Researchers' information needs in the bibliographic database : a literature review

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Inércia da taxa de juros : teoria e evidência para a economia brasileira (2005-2013)

No âmbito da condução da política monetária, as funções de reação estimadas em estudos empíricos, tanto para a economia brasileira como para outras economias, têm mostrado uma boa aderência aos dados. Porém, os estudos mostram que o poder explicativo das estimativas aumenta consideravelmente quando se inclui um componente de suavização da taxa de juros, representado pela taxa de juros defasada. Segundo Clarida, et. al. (1998) o coeficiente da taxa de juros defasada (situado ente 0,0 e 1,0) representaria o grau de inércia da política monetária, e quanto maior esse coeficiente, menor e mais lenta é a resposta da taxa de juros ao conjunto de informações relevantes. Por outro lado, a literatura empírica internacional mostra que esse componente assume um peso expressivo nas funções de reação, o que revela que os BCs ajustam o instrumento de modo lento e parcimonioso. No entanto, o caso brasileiro é de particular interesse porque os trabalhos mais recentes têm evidenciado uma elevação no componente inercial, o que sugere que o BCB vem aumentando o grau de suavização da taxa de juros nos últimos anos. Nesse contexto, mais do que estimar uma função de reação forward looking para captar o comportamento global médio do Banco Central do Brasil no período de Janeiro de 2005 a Maio de 2013, o trabalho se propôs a procurar respostas para uma possível relação de causalidade dinâmica entre a trajetória do coeficiente de inércia e as variáveis macroeconômicas relevantes, usando como método a aplicação do filtro de Kalman para extrair a trajetória do coeficiente de inércia e a estimação de um modelo de Vetores Autorregressivos (VAR) que incluirá a trajetória do coeficiente de inércia e as variáveis macroeconômicas relevantes. De modo geral, pelas regressões e pelo filtro de Kalman, os resultados mostraram um coeficiente de inércia extremamente elevado em todo o período analisado, e coeficientes de resposta global muito pequenos, inconsistentes com o que é esperado pela teoria. Pelo método VAR, o resultado de maior interesse foi o de que choques positivos na variável de inércia foram responsáveis por desvios persistentes no hiato do produto e, consequentemente, sobre os desvios de inflação e de expectativas de inflação em relação à meta central.

Coorte retrospectiva de crianças e adolescentes, infectados pelo HIV por transmissão vertical, no Espírito Santo : comorbidades, mortalidade e sobrevida

INTRODUÇÃO: O diagnóstico e terapia antirretroviral precoce em lactentes, infectados pelo HIV por transmissão vertical, reduz a progressão do HIV e comorbidades que podem levar ao óbito. OBJETIVO GERAL: Avaliar o perfil clínico e epidemiológico em uma coorte de crianças e adolescentes com aids, infectados por transmissão vertical do HIV, por um período de onze anos, atendidos em hospital estadual de referência, no Estado do Espírito Santo. OBJETIVOS ESPECÍFICOS: 1. Descrever a frequência das comorbidades diagnosticadas após o diagnóstico de HIV e verificar sua distribuição, segundo dados demográficos, epidemiológicos e clínicos, e segundo a classificação dos casos em uma coorte de crianças e adolescentes com aids. 2. Avaliar os fatores preditores de risco de progressão para aids e óbito e causas de morte. 3. Estimar a taxa de sobrevida. MÉTODOS: Coorte retrospectiva de crianças e adolescentes infectados pelo HIV, por transmissão vertical (TV), atendidas no Serviço de Atendimento Especializado (SAE) do Hospital Infantil Nossa Senhora da Glória (HINSG), de janeiro 2001 a dezembro 2011, em Vitória – ES/Brasil. A coleta de dados foi realizada em protocolo específico padronizado, e dados sobre as comorbidades, mortalidade e sua causa básica foram obtidos dos prontuários médicos, da Declaração de Óbito e do banco de dados SIM (Sistema de Informação sobre Mortalidade). O diagnóstico de aids e comorbidades foi de acordo com CDC (Centers for Disease Control and Prevention)/1994. RESULTADOS: Foi arrolado um total de 177 pacientes, sendo 97 (55%) do sexo feminino; 60 (34%) eram menores de1ano, 67 (38%) tinham de 1 a 5 anos e 50 (28%) tinham6 anos ou mais de idade no ingresso ao serviço. A mediana das idades na admissão foi de 30 meses (Intervalo Interquartis (IIQ) 25-75%: 5-72 meses). Em relação à classificação clínico-imunológica, 146 pacientes (82,5%) apresentavam a forma moderada/grave no momento do ingresso no Serviço e 26 (14,7%) foram a óbito. Os sinais clínicos mais frequentes foram hepatomegalia (81,62%), esplenomegalia (63,8%), linfadenopatia (68,4%) e febre persistente (32,8%). As comorbidades mais frequentes foram anemia (67,2%), pneumonia/sepses/meningite - primeiro episódio (64,2%), OMA/sinusite recorrente (55,4%), infecções bacterianas graves recorrentes (47,4%) e dermatites (43,1%). Encontrou-se associação entre classificação clínico-imunológica grave e ingresso no serviço com menos de um ano de idade com algumas comorbidades (p<0,001). O tempo total do acompanhamento dos pacientes foi de 11 anos, com mediana de cinco anos (IIQ: 2-8 anos). No final do período estudado, 132 (74,6%) pacientes estavam em acompanhamento, 11 (6,2%) foram transferidos para outros serviços eem oito (4,5%) houve perda de seguimento. Quanto ao óbito, observou-se uma redução de casos ao longo do tempo. A maioria dos pacientes que foram a óbito deu entrada no serviço com classificação clínica imunológica grave (77%-20/26), apresentava anemia moderada/grave e estava em uso de terapia antirretroviral (TARV) por mais de 3 meses (17/24-71%).Os principais fatores de risco para o óbito foram: faixa etária < 1 ano (p=0,005), pneumonia por P. jirovecii (p=0,010), percentual de linfócito T CD4+ nadir <15% (p=0,012), anemia crônica (p=0,012), estágio clínico imunológico grave (p=0,003), infecções bacterianas graves recorrentes(p=0,003) e tuberculose (p=0,037). Ter iniciado TARV antes dos 6 meses de vida (diagnóstico e tratamento precoces) foi associado à sobrevida(OR 2,86, [Intervalo de Confiança (IC) de 95%: 1,12-7,25] p=0,027).O principal diagnóstico registrado para os óbitos foram infecções bacterianas graves (12/21-57%). Foi encontrada uma elevada taxa de sobrevida, com 85,3% de probabilidade de sobrevivência por mais de 10 anos (IC 95% 9,6-10,7). CONCLUSÕES: A maioria das crianças teve diagnóstico tardio da infecção pelo HIV aumentando o risco de progressão para aids e óbito por falta de tratamento precoce. A tendência de mortalidade das crianças infectadas pelo HIV se mostrou uma constante com queda nos dois últimos anos do estudo, e ainda persistem as infecções bacterianas como maior causa de óbito. Portanto, melhoria no cuidado pré-natal e acompanhamento pediátrico com vista ao diagnóstico precoce das crianças infectadas verticalmente devem fazer parte do cuidado integral à criança com aids, o que poderia reduzir a mortalidade destas crianças.

