Escore de risco Dante Pazzanese para síndrome coronariana aguda sem supradesnivelamento do segmento ST

FUNDAMENTO: Em síndrome coronariana aguda (SCA), é importante estimar a probabilidade de eventos adversos. OBJETIVO: Desenvolver um escore de risco em uma população brasileira com SCA sem supradesnivelamento do segmento ST (SST). MÉTODOS: Foram avaliados prospectivamente 1.027 pacientes em um centro brasileiro de cardiologia. Um modelo de regressão logística múltipla foi desenvolvido para prever o risco de morte ou de (re)infarto em 30 dias. A acurácia preditiva do modelo foi determinada pelo C statistic. RESULTADOS: O evento combinado ocorreu em 54 pacientes (5,3%). O escore foi criado pela soma aritmética de pontos dos preditores independentes, cujas pontuações foram designadas pelas respectivas probabilidades de ocorrência do evento. As seguintes variáveis foram identificadas: aumento da idade (0 a 9 pontos); antecedente de diabete melito (2 pontos) ou de acidente vascular cerebral (4 pontos); não utilização prévia de inibidor da enzima conversora da angiotensina (1 ponto); elevação da creatinina (0 a 10 pontos); e combinação de elevação da troponina I cardíaca e depressão do segmento ST (0 a 4 pontos). Foram definidos quatro grupos de risco: muito baixo (até 5 pontos); baixo (6 a 10 pontos); intermediário (11 a 15 pontos); e alto risco (16 a 30 pontos). O C statistic para a probabilidade do evento foi de 0,78 e para o escore de risco em pontuação de 0,74. CONCLUSÃO: Um escore de risco foi desenvolvido para prever morte ou (re)infarto em 30 dias em uma população brasileira com SCA sem SST, podendo facilmente ser aplicável no departamento de emergência.

Comparação entre troponina I cardíaca e CK-MB massa em síndrome coronariana aguda sem supra de ST

FUNDAMENTO: Há incertezas do valor prognóstico comparativo entre troponina I cardíaca (cTnI) e CK-MB em síndrome coronariana aguda (SCA). OBJETIVO: Comparar o valor prognóstico entre a cTnI e a CK-MB massa em pacientes com SCA sem supradesnível do segmento ST. MÉTODOS: Foram analisados 1.027 pacientes, de modo prospectivo, em um centro terciário de cardiologia. Combinações dos biomarcadores foram examinadas: cTnI normal, CK-MB massa normal (65,5%); cTnI normal, CK-MB massa elevada (3,9%); cTnI elevada, CK-MB massa normal (8,8%); cTnI elevada, CK-MB massa elevada (20,7%). Análise multivariada de variáveis clínicas, eletrocardiográficas e laboratoriais determinou o valor prognóstico independente dos biomarcadores para o evento de morte ou (re)infarto em 30 dias. RESULTADOS: Pacientes com pelo menos um biomarcador elevado foram mais idosos (p = 0,02) e do sexo masculino (p < 0,001). Uso prévio de aspirina (p = 0,001), betabloqueador (p = 0,003) ou estatina (p = 0,013) foi mais frequente naqueles sem elevação da cTnI. Pacientes com elevação de ambos os biomarcadores tinham mais depressão do segmento ST (p < 0,001) ou creatinina elevada (p < 0,001). Em análise multivariada com a inclusão da cTnI, a CK-MB massa não foi variável independente para o evento de morte ou (re)infarto em 30 dias (odds ratio [OR] 1,16; p = 0,71). Quando não se incluiu a cTnI, teve-se: idade (OR 1,07; p < 0,001); sexo masculino (OR 1,09; p = 0,77); diabete melito (OR 1,95; p = 0,02); acidente vascular cerebral prévio (OR 3,21; p = 0,008); creatinina elevada (OR 1,63; p = 0,002); elevação da CK-MB massa (OR 1,96; p = 0,03); estatística-C 0,77 (p < 0,001). CONCLUSÃO: Com dosagem da cTnI, a CK-MB massa pode ser dispensável para avaliação prognóstica. Na indisponibilidade da cTnI, a CK-MB massa é aceitável para decisão terapêutica.

