Constant coefficient tests for random coefficient regression

Random coefficient regression models have been applied in differentfields and they constitute a unifying setup for many statisticalproblems. The nonparametric study of this model started with Beranand Hall (1992) and it has become a fruitful framework. In thispaper we propose and study statistics for testing a basic hypothesisconcerning this model: the constancy of coefficients. The asymptoticbehavior of the statistics is investigated and bootstrapapproximations are used in order to determine the critical values ofthe test statistics. A simulation study illustrates the performanceof the proposals.

Constant interest rate projections without the curse of indeterminacy

Constant interest rate (CIR) projections are often criticized on the grounds that they are inconsistent with the existence of a unique equilibrium in a variety of forward-looking models. This note shows howto construct CIR projections that are not subject to that criticism, using a standard New Keynesian model as a reference framework.

Prevention of infectious complications after laparoscopic appendectomy for complicated acute appendicitis--the role of routine abdominal drainage.

Complicated acute appendicitis is still associated with an increased morbidity. If laparoscopy has been accepted as a valid approach, some questions remain concerning intra-abdominal abscess formation. Routine prophylactic drainage of the abdomen has been proposed. However, this practice remains a matter of debate, poorly validated in the literature. With the present study, we investigated the impact of drainage in laparoscopic appendectomy for complicated appendicitis. This is a case match study of consecutive patients operated on by laparoscopy in a single institution. One hundred and thirty patients operated for complicated appendicitis (local peritonitis without perforation, with perforation, or with periappendicular abscess) with prophylactic intraperitoneal drainage were matched one by one to 130 patients operated without drainage. Uncomplicated appendicitis and generalized peritonitis were excluded. Primary endpoint was surgical complications and secondary endpoints were transit recovery time and length of hospital stay. Patients without drain had significantly less overall complications (7.7% vs. 18.5%, p = 0.01). Moreover, the absence of drainage was of significant benefit for transit recovery time (2.5 vs. 3.5 days, p = 0.0068) and length of hospital stay (4.2 vs. 7.3 days, p < 0.0001). No benefits were observed for prophylactic drainage of the abdominal cavity during emergency laparoscopic treatment of complicated appendicitis. For this reason, this practice may be abandoned.

Constant fluctuating asymmetry but not directional asymmetry along the geographic distribution of Drosophila antonietae (Diptera, Drosophilidae)

ABSTRACT The population dynamics of a species tends to change from the core to the periphery of its distribution. Therefore, one could expect peripheral populations to be subject to a higher level of stress than more central populations (the center–periphery hypothesis) and consequently should present a higher level of fluctuating asymmetry. To test these predictions we study asymmetry in wing shape of five populations of Drosophila antonietae collected throughout the distribution of the species using fluctuating asymmetry as a proxy for developmental instability. More specifically, we addressed the following questions: (1) what types of asymmetry occur in populations of D. antonietae? (2) Does the level of fluctuating asymmetry vary among populations? (3) Does peripheral populations have a higher fluctuating asymmetry level than central populations? We used 12 anatomical landmarks to quantify patterns of asymmetry in wing shape in five populations of D. antonietae within the framework of geometric morphometrics. Net asymmetry – a composite measure of directional asymmetry + fluctuating asymmetry – varied significantly among populations. However, once net asymmetry of each population is decomposed into directional asymmetry and fluctuating asymmetry, most of the variation in asymmetry was explained by directional asymmetry alone, suggesting that populations of D. antonietae have the same magnitude of fluctuating asymmetry throughout the geographical distribution of the species. We hypothesize that larval development in rotting cladodes might play an important role in explaining our results. In addition, our study underscores the importance of understanding the interplay between the biology of a species and its geographical patterns of asymmetry.

Rabies postexposure prophylaxis in routine practice in view of the new centers for disease control and prevention and world health organization recommendations.

