931 resultados para Neolithic period -- Mathematical models


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In this work I tried to explore many aspects of cognitive visual science, each one based on different academic fields, proposing mathematical models capable to reproduce both neuro-physiological and phenomenological results that were described in the recent literature. The structure of my thesis is mainly composed of three chapters, corresponding to the three main areas of research on which I focused my work. The results of each work put the basis for the following, and their ensemble form an homogeneous and large-scale survey on the spatio-temporal properties of the architecture of the visual cortex of mammals.

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This Thesis aims at building and discussing mathematical models applications focused on Energy problems, both on the thermal and electrical side. The objective is to show how mathematical programming techniques developed within Operational Research can give useful answers in the Energy Sector, how they can provide tools to support decision making processes of Companies operating in the Energy production and distribution and how they can be successfully used to make simulations and sensitivity analyses to better understand the state of the art and convenience of a particular technology by comparing it with the available alternatives. The first part discusses the fundamental mathematical background followed by a comprehensive literature review about mathematical modelling in the Energy Sector. The second part presents mathematical models for the District Heating strategic network design and incremental network design. The objective is the selection of an optimal set of new users to be connected to an existing thermal network, maximizing revenues, minimizing infrastructure and operational costs and taking into account the main technical requirements of the real world application. Results on real and randomly generated benchmark networks are discussed with particular attention to instances characterized by big networks dimensions. The third part is devoted to the development of linear programming models for optimal battery operation in off-grid solar power schemes, with consideration of battery degradation. The key contribution of this work is the inclusion of battery degradation costs in the optimisation models. As available data on relating degradation costs to the nature of charge/discharge cycles are limited, we concentrate on investigating the sensitivity of operational patterns to the degradation cost structure. The objective is to investigate the combination of battery costs and performance at which such systems become economic. We also investigate how the system design should change when battery degradation is taken into account.

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The research field of my PhD concerns mathematical modeling and numerical simulation, applied to the cardiac electrophysiology analysis at a single cell level. This is possible thanks to the development of mathematical descriptions of single cellular components, ionic channels, pumps, exchangers and subcellular compartments. Due to the difficulties of vivo experiments on human cells, most of the measurements are acquired in vitro using animal models (e.g. guinea pig, dog, rabbit). Moreover, to study the cardiac action potential and all its features, it is necessary to acquire more specific knowledge about single ionic currents that contribute to the cardiac activity. Electrophysiological models of the heart have become very accurate in recent years giving rise to extremely complicated systems of differential equations. Although describing the behavior of cardiac cells quite well, the models are computationally demanding for numerical simulations and are very difficult to analyze from a mathematical (dynamical-systems) viewpoint. Simplified mathematical models that capture the underlying dynamics to a certain extent are therefore frequently used. The results presented in this thesis have confirmed that a close integration of computational modeling and experimental recordings in real myocytes, as performed by dynamic clamp, is a useful tool in enhancing our understanding of various components of normal cardiac electrophysiology, but also arrhythmogenic mechanisms in a pathological condition, especially when fully integrated with experimental data.

