Avaluació i predicció del risc de reincidencia en agressors sexuals

En el marc de la intervenció penitenciària amb agressors sexuals, té una especial rellevància la predicció de risc del seu comportament futur, atenent les greus repercussions que poden arribar a tenir les reincidències, tant per a les possibles víctimes com des de la perspectiva de l’impacte mediàtic i pànic moral que generen. En el context internacional, gran part de l’esforç investigador en aquesta matèria ha anat adreçat a l’estandardització de protocols per avaluar el risc de reincidència d’aquests subjectes i orientar la presa de decisions envers ells i la seva vida fora del règim penitenciari. Un dels instruments més novedosos per a la predicció del risc d’agressió sexual és el Sexual Violence Risc – 20 (SVR-20) desenvolupat per un equip d’investigadors canadencs. El treball que aquí es presenta s’inscriu en el marc de l’aplicació pràctica d’aquests procediments predictius al nostre país. L’objectiu principal és aplicar l’SVR-20, de manera retrospectiva, a una mostra d’agressors sexuals per avaluar la capacitat predictiva d’aquest instrument i, així, poder anticipar la possible reincidència dels subjectes. Per aconseguir aquest objectiu, la puntuació total del SVR-20 ha estat correlacionada amb la reincidència veritable, considerant el tractament com una variable a tenir en compte. La regressió logística ha estat utilitzada per examinar el calibratge del model. Aquesta anàlisi avalua el grau de correspondència entre les probabilitats predites (de reincidència) i la reincidència esdevinguda. L’SVR-20 prediu correctament el 55% dels no-reincidents i el 16% dels reincidents. Podem afirmar que aquest model prediu molt millor la reincidència que la no-reincidència. A més, la predicció millora quan hi incloem la variable de tractament. Aquest estudi és el primer a Catalunya que avalua la validesa predictiva d’un instrument d’avaluació del risc de violència sexual. Futures recerques haurien de centrar-se a estimar un punt de tall per a l’SVR-20 que permeti classificar els subjectes de risc de reincidència dels subjectes segurs.

Evaluación y predicción del riesgo de reincidencia en agresores sexuales

Puesto que es muy importante la predicción del riesgo de reincidencia en agresores sexuales, la investigación que aquí se presenta tiene como objetivo la aplicación de uno de los instrumentos más novedosos para la predicción del riesgo de agresión sexual, el Sexual Violence Risc – 20 (SVR-20) desarrollado por un equipo de investigadores canadienses, de manera retrospectiva, a una muestra de agresores sexuales para evaluar la capacidad predictiva de este instrumento y así, poder anticipar la posible reincidencia de los sujetos

Anàlisi de les variables relacionades amb la reincidència dels agressors sexuals. Estudi d’una mostra d’interns de les presons de Catalunya

Les taxes de reincidència dels delinqüents sexuals son, en general més baixes que les de la resta de delinqüents. No obstant, hi ha una part que tenen una major probabilitat de tornar a delinquir i que tenen unes característiques de risc que els diferencien dels altres. S’ha dut a terme un estudi retrospectiu amb la totalitat dels delinqüents sexuals que van sortir de les presons de Catalunya entre l’1 de gener de 1998 i el 31 de desembre de 2001. El període de seguiment promig és de sis anys i nou mesos. S’han avaluat les taxes de reincidència en delictes sexuals, delictes no sexuals (generals) i en qualsevol tipus de delicte. Un 5,7 % va tornar a delinquir en delictes sexuals, el 13,2 dels subjectes va reincidir en delictes no sexuals i el 18,8 % va tornar a cometre qualsevol tipus de delicte. Entre les variables de risc, el nombre de delictes sexuals pels que compleixen condemna abans de sortir en llibertat i el tipus de víctima influeixen en la reincidència sexual, encara que respecte a la segona no es va poder calcular la significació estadística. També van tenir un pes significatiu l’edat del primer ingrés i la versatilitat delictiva. Pel que fa a la reincidència general, les variables relacionades amb la carrera delictiva i trets antisocials, a més de les condicions de la condemna, van ser les variables de més influencia. No s’ha trobat relació entre el tractament i la reincidència. Posteriorment a l’estudi d’aquestes variables van ser entrevistats vuit dels 11 subjectes que havien reincidit en delictes sexuals. A partir de l’anàlisi de les entrevistes es va elaborar un sistema de classificació dels principals components del procés del delicte. De la revisió del procés de cada subjecte apareixen dos perfils diferenciats.

