Previsão estocástica de nível fluviométrico para cidade de Marabá-PA: método de Box-Jenkins

O Município de Marabá- PA, situado na região Amazônica, sudeste do Estado do Pará, sofre anualmente com eventos de enchentes, ocasionados pelo aumento periódico do rio Tocantins e pela situação de vulnerabilidade da população que reside em áreas de risco. A defesa civil estadual e municipal anualmente planeja e prepara equipes para ações de defesa no município. Nesta fase o monitoramento e previsão de eventos de enchentes são importantes. Portanto, com o objetivo de diminuir erros nas previsões hidrológicas para o Município de Marabá, desenvolveu-se um modelo estocástico para previsão de nível do rio Tocantins, baseado na metodologia de Box e Jenkins. Utilizou os dados de níveis diários observados nas estações hidrológicas de Marabá e Carolina e Conceição do Araguaia da Agência Nacional de Águas (ANA), do período de 01/12/ 2008 a 31/03/2011. Efetuou-se o ajustamento de três modelos (M_t, N_t e Y_t), através de diferentes aplicativos estatísticos: o SAS e o Gretl, usando diferentes interpretações do comportamento das séries para gerar as equações dos modelos. A principal diferença entre os aplicativos é que no SAS usa o modelo de função de transferência na modelagem. Realizou-se uma classificação da variabilidade do nível do rio, através da técnica dos Quantis para o período de 1972 a 2011, examinando-se apenas as categorizações de níveis ACIMA e MUITO ACIMA do normal. Para análise de impactos socioeconômicos foram usados os dados das ações da Defesa Civil Estado do Pará nas cheias de 2009 e 2011. Os resultados mostraram que o número de eventos de cheias com níveis MUITO ACIMA do normal, geralmente, podem estar associados a eventos de La Niña. Outro resultado importante: os modelos gerados simularam muito bem o nível do rio para o período de sete dias (01/04/2011 a 07/04/2011). O modelo multivariado N_t (com pequenos erros) representou o comportamento da série original, subestimando os valores reais nos dias 3, 4 e 5 de abril de 2011, com erro máximo de 0,28 no dia 4. O modelo univariado (Y_t) teve bons resultados nas simulações com erros absolutos em torno de 0,12 m. O modelo com menor erro absoluto (0,08m) para o mesmo período foi o modelo M_t, desenvolvido pelo aplicativo SAS, que interpreta a série original como sendo não linear e não estacionária. A análise quantitativa dos impactos fluviométricos, ocorridos nas enchentes de 2009 e 2011 na cidade de Marabá, revelou em média que mais de 4 mil famílias sofrem com estes eventos, implicado em gastos financeiros elevados. Logo, conclui-se que os modelos de previsão de níveis são importantes ferramentas que a Defesa Civil, utiliza no planejamento e preparo de ações preventivas para o município de Marabá.

Estudo de controladores aplicados a inversores para UPS com operação ilhada

Coordenação de Aperfeiçoamento de Pessoal de Nível Superior (CAPES)

Micro-inverter for integrated grid-tie photovoltaic module using resonant controller

Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa do Estado de São Paulo (FAPESP)

Métodos de otimização aplicados no ajuste de ESPS e controladores de amortecimento inseridos no FACTS TCSC em sistemas elétricos de potência

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

Amplificador de potência para baixa frequência

In this work we report the development of a tube amplifier built to be used in magnetic probe diagnostic of plasma. The probe is used to measure the magnetic field in the theta-pinch system presently running in our university. We present the calculations and procedures to determine the configuration of circuits and specify the components of the power supply, the preamp stage and the power stage. The circuit configuration and the characteristics of the components was obtained. A representative model of the system behavior gave the transfer function of the amplifier. Theoretical predictions of frequency response and the feedback effects were compared to the experimental values and showed very good agreement. The amplifier works between a frequency bandwidth of 20 an 30 kHz and supply a maximum power of 12 W

