Vulnerability of mediterranean watersheds to climate change

Desertification is a critical issue for Mediterranean drylands. Climate change is expected to aggravate its extension and severity by reinforcing the biophysical driving forces behind desertification processes: hydrology, vegetation cover and soil erosion. The main objective of this thesis is to assess the vulnerability of Mediterranean watersheds to climate change, by estimating impacts on desertification drivers and the watersheds’ resilience to them. To achieve this objective, a modeling framework capable of analyzing the processes linking climate and the main drivers is developed. The framework couples different models adapted to different spatial and temporal scales. A new model for the event scale is developed, the MEFIDIS model, with a focus on the particular processes governing Mediterranean watersheds. Model results are compared with desertification thresholds to estimate resilience. This methodology is applied to two contrasting study areas: the Guadiana and the Tejo, which currently present a semi-arid and humid climate. The main conclusions taken from this work can be summarized as follows: • hydrological processes show a high sensitivity to climate change, leading to a significant decrease in runoff and an increase in temporal variability; • vegetation processes appear to be less sensitive, with negative impacts for agricultural species and forests, and positive impacts for Mediterranean species; • changes to soil erosion processes appear to depend on the balance between changes to surface runoff and vegetation cover, itself governed by relationship between changes to temperature and rainfall; • as the magnitude of changes to climate increases, desertification thresholds are surpassed in a sequential way, starting with the watersheds’ ability to sustain current water demands and followed by the vegetation support capacity; • the most important thresholds appear to be a temperature increase of +3.5 to +4.5 ºC and a rainfall decrease of -10 to -20 %; • rainfall changes beyond this threshold could lead to severe water stress occurring even if current water uses are moderated, with droughts occurring in 1 out of 4 years; • temperature changes beyond this threshold could lead to a decrease in agricultural yield accompanied by an increase in soil erosion for croplands; • combined changes of temperature and rainfall beyond the thresholds could shift both systems towards a more arid state, leading to severe water stresses and significant changes to the support capacity for current agriculture and natural vegetation in both study areas.

Efficient feature selection filters for high-dimensional data

Feature selection is a central problem in machine learning and pattern recognition. On large datasets (in terms of dimension and/or number of instances), using search-based or wrapper techniques can be cornputationally prohibitive. Moreover, many filter methods based on relevance/redundancy assessment also take a prohibitively long time on high-dimensional. datasets. In this paper, we propose efficient unsupervised and supervised feature selection/ranking filters for high-dimensional datasets. These methods use low-complexity relevance and redundancy criteria, applicable to supervised, semi-supervised, and unsupervised learning, being able to act as pre-processors for computationally intensive methods to focus their attention on smaller subsets of promising features. The experimental results, with up to 10(5) features, show the time efficiency of our methods, with lower generalization error than state-of-the-art techniques, while being dramatically simpler and faster.

The semigroup ring of a restriction semigroup with an inverse skeleton

In this paper we investigate some classes of semigroup rings with respect to (semi)primeness and (semi)primitivity. We do so by extending the techniques developed by Munn in (Proc R Soc Edinbur Sect A 107:175-196, 1987) and (Proc R Soc Edinbur Sect A 115:109-117, 1990) for the study of semigroup rings of inverse semigroups. Restriction, weakly ample and ample semigroups are considered.

