Transient simulations of the carbon and nitrogen dynamics in northern peatlands: from the Last Glacial Maximum to the 21st century

The development of northern high-latitude peatlands played an important role in the carbon (C) balance of the land biosphere since the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM). At present, carbon storage in northern peatlands is substantial and estimated to be 500 ± 100 Pg C (1 Pg C = 1015 g C). Here, we develop and apply a peatland module embedded in a dynamic global vegetation and land surface process model (LPX-Bern 1.0). The peatland module features a dynamic nitrogen cycle, a dynamic C transfer between peatland acrotelm (upper oxic layer) and catotelm (deep anoxic layer), hydrology- and temperature-dependent respiration rates, and peatland specific plant functional types. Nitrogen limitation down-regulates average modern net primary productivity over peatlands by about half. Decadal acrotelm-to-catotelm C fluxes vary between −20 and +50 g C m−2 yr−1 over the Holocene. Key model parameters are calibrated with reconstructed peat accumulation rates from peat-core data. The model reproduces the major features of the peat core data and of the observation-based modern circumpolar soil carbon distribution. Results from a set of simulations for possible evolutions of northern peat development and areal extent show that soil C stocks in modern peatlands increased by 365–550 Pg C since the LGM, of which 175–272 Pg C accumulated between 11 and 5 kyr BP. Furthermore, our simulations suggest a persistent C sequestration rate of 35–50 Pg C per 1000 yr in present-day peatlands under current climate conditions, and that this C sink could either sustain or turn towards a source by 2100 AD depending on climate trajectories as projected for different representative greenhouse gas concentration pathways.

LGM Summer Climate on the Southern Margin of the Laurentide Ice Sheet: Wet Or Dry?

Regional climate simulations are conducted using the Polar fifth-generation Pennsylvania State University (PSU)-NCAR Mesoscale Model (MM5) with a 60-km horizontal resolution domain over North America to explore the summer climate of the Last Glacial Maximum (LGM: 21 000 calendar years ago), when much of the continent was covered by the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS). Output from a tailored NCAR Community Climate Model version 3 (CCM3) simulation of the LGM climate is used to provide the initial and lateral boundary conditions for Polar MM5. LGM boundary conditions include continental ice sheets, appropriate orbital forcing, reduced CO2 concentration, paleovegetation, modified sea surface temperatures, and lowered sea level. The simulated LGM summer climate is characterized by a pronounced low-level thermal gradient along the southern margin of the LIS resulting from the juxtaposition of the cold ice sheet and adjacent warm ice-free land surface. This sharp thermal gradient anchors the midtropospheric jet stream and facilitates the development of synoptic cyclones that track over the ice sheet, some of which produce copious liquid precipitation along and south of the LIS terminus. Precipitation on the southern margin is orographically enhanced as moist southerly low-level flow (resembling a contemporary, Great Plains low-level jet configuration) in advance of the cyclone is drawn up the ice sheet slope. Composites of wet and dry periods on the LIS southern margin illustrate two distinctly different atmospheric flow regimes. Given the episodic nature of the summer rain events, it may be possible to reconcile the model depiction of wet conditions on the LIS southern margin during the LGM summer with the widely accepted interpretation of aridity across the Great Plains based on geological proxy evidence.

A framework for benchmarking of homogenisation algorithm performance on the global scale

The International Surface Temperature Initiative (ISTI) is striving towards substantively improving our ability to robustly understand historical land surface air temperature change at all scales. A key recently completed first step has been collating all available records into a comprehensive open access, traceable and version-controlled databank. The crucial next step is to maximise the value of the collated data through a robust international framework of benchmarking and assessment for product intercomparison and uncertainty estimation. We focus on uncertainties arising from the presence of inhomogeneities in monthly mean land surface temperature data and the varied methodological choices made by various groups in building homogeneous temperature products. The central facet of the benchmarking process is the creation of global-scale synthetic analogues to the real-world database where both the "true" series and inhomogeneities are known (a luxury the real-world data do not afford us). Hence, algorithmic strengths and weaknesses can be meaningfully quantified and conditional inferences made about the real-world climate system. Here we discuss the necessary framework for developing an international homogenisation benchmarking system on the global scale for monthly mean temperatures. The value of this framework is critically dependent upon the number of groups taking part and so we strongly advocate involvement in the benchmarking exercise from as many data analyst groups as possible to make the best use of this substantial effort.

