Differential effect of Charlson index and its components on in-hospital mortality and health costs

Introduction: The Charlson index (Charlson, 1987) is a commonly used comorbidity index in outcome studies. Still, the use of different weights makes its calculation cumbersome, while the sum of its components (comorbidities) is easier to compute. In this study, we assessed the effects of 1) the Charlson index adapted for the Swiss population and 2) the sum of its components (number of comorbidities, maximum 15) on a) in-hospital deaths and b) cost of hospitalization. Methods: Anonymous data was obtained from the administrative database of the department of internal medicine of the Lausanne University Hospital (CHUV). All hospitalizations of adult (>=18 years) patients occurring between 2003 and 2011 were included. For each hospitalization, the Charlson index and the number of comorbidities were calculated. Analyses were conducted using Stata. Results: Data from 32,741 hospitalizations occurring between 2003 and 2011 was analyzed. On bivariate analysis, both the Charlson index and the number of comorbidities were significantly and positively associated with in hospital death. Conversely, multivariate adjustment for age, gender and calendar year using Cox regression showed that the association was no longer significant for the number of comorbidities (table). On bivariate analysis, hospitalization costs increased both with Charlson index and with number of comorbidities, but the increase was much steeper for the number of comorbidities (figure). Robust regression after adjusting for age, gender, calendar year and duration of hospital stay showed that the increase in one comorbidity led to an average increase in hospital costs of 321 CHF (95% CI: 272 to 370), while the increase in one score point of the Charlson index led to a decrease in hospital costs of 49 CHF (95% CI: 31 to 67). Conclusion: Charlson index is better than the number of comorbidities in predicting in-hospital death. Conversely, the number of comorbidities significantly increases hospital costs.

Inferring ultraviolet anatomical exposure patterns while distinguishing the relative contribution of radiation components

Exposure to solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation is the main causative factor for skin cancer. UV exposure depends on environmental and individual factors, but individual exposure data remain scarce. While ground UV irradiance is monitored via different techniques, it is difficult to translate such observations into human UV exposure or dose because of confounding factors. A multi-disciplinary collaboration developed a model predicting the dose and distribution of UV exposure on the basis of ground irradiation and morphological data. Standard 3D computer graphics techniques were adapted to develop a simulation tool that estimates solar exposure of a virtual manikin depicted as a triangle mesh surface. The amount of solar energy received by various body locations is computed for direct, diffuse and reflected radiation separately. Dosimetric measurements obtained in field conditions were used to assess the model performance. The model predicted exposure to solar UV adequately with a symmetric mean absolute percentage error of 13% and half of the predictions within 17% range of the measurements. Using this tool, solar UV exposure patterns were investigated with respect to the relative contribution of the direct, diffuse and reflected radiation. Exposure doses for various body parts and exposure scenarios of a standing individual were assessed using erythemally-weighted UV ground irradiance data measured in 2009 at Payerne, Switzerland as input. For most anatomical sites, mean daily doses were high (typically 6.2-14.6 Standard Erythemal Dose, SED) and exceeded recommended exposure values. Direct exposure was important during specific periods (e. g. midday during summer), but contributed moderately to the annual dose, ranging from 15 to 24% for vertical and horizontal body parts, respectively. Diffuse irradiation explained about 80% of the cumulative annual exposure dose.

Diagnosing Patients Combining Principal Components Analysis and Case Based Reasoning

This paper addresses the application of a PCA analysis on categorical data prior to diagnose a patients data set using a Case-Based Reasoning (CBR) system. The particularity is that the standard PCA techniques are designed to deal with numerical attributes, but our medical data set contains many categorical data and alternative methods as RS-PCA are required. Thus, we propose to hybridize RS-PCA (Regular Simplex PCA) and a simple CBR. Results show how the hybrid system produces similar results when diagnosing a medical data set, that the ones obtained when using the original attributes. These results are quite promising since they allow to diagnose with less computation effort and memory storage

Elemental analysis of New Zealand Nephrite Jade (pounamu) for forensic purposes

Pounamu (NZ jade), or nephrite, is a protected mineral in its natural form following thetransfer of ownership back to Ngai Tahu under the Ngai Tahu (Pounamu Vesting) Act 1997.Any theft of nephrite is prosecutable under the Crimes Act 1961. Scientific evidence isessential in cases where origin is disputed. A robust method for discrimination of thismaterial through the use of elemental analysis and compositional data analysis is required.Initial studies have characterised the variability within a given nephrite source. This hasincluded investigation of both in situ outcrops and alluvial material. Methods for thediscrimination of two geographically close nephrite sources are being developed.Key Words: forensic, jade, nephrite, laser ablation, inductively coupled plasma massspectrometry, multivariate analysis, elemental analysis, compositional data analysis

Modulation of Higher-Order Olfaction Components on Executive Functions in Humans.

