Business model adaptation in new ventures: are technology-based firms different?

A firm’s business model (BM) is an important driver of its relative performance. Constructive adaptation to elements of the BM can therefore sustain the position in light of changing conditions. This study takes a configurational approach to understanding drivers of business model adaptation (BMA) in new ventures. We investigate the effect of human capital, social capital, and technological environment on BMA. We find that a universal, direct effects, analysis can provide useful information, but also risks painting a distorted picture. Contingent, two-way interactions add further explanatory power, but configurational models combining elements of all three (internal resource, external activities, environment) are superior.

k.p based closed form energy band gap and transport electron effective mass model for 100] and 110] relaxed and strained Silicon nanowire

In this paper, we address a physics based closed form model for the energy band gap (E-g) and the transport electron effective mass in relaxed and strained 100] and 110] oriented rectangular Silicon Nanowire (SiNW). Our proposed analytical model along 100] and 110] directions are based on the k.p formalism of the conduction band energy dispersion relation through an appropriate rotation of the Hamiltonian of the electrons in the bulk crystal along 001] direction followed by the inclusion of a 4 x 4 Luttinger Hamiltonian for the description of the valance band structure. Using this, we demonstrate the variation in Eg and the transport electron effective mass as function of the cross-sectional dimensions in a relaxed 100] and 110] oriented SiNW. The behaviour of these two parameters in 100] oriented SiNW has further been studied with the inclusion of a uniaxial strain along the transport direction and a biaxial strain, which is assumed to be decomposed from a hydrostatic deformation along 001] with the former one. In addition, the energy band gap and the effective mass of a strained 110] oriented SiNW has also been formulated. Using this, we compare our analytical model with that of the extracted data using the nearest neighbour empirical tight binding sp(3)d(5)s* method based simulations and has been found to agree well over a wide range of device dimensions and applied strain. (C) 2012 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.

An enthalpy-based model of dendritic growth in a convecting binary alloy melt

Purpose-In the present work, a numerical method, based on the well established enthalpy technique, is developed to simulate the growth of binary alloy equiaxed dendrites in presence of melt convection. The paper aims to discuss these issues. Design/methodology/approach-The principle of volume-averaging is used to formulate the governing equations (mass, momentum, energy and species conservation) which are solved using a coupled explicit-implicit method. The velocity and pressure fields are obtained using a fully implicit finite volume approach whereas the energy and species conservation equations are solved explicitly to obtain the enthalpy and solute concentration fields. As a model problem, simulation of the growth of a single crystal in a two-dimensional cavity filled with an undercooled melt is performed. Findings-Comparison of the simulation results with available solutions obtained using level set method and the phase field method shows good agreement. The effects of melt flow on dendrite growth rate and solute distribution along the solid-liquid interface are studied. A faster growth rate of the upstream dendrite arm in case of binary alloys is observed, which can be attributed to the enhanced heat transfer due to convection as well as lower solute pile-up at the solid-liquid interface. Subsequently, the influence of thermal and solutal Peclet number and undercooling on the dendrite tip velocity is investigated. Originality/value-As the present enthalpy based microscopic solidification model with melt convection is based on a framework similar to popularly used enthalpy models at the macroscopic scale, it lays the foundation to develop effective multiscale solidification.

A probabilistic energy model for non-domestic building sectors applied to analysis of school buildings in greater London

The diversity of non-domestic buildings at urban scale poses a number of difficulties to develop models for large scale analysis of the stock. This research proposes a probabilistic, engineering-based, bottom-up model to address these issues. In a recent study we classified London's non-domestic buildings based on the service they provide, such as offices, retail premise, and schools, and proposed the creation of one probabilistic representational model per building type. This paper investigates techniques for the development of such models. The representational model is a statistical surrogate of a dynamic energy simulation (ES) model. We first identify the main parameters affecting energy consumption in a particular building sector/type by using sampling-based global sensitivity analysis methods, and then generate statistical surrogate models of the dynamic ES model within the dominant model parameters. Given a sample of actual energy consumption for that sector, we use the surrogate model to infer the distribution of model parameters by inverse analysis. The inferred distributions of input parameters are able to quantify the relative benefits of alternative energy saving measures on an entire building sector with requisite quantification of uncertainties. Secondary school buildings are used for illustrating the application of this probabilistic method. © 2012 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

Limitations of Non Model-Based Recognition Schemes

Different approaches to visual object recognition can be divided into two general classes: model-based vs. non model-based schemes. In this paper we establish some limitation on the class of non model-based recognition schemes. We show that every function that is invariant to viewing position of all objects is the trivial (constant) function. It follows that every consistent recognition scheme for recognizing all 3-D objects must in general be model based. The result is extended to recognition schemes that are imperfect (allowed to make mistakes) or restricted to certain classes of objects.

