886 resultados para management optimization in age-structured models


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Age related macular degeneration (AMD) is a pathological aging of the macula, brought about by the interaction of genetic and environmental factors. It induces geographic atrophy of the retina and/or choroidal neovascularization. In the latter, abnormal vessels develop from the choriocapillaris, with the involvement of VEGF (vascular endothelial growth factor). The VEGF family includes several factors, including VEGF-A, B, C, D, F and PlGF (placental growth factor). Their biological properties and their affinities to the VEGFR1, VEGFR2 and VEGFR3 receptors found on endothelial cells differ. Exudative AMD involves mainly VEGF-A and VEGF-R2. Anti-VEGF agents used in ophthalmology (ranibizumab, bevacizumab and aflibercept) are designed to primarily target this pathway. In vitro, all have sufficient affinity to their ligands. Their therapeutic efficacy must therefore be judged based on clinical criteria. In clinical practice, the minimum number of injections required for a satisfactory result appears to be comparable with all the three. The few available studies on therapeutic substitutions of anti-VEGF compounds suggest that some patients may benefit from substituting the anti-VEGF in cases of an unsatisfactory response to an initial molecule. Although local side effects, including increased risk of geographic atrophy, and systemic effects, including vascular accidents, have been suggested, these risks remain low, specially compared to the benefits of the treatment. Differences in safety between anti-VEGF are theoretically possible but unproven.

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We present a non-equilibrium theory in a system with heat and radiative fluxes. The obtained expression for the entropy production is applied to a simple one-dimensional climate model based on the first law of thermodynamics. In the model, the dissipative fluxes are assumed to be independent variables, following the criteria of the Extended Irreversible Thermodynamics (BIT) that enlarges, in reference to the classical expression, the applicability of a macroscopic thermodynamic theory for systems far from equilibrium. We analyze the second differential of the classical and the generalized entropy as a criteria of stability of the steady states. Finally, the extreme state is obtained using variational techniques and observing that the system is close to the maximum dissipation rate

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Aim  The imperfect detection of species may lead to erroneous conclusions about species-environment relationships. Accuracy in species detection usually requires temporal replication at sampling sites, a time-consuming and costly monitoring scheme. Here, we applied a lower-cost alternative based on a double-sampling approach to incorporate the reliability of species detection into regression-based species distribution modelling.Location  Doñana National Park (south-western Spain).Methods  Using species-specific monthly detection probabilities, we estimated the detection reliability as the probability of having detected the species given the species-specific survey time. Such reliability estimates were used to account explicitly for data uncertainty by weighting each absence. We illustrated how this novel framework can be used to evaluate four competing hypotheses as to what constitutes primary environmental control of amphibian distribution: breeding habitat, aestivating habitat, spatial distribution of surrounding habitats and/or major ecosystems zonation. The study was conducted on six pond-breeding amphibian species during a 4-year period.Results  Non-detections should not be considered equivalent to real absences, as their reliability varied considerably. The occurrence of Hyla meridionalis and Triturus pygmaeus was related to a particular major ecosystem of the study area, where suitable habitat for these species seemed to be widely available. Characteristics of the breeding habitat (area and hydroperiod) were of high importance for the occurrence of Pelobates cultripes and Pleurodeles waltl. Terrestrial characteristics were the most important predictors of the occurrence of Discoglossus galganoi and Lissotriton boscai, along with spatial distribution of breeding habitats for the last species.Main conclusions  We did not find a single best supported hypothesis valid for all species, which stresses the importance of multiscale and multifactor approaches. More importantly, this study shows that estimating the reliability of non-detection records, an exercise that had been previously seen as a naïve goal in species distribution modelling, is feasible and could be promoted in future studies, at least in comparable systems.

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Kirjoitus perustuu 24.9.1996 pidettyyn esitelmään yhteiskunnan riskien hallintaa käsittelevässä seminaarissa.