Comparação entre metodologias de controle de qualidade em mamografia digital

The best way to detect breast cancer is by screening mammography. The mammography equipments are dedicated and require a rigorous quality control in order to have a good quality image and to early detect this disease. The digital equipment is relatively new in the market and there isn’t a national rule for quality control for several types of digital detectors. This study has proposed to compare two different tests manuals for quality control provided by the manufacturers of digital mammography equipments, and also compare them to the “European guidelines for quality assurance in breast cancer screening and diagnosis “(2006). The studied equipments were: Senographe 2000D from General Electric (GE) and the Hologic Selenia Lorad. Both were digital mammography equipments, the GE unit presents an indirect digital system and the other presents a direct digital system. Physical parameters of the image have been studied, such as spatial resolution, contrast resolution, noise, signal-tonoise ratio, contrast-to-noise ratio and modulation transfer function. After that, a study of the importance of quality control and the requirement to implement a Quality Assurance Program has been done. One data collection was done to compare those manual, it was done by checking which tests are indicated and the minimum frequency which they should be conducted in accordance with each manufacturer. The tests were performed by different methodologies and the results were compared. The examined tests were: the breast entrance skin dose, mean glandular dose, contrast-to-noise ratio, signal-to-noise ratio, automatic exposure control and automatic control of density, modulation transfer function, equipment resolution, homogeneity and ghost

Microinversor integrado ao módulo fotovoltaico para sistemas conectados à rede elétrica utilizando controlador ressonante

This paper shows the modeling and control of a single-phase full-bridge inverter with high-frequency transformer that may be used as part of a two-stage converter with transformerless DC-DC side or as a single-stage converter (simple DC-AC converter) for grid-connected PV applications. The inverter is modeled in order to obtain a small-signal transfer function used to design the P+Resonant current controller. A highfrequency step-up transformer results in reduced voltage switches and better efficiency compared with converters in which the transformer is used on the DC-DC side. Simulations and experimental results with a 200 W prototype are shown. 1

Conversor inversor integrado três estados buck-boost para geração distribuída, com operação conectada ou ilhada

Pós-graduação em Engenharia Elétrica - FEIS

A graph-theoretical approach in brain functional networks. Possible implications in EEG studies

Abstract Background Recently, it was realized that the functional connectivity networks estimated from actual brain-imaging technologies (MEG, fMRI and EEG) can be analyzed by means of the graph theory, that is a mathematical representation of a network, which is essentially reduced to nodes and connections between them. Methods We used high-resolution EEG technology to enhance the poor spatial information of the EEG activity on the scalp and it gives a measure of the electrical activity on the cortical surface. Afterwards, we used the Directed Transfer Function (DTF) that is a multivariate spectral measure for the estimation of the directional influences between any given pair of channels in a multivariate dataset. Finally, a graph theoretical approach was used to model the brain networks as graphs. These methods were used to analyze the structure of cortical connectivity during the attempt to move a paralyzed limb in a group (N=5) of spinal cord injured patients and during the movement execution in a group (N=5) of healthy subjects. Results Analysis performed on the cortical networks estimated from the group of normal and SCI patients revealed that both groups present few nodes with a high out-degree value (i.e. outgoing links). This property is valid in the networks estimated for all the frequency bands investigated. In particular, cingulate motor areas (CMAs) ROIs act as ‘‘hubs’’ for the outflow of information in both groups, SCI and healthy. Results also suggest that spinal cord injuries affect the functional architecture of the cortical network sub-serving the volition of motor acts mainly in its local feature property. In particular, a higher local efficiency El can be observed in the SCI patients for three frequency bands, theta (3-6 Hz), alpha (7-12 Hz) and beta (13-29 Hz). By taking into account all the possible pathways between different ROI couples, we were able to separate clearly the network properties of the SCI group from the CTRL group. In particular, we report a sort of compensatory mechanism in the SCI patients for the Theta (3-6 Hz) frequency band, indicating a higher level of “activation” Ω within the cortical network during the motor task. The activation index is directly related to diffusion, a type of dynamics that underlies several biological systems including possible spreading of neuronal activation across several cortical regions. Conclusions The present study aims at demonstrating the possible applications of graph theoretical approaches in the analyses of brain functional connectivity from EEG signals. In particular, the methodological aspects of the i) cortical activity from scalp EEG signals, ii) functional connectivity estimations iii) graph theoretical indexes are emphasized in the present paper to show their impact in a real application.

