data (i.e., fully labeled data), semi-supervised when only some class values are known (i.e., partially labeled data), and unsupervised when the whole class values are missing in the training data (i.e., unlabeled data). In addition, besides this taxonomy, the classification problem can be categorized into uni-dimensional or multi-dimensional depending on the number of class variables, one or more, respectively; or can be also categorized into stationary or streaming depending on the characteristics of the data and the rate of change underlying it. Through this thesis, we deal with the classification problem under three different settings, namely, supervised multi-dimensional stationary classification, semi-supervised unidimensional streaming classification, and supervised multi-dimensional streaming classification. To accomplish this task, we basically used Bayesian network classifiers as models. The first contribution, addressing the supervised multi-dimensional stationary classification problem, consists of two new methods for learning multi-dimensional Bayesian network classifiers from stationary data. They are proposed from two different points of view. The first method, named CB-MBC, is based on a wrapper greedy forward selection approach, while the second one, named MB-MBC, is a filter constraint-based approach based on Markov blankets. Both methods are applied to two important real-world problems, namely, the prediction of the human immunodeficiency virus type 1 (HIV-1) reverse transcriptase and protease inhibitors, and the prediction of the European Quality of Life-5 Dimensions (EQ-5D) from 39-item Parkinson’s Disease Questionnaire (PDQ-39). The experimental study includes comparisons of CB-MBC and MB-MBC against state-of-the-art multi-dimensional classification methods, as well as against commonly used methods for solving the Parkinson’s disease prediction problem, namely, multinomial logistic regression, ordinary least squares, and censored least absolute deviations. For both considered case studies, results are promising in terms of classification accuracy as well as regarding the analysis of the learned MBC graphical structures identifying known and novel interactions among variables. The second contribution, addressing the semi-supervised uni-dimensional streaming classification problem, consists of a novel method (CPL-DS) for classifying partially labeled data streams. Data streams differ from the stationary data sets by their highly rapid generation process and their concept-drifting aspect. That is, the learned concepts and/or the underlying distribution are likely changing and evolving over time, which makes the current classification model out-of-date requiring to be updated. CPL-DS uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence and bootstrapping method to quantify and detect three possible kinds of drift: feature, conditional or dual. Then, if any occurs, a new classification model is learned using the expectation-maximization algorithm; otherwise, the current classification model is kept unchanged. CPL-DS is general as it can be applied to several classification models. Using two different models, namely, naive Bayes classifier and logistic regression, CPL-DS is tested with synthetic data streams and applied to the real-world problem of malware detection, where the new received files should be continuously classified into malware or goodware. Experimental results show that our approach is effective for detecting different kinds of drift from partially labeled data streams, as well as having a good classification performance. Finally, the third contribution, addressing the supervised multi-dimensional streaming classification problem, consists of two adaptive methods, namely, Locally Adaptive-MB-MBC (LA-MB-MBC) and Globally Adaptive-MB-MBC (GA-MB-MBC). Both methods monitor the concept drift over time using the average log-likelihood score and the Page-Hinkley test. Then, if a drift is detected, LA-MB-MBC adapts the current multi-dimensional Bayesian network classifier locally around each changed node, whereas GA-MB-MBC learns a new multi-dimensional Bayesian network classifier from scratch. Experimental study carried out using synthetic multi-dimensional data streams shows the merits of both proposed adaptive methods.