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In this paper we analyse, using Monte Carlo simulation, the possible consequences of incorrect assumptions on the true structure of the random effects covariance matrix and the true correlation pattern of residuals, over the performance of an estimation method for nonlinear mixed models. The procedure under study is the well known linearization method due to Lindstrom and Bates (1990), implemented in the nlme library of S-Plus and R. Its performance is studied in terms of bias, mean square error (MSE), and true coverage of the associated asymptotic confidence intervals. Ignoring other criteria like the convenience of avoiding over parameterised models, it seems worst to erroneously assume some structure than do not assume any structure when this would be adequate.

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Summary : The purpose of this study was to investigate the role of the inflammasome in human and experimental murine models (such as ΑΙΑ and K/BxN) of rheumatoid arthritis (RA)RA, affecting 1% of the population is the most frequent inflammatory disease characterized by synovial hyperplasia and cartilage and bone erosion, leading to joint destruction. In general, women are 3 times more affected by RA suggesting a role of estrogen in this disease. The inflammasome is a multiproteic complex triggering the activation of caspase-1 leading to the activation of IL-1 β, an important pro-inflammatory cytokine implicated in arthritis. The inflammasome has been implicated in several inflammatory diseases and particularly in gout. To highlight a possible role of the inflammasome in murine arthritis, we obtained ASC, caspase-1 and NALP3 +/+ and -/- littermate mice to perform ΑΙΑ and K/BxN arthritis. NALP3 -/- and caspase-1 -/- mice were as arthritic as wild type littermate mice in both ΑΙΑ and K/BxN models implicating that the NALP3 inflammasome is not involved in experimental arthritis. By contrast, ΑΙΑ severity was significantly diminished in ASC- deficient male and female mice, and in the K/BxN model, in ASC-deficient female mice. These results were supported by histological scoring and acute phase protein serum amyloid A (SAA) levels that were equivalent between NALP+/+ and NALP3-/- mice and diminished in ASC -/- mice. In ΑΙΑ and K/BxN murine experimental models, we observed a sexdependent phenotype. We studied the role of estradiol in both the ALA and the K/BxN models. Castrated female or male ASC -/- mice that received estradiol had a decreased arthritis severity. This implies a protective role of estrogen in the absence of ASC. In the ΑΙΑ model, proliferation assay were performed using splenocytes from mBSA- immunized ASC +/+ and -/- mice. The mBSA-induced proliferation was significantly lower in ASC-/- splenocytes. Moreover the CD3-specific proliferation of purified splenic Τ cells was significantly lower in ASC-/- cells. Finally, Τ cells from ASC-/- mice produced significantly decreased levels of IFN-gamma associated with increased levels of IL-10. These results imply a possible role of ASC in the TCR-signaling pathway and Τ cell cytokine production. In parallel the expression of the different inflammasome components were analyzed in biopsies from rheumatoid arthritis (RA) and osteoarthritis (OA) patiens. The expression of the 14 different NALPs, their effector protein ASC, and caspase-1 and -5 was readily measurable by RT-PCR in a similar proportion in RA and OA synovial samples, with the exception of NALP-5 and NALP-13, which weren't found in samples from either disease. The corresponding NALP1, -3, -12 and ASC proteins were expressed at similar levels in both OA and RA biopsies, as determined by immunohistochemistry and Western-blot analysis. By contrast, caspase-1 levels were significantly enhanced in RA synovial tissues compared to those from OA patients. NALP-1, -2, -3, -10, -12 and -14, as well as ASC, caspase-1, and -5 were detected in RNA from unstimulated and stimulated RA synoviocytes. In FLS, only ASC and caspase-1 were expressed at the protein level. NALP1, 3 and 12 were not detected. However, upon