Background. New recommendations for rabies postexposure prophylaxis (PEP) were published by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention and the World Health Organization in 2010. In view of these new recommendations, we investigated the adequacy of rabies PEP among patients consulting our travel clinic. Methods. A retrospective analysis of the files of all patients who consulted for rabies PEP at the Travel Clinic of the University Hospital in Lausanne, Switzerland, between January 2005 and August 2011 was conducted. Results. A total of 110 patients who received rabies PEP were identified. The median age of the patients was 34 years (range, 2-79 years), and 53% were women. Ninety subjects were potentially exposed to rabies while travelling abroad. Shortcomings in the management of these patients were (1) late initiation of rabies PEP in travelers who waited to seek medical care until returning to Switzerland, (2) administration of human rabies immunoglobulin (HRIG) to only 7 of 50 travelers (14%) who sought care abroad and for whom HRIG was indicated, and (3) antibody levels <0.5 IU/mL in 6 of 90 patients (6.7%) after 4 doses of vaccine. Conclusions. Patients do not always receive optimal rabies PEP under real-life conditions. A significant proportion of patients did not develop adequate antibody levels after 4 doses of vaccine. These data indicate that the measurement of antibody levels on day 21 of the Essen PEP regimen is useful in order to verify an adequate immune response.

Almost routine prophylactic cholecystectomy during laparoscopic gastric bypass is safe

RAPPORT DE SYNTHESE : Introduction : les patients obèses morbides présentent un risque majeur de développer des calculs biliaires en raison d'une sécrétion accrue de cholestérol dans la bile. Ce risque, davantage élevé dans la phase de perte pondérale rapide consécutive à la chirurgie bariatrique ou lors de régimes amaigrissants, est souvent la cause de nombreux symptômes, voire de complications biliaires. Aussi l'association d'une cholécystectomie à la chirurgie bariatrique, notamment le bypass gastrique laparoscopique a-t-elle été proposée afin d'éviter ces complications parfois redoutables dans cette population fragile. Ce concept a cependant fait l'objet de démentis dans de récentes études où ce risque apparaîtrait moins élevé, et la cholécystectomie durant le by- pris gastrique laparoscopique pourrait être grevée de difficultés et présenter des risques opératoires non négligeables pour le patient. Patients et méthodes : notre série comporte 772 patients opérés entre 2000 et 2007 par by-pass gastrique laparoscopique, avec montage d'une anse en Y selon Roux. Ces patients obèses morbides avaient été sélectionnés sur la base d'une anamnèse concluante, d'un examen anthropométrique, d'un bilan sanguin et d'un ultrason abdominal. Une analyse rétrospective des résultats d'ultrason abdominal préopératoire et des rapports histopathologiques des vésicules biliaires en postopératoire a été réalisée chez les patients opérés avant 2004. Résultats : 58 patients (7,5 %) avaient déjà eu une cholécystectomie. L'US abdominal a révélé des calculs ou de la boue biliaire chez 81 patients (11,3 %), un polype chez un patient et une vésicule biliaire normale chez les patients restants. La cholécystectomie a été réalisée concomitamment au by-pass gastrique chez 66S patients (91,7 %) et des calculs biliaires retrouvés à l'examen per-opératoire des vésicules biliaires chez 25 patients (3,9 %), rapportant alors la prévalence de la cholélithiase à 21,2 % dans cette population. L'âge des patients porteurs de calculs biliaires était significativement plus élevé que celui des patients sans calculs biliares (43,5 contre 38,7 ans, P < 0,0001). A l'examen histopathologique, des anomalies ont été décrites dans 81,8 % des vésicules biliaires, consistant pour la plupart en cholécystite chronique et cholestérolose. Aucune complication post-opératoire n'a été associée à la cholécystectomie et le prolongement du temps opératoire était en moyenne de 19 minutes (4 - 45 minutes) sans aucun impact sur le séjour hospitalier. La cholécystectomie n'a pas été réalisée chez 59 patients (8,3 %) en raison de conditions opératoires défavorables, notamment une exposition insuffisante. Un traitement d'acide ursodésoxycholique a été prescrit sur une période de 6 mois et aucun de ces patients n'a manifesté de symptômes biliaires. Conclusion : la cholécystectomie peut être réalisée à titre prophylactique et en toute sécurité au cours du by-pass gastrique laparoscopique. Cet acte opératoire supplémentaire sans conséquence sur le séjour hospitalier, constitue selon la présente étude une forme de prophylaxie recommandable dans la prévention de la formation des calculs biliaires dans la phase de perte pondérale post-opératoire. Sa supériorité ou non par rapport à la prophylaxie médicamenteuse à l'acide ursodésoxycholique n'a pas encore été établie. Des études prospectives randomisées seraient nécessaires afin de confirmer l'avantage de l'une ou l'autre de ces deux alternatives.

