Aplicação da inflação diária para previsão do IPCA

Since 2006, the Getulio Vargas Foundation (FGV) calculates a daily version of the Broad Consumer Price Index (IPCA), the official inflation index, calculated under the responsibility of the IBGE, the federal statistics agency in Brazil. Ardeo et. al. (2013) showed the importance of this indicator and how this daily information can be useful to a country that had high level of inflation. Despite the fact that this measure is a fair antecedent variable for inflation, due to some peculiarities concerning the collection period, the initial daily rating may not anticipate some effects, such as seasonal factors and the increase in prices controlled by the Brazilian Government. Hence, by taking into account the Monitor´s daily time series, this paper intends to forecast the IPCA for the first six days of data collection. The results showed up that the proposal technic improved the IPCA forecast in the beginning of data collection.

Modelos de cura: aplicação ao cancro da mama feminino

A Análise de Sobrevivência tem como objetivo o estudo do tempo desde um instante inicial bem definido até ao acontecimento de determinado evento. Por exemplo, poderá ser o tempo de vida de um indivíduo desde o momento em que lhe é diagnosticada uma doença até a sua morte ou cura. Com a evolução da medicina, começou a se verificar a existência de indivíduos para os quais nunca se observava o acontecimento de interesse e designaram-se esses indivíduos por curados, imunes, ou não suscetíveis. Assim, da Análise de Sobrevivência clássica surgem os modelos de cura. Neste trabalho, aplicaram-se estes conceitos a uma base de dados referentes a 833 mulheres diagnosticadas com cancro da mama, entre 1998 e 2005. Verificou-se a existência de um risco de morte maior em mulheres na faixa etária dos 50 a 59 anos. Comprovou-se que o estadiamento tem um papel preponderante em relação ao prognóstico, sendo que, quanto mais avançado o estadio pior o prognóstico. Dos tratamentos a que os doentes foram submetidos, a realização de cirurgia é indicativa de um melhor prognóstico, assim como a realização de hormonoterapia e de radioterapia. No entanto, este último tratamento não se revelou estatisticamente significativo para o modelo de regressão de Cox. A realização de quimioterapia apenas reflete um melhor prognóstico nos primeiros dois anos, o que já não acontece a partir dai. Esta caraterística inesperada ficou-se a dever à esperança de vida que o tratamento oferece aos doentes no estadio IV e da associação entre a existência de gânglios metastizados e o agravamento do prognóstico, no caso do estadio II. O modelo de cura foi aplicado apenas ao grupo de mulheres no estadio IV, pois só neste caso se admitiu que o tempo de follow-up era suficiente, obtendo-se uma taxa de cura de 7;4%.

Revestimentos a base de Ta/Al2O3 produzidos por aspersão térmica sobre substrato metálico

Metal substrates were coated by thermal spraying plasma torch, they were positioned at a distance of 4 and 5 cm from the nozzle exit of the plasma jet. The starting materials were used for deposition of tantalum oxide powder and aluminium. These two materials were mixed and ground into high-energy mill, then immersed in the torch for the production of alumina coating infused with particles of tantalum with nano and micrometric size. The spraying equipment used is a plasma torch arc not transferred, which operating in the range of 250 A and 80 V, was able to produce enough heat to ignite aluminothermic between Ta2O5 and aluminum. Upon reaching the plasma jet, the mixing powders react with the heat of the blaze, which provides sufficient energy for melting aluminum particles. This energy is transferred through mechanisms of self-propagating to the oxide, beginning a reduction reaction, which then hits on the surface of the substrate and forms a coating on which a composite is formed by a junction metal - ceramic (Ta +Al2O3). The phases and quantification of each were obtained respectively by X-ray diffraction and the Rietveld method. Morphology by scanning electron microscopy and chemical analysis by energy dispersive spectroscopy EDS. It was also performed measurements of the substrate roughness, Vickers microhardness measurements in sprays and determination of the electron temperature of the plasma jet by optical emission spectroscopy EEO. The results confirmed the expectation generated around the end product of spraying the mixture Ta2O5 + Al, both in the formation of nano-sized particles and in their final form. The electron excitation temperature was consistent with the purpose of work, in addition, the thermodynamic temperature was efficient for the reduction process of Ta2O5. The electron excitation temperature showed values of 3000, 4500 and 8000 K for flows10, 20 and 30 l / min respectively, these values were taken at the nozzle exit of the plasma jet. The thermodynamic temperature around 1200 ° C, was effective in the reduction process of Ta2O5

Síntese hidrotérmica assistida por micro-ondas de tiO2, e aplicação em nanocompósito