stimulation, no secreted IL-Ιβ was detectable in either RA or in OA synoviocytes culture medium. Résumé : Le but de ce projet était d'étudier le rôle de l'inflammasome dans des modèles expérimentaux d'arthrite tels que les modèles ΑΙΑ et K/BxN ainsi que dans la polyarthrite humaine (RA). La polyarthrite est une maladie inflammatoire très fréquente avec 1 % de la population affectée et touche 3 fois plus les femmes que les hommes, suggérant un rôle des hormones sexuelles dans cette pathologie. L'inflammasome est un complexe multiprotéique qui permet l'activation de la caspase-1, une cystéine protéase qui va ensuite cliver et activer rinterleukine-ΐβ (IL-Ιβ). L'inflammasome a été impliqué ces dernières années dans de nombreuses maladies inflammatoires notamment dans la goutte. Pour mettre en évidence un éventuel rôle de l'inflammasome dans l'arthrite expérimentale nous avons obtenu des souris déficientes pour certains des composants de l'inflammasome tels que ASC, NALP3 et caspase-1. Les souris NALP3 déficientes et caspase-1 déficientes sont aussi arthritiques que les souris wild type correspondantes que ce soit dans le modèle ΑΙΑ ou K/BxN. Par contre les souris mâles et femelles ASC-déficientes sont moins arthritiques que les souris +/+ correspondantes dans le modèle ΑΙΑ. Dans le modèle KRN, le même phénotype (diminution de la sévérité de l'arthrite) est observé uniquement chez les femelles ASC-/- Ce phénotype est corrélé avec l'histologie ainsi qu'avec le dosage du serum amyloid A (SAA) qui reflète l'inflammation systémique et qui est diminué chez les souris ASC-déficientes. Nous avons ensuite étudié le rôle de Γ estradiol (une des formes active des estrogènes) dans les modèles K/BxN et ΑΙΑ. Les souris castrées maies ou femelles déficientes pour ASC ayant reçu de l'estradiol ont une arthrite moins sévère ce qui implique que les estradiol ont un effet protecteur en l'absence de ASC. Dans le modèle ΑΙΑ, nous nous sommes aussi intéressés à la réponse immune. Des tests de prolifération ont été effectués sur des splénocytes en présence de mBSA (qui est l'antigène utilisé dans le modèle ΑΙΑ). Les splénocytes ASC -/- ont une proliferation qui est diminuée en présence de l'antigène. De plus la proliferation de cellules Τ spléniques purifiées en présence d'anti-CD3 est diminuée chez les cellules Τ ASC-/-. Ces résultats nous indiquent une éventuelle implication de ASC dans la signalisation par le récépteur des cellules T. En parallèle l'expression des différents composants de l'inflammasome a été analysée dans des biopsies de patients atteints de polyarthrite rhumatoide (RA) et d'arthrose (OA). L'expression des 14 différents NALPs, de l'adaptateur ASC, ainsi que des caspase-1 et -5 était similaires dans les échantillons RA et OA, à l'exception de NALP5 et 13 qui n'étaient pas détéctables. L'expression protéique de NALP1, 3, 12 et ASC effectuée par Western blot et immunohistochimie était similaire dans les biopsies RA et OA. Par contre la quantité de la caspase-1 mesurée par ELISA était augmentée de façon significative dans les extraits protéiques de biopsies RA. NALP-1, -2. -3, -10, -12, and -14 ainsi que ASC, caspase-1 et -5 étaient exprimés de façon similaire par les synoviocytes RA non stimulés et stimulés. Dans les synoviocytes seuls ASC et caspase-1 étaient détéctable au niveau protéique. NALP-1, -3 et -12 n'était pas détéctables. Cependant après stimulation il n'y avait d'IL-Ιβ sécrété que ce soit dans les surnageants de cultures de synoviocytes RA ou OA.

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We numerically study the dynamical properties of fully frustrated models in two and three dimensions. The results obtained support the hypothesis that the percolation transition of the Kasteleyn-Fortuin clusters corresponds to the onset of stretched exponential autocorrelation functions in systems without disorder. This dynamical behavior may be due to the large scale effects of frustration, present below the percolation threshold. Moreover, these results are consistent with the picture suggested by Campbell et al. [J. Phys. C 20, L47 (1987)] in the space of configurations.