Correlação dos escores de risco com a anatomia coronária na síndrome coronária aguda sem supra-ST

FUNDAMENTO:Há poucas publicações sobre a correlação entre escores de risco e anatomia coronária na síndrome coronária aguda (SCA). OBJETIVO: Correlacionar os escores de risco com a gravidade da lesão coronária na SCA sem supra-ST. MÉTODOS: Foram analisados 582 pacientes entre julho de 2004 e outubro de 2006. Avaliou-se a correlação entre os escores de risco TIMI, GRACE hospitalar e em seis meses com lesão coronária > 50%, por método não paramétrico de Spearman. Modelo de regressão logística múltipla foi realizado para determinar a habilidade preditiva dos escores em discriminar quem terá ou não lesão coronária > 50%. RESULTADOS: Foram 319 (54,8%) homens e a média de idade era 59,9 (± 10,6) anos. Correlação positiva foi observada entre a pontuação dos escores de risco e lesão coronária > 50% (escore de risco TIMI r = 0,363 [p < 0,0001]; escore GRACE hospitalar r = 0,255 [p < 0,0001]; escore GRACE em seis meses r = 0,209 [< 0,0001]). A área sob a curva ROC de cada escore para discriminar quem terá ou não lesão coronária > 50% foi: TIMI = 0,704 [IC95% 0,656-0,752; p <0,0001]; GRACE hospitalar = 0,623 [IC 95% 0,573-0,673; p < 0,0001]; GRACE em seis meses = 0,562 [IC95% 0,510-0,613; p = 0,0255]. Na comparação entre as áreas sob a curva ROC, tem-se: TIMI versus GRACE hospitalar: p = 0,01; TIMI versus GRACE em seis meses: p < 0,0001; GRACE hospitalar versus GRACE em seis meses: p = 0,0461. CONCLUSÃO: Os escores de risco se correlacionam com a gravidade das lesões coronárias, sendo o escore de risco TIMI o que demonstrou melhor habilidade preditiva

Validação prospectiva do escore de risco dante pazzanese em síndrome coronariana aguda sem supradesnivelamento do segmento ST

FUNDAMENTO: Em Síndrome Coronariana Aguda (SCA) sem Supradesnivelamento do segmento ST (SST) é importante estimar a probabilidade de eventos adversos. Para esse fim, as diretrizes recomendam modelos de estratificação de risco. O escore de risco Dante Pazzanese (escore DANTE) é um modelo simples de estratificação de risco, composto das variáveis: aumento da idade (0 a 9 pontos); antecedente de diabete melito (2 pontos) ou acidente vascular encefálico (4 pontos); não uso de inibidor da enzima conversora da angiotensina (1 ponto); elevação da creatinina (0 a 10 pontos); combinação de elevação da troponina e depressão do segmento ST (0 a 4 pontos). OBJETIVO: Validar o escore DANTE em pacientes com SCA sem SST. MÉTODOS: Estudo prospectivo, observacional, com inclusão de 457 pacientes, de setembro de 2009 a outubro de 2010. Os pacientes foram agrupados em: muito baixo, baixo, intermediário e alto risco de acordo com a pontuação do modelo original. A habilidade preditiva do escore foi avaliada pela estatística-C. RESULTADOS: Foram 291 (63,7%) homens e a média da idade 62,1 anos (11,04). Dezessete pacientes (3,7%) apresentaram o evento de morte ou (re)infarto em 30 dias. Ocorreu aumento progressivo na proporção do evento, com aumento da pontuação: muito baixo risco = 0,0%; baixo risco = 3,9%; risco intermediário = 10,9%; alto risco = 60,0%; p < 0,0001. A estatística-C foi de 0,87 (IC 95% 0,81-0,94; p < 0,0001). CONCLUSÃO: O escore DANTE apresentou excelente habilidade preditiva para ocorrência dos eventos específicos e pode ser incorporado na avaliação prognóstica de pacientes com SCA sem SST.

