Possible transmission of adverse shocks from the recent financial crisis to Central America through trade finance

Includes Bibliography

International asymmetries and the design of the International Financial System

Includes bibliography

The strategies pursued by Mexican firms in their efforts to become global players

Includes bibliography

O Banco Mundial e a política nacional de recursos hídricos no governo FHC (1995-2002)

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Experiences gained from GDDS compliance in the English-speaking Caribbean

Includes bibliography

Financiamento internacional para o setor agroindustrial no Mato Grosso: uma oportunidade para conservação?

Uma das principais tendências mundiais ligadas ao processo de globalização é a expansão da agroindústria nos trópicos úmidos. Embora a agroindústria seja uma importante fonte de renda para o Brasil, a sua expansão está levando ao deslocamento das populações locais e ao desmatamento extensivo da vegetação primária. Nesse contexto, enfocamos uma segunda tendência, também resultante da globalização, que consiste no movimento das instituições financeiras em direção à responsabilidade social e ambiental, evidenciado pela inclusão de condições socioambientais nos empréstimos para o setor agrícola. Nesse trabalho, examinamos a experiência de empréstimo da Corporação Financeira Internacional ao Grupo Maggi do Brasil analisando o potencial desse tipo de instrumento econômico para ajudar a reduzir os impactos negativos da expansão agroindustrial. Também é enfocado como os diferentes atores que participam desse debate (organizações não governamentais, indústrias, setor financeiro e governo) podem ajudar a otimizar esse potencial.

Eficiência bancária no Brasil: uma análise envoltória de dados (DEA)

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

A inserção social do banco dos cocais no município de São João do Arraial - PI

Pós-graduação em Geografia - IGCE

Ownership, Multiple Blockholders and Performance: A study of the Indonesian Banking Industry

The objective of this study is to provide empirical evidence on how ownership structure and owner’s identity affect performance, in the banking industry by using a panel of Indonesia banks over the period 2000–2009. Firstly, we analysed the impact of the presence of multiple blockholders on bank ownership structure and performance. Building on multiple agency and principal-principal theories, we investigated whether the presence and shares dispersion across blockholders with different identities (i.e. central and regional government; families; foreign banks and financial institutions) affected bank performance, in terms of profitability and efficiency. We found that the number of blockholders has a negative effect on banks’ performance, while blockholders’ concentration has a positive effect. Moreover, we observed that the dispersion of ownership across different types of blockholders has a negative effect on banks’ performance. We interpret such results as evidence that, when heterogeneous blockholders are present, the disadvantage from conflicts of interests between blockholders seems to outweigh the advantage of the increase in additional monitoring by additional blockholder. Secondly, we conducted a joint analysis of the static, selection, and dynamic effects of different types of ownership on banks’ performance. We found that regional banks and foreign banks have a higher profitability and efficiency as compared to domestic private banks. In the short-run, foreign acquisitions and domestic M&As reduce the level of overhead costs, while in the long-run they increase the Net Interest Margin (NIM). Further, we analysed NIM determinants, to asses the impact of ownership on bank business orientation. Our findings lend support to our prediction that the NIM determinants differs accordingly to the type of bank ownership. We also observed that banks that experienced changes in ownership, such as foreign-acquired banks, manifest different interest margin determinants with respect to domestic or foreign banks that did not experience ownership rearrangements.

Novita' sul mercato dei sistemi di pagamento: Gli istituti di pagamento e gli istituti di moneta elettronica

