Revision of the portuguese catalog of tsunamis

Catastrophic tsunamis are described in historical sources for all regions around the Gulf of Cadiz, at least since 60 BC. Most of the known events are associated with moderate to large earthquakes and among them the better studied is 1 November 1755. We present here a review of the events which effects, on the coasts of the Portuguese mainland and Madeira Island, are well described in historical documents or have been measured by tide gauges since the installation of these instruments. For a few we include new relevant information for the assessment of the tsunami generation or effects, and we discard events that are included in existing compilations but are not supported by quality historical sources or instrumental records. We quote the most relevant quantitative descriptions of tsunami effects on the Portuguese coast, including in all pertinent cases a critical review of the coeval sources, to establish a homogenous event list. When available, instrumental information is presented. We complement all this information with a summary of the conclusions established by paleo-tsunami research.

Tsunamigenic earthquakes in the Gulf of Cadiz: fault model and recurrence

The Gulf of Cadiz, as part of the Azores-Gibraltar plate boundary, is recognized as a potential source of big earthquakes and tsunamis that may affect the bordering countries, as occurred on 1 November 1755. Preparing for the future, Portugal is establishing a national tsunami warning system in which the threat caused by any large-magnitude earthquake in the area is estimated from a comprehensive database of scenarios. In this paper we summarize the knowledge about the active tectonics in the Gulf of Cadiz and integrate the available seismological information in order to propose the generation model of destructive tsunamis to be applied in tsunami warnings. The fault model derived is then used to estimate the recurrence of large earthquakes using the fault slip rates obtained by Cunha et al. (2012) from thin-sheet neotectonic modelling. Finally we evaluate the consistency of seismicity rates derived from historical and instrumental catalogues with the convergence rates between Eurasia and Nubia given by plate kinematic models.

Números curiosos: os intrigantes 11, 17 e 23

(...) Desde logo, salienta-se um aspeto curioso. Estamos na presença de três números primos (significa que são divisíveis apenas por eles próprios e pela unidade) separados uns dos outros por seis unidades: 11+6=17 e 17+6=23. Ou seja, o 6 volta aqui a estar em destaque! (...) Destacam-se algumas ocorrências do número 11 associadas a vários acontecimentos históricos. Em 1998, um avião da Swissair, com 229 pessoas a bordo, despenhou-se no Oceano Atlântico sem sobreviventes. Era um modelo McDonnell Douglas MD-11 com número de voo SWR111. Todos nos recordamos da tragédia decorrente do sismo e tsunami de Sendai, no Japão. Estima-se que este sismo, que assolou a costa japónica a 11 de março de 2011, tenha sido o maior sismo a atingir o Japão e um dos cinco maiores do mundo desde que os registros modernos começaram a ser compilados. (...) O 17 é considerado por muitos povos um número tão azarento como o 13, como acontece, por exemplo, em Itália. Uma das justificações para esta triste fama prende-se com a escrita do 17 em numeração romana, XVII, e com um dos seus anagramas, VIXI, que significa “vivi”. E se “vivi” é porque estou morto! A aversão a este número em Itália é tal que levou a Renault, marca francesa de automóveis, a mudar a designação do seu modelo R17 para R177, para que o pudesse vender em território italiano. Ainda hoje não se encontra facilmente em Itália prédios com andares 17 e hotéis com quartos 17, nem tão pouco assentos de aviões italianos com esse número. Terminamos com algumas curiosidades relativas ao 23, um dos números favoritos em muitas teorias da conspiração: 2/3 é aproximadamente igual a 0,666, sendo 666 o número da Besta; quando foi assassinado, Júlio César terá sido esfaqueado 23 vezes; William Shakespeare nasceu a 23 de abril de 1564 e morreu a 23 de abril de 1616; o famoso Titanic afundou-se na madrugada do dia 15 de abril de 1912 (1+5+4+1+9+1+2=23); a bomba atómica foi lançada sobre Hiroshima pelas 8h15 (8+15=23); (...)

Educating for earthquake science and risk in a tectonically slowly deforming region

Over the past decade, scientists have been called to participate more actively in public education and outreach (E&O). This is particularly true in fields of significant societal impact, such as earthquake science. Local earthquake risk culture plays a role in the way that the public engages in educational efforts. In this article, we describe an adapted E&O program for earthquake science and risk. The program is tailored for a region of slow tectonic deformation, where large earthquakes are extreme events that occur with long return periods. The adapted program has two main goals: (1) to increase the awareness and preparedness of the population to earthquake and related risks (tsunami, liquefaction, fires, etc.), and (2) to increase the quality of earthquake science education, so as to attract talented students to geosciences. Our integrated program relies on activities tuned for different population groups who have different interests and abilities, namely young children, teenagers, young adults, and professionals.