In recent decades have seen a sharp growth in the study area of nanoscience and nanotechnology and is included in this area, the study of nanocomposites with self-cleaning properties. Since titanium dioxide (TiO2) has high photocatalytic activity and also antimicrobial, self-cleaning surfaces in your application has been explored. In this study a comparison was made between two synthesis routes to obtain TiO2 nanoparticles by hydrothermal method assisted by microwave. And after analysis of XRD and SEM was considered the best material for use in nanocomposites. It was deposited nanocomposite film of poly (dimethyl siloxane) (PDMS) with 0.5, 1, 1.5 and 2% by weight of nanoparticles of titanium dioxide (TiO2) by the spraying method. The nanocomposite was diluted with hexane and the suspension was deposited onto glass substrate, followed by curing in an oven with forced air circulation. The photocatalytic activity of the nanocomposite impregnated with methylene blue was evaluated by UV- vis spectroscopy from the intensity variation of absorption main peak at 660nm with time of exposure to the UV chamber. Changes in the contact angle and microhardness were analyzed before and after UV aging test. The effect of ultraviolet radiation on the chemical structure of the PDMS matrix was evaluated by spectrophotometry Fourier transform infrared (FTIR).The results indicated that the addition of TiO2 nanoparticles in the coating PDMS gave high photocatalytic activity in the decomposition of methylene blue, an important characteristic for the development of self-cleaning coatings

Otimização de solução extrativa e desenvolvimento tecnológico de produto seco por aspersão de Psidium guajava L.

The increasing in the consumption of plant medicine by parts of the population generated a bigger need for studies. Drug substitutions, changes and adulterations at the production techniques are common places at plant-originated drugs trade, leading governmental departments of drug control round the world to adopt many analytical practices to medicinal plants. However, agronomic and technological issues cause characteristics and chemical composition variation at the drug, problem to be solved by the subject researchers. The present work aims to obtain a spray dried extract from a extractive solution obtained from Psidium guajava L. leaves based in book references that stress the intermediate dosage forms advantages. It also tries to validate useful methodologies for the quality control for both raw material and its derivates. Using eight sets of the spray dried extract (with Eudragit®, Aerosil ® e Avicel PH101 ® as drying adjuvants), the study proposes analytical methods using techniques commonly performed to plant medicines and its intermediate forms. As results, a viable spray-dried extract was obtained from a standartized extract solution. Among the studied adjuvants, the combination Aerosil ® with Eudragit ® showed the drying outcome, rheology, humidity and tannin content values that best fitted the demands of the Brazilian Pharmacopaea

Reparação de feridas cutâneas de roedores da espécie Calomys callosus, tratadas com hidrocarboneto alifático: aspectos morfométricos, morfológicos e histológicos

O efeito cicatrizante do hidrocarboneto alifático foi pesquisado através da aplicação diária em feridas cutâneas, cirurgicamente provocadas, em roedores da espécie Calomys callosus. As feridas dos animais foram analisadas sob os aspectos macroscópicos e histológicos transcorridos 3, 7, 14 e 21 dias de tratamento e comparado com o uso de solução fisiológica a 0,9%. O hidrocarboneto alifático antecipou a cicatrização ao diminuir a umidade, aumentar a formação do tecido de granulação e a neovascularização, conduzindo à reepitelização.

Influência da fonte material e do tempo de cura na propagação vegetativa da pitaya vermelha (Hylocereus undatus Haw)

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Estimativa da radiação solar global diária em função do potencial de energia solar na superfície do solo

Conselho Nacional de Desenvolvimento Científico e Tecnológico (CNPq)

Desenvolvimento de um protótipo para alimentação de pós para aspersão térmica em tocha de plasma

The nanometric powders have special features that usually result in new properties, originating applications or expanding them in various fields of knowledge. Because having a high area/volume ratio, phenomena such as superficial strength of adsorption becomes greater than the weight of the powder which makes more difficult its handling. The high power of agglomeration of these powders requires study and development of equipments to enable its management into the plasma torch. The objective of this work is to develop a powder feeder which can solve the mainly problems about insertion of powder into the thermal spray developed in the laboratory of plasmas, which are carried out with plasma torch arc not transferred (plasma spray). Therefore, it was made a aluminum s powder feeder and tests were performed to verify their operation and determine its rate of deposition by spraying powders of niobium pentoxide (Nb2O5) and titanium dioxide (TiO2) with particle sizes less than 250 mesh (<0.063 mm). We used masses of 0.5 g - 1.0 g and 1.5 g of each powder in tests lasting 15 seconds - 20 to 25 seconds for each mass. The tests were performed in two ways: at atmospheric pressure using argon gas with a flow of 9 l / min as carrier gas and through a Venturi pipe also using argon gas with a flow of 9 l / min as carrier gas and with a flow of 20 l/min as the feed gas passing through the Venturi pipe. The powder feeder developed in this paper is very easy to be handling and building, resulting in feeding rate of 0.25 cm3/min - 1.37 cm3/min. The TiO2 showed higher feeding rates than the Nb2O5 in all tests, and the best rates were obtained with tests using mass 1.5 g and time of 15 seconds, reaching feeding rate of 1.37 cm3/min. The flow of feed had low interference in feeding rate during the tests