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This thesis was part of a multidisciplinary research project funded by the German Research Foundation (“Bevölkerungsgeschichte des Karpatenbeckens in der Jungsteinzeit und ihr Einfluss auf die Besiedlung Mitteleuropas”, grant no. Al 287/10-1) aimed at elucidating the population history of the Carpathian Basin during the Neolithic. The Carpathian Basin was an important waypoint on the spread of the Neolithic from southeastern to central Europe. On the Great Hungarian Plain (Alföld), the first farming communities appeared around 6000 cal BC. They belonged to the Körös culture, which derived from the Starčevo-Körös-Criş complex in the northern Balkans. Around 5600 cal BC the Alföld-Linearbandkeramik (ALBK), so called due to its stylistic similarities with the Transdanubian and central European LBK, emerged in the northwestern Alföld. Following a short “classical phase”, the ALBK split into several regional subgroups during its later stages, but did not expand beyond the Great Hungarian Plain. Marking the beginning of the late Neolithic period, the Tisza culture first appeared in the southern Alföld around 5000 cal BC and subsequently spread into the central and northern Alföld. Together with the Herpály and Csőszhalom groups it was an integral part of the late Neolithic cultural landscape of the Alföld. Up until now, the Neolithic cultural succession on the Alföld has been almost exclusively studied from an archaeological point of view, while very little is known about the population genetic processes during this time period. The aim of this thesis was to perform ancient DNA (aDNA) analyses on human samples from the Alföld Neolithic and analyse the resulting mitochondrial population data to address the following questions: is there population continuity between the Central European Mesolithic hunter-gatherer metapopulation and the first farming communities on the Alföld? Is there genetic continuity from the early to the late Neolithic? Are there genetic as well as cultural differences between the regional groups of the ALBK? Additionally, the relationships between the Alföld and the neighbouring Transdanubian Neolithic as well as other European early farming communities were evaluated to gain insights into the genetic affinities of the Alföld Neolithic in a larger geographic context. 320 individuals were analysed for this study; reproducible mitochondrial haplogroup information (HVS-I and/or SNP data) could be obtained from 242 Neolithic individuals. According to the analyses, population continuity between hunter-gatherers and the Neolithic cultures of the Alföld can be excluded at any stage of the Neolithic. In contrast, there is strong evidence for population continuity from the early to the late Neolithic. All cultural groups on the Alföld were heavily shaped by the genetic substrate introduced into the Carpathian Basin during the early Neolithic by the Körös and Starčevo cultures. Accordingly, genetic differentiation between regional groups of the ALBK is not very pronounced. The Alföld cultures are furthermore genetically highly similar to the Transdanubian Neolithic cultures, probably due to common ancestry. In the wider European context, the Alföld Neolithic cultures also highly similar to the central European LBK, while they differ markedly from contemporaneous populations of the Iberian Peninsula and the Ukraine. Thus, the Körös culture, the ALBK and the Tisza culture can be regarded as part of a “genetic continuum” that links the Neolithic Carpathian Basin to central Europe and likely has its roots in the Starčevo -Körös-Criş complex of the northern Balkans.

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In this study, the effect of time derivatives of flow rate and rotational speed was investigated on the mathematical modeling of a rotary blood pump (RBP). The basic model estimates the pressure head of the pump as a dependent variable using measured flow and speed as predictive variables. Performance of the model was evaluated by adding time derivative terms for flow and speed. First, to create a realistic working condition, the Levitronix CentriMag RBP was implanted in a sheep. All parameters from the model were physically measured and digitally acquired over a wide range of conditions, including pulsatile speed. Second, a statistical analysis of the different variables (flow, speed, and their time derivatives) based on multiple regression analysis was performed to determine the significant variables for pressure head estimation. Finally, different mathematical models were used to show the effect of time derivative terms on the performance of the models. In order to evaluate how well the estimated pressure head using different models fits the measured pressure head, root mean square error and correlation coefficient were used. The results indicate that inclusion of time derivatives of flow and speed can improve model accuracy, but only minimally.