Flood resilient housing recovery models: a theoretical case study in Maldives

Natural disasters are events that cause general and widespread destruction of the built environment and are becoming increasingly recurrent. They are a product of vulnerability and community exposure to natural hazards, generating a multitude of social, economic and cultural issues of which the loss of housing and the subsequent need for shelter is one of its major consequences. Nowadays, numerous factors contribute to increased vulnerability and exposure to natural disasters such as climate change with its impacts felt across the globe and which is currently seen as a worldwide threat to the built environment. The abandonment of disaster-affected areas can also push populations to regions where natural hazards are felt more severely. Although several actors in the post-disaster scenario provide for shelter needs and recovery programs, housing is often inadequate and unable to resist the effects of future natural hazards. Resilient housing is commonly not addressed due to the urgency in sheltering affected populations. However, by neglecting risks of exposure in construction, houses become vulnerable and are likely to be damaged or destroyed in future natural hazard events. That being said it becomes fundamental to include resilience criteria, when it comes to housing, which in turn will allow new houses to better withstand the passage of time and natural disasters, in the safest way possible. This master thesis is intended to provide guiding principles to take towards housing recovery after natural disasters, particularly in the form of flood resilient construction, considering floods are responsible for the largest number of natural disasters. To this purpose, the main structures that house affected populations were identified and analyzed in depth. After assessing the risks and damages that flood events can cause in housing, a methodology was proposed for flood resilient housing models, in which there were identified key criteria that housing should meet. The same methodology is based in the US Federal Emergency Management Agency requirements and recommendations in accordance to specific flood zones. Finally, a case study in Maldives – one of the most vulnerable countries to sea level rise resulting from climate change – has been analyzed in light of housing recovery in a post-disaster induced scenario. This analysis was carried out by using the proposed methodology with the intent of assessing the resilience of the newly built housing to floods in the aftermath of the 2004 Indian Ocean Tsunami.

Saving and Re-building Lives: an Analysis of the Determinants of Disaster Relief

We analyse both theoretically and empirically, the factors that influence the amount of humanitarian aid which countries receive when they are struck by natural disasters. Our investigation particularly distinguishes between immediate disaster relief which helps the survival of victims and long term humanitarian aid given towards reconstruction and rehabilitation. The theoretical model is able to make predictions as well as explain some of the peculiarities in the empirical results. The empirical analysis, making use of some useful data sources, show that both short and long term humanitarian aid increase with number of people killed, financial loss and level of corruption, while GDP per capita has no effect. Number of people affected had no effect on short term aid, but significantly increased long term aid. Both types of aid increased if the natural disaster was an earthquake, tsunami or drought. In addition, short term aid increases in response to a flood while long term aid increases in response to storms.

Stratigraphic significance of siliceous microfossils collected during Nautiperc dives (Off Peru, 5°-6° S)

The geological evolution of the northern Peru convergent margin can be traced using samples collected during deep-sea dives of the submersible Nautile. In the Paita area (5 degrees-6 degrees S), the sedimentary sequence was intensively sampled along the main scarp of the middle slope area. It consists of Upper Miocene (7-9 Ma) to Pleistocene siltstone, sandstone and rare dolostone. The age distribution of these samples is the basis for a new geologic interpretation of the multichannel seismic line CDP3. Siliceous microfossils (both diatoms and radiolarians) show influence of both cold and temperate waters (local species mixed with upwelling ones). Diatom assemblages studied from the NP1-13 and NP1-15 dives bear a strong resemblance to assemblages from the Pisco Formation of southern Peru. Micropaleontological data from siliceous microfossils, provide evidence for two main unconformities, one is at the base of the Quaternary sequence and the other corresponds to a hiatus of 1 Myr, separating the Upper Miocene (7-8 Ma) sediments from uppermost Miocene (5-6 Ma) sediments. During the past 400 kyr, a wide rollover fold developed in the middle slope area associated with a major seaward dipping detachment fault. A catastrophic debris avalanche occurred as the result of an oversteepening of the landward flank of the rollover fold. The gravity failure of the slope, recognized by SeaBEAM and hydrosweep mapping, displaced enough material to produce a destructive tsunami which occurred 13.8 +/- 2.7 kyr ago.

