The development and optimization of a modified single-drop microextraction method for organochlorine pesticides determination by gas chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry

We have developed a new method for single-drop microextraction (SDME) for the preconcentration of organochlorine pesticides (OCP) from complex matrices. It is based on the use of a silicone ring at the tip of the syringe. A 5 μL drop of n-hexane is applied to an aqueous extract containing the OCP and found to be adequate to preconcentrate the OCPs prior to analysis by GC in combination with tandem mass spectrometry. Fourteen OCP were determined using this technique in combination with programmable temperature vaporization. It is shown to have many advantages over traditional split/splitless injection. The effects of kind of organic solvent, exposure time, agitation and organic drop volume were optimized. Relative recoveries range from 59 to 117 %, with repeatabilities of <15 % (coefficient of variation) were achieved. The limits of detection range from 0.002 to 0.150 μg kg−1. The method was applied to the preconcentration of OCPs in fresh strawberry, strawberry jam, and soil.

Development and validation of a novel method for the analysis of chlorinated pesticides in soils using microwave-assisted extraction–headspace solid phase microextraction and gas chromatography–tandem mass spectrometry

A new procedure for determining eleven organochlorine pesticides in soils using microwave-assisted extraction (MAE) and headspace solid phase microextraction (HS-SPME) is described. The studied pesticides consisted of mirex, α- and γ-chlordane, p,p’-DDT, heptachlor, heptachlor epoxide isomer A, γ-hexachlorocyclohexane, dieldrin, endrin, aldrine and hexachlorobenzene. The HS-SPME was optimized for the most important parameters such as extraction time, sample volume and temperature. The present analytical procedure requires a reduced volume of organic solvents and avoids the need for extract clean-up steps. For optimized conditions the limits of detection for the method ranged from 0.02 to 3.6 ng/g, intermediate precision ranged from 14 to 36% (as CV%), and the recovery from 8 up to 51%. The proposed methodology can be used in the rapid screening of soil for the presence of the selected pesticides, and was applied to landfill soil samples.

Uncertainty propagation in inverse reliability-based design of composite structures

An approach for the analysis of uncertainty propagation in reliability-based design optimization of composite laminate structures is presented. Using the Uniform Design Method (UDM), a set of design points is generated over a domain centered on the mean reference values of the random variables. A methodology based on inverse optimal design of composite structures to achieve a specified reliability level is proposed, and the corresponding maximum load is outlined as a function of ply angle. Using the generated UDM design points as input/output patterns, an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is developed based on an evolutionary learning process. Then, a Monte Carlo simulation using ANN development is performed to simulate the behavior of the critical Tsai number, structural reliability index, and their relative sensitivities as a function of the ply angle of laminates. The results are generated for uniformly distributed random variables on a domain centered on mean values. The statistical analysis of the results enables the study of the variability of the reliability index and its sensitivity relative to the ply angle. Numerical examples showing the utility of the approach for robust design of angle-ply laminates are presented.

Hopelessness and Related Variables among Cancer Patients in the Southern European Psycho-Oncology Study (SEPOS).

BACKGROUND: Although hopelessness has been studied in cancer, no data are available in non-English-speaking countries. OBJECTIVE: The authors sought to amass data from Southern European countries (Italy, Portugal, Spain, and Switzerland) in order to fill this void. METHOD: A group of 312 cancer patients completed the Mini-MAC Hopelessness subscale, the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale (HADS), the Cancer Worry Inventory (CWI), and a six-item Visual Analog scale (VAS) to measure intensity of physical symptoms, general well-being, difficulty in coping with cancer, intensity of social support from close relationships, leisure activity, and support from religious beliefs. RESULTS: Regression analysis indicated that HADS-Depression, VAS Maladaptive Coping and Well-Being, and the CWI explained 42% of the variance. CONCLUSION: Hopelessness in cancer patients seems not exclusively to correspond to depression, but is related to various other psychosocial factors, such as maladaptive coping, as well.

