Gamification e Machine Learning per migliorare l’esperienza di guida e diminuire i consumi in un veicolo elettrico

Questo progetto di tesi è parte di un programma più ampio chiamato TIME (Tecnologia Integrata per Mobilità Elettrica) sviluppato tra diversi gruppi di ricerca afferenti al settore meccanico, termofluidodinamico e informatico. TIME si pone l'obiettivo di migliorare la qualità dei componenti di un sistema powertrain presenti oggi sul mercato progettando un sistema general purpose adatto ad essere installato su veicoli di prima fornitura ma soprattutto su retrofit, quindi permettendo il ricondizionamento di veicoli con motore a combustione esistenti ma troppo datati. Lo studio svolto si pone l'obiettivo di identificare tutti gli aspetti di innovazione tecnologica che possono essere installati all'interno del sistema di interazione uomo-macchina. All'interno di questo progetto sarà effettuata una pianificazione di tutto il lavoro del gruppo di ricerca CIRI-ICT, partendo dallo studio normativo ed ergonomico delle interfacce dei veicoli analizzando tutti gli elementi di innovazione che potranno far parte del sistema TIME e quindi programmare tutte le attività previste al fine di raggiungere gli obiettivi prefissati, documentando opportunamente tutto il processo. Nello specifico saranno analizzate e definite le tecniche da utilizzare per poi procedere alla progettazione e implementazione di un primo sistema sperimentale di Machine Learning e Gamification con lo scopo di predire lo stato della batteria in base allo stile di guida dell'utente e incentivare quest'ultimo tramite sistemi di Gamification installati sul cruscotto ad una guida più consapevole dei consumi. Questo sistema sarà testato su dati simulati con l'obiettivo di avere un prodotto configurabile da installare sul veicolo.

Riconoscimento real-time di gesture tramite tecniche di machine learning

Il riconoscimento delle gesture è un tema di ricerca che sta acquisendo sempre più popolarità, specialmente negli ultimi anni, grazie ai progressi tecnologici dei dispositivi embedded e dei sensori. Lo scopo di questa tesi è quello di utilizzare alcune tecniche di machine learning per realizzare un sistema in grado di riconoscere e classificare in tempo reale i gesti delle mani, a partire dai segnali mioelettrici (EMG) prodotti dai muscoli. Inoltre, per consentire il riconoscimento di movimenti spaziali complessi, verranno elaborati anche segnali di tipo inerziale, provenienti da una Inertial Measurement Unit (IMU) provvista di accelerometro, giroscopio e magnetometro. La prima parte della tesi, oltre ad offrire una panoramica sui dispositivi wearable e sui sensori, si occuperà di analizzare alcune tecniche per la classificazione di sequenze temporali, evidenziandone vantaggi e svantaggi. In particolare, verranno considerati approcci basati su Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), Hidden Markov Models (HMM), e reti neurali ricorrenti (RNN) di tipo Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM), che rappresentano una delle ultime evoluzioni nel campo del deep learning. La seconda parte, invece, riguarderà il progetto vero e proprio. Verrà impiegato il dispositivo wearable Myo di Thalmic Labs come caso di studio, e saranno applicate nel dettaglio le tecniche basate su DTW e HMM per progettare e realizzare un framework in grado di eseguire il riconoscimento real-time di gesture. Il capitolo finale mostrerà i risultati ottenuti (fornendo anche un confronto tra le tecniche analizzate), sia per la classificazione di gesture isolate che per il riconoscimento in tempo reale.

Mapped cetacean habitat suitability and richness in the Azores, links to ArcGIS files

Marine spatial planning and ecological research call for high-resolution species distribution data. However, those data are still not available for most marine large vertebrates. The dynamic nature of oceanographic processes and the wide-ranging behavior of many marine vertebrates create further difficulties, as distribution data must incorporate both the spatial and temporal dimensions. Cetaceans play an essential role in structuring and maintaining marine ecosystems and face increasing threats from human activities. The Azores holds a high diversity of cetaceans but the information about spatial and temporal patterns of distribution for this marine megafauna group in the region is still very limited. To tackle this issue, we created monthly predictive cetacean distribution maps for spring and summer months, using data collected by the Azores Fisheries Observer Programme between 2004 and 2009. We then combined the individual predictive maps to obtain species richness maps for the same period. Our results reflect a great heterogeneity in distribution among species and within species among different months. This heterogeneity reflects a contrasting influence of oceanographic processes on the distribution of cetacean species. However, some persistent areas of increased species richness could also be identified from our results. We argue that policies aimed at effectively protecting cetaceans and their habitats must include the principle of dynamic ocean management coupled with other area-based management such as marine spatial planning.

