Analysis of outliers in electricity spot prices with exampleof New England and New Zealand markets

Electricity spot prices have always been a demanding data set for time series analysis, mostly because of the non-storability of electricity. This feature, making electric power unlike the other commodities, causes outstanding price spikes. Moreover, the last several years in financial world seem to show that ’spiky’ behaviour of time series is no longer an exception, but rather a regular phenomenon. The purpose of this paper is to seek patterns and relations within electricity price outliers and verify how they affect the overall statistics of the data. For the study techniques like classical Box-Jenkins approach, series DFT smoothing and GARCH models are used. The results obtained for two geographically different price series show that patterns in outliers’ occurrence are not straightforward. Additionally, there seems to be no rule that would predict the appearance of a spike from volatility, while the reverse effect is quite prominent. It is concluded that spikes cannot be predicted based only on the price series; probably some geographical and meteorological variables need to be included in modeling.

Review and new therapeutic alternatives for the treatment of cutaneous Leishmaniasis

Leishmaniasis comprises a group of diseases caused by protozoa of the genus Leishmania and has two basic clinical forms, visceral Leishmaniasis and cutaneous Leishmaniasis. The clinical features of Leishmaniasis depend on the species of Leishmania, the interaction between host and parasite and the immune response. This work focuses on cutaneous leishmaniosis because although it is not a deadly disease it results in significant scars and facial disfigurements, thus being clinically important. Furthermore, the first-line treatment consists of intravenous or intramuscular administration of intralesional pentavalent antimonials, which are highly toxic, making hospitalization of patients compulsory during treatment, with the associated financial costs. Herein, we review studies on drugs and treatments with fewer side effects and easier routes of administration such as topical administration. Recent research shows that the topical route of administration holds promise for the future treatment of cutaneous leishmaniosis.

Review and new therapeutic alternatives for the treatment of cutaneous Leishmaniasis

Leishmaniasis comprises a group of diseases caused by protozoa of the genus Leishmania and has two basic clinical forms, visceral Leishmaniasis and cutaneous Leishmaniasis. The clinical features of Leishmaniasis depend on the species of Leishmania, the interaction between host and parasite and the immune response. This work focuses on cutaneous leishmaniosis because although it is not a deadly disease it results in significant scars and facial disfigurements, thus being clinically important. Furthermore, the first-line treatment consists of intravenous or intramuscular administration of intralesional pentavalent antimonials, which are highly toxic, making hospitalization of patients compulsory during treatment, with the associated financial costs. Herein, we review studies on drugs and treatments with fewer side effects and easier routes of administration such as topical administration. Recent research shows that the topical route of administration holds promise for the future treatment of cutaneous leishmaniosis.

Triterpenes and new saponins from Ilex chamaedryfolia: chemotaxonomic tool to ilex species differentiation

Three saponins were isolated from leaves of Ilex chamaedryfolia. Their structures were established by spectroscopic and mass spectrometry data as the new saponin 3β-O-β-D-glucopyranosyl-(1-3)-α-L-arabinopyranosyl-20( S)-19α-hydroxyurs-12-en-28-oic acid 28-O-β-D-glucopyranosyl-(1-3)-β-D-glucopyranosyl ester, the new saponin 3β-O-β-D-glucopyranosyl-(1-3)-α-L-arabinopyranosyl-20( S)-19α-hydroxyurs-12-en-28-oic acid 28-O-β-D-glucopyranosyl ester and the known saponin 3β-O-β-D-glucuronopyranosyl-20(R )-19α-hydroxyurs-12-en-28-oic acid 28-O-β-D-glucopyranosyl ester. Ursolic acid and α-amyrin were also isolated.