Insertion dans les soins après une première hospitalisation dans un secteur pour psychose [Linkage to care after first hospitalisation for psychosis]

BACKGROUND: First hospitalisation for a psychotic episode causes intense distress to patients and families, but offers an opportunity to make a diagnosis and start treatment. However, linkage to outpatient psychiatric care remains a notoriously difficult step for young psychotic patients, who frequently interrupt treatment after hospitalisation. Persistence of symptoms, and untreated psychosis may therefore remain a problem despite hospitalisation and proper diagnosis. With persisting psychotic symptoms, numerous complications may arise: breakdown in relationships, loss of family and social support, loss of employment or study interruption, denial of disease, depression, suicide, substance abuse and violence. Understanding mechanisms that might promote linkage to outpatient psychiatric care is therefore a critical issue, especially in early intervention in psychotic disorders. OBJECTIVE: To study which factors hinder or promote linkage of young psychotic patients to outpatient psychiatric care after a first hospitalisation, in the absence of a vertically integrated program for early psychosis. Method. File audit study of all patients aged 18 to 30 who were admitted for the first time to the psychiatric University Hospital of Lausanne in the year 2000. For statistical analysis, chi2 tests were used for categorical variables and t-test for dimensional variables; p<0.05 was considered as statistically significant. RESULTS: 230 patients aged 18 to 30 were admitted to the Lausanne University psychiatric hospital for the first time during the year 2000, 52 of them with a diagnosis of psychosis (23%). Patients with psychosis were mostly male (83%) when compared with non-psychosis patients (49%). Furthermore, they had (1) 10 days longer mean duration of stay (24 vs 14 days), (2) a higher rate of compulsory admissions (53% vs 22%) and (3) were more often hospitalised by a psychiatrist rather than by a general practitioner (83% vs 53%). Other socio-demographic and clinical features at admission were similar in the two groups. Among the 52 psychotic patients, 10 did not stay in the catchment area for subsequent treatment. Among the 42 psychotic patients who remained in the catchment area after discharge, 20 (48%) did not attend the scheduled or rescheduled outpatient appointment. None of the socio demographic characteristics were associated with attendance to outpatient appointments. On the other hand, voluntary admission and suicidal ideation before admission were significantly related to attending the initial appointment. Moreover, some elements of treatment seemed to be associated with higher likelihood to attend outpatient treatment: (1) provision of information to the patient regarding diagnosis, (2) discussion about the treatment plan between in- and outpatient staff, (3) involvement of outpatient team during hospitalisation, and (4) elaboration of concrete strategies to face basic needs, organise daily activities or education and reach for help in case of need. CONCLUSION: As in other studies, half of the patients admitted for a first psychotic episode failed to link to outpatient psychiatric care. Our study suggests that treatment rather than patient's characteristics play a critical role in this phenomenon. Development of a partnership and involvement of patients in the decision process, provision of good information regarding the illness, clear definition of the treatment plan, development of concrete strategies to cope with the illness and its potential complications, and involvement of the outpatient treating team already during hospitalisation, all came out as critical strategies to facilitate adherence to outpatient care. While the current rate of disengagement after admission is highly concerning, our finding are encouraging since they constitute strategies that can easily be implemented. An open approach to psychosis, the development of partnership with patients and a better coordination between inpatient and outpatient teams should therefore be among the targets of early intervention programs. These observations might help setting up priorities when conceptualising new programs and facilitate the implementation of services that facilitate engagement of patients in treatment during the critical initial phase of psychotic disorders.

A comparison of life satisfaction, job satisfaction, and happiness using demographic variables

This study examined the interrelationships among life satisfaction, job satisfaction, and happiness and the selected demographic variables of income, age, marital status, education, sex, job tenure, job title, type of school, and location of employment. Survey data were collected from 1,993 elementary, high school, and community college teachers in the southern Ontario area, representing ten public school boards, three Roman Catholic school boards and three community colleges. Several theories were utilized in developing thirteen hypotheses and eleven experimental hypotheses. A thorough review of the literature (to January, 1980) was undertaken and major conclusions noted. Hoppock's (1935) Job Satisfaction Measure, Gurin, Veroff, and Feld's (1960) Happiness Scale, and Converse and Robinson's (1965) Life Satisfaction Scale were used as the instrument. Chi-square analysis was employed as the statistical method. Indicative of the findings: the level of education taught was significantly related to all three organizational variables, sex was unrelated to life satisfaction though positively related to job satisfaction, and income was found not to be related to either happiness or life satisfaction. A minority of findings were contrary to hypothesized relationships. Specifically, age was found to be unrelated to any of the three organizational variables, and educational achievement was not significantly related to happiness. A model was developed to illustrate the interrelationships of the organizational and demographic variables. This model was designed specifically to reflect teacher attitudes, though it may have reasonable application for other relatively homogeneous groups of employees such as nurses, engineers, or social workers.