Retrieval of grassland biophysical parameters using multitemporal optical and radar satellite data

The amount and quality of available biomass is a key factor for the sustainable livestock industry and agricultural management related decision making. Globally 31.5% of land cover is grassland while 80% of Ireland’s agricultural land is grassland. In Ireland, grasslands are intensively managed and provide the cheapest feed source for animals. This dissertation presents a detailed state of the art review of satellite remote sensing of grasslands, and the potential application of optical (Moderate–resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS)) and radar (TerraSAR-X) time series imagery to estimate the grassland biomass at two study sites (Moorepark and Grange) in the Republic of Ireland using both statistical and state of the art machine learning algorithms. High quality weather data available from the on-site weather station was also used to calculate the Growing Degree Days (GDD) for Grange to determine the impact of ancillary data on biomass estimation. In situ and satellite data covering 12 years for the Moorepark and 6 years for the Grange study sites were used to predict grassland biomass using multiple linear regression, Neuro Fuzzy Inference Systems (ANFIS) models. The results demonstrate that a dense (8-day composite) MODIS image time series, along with high quality in situ data, can be used to retrieve grassland biomass with high performance (R2 = 0:86; p < 0:05, RMSE = 11.07 for Moorepark). The model for Grange was modified to evaluate the synergistic use of vegetation indices derived from remote sensing time series and accumulated GDD information. As GDD is strongly linked to the plant development, or phonological stage, an improvement in biomass estimation would be expected. It was observed that using the ANFIS model the biomass estimation accuracy increased from R2 = 0:76 (p < 0:05) to R2 = 0:81 (p < 0:05) and the root mean square error was reduced by 2.72%. The work on the application of optical remote sensing was further developed using a TerraSAR-X Staring Spotlight mode time series over the Moorepark study site to explore the extent to which very high resolution Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) data of interferometrically coherent paddocks can be exploited to retrieve grassland biophysical parameters. After filtering out the non-coherent plots it is demonstrated that interferometric coherence can be used to retrieve grassland biophysical parameters (i. e., height, biomass), and that it is possible to detect changes due to the grass growth, and grazing and mowing events, when the temporal baseline is short (11 days). However, it not possible to automatically uniquely identify the cause of these changes based only on the SAR backscatter and coherence, due to the ambiguity caused by tall grass laid down due to the wind. Overall, the work presented in this dissertation has demonstrated the potential of dense remote sensing and weather data time series to predict grassland biomass using machine-learning algorithms, where high quality ground data were used for training. At present a major limitation for national scale biomass retrieval is the lack of spatial and temporal ground samples, which can be partially resolved by minor modifications in the existing PastureBaseIreland database by adding the location and extent ofeach grassland paddock in the database. As far as remote sensing data requirements are concerned, MODIS is useful for large scale evaluation but due to its coarse resolution it is not possible to detect the variations within the fields and between the fields at the farm scale. However, this issue will be resolved in terms of spatial resolution by the Sentinel-2 mission, and when both satellites (Sentinel-2A and Sentinel-2B) are operational the revisit time will reduce to 5 days, which together with Landsat-8, should enable sufficient cloud-free data for operational biomass estimation at a national scale. The Synthetic Aperture Radar Interferometry (InSAR) approach is feasible if there are enough coherent interferometric pairs available, however this is difficult to achieve due to the temporal decorrelation of the signal. For repeat-pass InSAR over a vegetated area even an 11 days temporal baseline is too large. In order to achieve better coherence a very high resolution is required at the cost of spatial coverage, which limits its scope for use in an operational context at a national scale. Future InSAR missions with pair acquisition in Tandem mode will minimize the temporal decorrelation over vegetation areas for more focused studies. The proposed approach complements the current paradigm of Big Data in Earth Observation, and illustrates the feasibility of integrating data from multiple sources. In future, this framework can be used to build an operational decision support system for retrieval of grassland biophysical parameters based on data from long term planned optical missions (e. g., Landsat, Sentinel) that will ensure the continuity of data acquisition. Similarly, Spanish X-band PAZ and TerraSAR-X2 missions will ensure the continuity of TerraSAR-X and COSMO-SkyMed.