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BACKGROUND Partner notification is essential to the comprehensive case management of sexually transmitted infections. Systematic reviews and mathematical modelling can be used to synthesise information about the effects of new interventions to enhance the outcomes of partner notification. OBJECTIVE To study the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of traditional and new partner notification technologies for curable sexually transmitted infections (STIs). DESIGN Secondary data analysis of clinical audit data; systematic reviews of randomised controlled trials (MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials) published from 1 January 1966 to 31 August 2012 and of studies of health-related quality of life (HRQL) [MEDLINE, EMBASE, ISI Web of Knowledge, NHS Economic Evaluation Database (NHS EED), Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects (DARE) and Health Technology Assessment (HTA)] published from 1 January 1980 to 31 December 2011; static models of clinical effectiveness and cost-effectiveness; and dynamic modelling studies to improve parameter estimation and examine effectiveness. SETTING General population and genitourinary medicine clinic attenders. PARTICIPANTS Heterosexual women and men. INTERVENTIONS Traditional partner notification by patient or provider referral, and new partner notification by expedited partner therapy (EPT) or its UK equivalent, accelerated partner therapy (APT). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES Population prevalence; index case reinfection; and partners treated per index case. RESULTS Enhanced partner therapy reduced reinfection in index cases with curable STIs more than simple patient referral [risk ratio (RR) 0.71; 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.56 to 0.89]. There are no randomised trials of APT. The median number of partners treated for chlamydia per index case in UK clinics was 0.60. The number of partners needed to treat to interrupt transmission of chlamydia was lower for casual than for regular partners. In dynamic model simulations, > 10% of partners are chlamydia positive with look-back periods of up to 18 months. In the presence of a chlamydia screening programme that reduces population prevalence, treatment of current partners achieves most of the additional reduction in prevalence attributable to partner notification. Dynamic model simulations show that cotesting and treatment for chlamydia and gonorrhoea reduce the prevalence of both STIs. APT has a limited additional effect on prevalence but reduces the rate of index case reinfection. Published quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) weights were of insufficient quality to be used in a cost-effectiveness study of partner notification in this project. Using an intermediate outcome of cost per infection diagnosed, doubling the efficacy of partner notification from 0.4 to 0.8 partners treated per index case was more cost-effective than increasing chlamydia screening coverage. CONCLUSIONS There is evidence to support the improved clinical effectiveness of EPT in reducing index case reinfection. In a general heterosexual population, partner notification identifies new infected cases but the impact on chlamydia prevalence is limited. Partner notification to notify casual partners might have a greater impact than for regular partners in genitourinary clinic populations. Recommendations for future research are (1) to conduct randomised controlled trials using biological outcomes of the effectiveness of APT and of methods to increase testing for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) and STIs after APT; (2) collection of HRQL data should be a priority to determine QALYs associated with the sequelae of curable STIs; and (3) standardised parameter sets for curable STIs should be developed for mathematical models of STI transmission that are used for policy-making. FUNDING The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme.

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It is system dynamics that determines the function of cells, tissues and organisms. To develop mathematical models and estimate their parameters are an essential issue for studying dynamic behaviors of biological systems which include metabolic networks, genetic regulatory networks and signal transduction pathways, under perturbation of external stimuli. In general, biological dynamic systems are partially observed. Therefore, a natural way to model dynamic biological systems is to employ nonlinear state-space equations. Although statistical methods for parameter estimation of linear models in biological dynamic systems have been developed intensively in the recent years, the estimation of both states and parameters of nonlinear dynamic systems remains a challenging task. In this report, we apply extended Kalman Filter (EKF) to the estimation of both states and parameters of nonlinear state-space models. To evaluate the performance of the EKF for parameter estimation, we apply the EKF to a simulation dataset and two real datasets: JAK-STAT signal transduction pathway and Ras/Raf/MEK/ERK signaling transduction pathways datasets. The preliminary results show that EKF can accurately estimate the parameters and predict states in nonlinear state-space equations for modeling dynamic biochemical networks.

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The prognosis for lung cancer patients remains poor. Five year survival rates have been reported to be 15%. Studies have shown that dose escalation to the tumor can lead to better local control and subsequently better overall survival. However, dose to lung tumor is limited by normal tissue toxicity. The most prevalent thoracic toxicity is radiation pneumonitis. In order to determine a safe dose that can be delivered to the healthy lung, researchers have turned to mathematical models predicting the rate of radiation pneumonitis. However, these models rely on simple metrics based on the dose-volume histogram and are not yet accurate enough to be used for dose escalation trials. The purpose of this work was to improve the fit of predictive risk models for radiation pneumonitis and to show the dosimetric benefit of using the models to guide patient treatment planning. The study was divided into 3 specific aims. The first two specifics aims were focused on improving the fit of the predictive model. In Specific Aim 1 we incorporated information about the spatial location of the lung dose distribution into a predictive model. In Specific Aim 2 we incorporated ventilation-based functional information into a predictive pneumonitis model. In the third specific aim a proof of principle virtual simulation was performed where a model-determined limit was used to scale the prescription dose. The data showed that for our patient cohort, the fit of the model to the data was not improved by incorporating spatial information. Although we were not able to achieve a significant improvement in model fit using pre-treatment ventilation, we show some promising results indicating that ventilation imaging can provide useful information about lung function in lung cancer patients. The virtual simulation trial demonstrated that using a personalized lung dose limit derived from a predictive model will result in a different prescription than what was achieved with the clinically used plan; thus demonstrating the utility of a normal tissue toxicity model in personalizing the prescription dose.