Desmonte de Maciços Rochosos: optimização da perfuração

Este trabalho pretende avaliar e melhorar o modo de execução da aplicação da técnica de perfuração, não comprometendo a jusante, no ciclo de operações, a qualidade do desmonte, visando assim, uma optimização técnico-económica. Este manuscrito irá centrar-se na optimização da etapa da perfuração, visando assim a optimização do ciclo total da perfuração. As tarefas realizadas numa pedreira constituem um ciclo de operações. Uma das operações envolvidas no desmonte de maciços rochosos é a perfuração. A forma como esta é executada é determinante para o sucesso do desmonte. O correcto dimensionamento dos acessórios de perfuração, afiação de bits, manutenção preventiva dos equipamentos de perfuração e a constante formação dos operadores fazem parte de um conjunto de acções que irão determinar o sucesso da operação de perfuração, tendo sempre em vista, uma optimização técnico-económica, ou seja, produzir mais a um custo mais baixo. O estudo dos parâmetros do maciço rochoso aliado a uma perfuração cuidadosa e alinhada é evidenciado com o intuito de uma abordagem de geoengenharia integrada dos maciços rochosos. O estudo foi realizado na pedreira da APS, S.A. (Pedreira de Monte Chãos), tendo como análise os dados desde o início do projecto até à data. Para fundamentar este estudo, aborda-se os parâmetros geológico-geotécnicos e geomecânicos do maciço remanescente, verificando assim as ferramentas de corte mais adequadas ao caso e averiguar a influência da afiação de bits, quer seja manual ou semiautomática, e de que forma a mesma irá influenciar nos rendimentos e vidas úteis obtidas, tendo como objectivo, melhorar o custo por metro de furação realizado.

FireSpotter a VGI-Based Forest Fire Reporting System

Dissertation submitted in partial fulfillment of the requirements for the Degree of Master of Science in Geospatial Technologies.

Interactive acquisition of spatial information from images for multimedia applications

Dissertação para obtenção do Grau de Doutor em Informática

Influência das alterações do envolvimento ambiental e organizacional na redução das quedas em doentes em meio hospitalar

RESUMO - As quedas têm na sua grande maioria uma causa multifatorial. As investigações são substancialmente direcionadas na identificação dos fatores de risco intrínsecos ao doente. Os principais fatores do envolvimento físico e organizacional são frequentemente segregados, ignorando-se as contribuições que estes podem ter na ocorrência de quedas. O propósito desta investigação foi perceber a influência de alterações do envolvimento ambiental e organizacional na redução das quedas em doentes em meio hospitalar. De forma a alcançar este objetivo, analisou-se a informação de uma base de dados referente às quedas ocorridas num hospital da zona da Grande Lisboa, que mudou de instalações a meio do período em estudo. Entre 2012-2014 verificou-se um total 361 notificações de quedas. Nos 3 anos existiu uma redução de 55%. As quedas relacionadas com os fatores do Estado de Saúde do Doente reduziram em 46%, não apresentando significância estatística. Relativamente às quedas devido aos fatores de risco do envolvimento Ambiental e Organizacional, houve uma redução de 67%, considerada estatisticamente significativa. Ao analisar em detalhe os doentes com Nível de risco Elevado (escala de Morse), constata-se que a redução das quedas ao longo do período em estudo não é estatisticamente relevante. Conclui-se que as mudanças de instalações e a renovação de equipamentos poderão ter contribuído positivamente para uma redução das quedas durante o período em estudo. A nível organizacional, a aplicação das medidas preventivas, específicas para doentes com elevado risco de queda, aparentemente não foram suficientemente efetivas.

Ensino, aprendizagem e avaliação no Ensino Superior: Perspetivas e práticas

Tese de Doutoramento em Ciências da Educação - Especialidade de Desenvolvimento Curricular

Изменчивость среднегодовых, полугодовых, сезонных и месячных значений концентрации приземного озона в Тбилиси в 1984-2003 гг

ნაჩვენებია, რომ მიწისპირა ოზონის კონცენტრაციის საშუალო თვიური 15 საათიანი მონაცემები სავსებით რეპრეზენტატიულია მოკ-ის საშუალო თვიური დღეღამური მნიშვნელობების დასახასიათებლად.

Modeling usage of medical care services: the medical expenditure panel survey data, 1996-2000

We explore the determinants of usage of six different types of health care services, using the Medical Expenditure Panel Survey data, years 1996-2000. We apply a number of models for univariate count data, including semiparametric, semi-nonparametric and finite mixture models. We find that the complexity of the model that is required to fit the data well depends upon the way in which the data is pooled across sexes and over time, and upon the characteristics of the usage measure. Pooling across time and sexes is almost always favored, but when more heterogeneous data is pooled it is often the case that a more complex statistical model is required.