La presente trattazione analizza le novità normative apportate dalle recenti direttive europee sui servizi di pagamento e sulla moneta elettronica (rispettivamente la direttiva 2007/64/CE, c.c. Payment Services Directive o PSD, e la direttiva 2009/110/CE, detta Electronic Money Directive 2 o EMD2). Al fine di incrementare la competitività dei servizi di pagamento, sono stati introdotti nuovi prestatori di servizi di pagamento, non bancari, gli Istituti di Pagamento (IP) e gli Istituti di Moneta Elettronica (IMEL), a cui è stata attribuita la possibilità di far ricorso al contratto di conto di pagamento per la gestione dei servizi di pagamento con possibilità di finanziamento agli utenti. La prima parte della presente trattazione è dedicata alla configurazione giuridica dei nuovi prestatori di servizi di pagamento, influenzante la diffusione dei pagamenti digitali e della moneta elettronica. La seconda parte è rivolta alla ricostruzione giuridica del conto di pagamento, contratto – tipo per la gestione in conto dei servizi di pagamento, ed all’analisi delle modalità di erogazione dei finanziamenti agli utenti. Le direttive predette hanno inoltre attribuito ad IP ed IMEL la facoltà di emettere le carte di pagamento a spendibilità generalizzata, ossia carte di debito e carte di credito. In quanto abilitati all’emissione di moneta elettronica, gli IMEL possono inoltre emettere i c.d. borsellini di moneta elettronica, cioè i dispositivi di memorizzazione e di movimentazione della moneta elettronica. Nella terza parte della trattazione vengono, pertanto, presi in analisi la natura di tali strumenti di pagamento e le differenze intercorrenti rispetto agli affini strumenti bancari. In particolare, ampio spazio è dedicato alla ricostruzione giuridica dei borsellini di moneta elettronica, la cui diffusione tra gli utenti potrebbe avere l’effetto di favorire la progressiva digitalizzazione dei pagamenti e la realizzazione della cashless society.

Credit-Default-Swaps and the 2008 Financial Crisis: An Inquiry into the Underlying Legal Origins and the European Union’s Regulatory Reforms

After the 2008 financial crisis, the financial innovation product Credit-Default-Swap (CDS) was widely blamed as the main cause of this crisis. CDS is one type of over-the-counter (OTC) traded derivatives. Before the crisis, the trading of CDS was very popular among the financial institutions. But meanwhile, excessive speculative CDSs transactions in a legal environment of scant regulation accumulated huge risks in the financial system. This dissertation is divided into three parts. In Part I, we discussed the primers of the CDSs and its market development, then we analyzed in detail the roles CDSs had played in this crisis based on economic studies. It is advanced that CDSs not just promoted the eruption of the crisis in 2007 but also exacerbated it in 2008. In part II, we asked ourselves what are the legal origins of this crisis in relation with CDSs, as we believe that financial instruments could only function, positive or negative, under certain legal institutional environment. After an in-depth inquiry, we observed that at least three traditional legal doctrines were eroded or circumvented by OTC derivatives. It is argued that the malfunction of these doctrines, on the one hand, facilitated the proliferation of speculative CDSs transactions; on the other hand, eroded the original risk-control legal mechanism. Therefore, the 2008 crisis could escalate rapidly into a global financial tsunami, which was out of control of the regulators. In Part III, we focused on the European Union’s regulatory reform towards the OTC derivatives market. In specific, EU introduced mandatory central counterparty clearing obligation for qualified OTC derivatives, and requires that all OTC derivatives shall be reported to a trade repository. It is observable that EU’s approach in re-regulating the derivatives market is different with the traditional administrative regulation, but aiming at constructing a new market infrastructure for OTC derivatives.

Price risk management in the copper market using commodity derivatives and options strategies