The prefrontal (PFC) and orbitofrontal cortex (OFC) appear to be associated with both executive functions and olfaction. However, there is little data relating olfactory processing and executive functions in humans. The present study aimed at exploring the role of olfaction on executive functioning, making a distinction between primary and more cognitive aspects of olfaction. Three executive tasks of similar difficulty were used. One was used to assess hot executive functions (Iowa Gambling Task-IGT), and two as a measure of cold executive functioning (Stroop Colour and Word Test-SCWT and Wisconsin Card Sorting Test-WCST). Sixty two healthy participants were included: 31 with normosmia and 31 with hyposmia. Olfactory abilities were assessed using the ''Sniffin' Sticks'' test and the olfactory threshold, odour discrimination and odour identification measures were obtained. All participants were female, aged between 18 and 60. Results showed that participants with hyposmia displayed worse performance in decision making (IGT; Cohen's-d = 0.91) and cognitive flexibility (WCST; Cohen's-d between 0.54 and 0.68) compared to those with normosmia. Multiple regression adjusted by the covariates participants' age and education level showed a positive association between odour identification and the cognitive inhibition response (SCWT-interference; Beta = 0.29; p = .034). The odour discrimination capacity was not a predictor of the cognitive executive performance. Our results suggest that both hot and cold executive functions seem to be associated with higher-order olfactory functioning in humans. These results robustly support the hypothesis that olfaction and executive measures have a common neural substrate in PFC and OFC, and suggest that olfaction might be a reliable cognitive marker in psychiatric and neurologic disorders.

Genetic and phenotypic architecture of metabolic syndrome-associated components in dyslipidemic and normolipidemic subjects: the GEMS Study.

Atherogenic dyslipidemia, manifest by low HDL-cholesterol and high TG levels, is an important component of ATP-III defined metabolic syndrome. Here, we dissected the phenotypic and genetic architecture of these traits by assessing their relationships with other metabolically relevant measures, including plasma adipo-cytokines, highly sensitive C-reactive protein (hsCRP) and LDL particle size, in a large family data set (n=2800) and in an independent set of dyslipidemic cases (n=716) and normolipidemic controls (n=1073). We explored the relationships among these phenotypes using variable clustering and then estimated their genetic heritabilities and cross-trait correlations. In families, four clusters explained 61% of the total variance, with one adiposity-related cluster (including hsCRP), one BP-related cluster, and two lipid-related clusters (HDL-C, TG, adiponectin and LDL particle size; apoB and non-HDL-C). A similar structure was observed in dyslipidemic cases and normolipidemic controls. The genetic correlations in the families largely paralleled the phenotype clustering results, suggesting that common genes having pleiotropic effects contributed to the correlations observed. In summary, our analyses support a model of metabolic syndrome with two major components, body fat and lipids, each with two subcomponents, and quantifies their degree of overlap with each other and with metabolic-syndrome related measures (adipokines, LDL particle size and hsCRP).

Inactivation des pathogènes des produits sanguins labiles: entre enjeux financiers et conséquences possibles à long terme [Pathogen reduction of blood components: from financial issues to possible long-term consequences].

Pathogen inactivation of blood products represents a global and major paradigm shift in transfusion medicine. In the next near future, it is likely that most blood products will be inactivated by various physicochemical approaches. The concept of blood safety will be challenged as well as transfusion medicine practice, notably for donor selection or biological qualification. In this context, it seems mandatory to develop analytical economic approaches by assessing costs-benefits ratio of blood transfusion as well as to set up cohorts of patients based on hemovigilance networks allowing rigorous scientific analysis of the benefits and the risks of blood transfusion at short- and long-term.

Distinct neuronal circuits underlying the bahavioral and physiological components of the fear response