Time constant of the cerebral arterial bed in normal subjects.

The time constant of cerebral arterial bed (in brief time constant) is a product of brain arterial compliance (C(a)) and resistance (CVR). We tested the hypothesis that in normal subjects, changes in end-tidal CO(2) (EtCO(2)) affect the value of the time constant. C(a) and CVR were estimated using mathematical transformations of arterial pressure (ABP) and transcranial Doppler (TCD) cerebral blood flow velocity waveforms. Responses of the time constant to controlled changes in EtCO(2) were compared in 34 young volunteers. Hypercapnia shortened the time constant (0.22 s [0.17, 0.26] vs. 0.16 s [0.13, 0.20]; p = 0.000001), while hypocapnia lengthened the time constant (0.22 s [0.17, 0.26] vs. 0.23 s [0.19, 0.32]; p < 0.0032). The time constant was negatively correlated with changes in EtCO(2) (R(partial) = -0.68, p < 0.000001). This was associated with a decrease in CVR when EtCO(2) increased (R(partial) = -0.80, p < 0.000001) and C(a) remained independent of changes in EtCO(2). C(a) was negatively correlated with mean ABP (R(partial) = -0.68, p < 0.000001). In summary, the time constant shortens with increasing EtCO(2). Its potential role in cerebrovascular investigations needs further studies.

Screening for foetal malformations: performance of routine ultrasonography in the population of the Swiss Canton of Vaud.

OBJECTIVE: To determine the sensitivity of ultrasonography in screening for foetal malformations in the pregnant women of the Swiss Canton of Vaud. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective study over a period of five years. METHOD: We focused our study on 512 major or minor clinically relevant malformations detectable by ultrasonography. We analysed the global sensitivity of the screening and compared the performance of the tertiary centre with that of practitioners working in private practice or regional hospitals. RESULTS: Among the 512 malformations, 181 (35%) involved the renal and urinary tract system, 137 (27%) the heart, 71 (14%) the central nervous system, 50 (10%) the digestive system, 42 (8%) the face and 31 (6%) the limbs. Global sensitivity was 54.5%. The lowest detection rate was observed for cardiac anomalies, with only 23% correct diagnoses. The tertiary centre achieved a 75% detection rate in its outpatient clinic and 83% in referred patients. Outside the referral centre, the diagnostic rate attained 47%. CONCLUSIONS: Routine foetal examination by ultrasonography in a low-risk population can detect foetal structural abnormalities. Apart from the diagnosis of cardiac abnormalities, the results in the Canton of Vaud are satisfactory and justify routine screening for malformations in a low-risk population. A prerequisite is continuing improvement in the skills of ultrasonographers through medical education.

Parole, personnage et sujet dans les récits littéraires de Benjamin Constant

Même si Alison Fairlie, Tzvetan Todorov, Han Verhoeff et Simone Balayé ont reconnu l'importance de la parole dans les récits littéraires de Benjamin Constant (Amélie et Germaine, Cécile, Ma vie et Adolphe), dans leurs commentaires ces critiques ont surtout mis en évidence les échecs et les malentendus inhérents à toute communication verbale. Au-delà de ces constatations, il restait à montrer que les récits constantiens donnent à voir et à comprendre l'intérêt que cet écrivain nourrissait pour la parole, tout particulièrement pour la parole privée -celle qu'il a choisi de mettre en scène dans ces quatre oeuvres, qui acquièrent, grâce à cette spécificité, une manière d'unité. Cette parole intime, aux antipodes de la parole publique, s'offre comme un champ d'investigation illimité tant le locuteur est alors impliqué dans sa pratique verbale. Les introspections des narrateurs-personnages constantiens font naître la peinture d'un sujet moderne, fragilisé dans sa vie personnelle et peu engagé dans la vie sociale, mais elles offrent surtout un vaste panorama des situations d'interlocution et présentent en creux les nombreuses ressources de la parole. Ces récits, qui accordent une attention tout à fait signifiante à l'écriture de la parole, mais échappent parfois à toute classification générique, parviennent à mimer les incertitudes de leur narrateur-personnage tout en révélant que c'est par la parole, originale et singulière, que le sujet s'individualise expérience rendue souvent difficile à cause de la langue conventionnelle dont usent ceux que l'on rencontre dans les lieux de sociabilité, en ce XIXe siècle naissant.