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In a network of competing species, a competitive intransitivity occurs when the ranking of competitive abilities does not follow a linear hierarchy (A > B > C but C > A). A variety of mathematical models suggests that intransitive networks can prevent or slow down competitive exclusion and maintain biodiversity by enhancing species coexistence. However, it has been difficult to assess empirically the relative importance of intransitive competition because a large number of pairwise species competition experiments are needed to construct a competition matrix that is used to parameterize existing models. Here we introduce a statistical framework for evaluating the contribution of intransitivity to community structure using species abundance matrices that are commonly generated from replicated sampling of species assemblages. We provide metrics and analytical methods for using abundance matrices to estimate species competition and patch transition matrices by using reverse-engineering and a colonization-competition model. These matrices provide complementary metrics to estimate the degree of intransitivity in the competition network of the sampled communities. Benchmark tests reveal that the proposed methods could successfully detect intransitive competition networks, even in the absence of direct measures of pairwise competitive strength. To illustrate the approach, we analyzed patterns of abundance and biomass of five species of necrophagous Diptera and eight species of their hymenopteran parasitoids that co-occur in beech forests in Germany. We found evidence for a strong competitive hierarchy within communities of flies and parasitoids. However, for parasitoids, there was a tendency towards increasing intransitivity in higher weight classes, which represented larger resource patches. These tests provide novel methods for empirically estimating the degree of intransitivity in competitive networks from observational datasets. They can be applied to experimental measures of pairwise species interactions, as well as to spatio-temporal samples of assemblages in homogenous environments or environmental gradients.

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Mathematical models of disease progression predict disease outcomes and are useful epidemiological tools for planners and evaluators of health interventions. The R package gems is a tool that simulates disease progression in patients and predicts the effect of different interventions on patient outcome. Disease progression is represented by a series of events (e.g., diagnosis, treatment and death), displayed in a directed acyclic graph. The vertices correspond to disease states and the directed edges represent events. The package gems allows simulations based on a generalized multistate model that can be described by a directed acyclic graph with continuous transition-specific hazard functions. The user can specify an arbitrary hazard function and its parameters. The model includes parameter uncertainty, does not need to be a Markov model, and may take the history of previous events into account. Applications are not limited to the medical field and extend to other areas where multistate simulation is of interest. We provide a technical explanation of the multistate models used by gems, explain the functions of gems and their arguments, and show a sample application.

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The study of operations on representations of objects is well documented in the realm of spatial engineering. However, the mathematical structure and formal proof of these operational phenomena are not thoroughly explored. Other works have often focused on query-based models that seek to order classes and instances of objects in the form of semantic hierarchies or graphs. In some models, nodes of graphs represent objects and are connected by edges that represent different types of coarsening operators. This work, however, studies how the coarsening operator "simplification" can manipulate partitions of finite sets, independent from objects and their attributes. Partitions that are "simplified first have a collection of elements filtered (removed), and then the remaining partition is amalgamated (some sub-collections are unified). Simplification has many interesting mathematical properties. A finite composition of simplifications can also be accomplished with some single simplification. Also, if one partition is a simplification of the other, the simplified partition is defined to be less than the other partition according to the simp relation. This relation is shown to be a partial-order relation based on simplification. Collections of partitions can not only be proven to have a partial- order structure, but also have a lattice structure and are complete. In regard to a geographic information system (GIs), partitions related to subsets of attribute domains for objects are called views. Objects belong to different views based whether or not their attribute values lie in the underlying view domain. Given a particular view, objects with their attribute n-tuple codings contained in the view are part of the actualization set on views, and objects are labeled according to the particular subset of the view in which their coding lies. Though the scope of the work does not mainly focus on queries related directly to geographic objects, it provides verification for the existence of particular views in a system with this underlying structure. Given a finite attribute domain, one can say with mathematical certainty that different views of objects are partially ordered by simplification, and every collection of views has a greatest lower bound and least upper bound, which provides the validity for exploring queries in this regard.