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ABSTRACT Perennial forage crops used in crop-livestock integration (CLI) are able to accumulate large amounts of straw on the soil surface in no-tillage system (NTS). In addition, they can potentially produce large amounts of soluble organic compounds that help improving the efficiency of liming in the subsurface, which favors root growth, thus reducing the risks of loss in yield during dry spells and the harmful effects of “overliming”. The aim of this study was to test the effects of liming on two models of agricultural production, with and without crop-livestock integration, for 2 years. Thus, an experiment was conducted in a Latossolo Vermelho (Oxisol) with a very clayey texture located in an agricultural area under the NTS in Bandeirantes, PR, Brazil. Liming was performed to increase base saturation (V) to 65, 75, and 90 % while one plot per block was maintained without the application of lime (control). A randomized block experimental design was adopted arranged in split-plots and four plots/block, with four replications. The soil properties evaluated were: pH in CaCl2, soil organic matter (SOM), Ca, Mg, K, Al, and P. The effects of liming were observed to a greater depth and for a long period through mobilization of ions in the soil, leading to a reduction in SOM and Al concentration and an increase in pH and the levels of Ca and Mg. In the first crop year, adoption of CLI led to an increase in the levels of K and Mg and a reduction in the levels of SOM; however, in the second crop year, the rate of decline of SOM decreased compared to the decline observed in the first crop year, and the level of K increased, whereas that of P decreased. The extent of the effects of liming in terms of depth and improvement in the root environment from the treatments were observed only partially from the changes observed in the chemical properties studied.

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BACKGROUND: Grip strength, walking speed, chair rising and standing balance time are objective measures of physical capability that characterise current health and predict survival in older populations. Socioeconomic position (SEP) in childhood may influence the peak level of physical capability achieved in early adulthood, thereby affecting levels in later adulthood. We have undertaken a systematic review with meta-analyses to test the hypothesis that adverse childhood SEP is associated with lower levels of objectively measured physical capability in adulthood. METHODS AND FINDINGS: Relevant studies published by May 2010 were identified through literature searches using EMBASE and MEDLINE. Unpublished results were obtained from study investigators. Results were provided by all study investigators in a standard format and pooled using random-effects meta-analyses. 19 studies were included in the review. Total sample sizes in meta-analyses ranged from N = 17,215 for chair rise time to N = 1,061,855 for grip strength. Although heterogeneity was detected, there was consistent evidence in age adjusted models that lower childhood SEP was associated with modest reductions in physical capability levels in adulthood: comparing the lowest with the highest childhood SEP there was a reduction in grip strength of 0.13 standard deviations (95% CI: 0.06, 0.21), a reduction in mean walking speed of 0.07 m/s (0.05, 0.10), an increase in mean chair rise time of 6% (4%, 8%) and an odds ratio of an inability to balance for 5s of 1.26 (1.02, 1.55). Adjustment for the potential mediating factors, adult SEP and body size attenuated associations greatly. However, despite this attenuation, for walking speed and chair rise time, there was still evidence of moderate associations. CONCLUSIONS: Policies targeting socioeconomic inequalities in childhood may have additional benefits in promoting the maintenance of independence in later life.

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The Universitat Oberta de Catalunya (UOC) is an online university that has innovation as a transversal feature in all its activities and processes. Therefore, innovation is present in the annual objectives of all the academic and management departments in order to increase student satisfaction. UOC stimulates innovation by funding strategic projects as well as organizing regular internal calls for small projects which brings about innovative academic and management proposals. In this paper we present the method for evaluating teaching and management innovations through internal calls (APLICA), by selecting which initiatives are suitable to become strategic innovative projects (INNOVA) or which features should compose any application available at the OpenApps platform. Besides, general indicators used by the Innovation Program to evaluate the activities carried out are also reported.