A variational approach to the relaxation of single domain magnetic particles based on Brown's model

Brown's model for the relaxation of the magnetization of a single domain ferromagnetic particle is considered. This model results in the Fokker-Planck equation of the process. The solution of this equation in the cases of most interest is non- trivial. The probability density of orientations of the magnetization in the Fokker-Planck equation can be expanded in terms of an infinite set of eigenfunctions and their corresponding eigenvalues where these obey a Sturm-Liouville type equation. A variational principle is applied to the solution of this equation in the case of an axially symmetric potential. The first (non-zero) eigenvalue, corresponding to the largest time constant, is considered. From this we obtain two new results. Firstly, an approximate minimising trial function is obtained which allows calculation of a rigorous upper bound. Secondly, a new upper bound formula is derived based on the Euler-Lagrange condition. This leads to very accurate calculation of the eigenvalue but also, interestingly, from this, use of the simplest trial function yields an equivalent result to the correlation time of Coffey et at. and the integral relaxation time of Garanin. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.

An HMM-based spectrum occupancy predictor for energy efficient cognitive radio

Spectrum sensing is the cornerstone of cognitive radio technology and refers to the process of obtaining awareness of the radio spectrum usage in order to detect the presence of other users. Spectrum sensing algorithms consume considerable energy and time. Prediction methods for inferring the channel occupancy of future time instants have been proposed as a means of improving performance in terms of energy and time consumption. This paper studies the performance of a hidden Markov model (HMM) spectrum occupancy predictor as well as the improvement in sensing energy and time consumption based on real occupancy data obtained in the 2.4GHz ISM band. Experimental results show that the HMM-based occupancy predictor outperforms a kth order Markov and a 1-nearest neighbour (1NN) predictor. Our study also suggests that by employing such a predictive scheme in spectrum sensing, an improvement of up to 66% can be achieved in the required sensing energy and time.

