Algoritmo genético especializado aplicado ao planejamento da expansão de sistemas de distribuição de energia elétrica

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Análise econômica do plantio e condução do eucalipto de curta rotação para fins energéticos

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Recuperação da palha da cana-de-açúcar para a produção de energia elétrica e etanol celulósico

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Mecânica - FEIS

Análise econômica e de investimento da cultura do pinhão manso (Jatropha curcas L.)

Pós-graduação em Agronomia - FEIS

Viabilidade financeira da implantação do projeto de construção da estação de tratamento de esgotos - ETE - do Município de Lençóis Paulista - Estado de São Paulo

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Viabilidade econômica da venda de energia elétrica em cogeração sob condições de risco: um estudo de caso

The availability of the electrical energy, in sufficient quantities and in competitive prices is a crucial factor to the economic development. The trade-in of the excess electrical energy produced in a system of cogeneration can be seen as an alternative to the creation of an additional source of revenues for ethanol power plants sector, besides contributing to the complementation of the Brazilian electrical headquarter with renewable sources. The objective of this study was to evaluate the economic feasibility of the implementation of a cogeneration electrical central using the excess of sugar cane bagasse and selling the excess of electrical energy with prices of the market. An ethanol power plant located in the state of Sao Paulo was used to this study. It was used the case study methodology, evaluating the potential of the investment under the viewpoint of the Net Present Value (NPV), Payback and Internal Rate of Return (IRR), and complementing the results of the Accounting Results (AC). It was created three alternative scenarios to reflect the level of the risk of every studied situation: the most likely, an optimistic and a pessimistic, each one with its assumptions. The Monte Carlo Simulations was used to insert the elements of risk to each scenario. The results showed that the project is feasible in all NPV scenarios. And the Payback and IRR analysis confirmed these evidences. The valuation with the AR showed that the project is most risky at the pessimistic scenario, but is feasibly in the most likely and the optimistic scenarios. It was concluded that the project is economic viable. However, the economic viability shown in the results is based on the maintenance of the future prices on the levels of the historical prices used in the analysis.

Planejamento dinâmico a longo prazo de ativos de sistemas de distribuição de energia elétrica considerando a incorporação de diferentes tipos de elementos adicionais de expansão

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Avaliação técnica e econômica de um biodigestor de fluxo tubular: estudo de caso do modelo implantado na etec "orlando quagliato" em Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, SP

Pós-graduação em Agronomia (Energia na Agricultura) - FCA

Aplicação do valor presente ajustado (APV) para avaliação do fluxo de caixa de uma empresa do setor automotivo no sistema inovar auto

The automobile industry shows relevance inside the Brazilian industrial scenario since it contributes with the development of a significant chain of supply, distributors, workshops, publicity agencies and insurance companies in the internal market, aside from being one of the five biggest worldwide market. Thereby, the federal government decreed in Dec, 17th 2012 by Law nº 12.715 the Inovar-Auto Program. As the Adjusted Present Value (APV) is highly recommended, although not yet widespread to public politics of tax reduction, this work intends to apply the APV method on the cash flow analysis of an automobile sector's company, which has recently installed in national territory and wants to rely with governmental incentives proposed by Inovar-Auto Program. The developed work evaluates the company's current cash flow stochastically from mathematical modeling of variables such as price, demand and interest rate through probability distributions with the assist of Crystal Ball software, a Microsoft Excel Add-in, generating different scenarios from Monte Carlo Simulation. As results probabilities situations have been evaluated until the end of the Inovar-Auto's conducted period, in 2017. Beside APV others indicator such as Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and payback period were estimated for the investment project. For APV a sampling distribution with only 0.057% of risk, IRR of 29% were obtained and estimated project payback period was 4.13 years

Avaliação técnico-econômica da produção de enzimas celulolíticas por fermentação em estado sólido

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Evaluation Method for Strategic Investments

Real Options Analysis (ROA) has become a complimentary tool for engineering economics. It has become popular due to the limitations of conventional engineering valuation methods; specifically, the assumptions of uncertainty. Industry is seeking to quantify the value of engineering investments with uncertainty. One problem with conventional tools are that they may assume that cash flows are certain, therefore minimizing the possibility of the uncertainty of future values. Real options analysis provides a solution to this problem, but has been used sparingly by practitioners. This paper seeks to provide a new model, referred to as the Beta Distribution Real Options Pricing Model (BDROP), which addresses these limitations and can be easily used by practitioners. The positive attributes of this new model include unconstrained market assumptions, robust representation of the underlying asset‟s uncertainty, and an uncomplicated methodology. This research demonstrates the use of the model to evaluate the use of automation for inventory control.

Weather Derivatives as a Potential Risk Management Tool for Irrigators

Irrigators in the Republican Basin and in parts of the North Platte Basin must learn to incorporate multiple year drought risk into their management plans, as they adapt to the limitations imposed by five-year pumping allocations. A major concern involves the implications of being water-short during the later years of the allocation period, because of an accumulative rainfall shortage or drought. Currently, producers can either ignore the risk of substantially lower incomes if their allocation is exhausted too soon, or reduce the risk by using less water early in the allocation period. The latter approach, however, may substantially reduce the present value of total net income over the five-year period. Alternatively, in the future it may be possible to use weather derivatives to manage income risk.

Aplicação do valor presente ajustado (APV) para avaliação do fluxo de caixa de uma empresa do setor automotivo no sistema inovar auto

The automobile industry shows relevance inside the Brazilian industrial scenario since it contributes with the development of a significant chain of supply, distributors, workshops, publicity agencies and insurance companies in the internal market, aside from being one of the five biggest worldwide market. Thereby, the federal government decreed in Dec, 17th 2012 by Law nº 12.715 the Inovar-Auto Program. As the Adjusted Present Value (APV) is highly recommended, although not yet widespread to public politics of tax reduction, this work intends to apply the APV method on the cash flow analysis of an automobile sector's company, which has recently installed in national territory and wants to rely with governmental incentives proposed by Inovar-Auto Program. The developed work evaluates the company's current cash flow stochastically from mathematical modeling of variables such as price, demand and interest rate through probability distributions with the assist of Crystal Ball software, a Microsoft Excel Add-in, generating different scenarios from Monte Carlo Simulation. As results probabilities situations have been evaluated until the end of the Inovar-Auto's conducted period, in 2017. Beside APV others indicator such as Internal Rate of Return (IRR) and payback period were estimated for the investment project. For APV a sampling distribution with only 0.057% of risk, IRR of 29% were obtained and estimated project payback period was 4.13 years

Avaliação técnico-econômica da produção de enzimas celulolíticas por fermentação em estado sólido

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Reflexiones sobre el valor actual del gobierno de Baratiaria y la quijotización de Sancho

[ES]En este artículo exploramos el quijotismo que aflora en Sancho Panza al aceptar el trabajo como escudero bajo la promesa del gobierno de la ínsula Barataria. Esta “tierra prometida” se convierte en el objeto de deseo de este rústico campesino que desea adoptar una nueva identidad de la misma manera que su amo deviene un caballero andante bajo la influencia libresca de las caballerías. Se analiza también el valor actual del gobierno de Sancho Panza, con sus aciertos y desaciertos, sus logros y sus dificultades.[EN]In this article we explore the outcropping quixotic Sancho Panza in accepting the job as squire under the government's promise of the island of Barataria. This "promised land" becomes the object of desire of this rustic peasant who wishes to adopt a new identity in the same way that his master becomes a bookish knight under the influence of epic tale. The present value of the government of Sancho Panza, with its successes and failures, achievements and difficulties are also analyzed.