Abstract : Expression of fear involves changes in a number of behavioral and physiological parameters that are triggered by the central amygdala (CeA). The fear circuit also includes a series of brain stem nuclei that are the final effectors of the changes induced by the fear reaction. The CeA expresses many different neuropeptide receptors that can modulate fear responses. Today, the precise organization and the modulation of projections from the amygdala to the brain stem are still poorly understood. The aim of this project was to better understand the organization and the modulation of the fear circuit. To investigate this we first determined whether the CeA is composed of separate neuronal populations, where each one projects to specific brain stem nuclei, or whether single CeA neurons project to several nuclei. For this purpose, we first selected two brain stem nuclei implicated in the modulation of different components of the fear reactions, the periaqueductal gray (implicated in freezing) and the nucleus of solitary tract (implicated in heart rate modulation). We then performed double injections of two different retrograde tracers in these two nuclei and we quantified the subsequent presence of co-labelling in the CeA. We found that neurons projecting to the PAG and to the NTS are organized in separate populations. Subsequent electrophysiological recordings of the two populations revealed that PAG and NTS projecting neurons also have different electrophysiological characteristics. We then verified in vitro whether the neurons projecting to different brain stem nuclei express specific combinations of neuropeptide receptors, and whether a neuropeptide acting pre-synaptically (oxytocin) specifically modulates one of these two projections. We did not find differences at the level of expression of neurópeptide receptors, but we observed that oxytocin, a neuropeptide with anxiolytic properties, modulates PAG projecting neurons without affecting NTS projecting neurons. As oxytocin appeared to specifically modulate projections to the PAG, involved in the modulation of the freezing reaction, but did not affect the projections to the NTS, implicated in the modulation of cardiovascular parameters, we verified how this modulation translates in living animals. We investigated the effects of infra-amygdala injection of oxytocin on cardiovascular and behavioral changes induced by contextual fear conditioning. We found that oxytocin decreased the freezing response without affecting the cardiovascular system. Finally, as neuropeptides are considered potential future anxiolytics, we investigated whether diazepam and oxytocin, acting on the same circuit, had additive effects. This question was addressed exclusively with an in vitro electrophysiological approach. We obtained that oxytocin and diazepam, when co-applied, had an additive effect on both synaptic transmission and neuronal activity. These results open new perspectives for the possible clinical applications of oxytocin. Résumé : L'expression de la peur est accompagnée par de nombreux changements physiologiques et comportementaux qui sont déclenchés par l'amygdale centrale (CeA). Le circuit inclue aussi une série de noyaux du tronc cérébrale qui sont les effecteurs des différentes composantes de la réaction de peur. On sait que CeA envoie des projections aux noyaux du tronc cérébral et que ces neurones expriment une grande variété de récepteurs aux neuropeptides. Par contre, l'organisation des projections, ainsi que la modulation de ces projections par les neuropeptides reste encore peu connue. Avec ce projet, on premièrement voulu déterminer si CeA est composée de populations neuronales séparées qui projettent vers un noyau spécifique, ou bien si chaque neurones envoie des projections vers plusieurs noyaux. A ce propos, on a effectué des doubles injections de deux traceurs rétrogrades différentes dans deux noyaux du tronc cérébral impliqués dans des différentes composantes des réactions de peur. On a injecté la substance grise périaqueducale (PAG), qui est impliquée dans la réponse d'immobilisation, ainsi que le noyau du tractus solitaire (NTS) qui est responsable des changements cardiovasculaires. On a ensuite quantifié la présence de neurones contenant les deux traceurs dans CeA. On a trouvé que la plupart des neurones de l'amygdale centrale projettent vers un noyau spécifique, et on peut donc dire que l'amygdale semble être composée de populations neuronales séparées. On a ensuite mesuré les caractéristiques électrophysiologiques de ces deux projections et on a trouvé des différences substantielles concernant la résistance membranaire, la capacitance, le potentiel membranaire de repos ainsi que la fréquence des potentiels d'action spontanés. Puis, comme beaucoup de neuropéptides dans l'amygdale exercent un effet modulatoire sûr les réactions de peur et sur l'anxiété, on a étudié les effets directs et indirects d'une série de neuropeptides sur les différentes projections pour évaluer s'il y a des neuropeptides qui agissent spécifiquement sur une. On n'a pas trouvé de différences entre neurones qui projettent vers le PAG et neurones qui projettent vers le NTS concernant les effets de neuropeptides qui agissent directement sur ces cellules. Par contre, on a trouvé que l'ocytocine, un neuropeptide qui se lie à des récepteurs dans la partie latérale de l'amygdale centrale et inhibe de façon indirecte les neurones de l'amygdala centrale médiale, module les projections vers le PAG sans affecter celles qui vont vers le NTS. Comme le PAG est impliqué dans la réponse d'immobilisation, alors que le NTS est impliqué dans la modulation cardiovasculaire, on a ensuite étudié les effets de l'ocytocine injectée dans l'amygdale de rat vivants sur les réactions de peur conditionnées. On a trouvé que l'ocytocine diminue la réponse d'immobilisation sans par contre affecter la réponse cardiovasculaire. Pour terminer, on a vérifié si l'ocytocine potentialise les effets d'un médicament anxiolytique, le diazeparn. Avec une étude in vitro on a trouvé qu'une co-application d'ocytocine et diazeparn résulte en un effet additionnel à la fois sur la transmission synaptique ainsi que sur l'activité neuronale des neurones de l'amygdale centrale médiale. Ces résultats ouvrent des nouvelles perspectives pour une potentielle utilisation clinique de l'ocytocine.