A control and automation system for wave basins

This paper presents the new active absorption wave basin, named Hydrodynamic Calibrator (HC), constructed at the University of São Paulo (USP), in the Laboratory facilities of the Numerical Offshore Tank (TPN). The square (14 m 14 m) tank is able to generate and absorb waves from 0.5 Hz to 2.0 Hz, by means of 148 active hinged flap wave makers. An independent mechanical system drives each flap by means of a 1HP servo-motor and a ball-screw based transmission system. A customized ultrasonic wave probe is installed in each flap, and is responsible for measuring wave elevation in the flap. A complex automation architecture was implemented, with three Programmable Logic Computers (PLCs), and a low-level software is responsible for all the interlocks and maintenance functions of the tank. Furthermore, all the control algorithms for the generation and absorption are implemented using higher level software (MATLAB /Simulink block diagrams). These algorithms calculate the motions of the wave makers both to generate and absorb the required wave field by taking into account the layout of the flaps and the limits of wave generation. The experimental transfer function that relates the flap amplitude to the wave elevation amplitude is used for the calculation of the motion of each flap. This paper describes the main features of the tank, followed by a detailed presentation of the whole automation system. It includes the measuring devices, signal conditioning, PLC and network architecture, real-time and synchronizing software and motor control loop. Finally, a validation of the whole automation system is presented, by means of the experimental analysis of the transfer function of the waves generated and the calculation of all the delays introduced by the automation system.

Microarray based real-time analysis of nucleic acid hybridization kinetics and thermodynamics

Ziel dieser Dissertation ist die experimentelle Charakterisierung und quantitative Beschreibung der Hybridisierung von komplementären Nukleinsäuresträngen mit oberflächengebundenen Fängermolekülen für die Entwicklung von integrierten Biosensoren. Im Gegensatz zu lösungsbasierten Verfahren ist mit Microarray Substraten die Untersuchung vieler Nukleinsäurekombinationen parallel möglich. Als biologisch relevantes Evaluierungssystem wurde das in Eukaryoten universell exprimierte Actin Gen aus unterschiedlichen Pflanzenspezies verwendet. Dieses Testsystem ermöglicht es, nahe verwandte Pflanzenarten auf Grund von geringen Unterschieden in der Gen-Sequenz (SNPs) zu charakterisieren. Aufbauend auf dieses gut studierte Modell eines House-Keeping Genes wurde ein umfassendes Microarray System, bestehend aus kurzen und langen Oligonukleotiden (mit eingebauten LNA-Molekülen), cDNAs sowie DNA und RNA Targets realisiert. Damit konnte ein für online Messung optimiertes Testsystem mit hohen Signalstärken entwickelt werden. Basierend auf den Ergebnissen wurde der gesamte Signalpfad von Nukleinsärekonzentration bis zum digitalen Wert modelliert. Die aus der Entwicklung und den Experimenten gewonnen Erkenntnisse über die Kinetik und Thermodynamik von Hybridisierung sind in drei Publikationen zusammengefasst die das Rückgrat dieser Dissertation bilden. Die erste Publikation beschreibt die Verbesserung der Reproduzierbarkeit und Spezifizität von Microarray Ergebnissen durch online Messung von Kinetik und Thermodynamik gegenüber endpunktbasierten Messungen mit Standard Microarrays. Für die Auswertung der riesigen Datenmengen wurden zwei Algorithmen entwickelt, eine reaktionskinetische Modellierung der Isothermen und ein auf der Fermi-Dirac Statistik beruhende Beschreibung des Schmelzüberganges. Diese Algorithmen werden in der zweiten Publikation beschrieben. Durch die Realisierung von gleichen Sequenzen in den chemisch unterschiedlichen Nukleinsäuren (DNA, RNA und LNA) ist es möglich, definierte Unterschiede in der Konformation des Riboserings und der C5-Methylgruppe der Pyrimidine zu untersuchen. Die kompetitive Wechselwirkung dieser unterschiedlichen Nukleinsäuren gleicher Sequenz und die Auswirkungen auf Kinetik und Thermodynamik ist das Thema der dritten Publikation. Neben der molekularbiologischen und technologischen Entwicklung im Bereich der Sensorik von Hybridisierungsreaktionen oberflächengebundener Nukleinsäuremolekülen, der automatisierten Auswertung und Modellierung der anfallenden Datenmengen und der damit verbundenen besseren quantitativen Beschreibung von Kinetik und Thermodynamik dieser Reaktionen tragen die Ergebnisse zum besseren Verständnis der physikalisch-chemischen Struktur des elementarsten biologischen Moleküls und seiner nach wie vor nicht vollständig verstandenen Spezifizität bei.