Conocer los tsunamis: un seguro de vida = Knowing the tsunamis: an insurance of life

This monographic explain what it happened last December on Indonesia, the origin of the tsunamis, the effects on the coast, tsunami warning system, etc. To finish we want to emphasize the importance that has the knowledge of this phenomenon and the knowledge of the tsunami and earthquake safety rules. This article presents how explain risks in the classroom with examples about myths, legends, survivors’ chronicles, literature etc

Finnish Critical Industries, Maritime Transport Vulnerabilities and societal Implications

Maritime transports are very essential for Finland as over 80% of the foreign trade in the country is seaborne and possibilities to carry out these transports by are limited. Any disruption in maritime transports has negative consequences to many sectors in the Finnish economy. Maritime transport thus represents critical infrastructure for Finland. This report focuses on the importance of maritime transports on security of supply in Finland and for the so called critical industries in particular. The report summarizes the results of the Work Package 2 of the research project STOCA – “Study of cargo flows in the Gulf of Finland in emergency situations”. The aim of the research was to analyze the cargo flows and infrastructure that are vital for maintaining security of supply in Finland, as well as the consequences of disruptions in the maritime traffic for the Finnish critical industries and for the Finnish society. In the report we give a presentation of the infrastructure and transport routes which are critical for maintaining security of supply in Finland. We discuss import dependency of the critical industries, and the importance of the Gulf of Finland ports for Finland. We assess vulnerabilities associated with the critical material flows of the critical industries, and possibilities for alternative routings in case either one or several of the ports in Finland would be closed. As a concrete example of a transport disruption we analyze the consequences of the Finnish stevedore strike at public ports (4.3.–19.3.2010). The strike stopped approximately 80% of the Finnish foreign trade. As a result of the strike Finnish companies could not export their products and/or import raw materials, components and spare parts, or other essential supplies. We carried out personal interviews with representatives of the companies in Finnish critical industries to find out about the problems caused by the strike, how companies carried out they transports and how they managed to continue their operations during the strike. Discussions with the representatives of the companies gave us very practical insights about companies’ preparedness towards transport disruptions in general. Companies in the modern world are very vulnerable to transport disruptions because companies regardless of industries have tried to improve their performance by optimizing their resources and e.g. by reducing their inventory levels. At the same time they have become more and more dependent on continuous transports. Most companies involved in foreign trade have global operations and global supply chains, so any disruption anywhere in the world can have an impact on the operations of the company causing considerable financial loss. The volcanic eruption in Iceland in April 2010 stopping air traffic in the whole Northern Europe and most recently the earth quake causing a tsunami in Japan in March 2011 are examples of severe disruptions causing considerable negative impacts to companies’ supply chains. Even though the Finnish stevedore strike was a minor disruption compared to the natural catastrophes mentioned above, it showed the companies’ vulnerability to transport disruptions very concretely. The Finnish stevedore strike gave a concrete learning experience of the importance of preventive planning for all Finnish companies: it made them re-think their practical preparedness towards transport risks and how they can continue with their daily operations despite the problems. Many companies realized they need to adapt their long-term countermeasures against transport disruptions. During the strike companies did various actions to secure their supply chains. The companies raised their inventory levels before the strike began, they re-scheduled or postponed their deliveries, shifted customer orders between production plants among their company’s production network or in the extreme case bought finished products from their competitor to fulfil their customers’ order. Our results also show that possibilities to prepare against transport disruptions differ between industries. The Finnish society as a whole is very dependent on imports of energy, various raw materials and other supplies needed by the different industries. For many of the Finnish companies in the export industries and e.g. in energy production maritime transport is the only transport mode the companies can use due to large volumes of materials transported or due to other characteristics of the goods. Therefore maritime transport cannot be replaced by any other transport mode. In addition, a significant amount of transports are concentrated in certain ports. From a security of supply perspective attention should be paid to finding ways to decrease import dependency and ensuring that companies in the critical industries can ensure the continuity of their operations.

