867 resultados para Global warming potential


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Senior thesis written for Oceanography 445

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Dissertação Final de Mestrado para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil no Ramo de Edificações

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Dissertação de Natureza Científica para obtenção do grau de Mestre em Engenharia Civil na Área de Especialização de Edificações

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Com o aumento da população mundial registado nos últimos anos surgiu também uma maior procura energética. Esse aumento foi inicialmente colmatado recorrendo essencialmente a fontes de origem fóssil, pelo facto destas serem mais baratas. No entanto, essa tendência de preços baixos sofreu o primeiro abalo nos anos 70 do século passado, altura em que o preço do petróleo disparou, devido a questões políticas. Nessa altura ficou visível para os países ocidentais o quanto estes eram dependentes dos países produtores de petróleo que, em geral, são instáveis politicamente. Começou então a procura de fontes energéticas alternativas. Além da questão económica do aumento do preço dos combustíveis, existe também o problema ambiental. Os maiores responsáveis pela emissão de gases efeito estufa (GEE) são os combustíveis fósseis. Os GEE contribuem para o aquecimento global, o que origina fenómenos ambientais severos que poderão levar a mudanças climáticas significativas. As energias renováveis apresentam-se como a solução mais viável ao problema energético e ambiental que se verifica actualmente, porque permitem colmatar o aumento da procura energética de uma forma limpa e sustentável. Na sequência destes problemas surgiram nos últimos anos veículos que permitem reduzir ou mesmo eliminar o consumo de combustíveis fósseis, como os veículos híbridos eléctricos, eléctricos e a hidrogénio. Nesta dissertação analisa-se um sistema que foi pensado para ser implementado em áreas de serviço, que permite efectuar o carregamento de electric vehicles (EV) utilizando energia eléctrica de origem fotovoltaica e a produção de hidrogénio para os fuels cell electric vehicles (FCEV). É efectuada uma análise económica do sistema, uma análise ambiental e analisou-se também o impacto na redução da dependência do país em relação ao exterior, sendo ainda efectuada uma pequena análise ao sistema MOBIE. No caso dos veículos a hidrogénio, foi determinada qual seria a melhor opção em termos económicos, para a produção de hidrogénio considerando três regimes de produção: recorrendo apenas à energia eléctrica proveniente do sistema fotovoltaico, apenas à energia eléctrica da rede, ou uma combinação dos dois regimes. O sistema estudado nesta dissertação apresenta um enorme potencial a nível energético e ambiental, surgindo como alternativa para abastecer os veículos que irão permitir, no futuro, eliminar a dependência energética em relação às fontes fósseis e ao mesmo tempo diminuir a quantidade de gases efeito estufa emitidos para a atmosfera.

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Les fichiers video (d'animation) sont dans un format Windows Media (.wmv)