Tratamento da parada cardíaca experimental com adrenalina, vasopressina ou placebo

FUNDAMENTO: Na ressuscitação cardiopulmonar (RCP) prolongada, o efeito dos vasoconstritores não foi plenamente esclarecido. OBJETIVOS: Avaliar o efeito pressórico da adrenalina e da vasopressina, e observar o retorno da circulação espontânea (RCE). MÉTODOS: Estudo prospectivo, randomizado, cego e placebo-controlado. Após sete minutos em fibrilação ventricular, porcos receberam ciclos de dois minutos de RCP. Tentou-se a desfibrilação (4 J/kg) uma vez aos 9 minutos e após cada ciclo, conforme o ritmo verificado, reiniciando-se a RCP imediatamente. Aos 9 minutos e depois de cada cinco minutos, aplicou-se adrenalina 0,02 mg/kg (n = 12 porcos), ou vasopressina 0,4 U/kg (n = 12), ou solução salina 0,9% 0,2 mL/kg (n = 8). A RCP continuou por 30 minutos ou até o RCE. RESULTADOS: A pressão de perfusão coronária aumentou para aproximadamente 20 mmHg nos três grupos. Com os vasoconstritores, a pressão alcançou 35 mmHg versus 15 mmHg com placebo (p < 0,001). Com vasopressina, manteve-se efeito de 15-20 mmHg após três doses versus zero com adrenalina ou placebo. Observou-se o RCE com frequência diferente (p = 0,031) entre adrenalina (10/12), vasopressina (6/12) e placebo (2/8). O tempo médio até o RCE não diferiu (16 minutos), nem o número de doses recebidas até então (uma ou duas). Entre os vasoconstritores não houve diferença significante, mas, frente ao placebo, apenas a adrenalina aumentou significantemente o RCE (p = 0,019). CONCLUSÃO: O efeito pressórico inicial dos vasoconstritores foi equivalente, e a vasopressina manteve um efeito tardio na ressuscitação prolongada. Apesar disso, comparando-se ao placebo, apenas a adrenalina aumentou significantemente a frequência do retorno da circulação espontânea.

Association between Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitors and Troponin in Acute Coronary Syndrome

Background:Cardiovascular disease is the leading cause of mortality in the western world and its treatment should be optimized to decrease severe adverse events.Objective:To determine the effect of previous use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors on cardiac troponin I measurement in patients with acute coronary syndrome without ST-segment elevation and evaluate clinical outcomes at 180 days.Methods:Prospective, observational study, carried out in a tertiary center, in patients with acute coronary syndrome without ST-segment elevation. Clinical, electrocardiographic and laboratory variables were analyzed, with emphasis on previous use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and cardiac troponin I. The Pearson chi-square tests (Pereira) or Fisher's exact test (Armitage) were used, as well as the non-parametric Mann-Whitney's test. Variables with significance levels of <10% were submitted to multiple logistic regression model.Results:A total of 457 patients with a mean age of 62.1 years, of whom 63.7% were males, were included. Risk factors such as hypertension (85.3%) and dyslipidemia (75.9%) were the most prevalent, with 35% of diabetics. In the evaluation of events at 180 days, there were 28 deaths (6.2%). The statistical analysis showed that the variables that interfered with troponin elevation (> 0.5 ng / mL) were high blood glucose at admission (p = 0.0034) and ST-segment depression ≥ 0.5 mm in one or more leads (p = 0.0016). The use of angiotensin-converting inhibitors prior to hospitalization was associated with troponin ≤ 0.5 ng / mL (p = 0.0482). The C-statistics for this model was 0.77.Conclusion:This study showed a correlation between prior use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors and reduction in the myocardial necrosis marker troponin I in patients admitted for acute coronary syndrome without ST-segment elevation. However, there are no data available yet to state that this reduction could lead to fewer severe clinical events such as death and re-infarction at 180 days.