The Effect of a Stickhandling and Puck Control (SPC) Training Intervention on SPC Skills and Wrist Shot Performance Variables in Female Collegiate Ice Hockey Players

The purpose of the study was to investigate the effect of a 16 session stickhandling and puck control (SPC) off-ice training intervention on SPC skills and wrist shot performance variables. Eighteen female collegiate ice hockey players participated in a crossover design training intervention, whereby players were randomly assigned to two groups. Each group completed 16 SPC training sessions in two conditions [normal vision (NV) and restricted vision (RV)]. Measures obtained after the training intervention revealed significant improvements in SPC skills and wrist shot accuracy. Order of training condition did not reach significance, meaning that SPC improvement occurred as a result of total training volume as opposed to order of training condition. However, overall changes in the RV-NV condition revealed consistently higher effect sizes, meaning a greater improvement in performance. Therefore, support can be provided for this technical approach to SPC training and an alternative method of challenging SPC skills.

Subliminal Exposure to Empathy Primes: A New Method to Reduce Intergroup Bias?

An abundant literature has demonstrated the benefits of empathy for intergroup relations (e.g., Batson, Chang, Orr, & Rowland, 2002). In addition, empathy has been identified as the mechanism by which various successful prejudice-reduction procedures impact attitudes and behaviour (e.g., Costello & Hodson, 2010). However, standard explicit techniques used in empathy-prejudice research have a number of potential limitations (e.g., resistance; McGregor, 1993). The present project explored an alternative technique, subliminally priming (i.e., outside of awareness) empathy-relevant terms (Study 1), or empathy itself (Study 2). Study 1 compared the effects of exposure to subliminal empathy-relevant primes (e.g., compassion) versus no priming and priming the opposite of empathy (e.g., indifference) on prejudice (i.e., negative attitudes), discrimination (i.e., resource allocation), and helping behaviour (i.e., willingness to empower, directly assist, or expect group change) towards immigrants. Relative to priming the opposite of empathy, participants exposed to primes of empathy-relevant constructs expressed less prejudice and were more willingness to empower immigrants. In addition, the effects were not moderated by individual differences in prejudice-relevant variables (i.e., Disgust Sensitivity, Intergroup Disgust-Sensitivity, Intergroup Anxiety, Social Dominance Orientation, Right-wing Authoritarianism). Study 2 considered a different target category (i.e., Blacks) and attempted to strengthen the effects found by comparing the impact of subliminal empathy primes (relative to no prime or subliminal primes of empathy paired with Blacks) on explicit prejudice towards marginalized groups and Blacks, willingness to help marginalized groups and Blacks, as well as implicit prejudice towards Blacks. In addition, Study 2 considered potential mechanisms for the predicted effects; specifically, general empathy, affective empathy towards Blacks, cognitive empathy towards Blacks, positive mood, and negative mood. Unfortunately, using subliminal empathy primes “backfired”, such that exposure to subliminal empathy primes (relative to no prime) heightened prejudice towards marginalized groups and Blacks, and led to stronger expectations that marginalized groups and Blacks improve their own situation. However, exposure to subliminal primes pairing empathy with Blacks (relative to subliminal empathy primes alone) resulted in less prejudice towards marginalized groups and more willingness to directly assist Blacks, as expected. Interestingly, exposure to subliminal primes of empathy paired with Blacks (vs. empathy alone) resulted in more pro-White bias on the implicit prejudice measure. Study 2 did not find that the potential mediators measured explained the effects found. Overall, the results of the present project do not provide strong support for the use of subliminal empathy primes for improving intergroup relations. In fact, the results of Study 2 suggest that the use of subliminal empathy primes may even backfire. The implications for intergroup research on empathy and priming procedures generally are discussed.