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La determinación del origen de un material utilizado por el hombre en la prehistoria es de suma importancia en el ámbito de la arqueología. En los últimos años, los estudios de procedencia han utilizado técnicas que suelen ser muy precisas pero con el inconveniente de ser metodologías de carácter destructivo. El fenómeno de la minería a gran escala es una de las características que acompaña al Neolítico, de ahí que la revolución correspondiente a este periodo sea una de las etapas más importantes para la humanidad. El yacimiento arqueológico de Casa Montero es una mina de sílex neolítica ubicada en la Península Ibérica, de gran importancia por su antigüedad y su escala productiva. Este sitio arqueológico corresponde a una cantera de explotación de rocas silícicas desarrollada en el periodo neolítico en la que solamente se han encontrado los desechos de la extracción minera, lo cual incrementa la variabilidad de las muestras analizadas, de las que se desconoce su contexto económico, social y cultural. Es de gran interés arqueológico saber por qué esos grupos neolíticos explotaban de forma tan intensiva determinados tipos de material y cuál era el destino de la cadena productiva del sílex. Además, por ser una excavación de rescate, que ha tenido que procesar varias toneladas de material, en un tiempo relativamente corto, requiere de métodos expeditivos de clasificación y manejo de dicho material. Sin embargo,la implementación de cualquier método de clasificación debe evitar la alteración o modificación de la muestra,ya que,estudios previos sobre caracterización de rocas silícicas tienen el inconveniente de alterar parcialmente el objeto de estudio. Por lo que el objetivo de esta investigación fue la modelización del registro y procesamiento de datos espectrales adquiridos de rocas silícicas del yacimiento arqueológico de Casa Montero. Se implementó la metodología para el registro y procesamiento de datos espectrales de materiales líticos dentro del contexto arqueológico. Lo anterior se ha conseguido con la aplicación de modelos de análisis espectral, algoritmos de suavizado de firmas espectrales, reducción de la dimensionalidad de las características y la aplicación de métodos de clasificación, tanto de carácter vectorial como raster. Para la mayoría de los procedimientos se ha desarrollado una aplicación informática validada tanto por los propios resultados obtenidos como comparativamente con otras aplicaciones. Los ensayos de evaluación de la metodología propuesta han permitido comprobar la eficacia de los métodos. Por lo que se concluye que la metodología propuesta no solo es útil para materiales silícicos, sino que se puede generalizar en aquellos procesos donde la caracterización espectral puede ser relevante para la clasificación de materiales que no deban ser alterados, además, permite aplicarla a gran escala, dado que los costes de ejecución son mínimos si se comparan con los de métodos convencionales. Así mismo, es de destacar que los métodos propuestos, representan la variabilidad del material y permiten relacionarla con el estado del yacimiento, según su contenido respecto de las tipologías de la cadena operativa. ABSTRACT: The determination of the origin of a material used by man in prehistory is very important in the field of archaeology. In recent years the provenance studies have used techniques that tend to be very precise but with the drawback of being destructive methodologies. The phenomenon of mining on a large scale is a feature that accompanies the Neolithic period; the Neolithic revolution is one of the most important periods of humanity. The archaeological site of Casa Montero is a Neolithic flint mine located in the Iberian Peninsula of great importance for its antiquity and its scale. This archaeological site corresponds to a quarry exploitation of silicic rocks developed in the Neolithic period, in which only found debris from mining, which increases the variability of the samples analyzed, including their economic, social and cultural context is unknown. It is of great archaeological interest to know why these Neolithic groups exploited as intensive certain types of material and what the final destination of flint was in the productive chain. In addition, being an excavation of rescue that had to process several tons of material in a relatively short time requires expeditious methods of classification and handling of the material. However, the implementation of any method of classification should avoid the alteration or modification of the sample, since previous studies on characterization of silicic rocks have the disadvantage of destroying or partially modify the object of study. So the objective of this research wasthe modeling of the registration and processing of acquired spectral data of silicic rocks of the archaeological site of Casa Montero. The methodology implemented for modeling the registration and processing of existing spectral data of lithic materials within the archaeological context, was presented as an alternative to the conventional classification methods (methods destructive and expensive) or subjective methods that depend on the experience of the expert. The above has been achieved with the implementation of spectral analysis models, smoothing of spectral signatures and the dimensionality reduction algorithms. Trials of validation of the proposed methodology allowed testing the effectiveness of the methods in what refers to the spectral characterization of siliceous materials of Casa Montero. Is remarkable the algorithmic contribution of the signal filtering, improve of quality and reduction of the dimensionality, as well the proposal of using raster structures for efficient storage and analysis of spectral information. For which it is concluded that the proposed methodology is not only useful for siliceous materials, but it can be generalized in those processes where spectral characterization may be relevant to the classification of materials that must not be altered, also allows to apply it on a large scale, given that the implementation costs are minimal when compared with conventional methods.