Validesa, generalització i seguiment del programa prosocial. Un estudi transversal i longitudinal

Aquest projecte és una continuació lògica de la investigació realitzada durant l’any 2005. Ha consistit en l’aplicació del programa a un conjunt de joves infractors de les terres de Lleida i el seu seguiment per conèixer la possible reincidència en el delicte. L’objectiu general era disposar d’un instrument d’intervenció eficaç en Medi Obert per al tractament de menors amb mesures judicials, de manera que els menors es vegin beneficiats pel contingut d’un programa que augmenta la competència i autoestima prosocial. L’estudi s’ha fet amb 10 menors, 5 en el grup experimental i 5 en el grup de control, dintre de la població que al començament de 2006 es trobava sota mesura imposada pel jutge de llibertat vigilada o sota mesura de realització de tasques socioeducatives. Els resultats del seguiment dels menors que han realitzat el programa porta als autors a concloure que la taxa de reincidència en el delicte és molt inferior en els joves que han seguit el programa que en els que no l’han seguit. Aquesta taxa també és inferior a la mitjana de reincidència per mesures de medi obert de Lleida i Catalunya

Análisis de las variables relacionadas con la reincidencia de los agresores sexuales. Estudio de una muestra de internos de las prisiones de Catalunya

Con esta investigación se pretende llegar a concretar aquellos factores que pueden tener relación con la reincidencia de los delincuentes sexuales que salen de los centros penitenciarios de Catalunya. Estas conclusiones han de permitir en el futuro enriquecer los programas de tratamiento mediante la inclusión de contenidos y el establecimiento de criterios de individualización de la intervención.

Assessing multiple sclerosis activity: is the in vitro production of tumor necrosis factor-alpha, interleukins 2, 6, 4, and 10, and immunoglobulin G of value?

Tumor necrosis factor (TNF) alpha, interleukins (IL) 2, 4, 6, and 10, and IgG oligoclonal bands (IgG OB) in vitro production was assessed, after whole-blood stimulation with lipopolysaccharide or concanavalin A, in 61 patients presenting with relapsing-remitting, relapsing-progressive, or chronic progressive multiple sclerosis. Multiple sclerosis patients were receiving no treatment or azathioprine (AZA), cyclosporin, cyclophosphamide, subcutaneous interferon (IFN) beta 1 a, or corticosteroids (CST). Statistical correlations significantly showed that: (a) AZA lowers TNF-alpha (P = 0.002) and increases IL-4 production (P = 0.0024), and IFN-beta 1 a increases TNF-alpha and decreases IL-4 levels; (b) CST has a negative effect on TNF-alpha, IL-6, and IL-4 synthesis; and (c) AZA, IFN-beta 1 a, and CST diminish IgG OB synthesis (P = 0.001). Although our study of the dynamics of TNF-alpha, IL-2, IL-4, IL-6, and IL-10 in vitro production generally found no statistically significant correlations (partly explained by the limited number of values in the various groups), IL-6 was shown to drop during the periods surrounding relapse (P = 0.05) in the absence of treatment, while TNF-alpha (P = 0.04) and IL-6 (P < 0.05) dropped before exacerbation in the presence of AZA. In vitro production of TNF-alpha was closely and positively correlated with that of IL-6, independently of clinical features. The enhanced production of IL-10 detected before or at relapse with AZA and IFN-beta 1 a (trends) may interfere with initiation of the immune reaction and with the development of new CNS lesions. Some discrepancies with previously published results stress the difficulties in studying the state of stimulation of different populations of leukocytes by using a variety of in vitro stimuli and in establishing a correlation between mRNA studies and the amount of final or active protein produced.

Detection of Mycobacterium leprae DNA by polymerase chain reaction in the blood of individuals, eight years after completion of anti-leprosy therapy

Thirty eight patients with indeterminate leprosy (HI), at least 4 to 6 years after discharge from multibacillary (MB) or paucibacillary (PB) schemes of anti leprosy multidrug therapy (MDT), were submitted to traditional diagnostic procedures for leprosy and to polymerase chain reaction (PCR) analysis of different clinical samples for detection of Mycobacterium leprae DNA. No significant difference was observed for any of the parameters analyzed between PB or MB schemes of treatment and no indications were found for more efficient outcome of HI using the MB scheme. Remarkably, 18 (54.5%) of the individuals were PCR positive in at least one of the samples: positivity of PCR was highest in blood samples and four individuals were PCR positive in blood and some other sample. Upon comparison of PCR results with clinical and histopathological parameters, no correlation was found between PCR-positivity and eventual relapse. This is the first report on detection of M. leprae DNA in PB patients, more than half a decade after completion of MDT, suggesting that live bacilli are present and circulating much longer than expected, although reinfection of the individuals can not be excluded. Overall, we feel that because of the high sensitivity of the assay, extreme care should be taken about association of PCR results, efficacy of treatment and disease status.