Anfíbios Anuros do Distrito Federal

The frogs of the Federal District of Brazil are listed and discussed as to habit, biology and ecology. The F. D is situated 22° 54' 24" S. & 43° 10' 21" W Gr. and comprises 1.356 km². Its topography includes sea-shore, maritime scrub, lagoons, plains and marsh, open slopes, forested mountains and great heads of rock. Three thousand feet of altitude are attained at two points. Fifty two different frogs occur in the F.D. Three fifths of them live in open country. Two fifths of these have never been found above the plains; the others range higher but mostly in open country. Their environment offers conditions suitable for average tadpoles and adults. these frogs are more or less unspecialized. There are six genera and thirty species. Two thirds of the latter belong to the type genera of the large neotropical families Bufonidae, Leptodactylidae and Hylidae. Only in the maritime scrub formation are conditions somewhat different. Water for average tadpoles is provided by the lagoons. The xerophytism of the vegetation is, however, so marked that bromeliads growing on the ground provide almost the only appropriate shelter for adult tree-frogs used to sleeping upright on the vegetation. One large Hylid genus lives entirely in them. It is casque-headed and phragmotic, shutting the lumen of the leaf-cup with head used as a plug. Another large Hylid genus shows a lesser degree of the same specialization. (Lutz A & Lutz B, 1939 II). One genus with two species is entirely saxicolous; it lives on wet ledges of rock at all phases of its life history. (B. Lutz 1948). The other two fifths of the frogs from F. D. are montane forest forms. Their environment offers numerous and varied biotopes and is near optimum for adults. There is,however, hardly any standing water available for larvae. These frogs are ecologically diversified. They also show a general trend towards spawning in the adult biotipe, which leads to delayed hatching, semi-aquatic and terrestrial larvae and direct development. (B Lutz, 1948). The author interprets the morphological specialization of the casque-headed Hylids and the biological specialization of the montane forest forms as adaptive. Casque-headedness and phragmosis increase protection against blood-suckers and predators. The humidity of the rain forest permits eggs, embryos and larvae to develop, unharmed, outside their usual, aquatic, environment.