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La finalidad de esta investigación se enmarca dentro de los estudios sobre hormigones de presas llevados a cabo en el Laboratorio Central de Estructuras y Materiales del CEDEX. En España se han diagnosticado 18 obras afectadas tanto por la reacción álcali-sílice de tipo rápido como por la de tipo lento. Dos de de las obras, fabricadas con áridos graníticos, no presentan signos de deterioro pero en laboratorio se han hallado productos expansivos. En las 16 presas españolas restantes, el hormigón de 10 de ellas estaba fabricado con áridos graníticos, de las cuales, 7 están afectadas por la reacción de tipo lento. Sin embargo, en las clasificaciones internacionales de las rocas potencialmente reactivas se establece habitualmente que las rocas graníticas son inocuas o de reactividad muy baja. En los casos puntuales encontrados en la literatura, la reactividad de este tipo de áridos se encuentra frecuentemente asociada al cuarzo microcristalino que contienen y ocasionalmente se asocia esta reactividad también al cuarzo deformado y/o microfisurado. En la tesis doctoral de Víctor Daniel Lanza Fernández, también realizada en el CEDEX, se han tratado los áridos de reacción rápida, dando una descripción detallada de los componentes que intervienen en este tipo de reacción y presentando un ensayo eficaz para su detección en el laboratorio. La investigación desarrollada en la presente tesis doctoral se ha centrado en los áridos de reacción lenta, mucho menos estudiados. A partir del estudio bibliográfico realizado sobre este tipo de reacción se ha detectado ciertas lagunas, basadas principalmente en la falta de un método de detección en el laboratorio para los áridos de reacción lenta. No se ha encontrado un procedimiento en el estudio petrográfico que sea fiable y cuantificable para este tipo de áridos. El ensayo acelerado de barras de mortero, que para los áridos de reacción rápida supone un método rápido y fiable, falla en la detección de los áridos de reacción lenta al aplicar los límites normalizados. Si bien en publicaciones recientes se ha propuesto la posibilidad de ampliar el tiempo de tratamiento hasta los 90 días, la duración del ensayo es más larga de lo deseado. Para resolver estas lagunas, se han tomado áridos de obras reales afectadas por la reacción álcali-sílice (en algún caso también de las canteras de donde se extrajeron los áridos para la ejecución), con lo que la reactividad de estos áridos queda demostrada por su comportamiento en obra. Al objeto de aumentar la muestra de ensayo y utilizar también áridos inocuos, se han tomado muestras de canteras, tanto en uso como abandonadas. Sobre estos áridos se ha realizado una caracterización completa con los ensayos actualmente disponibles para el estudio de su reactividad con los álcalis del cemento: estudio petrográfico, ensayo acelerado de barras de mortero y Gel-Pat modificado. En la investigación se ha desarrollado una metodología de tinción de geles álcali-sílice para la cuantificación de los mismos en el interior de las barras de mortero. Se ha relacionado el volumen de gel generado en la reacción con la expansión producida, tanto para áridos lentos, como rápidos, estableciendo analogías y diferencias en el comportamiento de ambos. La cuantificación de este tipo de compuestos realizada en las barras de mortero, abre la posibilidad de estudiar la capacidad expansiva que presentan en testigos de hormigón de obras afectadas. Este dato podría ser una