Metals price risk management is a key issue related to financial risk in metal markets because of uncertainty of commodity price fluctuation, exchange rate, interest rate changes and huge price risk either to metals’ producers or consumers. Thus, it has been taken into account by all participants in metal markets including metals’ producers, consumers, merchants, banks, investment funds, speculators, traders and so on. Managing price risk provides stable income for both metals’ producers and consumers, so it increases the chance that a firm will invest in attractive projects. The purpose of this research is to evaluate risk management strategies in the copper market. The main tools and strategies of price risk management are hedging and other derivatives such as futures contracts, swaps and options contracts. Hedging is a transaction designed to reduce or eliminate price risk. Derivatives are financial instruments, whose returns are derived from other financial instruments and they are commonly used for managing financial risks. Although derivatives have been around in some form for centuries, their growth has accelerated rapidly during the last 20 years. Nowadays, they are widely used by financial institutions, corporations, professional investors, and individuals. This project is focused on the over-the-counter (OTC) market and its products such as exotic options, particularly Asian options. The first part of the project is a description of basic derivatives and risk management strategies. In addition, this part discusses basic concepts of spot and futures (forward) markets, benefits and costs of risk management and risks and rewards of positions in the derivative markets. The second part considers valuations of commodity derivatives. In this part, the options pricing model DerivaGem is applied to Asian call and put options on London Metal Exchange (LME) copper because it is important to understand how Asian options are valued and to compare theoretical values of the options with their market observed values. Predicting future trends of copper prices is important and would be essential to manage market price risk successfully. Therefore, the third part is a discussion about econometric commodity models. Based on this literature review, the fourth part of the project reports the construction and testing of an econometric model designed to forecast the monthly average price of copper on the LME. More specifically, this part aims at showing how LME copper prices can be explained by means of a simultaneous equation structural model (two-stage least squares regression) connecting supply and demand variables. A simultaneous econometric model for the copper industry is built: {█(Q_t^D=e^((-5.0485))∙P_((t-1))^((-0.1868) )∙〖GDP〗_t^((1.7151) )∙e^((0.0158)∙〖IP〗_t ) @Q_t^S=e^((-3.0785))∙P_((t-1))^((0.5960))∙T_t^((0.1408))∙P_(OIL(t))^((-0.1559))∙〖USDI〗_t^((1.2432))∙〖LIBOR〗_((t-6))^((-0.0561))@Q_t^D=Q_t^S )┤ P_((t-1))^CU=e^((-2.5165))∙〖GDP〗_t^((2.1910))∙e^((0.0202)∙〖IP〗_t )∙T_t^((-0.1799))∙P_(OIL(t))^((0.1991))∙〖USDI〗_t^((-1.5881))∙〖LIBOR〗_((t-6))^((0.0717) Where, Q_t^D and Q_t^Sare world demand for and supply of copper at time t respectively. P(t-1) is the lagged price of copper, which is the focus of the analysis in this part. GDPt is world gross domestic product at time t, which represents aggregate economic activity. In addition, industrial production should be considered here, so the global industrial production growth that is noted as IPt is included in the model. Tt is the time variable, which is a useful proxy for technological change. A proxy variable for the cost of energy in producing copper is the price of oil at time t, which is noted as POIL(t ) . USDIt is the U.S. dollar index variable at time t, which is an important variable for explaining the copper supply and copper prices. At last, LIBOR(t-6) is the 6-month lagged 1-year London Inter bank offering rate of interest. Although, the model can be applicable for different base metals' industries, the omitted exogenous variables such as the price of substitute or a combined variable related to the price of substitutes have not been considered in this study. Based on this econometric model and using a Monte-Carlo simulation analysis, the probabilities that the monthly average copper prices in 2006 and 2007 will be greater than specific strike price of an option are defined. The final part evaluates risk management strategies including options strategies, metal swaps and simple options in relation to the simulation results. The basic options strategies such as bull spreads, bear spreads and butterfly spreads, which are created by using both call and put options in 2006 and 2007 are evaluated. Consequently, each risk management strategy in 2006 and 2007 is analyzed based on the day of data and the price prediction model. As a result, applications stemming from this project include valuing Asian options, developing a copper price prediction model, forecasting and planning, and decision making for price risk management in the copper market.

Estado, banca y crédito agrícola en Sinaloa y Sonora : El Banco de Sinaloa y el Banco Agrícola Sonorense, 1933-1976