Role of microRNAs in the pathogenesis of Ewing's sarcoma

SummaryEwing's sarcoma family tumors (ESFT) are the second most frequent cancer of bone in adolescents and young adults. ESFT are characterized by a chromosomal translocation that involves the 5' segment of the EWSR1 gene and the 3' segment of an ets transcription factor family member gene. In 85% of cases the chromosomal translocation generates the fusion protein EWSR1-FLI-1. Recent work from our laboratory identified mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) as the putative cell of origin of ESFT and characterized a CD133+ subpopulation of ESFT cells with tumor initating and self-renewal capacity, known as cancer stem cells (CSC). MicroRNAs (miRNAs) are small non-coding RNA that regulate protein expression at the post-transcriptional level by either repressing translation or destabilizing mRNA. MiRNAs participate in several biological processes including cell proliferation and differentiation. We used miRNA expression profile comparison between MSC and ESFT cell lines and CD133+ ESFT cells and CD133" ESFT cells to investigate the role of miRNAs in ESFT pathogenesis. MiRNA expression profile comparison of MSC and ESFT cell lines identified 35 differentially expressed miRNAs. Among these was down-regulation of let-7a which results, in part, by the direct repression of let-7a-l promoter by EWSR1-FLI-1. Overexpression of let-7a in ESFT cells blocked ESFT tumorigenesis through an High-motility group AT-hook2 (HMGA2)-mediated mechanism.MiRNA profiling of CD133+ ESFT and CD 133" ESFT cells revealed a broad repression of miRNAs in CD133+ ESFT mediated by down-regulation of TARBP2, a central regulator of the miRNA maturation pathway. Down-regulation of TARBP2 in ESFT cell lines results in a miRNA expression profile reminescent of that observed in CD133+ ESFT and associated with increased tumorigenicity. Enhancement of TARBP2 activity using the antibiotic enoxacin or overexpression of miRNA-143 or miRNA-145, two targets of TARBP2, impaired ESFT CSC self-renewal and block ESFT tumorigenicity. Moreover in vivo administration of synthetic let- 7a, miRNA-143 or miRNA-145 blocks ESFT tumor growth.Thus, dysregulation of miRNA expression is a key feature in ESFT pathogenesis and restoration of their expressions might be used as a new therapeutic tool.RésuméLe sarcome d'Ewing est la deuxième tumeur osseuse la plus fréquente chez l'enfant et le jeune adolescent. Le sarcome d'Ewing est caractérisé par une translocation chromosomique qui produit une protéine de fusion EWSR1-FLI-1. Des récents travaux ont identifié les cellules mésenchymateuses souches (MSC) comme étant les cellules à l'origine du sarcome d'Ewing ainsi qu'une sous-population de cellules exprimant le marqueur CD 133, dans le sarcome d'Ewing connu comme les cellules cancéreuses souches (CSC). Ces cellules ont la capacité d'initier la croissance tumorale et possèdent des propriétés d'auto-renouvellement. Les microRNAs (miRNAs) sont de petits ARN qui ne codent pas pour des protéines et qui contrôlent l'expression des protéines en bloquant la traduction ou en dégradant l'ARNm. Les miRNAs participent à différents processus biologiques comme la prolifération et la différenciation cellulaires.Le but de ce travail est d'étudier le rôle des miRNAs dans le sarcome d'Ewing. Un profil d'expression de miRNAs entre les MSC et des lignées cellulaires de sarcome d'Ewing a mis en évidence 35 miRNAs différemment exprimés. Parmi ceux-ci, la répression de let-7a est liée à la répression directe du promoteur de let-7a-l par EWSR-FLI-1. La sur-expression de let-7a dans des lignées cellulaires de sarcome d'Ewing inhibe leur croissance tumorale. Cette inhibition de croissance tumorale est régulée par la protéine high-motility group AT-hook2 (HMGA2).Un profil d'expression de miRNAs entre les cellules du sarcome d'Ewing CD133+ et CD133" montre une sous-expression d'un grand nombre de miRNAs dans les cellules CD133+ par rapport aux cellules CD133". Cette différence d'expression de miRNAs est due à la répression du gène TARBP2 qui participe à la maturation des miRNAs. La suppression de TARBP2 dans des cellules d'Ewing induit un profil d'expression de miRNAs similaire aux cellules CD133+ du sarcome d'Ewing et augmente la tumorigenèse des lignées cellulaires. De plus l'utilisation d'enoxacin, une molécule qui augmente l'activité de TARBP2 ou la sur- expression des miRNA143 ou miRNA-145 dans les CSC du sarcome d'Ewing bloque l'auto- renouvellement des cellules et la croissance tumorale. Finalement, l'administration de let-7a, miRNA-143 ou miRNA-145, dans des souris bloque la croissance du sarcome d'Ewing. Ces résultats indiquent que la dysrégulation des miRNAs participe à la pathogenèse du sarcome d'Ewing et que les miRNAs peuvent être utilisés comme des agents thérapeutiques.

Evaluation of some organic compounds on bloodstream forms of Trypanosoma cruzi

Accidental transmission of Chagas' disease to man by blood transfusion is a serious problem in Latin-America. This paper describes the testing of several synthetic, semi-synthetic, and natural compounds for their activity against blood trypomastigotes in vitro at 4-C. The compounds embody several types of chemical structures: benzoquinone, naphthoquinone, anthracenequinone, phenanthrenequinone, imidazole, piperazine, quinoline, xanthene, and simple benzenic and naphthalenic derivates. Some of them are for the first time tested against Trypanosoma cruzi. The toxic effect these compounds on this parasite was done by two quite distinct sets of experiments. In one set, the compounds were added to infected blood as ethanolic solution. In this situation the most active one was a furan-1, 2-naphthoquinone, in the same range as gentian violet, a new fact to be considered in the assessment of structure-activity relationships in this class of compounds. In other set, we tentatively evaluated the biological activity of water insoluble compounds by adding them in a pure form without solvent into infected blood. In this way some appear to be very active and it was postulated that the effectiveness of such compounds must result from interactions between them and specific blood components.