Stability of Citrus tristeza virus protective isolate 'Pêra IAC' according to SSCP analysis of old and new lines of three sweet orange varieties

Clonal cleaning, followed by pre-immunization with protective complexes of Citrus tristeza virus(CTV), allowed the commercial cultivation of Pêra sweet orange, a variety that has great importance for Brazilian citriculture but is sensitive to the virus. The use of mild protective isolates in other citrus varieties, even those more tolerant to CTV, can also be of interest to prevent the spread of severe isolates. The aim of this study was to characterize, by means of SSCP (Single Strand Conformational Polymorphism) analysis of the coat protein gene, CTV isolates present in plants of the sweet orange cultivars Pêra, Hamlin and Valencia propagated from four budwood sources: 1) old lines, 2) nucellar lines, 3) shoot-tip-grafted lines, and 4) shoot-tip-grafted lines pre-immunized with the mild CTV protective isolate 'PIAC'. We also evaluated the correlation of the obtained SSCP patterns to stem pitting intensity, tree vigor and fruit yield. SSCP results showed low genetic diversity among the isolates present in different trees of the same variety and same budwood source and, in some cases, in different budwood sources and varieties. Considering tristeza symptoms, lower intensity was noted for plants of new, shoot-tip-grafted and pre-immunized shoot-tip-grafted lines, compared to old lines of the three varieties. The observed SSCP patterns and symptomatology suggested that more severe CTV complexes infect the plants of old lines of all three varieties. The protective complex stability was observed in the SSCP patterns of CTV isolates of some shoot-tip-grafted and pre-immunized clones. It was concluded that the changes detected in other electrophoretic profiles of this treatment did not cause loss of the protective capacity of CTV isolate 'PIAC' inoculated in the pre-immunization.

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Presentation at the Exhibition of the IFLA WLIC 2012 in Helsinki, Finland

“THE PATIENT SURVIVED DESPITE THE TREATMENT”. A study of Finnish health policy and New Public Management. Case: The Government Resolution on the Health 2015 public health programme.

Internationally, Finland has been among the most respected countries during several decades in terms of public health. WHO has had the most significant influence on Finnish health policy and the relationship has traditionally been warm. However, the situation has slightly changed in the last 10-20 years. The objectives of Finnish national health policy have been to secure the best possible health for the population and to minimize disparities in health between different population groups. Nevertheless, although the state of public health and welfare has steadily improved, the socioeconomic disparities in health have increased. This qualitative case study will demonstrate why health is political and why health matters. It will also present some recommendations for research topics and administrative reforms. It will be argued that lack of political interest in health policy leads to absence of health policy visions and political commitment, which can be disastrous for public health. This study will investigate how Finnish health policy is defined and organised, and it will also shed light on Finnish health policy formation processes and actors. Health policy is understood as a broader societal construct covering the domains of different ministries, not just Ministry of Social Affairs and Health (MSAH). The influences of economic recession of the 1990s, state subsidy reform in 1993, globalisation and the European Union will be addressed, as well. There is not much earlier Finnish research done on health policy from political science viewpoint. Therefore, this study is interdisciplinary and combines political science with administrative science, contemporary history and health policy research with a hint of epidemiology. As a method, literature review, semi-structured interviews and policy analysi will be utilised. Institutionalism, policy transfer, and corporatism are understood as the theoretical framework. According to the study, there are two health policies in Finland: the official health policy and health policy generated by industry, media and various interest organisations. The complex relationships between the Government and municipalities, and on the other hand, the MSAH and National Institute for Health and Welfare (THL) seemed significant in terms of Finnish health policy coordination. The study also showed that the Investigated case, Health 2015, does not fulfil all necessary criteria for a successful public health programme. There were also several features both in Health 2015 and Finnish health policy, which can be interpreted in NPM framework and seen having NPM influences.