Image quality and dose evaluation of filtered back projection versus iterative reconstruction algorithm in multislice computed tomography.

Il presente lavoro di tesi è stato svolto presso il servizio di Fisica Sanitaria del Policlinico Sant'Orsola-Malpighi di Bologna. Lo studio si è concentrato sul confronto tra le tecniche di ricostruzione standard (Filtered Back Projection, FBP) e quelle iterative in Tomografia Computerizzata. Il lavoro è stato diviso in due parti: nella prima è stata analizzata la qualità delle immagini acquisite con una CT multislice (iCT 128, sistema Philips) utilizzando sia l'algoritmo FBP sia quello iterativo (nel nostro caso iDose4). Per valutare la qualità delle immagini sono stati analizzati i seguenti parametri: il Noise Power Spectrum (NPS), la Modulation Transfer Function (MTF) e il rapporto contrasto-rumore (CNR). Le prime due grandezze sono state studiate effettuando misure su un fantoccio fornito dalla ditta costruttrice, che simulava la parte body e la parte head, con due cilindri di 32 e 20 cm rispettivamente. Le misure confermano la riduzione del rumore ma in maniera differente per i diversi filtri di convoluzione utilizzati. Lo studio dell'MTF invece ha rivelato che l'utilizzo delle tecniche standard e iterative non cambia la risoluzione spaziale; infatti gli andamenti ottenuti sono perfettamente identici (a parte le differenze intrinseche nei filtri di convoluzione), a differenza di quanto dichiarato dalla ditta. Per l'analisi del CNR sono stati utilizzati due fantocci; il primo, chiamato Catphan 600 è il fantoccio utilizzato per caratterizzare i sistemi CT. Il secondo, chiamato Cirs 061 ha al suo interno degli inserti che simulano la presenza di lesioni con densità tipiche del distretto addominale. Lo studio effettuato ha evidenziato che, per entrambi i fantocci, il rapporto contrasto-rumore aumenta se si utilizza la tecnica di ricostruzione iterativa. La seconda parte del lavoro di tesi è stata quella di effettuare una valutazione della riduzione della dose prendendo in considerazione diversi protocolli utilizzati nella pratica clinica, si sono analizzati un alto numero di esami e si sono calcolati i valori medi di CTDI e DLP su un campione di esame con FBP e con iDose4. I risultati mostrano che i valori ricavati con l'utilizzo dell'algoritmo iterativo sono al di sotto dei valori DLR nazionali di riferimento e di quelli che non usano i sistemi iterativi.