Human Tissue Kallikrein Activity in Angiographically Documented Chronic Stable Coronary Artery Disease

AbstractBackground:Human tissue kallikrein (hK1) is a key enzyme in the kallikrein–kinin system (KKS). hK1-specific amidase activity is reduced in urine samples from hypertensive and heart failure (HF) patients. The pathophysiologic role of hK1 in coronary artery disease (CAD) remains unclear.Objective:To evaluate hK1-specific amidase activity in the urine of CAD patientsMethods:Sixty-five individuals (18–75 years) who underwent cardiac catheterism (CATH) were included. Random midstream urine samples were collected immediately before CATH. Patients were classified in two groups according to the presence of coronary lesions: CAD (43 patients) and non-CAD (22 patients). hK1 amidase activity was estimated using the chromogenic substrate D-Val-Leu-Arg-Nan. Creatinine was determined using Jaffé’s method. Urinary hK1-specific amidase activity was expressed as µM/(min · mg creatinine) to correct for differences in urine flow rates.Results:Urinary hK1-specific amidase activity levels were similar between CAD [0.146 µM/(min ·mg creatinine)] and non-CAD [0.189 µM/(min . mg creatinine)] patients (p = 0.803) and remained similar to values previously reported for hypertensive patients [0.210 µM/(min . mg creatinine)] and HF patients [0.104 µM/(min . mg creatinine)]. CAD severity and hypertension were not observed to significantly affect urinary hK1-specific amidase activity.Conclusion:CAD patients had low levels of urinary hK1-specific amidase activity, suggesting that renal KKS activity may be reduced in patients with this disease.

Predictors of Atrial Fibrillation Recurrence in Hyperthyroid and Euthyroid Patients

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common arrhythmia in adults, and is encountered in 10-15% of the patients with hyperthyroidism. Unless euthyroidism is restored, pharmacological or electrical cardioversion is controversial in patients with AF who remain hyperthyroid. Objective: The aim of this study was to assess the efficacy of electrical cardioversion and predictors of AF recurrence in hyperthyroid and euthyroid patients. Methods: The study included 33 hyperthyroid (21 males) and 48 euthyroid (17 males) patients with persistent AF. The patients were sedated with intravenous midazolam before undergoing electrical cardioversion delivered by synchronized biphasic shocks. Rates of AF recurrence were recorded. Results: Mean follow-up was 23.63 ± 3.74 months in the hyperthyroid group and 22.78 ± 3.15 months in the euthyroid group (p = 0.51). AF recurred in 14 (43.8%) and 21 (44.7%) patients in each group, respectively (p = 0.93). Multivariate regression analysis in each group showed that AF duration was the only predictor of AF recurrence, with odds ratios of 1.38 (95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.05 - 1.82, p = 0.02) in the hyperthyroid group and 1.42 (95% CI = 1.05 - 1.91, p= 0.02) in the euthyroid group. Conclusion: Rates of long-term AF recurrence were similar in successfully cardioverted hyperthyroid and euthyroid patients. The only predictor of AF recurrence in both groups was AF duration.

The feasibility of forecasting influenza epidemics in Cuba

A large influenza epidemic took place in Havana during the winter of 1988. The epidemiologic surveillance unit of the Pedro Kouri Institute of Tropical Medicine detected the begining of the epidemic wave. The Rvachev-Baroyan mathematical model of the geographic spread of an epidemic was used to forecast this epidemic under routine conditions of the public health system. The expected number of individuals who would attend outpatient services, because of influenza-like illness, was calculated and communicated to the health authorities within enough time to permit the introduction of available control measures. The approximate date of the epidemic peak, the daily expected number of individuals attending medical services, and the approximate time of the end of the epidemic wave were estimated. The prediction error was 12%. The model was sufficienty accurate to warrant its use as a pratical forecasting tool in the Cuban public health system.