Efficacy of L-asparaginase with methotrexate and dexamethasone (AspaMetDex regimen) in patients with refractory or relapsing extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma, a phase 2 study.

Extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma, nasal type, is a rare and highly aggressive disease with a grim prognosis. No therapeutic strategy is currently identified in relapsing patients. We report the results of a French prospective phase II trial of an L-asparaginase-containing regimen in 19 patients with relapsed or refractory disease treated in 13 centers. Eleven patients were in relapse and 8 patients were refractory to their first line of treatment. L-Asparaginase-based treatment yielded objective responses in 14 of the 18 evaluable patients after 3 cycles. Eleven patients entered complete remission (61%), and only 4 of them relapsed. The median overall survival time was 1 year, with a median response duration of 12 months. The main adverse events were hepatitis, cytopenia, and allergy. The absence of antiasparaginase antibodies and the disappearance of Epstein-Barr virus serum DNA were significantly associated with a better outcome. These data confirm the excellent activity of L-asparaginase-containing regimens in extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma. L-Asparaginase-based treatment should thus be considered for salvage therapy, especially in patients with disseminated disease. First-line L-asparaginase combination therapy for extranodal NK/T-cell lymphoma warrants evaluation in prospective trials. This trial is registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT00283985.

Prevalence of social phobia in a clinical sample of drug dependent patients.

INTRODUCTION: Social phobia is among the most frequent psychiatric disorders and can be classified into two subtypes, nongeneralized and generalized. Whereas it significantly worsens the morbidity of comorbid substance abuse disorders, and it often is associated with reduced treatment responses, there is still lacking data on its prevalence in clinical populations of drug abusing patients. METHODS: The study sample consisted of 75 inpatients and 75 outpatients meeting DSM-IV criteria for drug dependence. Symptoms of social phobia were assessed with the French-language version of the Liebowitz Social Anxiety Scale (LSAS). RESULTS: Prevalence rate were 20% for the generalized subtype and 42.6% for the nongeneralized subtype. Gender difference emerged in the severity of fear, women reporting significantly greater fear relating to performance situations than men. CONCLUSIONS: An important proportion of patients with substance dependence present a comorbid generalized or nongeneralized social phobia. Early recognition of social phobia and adequate interventions is warranted for these patients in order to improve their treatment response with regard to quality of life and relapse prevention.

Decreased local control following radiation therapy alone in early-stage glottic carcinoma with anterior commissure extension.

PURPOSE: To assess the patterns of failure in the treatment of early-stage squamous cell carcinoma of the glottic larynx. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Between 1983-2000, 122 consecutive patients treated for early laryngeal cancer (UICC T1N0 and T2N0) by radical radiation therapy (RT) were retrospectively studied. Male-to-female ratio was 106 : 16, and median age 62 years (35-92 years). There were 68 patients with T1a, 18 with T1b, and 36 with T2 tumors. Diagnosis was made by biopsy in 104 patients, and by laser vaporization or stripping in 18. Treatment planning consisted of three-dimensional (3-D) conformal RT in 49 (40%) patients including nine patients irradiated using arytenoid protection. A median dose of 70 Gy (60-74 Gy) was given (2 Gy/fraction) over a median period of 46 days (21-79 days). Median follow-up period was 85 months. RESULTS: The 5-year overall, cancer-specific, and disease-free survival amounted to 80%, 94%, and 70%, respectively. 5-year local control was 83%. Median time to local recurrence in 19 patients was 13 months (5-58 months). Salvage treatment consisted of surgery in 17 patients (one patient refused salvage and one was inoperable; total laryngectomy in eleven, and partial laryngectomy or cordectomy in six patients). Six patients died because of laryngeal cancer. Univariate analyses revealed that prognostic factors negatively influencing local control were anterior commissure extension, arytenoid protection, and total RT dose < 66 Gy. Among the factors analyzed, multivariate analysis (Cox model) demonstrated that anterior commissure extension, arytenoid protection, and male gender were the worst independent prognostic factors in terms of local control. CONCLUSION: For early-stage laryngeal cancer, outcome after RT is excellent. In case of anterior commissure extension, surgery or higher RT doses are warranted. Because of a high relapse risk, arytenoid protection should not be attempted.