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La demande croissante en carburants, ainsi que les changements climatiques dus au réchauffement planétaire poussent le monde entier à chercher des sources d’énergie capables de produire des combustibles alternatifs aux combustibles fossiles. Durant les dernières années, plusieurs sources potentielles ont été identifiées, les premières à être considérées sont les plantes oléagineuses comme source de biocarburant, cependant l’utilisation de végétaux ou d’huiles végétales ayant un lien avec l’alimentation humaine peut engendrer une hausse des prix des denrées alimentaires, sans oublier les questions éthiques qui s’imposent. De plus, l'usage des huiles non comestibles comme sources de biocarburants, comme l’huile de jatropha, de graines de tabac ou de jojoba, révèle un problème de manque de terre arable ce qui oblige à réduire les terres cultivables de l'industrie agricole et alimentaire au profit des cultures non comestibles. Dans ce contexte, l'utilisation de microorganismes aquatiques, tels que les microalgues comme substrats pour la production de biocarburant semble être une meilleure solution. Les microalgues sont faciles à cultiver et peuvent croitre avec peu ou pas d'entretien. Elles peuvent ainsi se développer dans des eaux douces, saumâtres ou salées de même que dans les terres non cultivables. Le rendement en lipide peut être largement supérieur aux autres sources de biocarburant potentiel, sans oublier qu’elles ne sont pas comestibles et sans aucun impact sur l'industrie alimentaire. De plus, la culture intensive de microalgues pour la production de biodiesel pourrait également jouer un rôle important dans l'atténuation des émissions de CO2. Dans le cache de ce travail, nous avons isolé et identifié morphologiquement des espèces de microalgues natives du Québec, pour ensuite examiner et mesurer leur potentiel de production de lipides (biodiesel). L’échantillonnage fut réalisé dans trois régions différentes du Québec: la région de Montréal, la gaspésie et le nord du Québec, et dans des eaux douces, saumâtres ou salées. Cent souches ont été isolées à partir de la région de Montréal, caractérisées et sélectionnées selon la teneur en lipides et leur élimination des nutriments dans les eaux usées à des températures différentes (10 ± 2°C et 22 ± 2°C). Les espèces ayant une production potentiellement élevée en lipides ont été sélectionnées. L’utilisation des eaux usées, comme milieu de culture, diminue le coût de production du biocarburant et sert en même temps d'outil pour le traitement des eaux usées. Nous avons comparé la biomasse et le rendement en lipides des souches cultivées dans une eau usée par apport à ceux dans un milieu synthétique, pour finalement identifié un certain nombre d'isolats ayant montré une bonne croissance à 10°C, voir une teneur élevée en lipides (allant de 20% à 45% du poids sec) ou une grande capacité d'élimination de nutriment (>97% d'élimination). De plus, nous avons caractérisé l'une des souches intéressantes ayant montré une production en lipides et une biomasse élevée, soit la microalgue Chlorella sp. PCH90. Isolée au Québec, sa phylogénie moléculaire a été établie et les études sur la production de lipides en fonction de la concentration initiale de nitrate, phosphate et chlorure de sodium ont été réalisées en utilisant de la méthodologie des surfaces de réponse. Dans les conditions appropriées, cette microalgue pourrait produire jusqu'à 36% de lipides et croitre à la fois dans un milieu synthétique et un milieu issu d'un flux secondaire de traitement des eaux usées, et cela à 22°C ou 10°C. Ainsi, on peut conclure que cette souche est prometteuse pour poursuivre le développement en tant que productrice potentielle de biocarburants dans des conditions climatiques locales.

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El calentamiento global es un fenómeno natural que afecta a todo el planeta tierra sin consecuencias severas. Sin embargo el efecto ampliado de este fenómeno si trae consecuencias graves a nivel climático, un ejemplo de éstas es el incremento en el nivel del mar. Frente a este problema existen territorios más vulnerables que otros a los efectos adversos del calentamiento global, este es el caso de los países que por sus condiciones geográficas, poseen territorios costeros de muy baja altitud. Estos países han conformado una alianza llamada AOSIS para de esta manera poder tener una voz en la comunidad internacional y asimismo poder proteger sus intereses en los escenarios de negociación ambiental. Así, este trabajo estudia el rol que AOSIS ha desempeñado desde el año 2005 al 2009, en las negociaciones ambientales de la Convención Marco de las Naciones Unidas sobre el Cambio Climático; para poder evaluar si AOSIS ha tenido éxito en la consecución de sus objetivos.

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El calentamiento global trae consigo unos supuestos que antes no se contemplaban en las relaciones internacionales. La vulnerabilidad de algunos Estados frente al fenómeno en términos de seguridad, como lo es el caso de Tuvalu, hace que la supervivencia de ciertos países se vea amenazada.

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Os livros didáticos são referência para professores e estudantes na construção das relações entre o ser humano e o meio ambiente, e devem proporcionar práticas capazes de despertar nos estudantes, a formação de uma consciência comprometida com a sustentabilidade socioambiental. O objetivo da investigação voltou-se à compreensão conceitual e metodológica da apresentação dos temas efeito estufa e aquecimento global nos livros didáticos de Geografia, aprovados pelo Plano Nacional do Livro Didático do Ensino Médio e sua interação com o debate articulado com educação ambiental. A análise dos livros se deu de acordo com as categorias: manual do professor, conceito relacionado à temática no texto e metodologia, esta última, direcionada à investigação do texto e de imagens associadas ao efeito estufa e ao aquecimento global. A investigação assumiu a dimensão qualitativa, com orientação centrada na modalidade documental. Os dados recolhidos para a investigação obedeceram ao método de análise de conteúdo, utilizando a técnica de análise temática categorial, proposta por Laurence Bardin. As considerações finais desta investigação apontam na direção de que, mesmo admitindo a relevância das avaliações promovidas pelo Governo Federal Brasileiro, os livros didáticos e seus manuais sugerem a necessidade de aprofundar reflexões que atestem contribuições para a formação de professores e estudantes comprometidos com a sustentabilidade do meio em que vivem.