Isotopic constraints on marine and terrestrial N2O emissions during the last deglaciation

Nitrous oxide (N2O) is an important greenhouse gas and ozone-depleting substance that has anthropogenic as well as natural marine and terrestrial sources. The tropospheric N2O concentrations have varied substantially in the past in concert with changing climate on glacial–interglacial and millennial timescales. It is not well understood, however, how N2O emissions from marine and terrestrial sources change in response to varying environmental conditions. The distinct isotopic compositions of marine and terrestrial N2O sources can help disentangle the relative changes in marine and terrestrial N2O emissions during past climate variations. Here we present N2O concentration and isotopic data for the last deglaciation, from 16,000 to 10,000 years before present, retrieved from air bubbles trapped in polar ice at Taylor Glacier, Antarctica. With the help of our data and a box model of the N2O cycle, we find a 30 per cent increase in total N2O emissions from the late glacial to the interglacial, with terrestrial and marine emissions contributing equally to the overall increase and generally evolving in parallel over the last deglaciation, even though there is no a priori connection between the drivers of the two sources. However, we find that terrestrial emissions dominated on centennial timescales, consistent with a state-of-the-art dynamic global vegetation and land surface process model that suggests that during the last deglaciation emission changes were strongly influenced by temperature and precipitation patterns over land surfaces. The results improve our understanding of the drivers of natural N2O emissions and are consistent with the idea that natural N2O emissions will probably increase in response to anthropogenic warming.

Pasture degradation modifies the water and carbon cycles of the Tibetan highlands

The Tibetan Plateau has a significant role with regard to atmospheric circulation and the monsoon in particular. Changes between a closed plant cover and open bare soil are one of the striking effects of land use degradation observed with unsustainable range management or climate change, but experiments investigating changes of surface properties and processes together with atmospheric feedbacks are rare and have not been undertaken in the world's two largest alpine ecosystems, the alpine steppe and the Kobresia pygmaea pastures of the Tibetan Plateau. We connected measurements of micro-lysimeter, chamber, 13C labelling, and eddy covariance and combined the observations with land surface and atmospheric models, adapted to the highland conditions. This allowed us to analyse how three degradation stages affect the water and carbon cycle of pastures on the landscape scale within the core region of the Kobresia pygmaea ecosystem. The study revealed that increasing degradation of the Kobresia turf affects carbon allocation and strongly reduces the carbon uptake, compromising the function of Kobresia pastures as a carbon sink. Pasture degradation leads to a shift from transpiration to evaporation while a change in the sum of evapotranspiration over a longer period cannot be confirmed. The results show an earlier onset of convection and cloud generation, likely triggered by a shift in evapotranspiration timing when dominated by evaporation. Consequently, precipitation starts earlier and clouds decrease the incoming solar radiation. In summary, the changes in surface properties by pasture degradation found on the highland have a significant influence on larger scales.

Reconciling Precipitation with Runoff: Observed Hydrological Change in the Midlatitudes