Ethics in Health Policy for Allergy : A Practical Approach for Decision-Makers

Comme à l’approche d’un tsunami, l’incidence grandissante des allergies affecte maintenant plus de 30% de la population des pays développés. Étant la cause de nombreuses morbidités et un risque significatif de mortalité, les allergies nécessitent des dépenses exorbitantes au système de santé et constituent une des plus importantes sources d’invalidité. Cette thèse a pour but de contribuer à faciliter la prise de décision éclairée dans le développement de politiques en santé en lien avec cette maladie immunitaire chronique en utilisant des principes d’éthique comme outils pour guider le développement de politiques en santé. Le premier chapitre démontre le présent déficit d’analyses des enjeux éthiques en allergologie et démontre de quelle façon les réflexions en éthique peuvent guider le développement de politiques et l’élaboration de stratégies appliquées aux allergies. Les chapitres qui suivront présentent des applications spécifiques des principes d’éthiques ciblant des contextes précis comme des méthodes qui fournissent des outils de réflexion et des cadres théoriques qui peuvent être appliqués par les décideurs pour guider des interventions en santé concernant les allergies et les conditions de co-morbidité reliées. Le second chapitre présente un cadre théorique pour l’évaluation et la priorisation d’interventions en santé publique par la diminution des allergènes présents dans l’environnement basées sur des théories de justice sociale. Les critères entourant les politiques d’évaluation se concentrent sur les enjeux éthiques référant aux populations vulnérables, sur une distribution plus égale des bénéfices pour la santé, et sur le devoir d’éviter la stigmatisation. Le troisième chapitre offre aux administrateurs et au personnel infirmier du réseau scolaire un cadre décisionnel pour guider le développement de politiques efficaces et éthiquement justifiables concernant les allergies alimentaires pour les écoles. Dans ce contexte, les principes de base d’éthique en santé publique et en bioéthique - par exemple, l’empowerment des populations vulnérables dans la prise en charge de leur santé et la protection de la confidentialité du dossier médical - servent d’outils pour évaluer les politiques. Le dernier chapitre emploie les principes de base de recherche en éthique comme méthode pour développer un argumentaire en faveur de la réforme des réglementations entourant la production de médicaments immunothérapeutiques. La nécessité éthique d’éviter les risques de méfait à l’endroit du sujet humain dans la recherche permettra de servir de guide pour structurer de futures politiques en santé publique en égard à la production d’immunothérapeutiques à l’échelle mondiale.

Marine Benthos of the Continental Shelf of Southwest and Southeast Coast of India

Department of Marine Biology,Microbiology and Biochemistry,Cochin University of Science and Technology

Geochemistry of transition, non-transition and rare-earth elements in the surficial sediments of continental shelf of Kerala and an annex to the Cochin estuarine system

The metals present in the surface sediments have high demand on a global perspective, and the main reservoir of these elements is believed to be the ocean floor. A lot of studies on metals are going on throughout the world for its quantification and exploitation. Even though, some preliminary attempts have been made in selected areas for the quantitative study of metals in the western continental shelf of India, no comprehensive work has been reported so far. The importance of this study also lies on the fact that there has not been a proper evaluation of the impact of the Great Tsunami of 2004 on the coastal areas of the south India. In View of this, an attempt has been made to address the seasonal distribution, behavior and mechanisms which control the deposition of metals in the sediments of the western continental shelf and Cochin Estuary, an annex to this coastal marine region.Surface sediment samples were collected seasonally from two subenvironemnts of southwest coast of India, (continental shelf of Kerala and Cochin estuarine system), to estimate the seasonal distribution and geochemical behavior of non-transition, transition, rare-earth elements, Th and U. Bottom water samples were also taken from each station, and analysed for temperature, salinity and dissolved oxygen, hence the response of redox sensitive elements to oxygen minimum zone can be addressed. In addition, other sedimentary parameters such as sand, silt, clay fractions, CaCO3 and organic carbon content were also estimated to evaluate the control factors on level of metals present in the sediment. The study used different environmental data analysis techniques to evaluate the distribution and behavior of elements during different seasons. This includes environmental parameters such as elemental normalisation, enrichment factor, element excess, cerium and europium anomalies and authigenic uranium.

Bioremediation of Hydrocarbons by Lysinibacillus fusiformis BTTS10

There exists a need for potential microorganism that could facilitate effective bioremediation of crude oil pollutants in the environment. Hence it was desired to isolate a potential bacterium from marine sediment, which often experiences oil pollution and develop a bioprocess for crude oil biodegradation. In the present study the sediment deposits in the beach of Munakkal, Trichur dist, Kerala, collected immediately after the major event Tsunami in 2004 was collected and analyzed by enrichment culture technique towards isolation of potential strains that could degrade crude oil and its fractions. From the results obtained it was found that the sediment deposits harbor several bacteria with potential for degrading hydrocarbons. However, among the strains obtained, isolate no. BTTS 10 showed capabilities for utilizing both alkanes and aromatic hydrocarbons and hence the same was selected for further studies.

