A new global wheat marketmodel (GLOWMM) for the analysis of wheat export prices

Food commodity prices fluctuations have important impacts on poverty and food insecurity across the world. Conventional models have not provided a complete picture of recent price spikes in agricultural commodity markets, while there is an urgent need for appropriate policy responses. Perhaps new approaches are needed in order to better understand international spill-overs, the feedback between the real and the financial sectors and also the link between food and energy prices. In this paper, we present results from a new worldwide dynamic model that provides short and long-run impulse responses of wheat international prices to various real shocks.

Le virtù elettriche del lucido pennello. Sulla traduzione italiana del Treatise of electricity di Tiberio Cavallo

Questa tesi ha per argomento l'analisi linguistica della traduzione italiana del Treatise of electricity di Tiberio Cavallo (1777) ad opera di Ferdinando Fossi – Trattato completo d'elettricità – (1779). Con questo studio, che prende in esame un particolare episodio letterario, si è inteso esaminare un momento della storia del lessico scientifico italiano al fine di individuarne le peculiarità e sottolinearne le differenze rispetto ai corrispettivi di altre lingue, con speciale attenzione alla lingua inglese. I capitoli introduttivi riportano notizie biografiche e sulla formazione di T. Cavallo e F. Fossi. Nel terzo capitolo viene delineato un quadro della formazione e costituzione del lessico elettrologico italiano, seguendone l'evoluzione nel cinquantennio '40/'90 del XVIII secolo. Una parte della tesi è poi dedicata al fenomeno culturale rappresentato dalle scienze elettriche in cui si inscrive la traduzione del Treatise. Sono qui riportate notizie relative alla fortuna mondana dell'elettricità, per le quali si è attinto a carteggi, documenti d'archivio, testi antichi e studi moderni. L'analisi linguistica vera e propria si è basata sul confronto tra il testo originale di Tiberio Cavallo e la traduzione di Ferdinando Fossi. Partendo dal Treatise abbiamo isolato particolari gruppi di parole: 1) voci corrispondenti a termini propri dei fenomeni elettrici; 2) verbi; 3) strumenti scientifici. Per ognuna della voci abbiamo controllato la ricorsività; poi abbiamo cercato i traducenti corrispondenti, suddividendoli in “corrispondenze assolute” – il traducente è corrispettivo del termine originale –, “corrispondenze mancate” – variazioni nella traduzione di termini ripetuti costantemente –, “tendenza omologatrice” – traduzione univoca di termini semanticamente simili –. Un capitolo sulla lettura critica della traduzione spiega come da parte del Fossi si sia rilevata una sostanziale e sistematica assenza di sensibilità per la precisione terminologica che caratterizza il testo di Cavallo; ove si dimostra che il testo inglese insiste sulla ripetizione dei termini – già stabilizzati e facenti parte di un corpus omogeneo e condiviso –, mentre il testo italiano predilige il ricorso alla "variatio", ricercando una migliore resa stilistica d'insieme piuttosto che la precisione scientifica. Il momento storico-linguistico preso in esame attraverso il particolare caso della traduzione del Treatise vede la lingua italiana sprovvista di una lessico elettrico univoco e condiviso. Complici di questa mancata corrispondenza alle esigenze del linguaggio scientifico moderno sono certamente pregiudizi di ordine retorico, che esaltano l'importanza dello stile e alimentano il disprezzo per i tecnicismi, ma anche e soprattutto la diffusione di traduzioni eterogenee, che danno atto ad una moltiplicazione semantica dei termini realmente in grado di ritardare la formazione di un corpus lessicale condiviso dalla comunità scientifica italiana.