Directed Selection using Reinforcement Learning for the Examination Timetabling Problem

Traditional heuristic approaches to the Examination Timetabling Problem normally utilize a stochastic method during Optimization for the selection of the next examination to be considered for timetabling within the neighbourhood search process. This paper presents a technique whereby the stochastic method has been augmented with information from a weighted list gathered during the initial adaptive construction phase, with the purpose of intelligently directing examination selection. In addition, a Reinforcement Learning technique has been adapted to identify the most effective portions of the weighted list in terms of facilitating the greatest potential for overall solution improvement. The technique is tested against the 2007 International Timetabling Competition datasets with solutions generated within a time frame specified by the competition organizers. The results generated are better than those of the competition winner in seven of the twelve examinations, while being competitive for the remaining five examinations. This paper also shows experimentally how using reinforcement learning has improved upon our previous technique.

Machine learning and data decompositions for complex networked dynamical systems

Thesis (Ph.D.)--University of Washington, 2016-08

Modelo predictivo de radiación solar mediante técnicas de machine learning: aplicación a la isla de Gran Canaria

Programa de doctorado: Tecnología Industrial. La fecha de publicación es la fecha de lectura.

An algoritmh for the estimation of 3D surfaces using competitive learning

This paper addresses the estimation of object boundaries from a set of 3D points. An extension of the constrained clustering algorithm developed by Abrantes and Marques in the context of edge linking is presented. The object surface is approximated using rectangular meshes and simplex nets. Centroid-based forces are used for attracting the model nodes towards the data, using competitive learning methods. It is shown that competitive learning improves the model performance in the presence of concavities and allows to discriminate close surfaces. The proposed model is evaluated using synthetic data and medical images (MRI and ultrasound images).

Combined Machine Learning Techniques for Decision Making Support in Medicine

Computational intelligent support for decision making is becoming increasingly popular and essential among medical professionals. Also, with the modern medical devices being capable to communicate with ICT, created models can easily find practical translation into software. Machine learning solutions for medicine range from the robust but opaque paradigms of support vector machines and neural networks to the also performant, yet more comprehensible, decision trees and rule-based models. So how can such different techniques be combined such that the professional obtains the whole spectrum of their particular advantages? The presented approaches have been conceived for various medical problems, while permanently bearing in mind the balance between good accuracy and understandable interpretation of the decision in order to truly establish a trustworthy ‘artificial’ second opinion for the medical expert.

Combination of Evolutionary Algorithms with Experimental Design, Traditional Optimization and Machine Learning

Evolutionary algorithms alone cannot solve optimization problems very efficiently since there are many random (not very rational) decisions in these algorithms. Combination of evolutionary algorithms and other techniques have been proven to be an efficient optimization methodology. In this talk, I will explain the basic ideas of our three algorithms along this line (1): Orthogonal genetic algorithm which treats crossover/mutation as an experimental design problem, (2) Multiobjective evolutionary algorithm based on decomposition (MOEA/D) which uses decomposition techniques from traditional mathematical programming in multiobjective optimization evolutionary algorithm, and (3) Regular model based multiobjective estimation of distribution algorithms (RM-MEDA) which uses the regular property and machine learning methods for improving multiobjective evolutionary algorithms.