Malaria during pregnancy in a reference centre from the Brazilian Amazon: unexpected increase in the frequency of Plasmodium falciparum infections

Malaria remains globally the most important parasitic disease of man. Data on its deleterious effects during pregnancy have been extensively documented in hyperendemic, holoendemic, and mesoendemic areas from Africa and Asia where Plasmodium falciparum is responsible for almost all infections. However, knowledge about malaria during pregnancy in areas where transmission is unstable and P. vivax is the most prevalent species, such as the Brazilian Amazon, is scarce. Here, we report a preliminary cross sectional descriptive study, carried out at the Fundação de Medicina Tropical do Amazonas, a reference centre for diagnosis and treatment of tropical diseases in the west-Amazon (Manaus, Brazil). A total of 1699 febrile childbearing age women had positive thick blood smears to Plasmodium species, between January and November 1997: 1401 (82.5%) were positive for P. vivax , 286 (16.8%) for P. falciparum and 12 (0.07%) carried mixed infections. From the malarious patients, 195 were pregnant. The ratio of P. falciparum to P. vivax infections in the group of non-pregnant infected women was 1:5.6 while it was 1:2.3 in that of pregnant infected ones. Similar rates or even proportionally more vivax infections during pregnancy were expected to occur, in function of the contraindication of primaquine with the resulting increased P. vivax relapse rates. Such an observation suggests that the mechanism of resistance/susceptibility to infection and/or malaria pathogenesis in pregnant women may differ according to Plasmodium species and that the extensively described increase in the frequencies of malaria infection during pregnancy may be specifically due to P. falciparum infection.

Autologous Stem Cell Transplantation (ASCT) for Enteropathy-Associated T-Cell Lymphoma (EATL): Final Analysis of a Retrospective Study On the Behalf of Lymphoma Working Party (LWP) of the European Group for Blood and Marrow Transplantation (EBMT).

Background: EATL is a rare subtype of peripheral T-cell lymphomas characterized by primarily intestinal localization and a frequent association with celiac disease. The prognosis is considered to be poor with conventional chemotherapy. Limited data is available on the efficacy of ASCT in this lymphoma subtype. Primary objective: was to study the outcome of ASCT as a consolidation or salvage strategy for EATL. The primary endpoint was overall survival (OS) and progression-free survival (PFS). Eligible patients were > 18 years who had received ASCT between 2000-2010 for EATL that was confirmed by review of written histopathology reports, and had sufficient information on disease history and follow-up available. The search strategy used the EBMT database to identify patients potentially fulfilling the eligibility criteria. An additional questionnaire was sent to individual transplant centres to confirm histological diagnosis (histopathology report or pathology review) as well as updated follow-up data. Patients and transplant characteristics were compared between groups using X2 test or Fisher's exact test for categorical variables and t-test or Mann-Whiney U-test for continuous variables. OS and PFS were estimated using the Kaplan-Meier product-limit estimate and compared by the log-rank test. Estimates for non-relapse mortality (NRM) and relapse or progression were calculated using cumulative incidence rates to accommodate competing risk and compared to Gray's test. Results: Altogether 138 patients were identified. Updated follow-up data was received from 74 patients (54 %) and histology report from 54 patients (39 %). In ten patients the diagnosis of EATL could not be adequately verified. Thus the final analysis included 44. There were 24 males and 20 females with a median age of 56 (35-72) years at the time of transplant. Twenty-five patients (57 %) had a history of celiac disease. Disease stage was I in nine patients (21 %), II in 14 patients (33 %) and IV in 19 patients (45 %). Twenty-four patients (55 %) were in the first CR or PR at the time of transplant. BEAM was used as a high-dose regimen in 36 patients (82 %) and all patients received peripheral blood grafts. The median follow-up for survivors was 46 (2-108) months from ASCT. Three patients died early from transplant-related reasons translating into a 2-year non-relapse mortality of 7 %. Relapse incidence at 4 years after ASCT was 39 %, with no events occurring beyond 2.5 years after ASCT. PFS and OS were 54 % and 59 % at four years, respectively. There was a trend for better OS in patients transplanted in the first CR or PR compared to more advanced disease status (70 % vs. 43 %, p=0.053). Of note, patients with a history of celiac disease had superior PFS (70 % vs. 35 %, p=0.02) and OS (70 % vs. 45 %, p=0.052) whilst age, gender, disease stage, B-symptoms at diagnosis or high-dose regimen were not associated with OS or PFS. Conclusions: This study shows for the first time in a larger patient sample that ASCT is feasible in selected patients with EATL and can yield durable disease control in a significant proportion of the patients. Patients transplanted in first CR or PR appear to do better than those transplanted later. ASCT should be considered in EATL patients responding to initial therapy.