A chemical Hamiltonian approach study of the basis set superposition error changes on electron densities and one- and two-center energy components

A comparision of the local effects of the basis set superposition error (BSSE) on the electron densities and energy components of three representative H-bonded complexes was carried out. The electron densities were obtained with Hartee-Fock and density functional theory versions of the chemical Hamiltonian approach (CHA) methodology. It was shown that the effects of the BSSE were common for all complexes studied. The electron density difference maps and the chemical energy component analysis (CECA) analysis confirmed that the local effects of the BSSE were different when diffuse functions were present in the calculations

Principal components of functional connectivity: A new approach to study dynamic brain connectivity during rest.

Functional connectivity (FC) as measured by correlation between fMRI BOLD time courses of distinct brain regions has revealed meaningful organization of spontaneous fluctuations in the resting brain. However, an increasing amount of evidence points to non-stationarity of FC; i.e., FC dynamically changes over time reflecting additional and rich information about brain organization, but representing new challenges for analysis and interpretation. Here, we propose a data-driven approach based on principal component analysis (PCA) to reveal hidden patterns of coherent FC dynamics across multiple subjects. We demonstrate the feasibility and relevance of this new approach by examining the differences in dynamic FC between 13 healthy control subjects and 15 minimally disabled relapse-remitting multiple sclerosis patients. We estimated whole-brain dynamic FC of regionally-averaged BOLD activity using sliding time windows. We then used PCA to identify FC patterns, termed "eigenconnectivities", that reflect meaningful patterns in FC fluctuations. We then assessed the contributions of these patterns to the dynamic FC at any given time point and identified a network of connections centered on the default-mode network with altered contribution in patients. Our results complement traditional stationary analyses, and reveal novel insights into brain connectivity dynamics and their modulation in a neurodegenerative disease.

Passive modernization? the new human development index and its components in Italy’s regions (1871-2007)

The article presents and discusses estimates of social and economic indicators for Italy’s regions in benchmark years roughly from Unification to the present day: life expectancy, education, GDP per capita at purchasing power parity, and the new Human Development Index (HDI). A broad interpretative hypothesis, based on the distinction between passive and active modernization, is proposed to account for the evolution of regional imbalances over the long-run. In the lack of active modernization, Southern Italy converged thanks to passive modernization, i.e., State intervention: however, this was more effective in life expectancy, less successful in education, expensive and as a whole ineffective in GDP. As a consequence, convergence in the HDI occurred from the late XIX century to the 1970s, but came to a sudden halt in the last decades of the XX century.

Swain: Stata module to correct the SEM chi-square overidentification test in small sample sizes or complex models. Statistical Software Components S457617, Boston College Department of Economics.

Swain corrects the chi-square overidentification test (i.e., likelihood ratio test of fit) for structural equation models whethr with or without latent variables. The chi-square statistic is asymptotically correct; however, it does not behave as expected in small samples and/or when the model is complex (cf. Herzog, Boomsma, & Reinecke, 2007). Thus, particularly in situations where the ratio of sample size (n) to the number of parameters estimated (p) is relatively small (i.e., the p to n ratio is large), the chi-square test will tend to overreject correctly specified models. To obtain a closer approximation to the distribution of the chi-square statistic, Swain (1975) developed a correction; this scaling factor, which converges to 1 asymptotically, is multiplied with the chi-square statistic. The correction better approximates the chi-square distribution resulting in more appropriate Type 1 reject error rates (see Herzog & Boomsma, 2009; Herzog, et al., 2007).

Testing I(1) against I(d) alternatives in the presence of deteministic components

This paper discusses the role of deterministic components in the DGP and in the auxiliary regression model which underlies the implementation of the Fractional Dickey-Fuller (FDF) test for I(1) against I(d) processes with d ∈ [0, 1). This is an important test in many economic applications because I(d) processess with d & 1 are mean-reverting although, when 0.5 ≤ d & 1,, like I(1) processes, they are nonstationary. We show how simple is the implementation of the FDF in these situations, and argue that it has better properties than LM tests. A simple testing strategy entailing only asymptotically normally distributed tests is also proposed. Finally, an empirical application is provided where the FDF test allowing for deterministic components is used to test for long-memory in the per capita GDP of several OECD countries, an issue that has important consequences to discriminate between growth theories, and on which there is some controversy.