Ecologie industrielle de l'aluminium, flux de matières et d'énergie : réalités et enjeux du recyclage

Dans les dernières années du 20ème siècle, l'aluminium a fait l'objet de beaucoup de communications outrancières et divergentes cautionnées par des scientifiques et des organismes faisant autorité. En 1986, la société PECHINEY le décrète perpétuel tel le mouvement « L'aluminium est éternel. Il est recyclable indéfiniment sans que ses propriétés soient altérées », ce qui nous avait alors irrité. Peu de temps après, en 1990, une communication tout aussi outrancière et irritante d'une grande organisation environnementale, le World Wild Fund, décrète que « le recyclage de l'aluminium est la pire menace pour l'environnement. Il doit être abandonné ». C'est ensuite à partir de la fin des années 1990, l'explosion des publications relatives au développement durable, le bien mal nommé. Au développement, synonyme de croissance obligatoire, nous préférons société ou organisation humaine et à durable, mauvaise traduction de l'anglais « sustainable », nous préférons supportable : idéalement, nous aurions souhaité parler de société durable, mais, pour être compris de tous, nous nous sommes limités à parler dorénavant de développement supportable. Pour l'essentiel, ces publications reconnaissent les très graves défauts de la métallurgie extractive de l'aluminium à partir du minerai et aussi les mérites extraordinaires du recyclage de l'aluminium puisqu'il représente moins de 10% de la consommation d'énergie de la métallurgie extractive à partir du minerai (on verra que c'est aussi moins de 10% de la pollution et du capital). C'est précisément sur le recyclage que se fondent les campagnes de promotion de l'emballage boisson, en Suisse en particulier. Cependant, les données concernant le recyclage de l'aluminium publiées par l'industrie de l'aluminium reflètent seulement en partie ces mérites. Dans les années 1970, les taux de croissance de la production recyclée sont devenus plus élevés que ceux de la production électrolytique. Par contre, les taux de recyclage, établis à indicateur identique, sont unanimement tous médiocres comparativement à d'autres matériaux tels le cuivre et le fer. Composante de l'industrie de l'aluminium, le recyclage bénéficie d'une image favorable auprès du grand public, démontrant le succès des campagnes de communication. A l'inverse, à l'intérieur de l'industrie de l'aluminium, c'est une image dévalorisée. Les opinions émises par tous les acteurs, commerçants, techniciens, dirigeants, encore recueillies pendant ce travail, sont les suivantes : métier de chiffonnier, métier misérable, métier peu technique mais très difficile (un recycleur 15 d'aluminium n'a-t-il pas dit que son métier était un métier d'homme alors que celui du recycleur de cuivre était un jeu d'enfant). A notre avis ces opinions appartiennent à un passé révolu qu'elles retraduisent cependant fidèlement car le recyclage est aujourd'hui reconnu comme une contribution majeure au développement supportable de l'aluminium. C'est bien pour cette raison que, en 2000, l'industrie de l'aluminium mondiale a décidé d'abandonner le qualificatif « secondaire » jusque là utilisé pour désigner le métal recyclé. C'est en raison de toutes ces données discordantes et parfois contradictoires qu'a débuté ce travail encouragé par de nombreuses personnalités. Notre engagement a été incontestablement facilité par notre connaissance des savoirs indispensables (métallurgie, économie, statistiques) et surtout notre expérience acquise au cours d'une vie professionnelle menée à l'échelle mondiale dans (recherche et développement, production), pour (recherche, développement, marketing, stratégie) et autour (marketing, stratégie de produits connexes, les ferro-alliages, et concurrents, le fer) de l'industrie de l'aluminium. Notre objectif est de faire la vérité sur le recyclage de l'aluminium, un matériau qui a très largement contribué à faire le 20ème siècle, grâce à une revue critique embrassant tous les aspects de cette activité méconnue ; ainsi il n'y a pas d'histoire du recyclage de l'aluminium alors qu'il est plus que centenaire. Plus qu'une simple compilation, cette revue critique a été conduite comme une enquête scientifique, technique, économique, historique, socio-écologique faisant ressortir les faits principaux ayant marqué l'évolution du recyclage de l'aluminium. Elle conclut sur l'état réel du recyclage, qui se révèle globalement satisfaisant avec ses forces et ses faiblesses, et au-delà du recyclage sur l'adéquation de l'aluminium au développement supportable, adéquation largement