Ästhetik und nachhaltige Entwicklung in Bergregionen

Die Bergregionen Japans leiden am Niedergang der regionalen Wirtschaft, des Sozialsystems und der Kultur. Dies wird im Zusammenhang mit dem Rückgang von Produktion und Verbrauch regionaler Ressourcen gesehen, der seit der Modernisierung und Globalisierung einsetzte. Durch das Sammeln und die Produktion von Ressourcen in der Landschaft und die Fertigung regionaler Produkte wird von den Bewohnern der Bergdörfer auch die Landschaft gepflegt. Seit die Nutzung von Ressourcen aus den Bergen allmählich aufgegeben wird, erobert sich die Wildnis den vom Menschen geprägten Lebensraum zurück. Sowohl in Mitteleuropa als auch in Japan gibt es Bewohner in Bergregionen, die weiterhin in ihrer Heimat bleiben möchten. Sie geben sich viel Mühe und betreiben großen Aufwand, ihre Landschaft zu pflegen und von ihr zu leben, was oft genug schwer fällt. Im Kontext der Rationalisierung der Moderne mögen sich ihre Beweggründe, trotzdem nicht fortzuziehen und auszuharren, als irrational ausmachen. Auf der anderen Seite stößt ihre kommunikative Lebensweise auch auf Sympathie und Bewunderung, und ihrer Arbeit für die Erhaltung der Landschaft wird eine gewisse Wertschätzung entgegengebracht. In dieser Forschungsarbeit wird die Hypothese aufgestellt, dass Landschaft, Produzent, Produkt und Verbraucher bei regionaler Ressourcennutzung über zwei Bedeutungsebenen der Ästhetik, nämlich durch „Kohärenz“ und „Sympathie“ miteinander verbunden sind. Es ist heute in der Regionalplanung erforderlich, die Themen mit regionaler Landschaft, Kultur, Sozialsystem und Wirtschaft, die bisher als einzelnen Aufgaben behandelt worden sind, zu bündeln und für die gesamte Entwicklung in eine Richtung zu zielen. Unter diesem Aspekt sind komplexe und sich selbst regulierende Entwicklungsmodelle nützlich, d.h. es ist dabei von Nutzen, dass Bürger sich selbst und ihrer Region bewusst werden und sie sich Raum für Entwicklung schaffen. Eine „Ästhetische Praxis“ kann dabei Produzenten untereinander und mit ihren Kunden in der Region mit „Sympathie“ aneinander binden, was zum Austausch und zur Weitergabe von Wissen über die regionale Natur mit ihren Ressourcen, die Naturanschauung und die innere Einstellung gegenüber der Produktion, auch über die Generationen hinweg, nützlich ist. Durch die „Sympathie“ zueinander erhöht sich auch die „Kohärenz“ in einer Region, werden die verschiedenen Interessensgruppen zusammengeführt, Gemeinsamkeiten erkannt und die Bindung an den Ort gestärkt.

Guerra fría, cenizas calientes : reportajes a un mundo en cambio

Este libro es una invitación al lector para entender que ha pasado en el mundo político después del fin de la Guerra Fría, viajando con el autor, a través de sus fotos y artículos periodísticos, por lugares del planeta donde definitivamente parece superado el viejo conflicto ideológico y por otros donde las cenizas calientes que aún persisten pueden suponer un peligro para la paz mundial. Es un recorrido que va desde la Alemania reunificada, símbolo inequívoco del fin de la Guerra Fría en Europa, hasta su equivalente asiático, el Vietnam ahora amigo de Estados Unidos y abierto al capitalismo. Igualmente incluye reportajes en lugares en donde aún hay vestigios de la Guerra Fría, como la delicada frontera entre Corea del Norte y Corea del Sur, o la Cuba a la que su poderoso vecino aún le pasa factura por un desacuerdo ideológico agotado desde el siglo pasado. Además hay varios capítulos sobre el país que más se ha beneficiado del fin de la Guerra Fría: la China comunista, capitalista de hoy, que recibe a Hong Kong sin transformarlo y moderniza sus ciudades al tiempo que cambia radicalmente sus costumbres sexuales. Se viaja también a esa Nicosia dividida que simboliza un nuevo Muro de Berlín y que separa a cristianos y musulmanes; a esa pobre Etiopía, triste ejemplo del continente donde los conflictos persisten; a los ricos Emiratos Árabes en lso que petrodólares reemplazan a la política; al Sarajevo que se reconstruyó tras la invasión serbia, y al variopinto Sudeste Asiático, visible en el mapa mundial desde el Tsunami. Finalmente, el autor plantea una crítica a la idea de que en el mundo actual, tras el fin de la Guerra Fría, ha estallado un choque de civilizaciones que será el nuevo escenario del conflicto mundial.