Stress-induced neuroinflammation: mechanisms and new pharmacological targets

Stress is triggered by numerous unexpected environmental, social or pathological stimuli occurring during the life of animals, including humans, which determine changes in all of their systems. Although acute stress is essential for survival, chronic, long-lasting stress can be detrimental. In this review, we present data supporting the hypothesis that stress-related events are characterized by modifications of oxidative/nitrosative pathways in the brain in response to the activation of inflammatory mediators. Recent findings indicate a key role for nitric oxide (NO) and an excess of pro-oxidants in various brain areas as responsible for both neuronal functional impairment and structural damage. Similarly, cyclooxygenase-2 (COX-2), another known source of oxidants, may account for stress-induced brain damage. Interestingly, some of the COX-2-derived mediators, such as the prostaglandin 15d-PGJ2 and its peroxisome proliferator-activated nuclear receptor PPARγ, are activated in the brain in response to stress, constituting a possible endogenous anti-inflammatory mechanism of defense against excessive inflammation. The stress-induced activation of both biochemical pathways depends on the activation of the N-methyl-D-aspartate (NMDA) glutamate receptor and on the activation of the transcription factor nuclear factor kappa B (NFκB). In the case of inducible NO synthase (iNOS), release of the cytokine TNF-α also accounts for its expression. Different pharmacological strategies directed towards different sites in iNOS or COX-2 pathways have been shown to be neuroprotective in stress-induced brain damage: NMDA receptor blockers, inhibitors of TNF-α activation and release, inhibitors of NFκB, specific inhibitors of iNOS and COX-2 activities and PPARγ agonists. This article reviews recent contributions to this area addressing possible new pharmacological targets for the treatment of stress-induced neuropsychiatric disorders.

Mechanical cardiac remodeling and new-onset atrial fibrillation in long-term follow-up of subjects with chronic Chagas' disease

Atrial fibrillation (AF) affects subjects with Chagas' disease and is an indicator of poor prognosis. We investigated clinical, echocardiographic and electrocardiographic variables of Chagas' disease in a long-term longitudinal study as predictors of a new-onset AF episode lasting >24 h, nonfatal embolic stroke and cardiac death. Fifty adult outpatients (34 to 74 years old, 62% females) staged according to the Los Andes classification were enrolled. During a follow-up of (mean ± SD) 84.2 ± 39.0 months, 9 subjects developed AF (incidence: 3.3 ± 1.0%/year), 5 had nonfatal stroke (incidence: 1.3 ± 1.0%/year), and nine died (mortality rate: 2.3 ± 0.8%/year). The progression rate of left ventricular mass and left ventricular ejection fraction was significantly greater in subjects who experienced AF (16.4 ± 20.0 g/year and -8.6 ± 7.6%/year, respectively) than in those who did not (8.2 ± 8.4 g/year; P = 0.03, and -3.0 ± 2.5%/year; P = 0.04, respectively). In univariate analysis, left atrial diameter ≥3.2 cm (P = 0.002), pulmonary arterial hypertension (P = 0.035), frequent premature supraventricular and ventricular contraction counts/24 h (P = 0.005 and P = 0.007, respectively), ventricular couplets/24 h (P = 0.002), and ventricular tachycardia (P = 0.004) were long-term predictors of AF. P-wave signal-averaged ECG revealed a limited long-term predictive value for AF. In chronic Chagas' disease, large left atrial diameter, pulmonary arterial hypertension, frequent supraventricular and ventricular premature beats, and ventricular tachycardia are long-term predictors of AF. The rate of left ventricular mass enlargement and systolic function deterioration impact AF incidence in this population.

Old and new views of Niagara Falls : with short description /

On cover: Niagara.

Second Welland Canal - Book 3, Survey Map 5 - Old Canal and New Canal along Chippewa Creek in Port Robinson, Thorold Township

Survey map of the Second Welland Canal created by the Welland Canal Company showing the canal along Chippewa Creek in Thorold Township. Identified structures and features associated with the Canal include the towing path, float bridge, and the waterway itself. The surveyors' measurements and notes can be seen in red and black ink and pencil. Local area landmarks are also identified and include a road allowance between Lot 213 and 214, Chippewa Creek, an unnamed creek, and the Old Canal. Wetlands adjacent to Chippewa Creek are illustrated. Properties and property owners of note are: Lots 213 and 214, Samuel Hill, and Duncan Coleman. The boundary of the land deeded to Coleman is outlined in blue.

ESL Collections, University Libraries, and Internationalization

This research study examines the content, types of materials, locations, and library collection development policies concerning ESL (English as a second language) materials collections on university campuses in the United States and Canada. ESL learning materials are defined in this study as those materials supporting adult learners who are non-native speakers of English in a higher education setting. The purpose of this study is to describe the content and types of materials in these collections, to learn where these collections are typically housed on university campuses, to discover what collection development policies may inform the building of these collections, and to explore the potential significance of these collections for university libraries. The overriding question that informs this study is the following: Can involvement with ESL collections serve as a way for university libraries to participate in internationalization by supporting the language needs of international students?