Information and Technology Implementation Issues in AAL Solutions

With the population ageing effect, the technological developments, and pressure to reduce the cost with healthcare, are reunited the conditions for the development of Ambient Assisted Living (AAL) solutions. This work is a revision of the current state of the art. Its aim is the characterization of the AAL solutions, within the AAL4ALL scope. Therefore, it is presented features, scenarios and projects, referring the limitations and the opportunities for the future developments of prototypes using high level information and technology in AAL environments. Moreover, it is presented guidelines of operation, exposing the conceptual approach, and the discussion and conclusion, which present recommendations and current AAL4ALL project positions in terms of concepts and technologies.

Conditioning information in mutual fund performance evaluation: Portuguese evidence

We estimate and compare the performance of Portuguese-based mutual funds that invest in the domestic market and in the European market using unconditional and conditional models of performance evaluation. Besides applying both partial and full conditional models, we use European information variables, instead of the most common local ones, and consider stochastically detrended conditional variables in order to avoid spurious regressions. The results suggest that mutual fund managers are not able to outperform the market, presenting negative or neutral performance. The incorporation of conditioning information in performance evaluation models is supported by our findings, as it improves the explanatory power of the models and there is evidence of both time-varying betas and alphas related to the public information variables. It is also shown that the number of lags to be used in the stochastic detrending procedure is a critical choice, as it will impact the significance of the conditioning information. In addition, we observe a distance effect, since managers who invest locally seem to outperform those who invest in the European market. However, after controlling for public information, this effect is slightly reduced. Furthermore, the results suggest that survivorship bias has a small impact on performance estimates.

Criminal Liability of Organizations, Corporations, Legal Persons, and Similar Entities on Law of Portuguese Cybercrime: A Brief Discussion on the Issue of Crimes of “False Information,” the “Damage on Other Programs or Computer Data,” the “Computer-Software Sabotage,” the “Illegitimate Access,” the “Unlawful Interception,” and “Illegitimate Reproduction of the Protected Program”

Abstract: in Portugal, and in much of the legal systems of Europe, «legal persons» are likely to be criminally responsibilities also for cybercrimes. Like for example the following crimes: «false information»; «damage on other programs or computer data»; «computer-software sabotage»; «illegitimate access»; «unlawful interception» and «illegitimate reproduction of protected program». However, in Portugal, have many exceptions. Exceptions to the «question of criminal liability» of «legal persons». Some «legal persons» can not be blamed for cybercrime. The legislature did not leave! These «legal persons» are v.g. the following («public entities»): legal persons under public law, which include the public business entities; entities utilities, regardless of ownership; or other legal persons exercising public powers. In other words, and again as an example, a Portuguese public university or a private concessionaire of a public service in Portugal, can not commit (in Portugal) any one of cybercrime pointed. Fair? Unfair. All laws should provide that all legal persons can commit cybercrimes. PS: resumo do artigo em inglês.