herramienta importante para el desarrollo de modelos matemáticos que puedan predecir el futuro comportamiento de las estructuras afectadas por la reacción álcali-sílice. La tinción ha sido asimismo utilizada para establecer un método de detección de áridos reactivos basado en el ensayo de Gel-Pat modificado. La metodología de detección propuesta para estos áridos es cuantitativa y proporciona los resultados en 14 días, suponiendo una ventaja importante sobre los métodos actuales, que permiten detectarlos en 90 días (de forma orientativa en 56 días). This research is part of the studies on durability of concrete dams carried out in the Laboratorio Central de Estructuras y Materiales of CEDEX during the last years. At the present time, 18 public works affected by alkali-silica reaction have been diagnosed in Spain. In 12 of them the concrete was mixed with granitic aggregates, 7 of which were damaged by the slow alkali-silica reaction, 3 by the rapid alkali-silica reaction and in the other 2 cases, although there was no visual evidence of the reaction in field, the laboratory tests showed the presence of expansive products inside the concrete. However, in the international classifications of potentially reactive aggregates granitic rocks are pointed out as innocuous or as low reactivity and usually their reactivity is attributed to the presence of microcrystalline quartz and occasionally with the strained and microcracked quartz. The rapid reactive aggregates were deeply studied in a previous research (Víctor Daniel Lanza’s Thesis) also carried out in CEDEX. In this research, a detailed description of the components involved in the rapid alkali-silica reaction was given. Also, a fast method to detect them in the laboratory was developed. The research of the present PhD Thesis is focused in the slow-reactive aggregates, much less studied. The state of the art has shown some gaps in the knowledge about this reaction, mainly the absence of a reliable method to detect slow-reactive aggregates. On one side, there is no systematic and quantitative petrographic test for these aggregates. On the other side, the accelerated mortar bar test has been proved to be effective to detect rapid reactive aggregates but the standard limits fail in the detection of the slowreactive aggregates. In recent investigations it has been proposed extending the test until 90 days, but this period is considered too long. In this research, aggregates taken from affected structures have been used in the test, so their reactivity has been shown in practice. With the aim of increasing the number of samples aggregates from quarries have been also used. A method to stain alkali-silica gels has been applied to mortar bars, thereby quantifying the volume of gel generated inside. This volume has been related to the expansion of the bars, both for rapid for slow reactive aggregates, establishing similarities and differences. The quantification of the gel volume, applied to concrete cores extracted from affected structures, could be an important tool in mathematical models to predict the future behaviour of the structures affected by the alkali-silica reaction. The staining method has been also used to develop a method to detect slow reactive aggregates, based on the optimised Gel-Pat test, obtaining results in 14 days. This represents a major improvement compared to the actual methods (accelerated mortar bar test) which give an indicative value of reactivity at 56 days, and a final result at 90 days.