A Mixed-Method Study of Educator Knowledge and Practice Related to Student Socio-moral Development

The purpose of this study was to explore elementary educators’ knowledge of moral development, how this knowledge relates to their beliefs and sense of efficacy pertaining to character education practices and the socio-moral reasoning of their students. It was hypothesized that educators’ beliefs and practices related to character education would reflect their pedagogy rather than knowledge of moral development theory. It was further hypothesized that there would be differences in student socio-moral reasoning specifically the beliefs and desires that guide actions would differ based on grade and gender. This mixed-method study employing self-report questionnaires, open response vignettes, and semi-structured educator interviews yielded quantitative and qualitative data. Findings indicated socio-moral reasoning of students differed according to grade (age) and gender. Knowledge of moral development theory was found to vary among participants however some practices employed by educators did align with a social cognitive approach to moral development. Significant variables identified consistently among educator and student participants included, autonomy, social competence, sense of school community, and supportiveness. These variables, in conjunction with a sense of fairness, have been identified elsewhere as foundational to moral development (Nucci, 2009), and intrinsic motivation (Ryan & Deci, 2000) and are relevant to educators working to develop student socio-moral reasoning as an aspect of character.

Empirical Assessment of an Intertemporal Option Pricing Model with Latent variables

This paper assesses the empirical performance of an intertemporal option pricing model with latent variables which generalizes the Hull-White stochastic volatility formula. Using this generalized formula in an ad-hoc fashion to extract two implicit parameters and forecast next day S&P 500 option prices, we obtain similar pricing errors than with implied volatility alone as in the Hull-White case. When we specialize this model to an equilibrium recursive utility model, we show through simulations that option prices are more informative than stock prices about the structural parameters of the model. We also show that a simple method of moments with a panel of option prices provides good estimates of the parameters of the model. This lays the ground for an empirical assessment of this equilibrium model with S&P 500 option prices in terms of pricing errors.

The great asymmetry : America's closest allies in times of war

This dissertation focuses on military cooperation between the United States and its special allies. It argues that alliance expectations determine the level of military cooperation, while two intervening variables - the level of government cohesion and military capabilities - determine its implementation. This study also shows how secondary states deploy strategies to overcome power asymmetries through bilateral concessions, international organizations and by appealing to principle. The focus of the research is on special allies, as they have the most to gain or lose by going along with American plans. My contention is that secondary allies can rarely influence the dominant ally decisively, but they can act autonomously and resist to pressures exerted by the stronger alliance partner. The argument builds on three central claims. First, power asymmetries between allies translate into different assessments of international threats. Second, when disagreements over threats arise, the outcome of intra-alliance bargaining is not necessarily dictated by the preferences of the stronger power. Third, secondary states, as opposed to the dominant partner, face unique constraints when facing major foreign policy decisions, i.e. they face a trade-off between establishing a credible reputation as an alliance partner in a politically feasible way while minimizing domestic audience costs. To examine the theoretical puzzle presented by asymmetric military cooperation, I introduce a causal explanation that builds on neoclassical realism, to zone in on the interaction between systemic and domestic variables. My research makes a contribution to alliance theory and foreign policy decision-making by studying how special allies respond to American decisions in times of threat and how systemic constraints are channeled through state-level variables. To investigate the causal link between threat perception, alliance expectations and domestic constraints, this study relies on the method of structured focused comparison with three detailed case studies. The focus is on the initial decision made by special allies regarding whether or not to participle in joint mobilization with the United States. The decision-making process is presented from the perspective of secondary allied states and measures the explanatory factors that motivated the decision on military cooperation. The case studies are the UK, Canada and Australia’s response to the war in Afghanistan and the war in Iraq during the period of 2001 to 2003.

Étude du lien entre la qualité des pratiques parentales et la qualité des relations d’amitié des enfants selon la méthode des différences entre jumeaux monozygotes

L’étude utilise la méthode des différences entre jumeaux monozygotes pour analyser le lien entre les pratiques parentales positives ou hostiles-réactives de la mère à 29 mois et la qualité des relations d’amitié des enfants à 6 ans, tout en contrôlant une série de facteurs confondants tels le sexe, le revenu familial, le tempérament et le poids à la naissance. Un effet modérateur du sexe est aussi testé. La méthodologie nouvelle et particulière de cette recherche permet de contrôler de possibles corrélations gènes-environnement. Les résultats ne concordent pas tous avec les hypothèses et démontrent que 1) le jumeau ayant reçu le plus de pratiques parentales positives de la mère est celui dont l’ami évalue le plus négativement sa relation d’amitié à 6 ans et 2) le jumeau ayant reçu le plus de pratiques parentales hostiles-réactives de la mère est celui dont l’ami évalue le moins positivement sa relation d’amitié à la maternelle. Différentes pistes d’explications sont proposées pour comprendre les résultats et pour guider les études futures.