Potential drought stress in a Swiss mountain catchment-Ensemble forecasting of high mountain soil moisture reveals a drastic decrease, despite major uncertainties

Climate change is expected to profoundly influence the hydrosphere of mountain ecosystems. The focus of current process-based research is centered on the reaction of glaciers and runoff to climate change; spatially explicit impacts on soil moisture remain widely neglected. We spatio-temporally analyzed the impact of the climate on soil moisture in a mesoscale high mountain catchment to facilitate the development of mitigation and adaptation strategies at the level of vegetation patterns. Two regional climate models were downscaled using three different approaches (statistical downscaling, delta change, and direct use) to drive a hydrological model (WaSiM-ETH) for reference and scenario period (1960–1990 and 2070–2100), resulting in an ensemble forecast of six members. For all ensembles members we found large changes in temperature, resulting in decreasing snow and ice storage and earlier runoff, but only small changes in evapotranspiration. The occurrence of downscaled dry spells was found to fluctuate greatly, causing soil moisture depletion and drought stress potential to show high variability in both space and time. In general, the choice of the downscaling approach had a stronger influence on the results than the applied regional climate model. All of the results indicate that summer soil moisture decreases, which leads to more frequent declines below a critical soil moisture level and an advanced evapotranspiration deficit. Forests up to an elevation of 1800 m a.s.l. are likely to be threatened the most, while alpine areas and most pastures remain nearly unaffected. Nevertheless, the ensemble variability was found to be extremely high and should be interpreted as a bandwidth of possible future drought stress situations.

Stress parameters and behaviour of horses in walkers with and without the use of electricity

In order to investigate stress responses of horses in walkers with and without electricity, 12 horses were trained during 3 weeks in a horse walker with and without the use of electricity (3.7 kV). To evaluate the stress response, cortisol levels in the blood were measured, the heart rate was monitored using the Polar® system and the behaviour was evaluated. Neither the cortisol levels nor the heart rates showed any relevant statistically significant difference between horses moved in the horse walker with or without the use of electricity. The highest cortisol levels and heart rates were recorded during the first week (habituation period). A significant difference could be observed regarding spontaneous compartment changes: while this happened mainly during the first week and before the first use of electricity, no horses changed compartments in the periods when electricity was used and thereafter. The results of this study indicate that the use of electricity in the horse walker does not seem to cause significant detectable stress in the horses.

The Feasibility of Cuban Market Economy: A Comparison with Vietnam

In spite of the difficulties incurred by its people, Cuba has maintained a centrally planned economy with single party system. On the contrary, Vietnam has introduced a market economy under communist rule, and succeeded in generally improving living standards. The factors that contributed to the introduction of Vietnamese-style reforms are (1) severe economic crisis, (2) demonstration effects from neighboring countries, (3) poor social policy, (4) initiatives by ex-conservative leader/s, and (5) weak state capacity. The conditions to sustain high economic growth are (1) social sectors familiar with capitalist economics, (2) abundant labor forces with relatively low labor cost, and (3) investment by exiles. This paper analyzes to what extent Cuba meets these conditions.

Compatison of S-SI, A-SI and CDTE technologies wording at the same conditions, after the first year of electricity production

Grid connected solar plants are a good opportunity for their use for research as a secondary objective. In countries were feed-in tariffs are still active, it is possible to include in the design of the solar plant elements for its use for research. In the case of the solar plant presented here both objectives are covered. The solar plant of this work is formed by PV modules of three different technologies: Multicrystalline, amorphous and CdTe. In one part of the solar plant, the three technologies are working at the same conditions, not only ambient conditions but also similar voltage and current input to the inverters. Both the commercial and the experimental parts of the solar plant have their own independent inverters with their meters but are finally connected to the same meter to inject. In this work we analyse the results for the first year of operation of the experimental solar plant. Productions of three different technologies in exactly the same conditions are compared and presented. According to the results, all the three technologies have conversion efficiencies dropping when the temperature increases. Amorphous module experiences the lesser reduction, whereas the multicrystalline module suffers the most.

Current Problems Involving the Dismantle of Asbestos- Cement Sheets in Buildings. The Case of Central Market in Alicante

The project and the works described in this article mainly deal with the removal of the current asbestos-cement covering of the roof of the Central Market in Alicante and its replacement with zinc diamond-shaped scales, similar to the originals which were implemented in 1921 when the building was put into service. These upgrades were necessary to avoid the causes (and consequences) of rainwater infiltration, as described in an earlier report in 2006, also drafted by the author of this article. The article illustrates the difficulties involving the practical application of Spanish Code RD 396/2006 (minimum safety and health requirements for work with risk of exposure to asbestos) in a complex case such as this, especially with regard to aspects such as economic (increasing costs), technical (increased difficulty of implementation), and the total duration of the work (total increase in duration due to interference with other trades).