Century-long observed gridded land precipitation datasets are a cornerstone of hydrometeorological research. But recent work has suggested that observed Northern Hemisphere midlatitude (NHML) land mean precipitation does not show evidence of an expected negative response to mid-twentieth-century aerosol forcing. Utilizing observed river discharges, the observed runoff is calculated and compared with observed land precipitation. The results show a near-zero twentieth-century trendinobserved NHML landmean runoff,in contrast to the significant positive trend in observed NHML land mean precipitation. However, precipitation and runoff share common interannual and decadal variability. An obvious split, or breakpoint, is found in the NHML land mean runoff–precipitation relationship in the 1930s. Using runoff simulated by six land surface models (LSMs), which are driven by the observed precipitation dataset, such breakpoints are absent. These findings support previous hypotheses that inhomogeneities exist in the early-twentieth-century NHML land mean precipitation record. Adjusting the observed precipitation record according to the observed runoff record largely accounts for the departure of the observed precipitation response from that predicted given the real-world aerosol forcing estimate, more than halving the discrepancy from about 6 to around 2 W m 22. Consideration of complementary observed runoff adds support to the suggestion that NHML-wide early-twentieth-century precipitation observations are unsuitable for climate change studies. The agreement between precipitation and runoff over Europe, however, is excellent, supporting the use of whole-twentieth-century observed precipitation datasets here.

Robust trends of landscape dynamics in the Arctic Lena Delta with temporally dense Landsat time-series stacks, with links to GeoTIFFs

Arctic permafrost landscapes are among the most vulnerable and dynamic landscapes globally, but due to their extent and remoteness most of the landscape changes remain unnoticed. In order to detect disturbances in these areas we developed an automated processing chain for the calculation and analysis of robust trends of key land surface indicators based on the full record of available Landsat TM, ETM +, and OLI data. The methodology was applied to the ~ 29,000 km**2 Lena Delta in Northeast Siberia, where robust trend parameters (slope, confidence intervals of the slope, and intercept) were calculated for Tasseled Cap Greenness, Wetness and Brightness, NDVI, and NDWI, and NDMI based on 204 Landsat scenes for the observation period between 1999 and 2014. The resulting datasets revealed regional greening trends within the Lena Delta with several localized hot-spots of change, particularly in the vicinity of the main river channels. With a 30-m spatial resolution various permafrost-thaw related processes and disturbances, such as thermokarst lake expansion and drainage, fluvial erosion, and coastal changes were detected within the Lena Delta region, many of which have not been noticed or described before. Such hotspots of permafrost change exhibit significantly different trend parameters compared to non-disturbed areas. The processed dataset, which is made freely available through the data archive PANGAEA, will be a useful resource for further process specific analysis by researchers and land managers. With the high level of automation and the use of the freely available Landsat archive data, the workflow is scalable and transferrable to other regions, which should enable the comparison of land surface changes in different permafrost affected regions and help to understand and quantify permafrost landscape dynamics.

Sedimentology of the Vietnam shelf

On the Vietnam Shelf more than 1000 miles of shallow high-resolution seismics were analyzed to unravel post-glacial evolution in a tropical, siliciclastic environment together with 25 sediment cores from water depths between 21 and 169 m to determine stratigraphy, distribution and style of sedimentation. Fourty-seven samples were dated with the AMS-14C technique. The shelf was grouped into three regions: a southern part, a central part, and a northern part. On the broad Southern Shelf, sedimentation is influenced by the Mekong River, which drains into the SCS in this area. Here, incised valley fills are abundant that were cut into the late Pleistocene land surface by the Paleo-Mekong River during times of sea level lowstand. Those valleys are filled with transgressive deposits. The Holocene sedimentation rate in this low gradient accommodation-dominated depositional system is in the range of 5-10 and 25-40 cm/ky at locations sheltered from currents. The Central Shelf is narrow and the sedimentary strata are conformable. Here, numerous small mountainous rivers reach the SCS and transport large amounts of detrital sediment onto the shelf. Therefore, the Holocene sedimentation rate is high with values of 50-100 cm/ky in this supply-dominated depositional system. The broad Northern Shelf in the vicinity of the Red River Delta shows, as on the Southern Shelf, incised valleys cut into the Pleistocene land surface by paleo river channels. In this accommodation-dominated shelf area, the sedimentation rate is low with values of 5-10 cm/ky. Where applicable, we assigned the sampled deposits to different paleo-facies. The latter are related to certain intervals of water depths at their time of deposition. Comparison with the sea-level curve of (Hanebuth et al., 2000, doi:10.1126/science.288.5468.1033) indicates subsidence on the Central Shelf, which is in agreement with the high sedimentation rates in this area. In contrast, data from the Northern Shelf suggest tectonic uplift that might be related to recent tectonic movements along the Ailao Shan-Red River Fault zone. Data from the Southern Shelf are generally in agreement with the sea-level curve mentioned above.