The promise of advanced imaging techniques for the detection of hepatitis C virus antigens in the infected liver.

Injection drug use before and after liver transplantation: a retrospective multicenter analysis on incidence and outcome. Clin Transplant 2009 DOI: 10.1111/j.1399-0012.2009.01121.x. Background and aims: Injecting drug use (IDU) before and after liver transplantation (LT) is poorly described. The aim of this study was to quantify relapse and survival in this population and to describe the causes of mortality after LT. Methods: Past injection drug users were identified from the LT listing protocols from four centers in Switzerland and France. Data on survival and relapse were collected and used for uni- and multivariate analysis. Results: Between 1988 and 2006, we identified 59 patients with a past history of IDU. The mean age at transplantation was 42.4 yr and the majority of patients were men (84.7%). The indication for LT was for the vast majority viral cirrhosis accounting for 91.5% of cases, while alcoholic cirrhosis was 5.1%. There were 16.9% of patients who had a substitution therapy before and 6.8% who continued after LT. Two patients (3.4%) relapsed into IDU after LT and died at 18 and 41 months. The mean follow-up was 51 months. Overall survival was 84%, 66%, and 61% at 1, 5, and 10 yr after transplantation. Conclusions: Documented IDU was rare in liver transplanted patients. Past IDU was not associated with poorer survival after LT, and relapse after LT occurred in 3.4%.

Treatment of chronic hepatitis c in 3 patients with hcv-induced severe thrombocytopenia

BACKGROUND: Thrombocytopenia has been described in HCV infection even in the absence of cirrhosis and splenomegaly. Different mechanisms have been proposed, including immunemediated platelet (plt) destruction. Here, we report on the treatment of 3 patients with HCV-HIV coinfection and HCVinduced severe thrombocytopenia. PATIENTS AND TREATMENT: All patients had an infection with HCV genotype 3, an intermediate fibrosis stage (Metavir F2 or F3), HIV infection controlled by antiretroviral combination therapy, and severe, steroid-refractory thrombocytopenia. Pegylated interferon-α2a (PEG-IFN-α2a) was started at 45 or 90 μg per week and doses were rapidly increased in the following, while ribavirin (RBV) was prescribed at standard doses. Treatment was pursued for 48 weeks. Two patients received intravenous immunoglobulins (IVIG) during the first weeks of PEG-IFN-α2a and RBV combination therapy. RESULTS: A significant increase in plt counts (from 17, 39 and 37 G/l, respectively, to > 100 G/l) was observed in the 3 patients while they experienced a virological response. Thrombocytopenia relapsed in one patient together with a relapse of chronic hepatitis C. The other 2 patients achieved a sustained virological response (SVR), with normal plt counts at follow-up in one and persistent mild thrombocytopenia in the other. CONCLUSIONS: Carefully titrated PEG-IFN-α2a and RBV combination therapy may be performed safely in this difficult-totreat patient population, with close monitoring and eventually concomitant IVIG during the first weeks. SVR can lead to normalization or significant improvement of plt counts, suggesting a causative role of HCV in this condition.

Less mortality but more relapses in experimental allergic encephalomyelitis in CD8-/- mice.

Mice lacking in CD8 were generated from homologous recombination in embryonal stem cells at the CD8 locus and bred with the experimental allergic encephalomyelitis (EAE)-susceptible PL/JH-2u through four backcross generations to investigate the role of CD8+ T cells in this model of multiple sclerosis. The disease onset and susceptibility were similar to those of wild-type mice. However, the mutant mice had a milder acute EAE, reflected by fewer deaths, but more chronic EAE, reflected by a higher frequency of relapse. This suggests that CD8+ T lymphocytes may participate as both effectors and regulators in this animal model.