insuffisante. C'est pourquoi, elle suggère les thèmes d'études intéressant tous ceux scientifiques, techniciens, historiens, économistes, juristes concernés par une industrie très représentative de notre monde en devenir, un monde où la place de l'aluminium dépendra de son aptitude à satisfaire les critères du développement supportable. ABSTRACT Owing to recycling, the aluminium industry's global energetic and environmental prints are much lower than its ore extractive metallurgy's ones. Likewise, recycling will allow the complete use of the expected avalanche of old scraps, consequently to the dramatic explosion of aluminium consumption since the 50's. The recycling state is characterized by: i) raw materials split in two groups :one, the new scrap, internal and prompt, proportional to semi-finished and finished products quantities, exhibits a fairly good and regular quality. The other, the old scrap, proportional to the finished products arrivïng at their end-of--life, about 22 years later on an average, exhibits a variable quality depending on the collect mode. ii) a poor recycling rate, near by that of steel. The aluminium industry generates too much new internal scrap and doesn't collect all the availa~e old scrap. About 50% of it is not recycled (when steel is recycling about 70% of the old scrap flow). iii) recycling techniques, all based on melting, are well handled in spite of aluminium atiiníty to oxygen and the practical impossibility to purify aluminium from any impurity. Sorting and first collect are critical issues before melting. iv) products and markets of recycled aluminium :New scraps have still been recycled in the production lines from where there are coming (closed loop). Old scraps, mainly those mixed, have been first recycled in different production lines (open loop) :steel deoxidation products followed during the 30's, with the development of the foundry alloys, by foundry pieces of which the main market is the automotive industry. During the 80's, the commercial development of the beverage can in North America has permitted the first old scrap recycling closed loop which is developing. v) an economy with low and erratic margins because the electrolytic aluminium quotation fixes scrap purchasing price and recycled aluminium selling price. vi) an industrial organisation historically based on the scrap group and the loop mode. New scrap is recycled either by the transformation industry itself or by the recycling industry, the remelter, old scrap by the refiner, the other component of the recycling industry. The big companies, the "majors" are often involved in the closed loop recycling and very seldom in the open loop one. To-day, aluminium industry's global energetic and environmental prints are too unbeara~ e and the sustainaЫe development criteria are not fully met. Critical issues for the aluminium industry are to better produce, to better consume and to better recycle in order to become a real sustainaЫe development industry. Specific issues to recycling are a very efficient recycling industry, a "sustainaЫe development" economy, a complete old scrap collect favouring the closed loop. Also, indirectly connected to the recycling, are a very efficient transformation industry generating much less new scrap and a finished products industry delivering only products fulfilling sustainaЫe development criteria.

Laboratory detection of respiratory viruses by automated techniques.

Advances in clinical virology for detecting respiratory viruses have been focused on nucleic acids amplification techniques, which have converted in the reference method for the diagnosis of acute respiratory infections of viral aetiology. Improvements of current commercial molecular assays to reduce hands-on-time rely on two strategies, a stepwise automation (semi-automation) and the complete automation of the whole procedure. Contributions to the former strategy have been the use of automated nucleic acids extractors, multiplex PCR, real-time PCR and/or DNA arrays for detection of amplicons. Commercial fully-automated molecular systems are now available for the detection of respiratory viruses. Some of them could convert in point-of-care methods substituting antigen tests for detection of respiratory syncytial virus and influenza A and B viruses. This article describes laboratory methods for detection of respiratory viruses. A cost-effective and rational diagnostic algorithm is proposed, considering technical aspects of the available assays, infrastructure possibilities of each laboratory and clinic-epidemiologic factors of the infection.