Evaluación geoecológica de los paisajes del Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), para el estudio de la degradación de la tierra

Las sociedades en su afán de aprovechar los recursos naturales que la tierra le provee, han ido transformando permanentemente el medio que habitamos, generando una crisis ambiental que es tema de preocupación y permanente discusión en organismos, foros y conferencias relacionados con el cuidado y protección del medio ambiente. En las regiones áridas y semiáridas uno de los problemas ambientales más comunes es la degradación de tierras por efecto del sobrepastoreo. La tercera parte de la superficie terrestre del planeta es árida y semiárida y en ella los procesos de desertización se han intensificado en los últimos decenios. Según la Convención de las Naciones Unidas de lucha contra la Desertificación (CNULD), este problema amenaza al 40 por ciento aproximadamente, de la masa terrestre de nuestro planeta. Más de 1000 millones de personas en alrededor de 100 países están afectadas directamente por la desertificación o corren peligro de estarlo (CNULD, 2003), estimándose que "la pérdida de ingresos en las áreas afectadas alcanza a unos 42.000 millones de dólares". Argentina en general y la Patagonia en particular, no son ajenas a esta situación. La Secretaría de Recursos Naturales y Medio Ambiente Humano (1996), calcula que aproximadamente el 75 por ciento de nuestro territorio nacional se encuentra afectado por crecientes condiciones de aridez y en la Patagonia, el 90 por ciento de la superficie (unos 780.000 km2) presenta signos de degradación. De esta superficie, un 30 por ciento, está bajo procesos erosivos eólicos e hídricos severos o graves con tendencia a agravarse. Teniendo en cuenta esta situación, esta tesis tiene como propósito aplicar las concepciones metodológicas de la geoecología de los paisajes en el Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), con vistas a estudiar la estructura y funcionamiento de los paisajes, herramienta fundamental para comprender el fenómeno de la degradación de la tierra. El objetivo central de este trabajo consiste en estudiar la degradación de los paisajes de este lugar a partir de los preceptos de la geoecología, con apoyo de los Sistemas de Información Geográfica y la teledetección, estableciendo índices diagnósticos que reflejen la interacción e interdependencia entre los componentes naturales y sociales del paisaje. El estudio de los paisajes brinda la posibilidad de integrar transdisciplinariamente los conocimientos y percepciones de la diversidad geoecológica y socioeconómica desde una perspectiva dinámica. Mediante este análisis se puede arribar al conocimiento de las formas de ocupación y conservación de los recursos naturales procurando la protección de la oferta ecológica a largo plazo. El paisaje geográfico o geosistema se concibe como "un sistema espacio-temporal, complejo y abierto, que se origina y evoluciona justamente en la interfase naturaleza-sociedad, en un constante estado de intercambio de energía, materia e información, donde su estructura, funcionamiento, dinámica y evolución reflejan la interacción entre los componentes naturales (abióticos y bióticos), técnico-económicos y socio-culturales (Mateo, J. 1991; Salinas. E. 1991y 1997). Se trata de una formación socio-natural que constituye una categoría científica y como tal, será adoptada en este trabajo.