En el Noroeste de México el incremento en la productividad agrícola entre los años de 1940 y 1970, fue debido a la expansión de las tierras de cultivo, el uso de fertilizantes y semillas mejoradas, la mecanización, la mayor disponibilidad de créditos, a los sistemas de irrigación y el mejoramiento de las carreteras. Así como la importante intervención del Estado mexicano al implementar políticas de inversión con el apoyo de agencias internacionales de desarrollo, y otorgar facilidades de crédito para el desarrollo de la agricultura a través de la creación de bancos agrícolas oficiales y las facilidades para la constitución de bancos privados comerciales.Después de la desarticulación de la banca en México debido a la revolución, se avanzó con pasos firmes en la reestructuración del sistema bancario con la creación de una nueva legislación bancaria, la fundación del Banco de México y la Comisión Nacional Bancaria en 1924; Banco Nacional de Crédito Agrícola (1926), el Banco Nacional de Crédito Ejidal (1935), el Banco Nacional de Comercio Exterior (1937) y el Banco Nacional Agropecuario (1965), que dieron apoyo financiero a los pequeños agricultores y ejidatarios. Los principales agricultores de Sinaloa y Sonora en colaboración con el gobierno federal a través de la Comisión Monetaria y el Banco de México fundaron el Banco de Sinaloa y el Banco Agrícola Sonorense en 1933. Explicar el impacto que tuvieron estas instituciones financieras en el crédito agrícola de Sinaloa y Sonora será el objetivo central de este trabajo.

Estado, banca y crédito agrícola en Sinaloa y Sonora : El Banco de Sinaloa y el Banco Agrícola Sonorense, 1933-1976

En el Noroeste de México el incremento en la productividad agrícola entre los años de 1940 y 1970, fue debido a la expansión de las tierras de cultivo, el uso de fertilizantes y semillas mejoradas, la mecanización, la mayor disponibilidad de créditos, a los sistemas de irrigación y el mejoramiento de las carreteras. Así como la importante intervención del Estado mexicano al implementar políticas de inversión con el apoyo de agencias internacionales de desarrollo, y otorgar facilidades de crédito para el desarrollo de la agricultura a través de la creación de bancos agrícolas oficiales y las facilidades para la constitución de bancos privados comerciales.Después de la desarticulación de la banca en México debido a la revolución, se avanzó con pasos firmes en la reestructuración del sistema bancario con la creación de una nueva legislación bancaria, la fundación del Banco de México y la Comisión Nacional Bancaria en 1924; Banco Nacional de Crédito Agrícola (1926), el Banco Nacional de Crédito Ejidal (1935), el Banco Nacional de Comercio Exterior (1937) y el Banco Nacional Agropecuario (1965), que dieron apoyo financiero a los pequeños agricultores y ejidatarios. Los principales agricultores de Sinaloa y Sonora en colaboración con el gobierno federal a través de la Comisión Monetaria y el Banco de México fundaron el Banco de Sinaloa y el Banco Agrícola Sonorense en 1933. Explicar el impacto que tuvieron estas instituciones financieras en el crédito agrícola de Sinaloa y Sonora será el objetivo central de este trabajo.

Estado, banca y crédito agrícola en Sinaloa y Sonora : El Banco de Sinaloa y el Banco Agrícola Sonorense, 1933-1976

En el Noroeste de México el incremento en la productividad agrícola entre los años de 1940 y 1970, fue debido a la expansión de las tierras de cultivo, el uso de fertilizantes y semillas mejoradas, la mecanización, la mayor disponibilidad de créditos, a los sistemas de irrigación y el mejoramiento de las carreteras. Así como la importante intervención del Estado mexicano al implementar políticas de inversión con el apoyo de agencias internacionales de desarrollo, y otorgar facilidades de crédito para el desarrollo de la agricultura a través de la creación de bancos agrícolas oficiales y las facilidades para la constitución de bancos privados comerciales.Después de la desarticulación de la banca en México debido a la revolución, se avanzó con pasos firmes en la reestructuración del sistema bancario con la creación de una nueva legislación bancaria, la fundación del Banco de México y la Comisión Nacional Bancaria en 1924; Banco Nacional de Crédito Agrícola (1926), el Banco Nacional de Crédito Ejidal (1935), el Banco Nacional de Comercio Exterior (1937) y el Banco Nacional Agropecuario (1965), que dieron apoyo financiero a los pequeños agricultores y ejidatarios. Los principales agricultores de Sinaloa y Sonora en colaboración con el gobierno federal a través de la Comisión Monetaria y el Banco de México fundaron el Banco de Sinaloa y el Banco Agrícola Sonorense en 1933. Explicar el impacto que tuvieron estas instituciones financieras en el crédito agrícola de Sinaloa y Sonora será el objetivo central de este trabajo.