Développement et validation d’un index de prédiction des risques d’institutionnalisation et de décès pour le contrôle des variables confondantes non-mesurées dans la population âgée

Le biais de confusion est un défi majeur des études observationnelles, surtout s'ils sont induits par des caractéristiques difficiles, voire impossibles, à mesurer dans les banques de données administratives de soins de santé. Un des biais de confusion souvent présents dans les études pharmacoépidémiologiques est la prescription sélective (en anglais « prescription channeling »), qui se manifeste lorsque le choix du traitement dépend de l'état de santé du patient et/ou de son expérience antérieure avec diverses options thérapeutiques. Parmi les méthodes de contrôle de ce biais, on retrouve le score de comorbidité, qui caractérise l'état de santé d'un patient à partir de médicaments délivrés ou de diagnostics médicaux rapportés dans les données de facturations des médecins. La performance des scores de comorbidité fait cependant l'objet de controverses car elle semble varier de façon importante selon la population d'intérêt. Les objectifs de cette thèse étaient de développer, valider, et comparer les performances de deux scores de comorbidité (un qui prédit le décès et l’autre qui prédit l’institutionnalisation), développés à partir des banques de services pharmaceutiques de la Régie de l'assurance-maladie du Québec (RAMQ) pour leur utilisation dans la population âgée. Cette thèse vise également à déterminer si l'inclusion de caractéristiques non rapportées ou peu valides dans les banques de données administratives (caractéristiques socio-démographiques, troubles mentaux ou du sommeil), améliore la performance des scores de comorbidité dans la population âgée. Une étude cas-témoins intra-cohorte fut réalisée. La cohorte source consistait en un échantillon aléatoire de 87 389 personnes âgées vivant à domicile, répartie en une cohorte de développement (n=61 172; 70%) et une cohorte de validation (n=26 217; 30%). Les données ont été obtenues à partir des banques de données de la RAMQ. Pour être inclus dans l’étude, les sujets devaient être âgés de 66 ans et plus, et être membres du régime public d'assurance-médicaments du Québec entre le 1er janvier 2000 et le 31 décembre 2009. Les scores ont été développés à partir de la méthode du Framingham Heart Study, et leur performance évaluée par la c-statistique et l’aire sous les courbes « Receiver Operating Curves ». Pour le dernier objectif qui est de documenter l’impact de l’ajout de variables non-mesurées ou peu valides dans les banques de données au score de comorbidité développé, une étude de cohorte prospective (2005-2008) a été réalisée. La population à l'étude, de même que les données, sont issues de l'Étude sur la Santé des Aînés (n=1 494). Les variables d'intérêt incluaient statut marital, soutien social, présence de troubles de santé mentale ainsi que troubles du sommeil. Tel que décrit dans l'article 1, le Geriatric Comorbidity Score (GCS) basé sur le décès, a été développé et a présenté une bonne performance (c-statistique=0.75; IC95% 0.73-0.78). Cette performance s'est avérée supérieure à celle du Chronic Disease Score (CDS) lorsqu'appliqué dans la population à l'étude (c-statistique du CDS : 0.47; IC 95%: 0.45-0.49). Une revue de littérature exhaustive a montré que les facteurs associés au décès étaient très différents de ceux associés à l’institutionnalisation, justifiant ainsi le développement d'un score spécifique pour prédire le risque d'institutionnalisation. La performance de ce dernier s'est avérée non statistiquement différente de celle du score de décès (c-statistique institutionnalisation : 0.79 IC95% 0.77-0.81). L'inclusion de variables non rapportées dans les banques de données administratives n'a amélioré que de 11% la performance du score de décès; le statut marital et le soutien social ayant le plus contribué à l'amélioration observée. En conclusion, de cette thèse, sont issues trois contributions majeures. D'une part, il a été démontré que la performance des scores de comorbidité basés sur le décès dépend de la population cible, d'où l'intérêt du Geriatric Comorbidity Score, qui fut développé pour la population âgée vivant à domicile. D'autre part, les médicaments associés au risque d'institutionnalisation diffèrent de ceux associés au risque de décès dans la population âgé, justifiant ainsi le développement de deux scores distincts. Cependant, les performances des deux scores sont semblables. Enfin, les résultats indiquent que, dans la population âgée, l'absence de certaines caractéristiques ne compromet pas de façon importante la performance des scores de comorbidité déterminés à partir de banques de données d'ordonnances. Par conséquent, les scores de comorbidité demeurent un outil de recherche important pour les études observationnelles.