Wetland maps including open water extent dynamics based on ENVISAT ASAR WS for Siberia, 2007 and 2008, links to GeoTIFFs

Wetlands store large amounts of carbon, and depending on their status and type, they release specific amounts of methane gas to the atmosphere. The connection between wetland type and methane emission has been investigated in various studies and utilized in climate change monitoring and modelling. For improved estimation of methane emissions, land surface models require information such as the wetland fraction and its dynamics over large areas. Existing datasets of wetland dynamics present the total amount of wetland (fraction) for each model grid cell, but do not discriminate the different wetland types like permanent lakes, periodically inundated areas or peatlands. Wetland types differently influence methane fluxes and thus their contribution to the total wetland fraction should be quantified. Especially wetlands of permafrost regions are expected to have a strong impact on future climate due to soil thawing. In this study ENIVSAT ASAR Wide Swath data was tested for operational monitoring of the distribution of areas with a long-term SW near 1 (hSW) in northern Russia (SW = degree of saturation with water, 1 = saturated), which is a specific characteristic of peatlands. For the whole northern Russia, areas with hSW were delineated and discriminated from dynamic and open water bodies for the years 2007 and 2008. The area identified with this method amounts to approximately 300,000 km**2 in northern Siberia in 2007. It overlaps with zones of high carbon storage. Comparison with a range of related datasets (static and dynamic) showed that hSW represents not only peatlands but also temporary wetlands associated with post-forest fire conditions in permafrost regions. Annual long-term monitoring of change in boreal and tundra environments is possible with the presented approach. Sentinel-1, the successor of ENVISAT ASAR, will provide data that may allow continuous monitoring of these wetland dynamics in the future complementing global observations of wetland fraction.

ERA-interim reanalysis debiased at FLUXNET sites

(preliminary) Exchanges of carbon, water and energy between the land surface and the atmosphere are monitored by eddy covariance technique at the ecosystem level. Currently, the FLUXNET database contains more than 500 sites registered and up to 250 of them sharing data (Free Fair Use dataset). Many modelling groups use the FLUXNET dataset for evaluating ecosystem model's performances but it requires uninterrupted time series for the meteorological variables used as input. Because original in-situ data often contain gaps, from very short (few hours) up to relatively long (some months), we develop a new and robust method for filling the gaps in meteorological data measured at site level. Our approach has the benefit of making use of continuous data available globally (ERA-interim) and high temporal resolution spanning from 1989 to today. These data are however not measured at site level and for this reason a method to downscale and correct the ERA-interim data is needed. We apply this method on the level 4 data (L4) from the LaThuile collection, freely available after registration under a Fair-Use policy. The performances of the developed method vary across sites and are also function of the meteorological variable. On average overall sites, the bias correction leads to cancel from 10% to 36% of the initial mismatch between in-situ and ERA-interim data, depending of the meteorological variable considered. In comparison to the internal variability of the in-situ data, the root mean square error (RMSE) between the in-situ data and the un-biased ERA-I data remains relatively large (on average overall sites, from 27% to 76% of the standard deviation of in-situ data, depending of the meteorological variable considered). The performance of the method remains low for the Wind Speed field, in particular regarding its capacity to conserve a standard deviation similar to the one measured at FLUXNET stations.

Evaluación geoecológica de los paisajes del Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), para el estudio de la degradación de la tierra