Promoting Success in the Introduction of Health Information Systems

The significant number of publications describing unsuccessful cases in the introduction of health information systems makes it advisable to analyze the factors that may be contributing to such failures. However, the very notion of success is not equally assumed in all publications. Based in a literature review, the authors argue that the introduction of systems must be based in an eclectic combination of knowledge fields, adopting methodologies that strengthen the role of organizational culture and human resources in this project, as a whole. On the other hand, the authors argue that the introduction of systems should be oriented by a previously defined matrix of factors, against which the success can be measured.

Information technology supporting healthcare and social care services

The authors are developing a pilot project for a Municipality in the North of Portugal, envisaging the definition and implementation of an e-marketplace for healthcare and social services, in order to facilitate the interaction between healthcare and social services professionals and people with special needs (or their relatives). Based on the results of a survey on user needs analysis and expectations conducted in 2011, the paper discusses the relevance and interest of such platforms and the main drivers and motivations of the population for using such services, as well as which services would motivate citizens to use the platform. The results of the study will be used to select the products and services perceived to be the most desired by the potential users. The paper thus makes three main contributions: (1) the results of the study confirm the interest and the perceived potential of such a service, from the end-users perspective; (2) the findings support the advantage of expanding this pilot project to a full scale implementation; and (3) the performed analysis improves our understanding of the relations between the characteristics of the inquired population and the perceived interest in such platforms.

Use of performance information by local politicians: a field study in the Portuguese context.

This paper seeks to investigate the use of performance information by politicians and whether the institutional reforms on performance management (PM) have been operationalized by local politicians. Differences on the policy field and the organizational context have been analyzed. Our goal is contribute to knowledge on PM in the political sphere and understand the different responses of politicians to government change initiatives (mainly coercive pressures). Our findings show that local politicians support the notion that greater attention should be devoted to the use of performance information on the evaluation process. Nevertheless they are very skeptic in relation to effective execution of government reforms. There is an internal culture where agencies are embedded, strongly influenced by the high degree of politicisation among senior managers, that lead politicians to be more concerned about personal opinions and informal performance information rather than to use more sophisticated information (output and outcome measures). The institutional approach helps us to identify political responses to institutional pressures and understand the reasons for a reduced use in the Portuguese context.

The use of quantitative performance information by local elected politicians in top managers’ performance evaluation: case studies

This paper studies the use of results oriented performance information (outputs and outcomes) by local elected politicians (aldermen) in top managers’ performance evaluation. The main goal is to understand the top managers’ performance evaluation process conducted by Portuguese aldermen and to identify the dominant evaluation style. In line with Bogt (2001), an exploratory field research was developed in three large municipalities: Porto, Braga and Matosinhos. We intend to answer the following research questions: to what extent are local politicians (aldermen) 1 using results information (about outputs and outcomes) to evaluate top managers’ performance? Do aldermen give any importance to quantitative output information and report them on current planning and control documents? Will the output performance information be used on performance evaluation in a different way concerning policy field (task orientation)? Based on the Hopwood evaluation styles (adapted from the private to the public sector by Bogt, 2001), we have found that the performance evaluation process of top managers is more featured by the ‘operations-conscious styles’ (or ‘implicit style’). Portuguese aldermen recognize the importance to quantify outputs and outcomes, but these days they focus on the information about activities and the realized operations when they evaluate performance. We haven´t found significant differences between different tasks (some exceptions for culture and environment areas). However, the municipality of Matosinhos paid more attention on quantitative performance information. This finding is reinforced by the quality of quantitative data on outputs reported on its management report. Generally speaking, aldermen are aware that more attention should be paid to quantitative information about results and performance, taking into account recent reforms introduced in Portuguese municipalities (PLG) on this field, but the ‘implicit’ style is dominant.

Knowledge cities: a taxonomy for analyzing software and information service clusters

Software and information services (SIS) have become a field of increasing opportunities for international trade due to the worldwide diffusion of a combination of technological and organizational innovations. In several regions, the software industry is organized in clusters, usually referred to as "knowledge cities" because of the growing importance of knowledge-intensive services in their economy. This paper has two primary objectives. First, it raises three major questions related to the attractiveness of different cities in Argentina and Brazil for hosting software companies and to their impact on local development. Second, a new taxonomy is proposed for grouping clusters according to their dominant business segment, ownership pattern and scope of operations. The purpose of this taxonomy is to encourage further studies and provide an exploratory analytical tool for analyzing software clusters.

Access to information: assessment of the use of automated interaction technologies in call centers

With the purpose of at lowering costs and reendering the demanded information available to users with no access to the internet, service companies have adopted automated interaction technologies in their call centers, which may or may not meet the expectations of users. Based on different areas of knowledge (man-machine interaction, consumer behavior and use of IT) 13 propositions are raised and a research is carried out in three parts: focus group, field study with users and interviews with experts. Eleven automated service characteristics which support the explanation for user satisfaction are listed, a preferences model is proposed and evidence in favor or against each of the 13 propositions is brought in. With balance scorecard concepts, a managerial assessment model is proposed for the use of automated call center technology. In future works, the propositions may become verifiable hypotheses through conclusive empirical research.