Reformulação de um Sistema de Gestão de Consumos de Energia

Atualmente a energia é considerada um vetor estratégico nas diversas organizações. Assim sendo, a gestão e a utilização racional da energia são consideradas instrumentos fundamentais para a redução dos consumos associados aos processos de produção do sector industrial. As ações de gestão energética não deverão ficar pela fase do projeto das instalações e dos meios de produção, mas sim acompanhar a atividade da Empresa. A gestão da energia deve ser sustentada com base na realização regular de diagnósticos energéticos às instalações consumidoras e concretizada através de planos de atuação e de investimento que apresentem como principal objetivo a promoção da eficiência energética, conduzindo assim à redução dos respetivos consumos e, consequentemente, à redução da fatura energética. Neste contexto, a utilização de ferramentas de apoio à gestão de energia promovem um consumo energético mais racional, ou seja, promovem a eficiência energética e é neste sentido que se insere este trabalho. O presente trabalho foi desenvolvido na Empresa RAR Açúcar e apresentou como principais objetivos: a reformulação do Sistema de Gestão de Consumos de Energia da Empresa, a criação de um modelo quantitativo que permitisse ao Gestor de Energia prever os consumos anuais de água, fuelóleo e eletricidade da Refinaria e a elaboração de um plano de consumos para o ano de 2014 a partir do modelo criado. A reformulação do respetivo Sistema de Gestão de Consumos resultou de um conjunto de etapas. Numa primeira fase foi necessário efetuar uma caraterização e uma análise do atual Sistema de Gestão de Consumos da Empresa, sistema composto por um conjunto de sete ficheiros de cálculo do programa Microsoft Excel©. Terminada a análise, selecionada a informação pertinente e propostas todas as melhorias a introduzir nos ficheiros, procedeu-se à reformulação do respetivo SGE, reduzindo-se o conjunto de ficheiros de cálculo para apenas dois ficheiros, um onde serão efetuados e visualizados todos os registos e outro onde serão realizados os cálculos necessários para o controlo energético da Empresa. O novo Sistema de Gestão de Consumos de Energia será implementado no início do ano de 2015. Relativamente às alterações propostas para as folhas de registos manuais, estas já foram implementadas pela Empresa. Esta aplicação prática mostrou-se bastante eficiente uma vez que permitiu grandes melhorias processuais nomeadamente, menores tempos de preenchimento das mesmas e um encurtamento das rotas efetuadas diariamente pelos operadores. Através do levantamento efetuado aos diversos contadores foi possível identificar todas as áreas onde será necessário a sua instalação e a substituição de todos os contadores avariados, permitindo deste modo uma contabilização mais precisa de todos os consumos da Empresa. Com esta reestruturação o Sistema de Gestão de Consumos tornou-se mais dinâmico, mais claro e, principalmente, mais eficiente. Para a criação do modelo de previsão de consumos da Empresa foi necessário efetuar-se um levantamento dos consumos históricos de água, eletricidade, fuelóleo e produção de açúcar de dois anos. Após este levantamento determinaram-se os consumos específicos de água, fuelóleo e eletricidade diários (para cada semana dos dois anos) e procedeu-se à caracterização destes consumos por tipo de dia. Efetuada a caracterização definiu-se para cada tipo de dia um consumo específico médio com base nos dois anos. O modelo de previsão de consumos foi criado com base nos consumos específicos médios dos dois anos correspondentes a cada tipo de dia. Procedeu-se por fim à verificação do modelo, comparando-se os consumos obtidos através do modelo (consumos previstos) com os consumos reais de cada ano. Para o ano de 2012 o modelo apresenta um desvio de 6% na previsão da água, 12% na previsão da eletricidade e de 6% na previsão do fuelóleo. Em relação ao ano de 2013, o modelo apresenta um erro de 1% para a previsão dos consumos de água, 8% para o fuelóleo e de 1% para a eletricidade. Este modelo permitirá efetuar contratos de aquisição de energia elétrica com maior rigor o que conduzirá a vantagens na sua negociação e consequentemente numa redução dos custos resultantes da aquisição da mesma. Permitirá também uma adequação dos fluxos de tesouraria à necessidade reais da Empresa, resultante de um modelo de previsão mais rigoroso e que se traduz numa mais-valia financeira para a mesma. Foi também proposto a elaboração de um plano de consumos para o ano de 2014 a partir do modelo criado em função da produção prevista para esse mesmo ano. O modelo apresenta um desvio de 24% na previsão da água, 0% na previsão da eletricidade e de 28% na previsão do fuelóleo.

Asymmetric Smiles, Leverage Effects and Structural Parameters.

In this paper, we characterize the asymmetries of the smile through multiple leverage effects in a stochastic dynamic asset pricing framework. The dependence between price movements and future volatility is introduced through a set of latent state variables. These latent variables can capture not only the volatility risk and the interest rate risk which potentially affect option prices, but also any kind of correlation risk and jump risk. The standard financial leverage effect is produced by a cross-correlation effect between the state variables which enter into the stochastic volatility process of the stock price and the stock price process itself. However, we provide a more general framework where asymmetric implied volatility curves result from any source of instantaneous correlation between the state variables and either the return on the stock or the stochastic discount factor. In order to draw the shapes of the implied volatility curves generated by a model with latent variables, we specify an equilibrium-based stochastic discount factor with time non-separable preferences. When we calibrate this model to empirically reasonable values of the parameters, we are able to reproduce the various types of implied volatility curves inferred from option market data.

The Shape of the Risk Premium: Evidence from a Semiparametric Garch Model.

We examine the relationship between the risk premium on the S&P 500 index return and its conditional variance. We use the SMEGARCH - Semiparametric-Mean EGARCH - model in which the conditional variance process is EGARCH while the conditional mean is an arbitrary function of the conditional variance. For monthly S&P 500 excess returns, the relationship between the two moments that we uncover is nonlinear and nonmonotonic. Moreover, we find considerable persistence in the conditional variance as well as a leverage effect, as documented by others. Moreover, the shape of these relationships seems to be relatively stable over time.