Las sociedades en su afán de aprovechar los recursos naturales que la tierra le provee, han ido transformando permanentemente el medio que habitamos, generando una crisis ambiental que es tema de preocupación y permanente discusión en organismos, foros y conferencias relacionados con el cuidado y protección del medio ambiente. En las regiones áridas y semiáridas uno de los problemas ambientales más comunes es la degradación de tierras por efecto del sobrepastoreo. La tercera parte de la superficie terrestre del planeta es árida y semiárida y en ella los procesos de desertización se han intensificado en los últimos decenios. Según la Convención de las Naciones Unidas de lucha contra la Desertificación (CNULD), este problema amenaza al 40 por ciento aproximadamente, de la masa terrestre de nuestro planeta. Más de 1000 millones de personas en alrededor de 100 países están afectadas directamente por la desertificación o corren peligro de estarlo (CNULD, 2003), estimándose que "la pérdida de ingresos en las áreas afectadas alcanza a unos 42.000 millones de dólares". Argentina en general y la Patagonia en particular, no son ajenas a esta situación. La Secretaría de Recursos Naturales y Medio Ambiente Humano (1996), calcula que aproximadamente el 75 por ciento de nuestro territorio nacional se encuentra afectado por crecientes condiciones de aridez y en la Patagonia, el 90 por ciento de la superficie (unos 780.000 km2) presenta signos de degradación. De esta superficie, un 30 por ciento, está bajo procesos erosivos eólicos e hídricos severos o graves con tendencia a agravarse. Teniendo en cuenta esta situación, esta tesis tiene como propósito aplicar las concepciones metodológicas de la geoecología de los paisajes en el Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), con vistas a estudiar la estructura y funcionamiento de los paisajes, herramienta fundamental para comprender el fenómeno de la degradación de la tierra. El objetivo central de este trabajo consiste en estudiar la degradación de los paisajes de este lugar a partir de los preceptos de la geoecología, con apoyo de los Sistemas de Información Geográfica y la teledetección, estableciendo índices diagnósticos que reflejen la interacción e interdependencia entre los componentes naturales y sociales del paisaje. El estudio de los paisajes brinda la posibilidad de integrar transdisciplinariamente los conocimientos y percepciones de la diversidad geoecológica y socioeconómica desde una perspectiva dinámica. Mediante este análisis se puede arribar al conocimiento de las formas de ocupación y conservación de los recursos naturales procurando la protección de la oferta ecológica a largo plazo. El paisaje geográfico o geosistema se concibe como "un sistema espacio-temporal, complejo y abierto, que se origina y evoluciona justamente en la interfase naturaleza-sociedad, en un constante estado de intercambio de energía, materia e información, donde su estructura, funcionamiento, dinámica y evolución reflejan la interacción entre los componentes naturales (abióticos y bióticos), técnico-económicos y socio-culturales (Mateo, J. 1991; Salinas. E. 1991y 1997). Se trata de una formación socio-natural que constituye una categoría científica y como tal, será adoptada en este trabajo.

Evaluación geoecológica de los paisajes del Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), para el estudio de la degradación de la tierra

Las sociedades en su afán de aprovechar los recursos naturales que la tierra le provee, han ido transformando permanentemente el medio que habitamos, generando una crisis ambiental que es tema de preocupación y permanente discusión en organismos, foros y conferencias relacionados con el cuidado y protección del medio ambiente. En las regiones áridas y semiáridas uno de los problemas ambientales más comunes es la degradación de tierras por efecto del sobrepastoreo. La tercera parte de la superficie terrestre del planeta es árida y semiárida y en ella los procesos de desertización se han intensificado en los últimos decenios. Según la Convención de las Naciones Unidas de lucha contra la Desertificación (CNULD), este problema amenaza al 40 por ciento aproximadamente, de la masa terrestre de nuestro planeta. Más de 1000 millones de personas en alrededor de 100 países están afectadas directamente por la desertificación o corren peligro de estarlo (CNULD, 2003), estimándose que "la pérdida de ingresos en las áreas afectadas alcanza a unos 42.000 millones de dólares". Argentina en general y la Patagonia en particular, no son ajenas a esta situación. La Secretaría de Recursos Naturales y Medio Ambiente Humano (1996), calcula que aproximadamente el 75 por ciento de nuestro territorio nacional se encuentra afectado por crecientes condiciones de aridez y en la Patagonia, el 90 por ciento de la superficie (unos 780.000 km2) presenta signos de degradación. De esta superficie, un 30 por ciento, está bajo procesos erosivos eólicos e hídricos severos o graves con tendencia a agravarse. Teniendo en cuenta esta situación, esta tesis tiene como propósito aplicar las concepciones metodológicas de la geoecología de los paisajes en el Departamento Minas (Provincia de Neuquén), con vistas a estudiar la estructura y funcionamiento de los paisajes, herramienta fundamental para comprender el fenómeno de la degradación de la tierra. El objetivo central de este trabajo consiste en estudiar la degradación de los paisajes de este lugar a partir de los preceptos de la geoecología, con apoyo de los Sistemas de Información Geográfica y la teledetección, estableciendo índices diagnósticos que reflejen la interacción e interdependencia entre los componentes naturales y sociales del paisaje. El estudio de los paisajes brinda la posibilidad de integrar transdisciplinariamente los conocimientos y percepciones de la diversidad geoecológica y socioeconómica desde una perspectiva dinámica. Mediante este análisis se puede arribar al conocimiento de las formas de ocupación y conservación de los recursos naturales procurando la protección de la oferta ecológica a largo plazo. El paisaje geográfico o geosistema se concibe como "un sistema espacio-temporal, complejo y abierto, que se origina y evoluciona justamente en la interfase naturaleza-sociedad, en un constante estado de intercambio de energía, materia e información, donde su estructura, funcionamiento, dinámica y evolución reflejan la interacción entre los componentes naturales (abióticos y bióticos), técnico-económicos y socio-culturales (Mateo, J. 1991; Salinas. E. 1991y 1997). Se trata de una formación socio-natural que constituye una categoría científica y como tal, será adoptada en este trabajo.