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Climate models suggest that extreme precipitation events will become more common in an anthropogenically warmed climate. However, observational limitations have hindered a direct evaluation of model-projected changes in extreme precipitation. We used satellite observations and model simulations to examine the response of tropical precipitation events to naturally driven changes in surface temperature and atmospheric moisture content. These observations reveal a distinct link between rainfall extremes and temperature, with heavy rain events increasing during warm periods and decreasing during cold periods. Furthermore, the observed amplification of rainfall extremes is found to be larger than that predicted by models, implying that projections of future changes in rainfall extremes in response to anthropogenic global warming may be underestimated.

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Under global warming, the predicted intensification of the global freshwater cycle will modify the net freshwater flux at the ocean surface. Since the freshwater flux maintains ocean salinity structures, changes to the density-driven ocean circulation are likely. A modified ocean circulation could further alter the climate, potentially allowing rapid changes, as seen in the past. The relevant feedback mechanisms and timescales are poorly understood in detail, however, especially at low latitudes where the effects of salinity are relatively subtle. In an attempt to resolve some of these outstanding issues, we present an investigation of the climate response of the low-latitude Pacific region to changes in freshwater forcing. Initiated from the present-day thermohaline structure, a control run of a coupled ocean-atmosphere general circulation model is compared with a perturbation run in which the net freshwater flux is prescribed to be zero over the ocean. Such an extreme experiment helps to elucidate the general adjustment mechanisms and their timescales. The atmospheric greenhouse gas concentrations are held constant, and we restrict our attention to the adjustment of the upper 1,000 m of the Pacific Ocean between 40°N and 40°S, over 100 years. In the perturbation run, changes to the surface buoyancy, near-surface vertical mixing and mixed-layer depth are established within 1 year. Subsequently, relative to the control run, the surface of the low-latitude Pacific Ocean in the perturbation run warms by an average of 0.6°C, and the interior cools by up to 1.1°C, after a few decades. This vertical re-arrangement of the ocean heat content is shown to be achieved by a gradual shutdown of the heat flux due to isopycnal (i.e. along surfaces of constant density) mixing, the vertical component of which is downwards at low latitudes. This heat transfer depends crucially upon the existence of density-compensating temperature and salinity gradients on isopycnal surfaces. The timescale of the thermal changes in the perturbation run is therefore set by the timescale for the decay of isopycnal salinity gradients in response to the eliminated freshwater forcing, which we demonstrate to be around 10-20 years. Such isopycnal heat flux changes may play a role in the response of the low-latitude climate to a future accelerated freshwater cycle. Specifically, the mechanism appears to represent a weak negative sea surface temperature feedback, which we speculate might partially shield from view the anthropogenically-forced global warming signal at low latitudes. Furthermore, since the surface freshwater flux is shown to play a role in determining the ocean's thermal structure, it follows that evaporation and/or precipitation biases in general circulation models are likely to cause sea surface temperature biases.

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Agriculture, particularly intensive crop production, makes a significant contribution to environmental pollution. A variety of canola (Brassica napus) has been genetically modified to enhance nitrogen use efficiency, effectively reducing the amount of fertilizer required for crop production. A partial life-cycle assessment adapted to crop production was used to assess the potential environmental impacts of growing genetically modified, nitrogen use-efficient (GMNUE) canola in North Dakota and Minnesota compared with a conventionally bred control variety. The analysis took into account the entire production system used to produce 1 tonne of canola. This comprised raw material extraction, processing and transportation, as well as all agricultural field operations. All emissions associated with the production of 1 tonne of canola were listed, aggregated and weighted in order to calculate the level of environmental impact. The findings show that there are a range of potential environmental benefits associated with growing GMNUE canola. These include reduced impacts on global warming, freshwater ecotoxicity, eutrophication and acidification. Given the large areas of canola grown in North America and, in particular, Canada, as well as the wide acceptance of genetically modified varieties in this area, there is the potential for GMNUE canola to reduce pollution from agriculture, with the largest reductions predicted to be in greenhouse gases and diffuse water pollution.