Modélisation des liens entre des variables associées à l’environnement scolaire et la performance à l’écrit en français des finissants du secondaire au Québec

Le ministère de l’Éducation, du Loisir et du Sport (MELS) publie tous les ans des indicateurs (MELS, 2007) qui traitent de plusieurs aspects du système scolaire québécois. Quoique le MELS insiste sur l’obligation pour les écoles primaires et secondaires d’obtenir des résultats probants en termes d’« efficacité », les indicateurs utilisés pour apprécier la performance des écoles ne sont pas nécessairement conçus à cette fin. Une étude du MELS rapporte que les élèves de 5e secondaire éprouvent de la difficulté à obtenir de bons résultats à deux critères de correction (syntaxe et ponctuation, orthographe), parmi les six de l’épreuve unique de français écrit (MELS, 2008). Ce fait nous amène à nous intéresser à l’étude de la modélisation des liens entre des facteurs associés à l’environnement scolaire et les résultats des élèves de la région métropolitaine de Montréal, en ce qui a trait à ces deux critères pour les cohortes des années 2006, 2007 et 2008. Nous procédons d’abord à des analyses descriptives des variables pour chacune des trois populations. Nous poursuivons l’analyse en effectuant plusieurs modélisations multiniveaux multivariées des deux critères en fonction de variables indépendantes, caractéristiques de l’élève et de l’école. Les résultats de la présente recherche indiquent une relative stabilité dans la performance des élèves pour les trois années, avec une légère amélioration de la performance pour la cohorte de 2007, et qui se maintient pour la cohorte de 2008. Les élèves du secteur privé obtiennent de meilleurs résultats que ceux du public. Le résultat des filles est supérieur à celui des garçons et les élèves de langue maternelle française obtiennent de meilleurs résultats que ceux de langues maternelles différentes du français. Il importe cependant d’apporter quelques nuances dans l’interprétation de ces résultats. En outre, la part de variance dans la performance des élèves attribuable à l’élève est de l’ordre de 75,0 % et de l’ordre de 25,0 % à l’école. On note un effet différentiel des facteurs d’élève et d’école selon le critère considéré. Les variables caractéristiques de l’élève comptent pour 13,9 % de la variance totale de la performance des élèves en syntaxe et ponctuation et pour 9,8 % en orthographe. Les variables caractéristiques de l’école comptent pour 3,7 % de la variance totale de la performance des élèves en syntaxe et ponctuation et pour 6,4 % en orthographe. Certains facteurs d’école, comme la taille, la mixité ne semblent pas présenter un lien significatif avec la performance des élèves.

Validation des modèles statistiques tenant compte des variables dépendantes du temps en prévention primaire des maladies cérébrovasculaires

L’intérêt principal de cette recherche porte sur la validation d’une méthode statistique en pharmaco-épidémiologie. Plus précisément, nous allons comparer les résultats d’une étude précédente réalisée avec un devis cas-témoins niché dans la cohorte utilisé pour tenir compte de l’exposition moyenne au traitement : – aux résultats obtenus dans un devis cohorte, en utilisant la variable exposition variant dans le temps, sans faire d’ajustement pour le temps passé depuis l’exposition ; – aux résultats obtenus en utilisant l’exposition cumulative pondérée par le passé récent ; – aux résultats obtenus selon la méthode bayésienne. Les covariables seront estimées par l’approche classique ainsi qu’en utilisant l’approche non paramétrique bayésienne. Pour la deuxième le moyennage bayésien des modèles sera utilisé pour modéliser l’incertitude face au choix des modèles. La technique utilisée dans l’approche bayésienne a été proposée en 1997 mais selon notre connaissance elle n’a pas été utilisée avec une variable dépendante du temps. Afin de modéliser l’effet cumulatif de l’exposition variant dans le temps, dans l’approche classique la fonction assignant les poids selon le passé récent sera estimée en utilisant des splines de régression. Afin de pouvoir comparer les résultats avec une étude précédemment réalisée, une cohorte de personnes ayant un diagnostique d’hypertension sera construite en utilisant les bases des données de la RAMQ et de Med-Echo. Le modèle de Cox incluant deux variables qui varient dans le temps sera utilisé. Les variables qui varient dans le temps considérées dans ce mémoire sont iv la variable dépendante (premier évènement cérébrovasculaire) et une des variables indépendantes, notamment l’exposition