THE EFFECTS OF MODELING INSTRUCTION ON STUDENT LEARNING OF A NEWTONIAN FORCE CONCEPT

This study explores the effects of modeling instruction on student learning in physics. Multiple representations grounded in physical contexts were employed by students to analyze the results of inquiry lab investigations. Class whiteboard discussions geared toward a class consensus following Socratic dialogue were implemented throughout the modeling cycle. Lab investigations designed to address student preconceptions related to Newton’s Third Law were implemented. Student achievement was measured based on normalized gains on the Force Concept Inventory. Normalized FCI gains achieved by students in this study were comparable to those achieved by students of other novice modelers. Physics students who had taken a modeling Intro to Physics course scored significantly higher on the FCI posttest than those who had not. The FCI results also provided insight into deeply rooted student preconceptions related to Newton’s Third Law. Implications for instruction and the design of lab investigations related to Newton’s Third Law are discussed.

An investigation of two real time machine learning techniques that could enhance the adaptability of game AI agents

Developers strive to create innovative Artificial Intelligence (AI) behaviour in their games as a key selling point. Machine Learning is an area of AI that looks at how applications and agents can be programmed to learn their own behaviour without the need to manually design and implement each aspect of it. Machine learning methods have been utilised infrequently within games and are usually trained to learn offline before the game is released to the players. In order to investigate new ways AI could be applied innovatively to games it is wise to explore how machine learning methods could be utilised in real-time as the game is played, so as to allow AI agents to learn directly from the player or their environment. Two machine learning methods were implemented into a simple 2D Fighter test game to allow the agents to fully showcase their learned behaviour as the game is played. The methods chosen were: Q-Learning and an NGram based system. It was found that N-Grams and QLearning could significantly benefit game developers as they facilitate fast, realistic learning at run-time.

Machine learning per l'idrologia: applicazione del metodo random forests per la previsione degli eventi di piena fluviale con un approccio probabilistico

Le tecniche di Machine Learning sono molto utili in quanto consento di massimizzare l’utilizzo delle informazioni in tempo reale. Il metodo Random Forests può essere annoverato tra le tecniche di Machine Learning più recenti e performanti. Sfruttando le caratteristiche e le potenzialità di questo metodo, la presente tesi di dottorato affronta due casi di studio differenti; grazie ai quali è stato possibile elaborare due differenti modelli previsionali. Il primo caso di studio si è incentrato sui principali fiumi della regione Emilia-Romagna, caratterizzati da tempi di risposta molto brevi. La scelta di questi fiumi non è stata casuale: negli ultimi anni, infatti, in detti bacini si sono verificati diversi eventi di piena, in gran parte di tipo “flash flood”. Il secondo caso di studio riguarda le sezioni principali del fiume Po, dove il tempo di propagazione dell’onda di piena è maggiore rispetto ai corsi d’acqua del primo caso di studio analizzato. Partendo da una grande quantità di dati, il primo passo è stato selezionare e definire i dati in ingresso in funzione degli obiettivi da raggiungere, per entrambi i casi studio. Per l’elaborazione del modello relativo ai fiumi dell’Emilia-Romagna, sono stati presi in considerazione esclusivamente i dati osservati; a differenza del bacino del fiume Po in cui ai dati osservati sono stati affiancati anche i dati di previsione provenienti dalla catena modellistica Mike11 NAM/HD. Sfruttando una delle principali caratteristiche del metodo Random Forests, è stata stimata una probabilità di accadimento: questo aspetto è fondamentale sia nella fase tecnica che in fase decisionale per qualsiasi attività di intervento di protezione civile. L'elaborazione dei dati e i dati sviluppati sono stati effettuati in ambiente R. Al termine della fase di validazione, gli incoraggianti risultati ottenuti hanno permesso di inserire il modello sviluppato nel primo caso studio all’interno dell’architettura operativa di FEWS.

Challenges and Opportunities of Machine Learning for Clinical and Omics Data

Clinical and omics data are a promising field of application for machine learning techniques even though these methods are not yet systematically adopted in healthcare institutions. Despite artificial intelligence has proved successful in terms of prediction of pathologies or identification of their causes, the systematic adoption of these techniques still presents challenging issues due to the peculiarities of the analysed data. The aim of this thesis is to apply machine learning algorithms to both clinical and omics data sets in order to predict a patient's state of health and get better insights on the possible causes of the analysed diseases. In doing so, many of the arising issues when working with medical data will be discussed while possible solutions will be proposed to make machine learning provide feasible results and possibly become an effective and reliable support tool for healthcare systems.