A Statistical Image-Based Shape Model for Visual Hull Reconstruction and 3D Structure Inference

We present a statistical image-based shape + structure model for Bayesian visual hull reconstruction and 3D structure inference. The 3D shape of a class of objects is represented by sets of contours from silhouette views simultaneously observed from multiple calibrated cameras. Bayesian reconstructions of new shapes are then estimated using a prior density constructed with a mixture model and probabilistic principal components analysis. We show how the use of a class-specific prior in a visual hull reconstruction can reduce the effect of segmentation errors from the silhouette extraction process. The proposed method is applied to a data set of pedestrian images, and improvements in the approximate 3D models under various noise conditions are shown. We further augment the shape model to incorporate structural features of interest; unknown structural parameters for a novel set of contours are then inferred via the Bayesian reconstruction process. Model matching and parameter inference are done entirely in the image domain and require no explicit 3D construction. Our shape model enables accurate estimation of structure despite segmentation errors or missing views in the input silhouettes, and works even with only a single input view. Using a data set of thousands of pedestrian images generated from a synthetic model, we can accurately infer the 3D locations of 19 joints on the body based on observed silhouette contours from real images.

American option valuation: implied calibration of GARCH pricing models

This study analyzes the issue of American option valuation when the underlying exhibits a GARCH-type volatility process. We propose the usage of Rubinstein's Edgeworth binomial tree (EBT) in contrast to simulation-based methods being considered in previous studies. The EBT-based valuation approach makes an implied calibration of the pricing model feasible. By empirically analyzing the pricing performance of American index and equity options, we illustrate the superiority of the proposed approach.

Pricing and hedging short sterling options using artificial neural networks

This paper compares the performance of artificial neural networks (ANNs) with that of the modified Black model in both pricing and hedging Short Sterling options. Using high frequency data, standard and hybrid ANNs are trained to generate option prices. The hybrid ANN is significantly superior to both the modified Black model and the standard ANN in pricing call and put options. Hedge ratios for hedging Short Sterling options positions using Short Sterling futures are produced using the standard and hybrid ANN pricing models, the modified Black model, and also standard and hybrid ANNs trained directly on the hedge ratios. The performance of hedge ratios from ANNs directly trained on actual hedge ratios is significantly superior to those based on a pricing model, and to the modified Black model.

The influence of vegetation, fire spread and fire behaviour on biomass burning and trace gas emissions: results from a process-based model

A process-based fire regime model (SPITFIRE) has been developed, coupled with ecosystem dynamics in the LPJ Dynamic Global Vegetation Model, and used to explore fire regimes and the current impact of fire on the terrestrial carbon cycle and associated emissions of trace atmospheric constituents. The model estimates an average release of 2.24 Pg C yr−1 as CO2 from biomass burning during the 1980s and 1990s. Comparison with observed active fire counts shows that the model reproduces where fire occurs and can mimic broad geographic patterns in the peak fire season, although the predicted peak is 1–2 months late in some regions. Modelled fire season length is generally overestimated by about one month, but shows a realistic pattern of differences among biomes. Comparisons with remotely sensed burnt-area products indicate that the model reproduces broad geographic patterns of annual fractional burnt area over most regions, including the boreal forest, although interannual variability in the boreal zone is underestimated.

The transaction cost economics theory of the family firm: family-based human asset specificity and the bifurcation bias

We develop a transaction cost economics theory of the family firm, building upon the concepts of family-based asset specificity, bounded rationality, and bounded reliability. We argue that the prosperity and survival of family firms depend on the absence of a dysfunctional bifurcation bias. The bifurcation bias is an expression of bounded reliability, reflected in the de facto asymmetric treatment of family vs. nonfamily assets (especially human assets). We propose that absence of bifurcation bias is critical to fostering reliability in family business functioning. Our study ends the unproductive divide between the agency and stewardship perspectives of the family firm, which offer conflicting accounts of this firm type's functioning. We show that the predictions of the agency and stewardship perspectives can be usefully reconciled when focusing on how family firms address the bifurcation bias or fail to do so.