Forecast of acute respiratory infections: expected nonepidemic mobidity in Cuba

A forecast of nonepidemic morbidity due to acute respiratory infections were carry out by using time series analysis. The data consisted of the weekly reports of medical patient consultation from ambulatory facilities from the whole country. A version of regression model was fitted to the data. Using this approach, we were able to detect the starting data of the epidemic under routine surveillance conditions for various age groups. It will be necessary to improve the data reporting system in order to introduce these procedures at the local health center level, as well as on the provincial level.

Sleep structure and cardiometabolic disorders in the general population : the Hypnolaus study

Objectives: Previous studies using subjective assessments have reported associations between sleep quantity and quality and cardiometabolic disorders, but little is known regarding the associ-ations with objective sleep characteristics. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the association between objective sleep measure sand metabolic syndrome (MS), hypertension, diabetes and obesity. Methods: 2162 subjects (51.2% women, mean age 58,11.1) from the general population were evaluated for hypertension,diabetes, overweight/obesity and MS, and underwent a full polysom-nography (PSG). PSG measured variables included: Total sleep time(TST), percentage and time spent in slow wave sleep (SWS) and in rapid eye movement (REM) sleep, sleep efficiency and arousal index(ArI) Results: In univariate analyses, MS was associated with decreased TST, SWS, REM sleep, sleep efficiency and increased ArI. After adjustment for age, gender, smoking, alcohol, physical activity, drugsthat affect sleep and depression, the ArI remained significantly higher, but the difference disappeared in subjects without significant sleep disordered breathing (SDB). Differences in sleep structure were also found according to the presence or absence of hypertension, diabetes and overweight/obesity in univariate analysis. However, these differences were attenuated after multivariate adjustment and after excluding subjects with significant SDB. Conclusions: In this population-based sample we found significant associations between sleep structure and MS, hypertension, diabetes and obesity. However, these associations were cancelled after multivariate adjustment. We conclude that normal variations in sleep contribute little if any to MS and associated disorders.

Gehring-Hayman theorem for conformal deformations

We study conformal deformations of a uniform space that satisfies the Ahlfors Q-regularity condition on balls of Whitney type. We verify the Gehring–Hayman Theorem by using a Whitney Covering of the space.

Acute respiratory infections in children living in two low income communities of Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Community studies of non-hospitalized children are essential to obtain a more thorough understanding of acute respiratory infections (ARI) and provide important information for public health authorities. This study identified a total ARI incidence rate (IR) of 4.5 per 100 child-weeks at risk and 0.78 for lower respiratory tract infections (LRI). Disease duration averaged less than one week and produced a total time ill with ARI of 5.8% and for LRI 1.2%. No clear seasonal variation was observed, the sex-specific IR showed a higher proportion of boys becoming ill with ARI and LRI and the peak age-specific IR occurred in infants of 6-11 months. Correlation with risk factors of the child (breastfeeding, vaccination, diarrheal disease, undernourishment) and the environment (crowding, living conditions, maternal age and education) showed marginal increases in the rate ratios, making it difficult to propose clear-cuts targets for action to lower the ARI and LRI morbidity. The importance of an integral maternal-child health care program and public education in the early recognition of LRI is discussed.

Respiratory syncytial virus infections during an epidemic period in Salvador, Brazil: viral antigenic group analysis and description of clinical and epidemiological aspects

Acute respiratory infections (ARI) caused by respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) were studied in 482 children from Salvador, BA, Brazil, over a period of 12 months. The epidemic period of RSV infections in Salvador occurred from February (summer) to August (winter), with peaks in May, June, and July. The grouping characteristics of 84 RSV present in nasopharyngeal secretions of children seen at a reference university hospital were analyzed. RSV represented 17.4% of all cases and 54.5% of the positive samples. Sixty-four RSV strains were assigned to group A and 14 to group B. Both groups circulated in the five months of the epidemic period studied. Infections by both groups of RSV were more frequent in children up to one year of age. The incidence of RSV ARI was slightly more frequent in males, although group B had more infected females.