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The transport sector emits a wide variety of gases and aerosols, with distinctly different characteristics which influence climate directly and indirectly via chemical and physical processes. Tools that allow these emissions to be placed on some kind of common scale in terms of their impact on climate have a number of possible uses such as: in agreements and emission trading schemes; when considering potential trade-offs between changes in emissions resulting from technological or operational developments; and/or for comparing the impact of different environmental impacts of transport activities. Many of the non-CO2 emissions from the transport sector are short-lived substances, not currently covered by the Kyoto Protocol. There are formidable difficulties in developing metrics and these are particularly acute for such short-lived species. One difficulty concerns the choice of an appropriate structure for the metric (which may depend on, for example, the design of any climate policy it is intended to serve) and the associated value judgements on the appropriate time periods to consider; these choices affect the perception of the relative importance of short- and long-lived species. A second difficulty is the quantification of input parameters (due to underlying uncertainty in atmospheric processes). In addition, for some transport-related emissions, the values of metrics (unlike the gases included in the Kyoto Protocol) depend on where and when the emissions are introduced into the atmosphere – both the regional distribution and, for aircraft, the distribution as a function of altitude, are important. In this assessment of such metrics, we present Global Warming Potentials (GWPs) as these have traditionally been used in the implementation of climate policy. We also present Global Temperature Change Potentials (GTPs) as an alternative metric, as this, or a similar metric may be more appropriate for use in some circumstances. We use radiative forcings and lifetimes from the literature to derive GWPs and GTPs for the main transport-related emissions, and discuss the uncertainties in these estimates. We find large variations in metric (GWP and GTP) values for NOx, mainly due to the dependence on location of emissions but also because of inter-model differences and differences in experimental design. For aerosols we give only global-mean values due to an inconsistent picture amongst available studies regarding regional dependence. The uncertainty in the presented metric values reflects the current state of understanding; the ranking of the various components with respect to our confidence in the given metric values is also given. While the focus is mostly on metrics for comparing the climate impact of emissions, many of the issues are equally relevant for stratospheric ozone depletion metrics, which are also discussed.

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The rate and magnitude of predicted climate change require that we urgently mitigate emissions or sequester carbon on a substantial scale in order to avoid runaway climate change. Geo- and bioengineering solutions are increasingly proposed as viable and practical strategies for tackling global warming. Biotechnology companies are already developing transgenic “super carbon-absorbing” trees, which are sold as a cost-effective and relatively low-risk means of sequestering carbon. The question posed in this article is, Do super carbon trees provide real benefits or are they merely a fanciful illusion? It remains unclear whether growing these trees makes sense in terms of the carbon cost of production and the actual storage of carbon. In particular, it is widely acknowledged that “carbon-eating” trees fail to sequester as much carbon as they oxidize and return to the atmosphere; moreover, there are concerns about the biodiversity impacts of large-scale monoculture plantations. The potential social and ecological risks and opportunities presented by such controversial solutions warrant a societal dialogue.

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Observations and numerical modelling experiments provide evidence for links between variability in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) and global climate patterns. Reduction in the strength of the overturning circulation is thought to have played a key role in rapid climate change in the past and may have the potential to significantly influence climate change in the future, as noted in the last two IPCC assessment reports (2001, 2007). Both IPCC reports also highlighted the significant uncertainties that exist regarding the future behaviour of the AMOC under global warming. Model results suggest that changes in the AMOC can impact surface air temperature, precipitation patterns and sea level, particularly in areas bordering the North Atlantic, thus affecting human populations. Here current understanding of past, present and future change in the AMOC and the effects of such changes on climate are reviewed. The focus is on observations of the AMOC, how the AMOC influences climate and in what way the AMOC is likely to change over the next few decades and the 21st 34 century. The potential for decadal prediction of the AMOC is also discussed. Finally, the outstanding challenges and possible future directions for AMOC research are outlined.