Performance evaluation of detector for digital radiography

Lo scopo di questo lavoro è la caratterizzazione fisica del flat panel PaxScan4030CB Varian, rivelatore di raggi X impiegato in un ampio spettro di applicazioni cliniche, dalla radiografia generale alla radiologia interventistica. Nell’ambito clinico, al fine di una diagnosi accurata, è necessario avere una buona qualità dell’immagine radiologica mantenendo il più basso livello di dose rilasciata al paziente. Elemento fondamentale per ottenere questo risultato è la scelta del rivelatore di radiazione X, che deve garantire prestazioni fisiche (contrasto, risoluzione spaziale e rumore) adeguati alla specifica procedura. Le metriche oggettive che misurano queste caratteristiche sono SNR (Signal-to-Noise Ratio), MTF (Modulation Transfer Function) ed NPS (Noise Power Spectrum), che insieme contribuiscono alla misura della DQE (Detective Quantum Efficiency), il parametro più completo e adatto a stabilire le performance di un sistema di imaging. L’oggettività di queste misure consente anche di mettere a confronto tra loro diversi sistemi di rivelazione. La misura di questi parametri deve essere effettuata seguendo precisi protocolli di fisica medica, che sono stati applicati al rivelatore PaxScan4030CB presente nel laboratorio del Centro di Coordinamento di Fisica Medica, Policlinico S.Orsola. I risultati ottenuti, conformi a quelli dichiarati dal costruttore, sono stati confrontati con successo con alcuni lavori presenti in letteratura e costituiscono la base necessaria per la verifica di procedure di ottimizzazione dell’immagine radiologica attraverso interventi sul processo di emissione dei raggi X e sul trattamento informatico dell’immagine (Digital Subtraction Angiography).

Design of a semi-implantable hearing device for direct acoustic cochlear stimulation

A new hearing therapy based on direct acoustic cochlear stimulation was developed for the treatment of severe to profound mixed hearing loss. The device efficacy was validated in an initial clinical trial with four patients. This semi-implantable investigational device consists of an externally worn audio processor, a percutaneous connector, and an implantable microactuator. The actuator is placed in the mastoid bone, right behind the external auditory canal. It generates vibrations that are directly coupled to the inner ear fluids and that, therefore, bypass the external and the middle ear. The system is able to provide an equivalent sound pressure level of 125 dB over the frequency range between 125 and 8000 Hz. The hermetically sealed actuator is designed to provide maximal output power by keeping its dimensions small enough to enable implantation. A network model is used to simulate the dynamic characteristics of the actuator to adjust its transfer function to the characteristics of the middle ear. The geometry of the different actuator components is optimized using finite-element modeling.

Uncovering the dynamics of cardiac systems using stochastic pacing and frequency domain analyses

Alternans of cardiac action potential duration (APD) is a well-known arrhythmogenic mechanism which results from dynamical instabilities. The propensity to alternans is classically investigated by examining APD restitution and by deriving APD restitution slopes as predictive markers. However, experiments have shown that such markers are not always accurate for the prediction of alternans. Using a mathematical ventricular cell model known to exhibit unstable dynamics of both membrane potential and Ca2+ cycling, we demonstrate that an accurate marker can be obtained by pacing at cycle lengths (CLs) varying randomly around a basic CL (BCL) and by evaluating the transfer function between the time series of CLs and APDs using an autoregressive-moving-average (ARMA) model. The first pole of this transfer function corresponds to the eigenvalue (λalt) of the dominant eigenmode of the cardiac system, which predicts that alternans occurs when λalt≤−1. For different BCLs, control values of λalt were obtained using eigenmode analysis and compared to the first pole of the transfer function estimated using ARMA model fitting in simulations of random pacing protocols. In all versions of the cell model, this pole provided an accurate estimation of λalt. Furthermore, during slow ramp decreases of BCL or simulated drug application, this approach predicted the onset of alternans by extrapolating the time course of the estimated λalt. In conclusion, stochastic pacing and ARMA model identification represents a novel approach to predict alternans without making any assumptions about its ionic mechanisms. It should therefore be applicable experimentally for any type of myocardial cell.