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One of the main concerns when conducting a dam test is the acute determination of the hydrograph for a specific flood event. The use of 2D direct rainfall hydraulic mathematical models on a finite elements mesh, combined with the efficiency of vector calculus that provides CUDA (Compute Unified Device Architecture) technology, enables nowadays the simulation of complex hydrological models without the need for terrain subbasin and transit splitting (as in HEC-HMS). Both the Spanish PNOA (National Plan of Aereal Orthophotography) Digital Terrain Model GRID with a 5 x 5 m accuracy and the CORINE GIS Land Cover (Coordination of INformation of the Environment) that allows assessment of the ground roughness, provide enough data to easily build these kind of models

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El objetivo definitivo de esta investigación es contribuir con la profundización del conocimiento en las tecnologías de remediación, específicamente las térmicas, debido a que la contaminación de suelos es motivo de preocupación por ser uno de los graves impactos ambientales que origina el hombre con sus actividades, especialmente las industriales, afectando a la salud de los seres humanos, y el medio ambiente, representando elevados costes de saneamiento y en ocasiones problemas graves de salud de las comunidades aledañas. Se establecen tres fases de investigación. En la primera se diseña el sistema de termodesorción a escala piloto, se desarrolla las corridas experimentales, la segunda con corridas en laboratorio para investigar sobre los parámetros que intervienen en el proyecto. Se hacen las corridas respectivas para determinar la eficacia del sistema, y la tercera fase que consiste en comparar los modelos teóricos de Hartley, con los de Hartley Graham –Bryce y el de Hamaker para determinar su aproximación con los resultados reales. Apoyado en investigaciones anteriores, se diseñó y construyó un sistema de desorción térmica, el cual consiste en un horno tipo caja con 4 calentadores (resistencias), y una campana con un filtro para evitar la contaminación atmosférica, así mismo, se diseñó un sistema de control que permitió hacer las corridas con 1/3 de la potencia, con una relación de encendido apagado 3:1 respectivamente. Para validar los resultados obtenidos en el estudio matemático, se compararon dos modelos con la finalidad cuál de ellos se aproxima más a la realidad, se tomaron los ensayos con sus tiempos de operación a las temperaturas y se trabajó a distintas bandas de temperaturas para verificar la fiabilidad del proceso matemático. La temperatura es un variable importante en los procesos de desorción, como los son también la humedad del suelo, pues esta va influir directamente en el tiempo de remediación, por lo que es importante tomarla en cuenta. De igual forma el tipo de suelo va influir en los resultados, siendo las arenas más aptas para este tipo de remediación. Los resultados de la modelización son presentados para temperaturas constantes, el cual difiere de la realidad, pues el proceso de calentamiento es lento y va en accenso dependiendo del contenido de humedad y de las propiedades del suelo. La experimentación realizada concluye con buenos resultados de la aplicación de sistemas de desorción de acuerdo a las variables de Panamá. Con relación al grado de cumplimiento respecto a las normativas actuales relacionadas a los límites máximos permitidos. Los resultados garantizan las posibilidades del proceso de remediación térmica de suelos contaminados con combustibles en rango de diésel, garantizando niveles aceptables de limpieza en un tiempo menor a otras metodologías no destructivas pudieran tomar. ABSTRACT The ultimate goal of this investigation is to enhance the pool of knowledge related to remediation technologies, specifically thermal desorption. The motivation for this study is based on concerns due to pollution of land as one of the most serious environmental impacts caused by anthropogenic effects, specially industrial activities, affecting human health and the environment in general, which represents high reclamation costs, and in some cases, serious health issues in nearby communities. Three phases have been established for this study. The first phase involves the design of a thermal desorption system as a pilot experiment, and associated tests. The second phase consists of laboratory testing to investigate the parameters that affect the investigation, as well as to determine the efficacy of the system. The third phase covers the comparison of theorical models as proposed by Hartley, Hartley Graham – Bryce, and Hamaker, as well as the evaluation of these models versus the laboratory results. Supported by previous researches, the thermal desorption system was designed and installed as a “box” type oven with four heaters (resistances) and one absorption hood with a filter to avoid atmospheric contamination. In the same way, a control system was designed allowing testing with 1/3 of the power, with an on/off rate of 3:1 respectively. In order to validate the results, two mathematical models were compared to identify which model is closer to the experimental results; test results were documented with respective durations and temperatures; and experiments were executed using different ranges of temperature to validate the consistency of the mathematical process. Temperature is an important variable that should be considered for the desorption processes, as well as the humidity content within the soil, that has direct influence over the required duration to achieve remediation. In the same manner, the type of soil also influences the results, where sands are more efficient for this type of remediation process. The results from this experiment are according to constant temperatures, which is not a complete representation of the reality, as the heating process is slow and the temperature gradually increases according to the humidity content and other properties of the soil. The experiment shows good results for the application of thermal desorption systems according to the variables in Panama, as well as the level of compliance required to fulfill current regulations and mandatory maximum limits. The results guarantee the possibility of soil thermo-remediation as a resource to clean sites that have been polluted with diesel-like combustibles, allowing acceptable levels in a period of time that is lower than with other non-destructive remediation technics.