Mining the online social network data: Influence, summarization, and organization

Online Social Network (OSN) services provided by Internet companies bring people together to chat, share the information, and enjoy the information. Meanwhile, huge amounts of data are generated by those services (they can be regarded as the social media ) every day, every hour, even every minute, and every second. Currently, researchers are interested in analyzing the OSN data, extracting interesting patterns from it, and applying those patterns to real-world applications. However, due to the large-scale property of the OSN data, it is difficult to effectively analyze it. This dissertation focuses on applying data mining and information retrieval techniques to mine two key components in the social media data — users and user-generated contents. Specifically, it aims at addressing three problems related to the social media users and contents: (1) how does one organize the users and the contents? (2) how does one summarize the textual contents so that users do not have to go over every post to capture the general idea? (3) how does one identify the influential users in the social media to benefit other applications, e.g., Marketing Campaign? The contribution of this dissertation is briefly summarized as follows. (1) It provides a comprehensive and versatile data mining framework to analyze the users and user-generated contents from the social media. (2) It designs a hierarchical co-clustering algorithm to organize the users and contents. (3) It proposes multi-document summarization methods to extract core information from the social network contents. (4) It introduces three important dimensions of social influence, and a dynamic influence model for identifying influential users.

Mining the Online Social Network Data: Influence, Summarization, and Organization

Online Social Network (OSN) services provided by Internet companies bring people together to chat, share the information, and enjoy the information. Meanwhile, huge amounts of data are generated by those services (they can be regarded as the social media ) every day, every hour, even every minute, and every second. Currently, researchers are interested in analyzing the OSN data, extracting interesting patterns from it, and applying those patterns to real-world applications. However, due to the large-scale property of the OSN data, it is difficult to effectively analyze it. This dissertation focuses on applying data mining and information retrieval techniques to mine two key components in the social media data — users and user-generated contents. Specifically, it aims at addressing three problems related to the social media users and contents: (1) how does one organize the users and the contents? (2) how does one summarize the textual contents so that users do not have to go over every post to capture the general idea? (3) how does one identify the influential users in the social media to benefit other applications, e.g., Marketing Campaign? The contribution of this dissertation is briefly summarized as follows. (1) It provides a comprehensive and versatile data mining framework to analyze the users and user-generated contents from the social media. (2) It designs a hierarchical co-clustering algorithm to organize the users and contents. (3) It proposes multi-document summarization methods to extract core information from the social network contents. (4) It introduces three important dimensions of social influence, and a dynamic influence model for identifying influential users.

On cluster analysis of complex and heterogeneous data

3rd SMTDA Conference Proceedings, 11-14 June 2014, Lisbon Portugal.

Mining protein structure data

The principal topic of this work is the application of data mining techniques, in particular of machine learning, to the discovery of knowledge in a protein database. In the first chapter a general background is presented. Namely, in section 1.1 we overview the methodology of a Data Mining project and its main algorithms. In section 1.2 an introduction to the proteins and its supporting file formats is outlined. This chapter is concluded with section 1.3 which defines that main problem we pretend to address with this work: determine if an amino acid is exposed or buried in a protein, in a discrete way (i.e.: not continuous), for five exposition levels: 2%, 10%, 20%, 25% and 30%. In the second chapter, following closely the CRISP-DM methodology, whole the process of construction the database that supported this work is presented. Namely, it is described the process of loading data from the Protein Data Bank, DSSP and SCOP. Then an initial data exploration is performed and a simple prediction model (baseline) of the relative solvent accessibility of an amino acid is introduced. It is also introduced the Data Mining Table Creator, a program developed to produce the data mining tables required for this problem. In the third chapter the results obtained are analyzed with statistical significance tests. Initially the several used classifiers (Neural Networks, C5.0, CART and Chaid) are compared and it is concluded that C5.0 is the most suitable for the problem at stake. It is also compared the influence of parameters like the amino acid information level, the amino acid window size and the SCOP class type in the accuracy of the predictive models. The fourth chapter starts with a brief revision of the literature about amino acid relative solvent accessibility. Then, we overview the main results achieved and finally discuss about possible future work. The fifth and last chapter consists of appendices. Appendix A has the schema of the database that supported this thesis. Appendix B has a set of tables with additional information. Appendix C describes the software provided in the DVD accompanying this thesis that allows the reconstruction of the present work.

Building clusters for CRM strategies by mining airlines customer data

Trabalho de Projeto apresentado como requisito parcial para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Estatística e Gestão de Informação