Plant Functional Type (PFT) map over Siberia derived from GlobCover 2005 dataset, link to dataset in NetCDF format

High-latitude ecosystems play an important role in the global carbon cycle and in regulating the climate system and are presently undergoing rapid environmental change. Accurate land cover data sets are required to both document these changes as well as to provide land-surface information for benchmarking and initializing Earth system models. Earth system models also require specific land cover classification systems based on plant functional types (PFTs), rather than species or ecosystems, and so post-processing of existing land cover data is often required. This study compares over Siberia, multiple land cover data sets against one another and with auxiliary data to identify key uncertainties that contribute to variability in PFT classifications that would introduce errors in Earth system modeling. Land cover classification systems from GLC 2000, GlobCover 2005 and 2009, and MODIS collections 5 and 5.1 are first aggregated to a common legend, and then compared to high-resolution land cover classification systems, vegetation continuous fields (MODIS VCFs) and satellite-derived tree heights (to discriminate against sparse, shrub, and forest vegetation). The GlobCover data set, with a lower threshold for tree cover and taller tree heights and a better spatial resolution, tends to have better distributions of tree cover compared to high-resolution data. It has therefore been chosen to build new PFT maps for the ORCHIDEE land surface model at 1 km scale. Compared to the original PFT data set, the new PFT maps based on GlobCover 2005 and an updated cross-walking approach mainly differ in the characterization of forests and degree of tree cover. The partition of grasslands and bare soils now appears more realistic compared with ground truth data. This new vegetation map provides a framework for further development of new PFTs in the ORCHIDEE model like shrubs, lichens and mosses, to represent the water and carbon cycles in northern latitudes better. Updated land cover data sets are critical for improving and maintaining the relevance of Earth system models for assessing climate and human impacts on biogeochemistry and biophysics.

Establishment, expansion and regeneration of aspen (Populus tremula) in the Torneträsk area, subarctic Sweden

In subarctic Sweden, recent decadal colonization and expansion of aspen (Populus tremula L.) were recorded. Over the past 100 years, aspen became c. 16 times more abundant, mainly as a result of increased sexual regeneration. Moreover, aspen now reach tree-size (>2 m) at the alpine treeline, an ecotone that has been dominated by mountain birch (Betula pubescens ssp. czerepanovii) for at least the past 4000 years. We found that sexual regeneration in aspen probably occurred seven times or more within the last century. Whereas sexual regeneration occurred during moist years following a year with an exceptionally high June-July temperature, asexual regeneration was favored by warm and dry summers. Disturbance to the birch forest by cyclic moth population outbreaks was critical in aspen establishment in the subalpine area. At the treeline, aspen colonization was less determined by these moth outbreaks, and was mainly restricted by summer temperature. If summer warming persists, aspen spread may continue in subarctic Sweden, particularly at the treeline. However, changing disturbance regimes, future herbivore population dynamics and the responses of aspen's competitors birch and pine to a changing climate may result in different outcomes.