Produtividade de grãos e exportação de nutrientes de cultivares de arroz irrigadas por aspersão em conseqüência da época de semeadura

No sistema irrigado por aspersão, o uso de cultivares e épocas adequadas de semeadura podem possibilitar a obtenção de altos níveis de produtividade do arroz de terras altas. No entanto, são escassas as informações sobre a exportação de nutrientes pelos grãos dessa cultura nesse sistema de produção. Este trabalho objetivou avaliar o efeito da época de semeadura na produtividade e exportação de nutrientes pelos grãos de cultivares de arroz de terras altas (IAC 201, IAC 202, Carajás, CNA 7800 e CNA 7801), irrigados por aspersão. Os experimentos foram desenvolvidos nos anos agrícolas de 1995/1996 e 1996/1997, em Latossolo Vermelho distrófico, em Selvíria (MS). As semeaduras foram realizadas no início da segunda quinzena de setembro, outubro, novembro, dezembro, janeiro e fevereiro, de cada ano. Foi utilizado o delineamento de blocos ao acaso, em esquema de parcela subdividida, com quatro repetições. A época de semeadura influenciou a produtividade de grãos e exportação de nutrientes pelos grãos. A semeadura realizada em novembro proporcionou maior exportação de nutrientes por promover produtividades mais elevadas. em épocas de semeadura antecipada (setembro), com a cultivar Carajás, a produtividade e a exportação de nutrientes foram superiores às demais; já nas semeaduras de outubro a dezembro, a cultivar CNA 7801 se destacou. No sistema irrigado por aspersão, é possível semeadura em fevereiro com produtividade acima 3.900 kg ha-1 utilizando as cultivares IAC 201 e Carajás.

O índice BODE reflete o nível de atividade física na vida diária de pacientes com DPOC?

Objectives: To study the relationship between the level of physical activity in daily life and disease severity assessed by the BODE index in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Methods: Sixty-seven patients with COPD (36 men) with forced expiratory volume in the first second (FEV(1)) of 39 (27-47)% predicted and age of 66 (61-72) years old were evaluated by spirometry, dyspnea levels (measured by the Medical Research Council scale, MRC) and by the 6-minute walking test (6MWT). The BODE index was calculated based on the body mass index (weight/height(2)), FEV(1), MRC and 6MWT, and then the patients were divided in four quartiles according to their scores (Quartile I: 0 to 2 points, n=15; Quartile II: 3 to 4 points, n=20; Quartile III: 5 to 6 points, n=23; Quartile IV: 7 to 10 points, n=9). Two activity monitors (DynaPort (R) and SenseWear (R)) were used to evaluate the level of physical activity in daily life. The Kruskal-Wallis test (Dunns's post-hoc test), the Mann-Whitney test and the Spearman Correlation Coefficient were used for statistical analysis. Results: There were modest correlation between the BODE index and the time spent walking per day, the total daily energy expenditure and the time spent in moderate and vigorous activities per day (-0.32 <= r <=- 0.47; p <= 0.01 for all variables). When comparing the pooled quartiles I+II with III+IV, there were significant difference between the time spent walking per day, the total daily energy expenditure and the time spent in moderate activities per day (p <= 0.05). Conclusion: The level of physical activity in daily life has a modest correlation with the classification of COPD severity assessed by the BODE index, reflecting only differences between patients with classified as mild-moderate and severe-very severe COPD.

Modelos de sobrevivência com fração de cura e erro de medida nas covariáveis

In this work, we study the survival cure rate model proposed by Yakovlev et al. (1993), based on a competing risks structure concurring to cause the event of interest, and the approach proposed by Chen et al. (1999), where covariates are introduced to model the risk amount. We focus the measurement error covariates topics, considering the use of corrected score method in order to obtain consistent estimators. A simulation study is done to evaluate the behavior of the estimators obtained by this method for finite samples. The simulation aims to identify not only the impact on the regression coefficients of the covariates measured with error (Mizoi et al. 2007) but also on the coefficients of covariates measured without error. We also verify the adequacy of the piecewise exponential distribution to the cure rate model with measurement error. At the end, model applications involving real data are made

Modelos de sobrevivência com fração de cura e omissão nas covariáveis

In this work we study the survival cure rate model proposed by Yakovlev (1993) that are considered in a competing risk setting. Covariates are introduced for modeling the cure rate and we allow some covariates to have missing values. We consider only the cases by which the missing covariates are categorical and implement the EM algorithm via the method of weights for maximum likelihood estimation. We present a Monte Carlo simulation experiment to compare the properties of the estimators based on this method with those estimators under the complete case scenario. We also evaluate, in this experiment, the impact in the parameter estimates when we increase the proportion of immune and censored individuals among the not immune one. We demonstrate the proposed methodology with a real data set involving the time until the graduation for the undergraduate course of Statistics of the Universidade Federal do Rio Grande do Norte